Carbon emission

碳排放
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Climate change and sustainable development drive transformation in economic development models. Carbon emission reduction and the circular economy propel climate change and sustainable development, yet it\'s unclear if they synergize or counteract each other. This study examines the question from theoretical and practical perspectives. Using a theory-practice framework, bibliometric and big data analyses were conducted on the Web of Science and Chinese case data, totaling 2.29GB, to explore synergies between carbon emission reduction and the circular economy. The study finds predominantly synergistic interactions between the circular economy and carbon emission reduction, with minimal offsetting effects. That is, the circular economy markedly enhances carbon emissions reduction. At the theoretical level, the two fields are gradually evolving towards in-depth research, while at the practical level, collaboration is coalescing around four areas: hot fields, potential fields, auxiliary fields and common goals. A noteworthy contribution of this study is the development of a framework that synergizes theory and practice, providing a structured approach for future research in this domain. By quantifying the synergistic and offsetting relationship between the circular economy and carbon emissions reduction through systematic big data analysis, this research offers insights essential for achieving the UN\'s Sustainable Development Goals. We also stress the need for diverse case studies and multi-dimensional analyses in ongoing research.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    政策协同有效促进空气污染和碳排放的综合管理,这对于维护生态系统稳定和公众健康至关重要。本研究采用高斯过程回归的因果网络模型,分析了动态和静态碳减排和空气质量政策对碳排放和空气质量的综合影响。还考察了政策措施的因果效应及其协同效应。研究结果表明:(1)环境政策执行与区域经济发展存在显著的地域异质性,随着经济发达的东部沿海地区采取更加严格的碳排放和空气污染控制措施,而西部省份采取相对宽松的环境政策。(2)碳减排政策与空气质量政策存在协同作用,这两种静态政策可以替代管理二氧化碳排放和空气污染。(3)政策存在强制生效,环境问题的加剧导致政策的形成和实施。(4)第二产业增加值是形成碳减排政策和空气质量控制政策的关键动机。此外,第二产业的增加值直接影响呼吸系统疾病的发病率(例如,结核病)。最后,根据研究结果,提出了动态和协同的政策建议。
    Policy synergies effectively contribute to the integrated management of air pollution and carbon emissions, which is crucial for safeguarding ecosystem stability and public health. This study uses the causal network model of Gaussian process regression to analyze the combined impacts of dynamic and static carbon emission reduction and air quality policies on carbon emissions and air quality. The causal effects of policy measures and their synergistic effects are also examined. The study results indicate: (1) There is significant geographical heterogeneity in the implementation of environmental policies and regional economic development, with the economically developed eastern coastal regions adopting more stringent carbon emission and air pollution control measures, while the western provinces adopt relatively lax environmental policies. (2) The synergistic effect of carbon emission reduction policies and air quality policies exists, and the two types of static policies are substitutable for managing carbon dioxide emissions and air pollution. (3) Policies\' forced effect exists, where the exacerbation of environmental problems leads to the formation and implementation of policies. (4) The value added by the secondary industry is a key motivation for forming carbon emission reduction policies and air quality control policies. Additionally, the value added by the secondary industry directly impacts the incidence of respiratory diseases (e.g., tuberculosis). Finally, dynamic and synergistic policy recommendations are proposed based on the study\'s findings.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究解决了有关加密货币对环境的影响的持续辩论。