Vaccine Efficacy

疫苗功效
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    分位数回归已成为分析竞争风险数据的广泛使用的工具。然而,具有连续标记的竞争风险数据的分位数回归仍然很少。标记变量是经典竞争风险模型中失败原因的扩展,其中失败原因被仅在未经审查的失败时间观察到的连续标记代替。连续标记变量的实例是测量感染病毒与疫苗构建体中包含的病毒之间的不相似性的遗传距离。在这篇文章中,我们提出了一种新的标记特定分位数回归模型。所提出的估计方法从标记附近的数据中借用强度,并基于诱导的平滑估计方程,这与现有的具有离散原因的竞争风险数据的方法有很大不同。所得估计量的渐近性质是在标记和分位数连续体中建立的。此外,提出了一种标记特异性分位数型疫苗效力,并开发了其统计推断程序。进行了模拟研究,以评估所提出的估计和假设检验程序的有限样本性能。提供了第一个HIV疫苗效力试验的应用。
    Quantile regression has become a widely used tool for analysing competing risk data. However, quantile regression for competing risk data with a continuous mark is still scarce. The mark variable is an extension of cause of failure in a classical competing risk model where cause of failure is replaced by a continuous mark only observed at uncensored failure times. An example of the continuous mark variable is the genetic distance that measures dissimilarity between the infecting virus and the virus contained in the vaccine construct. In this article, we propose a novel mark-specific quantile regression model. The proposed estimation method borrows strength from data in a neighbourhood of a mark and is based on an induced smoothed estimation equation, which is very different from the existing methods for competing risk data with discrete causes. The asymptotic properties of the resulting estimators are established across mark and quantile continuums. In addition, a mark-specific quantile-type vaccine efficacy is proposed and its statistical inference procedures are developed. Simulation studies are conducted to evaluate the finite sample performances of the proposed estimation and hypothesis testing procedures. An application to the first HIV vaccine efficacy trial is provided.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我们的目的是评估疗效,安全,和SARS-CoV-2mRNA疫苗(OmicronBA.5)LVRNA012的免疫原性在中国已免疫但无SARS-CoV-2感染的成年人中作为加强剂。
    这是一个单中心,随机化,双盲,安慰剂对照的3期临床试验招募健康的成年参与者(≥18岁),这些参与者至少在6个月前完成了两剂或三剂灭活的COVID-19疫苗,在蚌埠,安徽省,中国。符合条件的参与者被随机分配(1:1)接受LVRNA012疫苗(100ug)或安慰剂的加强肌内疫苗接种。主要终点是疫苗接种后14天,加强剂量的LVRNA012疫苗或安慰剂对任何严重程度的症状性COVID-19的保护功效。干预后14天至180天,实验室确认的COVID-19感染被确定,在干预后7至90天之间,每月8次积极监测有症状的疾病,在90至180天之间每月至少一次。
    招募了2615名参与者,并以1:1的比例随机分配到疫苗组(1308)或安慰剂组(1307)。在加强免疫后14天,共有141人(LVRNA012组46人,安慰剂组95人)出现有症状的COVID-19感染,显示疫苗效力为51.9%(95%CI,31.3%至66.4%)。在XBB在社区流行期间,大多数感染是在干预后90天检测到的。在LVRNA012疫苗接种后,64%的参与者报告了不良反应,但大多数是轻度或中度的。与安慰剂组(GMT12.5[8.4,18.7])相比,在第14天,用LVRNA012mRNA疫苗的加强疫苗接种可显著增强针对Omicron变体XBB.1.5(GMT132.3[99.8,175.4])的中和抗体滴度(先前免疫的个体)。
    LVRNA012mRNA疫苗具有免疫原性,在omicron占主导地位的时期,在预防COVID-19方面表现出强劲的疗效。
    ClinicalTrials.gov,标识符NCT05745545。
    UNASSIGNED: We aimed to evaluate the efficacy, safety, and immunogenicity of a SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine (Omicron BA.5) LVRNA012 given as the booster in immunized but SARS-CoV-2 infection-free adults in China.
