Emerging markets

新兴市场
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在数字平台在信息技术(IT)行业取得成功之后,传统行业的现有企业越来越多地实施数字平台战略。然而,关于这些现任者是否从数字平台战略中受益,有不同的证据。为了提供系统的见解,我们专注于银行业。随着开放式银行的出现,银行已经开始实施数字平台,以释放第三方开发商的创新能力。我们在全球165家银行样本中基于数字平台战略的宣布进行了事件研究。我们证明,平均而言,投资者对公告反应积极。与我们的期望相反,与发达市场的银行相比,新兴市场的银行的这种影响更大。先前的人工智能(AI)导向仅部分有助于投资者对数字平台战略的有利看法。这些结果表明,人工智能导向和数字平台战略之间存在复杂的相互作用,为未来的研究提出问题。
    After digital platforms have become successful in the information technology (IT) industry, incumbents from traditional industries increasingly implement digital platform strategies. However, there is mixed evidence on whether these incumbents benefit from digital platform strategies. To provide systematic insights, we focus on the banking industry. With the emergence of open banking, banks have begun implementing digital platforms to unlock the innovative power of third-party developers. We conducted an event study based on the announcement of digital platform strategies in a global sample of 165 banks. We show that, on average, investors react positively to the announcements. Contrary to our expectations, this effect is more substantial for banks from emerging markets than those from developed markets. Prior artificial intelligence (AI) orientation only partly contributes to investors\' favorable perception of a digital platform strategy. These results point to the complex interplay of AI orientation and digital platform strategies, yielding questions for future research.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    随着药物开发的日益全球化和国际协调理事会(ICH)E17指南(ICH国际人类使用药物技术要求协调理事会2017)的发布,多区域临床试验(MRCT)已成为通过设计加速新医疗产品可用性的首选选择,在一个协议下执行和同时提交。MRCT,在包括发达国家和新兴市场国家在内的所有主要地区的参与下,使新药开发更加有效。即使拟议的估计和框架(ICHE9(R1)(2019),2019年晚些时候,在ICHE17中没有提到,估计和框架的应用有可能增强设计,执行,和MRCT分析。在MRCT的区域范围内定义估计是一个重要的问题,需要仔细考虑。鉴于各地区治疗效果的一致性评估在MRCT中至关重要,区域一致性评价的估计和框架的利用也值得讨论。本文旨在解决这两个问题。在多区域背景下讨论了估计和定义的五个属性。在规划MRCT的评估和估计时,必须充分考虑区域内在/外在因素。总结了一种整体方法来进行一致性评估。当观察到区域不一致时,可能的原因需要在估计和框架的五个属性下进一步探讨。讨论了两个实际案例研究,以说明估计和框架在一致性评估中的应用。
    With the increasing globalization of drug development and the publication of the International Council for Harmonisation (ICH) E17 guideline (ICH International Council for Harmonisation of Technical Requirements for Pharmaceuticals for Human Use 2017), multi-regional clinical trials (MRCTs) have become a preferred option to accelerate the availability of new medical products by design, execution and simultaneous submission under one protocol. MRCTs, with the participation of all major regions including countries from both developed and emerging markets, surely make new drug development more efficient. Even though the proposed estimand framework (ICH E9 (R1) (2019), came later in 2019 and was not mentioned in ICH E17, the application of the estimand framework has the potential to enhance the design, execution, and analysis in MRCTs. Defining an estimand within the regional context in MRCTs is an important issue that requires careful consideration. Given that consistency evaluation of treatment effects across regions is critical in MRCTs, the utilization of the estimand framework for regional consistency evaluation is also worth discussion. This paper aims to address these two questions. The five attributes of the estimand definition are discussed within a multi-regional context. It is imperative to thoroughly consider regional intrinsic/extrinsic factors when planning the estimand and estimation of MRCTs. A holistic approach is summarized to conduct consistency evaluation. When a regional inconsistency is observed, the possible reasons need to be further explored under five attributes of the estimand framework. Two real case studies are discussed to illustrate the application of the estimand framework in the consistency evaluation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    全球资本市场对极端和实体事件非常敏感。本研究探讨了COVID-19对新兴市场跨境套利策略的影响。具体来说,这项研究开发了一种以医疗保健股票为中心的新型跨市场对交易策略,为新兴市场环境的独特动态量身定制。通过对比疫情前后策略表现,论证了新兴市场跨境套利策略的可行性。此外,对COVID-19爆发前后的风险偏好因素的敏感性分析进一步支持了这一观点.这些发现为寻求新兴市场和其他市场之间套利的国际投资者提供了宝贵的见解,有效应对全球冲击。
