annual percent change

年度百分比变化
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:尚未对癫痫死亡率的长期趋势进行分析,这对于估计癫痫的未来负担至关重要。因此,我们旨在调查1979年至2021年美国癫痫死亡率的长期趋势。
    方法:死因和人口统计数据来自美国国家卫生统计中心(1979-2021),人口估计来自美国人口普查局。我们使用连接点回归模型分析了1979年至2021年癫痫死亡率的长期趋势。根据2000年美国人口数据评估了年龄调整后的癫痫死亡率,按年龄分层,性别,和种族。
    结果:年龄调整后的癫痫死亡率从1979年的每100,000人0.78增加到2021年的每100,000人1.01,平均年变化百分比(AAPC)为0.58%(95%置信区间[CI]:0.45%-0.72%)。2011年至2021年期间,癫痫的总体年龄调整后死亡率一直在上升。死亡率通常随年龄增长而增加。非洲裔美国人和男性的癫痫死亡率较高。两性癫痫的死亡率先下降后上升,AAPC1.02%(95%CI:0.88%,女性1.23%)和0.10%(95%CI:-0.002%,0.21%)在男性中。包括怀特在内的所有种族的死亡率,美国黑人,和其他种族个人先下降,然后上升。白人死亡率的AAPC,其他种族,美国黑人为0.89%(95%CI:0.79%,1.02%),-0.87%(95%CI:-1.84%,0.88%),和-0.31%(95%CI:-0.48%,-0.13%),分别。
    结论:尽管癫痫死亡率经历了一段时间的下降,值得注意的是,在过去的十年中,增长迅速。对癫痫死亡率的长期趋势进行全面评估对于确定医疗保健优先级具有重要意义。
    OBJECTIVE: The analysis of long-term trends of mortality from epilepsy has not been conducted, which is crucial for estimating the future burden of epilepsy. We therefore aimed to investigate the long-term trends of mortality from epilepsy in the United States from 1979 to 2021.
    METHODS: The cause-of-death and demographic data were from the National Center for Health Statistics (1979-2021) and population estimates were from the US Census Bureau. We used the joinpoint regression model to analyze secular trends in the mortality of epilepsy spanning from 1979 to 2021. Age-adjusted mortality from epilepsy was assessed based on the year 2000 U.S. population data, stratified by age, sex, and race.
    RESULTS: The age-adjusted mortality from epilepsy increased from 0.78 per 100,000 population in 1979 to 1.01 per 100,000 population in 2021, with an average annual percent change (AAPC) of 0.58% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.45% - 0.72%). The overall age-adjusted mortality of epilepsy had been on the rise between 2011 and 2021. The mortality rate generally increases with age. The mortality of epilepsy was higher in the Afro-American people and men. The mortality of epilepsy in both sexes declined first and then increased, with AAPC 1.02% (95% CI: 0.88%, 1.23%) in women and 0.10% (95% CI: -0.002%, 0.21%) in men. Mortality in all races including White, Afro-American people, and other races individuals fell first and then rose. The AAPC of mortality in White, other races, and Afro-American people were 0.89% (95% CI: 0.79%, 1.02%), -0.87% (95% CI: -1.84%, 0.88%), and -0.31% (95% CI: -0.48%, -0.13%), respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: Although the mortality rate from epilepsy has experienced a period of decline, it is worth noting that the last decade has seen a rapid increase. A comprehensive assessment of long-term trends in mortality from epilepsy holds significance for healthcare prioritization.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:胰腺腺鳞癌(PASC)的发病率和死亡率很少受到关注。我们研究的目的是探索PASC在人群水平上的总体流行病学趋势。
    方法:监测,流行病学,最终结果数据库用于收集发病率,基于发病率(IB)的死亡率,以及2000年至2017年PASC的患者详细信息。Joinpoint回归工具用于检查发病率和IB死亡率的趋势。使用Kaplan-Meier方法进行生存分析。单因素和多因素Cox回归分析用于确定独立的预后因素。
    结果:我们在研究中纳入了815名PASC患者。从2000年到2017年,PASC的发病率持续上升,年度百分比变化(APC)为3.9%(95%CI:2.2%-5.7%,p<0.05)。IB死亡率也持续增加,APC为5.0%(95%CI:2.5%-7.6%,p<0.05)。多因素Cox回归分析显示,年龄,治疗,区域淋巴结受累,肿瘤大小是影响预后的独立因素。为PASC创建了列线图来预测1年和2年的生存概率,分别。
    结论:PASC的发病率和IB死亡率持续快速增加,提示PASC的防治措施不理想。我们必须尽快确定这种情况的重要性,并对PASC研究投入更多的关注和资源。
    The incidence and mortality of pancreatic adenosquamous carcinoma (PASC) have received little attention. The goal of our study was to explore the overall epidemiological trend of PASC at the population level.
    The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database was used to collect the incidence, incidence-based (IB) mortality, and patient details for PASC from 2000 to 2017. The Joinpoint regression tool was used to examine the trends in incidence and IB mortality. The Kaplan-Meier approach was used for survival analysis. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to determine the independent prognostic factors.
    We included 815 patients with PASC in the study. The incidence of PASC continuously increased from 2000 to 2017, with an annual percentage change (APC) of 3.9% (95% CI: 2.2%-5.7%, p < 0.05). IB mortality also increased continuously, with an APC of 5.0% (95% CI: 2.5%-7.6%, p < 0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that age, treatment, regional lymph node involvement, and tumor size were independent prognostic factors. Nomograms were created for PASC to predict 1- and 2-year survival probabilities, respectively.
    The incidence and IB mortality of PASC had a sustained and rapid increase, indicating that the preventive and treatment measures for PASC were not ideal. We must identify the significance of this condition as soon as possible, and commit greater attention and resources to PASC research.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    To investigate the rate and time trends of neonatal mortality from 1997 to 2014 in Shenyang, which were previously rarely reported upon by developing countries, data on 4719 neonatal deaths (0-28 days) and 970,583 live births from the Shenyang Women and Children Health Care Centre were analyzed. Neonatal mortality rates (per 1000 live births), percent change, and annual percent change (APC) were calculated. During the observation period, neonatal mortality in Shenyang significantly decreased by 7.04%, 8.33%, and 5.35% per year overall, in urban and rural areas, respectively. When grouped by category of neonatal death, the time trends of three categories showed statistically significant decreases: congenital malformations (APC = -9.97%), diseases of the perinatal period (APC = -6.04%), and diseases of the respiratory system (APC = -8.52%). Congenital malformations, diseases of the respiratory system, and diseases of the nervous system and sense organs were the three major contributors to the aforementioned decreasing trend, which accounted for 58.71% in overall areas. Among selective causes of neonatal death, the neonatal mortality rates of pneumonia, congenital heart disease, preterm birth and low birth weight, birth asphyxia, and intracranial hemorrhage of the newborn significantly decreased 7.87%, 7.32%, 2.47%, 11.04%, and 10.68% per year, respectively. In summary, neonatal mortality rates decreased in Shenyang during the 17-year study period. Future studies are warranted to further investigate the factors contributing to the neonatal mortality trends in China.
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