具体来说,它调查了比特币交易量对水和卫生(可持续发展目标(SDG)6)和气候行动(SDG13)的影响。该研究采用普通最小二乘(OLS)面板数据分析,使用32个国家的样本来检验这些关系,这些国家拥有2013年至2020年的比特币交易量数据。研究结果表明,比特币交易对实现可持续发展目标6的进展产生了显著和积极的影响,这表明水和卫生举措可能会受益。然而,这项研究揭示了比特币交易量增加对碳排放增加的显著负面影响,强调与加密货币活动相关的环境成本。对黄金储备也观察到类似的影响,因为他们的采矿需要大量的能源消耗。这些结果强调了规范加密货币交易和促进自愿可持续做法的必要性。特别是考虑到发达市场和新兴市场之间基于其治理框架的差距。此外,该研究认为,基于技术出口和经济政策不确定性的国家之间的差距是有影响的决定因素。该研究的结果强调了采取积极措施以确保负责任和可持续使用加密货币的重要性。虽然加密货币提供了巨大的经济回报,它们的早期采用阶段需要进一步研究环保方法。潜在的战略包括将加密货币的财务回报导向替代能源项目,并支持其他环境可持续发展目标。从而促进对整个生态系统的积极影响。这项研究的影响延伸到决策者,监管者,和利益相关者,倡导全面和协作的努力,将可持续性融入快速发展的加密货币市场。这种整合对于确保加密货币的经济利益不会以我们的环境为代价至关重要。
    This study addresses the ongoing debate concerning the environmental implications of cryptocurrencies. Specifically, it investigates the impact of Bitcoin trading volume on water and sanitation (Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 6) and climate action (SDG 13). The research employs Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) panel data analysis to examine these relationships using a sample of 32 countries with available Bitcoin trading volume data from 2013 to 2020. The findings indicate that Bitcoin trading significantly and positively impacts progress towards SDG 6, suggesting potential benefits for water and sanitation initiatives. However, the study reveals a significant negative impact of higher Bitcoin trading volume on increased carbon emissions, underscoring the environmental costs associated with cryptocurrency activities. Similar impacts are observed for gold reserves, as their mining necessitates substantial energy consumption. These results highlight the need to regulate cryptocurrency trading and promote voluntary sustainable practices, particularly given the disparities between developed and emerging markets based on their governance frameworks. Additionally, the study considers the disparities between countries based on technology exports and economic policy uncertainty as influential determinants. The study\'s results emphasize the importance of proactive measures to ensure the responsible and sustainable use of cryptocurrencies. While cryptocurrencies offer significant economic returns, their early adoption stage necessitates further investigation into environmentally friendly approaches. Potential strategies include directing financial returns from cryptocurrencies towards alternative energy projects and supporting other environmental SDGs, thereby fostering a positive impact on the overall ecosystem. The study\'s implications extend to policymakers, regulators, and stakeholders, advocating for comprehensive and collaborative efforts to integrate sustainability into the rapidly evolving cryptocurrency market. This integration is crucial to ensure that the economic benefits of cryptocurrencies do not come at the cost of our environment.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    气候变暖已成为全球密切关注的问题,和中国,作为一个重要的农业国家,对食物的需求不断增加,这就要求中国在这个行业增加碳减排。本文采用投入产出法核算了食品生产行业(CEFI)的碳排放,然后基于随机森林(RF)筛选CEFI的影响因素,通过K-means-SHAP分析不同集群中CEFI影响因素的异质性效应,最后探讨了该行业在2024-2040年期间的碳排放潜力。研究结果如下:第一,CEFI存在明显的不平等,尤其是各省之间,正在逐渐增加。第二,解决人们的消费意识和行为并不是缓解CEFI的根本解决方案;相反,在运输阶段,它应该侧重于可持续的农业生产转型和“食物英里”。此外,需要注意施肥的影响,运输方式,和每个集群CEFI上的牲畜管理。最后,该研究表明,在2028年左右,中国70%的省份将处于“碳峰值”,欠发达和较发达地区的减排潜力更大。在这方面,本文鼓励采取一系列促进CEFI可持续发展的关键政策,例如减少传统肥料的体积和效率,大力发展有机肥投入,加强交通运输部门的技术创新和研发投入,稳步支持畜牧业种质创新。