    Global capital markets are sensitive to extreme and physical events. This research explores the influence of COVID-19 on cross-border arbitrage strategies in emerging markets. Specifically, this study develops a novel cross-market pairs trading strategy centered on healthcare stocks, tailored for the unique dynamics of the emerging market environment. The feasibility of cross-border arbitrage strategies in emerging markets is demonstrated by comparing the performance of the strategy before and after the outbreak. Additionally, sensitivity analysis of the risk preference factors before and after the COVID-19 outbreak further supports this argument. These findings offer valuable insights for international investors seeking arbitrage between emerging and other markets and, effectively responding to global shocks.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    尿路上皮癌(UC)是全球第10大最常见的癌症,男性患病率几乎高4倍。高龄是尿路上皮癌发生的主要危险因素,吸烟,砷污染,接触致癌物。转移性尿路上皮癌(mUC)的总体预后较差,5年总体生存率仅<5%。护理标准包括铂类化疗,但反应往往无法持续。成立了一个工作组,目的是讨论有关感兴趣的泌尿生殖系统肿瘤的最新临床数据,该工作组由拉丁美洲的专家组成。新兴亚洲(中国除外,Japan,和韩国),非洲,和中东(被称为新兴市场或新兴市场)。各地区在死亡率和发病率分布不均方面存在明显差异。流行病学数据缺乏和/或不足,治疗,以及EM中的结果。缺乏登记处会影响医疗保健决策,该地区较低的发病率可能无法反映真正的疾病负担。通过了解mUC的当前疾病负担和治疗方法,并确定与管理相关的差距和挑战,可以改善mUC的治疗结果。因此,本文进行了文献综述,总结了mUC跨EM的当前疾病负担和治疗方法.该综述还强调了EM中mUC管理未满足的需求,并提出了改善现状的方法,以更好地为患者服务。
    Urothelial carcinoma (UC) is the 10th most common cancer globally with an almost 4 times higher prevalence in men. The main risk factors for development of urothelial carcinoma are advanced age, smoking, arsenic contamination, exposure to carcinogens. Metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC) has overall poor prognosis with a 5-year overall survival rate of only < 5%. The standard of care comprises of platinum-based chemotherapy, but the responses are often not sustained. A working group was established with an objective to discuss the most recent clinical data on the genitourinary tumors of interest and comprised of experts across Latin America, Emerging Asia (except China, Japan, and South Korea), Africa, and the Middle East (known as Emerging Markets or EM). There is an evident disparity in terms of uneven mortality and incidence rate distribution among various regions. There is a lack and/or insufficient data on epidemiology, treatment, and outcomes in the EM. The lack of registries impacts the healthcare decisions and the lower incidence from the region might not be reflective of the true disease burden. The treatment outcomes of mUC can be improved by understanding the current disease burden and treatment approach of mUC and identifying the gaps and challenges associated with management. Hence, a literature review was developed to summarize the current disease burden and treatment approach of mUC across EM. The review also highlights the unmet needs for mUC management in EM and suggests a way forward to improve the current situation in order to better serve the patients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Drawing on social norm theory, this study delves into the nexus between real earnings manipulation (REM) and Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) disclosure within Egypt\'s emerging capital market. By analyzing data from the S&P/EGX ESG index (2013-2018) through a two-stage regression analysis, we unearth a noteworthy pattern: heightened REM practices correspond with reduced tendencies for ESG sustainability disclosure. Notably, this association is moderated by managerial ownership, which diminishes the negative linkage between REM and ESG transparency. A unique cultural