Climate change adaptation

适应气候变化
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:鉴于气候变化和健康风险的出现,这篇综述研究了不同的气候变化指标之间的潜在关系,运动行为(即,身体活动[PA],久坐的行为,和睡眠),和健康。
    方法:在2020年3月、2023年4月和2024年4月检索了7个数据库。要包括在内,研究必须检查气候变化的指标和至少一个运动行为作为暴露或第三个变量(即,调解员/主持人),和衡量健康的结果。通过气候变化或运动行为与健康措施的作用(调解人/主持人)总结了证据。每个协会的关系和方向性,以及证据的强度和确定性被综合。
    结果:共有79项研究符合条件,代表来自25个国家(40%为低收入和中等收入国家)的6,671,791名参与者和3137个县。在17项研究中的98项观察中,研究了PA作为介体,34.7%表明PA介导了气候变化与健康测量之间的关系,因此不利气候变化的指标与较低的PA相关。更糟糕的健康结果。在46项研究的274项观察中,28%的人表示PA有利地改变了气候变化与健康结果之间的负关联。久坐行为和睡眠的证据在很大程度上缺乏,也没有定论,以及气候变化指标作为中介变量。
    结论:PA可以减轻气候变化对健康的不利影响。需要进一步的证据来将PA纳入减缓气候变化,适应,和弹性策略。
    BACKGROUND: Given the emergence of climate change and health risks, this review examined potential relationships between varying indicators of climate change, movement behaviors (ie, physical activity [PA], sedentary behavior, and sleep), and health.
    METHODS: Seven databases were searched in March 2020, April 2023, and April 2024. To be included, studies must have examined indicators of climate change and at least one of the movement behaviors as either an exposure or a third variable (ie, mediator/moderator), and a measure of health as outcome. Evidence was summarized by the role (mediator/moderator) that either climate change or movement behavior(s) has with health measures. Relationships and directionality of each association, as well as the strength and certainty of evidence were synthesized.
    RESULTS: A total of 79 studies were eligible, representing 6,671,791 participants and 3137 counties from 25 countries (40% low- and middle-income countries). Of 98 observations from 17 studies that examined PA as a mediator, 34.7% indicated that PA mediated the relationship between climate change and health measure such that indicators of adverse climate change were associated with lower PA, and worse health outcome. Of 274 observations made from 46 studies, 28% showed that PA favorably modified the negative association between climate change and health outcome. Evidence was largely lacking and inconclusive for sedentary behavior and sleep, as well as climate change indicators as an intermediatory variable.
    CONCLUSIONS: PA may mitigate the adverse impact of climate change on health. Further evidence is needed to integrate PA into climate change mitigation, adaptation, and resilience strategies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    迁移,从农村到城市是拉丁美洲的普遍现象,由于社会,经济,政治,和其他因素。寻求经济和教育机会的年轻人,金融,和社会稳定,一直在迁移到更大的城市中心,从而使农村劳动力发生了重要的转变,世代相传,和国内经济。通过对科学文献的系统文献综述,以及公共机构和国际组织的文件,这篇文章发表在2012年至2022年之间,涉及哥伦比亚和危地马拉养牛业的青年从农村到城市的迁移,特别是确定(I)驱动因素,(ii)它们对养牛的影响,和(iii)为抵消偏见影响而实施的公共政策。结果表明,失业,缺乏教育机会,和不安全是青年迁移到城市或国外的主要原因,墨西哥,美国,西班牙是最常见的目的地。此外,对养牛业的影响包括劳动力短缺和完美的世代转移,阻碍工业的现代化和对气候变化适应和缓解战略的投资。尽管执行了各种公共政策,结果是局部的,加速青年移徙的问题仍然重要。因此,没有国家政府采取更有效的措施,养牛业将落后于其区域和国际竞争对手,可持续发展目标的实现。作为本研究的主要贡献,对移民的分析是基于其对特定经济部门的影响而不是侧重于其原因,这在广泛的文献中得到了证明。
    Migration, from rural to urban settings is a common phenomenon in Latin America, due to social, economic, political, and other factors. Young people in search of economic and educational opportunities, financial, and social stability, have been migrating to larger urban centers, thus crafting important shifts in rural labor, generational transfer, and domestic economies. Through a systematic literature review of scientific literature, and documents from public institutions and international organizations, published between 2012 and 2022, this article addresses rural-urban migration of youth in Colombia and Guatemala\'s cattle sector, particularly identifying (i) driving factors, (ii) their impacts on cattle farming, and (iii) public policies implemented to counteract prejudicial effects. Results show that unemployment, lack of educational opportunities, and insecurity are