Cumulative risk

累积风险
  • 文章类型: Systematic Review
    BACKGROUND: Lynch syndrome (LS) is the most frequent hereditary tumor syndrome and is associated with an increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). While gene-specific and age-specific differences are considered in patient surveillance, gender-specific risks in the development of CRC have been reported in many studies but are not consistently documented.
    OBJECTIVE: This systematic review aims to investigate gender-specific differences in CRC development among LS patients.
    METHODS: A systematic literature search following PRISMA 2020 guidelines was conducted in the PubMed, Ovid, The Cochrane Library and Web of Science databases. A total of 688 studies were screened, and 41 met the inclusion criteria.
    RESULTS: Men have a higher risk of CRC and develop CRC earlier compared to women.
    CONCLUSIONS: These findings indicate gender-specific differences in the risk of CRC among LS patients, although they do not currently justify separate surveillance strategies.
    UNASSIGNED: HINTERGRUND: Das Lynch-Syndrom (LS) ist das häufigste erbliche Tumorsyndrom und mit einem erhöhten Risiko für kolorektale Karzinome (KRK) verbunden. Gen- und altersspezifische Unterschiede werden bei der Überwachung berücksichtigt, während geschlechtsspezifische Risiken in der Entwicklung eines KRK in vielen Studien berichtet, aber nicht einheitlich dokumentiert sind.
    UNASSIGNED: Ziel dieser systematischen Übersichtsarbeit ist es, geschlechtsspezifische Unterschiede in der Entwicklung eines KRK bei LS-Betroffenen zu untersuchen.
    METHODS: Eine systematische Literatursuche nach PRISMA 2020 wurde in den Datenbanken PubMed, Ovid, The Cochrane Library und Web of Science durchgeführt. 688 Studien wurden gesichtet, 41 erfüllten die Einschlusskriterien.
    UNASSIGNED: Männer mit einem LS-Syndrom haben ein höheres Risiko für ein KRK und erkranken früher an einem KRK als Frauen.
    UNASSIGNED: Die Ergebnisse weisen auf geschlechtsspezifische Unterschiede beim KRK-Risiko bei LS-Betroffenen hin, aus denen sich aber derzeit keine gesonderten Überwachungsstrategien ableiten lassen.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    保护与共同发生的压力源竞争的人群需要更好地了解多种早期生活压力源如何影响自然系统的适应性。然而,这种研究的复杂性限制了它的发展,并阻止我们回答新的问题。在人类研究中,累积风险模型基于早期逆境暴露预测成人健康风险。我们在野生黄腹土拨鼠(Marmotaflaviventer)中应用了类似的框架。我们测试了不同逆境类型和时间窗口的累积逆境指数(CAI)。所有CAI都与幼崽存活率降低相关,并得到了很好的支持。中度和急性,但不是标准化的CAI与寿命缩短有关,支持累积压力假说和早期逆境的耐力。多变量模型显示,寿命的差异是由断奶日期驱动的,降水,和产妇的损失,但与CAI模型相比,它们表现不佳。我们强调发展,实用程序,以及对生态和保护的CAI方法的见解。
    Protecting populations contending with co-occurring stressors requires a better understanding of how multiple early-life stressors affect the fitness of natural systems. However, the complexity of such research has limited its advancement and prevented us from answering new questions. In human studies, cumulative risk models predict adult health risk based on early adversity exposure. We apply a similar framework in wild yellow-bellied marmots (Marmota flaviventer). We tested cumulative adversity indices (CAIs) across different adversity types and time windows. All CAIs were associated with decreased pup survival and were well supported. Moderate and acute, but not standardized CAIs were associated with decreased lifespan, supporting the cumulative stress hypothesis and the endurance of early adversity. Multivariate models showed that differences in lifespan were driven by weaning date, precipitation, and maternal loss, but they performed poorly compared with CAI models. We highlight the development, utility, and insights of CAI approaches for ecology and conservation.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    促进健康的行为对矿工的整体健康和福祉具有重要意义。这项研究旨在研究累积风险(CR)与矿工健康促进行为之间的关系,并测试健康信念在这种关系中的中介作用。
    数据来自对中国712名前线矿工(Mage=41.7±10.1岁)进行的连续调查。这项调查需要在三个不同的时间点进行在线问卷调查测量,每个间隔两周。本研究利用健康促进行为的概念模型,CR模型,关系分析中的结构方程模型。
    CR与健康促进行为呈负相关,具有负加速效应。CR在梯度效应中与感知到的威胁呈正相关,而与梯度效应中的感知益处负相关。此外,CR与自我效能感呈负相关,负加速效应之后。感知到的威胁,感知到的好处,自我效能感在CR与健康促进行为之间的关系中成为重要的中介。
    这项研究强调了考虑CR和健康信念在塑造矿工健康促进行为方面的关键作用。了解这些动态对于制定干预措施以增强矿工的健康和福祉至关重要。
    UNASSIGNED: Health-promoting behaviors carry substantial significance for miners\' overall health and well-being. This study aimed to examine the association between cumulative risk (CR) and miners\' health-promoting behaviors and test the mediating role of health beliefs in this relationship.
