Biological Factors

生物因素
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:本研究的目的是评估生物治疗对类风湿性关节炎患者心血管危险因素的影响,以确定其临床疗效。
    方法:在PubMed,Embase,和Cochrane图书馆数据库。使用标准化平均差异(SMD)和95%置信区间(CIs)进行Meta分析,以评估心血管危险因素和动脉粥样硬化。异质性,敏感性分析,并评估发表偏倚.P<0.05时具有统计学意义。
    结果:荟萃分析显示,与对照组相比,RA患者的生物治疗与高密度脂蛋白胆固醇(HDL-C)水平降低有关(MD:-0.10,95%CI:[-0.14,-0.05],P<0.0001)。基于治疗持续时间的亚组分析显示异质性和治疗12个月后总胆固醇水平的潜在降低(MD=-0.03,95%CI[-0.21,-0.15],P=0.76)。与对照组相比,生物治疗显着降低了甘油三酸酯水平(MD=-0.23,95%CI[-0.37,-0.09],P=0.001),在亚组分析中观察到。此外,生物制剂可有效降低低密度脂蛋白胆固醇(LDL-C)水平(MD:-0.10,95%CI:[-0.14,-0.05],P<0.0001)。然而,生物治疗与颈内动脉厚度增加相关(MD:0.05,95%CI:[0.03,0.07],P<0.0001),表明对心血管健康的潜在不利影响。未观察到对脉搏波速度(PWV)的显着影响(MD:-0.23,95%CI:[-0.80,0.34],P=0.43,I2=0%,P=0.55)。
    结论:生物制剂可以改善RA患者的血脂状况,但也可能对心血管健康产生不利影响。需要进一步的研究来全面了解生物治疗对RA患者脂质代谢和心血管预后的影响。
    背景:https://www.crd.约克。AC.英国/PROSPERO/,CRD42024504911。
    OBJECTIVE: The purpose of the study is to evaluate the effects of biologic therapy on cardiovascular risk factors in rheumatoid arthritis patients to determine its clinical efficacy.
    METHODS: Relevant literature was systematically searched in PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases. Meta-analysis was conducted using standardized mean differences (SMDs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to evaluate cardiovascular risk factors and atherosclerosis. Heterogeneity, sensitivity analysis, and publication bias were assessed. Statistical significance was set at P<0.05.
    RESULTS: The meta-analysis revealed that biologic treatment in RA patients was associated with decreased high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels compared to controls (MD: -0.10, 95% CI: [-0.14, -0.05], P<0.0001). Subgroup analysis based on treatment duration showed heterogeneity and a potential decrease in total cholesterol levels after 12 months of treatment (MD = -0.03, 95% CI [-0.21, -0.15], P = 0.76). Biologic therapy significantly reduced triglyceride levels compared to controls (MD = -0.23, 95% CI [-0.37, -0.09], P = 0.001), as observed in subgroup analysis. Moreover, biologics effectively decreased low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels (MD: -0.10, 95% CI: [-0.14, -0.05], P<0.0001). However, biologic treatment was associated with increased inner carotid artery thickness (MD: 0.05, 95% CI: [0.03, 0.07], P<0.0001), indicating potential adverse effects on cardiovascular health. No significant effect on pulse wave velocity (PWV) was observed (MD: -0.23, 95% CI: [-0.80, 0.34], P = 0.43, I2 = 0%, P = 0.55).
    CONCLUSIONS: Biologic agents may improve lipid profiles in RA patients but could also have adverse effects on cardiovascular health. Further research is needed to comprehensively understand the impact of biologic therapy on lipid metabolism and cardiovascular outcomes in RA patients.
    BACKGROUND: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/, CRD42024504911.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    急性COVID-19综合征(长COVID)是指COVID-19症状或康复后的异常症状持续存在。即使没有死亡,它代表了巨大的全球公共卫生负担。尽管有许多关于长COVID的报道,相关生物学因素的患病率和数据仍不清楚且有限.这项研究旨在确定泰国两个不同流行时期长期COVID的患病率,由于SARS-CoV-2的Delta和Omicron变体,并研究与长COVID相关的生物学因素。此外,比较Delta和Omicron变体的刺突蛋白氨基酸序列,以确定突变频率及其潜在的生物学意义.
