Evolutionary game theory

进化博弈论
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    间接互惠模型研究社会规范如何促进合作。在这些模型中,合作的个人建立了积极的声誉,这反过来又有助于他们未来的互动。合作的确切声誉利益取决于现有的规范,这可能会随着时间的推移而改变。以往的研究主要集中在社会规范的稳定性上。人们对与许多其他人竞争时社会规范最初是如何演变的知之甚少。全面的进化分析,然而,一直很难。即使在所谓的三阶规范的相对简单的空间中,有成千上万的可能性,每个人都诱导自己的声誉动态。为了应对这一挑战,我们使用大规模的计算机模拟。我们研究了每个三阶范数的声誉动态以及它们之间的所有进化过渡。与只有少数规范的既定工作相反,我们发现,在混合良好的人群中,合作很难维持。然而,在群体结构的人群中,合作可以出现。在我们的模拟中最成功的规范是特别简单的。它认为合作是普遍积极的,叛逃通常是消极的,除非叛逃采取合理的惩罚形式。这项研究揭示了社会规范的复杂相互作用,他们诱导的声誉动态,和人口结构。
    Models of indirect reciprocity study how social norms promote cooperation. In these models, cooperative individuals build up a positive reputation, which in turn helps them in their future interactions. The exact reputational benefits of cooperation depend on the norm in place, which may change over time. Previous research focused on the stability of social norms. Much less is known about how social norms initially evolve when competing with many others. A comprehensive evolutionary analysis, however, has been difficult. Even among the comparably simple space of so-called third-order norms, there are thousands of possibilities, each one inducing its own reputation dynamics. To address this challenge, we use large-scale computer simulations. We study the reputation dynamics of each third-order norm and all evolutionary transitions between them. In contrast to established work with only a handful of norms, we find that cooperation is hard to maintain in well-mixed populations. However, within group-structured populations, cooperation can emerge. The most successful norm in our simulations is particularly simple. It regards cooperation as universally positive, and defection as usually negative-unless defection takes the form of justified punishment. This research sheds light on the complex interplay of social norms, their induced reputation dynamics, and population structure.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在本文中,我们研究了基于个人的制度激励的成本优化问题(奖励,惩罚,和混合),用于保证在混合良好的环境中一定程度的合作行为,有限的人口。在这个方案中,人口中的个人通过合作困境(捐赠游戏或公共物品游戏)进行互动,其中只有在合作不够丰富的情况下才能进行制度奖励(即,合作者的数量低于阈值1≤t≤N-1,其中N是种群大小);同样,只有在叛逃过多的情况下,才会进行制度性惩罚。我们分析了小突变极限假设和两种不同初始状态下奖励激励的情况t=1,表明成本函数总是不递减的。当选择强度趋于零和无穷大时,我们得出中性漂移和强选择极限,分别。我们对t的其他值和具有任意突变率的种群动态进行了数值研究。
    In this paper, we study the problem of cost optimisation of individual-based institutional incentives (reward, punishment, and hybrid) for guaranteeing a certain minimal level of cooperative behaviour in a well-mixed, finite population. In this scheme, the individuals in the population interact via cooperation dilemmas (Donation Game or Public Goods Game) in which institutional reward is carried out only if cooperation is not abundant enough (i.e., the number of cooperators is below a threshold 1 ≤ t ≤ N - 1 , where N is the population size); and similarly, institutional punishment is carried out only when defection is too abundant. We study analytically the cases t = 1 for the reward incentive under the small mutation limit assumption and two different initial states, showing that the cost function is always non-decreasing. We derive the neutral drift and strong selection limits when the intensity of selection tends to zero and infinity, respectively. We numerically investigate the problem for other values of t and for population dynamics with arbitrary mutation rates.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    引入了一种植根于共同进化博弈论的新方法,以研究人类决策与流行病环境动态之间的相互作用如何在疾病暴发期间影响疫苗的接受度。这种创新框架结合了两个关键的游戏概念:合作-叛逃游戏和成本-收益疫苗接种游戏。通过这样做,它使我们能够深入研究在疫情爆发期间影响疫苗接种运动成功的各种因素。在这个框架内,个人对风险进行彻底评估,与通过接种疫苗或拒绝疫苗而叛逃的合作相关的利益和激励。此外,它涉及对疫苗接受相关的成本和收益的仔细分析。这项研究的结果强调了两个主要因素的重要性:疫苗的有效性和社会中合作文化的普遍性。这种对个人之间的战略互动及其疫苗接种决策的洞察力对公共卫生政策制定者具有重要意义。它有助于提高疫苗接种覆盖率,并解决社会中疫苗的犹豫,最终有助于在疫情爆发期间更好的公共卫生结果。