insight emerges, revealing that religiously-aligned firms leverage REM as a risk-mitigation mechanism, leading to curtailed ESG disclosures. Our findings cast a spotlight on a possible managerial tilt towards short-term gains, often overshadowing long-term sustainability imperatives, especially in religiously influenced contexts. As we advance understanding of REM-ESG dynamics in religious emerging markets, our study highlights the pressing need for enhanced sustainability consciousness and accountability in these regions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究采用贝叶斯面板向量自回归模型来检验经济不确定性对公共卫生的影响。使用年度,1995年至2019年的103个新兴市场和发展中国家的国家级面板数据集。全样本的结果表明,经济不确定性加剧对健康的直接影响是微不足道的,然而,它可能导致延长预期寿命和降低死亡率。分析揭示了各种国家分类之间的相当大的异质性。在新兴市场,经济不确定性对健康的增强作用主要是显而易见的,低收入和中上收入国家。此外,自杀率的下降,归因于经济不确定性升级,在中高收入国家中被唯一发现。此外,经济增长和医疗保健支出成为支持总体人口健康的最重要决定因素,特别是在中低收入国家。环境污染对健康的不利影响在新兴市场和中等收入国家更为明显。不包括高收入国家,必须强调金融发展和全球化带来的有益健康结果,以及环境污染的有害影响。最后,概述了与调查结果一致的几个政策含义,为这些不同经济体的决策者提供路线图,以促进更好的健康结果。
    This study employs a Bayesian panel vector autoregressive model to examine the impact of economic uncertainty on public health, using an annual, country-level panel dataset of 103 emerging markets and developing countries spanning the years 1995 through 2019. The results from the full sample suggest that the immediate effects of heightened economic uncertainty on health are marginal, yet it may engender prolonged life expectancy and lowered mortality rates. The analysis unveils considerable heterogeneities among various country classifications. The health-enhancing effects of economic uncertainty are predominantly discernible in emerging markets, low-income and upper-middle-income countries. Additionally, a diminution in suicide rates, attributed to escalated economic uncertainty, is uniquely detected in upper-middle-income countries. Furthermore, economic growth and healthcare expenditure emerge as paramount determinants in bolstering overall population health, particularly in lower-middle-income countries. The detrimental effect of environmental pollution on health is more pronounced in emerging markets and middle-income nations. Excluding high-income countries, it is essential to emphasize the beneficial health outcomes resulting from financial development and globalization, as well as the deleterious effects of environmental pollution. Lastly, several policy implications aligned with the findings are outlined, providing a roadmap for decision-makers in these diverse economies to promote better health outcomes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    竞合被认为是创新的重要策略。然而,文献提供了有限的证据,说明竞合与服务业创新的关系,尤其是在新兴市场。此外,关于竞合的正式和非正式方面对创新的影响以及企业的吸收能力如何影响这种关系,人们知之甚少。在这种背景下,使用尼日利亚官方国家创新调查(2008年和2011年),这项研究通过实证检验421个尼日利亚中小企业的创新努力,为正在进行的辩论做出了贡献。该研究采用逻辑回归方法对样本中的竞合与创新之间的关系进行建模和探索。结果表明,正式的合作竞争阻碍了创新,而非正式的合作竞争支持创新,吸收能力调节了这些关系。这项研究提供了有关新兴市场竞合概念的重要见解,特别是相对于他们的制度特质。最后,这项研究强调了其含义,并为未来的研究提出了一些途径。
    Coopetition is considered an important strategy for innovation. However, the literature provides limited evidence on how coopetition relates to innovation in service sector, particularly in emerging markets. Moreover, little is known about the effects of the formal and informal aspects of coopetition on innovation and how absorptive capacity of firm may influence this relationship. Against this background, using the official national innovation surveys of Nigeria (2008 and 2011), this study contributes to the ongoing debate by empirically examining the innovation endeavors of 421 Nigerian SMEs. The study employs logistic regression methods to model and explore the relationships between coopetition and innovation in the sample. The results show that that formal coopetition hinders innovation while informal coopetition supports it and absorptive capacity moderates these relationships. The study provides important insights about the concept of coopetition in emerging markets, especially vis-à-vis their institutional idiosyncrasies. Finally, the study highlights its implications and suggests some avenues for future research.