    Climate warming has become a global issue of close concern, and China, as a significant agricultural country, has an increasing demand for food, which requires China to increase carbon reduction in this industry. This paper accounts for carbon emissions from the food production industry (CEFI) using the input-output method, then screens the influencing factors of CEFI based on Random Forest (RF), analyzes the heterogeneous effects of the influencing factors on CEFI in different clusters through K-means-SHAP, and finally explores the potential of carbon emissions from this industry for the period 2024-2040. The study\'s findings are as follows: First, there are apparent inequalities in CEFI, especially between provinces, which are gradually increasing. Second, addressing people\'s consumption awareness and behaviors is not the fundamental solution to alleviate CEFI; instead, it should focus on sustainable agricultural production transformation and \"food miles\" in the transportation phase. In addition, attention needs to be paid to the impacts of fertilizer application, transport modes, and livestock management on the CEFI of each cluster. Finally, the study suggests that around 2028, 70% of China\'s provinces will be at the \"carbon peak\" and that less developed and more developed regions have more significant potential to reduce emissions. In this regard, this paper encourages a series of policies that are key to promoting the sustainable development of CEFI, such as reducing the volume and efficiency of traditional fertilizers, vigorously developing organic fertilizer inputs, strengthening technological innovation and R&D inputs in the transportation sector, and steadily supporting germplasm innovation in the livestock sector.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    老龄化的不断加深对全球可持续发展提出了新的挑战。衡量人口老龄化对碳排放的影响对于下一阶段的气候治理至关重要。然而,社会生产和消费的结构变化使得难以评估影响。因此,本研究构建了双向固定空间杜宾模型,探讨了老龄化对碳排放影响的中介途径。此外,我们建立了高精度的预测模型来模拟多因素驱动情景下的碳排放演化轨迹。主要研究结果如下:(1)人口老龄化导致的碳减排过程具有显著的能源阻碍效应和产业结构效应,虽然碳增长过程受到消费增长效应的制约,技术进步效应和劳动参与效应。(2)老化过程下能源消耗和技术创新对碳排放的调节作用分别为10.74%和10.24%,分别,产业结构和劳动力参与的调节作用相对较弱。(3)MNGM-ARIMA和MNGM-BPNN模型的拟合优度超过97%。高老化地区的碳排放在除能源消耗驱动的情景之外的所有情景中都呈现下降趋势,而在中低老龄化地区,仅在研发和劳动力供给驱动的情况下缓慢下降。本研究主张制定基于老龄化程度的异质减排措施,加快供给侧升级,提高绿色消费比重。
    The continuous deepening of aging has posed new challenges for global sustainable development. Measuring the impact of population aging on carbon emissions is crucial for the next stage of climate governance. However, the structural changes in social production and consumption make it difficult to evaluate the impact effects. Therefore, this study constructed a bidirectional fixed Space Durbin Model to explore the mediating pathway of aging\'s impact on carbon emissions. Furthermore, we have established high-precision prediction models to simulate the evolution trajectory of carbon emissions under multi-factor driving scenarios. The main findings are as follows: (1) The process of carbon emission reduction due to population aging has significant energy hindrance effect and industrial structure effect, while the process of carbon growth is constrained by the consumption enhancement effect, technology progress effect and labor participation effect. (2) The moderating effects of energy consumption and technological innovation on carbon emissions under the aging process are 10.74% and 10.24%, respectively, while the moderating effects of industrial structure and labor force participation are relatively weak. (3) The goodness of fit of the MNGM-ARIMA and MNGM-BPNN models is over 97%. Carbon emissions in the high aging regions show a decreasing trend in all scenarios except the energy consumption-driven scenario, while in the medium and low aging regions decrease slowly only in the R&D- and labor supply-driven scenarios. This study advocates developing heterogeneous emission reduction measures based on the degree of aging, accelerating supply side upgrading, and increasing the proportion of green consumption.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    减少高污染企业的碳排放对于实现世界整体碳减排目标至关重要。绿色信贷政策可以有效引导企业减少碳排放,对实现双碳目标至关重要。这项研究使用了2017-2022年对中国工业企业进行跟踪调查的微观数据,并进行了准自然实验,以评估绿色信贷政策是否符合双碳目标,使高污染企业通过减少排放而变得“绿色”。结果表明,绿色信贷政策能够引导高污染企业显著降低碳排放,全要素生产率(TFP)增长在这一转变中起着中介作用。绿色信贷政策对全要素生产率的不同影响可能会阻碍高污染企业的绿色化进程,这种阻碍效应表现出尺度异质性。本研究为评估与中国双碳目标相一致的绿色信贷政策提供了经验证据,并为利用绿色信贷政策推进这一进程提供了见解。