    UNASSIGNED: This is a single-center, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase 3 clinical trial enrolling healthy adult participants (≥18 years) who had completed two or three doses of inactivated COVID-19 vaccines at least 6 months before, in Bengbu, Anhui province, China. Eligible participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive a booster intramuscular vaccination with an LVRNA012 vaccine (100ug) or placebo. The primary endpoint was the protective efficacy of a booster dose of the LVRNA012 vaccine or placebo against symptomatic COVID-19 of any severity 14 days after vaccination. Laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 infections were identified from 14 days to 180 days after intervention, with active surveillance for symptomatic illness 8 times per month between 7 to 90 days and at least once per month between 90 to 180 days after intervention.
    UNASSIGNED: 2615 participants were recruited and randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to either the vaccine group (1308) or the placebo group (1307). A total of 141 individuals (46 in the LVRNA012 group and 95 in the placebo group) developed symptomatic COVID-19 infection 14 days after the booster immunization, showing a vaccine efficacy of 51.9% (95% CI, 31.3% to 66.4%). Most infections were detected 90 days after intervention during a period when XBB was prevalent in the community. Adverse reactions were reported by 64% of participants after the LVRNA012 vaccination, but most of them were mild or moderate. The booster vaccination with the LVRNA012 mRNA vaccine could significantly enhance neutralizing antibody titers against the Omicron variant XBB.1.5 (GMT 132.3 [99.8, 175.4]) than did those in the placebo group (GMT 12.5 [8.4, 18.7]) at day 14 for the previously immunized individuals.
    UNASSIGNED: The LVRNA012 mRNA vaccine is immunogenic, and shows robust efficacy in preventing COVID-19 during the omicron-predominate period.
    UNASSIGNED: ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier NCT05745545.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    很少有研究评估灭活COVID-19疫苗加强疫苗对感染(易感性)的有效性,感染他人(传染性),并将疾病从一个传播到另一个(传播)。因此,我们进行了一项回顾性队列研究,以评估灭活COVID-19疫苗加强疫苗接种对易感性的有效性,传染性,并在2022年2月1日至4月21日的OmicronBA.2爆发期间在深圳传播。根据密切接触者及其指标病例的灭活COVID-19疫苗接种情况,将符合条件的个体分为四个亚组:第2-2组,完全接种疫苗的密切接触者,由完全接种疫苗的指标病例接种(参照组);第2-3组,由完全接种疫苗的指标病例接种的加强疫苗的密切接触者;第3-2组,由加强疫苗的指标病例接种的加强疫苗的密切接触者接种。应用单变量和多变量逻辑回归分析来评估加强疫苗接种的有效性。第2-2、2-3、3-2和3-3组的样本量分别为846、1、115、1、210和2、417。我们发现,加强疫苗接种对传染性的有效性为44.9%(95%CI:19.7%,62.2%)对于≥18岁的成年人,62.2%(95%CI:32.0%,78.9%)为女性密切接触者,和60.8%(95%CI:38.5%,75.1%)为非家庭密切接触者。此外,加强疫苗接种对传播的有效性为29.0%(95%CI:3.2%,47.9%)对于≥18岁的成年人,38.9%(95%CI:3.3%,61.3%)女性密切接触者,和45.8%(95%CI:22.1%,62.3%)为非家庭密切接触者。然而,针对易感性的加强疫苗接种没有提供任何保护作用.总之,这项研究证实,灭活COVID-19疫苗的加强疫苗接种对OmicronBA.2传播和传染性提供了低水平的保护和中等水平的保护,分别。然而,加强疫苗接种不提供任何保护以防止OmicronBA.2易感性。