    UNASSIGNED: Data were collected from a sequential survey conducted among 712 frontline miners (Mage=41.7 ± 10.1 years) in China. The survey entailed online questionnaire measurements at three distinct time points, each spaced two weeks apart. This study utilized the conceptual model of health-promoting behaviors, the CR model, and structural equation modeling in the analysis of relationships.
    UNASSIGNED: CR was negatively related to health-promoting behaviors, with a negative acceleration effect. CR was positively associated with perceived threat in a gradient effect, while negatively associated with perceived benefits in a gradient effect. Furthermore, CR was negatively related to self-efficacy, following a negative acceleration effect. Perceived threat, perceived benefits, and self-efficacy emerged as significant mediators in the relationship between CR and health-promoting behaviors.
    UNASSIGNED: This study highlights the critical role of considering both CR and health beliefs in shaping miners\' health-promoting behaviors. Understanding these dynamics is pivotal for developing interventions to enhance miners\' health and well-being.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    淋巴结转移是甲状腺乳头状癌(PTC)患者复发和死亡增加的主要原因。我们评估了影响手术和131I消融治疗后淋巴结转移的PTC患者的良好反应(ER)的临床病理因素。
    共纳入423例伴淋巴结转移的PTC患者行甲状腺切除术和术后131I消融治疗。剖析影响ER成就的临床病理身分之间的关系。
    多变量分析表明,病灶直径(≤1cm),unifocal,合并桥本甲状腺炎(HT),淋巴结转移率(LR)(≤40%),术后无淋巴结转移,低消融前刺激甲状腺球蛋白(ps-Tg)水平(≤3.87ng/mL),131I消融治疗时间(一次)与ER成就呈正相关[比值比(OR)分别为:1.744、3.114、3.920、4.018、2.074、9.767和49.491;所有p<0.05]。受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线显示,ps-Tg和LR的截断值分别为4.625ng/mL和50.50%,分别。ps-Tg和LR预测ER成就的ROC的AUC分别为0.821和0.746。Tg和非ER的累积风险随着LR的增加而升高,特别是对于高水平ps-Tg(>4.625ng/mL)组。
    焦点直径和数量,与HT结合,LR,和ps-Tg水平是ER的独立因素。Ps-Tg水平和LR是PTC患者131I治疗疗效的有效预测因素。非ER累积风险的预测值可以通过ps-Tg和LR的组合来提高。
    UNASSIGNED: Lymph node metastasis is the major cause of increased recurrence and death in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). We evaluate the clinicopathologic factors affecting excellent response (ER) in patients with PTC with lymph node metastasis following operation and 131I ablation therapy.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 423 patients with PTC with lymph node metastasis who underwent thyroidectomy and postoperative 131I ablation therapy were enrolled. The relationship between clinicopathological factors affecting ER achievement was analyzed.
    UNASSIGNED: Multivariate analysis showed that the foci diameter (≤1 cm), unifocal, combination with Hashimoto\'s thyroiditis (HT), lymph node metastases rate (LR) (≤40%), no postoperative lymph node metastasis, low preablative stimulated thyroglobulin (ps-Tg) level (≤3.87 ng/mL), and the time of 131I ablation therapy (one time) were positively correlated with the ER achievement [odds ratio (OR): 1.744, 3.114, 3.920, 4.018, 2.074, 9.767, and 49.491, respectively; all p < 0.05]. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves showed that the cutoff values of ps-Tg and LR were 4.625 ng/mL and 50.50%, respectively. The AUC of ROC of ps-Tg and LR for predicting ER achievement was 0.821 and 0.746, respectively. The Tg and the cumulative risk of non-ER elevated with the increase of LR, especially for the high-level ps-Tg (>4.625 ng/mL) group.
