Cyclonic Storms

旋风风暴
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:创伤后应激障碍(PTSD)影响全球数百万人。虽然直接暴露于创伤事件和创伤后应激障碍之间的关系是公认的,间接创伤暴露对PTSD的影响尚不清楚.同样,尚不清楚直接和间接创伤的累积暴露在PTSD风险中起什么作用。
    方法:该研究使用休斯顿创伤和恢复研究的数据,在2020-2021年进行,并在2017年哈维飓风期间对居住在休斯顿的1,167个人进行了随机抽样。参与者被问及他们与哈维飓风和随后的COVID-19大流行有关的经历。暴露被归类为直接或间接创伤,符合《精神疾病诊断和统计手册》(DSM-5)第五版中规定的标准。还计算了累积暴露量。
    结果:在参与者中,12.6%的人正在经历当前的PTSD。与Harvey相关的直接[OR=3.18,95%CI1.85,5.46]和间接[OR=1.91,95%CI1.05,3.46]之间存在显着关联。以及完全调整模型中COVID和PTSD风险导致的直接[OR=2.13,95%CI1.20,3.77]和间接[OR=1.69,95%CI0.93,3.09]创伤。Further,发现飓风哈维和COVID-19的累积创伤暴露与创伤后应激障碍的风险之间存在显著关联,考虑直接[OR=2.53,95%CI1.36,4.70]和间接暴露[OR=2.79,95%CI1.47,5.28]。
    结论:我们的研究为暴露于大规模灾难和创伤后应激障碍的直接和间接创伤之间的联系提供了支持。此外,我们表明,累积暴露于多个大规模事件会增加PTSD的风险.这凸显了将一系列暴露作为创伤后应激障碍风险的重要性,特别是在灾难和广泛的人口暴露于这些事件的时代。
    OBJECTIVE: Posttraumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) affects millions of people worldwide. While the relationship between direct exposure to traumatic events and PTSD is well-established, the influence of indirect trauma exposure on PTSD remains unclear. It is similarly unclear what role cumulative exposure to direct and indirect traumas play in the risk of PTSD.
    METHODS: The study uses data from the Houston Trauma and Recovery Study, conducted on 2020-2021, and involved a random sampling of 1,167 individuals residing in Houston during Hurricane Harvey in 2017. Participants were asked about their experiences related to both Hurricane Harvey and the subsequent COVID-19 pandemic. Exposures were categorized as direct or indirect traumas, in line with the criteria delineated in the fifth edition of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM-5). Cumulative exposures were also calculated.
    RESULTS: Among participants, 12.6% were experiencing current PTSD. There were significant associations between both direct [OR = 3.18, 95% CI 1.85, 5.46] and indirect [OR = 1.91, 95% CI 1.05, 3.46] traumas related to Harvey, as well as direct [OR = 2.13, 95% CI 1.20, 3.77] and indirect [OR = 1.69, 95% CI 0.93, 3.09] traumas due to COVID and the risk of PTSD in fully adjusted models. Further, significant associations were found between the cumulative exposure to traumas from both Hurricane Harvey and COVID-19 and the risk of PTSD, considering both direct [OR = 2.53, 95% CI 1.36, 4.70] and indirect exposures [OR = 2.79, 95% CI 1.47, 5.28].