the main reasons for youth migration to cities or abroad, with Mexico, the United States, and Spain being the most common destinations. Additionally, impacts on the cattle sector include shortage of labor and a perfectible generational transfer, hindering the modernization of the industry and investments in climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies. Despite various implemented public policies, the results are partial, and the issue of accelerated youth migration remains relevant. Consequently, without more effective measures adopted by national governments, the cattle sector will lag behind its regional and international competitors, deterring the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals. As the main contribution of the study, the analysis of migration is highlighted based on its effects on a specific economic sector and not focused on its causes, as evidenced in a wide range of literature.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    基于自然的解决方案(NBS)被认为与解决社会挑战的空间规划相关。尽管它们的吸收是有限的,并且分散在一些案例研究中,它们的实施和运作出现了困难。该研究进行了文献综述,以调查NbS如何被考虑在空间规划中实施和运作,以及NbS如何被纳入不同的政策工具并用于解决气候变化适应(CCA)。结果强调:首先,通过提出一种新颖的三维分类系统来指导选择合适的NbS原则来应对社会挑战,从而弥合了NbS实施和运营方面的差距;其次,这项研究仍然揭示了一些政策领域的差距,尽管努力在不同的政策工具中广泛应用NBS到CCA。总的来说,该综述进一步强调,未来研究的重点是监测和评估NbS对CCA的有效性。
    Nature-based solutions (NbSs) are recognised as relevant to spatial planning in addressing societal challenges, although their uptake is limited and fragmented to some case studies, and difficulties emerge from their implementation and operationalisation. The research developed a literature review to investigate how NbS has been considered for its implementation and operationalisation in spatial planning and how NbS has been included across different policy instruments and used to address climate change adaptation (CCA). The results highlighted: Firstly, the review contributed to bridge the gap in NbS implementation and operationalisation by proposing a novel three-dimensional categorisation system to guide the selection of suitable NbS principles to address societal challenges; secondly, this study still revealed gaps in some policy areas, despite the effort to extensively apply NbS across diverse policy instruments to CCA. Overall, the review further emphasises the need for future research focused on monitoring and evaluating NbS\'s effectiveness to CCA.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在一个试点项目中,巴塞罗那的11栋教学楼实施了被动冷却策略,以改善热条件。本研究旨在评估干预措施对学生在学校的舒适度和幸福感的影响。进行了基于混合方法的准实验前后研究。通过对21所学校的六年级学生进行自我报告的问卷收集了定量数据(干预组11人,IG,比较组中有10个,CG)。作者测量了对室内温度和室内空气质量(IAQ)的满意度变化,干扰因素的存在(温度过高,温度太低,难闻的气味,和照明问题),和学生的幸福和表现。进行差异分析以评估IG和CG在前后变化中的差异。通过IG中基于photovoice的会议(59名六年级学生)和访谈(7名教师)收集了定性数据。主题内容分析确定了三个主要类别:对室内环境条件的感知变化,与室内环境相关的健康和福祉,室内环境及其对学习的影响。定量研究结果表明,IG在感知的室内温度方面发生了积极的变化,空气质量,和学校的幸福,虽然暗示对温度过低的看法没有显著变化,照明问题,和学生的表现,与CG有关。与CG相比,学生在IG中感知温度过高的女孩明显下降,而令人不快的气味仅在男孩中减少。在定性评估中,参与者报告说,学校改造改善了他们的室内热和视觉舒适度,IAQ,和难闻的气味。参与者还报告了疲劳的减少,压力,烦躁,令人窒息的感觉,以及提高浓度。这项研究强调了学校被动设计对地中海气候下学生的舒适和福祉的好处,并建议需要将这些干预措施扩展到类似情况下的其他学校建筑。
    Passive cooling strategies were implemented in 11 school buildings in Barcelona within a pilot project to improve thermal conditions. The present study aimed to evaluate the intervention\'s impact on students\' comfort and well-being at school. A quasi-experimental pre-post study based on mixed methods was conducted. Quantitative data were collected through self-reported questionnaires administrated to sixth-grade students in 21 schools (11 in an intervention group, IG, and 10 in a comparison group, CG). The authors measured changes in satisfaction with indoor temperature and indoor air quality (IAQ), the presence of bothering factors (temperature too high, temperature too low, unpleasant odours, and lighting problems), and students\' well-being