complex Systems

复杂系统
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    浮游植物群落是水生生态系统的重要组成部分,因为它们是高度互动的,它们总是形成复杂的网络。然而,我们对交互式浮游植物网络在不断变化的环境条件下如何随时间变化的理解是有限的。使用太湖29年(339个月)的长期数据集,中国,我们使用“扩展局部相似性分析”构建了一个包含月度子网络的时间网络,并评估了富营养化气候变化,恢复工作影响了网络复杂性和稳定性的时间动态。浮游植物的网络结构随着环境的变化而表现出强烈的动态变化。我们的研究结果揭示了富营养化和气候变化通过网络复杂性的变化对浮游植物网络稳定性的级联影响。浮游植物的网络稳定性随平均程度而增加,模块性,和嵌套性,并随着连通性而减少。富营养化(增加氮)稳定了浮游植物网络,主要是通过提高其平均程度,而气候变化,即,变暖和风速降低通过直接增加浮游植物群落的凝聚力和间接减少网络的连通性来增强其稳定性。浮游植物网络复杂性的时间动态的显著转变和大幅下降(平均程度,嵌套)和稳定性(鲁棒性,持久性)是在2007年实施了许多富营养化缓解努力(并非全部成功)后检测到的,导致浮游植物网络简化,稳定性降低。我们的发现为亚热带浅水湖泊在富营养化(或再营养)和气候变化下的浮游植物网络组织提供了新的见解。
    Phytoplankton communities are crucial components of aquatic ecosystems, and since they are highly interactive, they always form complex networks. Yet, our understanding of how interactive phytoplankton networks vary through time under changing environmental conditions is limited. Using a 29-year (339 months) long-term dataset on Lake Taihu, China, we constructed a temporal network comprising monthly sub-networks using \"extended Local Similarity Analysis\" and assessed how eutrophication, climate change, and restoration efforts influenced the temporal dynamics of network complexity and stability. The network architecture of phytoplankton showed strong dynamic changes with varying environments. Our results revealed cascading effects of eutrophication and climate change on phytoplankton network stability via changes in network complexity. The network stability of phytoplankton increased with average degree, modularity, and nestedness and decreased with connectance. Eutrophication (increasing nitrogen) stabilized the phytoplankton network, mainly by increasing its average degree, while climate change, i.e., warming and decreasing wind speed enhanced its stability by increasing the cohesion of phytoplankton communities directly and by decreasing the connectance of network indirectly. A remarkable shift and a major decrease in the temporal dynamics of phytoplankton network complexity (average degree, nestedness) and stability (robustness, persistence) were detected after 2007 when numerous eutrophication mitigation efforts (not all successful) were implemented, leading to simplified phytoplankton networks and reduced stability. Our findings provide new insights into the organization of phytoplankton networks under eutrophication (or re-oligotrophication) and climate change in subtropical shallow lakes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在社区人群水平上预防和管理糖尿病的方法受到阻碍,因为当前的策略与社区系统的结构和功能不一致。我们描述了基于本地数据和快速原型设计的社区驱动过程,作为创建适合每个社区的糖尿病预防和护理管理解决方案的替代方法。我们报告了该过程,并为一项为期3年的案例研究计划提供了基线数据,以改善内布拉斯加州两个农村社区的糖尿病结局。
    方法:我们基于以下假设开发了一个迭代设计过程:使用本地数据反馈和监视的分散决策将导致本地可持续解决方案的创新。联盟充当社区创新中心,每月开会,通过便利的设计过程开展工作。在项目过程中,将使用社区诊所的电子健康记录作为整个社区的代理来跟踪六个核心糖尿病指标。
    结果:基线数据表明,根据年龄和体重指数,两个社区中三分之二的人口都有糖尿病前期风险。然而,只有一小部分(35%和12%)的高危人群接受了筛查.这些信息导致两个联盟都专注于提高其社区的筛查率。
    结论:为了使复杂系统朝着最佳状态移动(例如,改善糖尿病结局),利益相关者必须能够获得准确的持续反馈,相关信息,以便做出明智的决定。实施循证干预的传统方法并不能促进这一过程。
    BACKGROUND: Approaches to prevent and manage diabetes at a community population level are hindered because current strategies are not aligned with the structure and function of a community system. We describe a community-driven process based on local data and rapid prototyping as an alternative approach to create diabetes prevention and care management solutions appropriate for each community. We report on the process and provide baseline data for a 3-year case study initiative to improve diabetes outcomes in two rural Nebraska communities.