    Reducing carbon emissions from highly polluting enterprises is crucial to meeting the world\'s overall carbon emission reduction targets. Green credit policy can be effective in guiding enterprises to reduce their carbon emissions and is essential to achieving the dual-carbon targets. This study uses micro-data from a 2017-2022 follow-up survey of industrial enterprises in China and a quasi-natural experiment to evaluate whether green credit policy aligned with the dual-carbon targets enable highly polluting enterprises to become \"green\" by reducing emissions. The results show that green credit policy can lead highly polluting enterprises to significantly reduce carbon emissions, and total factor productivity (TFP) growth plays an intermediary role in this transition. The different impact of green credit policy on TFP may impede the greening process for highly polluting enterprises, with this hindering effect exhibiting scale heterogeneity. This study offers empirical evidence for evaluating green credit policy aligned with China\'s dual-carbon target and provide insights into leveraging green credit policy to advance this process.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    中国是世界上最大的温室气体排放国,农业温室气体排放量占中国总排放量的近五分之一。为了解干旱区绿洲农业生产系统的碳吸收和排放特征,中国西北地区的典型代表城市,张掖市,被选中进行研究。采用排放因子法对张掖地区(38,592km2)2010-2021年整个农业生产系统碳排放动态变化特征进行了分析和计算。结果表明,农业种植过程中的碳排放主要来自化肥,占农业种植总碳排放量的比例最高(47.9%)。来自当地畜牧业的动物肠道发酵排放是温室气体排放的主要贡献者(86%)。作物的年平均碳吸收强度为4.4tC-eqha-1,农业生产系统的年平均碳吸收强度为2.6tC-eqha-1。农业生产的总碳排放与农作物的碳固存之比为1:1.7。我们发现,在研究区域中,总碳固存略大于其碳排放总量,年平均可持续发展指数为41%。该绿洲地区农业生产系统的碳排放主要由畜牧业驱动,主要是养牛产生的CH4排放。减少当地畜牧业的碳排放,通常是养牛,将在减少当地农业生产系统的碳排放和保持其净正碳平衡方面发挥关键作用。
    China is the biggest emitter of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the world, and agricultural GHG emission accounts for nearly a fifth of the total emission in China. To understand the carbon absorption and emission characteristics of agricultural production systems in those arid oasis areas, a typical representative city in northwestern China, Zhangye City, was selected for study.The emission factor method was used to analyze and calculate the characteristics of changing carbon emission dynamics in the whole agricultural production system in Zhangye city region (38,592 km2) from 2010 to 2021.The results revealed that carbon emissions during agricultural planting mainly come from fertilizers, which account for the highest proportion (47.9%) of total carbon emissions in agricultural planting. Animal enteric fermentation emissions from local livestock farming are the main contributor (86%) to GHG emissions. The annual average carbon absorption intensity is 4.4 t C-eq ha-1 for crop and 2.6 t C-eq ha-1 for the agricultural production system. The ratio of total carbon emissions from agricultural production to carbon sequestration of crops is 1:1.7. We find that the total carbon sequestration slightly exceeds its total carbon emissions in the study region, with an annual average of 41% for its sustainable development index. Carbon emissions of the agricultural production system in this oasis area are mainly driven by the livestock industry, mostly CH4 emissions from cattle raising.Reducing the local carbon emissions from the livestock industry, typically the cattle raising, will play a crucial role in reducing carbon emissions from this local agricultural production system and maintaining its net positive carbon balance.