    CONCLUSIONS: Our study offers support for connections between exposure to both direct and indirect traumas stemming from large-scale disasters and PTSD. Moreover, we show that cumulative exposures to multiple large-scale events increase the risk of PTSD. This highlights the importance of the consideration of a range of exposures as risks for PTSD, particularly in a time of compounding disasters and broad population exposures to these events.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于气候变化,极端天气事件变得越来越严重,增加了从不成比例地位于低收入有色人种社区的危险场所释放污染物的风险。我们评估了飓风丽塔期间的污染物释放,艾克,和德克萨斯州的Harvey,并使用回归模型来估计邻里种族/族裔组成与住宅邻近度与飓风相关污染物释放之间的关联。飓风期间报告的过量释放是一切照旧期间的两到三倍。石化制造和炼油厂是大多数空气排放事件的原因。多变量模型揭示了释放可能性的社会人口统计学差异;与未释放的受管制设施附近的社区相比,在Rita和Ike飓风期间,西班牙裔居民增加1%与顺风和2公里内空气排放事件的可能性增加5%和10%相关(赔率比和95%可信区间=1.05[1.00,1.13],组合模型)和哈维(1.10[1.00,1.23]),分别。较高的租房者百分比(1.07[1.03,1.11],丽塔和艾克模型相结合)和贫困率(1.06[1.01,1.12],哈维模型)与释放到陆地或水中的可能性更高相关,而黑人居民的百分比(0.94[0.89,1.00],哈维模型)与略低的可能性相关。人口密度一直与污染物释放到空气中的可能性降低有关,土地,或者水。我们的研究结果强调了自然技术灾难带来的风险中的社会不平等,这些风险不成比例地影响了西班牙裔,承租人,低收入,和农村人口。
    Extreme weather events are becoming more severe due to climate change, increasing the risk of contaminant releases from hazardous sites disproportionately located in low-income communities of color. We evaluated contaminant releases during Hurricanes Rita, Ike, and Harvey in Texas and used regression models to estimate associations between neighborhood racial/ethnic composition and residential proximity to hurricane-related contaminant releases. Two-to-three times as many excess releases were reported during hurricanes compared to business-as-usual periods. Petrochemical manufacturing and refineries were responsible for most air emissions events. Multivariable models revealed sociodemographic disparities in likelihood of releases; compared to neighborhoods near regulated facilities without a release, a one-percent increase in Hispanic residents was associated with a 5 and 10% increase in the likelihood of an air emissions event downwind and within 2 km during Hurricanes Rita and Ike (odds ratio and 95% credible interval= 1.05 [1.00, 1.13], combined model) and Harvey (1.10 [1.00, 1.23]), respectively. Higher percentages of renters (1.07 [1.03, 1.11], combined Rita and Ike model) and rates of poverty (1.06 [1.01, 1.12], Harvey model) were associated with a higher likelihood of a release to land or water, while the percentage of Black residents (0.94 [0.89, 1.00], Harvey model) was associated with a slightly lower likelihood. Population density was consistently associated with a decreased likelihood of a contaminant release to air, land, or water. Our findings highlight social inequalities in the risks posed by natural-technological disasters that disproportionately impact Hispanic, renter, low-income, and rural populations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    整个社区经历的灾难提供了机会,了解随着时间的推移,不良健康结果风险的个体差异。DNA甲基化(DNAm)差异可能有助于区分大规模灾难后风险增加的个体。
    研究女性表观遗传年龄加速与可能的创伤后应激障碍(PTSD)和PTSD症状严重程度的关系。
    这项前瞻性队列研究检查了妇女及其子女健康队列参与者的数据,在2010年深水地平线漏油事件(DHOS)以及美国墨西哥湾沿岸地区的众多飓风之后,他们的特征是纵向。第1波发生在2012年8月6日至2014年6月26日,第2波发生在2014年9月2日至2016年5月27日。数据在2023年8月18日至11月4日之间进行了分析。基于地址的抽样用于招募18至80岁的女性,居住在DHOS受影响地区周围的7个路易斯安那州教区中的1个。招募包括2个阶段的抽样,该抽样(1)对另外2个城市教区进行了欠抽样,以最大程度地提高参与者石油暴露的可能性,以及(2)在距泄漏最近的其他5个教区的人口普查范围内按比例招募了参与者。
    DHOS后的创伤后应激。
    通过从调查波1血样中测定的DNAm测量表观遗传年龄加速。在第2波调查中,使用DSM-5的PTSD清单评估创伤后应激障碍,并使用DSM-5的生活事件清单评估终生创伤暴露。一般线性模型用于检查第1波DNAm年龄和第2波可能的PTSD诊断与症状严重程度之间的关联。
    共有864名女性(平均[SD]年龄,47.1[12.0]年;328黑色[38.0%],19美洲印第安人[2.2%],486白色[56.3%],和其他30个种族群体,包括已知或未报告的[3.5%])。与白人参与者相比,黑人和美洲印第安人参与者在第1波的年龄加速度更高(β=1.64[95%CI,1.02-2.45]和2.34[95%CI,0.33-4.34],分别),并且他们在第2波时有更高的PTSD症状严重程度(β=7.10[95%CI,4.62-9.58]和13.08[95%CI,4.97-21.18],分别)。第1波时的表观遗传年龄加速与第2波时的PTSD症状严重程度相关,吸烟,身体质量指数,和家庭收入(β=0.38;95%CI,0.11-0.65)。
    在这项队列研究中,在少数族裔群体中,表观遗传年龄加速度更高,并且与未来的PTSD诊断和严重程度相关。这些发现支持对创伤反应进行心理教育的必要性,以增加在出现多年的痛苦和症状和合并症之前寻求治疗的可能性。
    UNASSIGNED: Disasters experienced by an entire community provide opportunities to understand individual differences in risk for adverse health outcomes over time. DNA methylation (DNAm) differences may help to distinguish individuals at increased risk following large-scale disasters.