    建立了一项回顾性横断面研究,以招募MaharatNahonRatchasima医院确诊的COVID-19参与者,他们已经康复至少三个月,并在2021年6月至2022年8月之间感染。通过电话采访收集了人口统计数据和长期的COVID经验。通过二元logistic回归分析生物学因素。从GIDSAID检索了泰国Delta和Omicron变体的SARS-CoV-2刺突蛋白氨基酸序列的数据集,以确定突变频率并根据已发表的数据确定突变的可能作用。
    从总共247名参与者中收集了数据,其中包括Delta和Omicron流行期的106名和141名参与者,分别。除了COVID-19的严重程度和健康状况,两个时间段的基线参与者数据非常相似.在Omicron期观察到的长COVID患病率高于Delta期(74.5%vs.66.0%)。与长COVID相关的生物学因素是流行变异,年龄,用对症药物治疗,和疫苗接种状况。当比较两种变体的刺突蛋白序列数据时,观察到Omicron变体在其受体结合结构域(RBD)和受体结合基序(RBM)中表现出更大量的氨基酸变化。这些区域内Omicron变体的关键变化在增强病毒可传播性和宿主免疫应答抗性方面具有重要功能。
    这项研究揭示了与泰国长期COVID相关的信息数据。应更多关注由独特病毒变体和其他生物学因素引起的长COVID,以制定COVID-19患者康复后的医疗管理策略。
    UNASSIGNED: Post-acute COVID-19 syndrome (long COVID) refers to the persistence of COVID-19 symptoms or exceptional symptoms following recovery. Even without conferring fatality, it represents a significant global public health burden. Despite many reports on long COVID, the prevalence and data on associated biological factors remain unclear and limited. This research aimed to determine the prevalence of long COVID during the two distinct epidemic periods in Thailand, due to the Delta and Omicron variants of SARS-CoV-2, and to investigate the biological factors associated with long COVID. In addition, the spike protein amino acid sequences of the Delta and Omicron variants were compared to determine the frequency of mutations and their potential biological implications.
    UNASSIGNED: A retrospective cross-sectional study was established to recruit confirmed COVID-19 participants at Maharat Nakhon Ratchasima Hospital who had recovered for at least three months and were infected between June 2021 and August 2022. The demographic data and long COVID experience were collected via telephone interview. The biological factors were analyzed through binary logistic regression. The datasets of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein amino acid sequence of the Delta and Omicron variants in Thailand were retrieved from GIDSAID to determine mutation frequencies and to identify possible roles of the mutations based on published data.
    UNASSIGNED: Data was collected from a total of 247 participants comprising 106 and 141 participants of the Delta and Omicron epidemic periods, respectively. Apart from the COVID-19 severity and health status, the baseline participant data of the two time periods were remarkably similar. The prevalence of long COVID observed in the Omicron period was higher than in the Delta period (74.5% vs. 66.0%). The biological factors associated with long COVID were epidemic variant, age, treatment with symptomatic medicines, and vaccination status. When the spike protein sequence data of the two variants were compared, it was observed that the Omicron variant exhibited a greater quantity of amino acid changes in its receptor-binding domain (RBD) and receptor-binding motif (RBM). The critical changes of the Omicron variant within these regions had a significant function in enhancing virus transmissibility and host immune response resistance.
