Nuclear Warfare

核战争
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    对于广岛和长崎幸存者,目前还无法根据细胞遗传学数据计算个体剂量,并将其与物理估计剂量进行比较.这是因为细胞遗传学研究使用固体Giemsa染色,该染色仅提供至少一种稳定型畸变的细胞百分比(大多数不稳定型畸变已经消失),使用伽马射线剂量加上10倍中子剂量来整合两个城市的数据。
    在校正中子剂量的贡献后,将FISH衍生的伽马射线剂量与DS02R1衍生的伽马射线剂量进行比较。还试图确定暴露后稳定型像差的频率是否保持不变。
    使用2色FISH方法从广岛和长崎的1,868名原子弹幸存者那里获得了稳定的交换型像差数据。首先将收集的频率扩展到基因组等效频率。然后,通过使用已知的由中子和伽马射线引起的体外交换型像差的诱导率,分别,以及DS02R1估算中幸存者的中子和伽马射线剂量之间的平均关系,从易位的总产量中估计γ射线效应.
    发现超过95%的个体细胞遗传学伽马射线剂量落在DS02R1剂量的正/负约1Gy的预期范围内,线性回归的平均斜率为0.98,这确保了我们DS02R1研究的有效性。
    目前的结果证明了单个DS02R1剂量的有效性,血液淋巴细胞中稳定型畸变的频率多年来没有衰减,因此,对于在遥远的过去发生的暴露的回顾性剂量评估是有用的。
    UNASSIGNED: For Hiroshima and Nagasaki survivors, it has not been possible to calculate individual doses from the cytogenetic data and compare them with the physically estimated doses. This is because the cytogenetic studies used solid Giemsa staining which only provides the percent of cells bearing at least one stable-type aberration (most of the unstable-type aberrations had already disappeared), and a gamma-ray dose plus a 10-times neutron dose was used to integrate the data for both cities.
    UNASSIGNED: To compare the FISH-derived gamma-ray dose with the DS02R1-derived gamma-ray dose after correcting for a contribution of the neutron dose. It was also an attempt to determine if the frequency of stable-type aberrations had remained unchanged after the exposure.
    UNASSIGNED: Stable exchange-type aberration data was obtained using the 2-color FISH method from 1,868 atomic bomb survivors in Hiroshima and Nagasaki. The collected frequency was first extended to a genome-equivalent frequency. Then, by using known induction rates of exchange-type aberrations in vitro caused by neutrons and gamma-rays, respectively, and the mean relationship between the neutron and gamma-ray doses in the DS02R1 estimates for the survivors, the gamma-ray effect was estimated from the total yield of translocations.
    UNASSIGNED: It was found that over 95% of individual cytogenetic gamma-ray doses fell within the expected range of plus/minus about 1 Gy from the DS02R1 dose and the mean slope for the linear regression was 0.98, which reassures us of the validity of the DS02R1 study.
    UNASSIGNED: The present results demonstrate the validity of the individual DS02R1 doses, and that the frequency of stable-type aberrations in blood lymphocytes did not decay over the years, and thus is useful for retrospective dose evaluations of exposures which took place in the distant past.
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  • 文章类型: Editorial
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  • 文章类型: Editorial
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在后广岛时代,原子城——旨在在核攻击中幸存下来——仍然存在于科幻小说领域。然而匈牙利移民保罗·拉斯洛,南加州郊区的成功建筑师,对未来有一个乌托邦式的愿景,自相矛盾的豪华原子城,他称之为“阿托姆维尔,“从未建造过,但仍然认真提出。Laszlo是极少数以这种规模冒险进行原子生存的建筑师之一。本文主要讨论为什么建筑界大多数人忽视了原子弹引发的问题,以及Laszlo作为异常值的角色。它还涉及Atomville的起源及其在1940年代和1950年代提出的许多未实现的城市生存思想中的地位,包括地下建筑,城市分散,线性城市,和集群城市。
    In the post-Hiroshima era, atomic cities-designed to survive a nuclear attack-remain in the science fiction realm. Yet Hungarian émigré Paul Laszlo, a successful architect in Southern California suburbia, had a utopian vision for a futuristic, paradoxically luxurious atomic city he called \"Atomville,\" never built but nonetheless seriously proposed. Laszlo was one of the very few architects known to venture into atomic survival on this scale. This article focuses on why the architectural profession for the most part ignored the issues raised by the atomic bomb, and on Laszlo\'s role as an outlier. It also deals with the genesis of Atomville and its place among the many unrealized ideas put forward in the 1940s and 1950s for urban survival, including underground buildings, urban dispersal, linear cities, and cluster cities.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在基于辐射效应研究基金会(RERF)队列研究的辐射风险估计中,一种常见的分析是对辐射剂量和背景的泊松回归,以及总终点的影响修正变量,如所有实体癌发病率或所有非癌症死亡率.正如目前所执行的,这些分析需要选择替代放射器官剂量,(例如,结肠剂量),这在概念上可能是有问题的,因为聚合终点包括由各种器官引起的事件。我们使用最大似然理论将通常的聚合终点分析与基于联合分析的分析进行比较。在对所有癌症死亡率的RERF寿命研究的重新分析中也比较了这两种方法。我们证明,除了微不足道的差异,当基于单个替代器官辐射剂量时,这两种分析方法在辐射剂量响应以及背景和效应修改方面产生相同的推断。当用器官特异性剂量重复分析时,当一个性别的剂量估计未定义时,当总终点中包括性别特异性结果时,截距参数中的一个有趣的偏倚问题就会出现,但一个简单的修正将避免这个问题。最后,虽然联合分析配方允许使用器官特异性剂量,对关于聚合终点的推断的这种分析的解释可能是有问题的。在对总体终点的辐射风险分析感兴趣的范围内,单一替代剂量的联合分析配方是一种适当的分析方法,而器官特异性剂量的联合分析只有在单独考虑终点以估计剂量反应时才能解释.然而,因为这两种方法都不是关于剂量反应的推断。
    In radiation risk estimation based on the Radiation Effects Research Foundation (RERF) cohort studies, one common analysis is Poisson regression on radiation dose and background and effect modifying variables of an aggregate endpoint such as all solid cancer incidence or all non-cancer mortality. As currently performed, these analyses require selection of a surrogate radiation organ dose, (e.g., colon dose), which could conceptually be problematic since the aggregate endpoint comprises events arising from a variety of organs. We use maximum likelihood theory to compare inference from the usual aggregate endpoint analysis to analyses based on joint analysis. These two approaches are also compared in a re-analysis of RERF Life Span Study all cancer mortality. We show that, except for a trivial difference, these two analytic approaches yield identical inference with respect to radiation dose response and background and effect modification when based on a single surrogate organ radiation dose. When repeating the analysis with organ-specific doses, an interesting issue of bias in intercept parameters arises when dose estimates are undefined for one sex when sex-specific outcomes are included in the aggregate endpoint, but a simple correction will avoid this issue. Lastly, while the joint analysis formulation allows use of organ-specific doses, the interpretation of such an analysis for inference regarding an aggregate endpoint can be problematic. To the extent that analysis of radiation risk for an aggregate endpoint is of interest, the joint-analysis formulation with a single surrogate dose is an appropriate analytic approach, whereas joint analysis with organ-specific doses may only be interpretable if endpoints are considered separately for estimating dose response. However, for neither approach is inference about dose response well defined.
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  • 文章类型: Letter
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