In Canada, Gonorrhea infection ranks as the second most prevalent sexually transmitted infection. In 2018, Manitoba reported an incidence rate three times greater than the national average. This study aims to investigate the spatial, temporal, and spatio-temporal patterns of Gonorrhea infection in Manitoba, using individual-level laboratory-confirmed administrative data provided by Manitoba Health from 2000 to 2016. Age and sex patterns indicate that females are affected by infections at younger ages compared to males. Moreover, there is an increase in repeated infections in 2016, accounting for 16% of the total infections. Spatial analysis at the 96 Manitoba regional health authority districts highlights significant positive spatial autocorrelation, demonstrating a clustered distribution of the infection. Northern districts of Manitoba and central Winnipeg were identified as significant clusters. Temporal analysis shows seasonal patterns, with higher infections in late summer and fall. Additionally, spatio-temporal analysis reveals clusters during high-risk periods, with the most likely cluster in the northern districts of Manitoba from January 2006 to June 2014, and a secondary cluster in central Winnipeg from June 2004 to November 2012. This study identifies that Gonorrhea infection transmission in Manitoba has temporal, spatial, and spatio-temporal variations. The findings provide vital insights for public health and Manitoba Health by revealing high-risk clusters and emphasizing the need for focused and localized prevention, control measures, and resource allocation.

BACKGROUND: Detection of pathogen-related clusters within a hospital is key to early intervention to prevent onward transmission. Various automated surveillance methods for outbreak detection have been implemented in hospital settings. However, direct comparison is difficult due to heterogenicity of data sources and methodologies. In the hospital setting, we assess the performance of three different methods for identifying microbiological clusters when applied to various pathogens with distinct occurrence patterns.
METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study we use WHONET-SaTScan, CLAR (CLuster AleRt system) and our currently used percentile-based system (P75) for the means of cluster detection. The three methods are applied to the same data curated from 1st January 2014 to 31st December 2021 from a tertiary care hospital. We show the results for the following case studies: the introduction of a new pathogen with subsequent endemicity, an endemic species, rising levels of an endemic organism, and a sporadically occurring species.
RESULTS: All three cluster detection methods showed congruence only in endemic organisms. However, there was a paucity of alerts from WHONET-SaTScan (n = 9) compared to CLAR (n = 319) and the P75 system (n = 472). WHONET-SaTScan did not pick up smaller variations in baseline numbers of endemic organisms as well as sporadic organisms as compared to CLAR and the P75 system. CLAR and the P75 system revealed congruence in alerts for both endemic and sporadic organisms.
CONCLUSIONS: Use of statistically based automated cluster alert systems (such as CLAR and WHONET-Satscan) are comparable to rule-based alert systems only for endemic pathogens. For sporadic pathogens WHONET-SaTScan returned fewer alerts compared to rule-based alert systems. Further work is required regarding clinical relevance, timelines of cluster alerts and implementation.

The vast growth of spatial datasets in recent decades has fueled the development of many statistical methods for detecting spatial patterns. Two of the most commonly studied spatial patterns are clustering, loosely defined as datapoints with similar attributes existing close together, and dispersion, loosely defined as the semi-regular placement of datapoints with similar attributes. In this work, we develop a hypothesis test to detect spatial clustering or dispersion at specific distances in categorical areal data. Such data consists of a set of spatial regions whose boundaries are fixed and known (e.g., counties) associated with a categorical random variable (e.g. whether the county is rural, micropolitan, or metropolitan). We propose a method to extend the positive area proportion function (developed for detecting spatial clustering in binary areal data) to the categorical case. This proposal, referred to as the categorical positive areal proportion function test, can detect various spatial patterns, including homogeneous clusters, heterogeneous clusters, and dispersion. Our approach is the first method capable of distinguishing between different types of clustering in categorical areal data. After validating our method using an extensive simulation study, we use the categorical positive area proportion function test to detect spatial patterns in Boulder County, Colorado USA biological, agricultural, built and open conservation easements.