    A novel approach rooted in co-evolutionary game theory has been introduced to investigate how the interaction between human decision-making and the dynamics of the epidemic environment can shape vaccine acceptance during disease outbreaks. This innovative framework combines two key game concepts: the cooperation-defection game and the cost-benefit vaccination game. By doing so, it enables us to delve into the various factors that influence the success of a vaccination campaign amid an outbreak. Within this framework, individuals engage in a thorough evaluation of the risks, benefits and incentives associated with either cooperating by getting vaccinated or defecting by refusing the vaccine. Additionally, it involves a careful analysis of the costs and benefits linked to vaccine acceptance. The outcomes of this study stress the importance of two main factors: the effectiveness of the vaccine and the prevalence of a cooperative culture within society. This insight into the strategic interactions between individuals and their decisions about vaccination holds significant implications for public health policymakers. It equips to boost vaccination coverage and address vaccine hesitancy within society ultimately contributing to better public health outcomes during epidemic outbreaks.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项工作为食管癌中单克隆抗体和信号通路之间的竞争进化博弈提供了一个新框架。该框架基于一种新颖的动力学模型,该模型考虑了信号通路的动态进展,抗性机制和单克隆抗体疗法。这个游戏涉及一个场景,其中信号通路和单克隆抗体是玩家相互竞争,单克隆抗体使用Brentuximab和Pembrolizumab剂量作为策略来对抗由信号通路实施的进化抗性策略。它们的相互作用由动力学模型描述,作为游戏的游乐场。两种博弈论策略的分析和计算,Stackelberg和Nash均衡,在此框架内进行,以确定对患者最有利的结果。通过比较Stackelberg均衡和Nash均衡,数值实验表明,Stackelberg平衡在治疗信号通路方面具有优势,并且对于单克隆抗体在改善食管癌患者预后方面的成功与否至关重要.
    This work presents a new framework for a competitive evolutionary game between monoclonal antibodies and signalling pathways in oesophageal cancer. The framework is based on a novel dynamical model that takes into account the dynamic progression of signalling pathways, resistance mechanisms and monoclonal antibody therapies. This game involves a scenario in which signalling pathways and monoclonal antibodies are the players competing against each other, where monoclonal antibodies use Brentuximab and Pembrolizumab dosages as strategies to counter the evolutionary resistance strategy implemented by the signalling pathways. Their interactions are described by the dynamical model, which serves as the game\'s playground. The analysis and computation of two game-theoretic strategies, Stackelberg and Nash equilibria, are conducted within this framework to ascertain the most favourable outcome for the patient. By comparing Stackelberg equilibria with Nash equilibria, numerical experiments show that the Stackelberg equilibria are superior for treating signalling pathways and are critical for the success of monoclonal antibodies in improving oesophageal cancer patient outcomes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    探讨了碳边界调整机制影响下中国钢铁企业生产决策趋势的变化。首先,利用进化博弈论,考虑碳边界调整机制,研究了钢铁企业之间复杂生产战略的互动机制,包括政府补贴系数的影响,附加利润和碳税价格对企业决策的影响。第二,分析了关键参数对动态演化过程的影响。在此基础上,用实证模拟的方法对博弈模型和主要结论进行了验证。最后,用Matlab软件对所选参数进行灵敏度分析。结果表明,绿色投资带来的额外利润,政府补贴系数,投入产出值和碳税价格对企业生产战略的演变影响较大。本研究结果为钢铁企业未来生产方式的选择提供了决策依据。