    METHODS: We developed an iterative design process based on the assumption that decentralized decision-making using local data feedback and monitoring will lead to the innovation of local sustainable solutions. Coalitions act as community innovation hubs and meet monthly to work through a facilitated design process. Six core diabetes measures will be tracked over the course of the project using the electronic health record from community clinics as a proxy for the entire community.
    RESULTS: Baseline data indicate two-thirds of the population in both communities are at risk for prediabetes based on age and body mass index. However, only a fraction (35% and 12%) of those at risk have been screened. This information led both coalitions to focus on improving screening rates in their communities.
    CONCLUSIONS: In order to move a complex system towards an optimal state (e.g., improved diabetes outcomes), stakeholders must have access to continuous feedback of accurate, pertinent information in order to make informed decisions. Conventional approaches of implementing evidence-based interventions do not facilitate this process.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在普遍存在的健康不平等的背景下,公共卫生专业人员,英国的研究人员和非学术合作伙伴正在动员起来,以了解社区资产如何以及以何种方式解决复杂系统中的大规模健康差异。虽然人们认识到文化,自然资源和社区资源可以改善健康结果,这些不平等的分散,缺乏融入社区、卫生和社会护理系统。研究生活中的循证替代方案,富有想象力,被创伤,综合,体现系统(REALITIES)是一个由57人组成的参与性行动研究苏格兰财团,在五个地方建立了社区资产中心,具有牢固的关系,将相互冲突的看待世界的方式结合在一起。我们的集体生活和感受经验社区成员,社区嵌入式研究人员,学者和非学者借鉴了各种实践,方法,数据集和哲学,以扩大解决健康不平等的现有方法。
    我们为我们共同制作的系统级模型提供了概念和理论基础,并通过测试三个弱势地区的REALITIES(2022年11月,正在进行中)提供了实证结果。在解释了导致开发集成公共系统与\'资产\'接口的新可扩展REALITIES模型的上下文之后,我们详细介绍了我们的模型的哲学支柱和指导原则,以及我们如何应用这些机制来解释综合伙伴关系的工作如何能够改善多个公共系统的健康结果.
    我们通过联合制作和测试模型进行了荟萃分析,展示了衡量复杂公共系统的变化如何涉及对人民的关键调查,Process,Place,价格,权力和目的。我们的批评反映了研究实践政策(RPP)伙伴关系中的权力失衡和不平等,以及如何培育健康生态系统的建议:克服障碍和促进参与;反思扩大规模的挑战,RPP伙伴关系的可测试性和复杂性;从孤立的学习转向实践中的跨学科合作;确保知识交流对社区和一线从业者有直接影响;将关系伦理和保障纳入日常实践。
    我们提出了REALITIES模型来统一替代方案,有时相互冲突,通过不断反思关于知识的不同假设之间的纠缠来思考公共系统和社区资产的方式,现实,证据,以及创造性方法论和科学方法之间不必要的二进制文件。
    UNASSIGNED: Under the backdrop of pervasive health inequalities, public health professionals, researchers and non-academic partners in the United Kingdom are mobilising to understand how and in what ways community assets can address health disparities at scale in complex systems. While there is recognition that cultural, natural and community resources can improve health outcomes, these are unequally dispersed with lack of integration in communities and health and social care systems. Researching Evidence-based Alternatives in Living, Imaginative, Traumatised, Integrated, Embodied Systems (REALITIES) is a participatory action research Scottish consortium of 57 with established community asset hubs in five localities with strong relationships uniting conflicting ways of seeing the world. Our collective of lived and felt experience community members, community-embedded researchers, academics and non-academics draws upon a variety of practices, methods, datasets and philosophies to expand existing approaches to tackling health inequalities.