BACKGROUND: Dengue is a mosquito-borne disease that causes over 300 million infections worldwide each year with no specific treatment available. Effective surveillance systems are needed for outbreak detection and resource allocation. Spatial cluster detection methods are commonly used, but no general guidance exists on the most appropriate method for dengue surveillance. Therefore, a comprehensive study is needed to assess different methods and provide guidance for dengue surveillance programs.
METHODS: To evaluate the effectiveness of different cluster detection methods for dengue surveillance, we selected and assessed commonly used methods: Getis Ord [Formula: see text], Local Moran, SaTScan, and Bayesian modeling. We conducted a simulation study to compare their performance in detecting clusters, and applied all methods to a case study of dengue surveillance in Thailand in 2019 to further evaluate their practical utility.
RESULTS: In the simulation study, Getis Ord [Formula: see text] and Local Moran had similar performance, with most misdetections occurring at cluster boundaries and isolated hotspots. SaTScan showed better precision but was less effective at detecting inner outliers, although it performed well on large outbreaks. Bayesian convolution modeling had the highest overall precision in the simulation study. In the dengue case study in Thailand, Getis Ord [Formula: see text] and Local Moran missed most disease clusters, while SaTScan was mostly able to detect a large cluster. Bayesian disease mapping seemed to be the most effective, with adaptive detection of irregularly shaped disease anomalies.
CONCLUSIONS: Bayesian modeling showed to be the most effective method, demonstrating the best accuracy in adaptively identifying irregularly shaped disease anomalies. In contrast, SaTScan excelled in detecting large outbreaks and regular forms. This study provides empirical evidence for the selection of appropriate tools for dengue surveillance in Thailand, with potential applicability to other disease control programs in similar settings.

BACKGROUND: Dengue infection ranges from asymptomatic to severe and life-threatening, with no specific treatment available. Vector control is crucial for interrupting its transmission cycle. Accurate estimation of outbreak timing and location is essential for efficient resource allocation. Timely and reliable notification systems are necessary to monitor dengue incidence, including spatial and temporal distributions, to detect outbreaks promptly and implement effective control measures.
METHODS: We proposed an integrated two-step methodology for real-time spatiotemporal cluster detection, accounting for reporting delays. In the first step, we employed space-time nowcasting modeling to compensate for lags in the reporting system. Subsequently, anomaly detection methods were applied to assess adverse risks. To illustrate the effectiveness of these detection methods, we conducted a case study using weekly dengue surveillance data from Thailand.
RESULTS: The developed methodology demonstrated robust surveillance effectiveness. By combining space-time nowcasting modeling and anomaly detection, we achieved enhanced detection capabilities, accounting for reporting delays and identifying clusters of elevated risk in real-time. The case study in Thailand showcased the practical application of our methodology, enabling timely initiation of disease control activities.
CONCLUSIONS: Our integrated two-step methodology provides a valuable approach for real-time spatiotemporal cluster detection in dengue surveillance. By addressing reporting delays and incorporating anomaly detection, it complements existing surveillance systems and forecasting efforts. Implementing this methodology can facilitate the timely initiation of disease control activities, contributing to more effective prevention and control strategies for dengue in Thailand and potentially other regions facing similar challenges.

Spatial clustering detection has a variety of applications in diverse fields, including identifying infectious disease outbreaks, pinpointing crime hotspots, and identifying clusters of neurons in brain imaging applications. Ripley\'s K-function is a popular method for detecting clustering (or dispersion) in point process data at specific distances. Ripley\'s K-function measures the expected number of points within a given distance of any observed point. Clustering can be assessed by comparing the observed value of Ripley\'s K-function to the expected value under complete spatial randomness. While performing spatial clustering analysis on point process data is common, applications to areal data commonly arise and need to be accurately assessed. Inspired by Ripley\'s K-function, we develop the positive area proportion function (PAPF) and use it to develop a hypothesis testing procedure for the detection of spatial clustering and dispersion at specific distances in areal data. We compare the performance of the proposed PAPF hypothesis test to that of the global Moran\'s I statistic, the Getis-Ord general G statistic, and the spatial scan statistic with extensive simulation studies. We then evaluate the real-world performance of our method by using it to detect spatial clustering in land parcels containing conservation easements and US counties with high pediatric overweight/obesity rates.

Case detection through contact tracing is a key intervention during an infectious disease outbreak. However, contact tracing is an intensive process where a given contact tracer must locate not only confirmed cases but also identify and interview known contacts. Often these data are manually recorded. During emerging outbreaks, the number of contacts could expand rapidly and beyond this, when focused on individual transmission chains, larger patterns may not be identified. Understanding if particular cases can be clustered and linked to a common source can help to prioritize contact tracing effects and understand underlying risk factors for large spreading events. Electronic health records systems are used by the vast majority of private healthcare systems across the USA, providing a potential way to automatically detect outbreaks and connect cases through already collected data. In this analysis, we propose an algorithm to identify case clusters within a community during an infectious disease outbreak using Bayesian probabilistic case linking and explore how this approach could supplement outbreak responses; especially when human contact tracing resources are limited.