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  • 文章类型: English Abstract
    为了系统了解城市生活垃圾分类的城市环境效益改善情况,根据2017-2021年苏州市城市生活垃圾分类前后的处置数据,计算了城市生活垃圾收集-运输-处置过程的环境影响潜力(EIP),并对2035年苏州市城市生活垃圾综合治理的环境效益进行了预测。2019年底苏州市城市生活垃圾分类后,城市生活垃圾单位重量的EIP(以PET2000计,下同)从2017年的2.34×10-13t-1下降到2021年的1.91×10-13t-1,下降18.38%。通过分类可以改善城市生活垃圾综合管理的环境效益。根据2021年苏州市生活垃圾清运情况,建立不同分类处置方案进行计算。发现分类效果呈现梯度改善后,和相应的处置能力相匹配,城市生活垃圾的环境效益进一步提高。在“零废物填埋”的规划处置能力情景下,EIP和城市生活垃圾单位重量的总碳排放量应减少23.96%和30.73%,分别,与2021年的实际情况相比。基于人口与经济发展水平的线性模型,预计2035年苏州城市生活垃圾年产量将增加到696.5万吨。在苏州城市生活垃圾分类不断完善、市容环境不断优化的背景下,基于苏州码头处置能力的现状,到2035年,提高分类效率后,单位重量生活垃圾的EIP预计为1.54×10-13t-1,总EIP为1.05×10-6,总碳排放量将增加到380万吨。在扩大垃圾处理规模的理想情景下,“零填埋”的原始垃圾,以及食物垃圾的充分资源化利用,2035年城市生活垃圾单位重量EIP预计为1.28×10-13t-1,总EIP和总碳排放量为8.69×10-7和323万吨,分别,分别比2021年的实际情况少约5.65%和1.23%。通过分类收集运输和质量处置的协调推进,可以更好地控制城市生活垃圾综合管理的EIP和碳排放。
    In order to systematically understand the urban environmental benefit improvement of municipal solid waste (MSW) classification, based on the disposal data of MSW before and after the MSW classification in Suzhou from 2017 to 2021, the environmental impact potential (EIP) of the MSW collection-transportation-disposal process was calculated, and the environmental benefits of the MSW integrated management in Suzhou to 2035 were predicted. After the MSW classification in Suzhou at the end of 2019, the EIP (in terms of PET2000, the same below) of the per unit weight of MSW was reduced by 18.38% from 2.34×10-13 t-1 in 2017 to 1.91×10-13 t-1 in 2021. The environmental benefits of the MSW integrated management could be improved by classification. Based on the Suzhou MSW removal and transportation situation in 2021, different classification and disposal scenarios were established to calculate. It was found that after the classification effect showed gradient improvement, and the disposal capacity matched accordingly, the environmental benefits of MSW were further improved. Under the planning disposal capacity scenario of \"zero waste to landfill\", the EIP and the total carbon emissions of per unit weight of MSW should be reduced by 23.96% and 30.73%, respectively, compared with the actual situation in 2021. Based on the linear model of population and economic development level of Suzhou, it is expected that the annual production of MSW in Suzhou will be increased to 6.965 million tons in 2035. Under the background of continuous improvement of MSW classification and continuous optimization of city appearance and environment in Suzhou, based on the status quo of terminal disposal capacity in Suzhou, the EIP of per unit weight of MSW after improving the efficiency of classification by 2035 was predicted to be 1.54×10-13 t-1, the total EIP would be 1.05×10-6, and the total carbon emissions would increase to 3.80 million tons. Under the ideal scenario of expanding the scale of waste disposal, \"zero landfill\" of raw MSW, and full resource utilization of food waste, the EIP of per unit weight of MSW in 2035 was predicted to be 1.28×10-13 t-1, and the total EIP and the total carbon emissions would be 8.69×10-7 and 3.23 million tons, respectively, which was approximately 5.65% and 1.23% less than the actual scenario in 2021, respectively. The EIP and carbon emissions of MSW integrated management could be controlled better by the coordinated promotion of classified collection and transportation and quality disposal.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    公路运输是碳排放的重要贡献者。中国的汽车保有量正在迅速增加,排名世界第一;然而,关于碳排放清单的数据有限。这项研究评估了中国公路运输从过去到未来的碳排放,使用市场调查,COPERT(计算公路运输排放量的计算机程序)模型,主成分分析和反向传播神经网络的组合方法。从2000年到2020年,全国公路运输碳排放量从11.9公吨增加到33.8公吨二氧化碳,占全国总排放量的0.47%。卡车在总排放量中的比例(77.3%)通常高于乘用车(18.9%);然而,乘用车的排放比例(18.9-31.0%)逐年增加。地级碳排放呈现城市群趋势,从东部沿海地区到中部减少。未来汽车保有量预计在2021-2049年期间将以3.1%的速度快速增长,但在2051-2060年期间仅占该增长率的一半。在2060年的不同情况下,这些车辆预计将产生27.2-39.1MtCO2e的碳排放量。科学减排,创新降低碳排放系数,结合合理的新能源汽车增长情景,是降低国家碳水平的有效方法。这项研究表明,不确定度在可接受的范围内。这项工作详细介绍了与中国道路运输相关的碳排放清单,并为中国汽车工业制定更好的碳减排政策提供了基础数据。
