背景:近几十年来,口咽鳞状细胞癌(OPSCC)的发病率有所增加,人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)感染是OPSCC的主要病因。有关死亡原因(COD)的数据对于告知后续策略和修订治疗策略以应对任何可能的可预防的与治疗相关的COD至关重要。然而,有限的研究通过HPV状态评估了OPSCC患者的竞争性COD。
目的:我们旨在根据OPSCC中的HPV状态分析竞争性COD的分布。
方法:我们从监测中回顾性地纳入了I-IVB期OPSCC患者,流行病学,2010年至2015年的最终结果数据库。HPV状态与头颈部癌症特异性死亡率(HNCSM)之间的关系,第二原发癌死亡率(SPCM),分析了非癌症死亡率(NCCM)。卡方检验,Kaplan-Meier分析,采用精细和灰色模型进行统计分析。
结果:我们纳入了本研究的5852例患者,其中73.2%(n=4283)患有HPV相关肿瘤。共有1537名(26.3%)病人死亡,包括789(51.3%),333(21.7%),415名(27%)死于头颈癌的患者,第二癌症,和非癌症的原因,分别。五年HNCSM,SPCM,NCCM,总死亡率为14.7%,6.5%,7.7%,和26.4%,分别。HPV阳性患者的HNCSM累积发病率较低(亚分布危险比[sHR]0.362,95%CI0.315-0.417;P<.001),SPCM(sHR0.400,95%CI0.321-0.496;P<.001),和NCCM(sHR0.460,95%CI0.378-0.560;P<.001)比HPV阴性疾病患者。在HPV阴性和HPV阳性的人群中,HNCSM的5年风险分别为26.9%和10.7%。分别(P<.001)。在HPV阴性和HPV阳性的患者中,SPCM的5年风险分别为12.4%和4.6%。分别(P<.001)。在HPV阴性和HPV阳性的患者中,NCCM的5年死亡风险分别为13.7%和5.8%。分别(P<.001)。使用精细和灰色竞争风险模型,我们的结果表明,HPV阴性肿瘤患者患HNCSM的风险明显更高(P<.001),SPCM(P<.001),和NCCM(P<.001)比HPV阴性肿瘤。
结论:HPV阳性OPSCC具有较低的NCSM,SPCM,和NCCM与HPV阴性OPSCC相比。HPV阳性是克服癌症以及降低OPSCC中其他COD风险的有利预后因素。我们的发现支持需要根据OPSCC患者的HPV状态调整患者随访。
The incidence of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas (OPSCC) has increased in recent decades, and human papillomavirus (HPV) infection is the main cause of OPSCC. The data regarding causes of death (CODs) are vitally important in informing follow-up strategies and revising treatment strategies to deal with any possible preventable treatment-related COD. However, limited studies have assessed the competing COD by HPV status in patients with OPSCC.
We aimed to analyze the distribution of the competing COD according to HPV status in OPSCC.
We retrospectively included stage I-IVB patients with OPSCC from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between 2010 and 2015. The association between HPV status and head and neck cancer-specific mortality (HNCSM), second primary cancer mortality (SPCM), and noncancer-caused mortality (NCCM) were analyzed. The chi-square test, Kaplan-Meier analysis, and Fine and Gray model were used for statistical analysis.
We included 5852 patients in this study and 73.2% (n=4283) of them had HPV-related tumors. A total of 1537 (26.3%) patients died, including 789 (51.3%), 333 (21.7%), and 415 (27%) patients who died from head and neck cancer, second cancer, and noncancer causes, respectively. The 5-year HNCSM, SPCM, NCCM, and overall mortality were 14.7%, 6.5%, 7.7%, and 26.4%, respectively. Those with HPV-positive disease had a lower cumulative incidence of HNCSM (subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR] 0.362, 95% CI 0.315-0.417; P<.001), SPCM (sHR 0.400, 95% CI 0.321-0.496; P<.001), and NCCM (sHR 0.460, 95% CI 0.378-0.560; P<.001) than those with HPV-negative disease. The 5-year risk of HNCSM was 26.9% and 10.7% in those with HPV-negative and HPV-positive disease, respectively (P<.001). The 5-year risk of SPCM was 12.4% and 4.6% in those with HPV-negative and HPV-positive disease, respectively (P<.001). The 5-year risk of NCCM of death was 13.7% and 5.8% in those with HPV-negative and HPV-positive disease, respectively (P<.001). Using the Fine and Gray competing-risks model, our results show that those with HPV-negative tumors had a significantly higher risk of HNCSM (P<.001), SPCM (P<.001), and NCCM (P<.001) than those with HPV-negative tumors.
HPV-positive OPSCC has a lower NCSM, SPCM, and NCCM as compared to those with HPV-negative OPSCC. HPV positivity is a favorable prognostic factor in the context of overcoming cancer as well as in terms of reducing the risk of other CODs in OPSCC. Our finding supports the need to tailor patient follow-up based on the HPV status of patients with OPSCC.