and performance. Difference-in-difference analysis was conducted to evaluate differences between the IG and CG in pre-post changes. Qualitative data were collected through photovoice-based sessions (59 sixth grade students) and interviews (7 teachers) in the IG. A thematic content analysis identified three main categories: changes in perceptions of indoor environmental conditions, indoor environment-related health and well-being, and indoor environment and their reported impact on learning. Quantitative findings show positive changes among the IG in perceived indoor temperature, air quality, and well-being at school, while suggest no significant changes in perceptions of temperature too low, lighting problems, and students\' performance, in relation to the CG. Compared to the CG, students in the IG perceiving temperature too high significantly decreased among girls, while unpleasant odours decreased only among boys. In the qualitative assessment, participants reported that school transformations improved their indoor thermal and visual comfort, IAQ, and unpleasant odours. Participants also reported a reduction of fatigue, stress, irritability, and stifling sensation, as well as enhanced concentration. This study highlights the benefits of school passive design for student\'s comfort and well-being in Mediterranean climates and suggests the need to extend these interventions to other school buildings in similar contexts.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    水,能源,土地与粮食(WELF)关系被吹捧为跨部门系统方法,为解决与贫困有关的重大挑战提供了机会,失业,不平等和气候变化,尤其是在全球南方。然而,与任何其他发展方法一样,WELFnexus需要将性别纳入主流,这往往是贫困的核心,失业,以及撒哈拉以南非洲的不平等。获得水,能源,土地和食物是性别的,生计战略和气候变化应对措施也是如此。对这些资源的不公平访问,性别不平等,社会经济脆弱性和文化规范导致妇女容易受到气候变化的影响,并限制了她们利用气候变化带来的机会的能力。减少妇女对SSA气候变化影响的脆弱性,提高自然资源获取和资源使用效率的公平性,将需要改变性别关系,并使男女积极参与决策过程。此外,适应WELF关系的政策和干预措施需要更新,以提高性别意识和敏感性,除目标1、2、6、7和15外,这也将有助于实现可持续发展目标5。
    The water, energy, land and food (WELF) nexus has been touted as a cross-sectoral systems approach that presents an opportunity to address the grand challenges related to poverty, unemployment, inequality and climate change, especially in the global South. However, as with any other developmental approach, the WELF nexus needs to mainstream gender, which often lies at the heart of poverty, unemployment, and inequality in sub-Saharan Africa. Access to water, energy, land and food is gendered, and so are livelihood strategies and climate change responses. Inequitable access to these resources, gender inequalities, socio-economic vulnerability and cultural norms contribute to women\'s susceptibility to the impacts of climate change and limit their ability to harness opportunities arising from it. Reducing women\'s vulnerability to the impacts of climate change in SSA and improving equity in natural resource access and resource use efficiencies will require transformation of gender relations and the active participation of both men and women in decision-making processes. Moreover, policies and interventions that cater to the WELF nexus need be updated to be more gender-aware and sensitive, as this will also contribute to addressing Sustainable Development Goal 5, in addition to Goals 1, 2, 6, 7, and 15.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    据报道,传统作物品种耐旱,营养丰富,有可能在气候变化的边际生产系统内促进可持续的粮食和营养安全。我们假设玉米地方品种(ZeamaysL.)与bambara花生(Vignasubterranea(L.)Verdc。),结合最佳管理策略,可以提高气候变化下的生产率和用水效率(WUE)。使用事前的方法,我们评估了气候变化的影响和农艺管理选择,例如植物比率,和植物序列,间作玉米地方品种和花生的产量和WUE。农业生产系统模型(APSIM)应用了四个时间段;即过去(1961-1991),目前(1995-2025年),世纪中叶(2030-2060)和世纪末(2065-2095),从六个GCM获得。跨时间尺度,与年平均降雨量没有显著差异,但世纪末的年平均温度和参考作物蒸发量(ET0)的预测显示平均增加3.5°C和155毫米,分别。到了世纪末,相对于现在,间作bambara花生和玉米地方品种的产量和WUE的预计变化分别为-10和-15%和5和7%,分别。不管时间尺度如何,植物种群的增加提高了间作花生的产量和WUE。异步种植增加了玉米地方品种(5%和14%)和bambara花生(35%和47%,分别)。当两种作物相隔2-3个月种植时,观察到最显著的改善。为了减少间作系统的产量差距,低成本的管理选择,如改变植物种群和连续种植,可以在预计的气候变化下增加产量和WUE。为了进一步提高可持续性,有必要扩大研究,以考虑其他管理策略,如使用其他传统作物品种,受精,雨水收集和土壤保持技术。