    UNASSIGNED: This study revealed informative data associated with long COVID in Thailand. More attention should be given to long COVID caused by unique virus variants and other biological factors to prepare a healthcare management strategy for COVID-19 patients after recovery.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    冠状病毒病(COVID-19)对个人生活方式有极其有害的影响,目前,人们必须经常在深刻的变化下做出财务或生存决策。尽管有报道称COVID-19改变了决策模式,潜在机制尚不清楚.这项小型审查的重点是COVID-19大流行对跨期选择的影响,和潜在的心理,生物,以及调解这种关系的社会因素。对WebofScience电子数据库的搜索产生了23项研究。结果显示,在COVID-19大流行下,人们倾向于选择即时和较小的奖励,变得不那么耐心了。特别是,有负面情绪的人,在身体健康状况更差的情况下,或者不遵守政府限制规则的人在行为上往往会变得更加“短视”。未来的研究应该检查更多的纵向和跨文化研究,以广泛了解COVID-19大流行下的决策变化。
    The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has extremely harmful effects on individual lifestyles, and at present, people must make financial or survival decisions under the profound changes frequently. Although it has been reported that COVID-19 changed decision-making patterns, the underlying mechanisms remained unclear. This mini-review focuses on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on intertemporal choice, and potential psychological, biological, and social factors that mediate this relationship. A search of the Web of Science electronic database yielded 23 studies. The results showed that under the COVID-19 pandemic, people tended to choose immediate and smaller rewards, and became less patient. In particular, people with negative emotions, in a worse condition of physical health, or who did not comply with their government restriction rules tended to become more \"short-sighted\" in behavioral terms. Future studies should examine more longitudinal and cross-cultural research to give a broad view about the decision-making change under the COVID-19 pandemic.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:肠道菌群,对宿主健康至关重要,影响新陈代谢,免疫功能,和发展。了解肠道内细菌积累的动态过程至关重要,因为它与免疫反应密切相关,抗生素耐药性,还有结直肠癌.我们调查了大肠杆菌在斑马鱼幼虫肠道中的行为和分布,关注肠道微环境。
    结果:我们发现大肠杆菌在肠道褶皱中的传播受到了很大的抑制,导致褶皱中强烈的物理积累。此外,观察到背侧的大肠杆菌浓度高于腹侧。我们的体外微流控实验和理论分析表明,大肠杆菌在肠道中的总体分布是通过物理因素和细菌出租车的组合来确定的。
    结论:我们的研究结果为肠道微环境如何影响细菌运动和积累提供了有价值的见解,增强我们对肠道微生物群的行为和生态动力学的理解。
    BACKGROUND: The gut microbiota, vital for host health, influences metabolism, immune function, and development. Understanding the dynamic processes of bacterial accumulation within the gut is crucial, as it is closely related to immune responses, antibiotic resistance, and colorectal cancer. We investigated Escherichia coli behavior and distribution in zebrafish larval intestines, focusing on the gut microenvironment.
    RESULTS: We discovered that E. coli spread was considerably suppressed within the intestinal folds, leading to a strong physical accumulation in the folds. Moreover, a higher concentration of E. coli on the dorsal side than on the ventral side was observed. Our in vitro microfluidic experiments and theoretical analysis revealed that the overall distribution of E. coli in the intestines was established by a combination of physical factor and bacterial taxis.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our findings provide valuable insight into how the intestinal microenvironment affects bacterial motility and accumulation, enhancing our understanding of the behavioral and ecological dynamics of the intestinal microbiota.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:研究疾病活动性和抗风湿药(DMARDs)治疗对类风湿性关节炎和间质性肺病(RA-ILD)患者全因死亡率的影响。
    方法:RA-ILD患者选自生物制剂注册类风湿性关节炎:生物治疗观察(RABBIT)。使用时变Cox回归,研究了临床指标与死亡率之间的关系.通过(1)考虑累积暴露的Cox回归分析了DMARDs的影响(即,治疗月除以总月)和(2)时变Cox回归作为主要方法(每月水平的治疗暴露)。
    结果:在15566名参与者中,381例被确定为RA-ILD病例,观察人数为1258人-年,中位随访时间为2.6年。97例患者(25.5%)死亡,其中34例(35.1%)在死亡时未接受DMARD治疗。较高的炎症生物标志物,但不肿胀和压痛关节计数与死亡率显着相关。与肿瘤坏死因子抑制剂(TNFi)相比,非TNFi生物DMARDs(bDMARDs)在死亡率低于1时显示校正HR(aHRs),无统计学意义.这一发现在各种灵敏度分析中是稳定的。非TNFi生物制剂和JAKI与TNFi的联合aHR为0.56(95%CI0.33至0.97)。与接受任何DMARD治疗相比,未接受DMARD治疗的死亡风险高两倍。AHR2.03(95%CI1.23至3.35)。
    结论:炎症生物标志物和缺乏DMARD治疗与RA-ILD患者死亡风险增加相关。非TNFibDMARDs可在RA-ILD患者中赋予增强的治疗益处。
    OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of disease activity and treatment with disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs) on all-cause mortality in patients with rheumatoid arthritis and prevalent interstitial lung disease (RA-ILD).
