Medical Futility

医疗效用
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:血管内治疗(EVT)是由于前循环大血管闭塞(LVO)引起的急性缺血性卒中(AIS)患者最成功的治疗方法。然而,无效再通(FR)严重影响这些患者的预后。这项研究的目的是研究AIS患者EVT后FR的预测因素。
    方法:前瞻性纳入2020年6月至2022年10月因前循环LVO而诊断为AIS并接受EVT的患者。EVT后的FR被定义为90天预后差(改良的Rankin量表[mRS]评分≥3),尽管成功实现了再灌注(改良的脑梗死溶栓[mTICI]分类2b-3)。所有纳入患者分为对照组(mRS评分<3)和FR组(mRS评分≥3)。人口特征,合并症(高血压,糖尿病,心房颤动,吸烟,等。),卒中特定数据(NIHSS评分,ASPECT评分和闭塞部位),程序数据(治疗类型[直接血栓切除术与桥接血栓切除术],血管再通程度[mTICI],手术持续时间和开始-再通时间),实验室指标(淋巴细胞计数,中性粒细胞计数,单核细胞计数,C反应蛋白,中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比率[NLR],单核细胞与高密度脂蛋白比值[MHR],淋巴细胞与单核细胞比率[LMR],淋巴细胞与C反应蛋白比[LCR],淋巴细胞与高密度脂蛋白比率[LHR],总胆固醇和甘油三酯。)比较两组。采用多因素logistic回归分析探讨EVT后FR的独立预测因素。
    结果:本研究共纳入196例患者,其中57例患者纳入对照组,139例患者纳入FR组.年龄,高血压和糖尿病患者的比例,NIHSS评分中位数,CRP水平,程序持续时间,FR组的中性粒细胞计数和NLR高于对照组.淋巴细胞计数,LMR,FR组LCR低于对照组。血小板计数无显著差异,单核细胞计数,总胆固醇,甘油三酯,HDL,LDL,性别,吸烟,心房颤动,闭塞部位的百分比,发病-再通时间,比较两组患者的ASPECT评分及治疗类型。多因素logistic回归分析显示,NLR与EVT后FR独立相关(OR=1.37,95CI=1.005~1.86,P=0.046)。
    结论:这项研究表明,高NLR与前循环LVO导致的AIS患者的FR风险相关。这些发现可能有助于临床医生确定哪些AIS患者在EVT后发生FR的风险较高。本研究可为上述人群的干预提供理论依据。
    OBJECTIVE: Endovascular therapy (EVT) is the most successful treatment for patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) due to large vessel occlusion (LVO) in the anterior circulation. However, futile recanalization (FR) seriously affects the prognosis of these patients. The aim of this study was to investigate predictors of FR after EVT in patients with AIS.
    METHODS: Patients diagnosed with AIS due to anterior circulation LVO and receiving EVT between June 2020 and October 2022 were prospectively enrolled. FR after EVT was defined as a poor 90-day prognosis (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score ≥ 3) despite achieving successful reperfusion (modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction [mTICI] classification of 2b-3). All included patients were categorized into control group (mRS score < 3) and FR group (mRS score ≥ 3). Demographic characteristics, comorbidities (hypertension, diabetes, atrial fibrillation, smoking, etc.), stroke-specific data (NIHSS score, ASPECT score and site of occlusion), procedure data (treatment type [direct thrombectomy vs. bridging thrombectomy], degree of vascular recanalization [mTICI], procedure duration time and onset-recanalization time), laboratory indicators (lymphocytes count, neutrophils count, monocytes count, C-reactive protein, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio [NLR], monocyte-to-high-density lipoprotein ratio [MHR], lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio [LMR], lymphocyte-to-C-reactive protein ratio [LCR], lymphocyte-to-high-density lipoprotein ratio[LHR], total cholesterol and triglycerides.) were compared between the two groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to explore independent predictors of FR after EVT.