    Traditional crop species are reported to be drought-tolerant and nutrient-dense with potential to contribute to sustainable food and nutrition security within marginal production systems under climate change. We hypothesized that intercropping maize landraces (Zea mays L.) with bambara groundnut (Vigna subterranea (L.) Verdc.), together with optimum management strategies, can improve productivity and water use efficiency (WUE) under climate change. Using an ex-ante approach, we assessed climate change impacts and agronomic management options, such as plant ratios, and plant sequences, on yield and WUE of intercropped maize landrace and bambara groundnut. The Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator (APSIM) model was applied over four time periods; namely past (1961-1991), present (1995-2025), mid-century (2030-2060) and late-century (2065-2095), obtained from six GCMs. Across timescales, there were no significant differences with mean annual rainfall, but late century projections of mean annual temperature and reference crop evaporation (ET0) showed average increases of 3.5°C and 155mm, respectively. By late century and relative to the present, the projected changes in yield and WUE were -10 and -15% and 5 and 7% for intercropped bambara groundnut and maize landrace, respectively. Regardless of timescale, increasing plant population improved yield and WUE of intercropped bambara groundnut. Asynchronous planting increased yield and WUE for both maize landrace (5 and 14%) and bambara groundnut (35 and 47%, respectively). Most significant improvements were observed when either crop was planted 2-3 months apart. To reduce yield gaps in intercrop systems, low-cost management options like changing plant populations and sequential cropping can increase yield and WUE under projected climate change. To further increase sustainability, there is a need to expand the research to consider other management strategies such as use of other traditional crop species, fertilization, rainwater harvesting and soil conservation techniques.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在迅速变暖的世界中,大气热量已成为公众关注的主要问题。蒸散,然而,在植被期间提供有效的地表冷却。相反,由于缺乏水和潜在的蒸散途径,现代文化景观越来越无法提供这一重要的好处。我们假设,恢复景观保水的协调措施可以促进植物蒸腾作用,尤其是在干旱时期,从而通过稳定区域气候为适应气候变化做出贡献。寻求基于自然的方法来改善景观保水,我们使用地表温度(LST)作为景观中气候的代表。对于我们干旱多发的农村研究区,我们确定了与LST建立统计关系的潜在候选环境预测因子.然后我们,从一系列潜在的气候变化适应措施中,将选定项目映射到潜在的实施位置。在此基础上,我们使用(i)拟合模型和(ii)假设措施实施前后预测因子的预期表达评估了某些措施可能的冷却效应。在建模中,我们考虑了LST数据的时空自相关,从而实现了现实的参数估计。使用候选预测器集和模型,我们能够建立气候适应措施有效性的排名。然而,由于预测因子的空间变异性,建模的LST是特定于站点的。这导致了度量值收益的空间差异。此外,发生季节性变化,例如由植物生长引起的。平均而言,耕地或城市棕地的植树造林,以前的湿草甸的再润湿具有高达3.5K的最大冷却能力。我们得出结论,基于促进蒸散和景观保水的热对策,即使在农村地区,为大气变暖提供有希望的适应方法。
    Atmospheric heat has become a major public concern in a rapidly warming world. Evapotranspiration, however, provides effective land surface cooling during the vegetation period. Adversely, modern cultural landscapes - due to both water and potential evapotranspiration pathways lacking - are increasingly incapable of offering this important benefit. We hypothesised that concerted measures for a revived landscape water retention can fuel plant transpiration, especially during dry periods, and thus contribute to climate change adaptation by stabilising the regional climate. Seeking nature-based ways to an improved landscape water retention, we used the land surface temperature (LST) as a proxy for landscape mesoclimate. For our drought-prone rural study area, we identified potential candidate environmental predictors for which we established statistical relationships to LST. We then, from a set of potential climate change adaptation measures, mapped