    METHODS: Patients with RA-ILD were selected from the biologics register Rheumatoid Arthritis: Observation of Biologic Therapy (RABBIT). Using time-varying Cox regression, the association between clinical measures and mortality was investigated. The impact of DMARDs was analysed by (1) Cox regression considering cumulative exposure (ie, treatment months divided by total months) and (2) time-varying Cox regression as main approach (treatment exposures at monthly level).
    RESULTS: Out of 15 566 participants, 381 were identified as RA-ILD cases with 1258 person-years of observation and 2.6 years median length of follow-up. Ninety-seven patients (25.5%) died and 34 (35.1%) of these were not receiving DMARD therapy at the time of death. Higher inflammatory biomarkers but not swollen and tender joint count were significantly associated with mortality. Compared with tumour necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi), non-TNFi biologic DMARDs (bDMARDs) exhibited adjusted HRs (aHRs) for mortality below 1, lacking statistical significance. This finding was stable in various sensitivity analyses. Joint aHR for non-TNFi biologics and JAKi versus TNFi was 0.56 (95% CI 0.33 to 0.97). Receiving no DMARD treatment was associated with a twofold higher mortality risk compared with receiving any DMARD treatment, aHR 2.03 (95% CI 1.23 to 3.35).
    CONCLUSIONS: Inflammatory biomarkers and absence of DMARD treatment were associated with increased risk of mortality in patients with RA-ILD. Non-TNFi bDMARDs may confer enhanced therapeutic benefits in patients with RA-ILD.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    生物药物在美国医药支出中所占的份额越来越大。来自后续生物类似产品的竞争(后续版本与原始生物制品没有临床意义的差异)导致美国医疗保健支出的适度减少,但这些节省可能不会转化为降低患者的自付(OOP)成本.
    调查生物仿制药竞争是否与使用生物制剂的患者的OOP支出降低有关。
    这项队列研究使用了国家商业索赔数据库(OptumClinformaticsDataMart),以确定7种临床医生管理的生物制剂(filgrastim,英夫利昔单抗,pegfilgrastim,epoetinalfa,贝伐单抗,利妥昔单抗,和曲妥珠单抗)从2009年1月到2022年3月。包括65岁以下的商业保险患者的索赔。
    相对于首次生物仿制药的可用性和使用原始或生物仿制药版本的年份。
    确定了每个日历年的患者在生物制剂上的年度OOP支出,比较了参考生物版本和生物仿制药版本之间的每次索赔的OOP支出。两部分回归模型评估了OOP支出的差异,根据患者和临床特征进行调整(年龄,性别,美国人口普查地区,健康计划类型,诊断,和服务地点)和相对于初始生物类似品进入的年份。
    来自190,364人的170万份索赔(年龄中位数,53[42-59]岁;58.3%的女性)在2009年至2022年之间使用了7种生物制剂中的至少1种被纳入分析。超过251566患者年的观察,在生物仿制药可获得性前后,年度OOP成本增加。生物仿制药竞争开始两年后,非零年度OOP支出的校正比值比为1.08(95%CI,1.04-1.12;P<.001),非零年度平均支出比生物仿制药竞争前一年高出12%(95%CI,10%-14%;P<.001).在生物仿制药可用后,对生物仿制药的索赔比参考生物制品更有可能具有非零的OOP成本(调整后的赔率比,1.13[95%CI,1.11-1.16];P<.001),但平均非零OOP成本较低8%(调整后平均比率,0.92[95%CI,0.90-0.93;P<.001)。调查结果因药物而异。
    这项队列研究的结果表明,生物仿制药竞争并不总是与商业保险门诊患者的较低OOP成本相关,强调需要有针对性的政策干预措施,以确保生物仿制药竞争产生的节约转化为增加需要生物制剂的患者的负担能力。
    UNASSIGNED: Biologic drugs account for a growing share of US pharmaceutical spending. Competition from follow-on biosimilar products (subsequent versions that have no clinically meaningful differences from the original biologic) has led to modest reductions in US health care spending, but these savings may not translate to lower out-of-pocket (OOP) costs for patients.
    UNASSIGNED: To investigate whether biosimilar competition is associated with lower OOP spending for patients using biologics.
    UNASSIGNED: This cohort study used a national commercial claims database (Optum Clinformatics Data Mart) to identify outpatient claims for 1 of 7 clinician-administered biologics (filgrastim, infliximab, pegfilgrastim, epoetin alfa, bevacizumab, rituximab, and trastuzumab) from January 2009 through March 2022. Claims by commercially insured patients younger than 65 years were included.