    UNASSIGNED: To examine the association of epigenetic age acceleration with probable posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and PTSD symptom severity in women.
    UNASSIGNED: This prospective cohort study examined data from participants in the Women and Their Children\'s Health cohort, who were characterized longitudinally following the Deepwater Horizon oil spill (DHOS) in 2010 and through numerous hurricanes in the Gulf Coast region of the US. Wave 1 occurred August 6, 2012, through June 26, 2014, and wave 2 occurred September 2, 2014, through May 27, 2016. Data were analyzed between August 18 and November 4, 2023. Address-based sampling was used to recruit women aged 18 to 80 years and residing in 1 of the 7 Louisiana parishes surrounding the DHOS-affected region. Recruitment consisted of 2-stage sampling that (1) undersampled the 2 more urban parishes to maximize probability of participant oil exposure and (2) proportionally recruited participants across census tracts in the 5 other parishes closest to the spill.
    UNASSIGNED: Posttraumatic stress subsequent to the DHOS.
    UNASSIGNED: Epigenetic age acceleration was measured by DNAm assayed from survey wave 1 blood samples. Posttraumatic stress disorder was assessed using the PTSD Checklist for DSM-5 at survey wave 2, and lifetime trauma exposure was assessed using the Life Events Checklist for DSM-5. General linear models were used to examine the association between wave 1 DNAm age and wave 2 probable PTSD diagnosis and symptom severity.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 864 women (mean [SD] age, 47.1 [12.0] years; 328 Black [38.0%], 19 American Indian [2.2%], 486 White [56.3%], and 30 of other racial groups, including uknown or unreported [3.5%]) were included. Black and American Indian participants had a higher age acceleration at wave 1 compared with White participants (β = 1.64 [95% CI, 1.02-2.45] and 2.34 [95% CI, 0.33-4.34], respectively), and they had higher PTSD symptom severity at wave 2 (β = 7.10 [95% CI, 4.62-9.58] and 13.08 [95% CI, 4.97-21.18], respectively). Epigenetic age acceleration at wave 1 was associated with PTSD symptom severity at wave 2 after adjusting for race, smoking, body mass index, and household income (β = 0.38; 95% CI, 0.11-0.65).
    UNASSIGNED: In this cohort study, epigenetic age acceleration was higher in minoritized racial groups and associated with future PTSD diagnosis and severity. These findings support the need for psychoeducation about traumatic responses to increase the likelihood that treatment is sought before years of distress and entrenchment of symptoms and comorbidities occur.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    旋风对沿海地区构成重大威胁,引发广泛的生态和水文变化。这项研究提出了对Biparjoy气旋的影响评估,它起源于阿拉伯海,于2023年6月16日登陆印度古吉拉特邦海岸。该研究包括古吉拉特邦Kachchh和DevbhoomiDwarka地区的洪水划定和植被影响评估,印度。Sentinel-1A(VV极化)图像用于精确绘制由旋风Biparjoy引起的淹没程度。Kachchh和DevbhoomiDwarka的总淹没面积分别为6556.73km2和104.49km2。发现Kachchh受影响最大的LULC类别是裸露的地面(38.95%)和牧场(38.94%),这是东北兰恩地区的主要部分。在Dwarka,大多数内涝发生在农田(33.04%)。使用ROC曲线验证前图像和后图像的水和非水像素的分类。图像分类前后的准确率分别为93.2%和89.5%,分别。此外,研究了植被影响,以估计旋风的生态后果。通过计算气旋前和气旋后Landsat-8OLI图像的归一化植被指数(NDVI)和增强植被指数(EVI)来估计植被密度和整体健康的变化。对KoriCreek的红树林进一步评估了旋风引起的破坏。这项工作有助于了解此类极端天气事件的生态影响。