    RESULTS: A total of 196 patients were included in this study, among which 57 patients were included in the control group and 139 patients were included in the FR group. Age, proportion of patients with hypertension and diabetes mellitus, median NIHSS score, CRP level, procedure duration time, neutrophil count and NLR were higher in the FR group than in the control group. Lymphocyte count, LMR, and LCR were lower in the FR group than in the control group. There were no significant differences in platelet count, monocytes count, total cholesterol, triglycerides, HDL, LDL, gender, smoking, atrial fibrillation, percentage of occluded sites, onset-recanalization time, ASPECT score and type of treatment between the two groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that NLR was independently associated with FR after EVT (OR = 1.37, 95%CI = 1.005-1.86, P = 0.046).
    CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated that high NLR was associated with a risk of FR in patients with AIS due to anterior circulation LVO. These findings may help clinicians determine which patients with AIS are at higher risk of FR after EVT. Our study can provide a theoretical basis for interventions in the aforementioned population.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:调查显示有死亡风险的老年患者的前瞻性反馈回路是否可以减少临终时的无益治疗。
    方法:具有常规护理和干预阶段的前瞻性阶梯式楔形整群随机试验。
    方法:昆士兰州东南部的三家大型三级公立医院,澳大利亚。
    方法:在三家医院招募了14个临床团队。根据年龄在75岁以上的患者的一致病史招募了团队。需要一名提名的首席专家顾问。在这些团队的照顾下,有4,268例患者(中位年龄84岁)可能接近生命终点,并被标记为非有益治疗的风险.
    方法:干预措施通知临床医生他们所护理的患者被确定为非有益治疗的风险。有两个通知标志:实时通知和在每个筛查日结束时向临床医生发送有关高危患者的电子邮件。推动干预在三家医院进行了16-35周。
    方法:主要结局是一个或多个重症监护病房(ICU)入院患者的比例。次要结果检查了被标记为有风险的患者的时间。
    结果:ICU入院减少的主要结局没有改善(平均概率差异[干预措施减去常规护理]=-0.01,95%置信区间-0.08至0.01)。死亡时间没有差异,放电,或医疗急救电话。在干预阶段,再次入院的概率降低(平均概率差异-0.08,95%置信区间-0.13至-0.03)。
    结论:这种推动干预不足以降低老年住院患者的试验非有益治疗结果。
    背景:澳大利亚新西兰临床试验注册中心,ACTRN12619000675123(2019年5月6日注册)。
    To investigate if a prospective feedback loop that flags older patients at risk of death can reduce non-beneficial treatment at end of life.
    Prospective stepped-wedge cluster randomised trial with usual care and intervention phases.
    Three large tertiary public hospitals in south-east Queensland, Australia.
    14 clinical teams were recruited across the three hospitals. Teams were recruited based on a consistent history of admitting patients aged 75+ years, and needed a nominated lead specialist consultant. Under the care of these teams, there were 4,268 patients (median age 84 years) who were potentially near the end of life and flagged at risk of non-beneficial treatment.
    The intervention notified clinicians of patients under their care determined as at-risk of non-beneficial treatment. There were two notification flags: a real-time notification and an email sent to clinicians about the at-risk patients at the end of each screening day. The nudge intervention ran for 16-35 weeks across the three hospitals.
    The primary outcome was the proportion of patients with one or more intensive care unit (ICU) admissions. The secondary outcomes examined times from patients being flagged at-risk.
    There was no improvement in the primary outcome of reduced ICU admissions (mean probability difference [intervention minus usual care] = -0.01, 95% confidence interval -0.08 to 0.01). There were no differences for the times to death, discharge, or medical emergency call. There was a reduction in the probability of re-admission to hospital during the intervention phase (mean probability difference -0.08, 95% confidence interval -0.13 to -0.03).
    This nudge intervention was not sufficient to reduce the trial\'s non-beneficial treatment outcomes in older hospital patients.
    Australia New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry, ACTRN12619000675123 (registered 6 May 2019).