    UNASSIGNED: We present conceptual and theoretical underpinnings for our co-produced systems-level model and empirical findings from testing REALITIES across three disadvantaged localities (November 2022, ongoing). After explaining the context that led to the development of the new scalable REALITIES model for integrated public systems to interface with \'assets\', we detail philosophical pillars and guiding principles for our model and how we applied these mechanisms to explain how integrated partnership working can lead to improved health outcomes across multiple public systems.
    UNASSIGNED: We present a meta-analysis from co-producing and testing the model, showing how measuring change in complex public systems involves critical investigation of People, Process, Place, Price, Power and Purpose. Our critique reflects on power imbalances and inequities in Research-practice-Policy (RPP) partnerships and suggestions for how to nurture healthy ecosystems: overcoming barriers and enabling participation; reflecting on challenges of scaling up, testability and complexity of RPP partnerships; moving from siloed learning to transdisciplinary collaboration in practice; ensuring knowledge exchange has direct impact on communities and frontline practitioners; embedding relational ethics and safeguarding into daily practice.
    UNASSIGNED: We propose the REALITIES model to unite alternative, sometimes conflicting, ways of thinking about public systems and community assets by continuously reflecting on entanglements between different assumptions about knowledge, reality, evidence, and unnecessary binaries between creative methodologies and scientific method.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:随着医疗保健系统迅速变得越来越复杂,医疗保健领导者正在不断扩大的角色范围和日益多样化的任务,以确保提供高质量的患者护理。尽管有一系列领导理论,模型,和指导领导力发展的培训课程,领导者在新兴医疗保健挑战背景下所需的角色和能力(例如,颠覆性技术,人口老龄化,和精疲力尽的劳动力)还没有得到足够好的概念化。本范围审查旨在通过深入研究当代学术和有针对性的灰色文献来研究这些角色和能力,以探讨医疗保健领导角色和能力的未来趋势。
    方法:三个电子数据库(BusinessSourcePremier、Medline,和Embase)从2018年1月至2023年2月进行了搜索,以获取有关领导角色和能力的关键未来趋势的同行评审文献。还搜索了以医疗保健和领导为重点的知名组织的网站。使用描述性统计和主题分析对数据进行了分析,以探索文献的范围和深度以及领导角色和能力的关键概念。
    结果:从文献中确定并筛选相关性的最初348篇文章中,39篇文章被纳入数据综合。未来的领导角色和能力与四个关键主题相关:创新和适应(例如,灵活性和视觉设置),协作和沟通(例如,关系和信任的建立),自我发展和自我意识(例如,体验式学习和自我检查),以及以消费者和社区为中心(例如,公共卫生信息)。在每个领域,在日益复杂的条件下,广泛的战略和方法有助于有效的领导,以及这些角色和能力适用的各种背景和情况。
    结论:这项研究强调了领导力要求和卫生系统复杂性的内在相互依存性。而不是作为一组角色和能力,有效的医疗保健领导力可能会更好地概念化为一系列广泛的目标,包括促进利益相关者之间的合作,建设能力文化,并不断创新,以提高护理质量。
    BACKGROUND: As healthcare systems rapidly become more complex, healthcare leaders are navigating expanding role scopes and increasingly varied tasks to ensure the provision of high-quality patient care. Despite a range of leadership theories, models, and training curricula to guide leadership development, the roles and competencies required by leaders in the context of emerging healthcare challenges (e.g., disruptive technologies, ageing populations, and burnt-out workforces) have not been sufficiently well conceptualized. This scoping review aimed to examine these roles and competencies through a deep dive into the contemporary academic and targeted gray literature on future trends in healthcare leadership roles and competencies.
    METHODS: Three electronic databases (Business Source Premier, Medline, and Embase) were searched from January 2018 to February 2023 for peer-reviewed literature on key future trends in leadership roles and competencies. Websites of reputable healthcare- and leadership-focused organizations were also searched. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and thematic analysis to explore both the range and depth of literature and the key concepts underlying leadership roles and competencies.
    RESULTS: From an initial 348 articles identified in the literature and screened for relevance, 39 articles were included in data synthesis. Future leadership roles and competencies were related to four key themes: innovation and adaptation (e.g., flexibility and vision setting), collaboration and communication (e.g., relationship and trust building), self-development and self-awareness (e.g., experiential learning and self-examination), and consumer and community focus (e.g., public health messaging). In each of these areas, a broad range of strategies and approaches contributed to effective leadership under conditions of growing complexity, and a diverse array of contexts and situations for which these roles and competencies are applicable.