    UNASSIGNED: The foci diameter and number, combination with HT, LR, and ps-Tg level are independent factors for ER. Ps-Tg level and LR are valid predictive factors for the efficacy of 131I therapy in patients with PTC. The predictive value of the cumulative risk of non-ER can be improved by the combination of ps-Tg and LR.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:我们报告了费城14岁男性在25岁之前成为枪支伤害或死亡受害者的可能性,宾夕法尼亚。
    方法:使用生命表方法,我们追踪了4,501名14岁的黑人男性,和一组1,751名白人男性,超过11年。
    结果:在14岁的黑人男性中,25岁之前发生非致命性火器损伤的风险为10.1%(95%置信区间,9.2%-11.0%),枪支死亡的风险为2.5%(1.7%-3.2%),综合风险为12.5%(11.0%-14.1%)。在白人男性中,非致命枪支伤害的风险为0.8%(0.3%-1.2%),死亡风险为0.3%(0.02%-0.5%),综合风险为1.0%(0.5%-1.5%)。
    结论:风险估计揭示了费城黑人青少年男性枪支伤害或死亡的可能性。需要立即干预以缓和冲突,提供支持,并解决暴力的上游原因,如贫困和结构性种族主义。
    OBJECTIVE: We report the chances of 14-year-old males becoming victims of firearm injury or death before age 25 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
    METHODS: Using life table methods, we followed 4,501 Black males aged 14 years, and a comparison group of 1,751 White males, over 11 years.
    RESULTS: Among 14-year-old Black males, the risk of a nonfatal firearm injury before age 25 was 10.1% (95% confidence interval, 9.2%-11.0%), the risk of death from firearms was 2.5% (1.7%-3.2%), and the combined risk was 12.5% (11.0%-14.1%). Among White males, the risk of nonfatal firearm injury was 0.8% (0.3%-1.2%), the risk of death was 0.3% (0.02%-0.5%), and the combined risk was 1.0% (0.5%-1.5%).
    CONCLUSIONS: Risk estimates reveal the dire likelihood of firearm injury or death among Black adolescent males in Philadelphia. Immediate interventions are needed to de-escalate conflicts, provide supports, and address the upstream causes of violence like poverty and structural racism.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:北美研究发现,劣势的地理指标,比如集中贫困,显著增加儿童保护参与的风险。尽管拥有北美最广泛的家庭支持系统和渐进式收入再分配政策之一,加拿大魁北克省仍然面临社会经济状况的地理差异,这仍然是儿童保护参与的主要风险因素。
    目的:本研究询问儿童保护参与在该省不同的社会经济地理区域的分布情况。借鉴先前的文献,我们假设儿童期(0-17岁)儿童保护参与度最高的地区是社会经济水平最低的地区.
    方法:这是一项基于人群的患病率研究,使用魁北克2000年至2017年的行政儿童保护数据。
    方法:我们构建了儿童保护事件首例的累积风险生命表(报告确认,安全或发展受损,和外出安置)。根据经过验证的社会经济状况(SES)指数,将患病率映射到10,650个人口普查传播区域,分为三个层次。
    结果:确认儿童保护报告的儿童患病率最高,发现安全或发展受损,在最低的SES地区发现了外出安置。低SES地区的比率可能是高SES地区的比率的两倍以上。
    结论:即使在社会进步的背景下,地区层面的社会经济脆弱性仍然是儿童保护参与的有力预测因子。我们的发现强调,如果没有针对性的儿科和家庭服务,以及高需求地区高需求家庭的扶贫计划,即使是善意的系统也可能无法惠及最需要帮助的家庭。
    BACKGROUND: North American studies find that geographic indicators of disadvantage, such as concentrated poverty, significantly increase the risk of child protection involvement. Despite having one of the most extensive family support systems and progressive income redistribution policies in North America, the Canadian province of Québec still faces geographic variations in socioeconomic conditions that remain a major risk factor for child protection involvement.
    OBJECTIVE: This study asks how child protection involvement is distributed across socioeconomically distinct geographic areas of the province. Drawing from prior literature, we hypothesize that the highest level of child protection involvement across childhood (age 0-17) is found in the lowest socioeconomic areas.
    METHODS: This is a population-based prevalence study using administrative child protection data spanning the years 2000 to 2017 across Québec.