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究旨在报告来自拉丁美洲27个国家的24,937个最新(2019-2021)肠杆菌临床分离株的参考方法抗菌药物敏感性结果,欧亚大陆,非洲/中东,和亚洲,重点是针对金属β-内酰胺酶(MBL)分离株的研究中氨曲南-阿维巴坦组合。通过CLSI肉汤微量稀释方法进行抗菌素敏感性测试。使用CLSI(2022)断点解释所有药物的最小抑制浓度(MIC),除了氨曲南-阿维巴坦(临时药代动力学/药效学敏感断点,≤8mg/L)和替加环素(US-FDA)。对美罗培南MIC≥2mg/L的分离株进行β-内酰胺酶基因的分子检测,头孢他啶-阿维巴坦MIC≥16mg/L,和/或氨曲南-阿维巴坦MIC≥16mg/L,和50%的大肠杆菌分离株,肺炎克雷伯菌,氧化克雷伯菌,Variicola克雷伯菌,头孢他啶和/或氨曲南MIC≥2mg/L的奇异变形杆菌测试氨曲南-阿维巴坦在≤8mg/L(MIC90,0.25mg/L)时抑制了99.8%的所有肠杆菌,并保持了针对多药耐药(MDR)表型耐药亚群的活性(99.5%敏感),广泛耐药(XDR)(98.7%),耐碳青霉烯类肠杆菌(CRE)(99.1%)。≤8mg/L时,氨曲南-阿维巴坦抑制100%,99.6%,99.6%,KPC的98.8%-,OXA-48-like-,ESBL-,和携带MBL的分离株,分别。MBL阳性分离株在印度最普遍(20.5%),危地马拉(13.8%),和约旦(13.2%)。在评估的全球区域中未观察到氨曲南-阿维巴坦的活性差异。在≤8mg/L的浓度下,氨曲南-阿维巴坦抑制了从发展中国家收集的几乎所有肠杆菌,包括产生MBL的分离株。MBL在肠杆菌中的广泛传播凸显了对诸如氨曲南-阿维巴坦之类的新药用于治疗CRE感染的需求尚未满足。
    This study aimed to report reference method antimicrobial susceptibility results for 24,937 recent (2019-2021) clinical isolates of Enterobacterales from 27 countries in Latin America, Eurasia, Africa/Middle East, and Asia with a focus on the investigational combination aztreonam-avibactam against metallo-β-lactamase (MBL) isolates. Antimicrobial susceptibility testing was performed by the CLSI broth microdilution methodology. Minimum inhibitory concentrations (MICs) were interpreted using the CLSI (2022) breakpoints for all agents except aztreonam-avibactam (provisional pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic susceptible breakpoint, ≤ 8 mg/L) and tigecycline (US-FDA). Molecular testing for β-lactamase genes was performed on isolates with meropenem MICs ≥ 2 mg/L, ceftazidime-avibactam MICs ≥ 16 mg/L, and/or aztreonam-avibactam MICs ≥ 16 mg/L, and 50% of isolates of Escherichia coli, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Klebsiella oxytoca, Klebsiella variicola, and Proteus mirabilis testing with ceftazidime and/or aztreonam MICs ≥ 2 mg/L. Aztreonam-avibactam inhibited 99.8% of all Enterobacterales at ≤ 8 mg/L (MIC90, 0.25 mg/L) and maintained activity against phenotypically resistant subsets of multidrug-resistant (MDR) (99.5% susceptible), extensively drug-resistant (XDR) (98.7%), and carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales (CRE) (99.1%) isolates. At ≤ 8 mg/L, aztreonam-avibactam inhibited 100%, 99.6%, 99.6%, and 98.8% of KPC-, OXA-48-like-, ESBL-, and MBL-carrying isolates, respectively. MBL-positive isolates were most prevalent in India (20.5%), Guatemala (13.8%), and Jordan (13.2%). No differences in the activity of aztreonam-avibactam were observed across the global regions evaluated. At a concentration of ≤ 8 mg/L, aztreonam-avibactam inhibited almost all Enterobacterales collected from developing countries, including MBL-producing isolates. The widespread dissemination of MBLs among Enterobacterales highlights the unmet need for new agents such as aztreonam-avibactam for the treatment of CRE infections.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究通过内部控制有效性的中介作用和组织正念在内部控制结构与内部控制有效性关系中的调节作用,建立并检验了内部控制结构对组织伦理行为有效性的调节中介模型。使用SmartPLS3中的偏最小二乘结构方程模型(PLS-SEM)使用540家越南大型制造和服务公司的调查数据对所提出的模型及其假设进行了测试。本研究发现:(1)内部控制结构正向影响内部控制有效性,进而促进组织行为的伦理化;(2)通过加强组织正念,内部控制结构对内部控制有效性的影响被放大。研究结果表明,将内部控制系统和组织正念相结合有助于新兴市场中公司的道德商业行为。我们的研究通过提供关于组织正念和内部控制系统之间的相互作用如何促进道德商业行为的经验证据,弥合了内部控制和正念文献中的差距。此外,我们的研究推进了当前对内部控制系统如何与组织正念相互作用的理解,以影响新兴市场背景下的道德商业实践。