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:临床试验通常涉及某种形式的临时监测,以在计划的试验完成之前确定无效。虽然存在许多临时监测选项(例如,阿尔法支出,条件功率),基于非参数的中期监测方法也需要考虑更复杂的试验设计和分析.上升是最近提出的一种非参数方法,可用于临时监测。
    方法:Upstrapping的动机是病例重采样自举,并且涉及重复采样并从临时数据中替换,以模拟数千个完全注册的试验。计算每个上行试验的p值,并将满足p值标准的上行试验的比例与预先指定的决策阈值进行比较。为了评估作为一种临时徒劳监测的潜在效用,我们进行了一项模拟研究,考虑了不同的样本量和几种不同的建议校准策略。我们首先比较了一系列阈值组合的试验拒绝率,以验证上绑方法。然后,我们将上绑方法应用于模拟临床试验数据,直接将他们的表现与更传统的阿尔法支出和有条件的权力临时监测方法进行比较,以防止徒劳。
    结果:方法验证表明,与各种模拟设置中的替代方法相比,在空场景中更有可能发现无用的证据。根据使用的停止规则,我们提出的三种向上校准方法具有不同的强度。与O'Brien-Fleming小组序贯方法相比,升级方法的I型错误率最多相差1.7%,在空场景中预期样本量低2-22%,而在替代方案中,功率在15.7%和0.2%之间波动,预期样本量降低0-15%。
    结论:在这个概念验证模拟研究中,我们评估了在临床试验中作为基于重采样的无益性监测方法的可能性.预期样本量的权衡,电源,和I型错误率控制表明,可以校准升频以实现具有不同程度的侵略性的徒劳监视,并且可以相对于考虑的alpha支出和条件性功率徒劳监视方法来识别性能相似性。
    BACKGROUND: Clinical trials often involve some form of interim monitoring to determine futility before planned trial completion. While many options for interim monitoring exist (e.g., alpha-spending, conditional power), nonparametric based interim monitoring methods are also needed to account for more complex trial designs and analyses. The upstrap is one recently proposed nonparametric method that may be applied for interim monitoring.
    METHODS: Upstrapping is motivated by the case resampling bootstrap and involves repeatedly sampling with replacement from the interim data to simulate thousands of fully enrolled trials. The p-value is calculated for each upstrapped trial and the proportion of upstrapped trials for which the p-value criteria are met is compared with a pre-specified decision threshold. To evaluate the potential utility for upstrapping as a form of interim futility monitoring, we conducted a simulation study considering different sample sizes with several different proposed calibration strategies for the upstrap. We first compared trial rejection rates across a selection of threshold combinations to validate the upstrapping method. Then, we applied upstrapping methods to simulated clinical trial data, directly comparing their performance with more traditional alpha-spending and conditional power interim monitoring methods for futility.
    RESULTS: The method validation demonstrated that upstrapping is much more likely to find evidence of futility in the null scenario than the alternative across a variety of simulations settings. Our three proposed approaches for calibration of the upstrap had different strengths depending on the stopping rules used. Compared to O\'Brien-Fleming group sequential methods, upstrapped approaches had type I error rates that differed by at most 1.7% and expected sample size was 2-22% lower in the null scenario, while in the alternative scenario power fluctuated between 15.7% lower and 0.2% higher and expected sample size was 0-15% lower.