    UNASSIGNED: Year relative to first biosimilar availability and use of original or biosimilar version.
    UNASSIGNED: Patients\' annual OOP spending on biologics for each calendar year was determined, and OOP spending per claim between reference biologic and biosimilar versions was compared. Two-part regression models assessed for differences in OOP spending, adjusting for patient and clinical characteristics (age, sex, US Census region, health plan type, diagnosis, and place of service) and year relative to initial biosimilar entry.
    UNASSIGNED: Over 1.7 million claims from 190 364 individuals (median [IQR] age, 53 [42-59] years; 58.3% females) who used at least 1 of the 7 biologics between 2009 and 2022 were included in the analysis. Over 251 566 patient-years of observation, annual OOP costs increased before and after biosimilar availability. Two years after the start of biosimilar competition, the adjusted odds ratio of nonzero annual OOP spending was 1.08 (95% CI, 1.04-1.12; P < .001) and average nonzero annual spending was 12% higher (95% CI, 10%-14%; P < .001) compared with the year before biosimilar competition. After biosimilars became available, claims for biosimilars were more likely than reference biologics to have nonzero OOP costs (adjusted odds ratio, 1.13 [95% CI, 1.11-1.16]; P < .001) but had 8% lower mean nonzero OOP costs (adjusted mean ratio, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.90-0.93; P < .001). Findings varied by drug.
    UNASSIGNED: Findings of this cohort study suggest that biosimilar competition was not consistently associated with lower OOP costs for commercially insured outpatients, highlighting the need for targeted policy interventions to ensure that the savings generated from biosimilar competition translate into increased affordability for patients who need biologics.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:膀胱癌(BC)是世界上十大常见肿瘤之一。据报道,微生物群可以定植组织,并在肿瘤发生和发展中发挥重要作用。然而,目前对BC组织微环境中微生物的了解尚不清楚.方法:在本研究中,我们整合了来自7个数据集的479个BC组织样本的RNA-seq数据,并结合了一系列生物信息学工具,以探索BC组织微环境中的微生物组景观.结果:泛微生物组估计超过1400个属。共有七个核心微生物群(芽孢杆菌,棒状杆菌,Cutubacterium,埃希氏菌,Halomonas,巴斯德,和链霉菌)被鉴定。其中,芽孢杆菌广泛分布在所有数据集中,具有较高的相对丰度(平均占所有样品的10.11%)。此外,一些生物学因素,包括组织来源和肿瘤分级,发现对膀胱组织的微生物组成有显著影响。假单胞菌,卟啉杆菌,不动杆菌在肿瘤组织中富集,而对BCG治疗表现出持久反应的患者中,分枝杆菌和链霉菌富集。此外,我们建立了微生物共生网络,发现卡介苗治疗可能减弱微生物相互作用.结论:本研究清楚地提供了BC组织微环境的微生物景观,这对于探索微生物与BC组织之间的相互作用非常重要。鉴定的特定分类群可能是BC的潜在生物标志物。
    Purpose: Bladder cancer (BC) is one of the top 10 common tumors in the world. It has been reported that microbiota can colonize tissues and play important roles in tumorigenesis and progression. However, the current understanding of microorganisms in the BC tissue microenvironment remains unclear. Methods: In this study, we integrated the RNA-seq data of 479 BC tissue samples from seven datasets combined with a range of bioinformatics tools to explore the landscape of microbiome in the BC tissue microenvironment. Results: The pan-microbiome was estimated to surpass 1,400 genera. A total of seven core microbiota (Bacillus, Corynebacterium, Cutibacterium, Escherichia, Halomonas, Pasteurella, and Streptomyces) were identified. Among them, Bacillus was widely distributed in all datasets with a high relative abundance (10.11% of all samples on average). Moreover, some biological factors, including tissue source and tumor grade, were found significant effects on the microbial composition of the bladder tissue. Pseudomonas, Porphyrobacter, and Acinetobacter were enriched in tumor tissues, while Mycolicibacterium and Streptomyces were enriched in patients who showed durable response to BCG therapy. In addition, we established microbial co-occurrence networks and found that the BCG therapy may attenuate the microbiological interactions. Conclusions: This study clearly provided a microbial landscape of the BC tissue microenvironment, which was important for exploring the interactions between microorganisms and BC tissues. The identified specific taxa might be potential biomarkers for BC.