    Little studies evaluated the effectiveness of booster vaccination of inactivated COVID-19 vaccines against being infected (susceptibility), infecting others (infectiousness), and spreading the disease from one to another (transmission). Therefore, we conducted a retrospective cohort study to evaluate the effectiveness of booster vaccination of inactivated COVID-19 vaccines against susceptibility, infectiousness, and transmission in Shenzhen during an Omicron BA.2 outbreak period from 1 February to 21 April 2022. The eligible individuals were classified as four sub-cohorts according to the inactivated COVID-19 vaccination status of both the close contacts and their index cases: group 2-2, fully vaccinated close contacts seeded by fully vaccinated index cases (reference group); group 2-3, booster-vaccinated close contacts seeded by fully vaccinated index cases; group 3-2, fully vaccinated close contacts seeded by booster-vaccinated index cases; and group 3-3, booster-vaccinated close contacts seeded by booster-vaccinated index cases. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were applied to estimate the effectiveness of booster vaccination. The sample sizes of groups 2-2, 2-3, 3-2, and 3-3 were 846, 1,115, 1,210, and 2,417, respectively. We found that booster vaccination had an effectiveness against infectiousness of 44.9% (95% CI: 19.7%, 62.2%) for the adults ≥ 18 years, 62.2% (95% CI: 32.0%, 78.9%) for the female close contacts, and 60.8% (95% CI: 38.5%, 75.1%) for the non-household close contacts. Moreover, booster vaccination had an effectiveness against transmission of 29.0% (95% CI: 3.2%, 47.9%) for the adults ≥ 18 years, 38.9% (95% CI: 3.3%, 61.3%) for the female close contacts, and 45.8% (95% CI: 22.1%, 62.3%) for the non-household close contacts. However, booster vaccination against susceptibility did not provide any protective effect. In summary, this study confirm that booster vaccination of the inactivated COVID-19 vaccines provides low level of protection and moderate level of protection against Omicron BA.2 transmission and infectiousness, respectively. However, booster vaccination does not provide any protection against Omicron BA.2 susceptibility.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    不断出现严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)的新变种,增强的可传播性,显著的免疫逃逸,免疫力下降需要加强疫苗接种。我们评估了安全性,免疫原性,SARS-CoV-2mRNA疫苗SYS6006与活性对照疫苗的异源性加强剂在随机,开放标签,在中国接受过两剂或三剂SARS-CoV-2灭活疫苗的18岁或以上健康成年人中进行的积极对照3期试验。该试验于2022年12月开始,持续了6个月。参与者被随机分配(总体比例:3:1)接受一剂SYS6006(N=2999)或基于祖先受体结合区的剂量,明矾佐剂重组蛋白SARS-CoV-2疫苗(N=1000),包括520名免疫原性亚组参与者。SYS6006加强显示出良好的安全性特征,其中大多数AE为1级或2级,并且在第14天和第28天诱导出稳健的野生型和OmicronBA.5中和抗体应答,显示出相对于对照疫苗的免疫原性优势并满足主要目标。针对任何严重程度的COVID-19,任何变体的相对疫苗效力为51.6%(95%CI,35.5-63.7),BA.5为66.8%(48.6-78.5),XBB为37.7%(2.4-60.3),从第7天到第6个月。在接种疫苗和感染的混合免疫参与者中,对于由二次感染引起的任何严重程度的COVID-19,相对疫苗有效率为68.4%(31.1-85.5)。所有COVID-19病例均为轻度。SYS6006异源加强显示良好的安全性,对BA.5相关COVID-19具有优异的免疫原性和高效力,并对XBB相关COVID-19具有保护作用,特别是在杂交免疫群体中。试验注册:中国临床试验注册中心:ChiCTR2200066941。
    Continuous emergence of new variants of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), enhanced transmissibility, significant immune escape, and waning immunity call for booster vaccination. We evaluated the safety, immunogenicity, and efficacy of heterologous booster with a SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine SYS6006 versus an active control vaccine in a randomized, open-label, active-controlled phase 3 trial in healthy adults aged 18 years or more who had received two or three doses of SARS-CoV-2 inactivated vaccine in China. The trial started in December 2022 and lasted for 6 months. The participants were randomized (overall ratio: 3:1) to receive one dose of SYS6006 (N = 2999) or an ancestral receptor binding region-based, alum-adjuvanted