    CONCLUSIONS: In this proof-of-concept simulation study, we evaluated the potential for upstrapping as a resampling-based method for futility monitoring in clinical trials. The trade-offs in expected sample size, power, and type I error rate control indicate that the upstrap can be calibrated to implement futility monitoring with varying degrees of aggressiveness and that performance similarities can be identified relative to considered alpha-spending and conditional power futility monitoring methods.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    儿科医生需要学会给予尽可能多的重视伦理方法,因为他们一直在给予系统的方法在他们的临床方法。在决定最终解决方案之前,还需要牢记土地法和政府规则。他们需要始终将医疗问题放在道德背景下,考虑到可用的资源,达成一些解决方案,并为儿科患者的利益应用最佳解决方案。
    Pediatric surgeons need to learn to give as much importance to the ethical approach as they have been giving to the systemic methodology in their clinical approach all along. The law of the land and the governmental rules also need to be kept in mind before deciding the final solution. They need to always put medical problems in the background of ethical context, reach a few solutions keeping in mind the available resources, and apply the best solution in the interest of their pediatric patients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:高级指令文件允许公民选择他们想要的治疗方法进行临终关怀,而不考虑治疗无效。
    目的:分析患者和护理人员对预先指令的回答,并了解他们对决定的期望。
    方法:这项研究分析了参与者对先前发表的试验的回答,设想测试文档作为通信工具的功效。
    方法:60名姑息患者和60名看护者(n=120)在AdvanceDirective文件中登记了他们的偏好,并表达了他们对是否接受所选治疗的期望。
    结果:在患者和护理人员组中,30%和23.3%希望接受心肺复苏;23.3%和25%希望接受人工器官支持;40%和35%选择接受人工喂养和补水,分别。参与者忽略了治疗无效的概念,并期望接受侵入性治疗。治疗无效的概念应与患者和护理人员讨论。应明确法律高级指令文件,以减少误解和潜在的法律冲突。
    结论:作者建议,在填写预先指令之前,应澄清所有公民的徒劳概念,并在文件中提出语法更改,将短语“接受/拒绝接受的医疗保健”替换为“接受/拒绝的医疗保健”,这样患者就不能要求治疗,而是接受或拒绝拟议的治疗计划。
    背景:ClinicalTrials.govIDNCT05090072。
    https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05090072。
    BACKGROUND: Advance Directive documents allow citizens to choose the treatments they want for end-of-life care without considering therapeutic futility.
    OBJECTIVE: To analyze patients\' and caregivers\' answers to Advance Directives and understand their expectations regarding their decisions.
    METHODS: This study analyzed participants\' answers to a previously published trial, conceived to test the document\'s efficacy as a communication tool.
    METHODS: Sixty palliative patients and 60 caregivers (n = 120) registered their preferences in the Advance Directive document and expressed their expectations regarding whether to receive the chosen treatments.
    RESULTS: In the patient and caregiver groups, 30% and 23.3% wanted to receive cardiorespiratory resuscitation; 23.3% and 25% wanted to receive artificial organ support; and 40% and 35% chose to receive artificial feeding and hydration, respectively. The participants ignored the concept of therapeutic futility and expected to receive invasive treatments. The concept of therapeutic futility should be addressed and discussed with both the patients and caregivers. Legal Advanced Directive documents should be made clear to reduce misinterpretations and potential legal conflicts.
    CONCLUSIONS: The authors suggest that all citizens should be clarified regarding the futility concept before filling out the Advance Directives and propose a grammatical change in the document, replacing the phrase \"Health Care to Receive / Not to Receive\" with the sentence \"Health Care to Accept / Refuse\" so that patients cannot demand treatments, but instead accept or refuse the proposed therapeutic plans.
    BACKGROUND: ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT05090072.
    UNASSIGNED: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05090072.
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  • 文章类型: English Abstract
    The rise in intensive care treatment procedures is accompanied by an increase in the complexity of decisions regarding the selection, administration and duration of treatment measures. Whether a treatment goal is desirable in an individual case and the treatment plan required to achieve it is acceptable for the patient depends on the patient\'s preferences, values and life plans. There is often uncertainty as to whether a patient-centered treatment goal can be achieved. The use of a time-limited treatment trial (TLT) as a binding agreement between the intensive care unit (ICU) team and the patient or their legal representative on a treatment concept over a defined period of time in the ICU can be helpful to reduce uncertainties and to ensure the continuation of intensive care measures in the patients\' best interest.