Infection clusters of multidrug-resistant bacteria increase mortality and entail expensive infection control measures. Whereas whole-genome sequencing (WGS) is the current gold standard to confirm infection clusters, PCR-based assays targeting cluster-specific signatures, such as single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) derived from WGS data, are more suitable to initially screen for cluster isolates within large sample sizes. Here, we evaluated four software tools (SeqSphere+, RUCS, Gegenees, and Find Differential Primers) regarding their efficiency to find SNPs within WGS data sets that were specific for two bacterial monospecies infection clusters but were absent from a WGS reference data set comprising several hundred diverse genotypes of the same bacterial species. Cluster-specific SNPs were subsequently used to establish a probe-based real-time PCR screening assay for in vitro differentiation between cluster and noncluster isolates. SeqSphere+ and RUCS found 2 and 24 SNPs for clusters 1 and 14 and 24 SNPs for cluster 2, respectively. However, some signatures detected by RUCS were not cluster specific. Interestingly, all SNPs identified by SeqSphere+ were also detected by RUCS. In contrast, analyses with the remaining tools either resulted in no SNPs (with Find Differential Primers) or failed (Gegenees). Design of six cluster-specific real-time PCR assays enabled reliable cluster screening in vitro. Our evaluation revealed that SeqSphere+ and RUCS identified cluster-specific SNPs that could be used for large-scale screening in surveillance samples via real-time PCR, thereby complementing WGS efforts. This faster and simplified approach for the surveillance of bacterial clusters will improve infection control measures and will enhance protection of patients and physicians. IMPORTANCE Infection clusters of multidrug-resistant bacteria threaten medical facilities worldwide and cause immense health care costs. In recent years, whole-genome sequencing (WGS) has been increasingly applied to detect and to further control bacterial clusters. However, as WGS is still expensive and time-consuming, its exclusive application for screening and confirmation of bacterial infection clusters contributes to high costs and enhanced turnaround times, which many hospitals cannot afford. Therefore, there is need for alternative methods that can enable further surveillance of bacterial clusters that are initially detected by WGS in a faster and more cost-efficient way. Here, we established a system based on real-time PCR that enables rapid large-scale sample screening for bacterial cluster isolates within 7 days after the initial detection of an infection cluster, thereby complementing WGS efforts. This faster and simplified surveillance of bacterial clusters will improve infection control measures and will enhance protection of patients and physicians.

UNASSIGNED: Data visualisation is key to informing data-driven decision-making, yet this is an underexplored area of suicide surveillance. By way of enhancing a real-time suicide surveillance system model, an interactive dashboard prototype has been developed to facilitate emerging cluster detection, risk profiling and trend observation, as well as to establish a formal data sharing connection with key stakeholders via an intuitive interface.
UNASSIGNED: Individual-level demographic and circumstantial data on cases of confirmed suicide and open verdicts meeting the criteria for suicide in County Cork 2008-2017 were analysed to validate the model. The retrospective and prospective space-time scan statistics based on a discrete Poisson model were employed via the R software environment using the \"rsatscan\" and \"shiny\" packages to conduct the space-time cluster analysis and deliver the mapping and graphic components encompassing the dashboard interface.
UNASSIGNED: Using the best-fit parameters, the retrospective scan statistic returned several emerging non-significant clusters detected during the 10-year period, while the prospective approach demonstrated the predictive ability of the model. The outputs of the investigations are visually displayed using a geographical map of the identified clusters and a timeline of cluster occurrence.
UNASSIGNED: The challenges of designing and implementing visualizations for suspected suicide data are presented through a discussion of the development of the dashboard prototype and the potential it holds for supporting real-time decision-making.
UNASSIGNED: The results demonstrate that integration of a cluster detection approach involving geo-visualisation techniques, space-time scan statistics and predictive modelling would facilitate prospective early detection of emerging clusters, at-risk populations, and locations of concern. The prototype demonstrates real-world applicability as a proactive monitoring tool for timely action in suicide prevention by facilitating informed planning and preparedness to respond to emerging suicide clusters and other concerning trends.

National and international Vitis variety catalogues can be used as image datasets for computer vision in viticulture. These databases archive ampelographic features and phenology of several grape varieties and plant structures images (e.g. leaf, bunch, shoots). Although these archives represent a potential database for computer vision in viticulture, plant structure images are acquired singularly and mostly not directly in the vineyard. Localization computer vision models would take advantage of multiple objects in the same image, allowing more efficient training. The present images and labels dataset was designed to overcome such limitations and provide suitable images for multiple cluster identification in white grape varieties. A group of 373 images were acquired from later view in vertical shoot position vineyards in six different Italian locations at different phenological stages. Images were then labelled in YOLO labelling format. The dataset was made available both in terms of images and labels. The real number of bunches counted in the field, and the number of bunches visible in the image (not covered by other vine structures) was recorded for a group of images in this dataset.