    CONCLUSIONS: This research highlights the inherent interdependence of leadership requirements and health system complexity. Rather than as sets of roles and competencies, effective healthcare leadership might be better conceptualized as a set of broad goals to pursue that include fostering collaboration amongst stakeholders, building cultures of capacity, and continuously innovating for improved quality of care.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    该文件强调了建立一个强大的监管框架来评估纳米药物及其非专利对应物的必要性,被称为纳米相似物,这可以被认为与原型纳米医学相似,基于描述“相似性”的基本标准。术语“相似性”应侧重于描述纳米载体的标准,包括它们的物理化学,热力学,形态学,和生物学特性,包括表面相互作用和药代动力学。纳米载体由于其复杂性和混沌行为可被视为先进的自组装赋形剂(ASAE),应使用必要标准进行评估,以便将非专利纳米药物称为纳米类似物。从监管的角度来看。制药行业之间的合作,监管机构,人工智能(AI)初创公司对于纳米医学和纳米仿制药的精确表征和批准流程至关重要,拥抱创新工具和术语促进了可持续监管框架的发展,确保安全性和有效性。这种向精密研发实践的关键转变解决了纳米载体固有的复杂性,为具有经济效益的治疗进步铺平道路。
    The paper highlights the necessity for a robust regulatory framework for assessing nanomedicines and their off-patent counterparts, termed as nanosimilar, which could be considered as \'similar\' to the prototype nanomedicine,based on essential criteria describing the \'similarity\'. The term \'similarity\' should be focused on criteria that describe nanocarriers, encompassing their physicochemical, thermodynamic, morphological, and biological properties, including surface interactions and pharmacokinetics. Nanocarriers can be regarded as advanced self-assembled excipients (ASAEs) due to their complexity and chaotic behavior and should be evaluated by using essential criteria in order for off-patent nanomedicines be termed as nanosimilars, from a regulatory perspective. Collaboration between the pharmaceutical industry, regulatory bodies, and artificial intelligence (AI) startups is pivotal for the precise characterization and approval processes for nanomedicines and nanosimilars and embracing innovative tools and terminology facilitates the development of a sustainable regulatory framework, ensuring safety and efficacy. This crucial shift toward precision R&D practices addresses the complexity inherent in nanocarriers, paving the way for therapeutic advancements with economic benefits.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    预测复杂多尺度系统的物理特性是一个共同的挑战,需要对各种时空尺度进行分析。然而,由于缺乏对系统某些细节的了解,单靠物理学往往是不够的。有足够的数据,然而,机器学习技术可能会有所帮助。如果数据获取起来相对繁琐,混合方法可能会拯救。我们在本报告中着重于使用各种类型的神经网络(NN),包括将物理信息编码到其中的NN(PeNN),并研究了NN超参数的影响。我们应用网络来预测乳液的粘度作为剪切速率的函数。我们证明,使用各种网络性能指标作为均方误差和确定系数(R2),PeNN总是比NN表现得更好,p值小于0.0002的弗里德曼检验也证实了这一点。PeNN的捕获外推和插值非常好,与NN相反。此外,我们发现神经网络的超参数包括网络复杂度和优化方法对上述结论没有任何影响。我们建议使用任何基于学科系统的信息对NN进行编码可以比单独使用NN更好地预测复杂系统的属性,这将特别有利于少量的数据。这样的编码也是可伸缩的,允许不同的属性组合,没有对NN进行重复训练。
    Predicting physical properties of complex multi-scale systems is a common challenge and demands analysis of various temporal and spatial scales. However, physics alone is often not sufficient due to lack of knowledge on certain details of the system. With sufficient data, however, machine learning techniques may aid. If data are yet relatively cumbersome to obtain, hybrid methods may come to the rescue. We focus in this report on using various types of neural networks (NN) including NN\'s into which physics information is encoded (PeNN\'s) and also studied effects of NN\'s hyperparameters. We apply the networks to predict the viscosity of an emulsion as a function of shear rate. We show that using various network performance metrics as the mean squared error and the coefficient of determination ( R 2 ) that the PeNN\'s always perform better than the NN\'s, as also confirmed by a Friedman test with a p-value smaller than 0.0002. The PeNN\'s capture extrapolation and interpolation very well, contrary to the NN\'s. In addition, we have found that the NN\'s hyperparameters including network complexity and optimization methods do not have any effect on the above conclusions. We suggest that encoding NN\'s with any disciplinary system based information yields promise to better predict properties of complex systems than NN\'s alone, which will be in particular advantageous for small numbers of data. Such encoding would also be scalable, allowing different properties to be combined, without repetitive training of the NN\'s.