    UNASSIGNED: Die Zunahme der intensivmedizinischen Behandlungsverfahren ist mit einer Steigerung der Komplexität der Entscheidungen über Auswahl, Anwendung und Dauer der Therapiemaßnahmen verbunden. Ob im individuellen Fall ein Behandlungsziel erstrebenswert und der dafür notwendige Behandlungsweg akzeptabel ist, hängt von den persönlichen Wünschen, Werthaltungen und Lebensentwürfen der Patientinnen und Patienten ab. Häufig bestehen Unsicherheiten darüber, ob ein patientenzentriertes Behandlungsziel erreicht werden kann. Der Einsatz eines zeitlich begrenzten Therapieversuches (TLT) als eine verbindliche Übereinkunft zwischen dem Behandlungsteam und der Patientin/dem Patienten bzw. dem juristischen Stellvertretenden zu einem Behandlungskonzept über einen definierten Zeitraum auf der Intensivstation kann hilfreich sein, um Unsicherheiten zu reduzieren und die Fortführung intensivmedizinischer Maßnahmen im Sinne des/der Patient/in besser einordnen und rechtfertigen zu können.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在危重患者中可能不适当的治疗与医疗保健提供者的痛苦和倦怠有关。关于儿科医疗保健提供者中感知到的潜在不适当治疗的知识是有限的。
    确定提供者认为的与危重患儿潜在不当治疗相关的频率和因素,并描述提供者报告导致他们在提供被认为可能不适当的治疗时所经历的痛苦的因素。
    在2018年3月2日至9月14日进行的单三级PICU的前瞻性观察性混合方法研究。患者0-17岁,包括:(1)≥1个器官系统功能障碍(2)中度至重度精神和身体残疾,或(3)对医疗技术的基线依赖性,如果他们继续入住PICU≥48小时,并且在医学上不适合转移/出院。根据每个入选患者对正在进行的积极治疗的适当性的共识程度(1、2或3个提供者),将感知到的潜在不适当治疗的频率分为三组。使用100点量表自我报告痛苦。
    在研究期间收治的374名患者中,133符合纳入-排除标准。18名患者(一致-3名患者,2个提供者-7名患者;单个提供者-8名患者)被认为接受了潜在的不适当的治疗;在PICU出院后3个月的随访中,一致共识与100%死亡率相关。53%的提供者在提供被认为可能不适当的治疗之后经历了痛苦。定性主题分析揭示了与提供者痛苦相关的五个主题:(1)痛苦,包括造成伤害的感觉,(2)冲突,(3)生活质量,(4)资源利用,(5)不确定性。
    虽然被认为可能不适当的治疗很少见,通常观察到提供者的痛苦。通过确定导致感知到的潜在不当治疗和任何相关提供者困扰的特定因素,组织可以设计,实施和评估有针对性的干预措施。
    UNASSIGNED: Potentially inappropriate treatment in critically ill adults is associated with healthcare provider distress and burnout. Knowledge regarding perceived potentially inappropriate treatment amongst pediatric healthcare providers is limited.
    UNASSIGNED: Determine the frequency and factors associated with potentially inappropriate treatment in critically ill children as perceived by providers, and describe the factors that providers report contribute to the distress they experience when providing treatment perceived as potentially inappropriate.
    UNASSIGNED: Prospective observational mixed-methods study in a single tertiary level PICU conducted between March 2 and September 14, 2018. Patients 0-17 years inclusive with: (1) ≥1 organ system dysfunction (2) moderate to severe mental and physical disabilities, or (3) baseline dependence on medical technology were enrolled if they remained admitted to the PICU for ≥48 h, and were not medically fit for transfer/discharge. The frequency of perceived potentially inappropriate treatment was stratified into three groups based on degree of consensus (1, 2 or 3 providers) regarding the appropriateness of ongoing active treatment per enrolled patient. Distress was self-reported using a 100-point scale.
    UNASSIGNED: Of 374 patients admitted during the study, 133 satisfied the inclusion-exclusion criteria. Eighteen patients (unanimous - 3 patients, 2 providers - 7 patients; single provider - 8 patients) were perceived as receiving potentially inappropriate treatment; unanimous consensus was associated with 100% mortality on 3-month follow up post PICU discharge. Fifty-three percent of providers experienced distress secondary to providing treatment perceived as potentially inappropriate. Qualitative thematic analysis revealed five themes regarding factors associated with provider distress: (1) suffering including a sense of causing harm, (2) conflict, (3) quality of life, (4) resource utilization, and (5) uncertainty.