    This study develops and tests a moderated mediation model regarding the effectiveness of internal control structure on organizational ethical behaviors via the mediating role of internal control effectiveness and the moderating role of organizational mindfulness in the relationship between internal control structure and internal control effectiveness. The proposed model and its hypotheses were tested using partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) in SmartPLS3 with survey data from 540 large Vietnamese manufacturing and service firms. This study found the following: (1) The internal control structure positively affects internal control effectiveness, which in turn promotes ethical organizational behaviors; and (2) The effect of internal control structure on internal control effectiveness is amplified by strengthening organizational mindfulness. The findings demonstrate that combining internal control systems and organizational mindfulness contributes to the ethical business practices of firms in an emerging market. Our study bridges the gap in the literature on internal control and mindfulness by providing empirical evidence on how the interaction between organizational mindfulness and internal control systems can promote ethical business practices. Additionally, our study advances the current understanding of how internal control systems can interact with organizational mindfulness to influence ethical business practices in the context of an emerging market.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:加速的全球化,尤其是在1980年代后期,为新兴经济体世界的经济发展提供了机会。金砖国家的经济由于其扩张速度和庞大的规模而与其他新兴经济体不同。由于他们的经济繁荣,金砖国家的医疗支出一直在增加。然而,由于公共卫生支出低,在这些国家,卫生安全仍然是一个遥远的梦想,缺乏预付医疗保险,和沉重的自付支出。有必要改变卫生支出构成,以应对回归卫生支出的挑战,并确保公平获得全面的医疗保健服务。
    目的:本研究考察了2000年至2019年金砖国家的卫生支出趋势,并对公众进行了重点预测,预付,和2035年的自付支出。
    方法:2000-2019年卫生支出数据取自OECDiLibrary数据库。采用R软件中的指数平滑模型(ets())进行预测。
    结果:除了印度和巴西,所有金砖国家都显示出人均PPP卫生支出的长期增长。在可持续发展目标年完成后,预计只有印度的卫生支出占GDP的比例会下降。到2035年,中国的人均支出增长最快,而俄罗斯预计将达到最高的绝对值。
    结论:金砖国家有潜力成为卫生等各种社会政策的重要领导者。每个金砖国家都对健康权作出了国家承诺,并正在进行卫生系统改革,以实现全民健康覆盖(UHC)。这些新兴市场大国对未来卫生支出的估计应有助于决策者决定如何分配资源以实现这一目标。
    Accelerated globalization especially in the late 1980s has provided opportunities for economic progress in the world of emerging economies. The BRICS nations\' economies are distinguishable from other emerging economies due to their rate of expansion and sheer size. As a result of their economic prosperity, health spending in the BRICS countries has been increasing. However, health security is still a distant dream in these countries due to low public health spending, lack of pre-paid health coverage, and heavy out-of-pocket spending. There is a need for changing the health expenditure composition to address the challenge of regressive health spending and ensure equitable access to comprehensive healthcare services.
    Present study examined the health expenditure trend among the BRICS from 2000 to 2019 and made predictions with an emphasis on public, pre-paid, and out-of-pocket expenditures for 2035.
    Health expenditure data for 2000-2019 were taken from the OECD iLibrary database. The exponential smoothing model in R software (ets ()) was used for forecasting.
    Except for India and Brazil, all of the BRICS countries show a long-term increase in per capita PPP health expenditure. Only India\'s health expenditure is expected to decrease as a share of GDP after the completion of the SDG years. China accounts for the steepest rise in per capita expenditure until 2035, while Russia is expected to achieve the highest absolute values.
    The BRICS countries have the potential to be important leaders in a variety of social policies such as health. Each BRICS country has set a national pledge to the right to health and is working on health system reforms to achieve universal health coverage (UHC). The estimations of future health expenditures by these emerging market powers should help policymakers decide how to allocate resources to achieve this goal.
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