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    纽约市气候变化委员会4(NPCC4)报告的这一章讨论了许多交叉的社会,生态,纽约市(NYC)的技术基础设施规模及其相互作用至关重要,以过渡到并确保所有纽约人适应气候的未来。作者对社区和城市一级计划中的“未来愿景和情景”的当前方法进行了评估,并研究了纽约市城市系统的不同维度,以降低风险和脆弱性,并实现适应未来的纽约市。讨论了整合社区和利益相关者想法的方法,这些想法将使纽约市蓬勃发展,并提供有关不同政策和行动所带来的可能性的科学和技术信息。本章综合了不同的学术或实践社区如何设想未来的知识状态,并简要介绍了社会人口和住房,交通运输,能源,基于自然,以及健康期货和纽约复杂系统的许多其他子系统,这些子系统都将相互作用以确定纽约期货。
    This chapter of the New York City Panel on Climate Change 4 (NPCC4) report discusses the many intersecting social, ecological, and technological-infrastructure dimensions of New York City (NYC) and their interactions that are critical to address in order to transition to and secure a climate-adapted future for all New Yorkers. The authors provide an assessment of current approaches to \"future visioning and scenarios\" across community and city-level initiatives and examine diverse dimensions of the NYC urban system to reduce risk and vulnerability and enable a future-adapted NYC. Methods for the integration of community and stakeholder ideas about what would make NYC thrive with scientific and technical information on the possibilities presented by different policies and actions are discussed. This chapter synthesizes the state of knowledge on how different communities of scholarship or practice envision futures and provides brief descriptions of the social-demographic and housing, transportation, energy, nature-based, and health futures and many other subsystems of the complex system of NYC that will all interact to determine NYC futures.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    危害评估是评估化学品潜在不利影响的第一步。传统上,毒理学评估侧重于暴露,忽略了暴露系统对观察到的毒性的影响。然而,系统毒理学强调系统特性如何显着影响观察到的反应。因此,系统理论指出,交互比单个元素存储更多的信息,导致采用基于网络的模型来表示生命科学许多领域的复杂系统。这里,他们开发了一种基于网络的方法来表征生物系统背景下的毒理学反应,推断生物系统特定的网络。它们直接将分子改变与不良结果途径(AOP)框架联系起来,建立组学数据和毒理学相关表型事件之间的直接联系。他们将此框架应用于一个数据集,该数据集包括在两个不同的体外模型和一个体内模型中具有不同物理化学性质的31种工程纳米材料,并证明了生物系统是观察到的反应的驱动力。这项工作强调了基于网络的方法的潜力,可以从系统生物学的角度显着提高他们对毒理学机制的理解,并为纳米材料和其他先进材料的危害评估提供了相关的考虑因素和未来的数据驱动方法。
    Hazard assessment is the first step in evaluating the potential adverse effects of chemicals. Traditionally, toxicological assessment has focused on the exposure, overlooking the impact of the exposed system on the observed toxicity. However, systems toxicology emphasizes how system properties significantly contribute to the observed response. Hence, systems theory states that interactions store more information than individual elements, leading to the adoption of network based models to represent complex systems in many fields of life sciences. Here, they develop a network-based approach to characterize toxicological responses in the context of a biological system, inferring biological system specific networks. They directly link molecular alterations to the adverse outcome pathway (AOP) framework, establishing direct connections between omics data and toxicologically relevant phenotypic events. They apply this framework to a dataset including 31 engineered nanomaterials with different physicochemical properties in two different in vitro and one in vivo models and demonstrate how the biological system is the driving force of the observed response. This work highlights the potential of network-based methods to significantly improve their understanding of toxicological mechanisms from a systems biology perspective and provides relevant considerations and future data-driven approaches for the hazard assessment of nanomaterials and other advanced materials.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    自从Varela和Maturana提出自体生命的最低要求的概念以来,人们一直关注建立拓扑边界以将自己与周围环境分开的蜂窝系统。这里,我们重新考虑这种空间边界的存在对于自我生产实体是否绝对必要。这项工作提出了一种新颖的最小自生成系统的计算模型,该模型受三维空间中的树突和分子动力学模拟的启发。一系列模拟实验,其中特定自催化组的代谢途径被连续抑制,直到产生可被认为是自生成的自催化实体。这些实体在包含实体的多个相同实例的环境中保持其独特性,而不存在拓扑边界。这就产生了代谢边界的概念,该概念表现为自我生产过程的新兴自我选择标准,而无需任何唯一标识符。然而,采用这样的边界是有代价的,因为这些自生实体比它们的自催化实体更不适合它们的模拟环境。最后,这项工作展示了一种以新陈代谢为中心的方法来研究自体生成,可以应用于物理和抽象系统。