    UNASSIGNED: While treatment perceived as potentially inappropriate was infrequent, provider distress was commonly observed. By identifying specific factor(s) contributing to perceived potentially inappropriate treatment and any associated provider distress, organizations can design, implement and assess targeted interventions.
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  • 文章类型: Clinical Trial, Phase III
    无缝2/3阶段设计在单一终点的临床试验中越来越受欢迎。根据所有共同主要终点(CPE)的成就定义成功的试验遇到了膨胀的2型错误率的挑战,通常导致样本量过大。为了应对这一挑战,我们引入了无缝2/3阶段设计策略,该策略在中期分析时采用贝叶斯预测能力(BPP)进行无用性监测和样本量重新估计.使用狄利克雷-多项分布合并多个CPE之间的相关性。为了进行比较,还讨论了一种基于条件功率(CP)的替代方法。在非劣质假设下采用四个二元终点的无缝2/3期疫苗试验作为示例。我们的结果突出表明,在第二阶段样本量相对较小的情况下(例如,50或100名受试者),BPP方法在整体功率方面优于或匹配CP方法。特别是,在n1=50和ρ=0的情况下,BPP展示了比CP高8.54%的整体功率优势。此外,当第二阶段登记了更多的受试者(例如,150或200),特别是在第2阶段样本量为200且ρ=0的情况下,BPP方法证明与CP方法相比,早期停止概率的峰值差异为5.76%,强调其在终止徒劳试验方面的更好效率。值得注意的是,BPP和CP方法都将类型1错误率保持在2.5%以下。总之,Dirichlet-Multinomal模型与BPP方法的集成在某些情况下,对于具有多个CPE的无缝2/3阶段试验,与CP方法相比,提供了改进.
    Seamless phase 2/3 design has become increasingly popular in clinical trials with a single endpoint. Trials that define success based on the achievement of all co-primary endpoints (CPEs) encounter the challenge of inflated type 2 error rates, often leading to an overly large sample size. To tackle this challenge, we introduced a seamless phase 2/3 design strategy that employs Bayesian predictive power (BPP) for futility monitoring and sample size re-estimation at interim analysis. The correlations among multiple CPEs are incorporated using a Dirichlet-multinomial distribution. An alternative approach based on conditional power (CP) was also discussed for comparison. A seamless phase 2/3 vaccine trial employing four binary endpoints under the non-inferior hypothesis serves as an example. Our results spotlight that, in scenarios with relatively small phase 2 sample sizes (e.g., 50 or 100 subjects), the BPP approach either outperforms or matches the CP approach in terms of overall power. Particularly, with n1 = 50 and ρ = 0, BPP showcases an overall power advantage over CP by as much as 8.54%. Furthermore, when the phase 2 stage enrolled more subjects (e.g., 150 or 200), especially with a phase 2 sample size of 200 and ρ = 0, the BPP approach evidences a peak difference of 5.76% in early stop probability over the CP approach, emphasizing its better efficiency in terminating futile trials. It\'s noteworthy that both BPP and CP methodologies maintained type 1 error rates under 2.5%. In conclusion, the integration of the Dirichlet-Multinominal model with the BPP approach offers improvement in certain scenarios over the CP approach for seamless phase 2/3 trials with multiple CPEs.
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  • TP53突变的骨髓增生异常综合征(MDS)和急性髓细胞性白血病(AML)是最致命的恶性肿瘤,其特点是目前可用的治疗结果令人沮丧。异基因造血细胞移植(allo-HCT)被广泛认为是提供持久疾病控制的唯一治疗选择。然而,在这种情况下,allo-HCT的结果相当差,质疑移植的效用。在这次审查中,我们总结了这个亚组的allo-HCT结局的最新数据,评估现有证据的局限性;我们回顾了这种疾病的分子异质性,根据不同的生物学特征描述结局,以帮助患者选择;我们根据现有数据,严格检查allo-HCT是否应常规应用于该疾病.我们建议,TP53突变的MDS/AML患者具有双等位基因丢失和/或不良风险细胞遗传学的异常不良结果应激发HCT与非HCT的随机对照试验,以确定移植是否可以延长生存期和/或积极影响其他临床相关结果,例如患者报告的结果或该疾病子集的医疗资源利用。没有专门的前瞻性随机试验,选择可能从TP53突变的MDS/AML的allo-HCT中实际获益的人可以被描述为模棱两可的猜测,必须仔细考虑.