    Cyclones pose significant threats to coastal regions, triggering widespread ecological and hydrological changes. This study presents an impact assessment of cyclone Biparjoy, which originated in the Arabian Sea and made landfall on the Gujarat coast of India on June 16, 2023. The research encompasses flood delineation and vegetation impact assessment in the Kachchh and Devbhoomi Dwarka districts of Gujarat, India. Sentinel-1A (VV polarized) imagery is used to precisely map the extent of inundation caused by cyclone Biparjoy. The total flooded area for Kachchh and Devbhoomi Dwarka was calculated to be 6556.73 km2 and 104.49 km2, respectively. The most affected LULC class in Kachchh is found to be bare ground (38.95%) and rangeland (38.94%) which is the major part of the Northeastern Rann region. In Dwarka, most waterlogging has been seen in the cropland (33.04%). The classification of the water and non-water pixels for the pre- and post-images is validated using the ROC curve. The accuracy was 93.2% and 89.5% for pre- and post-images classifications, respectively. Furthermore, vegetation impact was investigated to estimate the cyclone\'s ecological consequences. Alterations in vegetation density and overall health were estimated by calculating Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) from both pre- and post-cyclone Landsat-8 OLI images. The cyclone-induced damage is further assessed for the mangrove trees in Kori Creek. This work contributes to understanding the ecological repercussions of such extreme weather events.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在夏末和秋天,强烈的热带气旋的通过会极大地扰乱海洋和沿海生态系统。对个人和海洋社区的直接负面影响可能是巨大的,尤其是在沿海地区,1,2,3,4但旋风也可以增强中上层的初级和次级生产。5,6,7,8,9然而,旋风对公海海洋生物的影响仍然知之甚少。这里,我们研究了它们对广泛的高级捕食者觅食运动的影响,海燕(Pterodromadeserta),在中纬度北大西洋飓风季节。与先前在热带和中纬度地区研究的中上层海鸟相反,10,11Desertas海燕没有通过改变航向来避免旋风,他们也没有在旋风眼中寻求更平静的条件。大约有三分之一的海燕从它们的繁殖群体中追踪到,它们与接近的旋风相互作用。遇到强风,鸟类降低了地面速度,可能是在飞行中花费更少的时间。四分之一的鸟类跟随飓风醒来数天,超过数千公里,第一次记录在这里的行为。在这些唤醒中,顺风支撑高于替代路线。此外,在中尺度(小时周和数百公里),海面温度下降,地表叶绿素急剧增加,表明对海洋分层的直接影响,初级生产,因此,大概是猎物的丰度和表面摄食海燕的可及性。因此,我们假设旋风尾流提供了可预测的有利风况和觅食机会。因此,气旋可能对许多中纬度中上层海鸟的人口统计产生积极的净影响,很可能,其他海洋顶级捕食者。
    In late summer and autumn, the passage of intense tropical cyclones can profoundly perturb oceanic and coastal ecosystems. Direct negative effects on individuals and marine communities can be dramatic, especially in the coastal zone,1,2,3,4 but cyclones can also enhance pelagic primary and secondary production.5,6,7,8,9 However, cyclone impacts on open ocean marine life remain poorly understood. Here, we investigate their effects on the foraging movements of a wide-ranging higher predator, the Desertas petrel (Pterodroma deserta), in the mid-latitude North Atlantic during hurricane season. Contrary to previously studied pelagic seabirds in tropical and mid-latitude regions,10,11 Desertas petrels did not avoid cyclones by altering course, nor did they seek calmer conditions within the cyclone eye. Approximately one-third of petrels tracked from their breeding colony interacted with approaching cyclones. Upon encountering strong winds, the birds reduced ground speed, likely by spending less time in flight. A quarter of birds followed cyclone wakes for days and over thousands of kilometers, a behavior documented here for the first time. Within these wakes, tailwind support was higher than along alternative routes. Furthermore, at the mesoscale (hours-weeks and hundreds of kilometers), sea surface temperature dropped and surface chlorophyll sharply increased, suggesting direct effects on ocean stratification, primary production, and therefore presumably prey abundance and accessibility for surface-feeding petrels. We therefore hypothesize that cyclone wakes provide both predictably favorable wind conditions and foraging opportunities. As such, cyclones may have positive net effects on the demography of many mid-latitude pelagic seabirds and, likely, other marine top-predators.