    This work explored the changes in production decision-making trends of Chinese steel enterprises under the influence of the carbon border adjustment mechanism. First, using evolutionary game theory, the interactive mechanism of complex production strategies among steel enterprises considering the carbon border adjustment mechanism was studied, including the impact of government subsidy coefficients, additional profits and carbon tax prices on enterprise decision-making. Second, the influence of key parameters on the dynamic evolutionary process was analysed. On this basis, the empirical simulation method was used to verify the game model and the main conclusions. Finally, the sensitivity analysis of the selected parameters was determined using Matlab software. The results showed that additional profits from green investment, government subsidy coefficients, input-output values and carbon tax prices had a higher impact on the evolution of enterprise production strategies. The results of this study provide a decision-making basis for the selection of future production methods for steel enterprises.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    人类会根据过去的经历和不断变化的环境来更新他们的社交行为。社会互动结果的不确定性使行为决策更加复杂。面对不确定性,有些人表现出风险厌恶,而另一些人则寻求风险。对风险的态度可能取决于社会经济地位;个人可能会随着时间的推移更新他们的风险偏好,这将反馈他们的社会行为。这里,我们研究不确定性和风险偏好如何影响社会行为的演变。我们扩展了行为进化的博弈论框架,以纳入收益的不确定性以及个人如何应对这种不确定性的变化。我们发现,对风险的不同态度可以实质性地改变行为和长期结果,因为个人寻求从社交互动中优化他们的回报。在没有风险的标准环境中,例如,叛逃总是超过从事经典囚徒困境的混合人口,而风险厌恶可以逆转进化的方向,促进在叛逃方面的合作。当个人更新他们的风险偏好和他们的战略行为时,人口可以在规避风险的合作者主导的时期和寻求风险的叛逃者时期之间振荡。我们的分析系统地说明了风险偏好是如何调节的,甚至共同进化,在不确定的社会世界中的行为。
    Humans update their social behavior in response to past experiences and changing environments. Behavioral decisions are further complicated by uncertainty in the outcome of social interactions. Faced with uncertainty, some individuals exhibit risk aversion while others seek risk. Attitudes toward risk may depend on socioeconomic status; and individuals may update their risk preferences over time, which will feedback on their social behavior. Here, we study how uncertainty and risk preferences shape the evolution of social behaviors. We extend the game-theoretic framework for behavioral evolution to incorporate uncertainty about payoffs and variation in how individuals respond to this uncertainty. We find that different attitudes toward risk can substantially alter behavior and long-term outcomes, as individuals seek to optimize their rewards from social interactions. In a standard setting without risk, for example, defection always overtakes a well-mixed population engaged in the classic Prisoner\'s Dilemma, whereas risk aversion can reverse the direction of evolution, promoting cooperation over defection. When individuals update their risk preferences along with their strategic behaviors, a population can oscillate between periods dominated by risk-averse cooperators and periods of risk-seeking defectors. Our analysis provides a systematic account of how risk preferences modulate, and even coevolve with, behavior in an uncertain social world.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    植物释放生物挥发性有机化合物(BVOCs)作为信号分子,在诱导对食草动物的抗性中起着至关重要的作用。窃听BVOC信号的邻近植物也可以增加对草食动物的防御或改变生长模式,以应对草食动物损害的潜在风险。尽管BVOC排放的重要性,它们释放背后的进化原理以及导致此类排放多样性的因素仍然知之甚少。为了解开BVOC排放演变的条件,我们开发了一个空间显式模型,形式化了BVOC排放和非排放策略的演化动力学。我们的模型考虑了影响植物适应度的BVOC信号的两个效应:个体内沟通,通过工厂自己的BVOC信号产生排放成本来减轻草食动物的损害,和个体间的交流,这改变了基于来自其他个体的BVOC信号的食草动物的影响,而不会产生排放成本。采用两个数学模型-晶格模型和随机分布模型-我们研究了个体内部沟通,个体间的交流,空间结构影响了BVOC排放策略的演变。我们的分析表明,个体内部交流的增加促进了BVOC排放策略的发展。相比之下,个体间交流效应的增加有利于骗子从邻近工厂释放的BVOCs中受益,而不承担与BVOC排放相关的成本。我们的分析还表明,BVOC信号的空间尺度越窄,BVOC演化的可能性越高。这项研究揭示了控制BVOC排放演变的复杂动力学及其对植物与植物交流的影响。