selected items to potential locations of implementation. Building on that, we evaluated a certain measures\' probable cooling effect using (i) the fitted model and (ii) the expected expression of predictors before and after a hypothetical measure implementation. In the modelling, we took into account the spatial and temporal autocorrelation of the LST data and thus achieved realistic parameter estimates. Using the candidate predictor set and the model, we were able to establish a ranking of the effectiveness of climate adaptation measures. However, due to the spatial variability of the predictors, the modelled LST is site-specific. This results in a spatial differentiation of a measure\'s benefit. Furthermore, seasonal variations occur, such as those caused by plant growth. On average, the afforestation of arable land or urban brownfields, and the rewetting of former wet meadows have the largest cooling capacities of up to 3.5 K. We conclude that heat countermeasures based on fostering both evapotranspiration and landscape water retention, even in rural regions, offer promising adaptation ways to atmospheric warming.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    基于生态系统的干预措施的潜力,也称为基于自然的解决方案(NBS),减少灾害风险(DRR)和适应气候变化(CCA)现已得到主要国家政策和国际框架协议的认可。然而,关于它们的经济可行性和公平影响的科学证据有限。我们检查了英语同行评审的研究,发表于2000年至2021年,对DRR和CCA的NBS进行了经济评估。根据我们的结果,71%的研究表明,NbS一直被证明是一种具有成本效益的减轻危害的方法,24%的研究发现NbS在某些条件下具有成本效益。最常见的基于生态系统的干预措施对减轻危害有效,与红树林有关(80%),森林(77%),和沿海生态系统(73%)。比较NbS和基于工程的解决方案在减轻某些危害方面的成本效益的研究表明,NbS的效率不亚于基于工程的解决方案。在这些研究中,65%的人发现,与基于工程的解决方案相比,NbS在减轻危害方面总是更有效,26%的人发现NbS部分更有效。我们的发现说明了一系列因素,包括分析的NBS的地理位置,它们对恢复和增加生物多样性的贡献,他们的产权结构,他们的资金来源,以及用于评估成本效益和分配效应的经济方法。考虑到全球预计的温度和降水变化,检查了本分析中包含的NbS观测值的地理位置。
    The potential of ecosystem-based interventions, also known as Nature-based Solutions (NbS), for Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) and Climate Change Adaptation (CCA) is now recognized by major national policies and international framework agreements. However, there is limited scientific evidence about their economic viability and equity impacts. We examined English-language peer-reviewed studies, published between 2000 and 2021, which undertook economic evaluations of NbS for DRR and CCA. Based on our results, 71 % of studies indicated that NbS have consistently proven to be a cost-effective approach to mitigating hazards and 24 % of studies found NbS cost-effective under certain conditions. The ecosystem-based interventions most frequently found effective in mitigating hazards are associated with mangroves (80 %), forests (77 %), and coastal ecosystems (73 %). Studies comparing the cost-effectiveness of NbS and engineering-based solutions for mitigating certain hazards showed that NbS are no less effective than engineering-based solutions. Among these studies, 65 % found that NbS are always more effective in attenuating hazards compared to engineering-based solutions and 26 % found that NbS are partially more effective. Our findings illustrate a range of factors, including the geographic locations of the NbS analyzed, their contribution to the restoration and increase of biodiversity, their property rights structure, their source of financing, and the economic methodologies employed to assess cost-effectiveness and distributional effects. The geographic location of the NbS observations included in this analysis was examined considering global projected temperature and precipitation changes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    人为的气候变化导致全球气温以前所未有的速度上升,坚持,野生物种必须适应不断变化的世界。我们,然而,往往无法得出可靠的物种适应潜力预测。基因组选择是研究物种适应性潜力的强大工具,但就相关表型的潜在基因组结构而言,构成了一个“盲过程”。这里,我们使用了基因组选择实验中的大山雀(Parusmajor)雌性来放大这种盲目过程。我们旨在确定响应基因组选择的遗传变异和伴随这种反应的表观遗传变异,这样,可能反映表观遗传水平的遗传变异。我们将全基因组亚硫酸氢盐测序应用于第三代双向基因组选择系的个体大山雀雌性的血液样品,用于早期和晚期。基因组选择导致遗传和表观遗传水平的差异。显示选择特征的遗传变异位于主要与大脑发育和功能相关的基因中,包括LOC107203824(类似SOX3)。SOX3是下丘脑-垂体轴正常发育和功能所必需的转录因子,生殖轴的重要部分。至于表观遗传分化,早期选择系相对于晚期选择系显示低甲基化。具有差异DNA甲基化的位点位于对各种生物过程重要的基因中,包括性腺功能(例如,MSTN和PIK3CB)。总的来说,鸟类产期的基因组选择提供了对产期基因组中可遗传遗传变异的见解,可以在其上进行选择,这表明这种变异中的一些可能由表观遗传变异反映出来。