    Ever since Varela and Maturana proposed the concept of autopoiesis as the minimal requirement for life, there has been a focus on cellular systems that erect topological boundaries to separate themselves from their surrounding environment. Here, we reconsider whether the existence of such a spatial boundary is strictly necessary for self-producing entities. This work presents a novel computational model of a minimal autopoietic system inspired by dendrites and molecular dynamic simulations in three-dimensional space. A series of simulation experiments where the metabolic pathways of a particular autocatalytic set are successively inhibited until autocatalytic entities that could be considered autopoietic are produced. These entities maintain their distinctness in an environment containing multiple identical instances of the entities without the existence of a topological boundary. This gives rise to the concept of a metabolic boundary which manifests as emergent self-selection criteria for the processes of self-production without any need for unique identifiers. However, the adoption of such a boundary comes at a cost, as these autopoietic entities are less suited to their simulated environment than their autocatalytic counterparts. Finally, this work showcases a generalized metabolism-centered approach to the study of autopoiesis that can be applied to both physical and abstract systems alike.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    大脑的复杂分布动力学通常使用一组有限的手动选择的统计属性进行量化,留下了替代动力学特性可能优于给定应用程序报告的特性的可能性。这里,我们通过系统地比较不同的,来自静息状态功能磁共振成像(rs-fMRI)数据的区域内活动和区域间功能耦合的可解释特征,使用4种神经精神疾病的病例对照比较演示我们的方法。我们的发现通常支持使用线性时间序列分析技术进行rs-fMRI病例对照分析,同时还确定了量化信息动态功能磁共振成像结构的新方法。虽然功能磁共振成像动力学的简单统计表示表现出奇的好(例如,单个大脑区域内的属性),将区域内属性与区域间耦合相结合,总体上提高了性能,强调分布式,神经精神疾病中功能磁共振成像动力学的多方面变化。全面的,这里介绍的数据驱动方法能够系统地识别和解释多元时间序列数据的定量动态特征,具有超越神经成像的适用性,适用于涉及复杂时变系统的各种科学问题。
    The brain\'s complex distributed dynamics are typically quantified using a limited set of manually selected statistical properties, leaving the possibility that alternative dynamical properties may outperform those reported for a given application. Here, we address this limitation by systematically comparing diverse, interpretable features of both intra-regional activity and inter-regional functional coupling from resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (rs-fMRI) data, demonstrating our method using case-control comparisons of four neuropsychiatric disorders. Our findings generally support the use of linear time-series analysis techniques for rs-fMRI case-control analyses, while also identifying new ways to quantify informative dynamical fMRI structures. While simple statistical representations of fMRI dynamics performed surprisingly well (e.g., properties within a single brain region), combining intra-regional properties with inter-regional coupling generally improved performance, underscoring the distributed, multifaceted changes to fMRI dynamics in neuropsychiatric disorders. The comprehensive, data-driven method introduced here enables systematic identification and interpretation of quantitative dynamical signatures of multivariate time-series data, with applicability beyond neuroimaging to diverse scientific problems involving complex time-varying systems.
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