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  • 文章类型: News
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    灾害对心理健康的影响是巨大的,30-40%的直接灾难受害者发展为创伤后应激障碍(PTSD)。目前尚不清楚为什么有些人很好地应对与灾难有关的创伤,而另一些人则经历慢性功能障碍。先前关于非灾难创伤的研究表明,个人在生命过程中早期的创伤经历史,在灾难发生之前,可能是解释对灾难的心理反应变化的关键因素。这项研究评估了飓风过后12年的卡特里娜飓风幸存者样本中,灾前创伤预测PTSD轨迹的程度。使用潜在类别生长分析确定了四种PTSD轨迹:抗性(49.0%),回收率(29.3%),延迟发作(8.0%),和慢性高(13.7%)。在调整协变量后,卡特里娜飓风前的创伤只有很小的,对长期概率的积极影响,慢性Katrina特异性PTSD,对抗性和延迟开始轨迹的概率影响很小。较高的卡特里娜飓风前的创伤暴露适度降低了处于恢复轨迹的可能性,其中卡特里娜特定的PTSD症状最初很高,然后随着时间的推移而下降。当协变量一次添加到模型中时,卡特里娜飓风前期创伤与慢性高度创伤后应激障碍之间的关联因添加卡特里娜飓风相关创伤而减弱最多.我们的研究结果表明,虽然灾难前的创伤暴露对慢性卡特里娜特定的PTSD没有强烈的直接影响,卡特里娜飓风前的创伤可能会通过其他影响卡特里娜飓风相关PTSD的因素影响PTSD,例如通过增加卡特里娜飓风相关创伤的严重程度。这些发现对于制定备灾策略以减轻与灾难有关的PTSD的长期负担具有重要意义。
    The mental health impact of disasters is substantial, with 30-40% of direct disaster victims developing post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD). It is not yet clear why some people cope well with disaster-related trauma while others experience chronic dysfunction. Prior research on non-disaster trauma suggests that an individual\'s history of traumatic experiences earlier in the life course, prior to the disaster, may be a key factor in explaining variability in psychological responses to disasters. This study evaluated the extent to which pre-disaster trauma predicts PTSD trajectories in a sample of Hurricane Katrina survivors followed for 12 years after the storm. Four PTSD trajectories were identified using latent class growth analysis: Resistant (49.0%), Recovery (29.3%), Delayed-Onset (8.0%), and Chronic-High (13.7%). After adjusting for covariates, pre-Katrina trauma had only a small, positive impact on the probability of long-term, chronic Katrina-specific PTSD, and little effect on the probability of the Resistant and Delayed-Onset trajectories. Higher pre-Katrina trauma exposure moderately decreased the probability of being in the Recovery trajectory, in which Katrina-specific PTSD symptoms are initially high before declining over time. When covariates were added to the model one at a time, the association between pre-Katrina trauma and Chronic-High PTSD was attenuated most by the addition of Katrina-related trauma. Our findings suggest that while pre-disaster trauma exposure does not have a strong direct effect on chronic Katrina-specific PTSD, pre-Katrina trauma may impact PTSD through other factors that affect Katrina-related PTSD, such as by increasing the severity of Katrina-related trauma. These findings have important implications for the development of disaster preparedness strategies to diminish the long-term burden of disaster-related PTSD.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    气候变化对珊瑚礁构成了生存威胁。温暖和酸性更强的海洋削弱了珊瑚生态系统,并增加了飓风的强度。飓风期间的风浪流相互作用极大地改变了海洋环流模式,因此有可能影响珊瑚幼虫和珊瑚疾病病原体的扩散。这里,我们模拟了飓风Irma(2017年9月)对佛罗里达珊瑚礁的珊瑚幼虫和石质珊瑚组织损失病(SCTLD)连通性的影响。我们将高分辨率的沿海海洋环流和波浪模型相结合,以模拟虚拟珊瑚幼虫和疾病病原体在数千个珊瑚礁之间的扩散。虽然是一个简短的事件,我们的结果表明,飓风Irma的通过大大增加了长途交换的可能性,同时减少了幼虫的供应。它创造了新的联系,可以促进珊瑚的复原力,但也可能加速SCTLD的传播大约一个月。随着它们变得越来越强烈,飓风的双刃效应将越来越明显,有助于增加运输模式的可变性和加速珊瑚礁生态系统内的变化速度。
    Climate change poses an existential threat to coral reefs. A warmer and more acidic ocean weakens coral ecosystems and increases the intensity of hurricanes. The wind-wave-current interactions during a hurricane deeply change the ocean circulation patterns and hence potentially affect the dispersal of coral larvae and coral disease agents. Here, we modeled the impact of major hurricane Irma (September 2017) on coral larval and stony coral tissue loss disease (SCTLD) connectivity in Florida\'s Coral Reef. We coupled high-resolution coastal ocean circulation and wave models to simulate the dispersal of virtual coral larvae and disease agents between thousands of reefs. While being a brief event, our results suggest the passage of hurricane Irma strongly increased the probability of long-distance exchanges while reducing larval supply. It created new connections that could promote coral resilience but also probably accelerated the spread of SCTLD by about a month. As they become more intense, hurricanes\' double-edged effect will become increasingly pronounced, contributing to increased variability in transport patterns and an accelerated rate of change within coral reef ecosystems.