    Road transportation is an important contributor to carbon emissions. China\'s car ownership is rapidly increasing, ranking first worldwide; however, there are limited data about carbon emission inventories. This study assesses carbon emissions from road transportation from the past to the future across China, using market survey, COPERT (Computer Programme to Calculate Emissions from Road Transport) model, and a combination method of principal component analysis and backpropagation neural network. From 2000 to 2020, the national carbon emissions from road transportation grew from 11.9 to 33.8 Mt CO2e, accounting for 0.47% of national total emissions by then. Trucks generally emit a higher proportion (77.3%) of total emissions than passenger cars (18.9%); however, the emission proportion of passenger cars (18.9-31.0%) has increased yearly. The carbon emissions at the prefecture level show an urban agglomeration trend, decreasing from the eastern coastal areas to central China. Future car ownership is expected to grow rapidly at 3.1% during 2021-2049, but only half of that growth rate during 2051-2060. Those vehicles are expected to contribute carbon emissions of 27.2-39.1 Mt CO2e under different scenarios in 2060. Scientifically reducing emissions and innovatively reducing the carbon emission coefficient, combined with a reasonable new energy vehicle growth scenario, are efficient methods for reducing national carbon levels. This study demonstrates that the uncertainty is within an acceptable range. This work details the carbon emission inventories associated with road transportation in China and provides basic data for developing a better carbon reduction policy for China\'s car industry.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    城市尺度被广泛用于表征包括温室气体排放在内的城市指标的人口依赖性。在这里,我们分析了所有欧洲城市的CO2和PM2.5排放和浓度的人口依赖性。我们的分析显示,具有可比人口规模的城市之间的排放量存在很大差异,而传统的城市规模无法捕获。因此,我们通过多参数缩放函数和多重分形谱分析来表征这些波动。我们发现排放和人口的分布是多重分形的,而空气污染的分布不是,导致一些大城市的排放和污染之间的关系不平凡。我们还分析了森林对抑制排放的影响以及空气污染对健康的影响。我们的工作提供了欧洲城市新陈代谢规模波动的详细图片,并提出了一种超越传统城市规模定律的一般策略。
    Urban scaling is widely used to characterize the population dependence of city indicators including greenhouse gas emission. Here we analyze the population dependence of CO 2 and PM2.5 emissions and concentrations across all European cities. Our analysis reveals considerable variations in emissions among cities of comparable population size which are not captured by conventional urban scaling. We thus characterize these fluctuations by multi-parameter scaling functions and multifractal spectral analysis. We find that the distribution of emissions and population is multifractal while that of air pollution is not, leading to non-trivial relations between emission and pollution in some large cities. We also analyze the impact of forests in curbing emission and the impact of air pollution on health. Our work provides a detailed picture of the fluctuations in the scaling of urban metabolism in Europe and suggests a general strategy that goes beyond conventional urban scaling laws.
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