    Anthropogenic climate change has led to globally increasing temperatures at an unprecedented pace and, to persist, wild species have to adapt to their changing world. We, however, often fail to derive reliable predictions of species\' adaptive potential. Genomic selection represents a powerful tool to investigate the adaptive potential of a species, but constitutes a \'blind process\' with regard to the underlying genomic architecture of the relevant phenotypes. Here, we used great tit (Parus major) females from a genomic selection experiment for avian lay date to zoom into this blind process. We aimed to identify the genetic variants that responded to genomic selection and epigenetic variants that accompanied this response and, this way, might reflect heritable genetic variation at the epigenetic level. We applied whole genome bisulfite sequencing to blood samples of individual great tit females from the third generation of bidirectional genomic selection lines for early and late lay date. Genomic selection resulted in differences at both the genetic and epigenetic level. Genetic variants that showed signatures of selection were located within genes mostly linked to brain development and functioning, including LOC107203824 (SOX3-like). SOX3 is a transcription factor that is required for normal hypothalamo-pituitary axis development and functioning, an essential part of the reproductive axis. As for epigenetic differentiation, the early selection line showed hypomethylation relative to the late selection line. Sites with differential DNA methylation were located in genes important for various biological processes, including gonadal functioning (e.g., MSTN and PIK3CB). Overall, genomic selection for avian lay date provided insights into where within the genome the heritable genetic variation for lay date, on which selection can operate, resides and indicates that some of this variation might be reflected by epigenetic variants.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由捐助者资助的气候和抗灾能力计划和项目旨在帮助建设社区的能力和抗灾能力。测量弹性至关重要,因此,在提供反馈时,证据,和问责制。本文介绍了与柬埔寨农村社区的气候变化适应项目有关的正在进行的多伙伴学术和实践合作的最近两年时间序列结果。为了衡量社区的复原力,这项研究使用了社区的洪水恢复力测量,哪些措施,使用混合方法,跨越五个关键维度的抗灾能力:人,社会,物理,自然,和金融资本。该研究分析并报告了选定村庄这些地区的复原力变化,深入了解该地区抗洪能力的优缺点。本文为在不同社区投资最有效的地方提供了宝贵的指导,确认该工具在衡量弹性和评估相关项目有效性方面的有用性。
    Donor-funded climate and disaster resilience programmes and projects aim to help build the capacities and resilience of communities. Measuring resilience is critical, therefore, in providing feedback, evidence, and accountability. This paper presents recent two-year time-series findings from an ongoing multi-partner academic and practical collaboration pertaining to a climate change adaption project with rural communities in Cambodia. To measure community resilience, the study used the Flood Resilience Measurement for Communities, which measures, using mixed methods, disaster resilience capacities across five key dimensions of resilience: human, social, physical, natural, and financial capitals. The study analysed and reported changes in these areas of resilience in the selected villages, generating insights into the strengths and weaknesses of flood resilience capacities in the region. This paper provides valuable guidance as to where investment can be most effective in different communities, confirming the usefulness of the tool in measuring resilience and assessing the effectiveness of the project concerned.
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