    TP 53-mutated myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) and acute myeloid leukemia (AML) are among the most lethal malignancies, characterized by dismal outcomes with currently available therapies. Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) is widely thought to be the only treatment option to offer durable disease control. However, outcomes with allo-HCT in this context are quite poor, calling into question the utility of transplantation. In this review, we summarize the latest data on allo-HCT outcomes in this subgroup, evaluating the limitations of available evidence; we review the molecular heterogeneity of this disease, delineating outcomes based on distinct biological features to aid in patient selection; and we critically examine whether allo-HCT should be routinely applied in this disease on the basis of currently available data. We propose that the exceptionally poor outcomes of patients with TP53-mutated MDS/AML with biallelic loss and/or adverse-risk cytogenetics should motivate randomized-controlled trials of HCT vs non-HCT to determine whether transplantation can prolong survival and/or positively impact other clinically relevant outcomes such as patient-reported outcomes or healthcare resource utilization in this disease subset. Without dedicated prospective randomized trials, selecting who may actually derive benefit from allo-HCT for TP53-mutated MDS/AML can be described as ambiguous guesswork and must be carefully contemplated.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    根据全球甲烷承诺,加拿大正在制定石油和天然气行业甲烷法规,目标是到2030年在2012年的基础上减少75%。没有衡量的基线和库存,这些政策最终是不可验证和不可执行的。以萨斯喀彻温省的石油和天然气生产大省为例,我们得出了该地区有史以来首次基于测量的甲烷清单,并将以前的排放量全面建模为2012年的基线。尽管可能发生了23-69%的相对减少,模型可能性的分散和持续生产的高排放说明了这种方法作为有意义的政策度量的局限性。此外,近90%的表观减产是由重油设施产量下降解释的,这表明,如果恢复生产,排放量有可能反弹。相比之下,基于测量得出的甲烷排放强度有助于定量评估,并表明尽管过去有任何减少,萨斯喀彻温省的0.41±0.03g/MJ强度仍然是北美最高的。这凸显了缺乏衡量的基线和清单的相对减少目标本质上是徒劳的,并且有可能奖励高排放者,同时掩盖了持续的缓解潜力。最终,所需的全球甲烷减排量只有通过采用客观和独立可验证的排放指标,同时衡量和跟踪净零未来的进展,才能实现。
    Under the Global Methane Pledge, Canada is developing oil and gas sector methane regulations targeting 75% reductions from 2012 levels by 2030. Without measured baselines and inventories, such policies are ultimately unverifiable and unenforceable. Using the major oil and gas producing province of Saskatchewan as a case study, we derive first-ever measurement-based methane inventories for the region and comprehensively model previous emissions back to the 2012 baseline. Although relative reductions of 23-69% have likely occurred, the dispersion of modeled possibilities and the high emissions from continuing production illustrate the limits of this approach as a meaningful policy metric. Moreover, nearly 90% of apparent reductions are explained by decreased production at heavy oil facilities, suggesting emissions have potential to rebound if production resumes. By contrast, derived measurement-based methane emissions intensities facilitate quantitative assessment and show that despite any past reductions, Saskatchewan\'s 0.41 ± 0.03 g/MJ intensity remains among the highest in North America. This highlights how relative reduction targets absent measured baselines and inventories are inherently futile and risk rewarding high emitters while obscuring ongoing mitigation potential. Ultimately, required global methane reductions will only be achieved by adopting objectively and independently verifiable emission metrics while measuring and tracking progress toward a net zero future.
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