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在系统性红斑狼疮(SLE)患者中,及时控制耀斑是治疗策略计划中的优先事项。然而,糖皮质激素(GC)的长期剂量相关的附带作用促使研究人员鉴定和利用新型生物制剂,这些生物制剂可以诱导和维持低疾病活动性和缓解,尤其是在狼疮性肾炎(LN)的背景下。本范围审查旨在通过审查II期和III期随机评估生物疗法的潜在类固醇节省作用的当前证据,涉及SLE/LN患者的安慰剂对照试验。根据PRISMA-ScR建议对文献进行了范围审查。使用CochraneCollaboration的随机对照试验工具(RCTs)评估偏倚风险。八个随机对照试验符合纳入标准,并被纳入本分析(治疗药物,7belimumab;1anifroummab)。四项研究显示了明确的类固醇保留作用(治疗药物,3belimumab;1anifroummab),而在剩下的四个RCT中,未观察到类固醇节约效应.当专注于III期试验时,考虑到偏倚的风险,研究的总体质量是公平或良好的.然而,类固醇方案方案的一定程度的异质性(考虑初始剂量,逐渐减少和抢救治疗津贴)。虽然越来越多的证据支持SLE生物治疗的安全性和有效性,关于它们节省类固醇作用的证据仍然分散。未来的研究需要追求精确的SLE患者群的识别,这些患者将从具有明确的类固醇保留作用的特定治疗方案中受益最大。
    Prompt disease control of flares in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a priority in treatment strategy planning. However, the long-term dosage-related collateral effects of glucocorticoids (GCs) have pushed researchers towards the identification and utilization of novel biological agents that could both induce and maintain low disease activity and remission, especially in the context of lupus nephritis (LN). This scoping review aims at assessing the current evidence of the potential steroid-sparing effect of biologic therapies by reviewing phase II and phase III randomized, placebo-controlled trials involving SLE/LN patients. A scoping review of the literature was carried out in accordance with PRISMA-ScR recommendations. Risk of bias was assessed through the utilization of the Cochrane Collaboration\'s tool for randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Eight RCTs met the inclusion criteria and were included in this analysis (treatment drug, 7 belimumab; 1 anifrolumab). Four studies showed a definite steroid-sparing effect (treatment drug, 3 belimumab; 1 anifrolumab), while in the remaining four RCTs, the steroid-sparing effect was not observed. When focusing on phase III trials, the overall quality of the studies resulted fair or good considering the risk of bias. However, a degree of heterogeneity of steroid regimen protocol (considering initial dosage, tapering and rescue treatment allowance) was observed. While a growing body of evidence is supporting the safety and efficacy of biological treatment in SLE, the evidence on their steroid-sparing effect remains scattered. Future research needs to pursue the identification of precise SLE clusters of patients who would benefit most from a specific treatment protocol with a definite steroid-sparing effect.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在给药前预测对生物制剂的治疗反应是溃疡性结肠炎(UC)的关键临床挑战。我们先前报道了使用机器学习方法预测维多珠单抗(VDZ)对UC的疗效的模型。Ustekinumab(UST)现在可用于治疗UC,但尚未开发出预测其功效的模型。当应用于接受UST治疗的UC患者时,我们的VDZ预测模型显示阳性预测值(PPV)为56.3%,阴性预测值(NPV)为62.5%。鉴于这种有限的预测能力,我们的目标是开发一种具有基线临床特征的UST特异性预测模型,包括背景因素,临床和内镜活动,还有验血结果,就像我们对VDZ预测模型所做的那样。前10个功能(Alb,单核细胞,高度,MCV,TP,利奇蒂格指数,白细胞计数,MCHC,部分梅奥得分,使用随机森林选择开始UST后6个月与无类固醇临床缓解相关的CRP)。通过五次交叉验证评估使用这些预测因子的模型的预测能力。外部队列的预测模型验证显示PPV为68.8%,NPV为71.4%。我们的研究表明建立药物特异性预测模型的重要性。