    METHODS: We constructed cumulative risk life tables of first instances of child protection events (report confirmation, compromised security or development, and out-of-home placement). Prevalence rates were mapped onto 10,650 Census dissemination areas divided into three tiers according to a validated socioeconomic status (SES) index.
    RESULTS: The highest childhood prevalence of confirmed child protection reports, finding of compromised security or development, and out-of-home placement was found in the lowest SES areas. Rates in low SES areas can be over twice the rates in high SES areas.
    CONCLUSIONS: Area-level socioeconomic vulnerability remains a robust predictor of child protection involvement even in a socially progressive context. Our findings underscore that without targeted pediatric and family services, as well as poverty-alleviation programs for high-need families in high-need areas, even well-intentioned systems may fall short of reaching the families most in need.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    留守儿童,作为一个大规模的弱势群体,遇到一系列由于父母移民而阻碍其学术发展的风险因素。本研究旨在调查留守累积风险和成长心态在学业调整中的作用,并探讨成长心态是否调节了留守中学生的留守累积风险与学业调整之间的关系。共有1184名留守中学生(615名男性;12-16岁)参加了这项研究。结果表明,中学生留守累积风险与学业适应呈负相关(β=-.199,t(1183)=-7.229,p<.001)。此外,成长心态对留守中学生的学业调整具有保护作用(β=.386,t(1183)=14.070,p<.001),对留守累积风险与学业调整之间的关系具有调节作用(β=.394,t(1182)=4.057,p<.001,ΔR2=.012)。这些发现表明,与留守状况相关的家庭风险因素以叠加的方式影响留守中学生的学业适应。而成长心态的积极个体因素可以保护父母移民造成的负面影响。
    Left-behind children, as a large-scale disadvantaged group, encounter an array of risk factors that impede their academic development because of parental migration. The current study aimed at investigating the roles of left-behind cumulative risk and growth mindset on academic adjustment and exploring whether growth mindset moderated the association between left-behind cumulative risk and academic adjustment in left-behind middle school students. A total of 1184 left-behind middle school students (615 males; 12-16 years) participated in the study. Results indicated that left-behind cumulative risk is negatively associated with academic adjustment in middle school students (β = -.199, t(1183) = -7.229, p < .001). Besides, growth mindset has a protective effect on left-behind middle school students\' academic adjustment (β = .386, t(1183) = 14.070, p < .001) and a moderating effect on the relationship between left-behind cumulative risk and academic adjustment (β = .394, t(1182) = 4.057, p < .001, ΔR2 = .012). These findings suggest that family risk factors related to left-behind status affect the academic adjustment of left-behind middle school students in a superposition way, while the positive individual factor of growth mindset could protect the negative impact caused by parental migration.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    养蜂人或通过农作物将蜜蜂暴露于农药中的做法,是蜂蜜被杀虫剂污染的方式之一。虽然蜂蜜对健康有很多好处,然而,由于蜂蜜的内分泌干扰能力,人类通过食用蜂蜜接触农药引起了公众健康问题。因此,这项研究评估了人类暴露于尼日利亚蜂蜜中的内分泌干扰农药,以确定尼日利亚食用蜂蜜的安全性。使用气相色谱仪结合电子捕获检测器分析蜂蜜中的农药。蜂蜜中∑20OCPs和∑14OPPs的浓度分别为0.45-1045ng/g和1.13-632ng/g。人类的个体和累积非致癌和致癌风险值分别<1和1×10-4,表明蜂蜜消费没有潜在的健康风险。来源分析表明,这些蜂蜜中的农药来自历史和最近/新鲜使用。
    The practice of exposing honeybees to pesticides by bee-keepers or via agricultural crops, is one of the ways in which honey becomes contaminated with pesticides. Though honey has many health advantages, however, human exposure to pesticides via consumption of honey has generated public health concerns due to their endocrine-disruptive abilities. Thus, this study evaluated human exposure to endocrine-disrupting pesticides in honey from Nigeria to establish the safety of honey consumed in Nigeria. Honey were analyzed for pesticides using a gas chromatograph combined with an electron capture detector. The concentrations of ∑20 OCPs and ∑14 OPPs in the honey ranged from 0.45-1045 ng/g and 1.13-632 ng/g respectively. The values of both individual and cumulative non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic risks for humans were <1 and 1 × 10-4 respectively suggesting that there are no potential health risks via the honey consumption. The source analysis showed that pesticides in these honey originated from historical and recent/fresh use.