    Plants emit biogenic volatile organic compounds (BVOCs) as signaling molecules, playing a crucial role in inducing resistance against herbivores. Neighboring plants that eavesdrop on BVOC signals can also increase defenses against herbivores or alter growth patterns to respond to potential risks of herbivore damage. Despite the significance of BVOC emissions, the evolutionary rationales behind their release and the factors contributing to the diversity in such emissions remain poorly understood. To unravel the conditions for the evolution of BVOC emission, we developed a spatially explicit model that formalizes the evolutionary dynamics of BVOC emission and non-emission strategies. Our model considered two effects of BVOC signaling that impact the fitness of plants: intra-individual communication, which mitigates herbivore damage through the plant\'s own BVOC signaling incurring emission costs, and inter-individual communication, which alters the influence of herbivory based on BVOC signals from other individuals without incurring emission costs. Employing two mathematical models-the lattice model and the random distribution model-we investigated how intra-individual communication, inter-individual communication, and spatial structure influenced the evolution of BVOC emission strategies. Our analysis revealed that the increase in intra-individual communication promotes the evolution of the BVOC emission strategy. In contrast, the increase in inter-individual communication effect favors cheaters who benefit from the BVOCs released from neighboring plants without bearing the costs associated with BVOC emission. Our analysis also demonstrated that the narrower the spatial scale of BVOC signaling, the higher the likelihood of BVOC evolution. This research sheds light on the intricate dynamics governing the evolution of BVOC emissions and their implications for plant-plant communication.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    非药物个人防护(NPP)措施,如使用口罩,手和呼吸卫生可以是减少气溶胶/空气传播疾病传播的有效措施,如COVID-19,在没有疫苗接种或治疗的情况下。然而,这些措施的使用受到其固有的感知成本和降低传播风险的有效性的限制。为了理解疾病动力学和个体决定是否采用NPP的复杂相互作用,我们将进化博弈论纳入COVID-19等流行病模型。为了比较利己的NPP使用与社会最优有何不同,我们还从中央计划者的角度研究了可选的控制。我们使用Pontryagin的最大原理来确定人口水平的NPP吸收,从而通过产生最低成本来最大程度地减少疾病发病率。进化行为模型表明,在NPP感知成本较低的情况下,NPP吸收增加,更高的传播风险,NPP使用时间较短,NPP的有效性更高,和较短的疾病诱导免疫持续时间。尽管社会最佳NPP的使用通常比自利的使用更有效地降低疾病发病率,我们的分析确定了两种策略更接近的条件。我们的模型为公共卫生通过NPP缓解疾病爆发提供了新的见解。
    Non-pharmaceutical personal protective (NPP) measures such as face masks use, and hand and respiratory hygiene can be effective measures for mitigating the spread of aerosol/airborne diseases, such as COVID-19, in the absence of vaccination or treatment. However, the usage of such measures is constrained by their inherent perceived cost and effectiveness for reducing transmission risk. To understand the complex interaction of disease dynamics and individuals decision whether to adopt NPP or not, we incorporate evolutionary game theory into an epidemic model such as COVID-19. To compare how self-interested NPP use differs from social optimum, we also investigated optional control from a central planner\'s perspective. We use Pontryagin\'s maximum principle to identify the population-level NPP uptake that minimizes disease incidence by incurring the minimum costs. The evolutionary behavior model shows that NPP uptake increases at lower perceived costs of NPP, higher transmission risk, shorter duration of NPP use, higher effectiveness of NPP, and shorter duration of disease-induced immunity. Though social optimum NPP usage is generally more effective in reducing disease incidence than self-interested usage, our analysis identifies conditions under which both strategies get closer. Our model provides new insights for public health in mitigating a disease outbreak through NPP.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    进化流行病学模型极大地影响了生物学领域中各种感染和预防方法的研究。这些模型被称为Susceptible,封锁,接种疫苗,感染,和恢复(SLVIR)流行动态。我们探索人类行为,特别是在疾病传播的背景下,受两种干预策略的影响:疫苗接种和封锁,两者都基于进化博弈论(EGT)的原理。这项利用进化博弈论的综合研究深入研究了流行病的动力学,明确关注从免疫敏感性到封锁措施敏感性的转换率。我们的研究涉及对SLVIR流行病模型的结构方面的透彻分析,它描述了无病平衡,以确保系统的稳定性。我们的调查支持这样一种观点,即实施封锁措施有效地降低了所需的疫苗接种水平,以减少新感染的流行。此外,它强调,当流行病迅速蔓延时,将两种策略结合起来尤其有效。在疾病传播相对较多的地区,我们的研究表明,封锁措施比仅仅依靠疫苗更有效地减少疾病的传播。通过重要的数值模拟,我们的研究表明,整合封锁措施和有效的疫苗接种策略可以间接降低人群中的感染风险,前提是它们既可靠又负担得起。结果揭示了一个细微差别和有益的情景,我们研究了疫苗接种策略和封锁措施的演变之间的相互作用,通过平均社会回报指标评估他们的共存。