    Predicting the therapeutic response to biologics before administration is a key clinical challenge in ulcerative colitis (UC). We previously reported a model for predicting the efficacy of vedolizumab (VDZ) for UC using a machine-learning approach. Ustekinumab (UST) is now available for treating UC, but no model for predicting its efficacy has been developed. When applied to patients with UC treated with UST, our VDZ prediction model showed positive predictive value (PPV) of 56.3% and negative predictive value (NPV) of 62.5%. Given this limited predictive ability, we aimed to develop a UST-specific prediction model with clinical features at baseline including background factors, clinical and endoscopic activity, and blood test results, as we did for the VDZ prediction model. The top 10 features (Alb, monocytes, height, MCV, TP, Lichtiger index, white blood cell count, MCHC, partial Mayo score, and CRP) associated with steroid-free clinical remission at 6 months after starting UST were selected using random forest. The predictive ability of a model using these predictors was evaluated by fivefold cross-validation. Validation of the prediction model with an external cohort showed PPV of 68.8% and NPV of 71.4%. Our study suggested the importance of establishing a drug-specific prediction model.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:新的定义表明,胰腺导管腺癌(PDAC)的可切除状态应超出解剖学标准进行评估,同时考虑生物因素和条件因素。这个有,然而,尚未在全国范围内得到验证。这项研究评估了生物学和条件因素对可切除PDAC患者分期的预后价值。
    方法:进行了一项全国性的观察性队列研究,包括在荷兰接受国家综合癌症网络可切除PDAC前期切除术的所有连续患者(2014-2019年),其具有关于术前碳水化合物抗原(CA)19-9和东部肿瘤协作组(ECOG)表现状态的完整信息.如果CA19-9≥500U/mL,则PDAC被认为是生物学上不利的(RB),否则是有利的(RB-)。ECOG≥2被认为是有条件的不利(RC),否则是有利的(RC-)。使用Kaplan-Meier和Cox比例风险分析评估总生存期(OS),以95%置信区间(CI)的风险比(HR)表示。
    结果:总体而言,688例患者进行了分析,中位总生存期(OS)为20个月(95%CI19-23)。20例RB+C+患者的OS为14个月(95%CI10个月-中位数未达到)(3%;HR1.61,95%CI0.86-2.70),156例RB+C-患者13个月(95%CI11-15)(23%;HR1.86,95%CI1.50-2.31),47例RB-C+患者(7%;HR1.14,95%CI0.80-1.62)为21个月(95%CI12-41),465例RB-C-PDAC患者(68%;参考)为24个月(95%CI22-27)。
    结论:在CA19-9≥500U/mL的患者中,解剖可切除的PDAC前期切除术后的生存率较差,而性能状态没有影响。这支持在可切除PDAC的术前分期中考虑CA19-9。
    BACKGROUND: Novel definitions suggest that resectability status for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) should be assessed beyond anatomical criteria, considering both biological and conditional factors. This has, however, yet to be validated on a nationwide scale. This study evaluated the prognostic value of biological and conditional factors for staging of patients with resectable PDAC.
    METHODS: A nationwide observational cohort study was performed, including all consecutive patients who underwent upfront resection of National Comprehensive Cancer Network resectable PDAC in the Netherlands (2014-2019) with complete information on preoperative carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status. PDAC was considered biologically unfavorable (RB+) if CA19-9 ≥ 500 U/mL and favorable (RB-) otherwise. ECOG ≥ 2 was considered conditionally unfavorable (RC+) and favorable otherwise (RC-). Overall survival (OS) was assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox-proportional hazard analysis, presented as hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence interval (CI).
    RESULTS: Overall, 688 patients were analyzed with a median overall survival (OS) of 20 months (95% CI 19-23). OS was 14 months (95% CI 10 months-median not reached) in 20 RB+C+ patients (3%; HR 1.61, 95% CI 0.86-2.70), 13 months (95% CI 11-15) in 156 RB+C- patients (23%; HR 1.86, 95% CI 1.50-2.31), and 21 months (95% CI 12-41) in 47 RB-C+ patients (7%; HR 1.14, 95% CI 0.80-1.62) compared with 24 months (95% CI 22-27) in 465 patients with RB-C- PDAC (68%; reference).
    CONCLUSIONS: Survival after upfront resection of anatomically resectable PDAC is worse in patients with CA19-9 ≥ 500 U/mL, while performance status had no impact. This supports consideration of CA19-9 in preoperative staging of resectable PDAC.
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