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    先前的研究已经确定,暴露于风险和逆境可能会损害儿童的认知能力。特别是,接受儿童保护服务(CPS)的儿童似乎面临更大的风险,因为他们所暴露的累积风险因素导致的有害影响增强.然而,人们对儿童面对不利情况时的未来思考知之甚少,目前还不清楚情景预见能力之间的联系,情景记忆,在这种情况下,执行职能与儿童一起工作。当前的研究描述了参与CPS的学龄儿童的情景预见能力,它与其他认知能力的联系,以及这种关联如何受到累积风险和逆境因素的影响。情景预见,情景记忆,执行功能,我们对葡萄牙95名接受CPS治疗的学龄儿童进行了综合累积危险因素分析.结果表明,累积风险对CPS患儿的偶发预见能力具有不利影响。情景记忆和认知灵活性是情景预见能力的重要预测因子,累积风险暴露缓和了情景记忆与情景预见之间的关系。目前的研究提供了一个更好的理解多种逆境对CPS参与儿童的情景预见能力和相关的认知结果的影响。
    Previous studies have determined that exposure to risk and adversities may impair children\'s cognitive abilities. In particular, children engaged with Child Protective Services (CPS) seem to be at greater risk for enhanced detrimental effects resulting from the cumulative risk factors to which they are exposed. However, little is known about children\'s future thinking when they face adverse circumstances, and it is not clear how the associations among episodic foresight abilities, episodic memory, and executive functions work with children under such circumstances. The current study describes the episodic foresight abilities of CPS-involved school-aged children, its association with other cognitive abilities, and how this association is affected by the exposure to cumulative risk and adversity factors. Episodic foresight, episodic memory, executive functions, and a composite of cumulative risk factors were analyzed in a sample of 95 school-aged children engaged with CPS in Portugal. Results suggest the detrimental effect of cumulative risk on the episodic foresight abilities of CPS-involved children. Episodic memory and cognitive flexibility were significant predictors of episodic foresight abilities, and cumulative risk exposure moderated the relation between episodic memory and episodic foresight. The current study provides a better understanding of the influences of multiple adversities on CPS-involved children\'s episodic foresight abilities and related cognitive outcomes.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:多重医院感染(MNIs)的患病率正在上升,然而,对相关风险因素的理解仍然有限,累积风险,发生的概率,以及对停留时间(LOS)的影响。
    方法:这项多中心研究包括2020年至2023年7月在光明区某三甲医院的两家分院的所有住院患者,深圳。利用半马尔可夫多状态模型(MSM)分析MNI的危险因素和累积风险,预测其发生概率,并计算医院感染的额外LOS(NI)。
    结果:MNI的危险因素包括年龄,入院时社区感染,手术,和联合使用抗生素。然而,MNI的累积风险低于单一医院感染(SNI)。MNI最可能发生在入院后14天内。此外,SNI平均延长LOS7.48天(95%置信区间,CI:6.06-8.68天),而MNI平均延长LOS15.94天(95%CI:14.03-18.17天)。此外,感染部位越多,额外的LOS会越长。
    结论:MNI的LOS越长,治疗难度越大,患者的疾病负担越重,必须采取有针对性的预防和控制措施。
    BACKGROUND: The prevalence of multiple nosocomial infections (MNIs) is on the rise, however, there remains a limited comprehension regarding the associated risk factors, cumulative risk, probability of occurrence, and impact on length of stay (LOS).
    METHODS: This multicenter study includes all hospitalized patients from 2020 to July 2023 in two sub-hospitals of a tertiary hospital in Guangming District, Shenzhen. The semi-Markov multi-state model (MSM) was utilized to analyze risk factors and cumulative risk of MNI, predict its occurrence probability, and calculate the extra LOS of nosocomial infection (NI).
    RESULTS: The risk factors for MNI include age, community infection at admission, surgery, and combined use of antibiotics. However, the cumulative risk of MNI is lower than that of single nosocomial infection (SNI). MNI is most likely to occur within 14 days after admission. Additionally, SNI prolongs LOS by an average of 7.48 days (95% Confidence Interval, CI: 6.06-8.68 days), while MNI prolongs LOS by an average of 15.94 days (95% CI: 14.03-18.17 days). Furthermore, the more sites of infection there are, the longer the extra LOS will be.
    CONCLUSIONS: The longer LOS and increased treatment difficulty of MNI result in a heavier disease burden for patients, necessitating targeted prevention and control measures.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

公众号