    Evolutionary epidemiology models have substantially impacted the study of various infections and prevention methods in the biology field. These models are called Susceptible, Lockdown, Vaccinated, Infected, and Recovered (SLVIR) epidemic dynamics. We explore how human behavior, particularly in the context of disease transmission, is influenced by two intervention strategies: vaccination and lockdown, both of which are grounded in the principles of evolutionary game theory (EGT). This comprehensive study using evolutionary game theory delves into the dynamics of epidemics, explicitly focusing on the transition rate from susceptibility to immunity and susceptibility to lockdown measures. Our research involves a thorough analysis of the structural aspects of the SLVIR epidemic model, which delineates disease-free equilibria to ensure stability in the system. Our investigation supports the notion that implementing lockdown measures effectively reduces the required level of vaccinations to curtail the prevalence of new infections. Furthermore, it highlights that combining both strategies is particularly potent when an epidemic spreads rapidly. In regions where the disease spreads comparatively more, our research demonstrates that lockdown measures are more effective in reducing the spread of the disease than relying solely on vaccines. Through significant numerical simulations, our research illustrates that integrating lockdown measures and efficient vaccination strategies can indirectly lower the risk of infection within the population, provided they are both dependable and affordable. The outcomes reveal a nuanced and beneficial scenario where we examine the interplay between the evolution of vaccination strategies and lockdown measures, assessing their coexistence through indicators of average social payoff.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在当代社会,公共资源的有效利用仍然是一个令人严重关切的问题。一个共同的问题是叛逃者为了个人利益而寻求获得这些资源的过多份额,可能导致资源枯竭。为了减轻这一悲剧,确保资源的可持续发展,实施机制,奖励遵守分配规则的人或惩罚不遵守分配规则的人,似乎是有利的。我们介绍了两种模型:税收奖励模型和税收惩罚模型,来解决这个问题。我们的分析表明,在税收奖励模型中,系统的演化轨迹不仅受税收的影响,也受资源自然增长率的影响。相反,与税收奖励模型相比,税收惩罚模型表现出鲜明的特征,特别是双稳态的潜力。在这种情况下,初始条件的选择至关重要,因为它可以确定系统的路径。此外,我们的研究确定了系统缺乏稳定点的情况,以极限循环现象为例,强调使用这些模型管理公共资源固有的复杂性和动态性。
    In contemporary society, the effective utilization of public resources remains a subject of significant concern. A common issue arises from defectors seeking to obtain an excessive share of these resources for personal gain, potentially leading to resource depletion. To mitigate this tragedy and ensure sustainable development of resources, implementing mechanisms to either reward those who adhere to distribution rules or penalize those who do not, appears advantageous. We introduce two models: a tax-reward model and a tax-punishment model, to address this issue. Our analysis reveals that in the tax-reward model, the evolutionary trajectory of the system is influenced not only by the tax revenue collected but also by the natural growth rate of the resources. Conversely, the tax-punishment model exhibits distinct characteristics when compared with the tax-reward model, notably the potential for bistability. In such scenarios, the selection of initial conditions is critical, as it can determine the system\'s path. Furthermore, our study identifies instances where the system lacks stable points, exemplified by a limit cycle phenomenon, underscoring the complexity and dynamism inherent in managing public resources using these models.
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