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    极端天气事件从根本上改变了生态系统。当生态破坏持续存在时,对个人的选择性压力可以改变,导致表型调整。对于群居动物来说,社会关系可能是一种能够适应生态系统干扰的机制。然而,这些事件是否改变了社会性的选择,以及群体生活的动物是否可以,因此,适应性改变他们的社会关系仍未得到检验。我们利用了在4级飓风导致持续森林砍伐之前和之后收集的恒河猴10年的数据,加剧猴子暴露于高温。作为回应,猕猴表现出持续增加的耐受性和减少对其他猴子的攻击性,促进进入对体温调节至关重要的稀缺阴影。社会宽容预测飓风过后个体的生存,但在此之前,揭示了社会性适应功能的转变。
    Extreme weather events radically alter ecosystems. When ecological damage persists, selective pressures on individuals can change, leading to phenotypic adjustments. For group-living animals, social relationships may be a mechanism enabling adaptation to ecosystem disturbance. Yet whether such events alter selection on sociality and whether group-living animals can, as a result, adaptively change their social relationships remain untested. We leveraged 10 years of data collected on rhesus macaques before and after a category 4 hurricane caused persistent deforestation, exacerbating monkeys\' exposure to intense heat. In response, macaques demonstrated persistently increased tolerance and decreased aggression toward other monkeys, facilitating access to scarce shade critical for thermoregulation. Social tolerance predicted individual survival after the hurricane, but not before it, revealing a shift in the adaptive function of sociality.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    生物多样性危机的一个经常被忽视的问题是自然灾害如何导致物种灭绝风险。为了解决这个问题,我们探索了四种自然灾害,地震,飓风,海啸,还有火山,与两栖动物的分布范围重叠,鸟,哺乳动物,和爬行动物分布狭窄或种群很少成熟个体。为了评估哪些物种面临这些自然灾害的风险,我们结合了每种自然灾害的频率和程度来估计它们的影响。我们认为,如果物种与历史上发生过四种自然灾害中的任何一种的地区(n=3,722)重叠,则它们处于危险之中。那些至少四分之一的物种受到相对较高的影响,被认为由于自然灾害而面临灭绝的高风险(n=2,001)。总的来说,834只爬行动物,617个两栖动物,302只鸟248种哺乳动物处于高风险状态,它们主要分布在岛屿和热带地区。飓风(n=983)和地震(n=868)影响了大多数物种,而海啸(n=272),火山(n=171)的影响要小得多。高风险物种数量最多的地区是太平洋火环,尤其是由于火山,地震,和海啸,与飓风有关的高危物种集中在加勒比海,墨西哥湾,和西北太平洋。我们的研究提供了有关因自然灾害而处于危险中的物种的重要信息,并可以帮助指导保护关注和保护其生存的努力。
    An often-overlooked question of the biodiversity crisis is how natural hazards contribute to species extinction risk. To address this issue, we explored how four natural hazards, earthquakes, hurricanes, tsunamis, and volcanoes, overlapped with the distribution ranges of amphibians, birds, mammals, and reptiles that have either narrow distributions or populations with few mature individuals. To assess which species are at risk from these natural hazards, we combined the frequency and magnitude of each natural hazard to estimate their impact. We considered species at risk if they overlapped with regions where any of the four natural hazards historically occurred (n = 3,722). Those species with at least a quarter of their range subjected to a high relative impact were considered at high risk (n = 2,001) of extinction due to natural hazards. In total, 834 reptiles, 617 amphibians, 302 birds, and 248 mammals were at high risk and they were mainly distributed on islands and in the tropics. Hurricanes (n = 983) and earthquakes (n = 868) affected most species, while tsunamis (n = 272), and volcanoes (n = 171) affected considerably fewer. The region with the highest number of species at high risk was the Pacific Ring of Fire, especially due to volcanoes, earthquakes, and tsunamis, while hurricane-related high-risk species were concentrated in the Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico, and northwestern Pacific Ocean. Our study provides important information regarding the species at risk due to natural hazards and can help guide conservation attention and efforts to safeguard their survival.
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