recombinant protein SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (N = 1000), including 520 participants in an immunogenicity subgroup. SYS6006 boosting showed good safety profiles with most AEs being grade 1 or 2, and induced robust wild-type and Omicron BA.5 neutralizing antibody response on Days 14 and 28, demonstrating immunogenicity superiority versus the control vaccine and meeting the primary objective. The relative vaccine efficacy against COVID-19 of any severity was 51.6% (95% CI, 35.5-63.7) for any variant, 66.8% (48.6-78.5) for BA.5, and 37.7% (2.4-60.3) for XBB, from Day 7 through Month 6. In the vaccinated and infected hybrid immune participants, the relative vaccine efficacy was 68.4% (31.1-85.5) against COVID-19 of any severity caused by a second infection. All COVID-19 cases were mild. SYS6006 heterologous boosting demonstrated good safety, superior immunogenicity and high efficacy against BA.5-associated COVID-19, and protected against XBB-associated COVID-19, particularly in the hybrid immune population.Trial registration: Chinese Clinical Trial Registry: ChiCTR2200066941.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    III期多国研究(ZOE-50/70)表明,佐剂化重组带状疱疹疫苗(RZV)在50岁以上的健康人群中具有良好的耐受性并可预防带状疱疹(HZ)。各年龄组的疫苗效力(VE)>90%。这些关键的试验没有招募来自中国大陆的参与者,因此,该人群缺少类似的临床数据。在2021年至2023年在中国进行的第四期观察者盲研究(NCT04869982)中,免疫功能正常且医学稳定的≥50岁人群以1:1随机分配接受两种RZV或安慰剂剂量,相隔两个月。这项研究评估了VE(总体而言,作为确认目标,并按年龄类别描述[50-69岁/≥70岁]),反应原性,以及RZV在中国人群中的安全性。在6138名注册参与者中,99.2%完成了研究。在平均15.2(±1.1)个月的随访期间,确认了31HZ发作(RZV=0;安慰剂=31),发生率为每1000人年0.0vs8.2,总体VE为100%(89.82-100)。描述性VE为50-69岁的100%(85.29-100),≥70岁的100%(60.90-100)。与安慰剂组相比,RZV组的诱发不良事件(AE)更频繁(中位持续时间:两组均为1-3天)。疼痛和疲劳是最常见的局部和一般AE(RZV:72.1%和43.4%;安慰剂:9.2%和5.3%)。未经请求的AE的频率,严重的AE,潜在的免疫介导的疾病,两组的死亡情况相似.RZV在中国≥50岁人群中具有良好的耐受性和有效预防HZ,与包括具有相似年龄和医学特征的全球人群的疗效研究一致。
    背景是什么?带状疱疹,通常被称为带状疱疹,是由引起水痘的休眠病毒重新激活引起的疼痛皮疹。预防带状疱疹的疫苗,比如Shingrix,在来自欧洲的50岁以上的健康成年人中显示出良好的耐受性和有效性,北美和拉丁美洲,澳大利亚,和亚洲(台湾,香港,韩国,日本)。然而,有关Shingrix的现实世界保护作用的数据在某些疫苗被许可使用的地区有限,比如中国大陆。我们分析了50岁或以上中国成年人的数据,以确定Shingrix的疗效和安全性。大约6000名参与者被分成两组,接受两剂Shingrix或两剂安慰剂,相隔两个月。我们发现,在学习期间,该疫苗在预防带状疱疹方面100%有效。我们表明该疫苗在中国人群中具有可接受的安全性。影响是什么?Shingrix在50岁以上的中国成年人中有效且耐受性良好,与其他评估地区的类似老年人群一样。
    Phase III multi-country studies (ZOE-50/70) demonstrated that the adjuvanted recombinant zoster vaccine (RZV) was well tolerated and prevented herpes zoster (HZ) in healthy ≥ 50-year-olds, with a vaccine efficacy (VE) > 90% across age groups. These pivotal trials did not enroll participants from mainland China where RZV is licensed, therefore similar clinical data are missing for this population. In this phase IV observer-blind study (NCT04869982) conducted between 2021 and 2023 in China, immunocompetent and medically stable ≥ 50-year-olds were randomized 1:1 to receive two RZV or placebo doses, 2 months apart. This study assessed the VE (overall, as confirmatory objective, and descriptively by age category [50-69-year-olds/≥ 70-year-olds]), reactogenicity, and safety of RZV in this Chinese population. Of the 6138 enrolled participants, 99.2% completed the study. During a mean follow-up period of 15.2 (±1.1) months, 31 HZ episodes were confirmed (RZV = 0; placebo = 31) for an incidence rate of 0.0 vs 8.2 per 1000 person-years and an overall VE of 100% (89.82-100). The descriptive VE was 100% (85.29-100) for 50-69-year-olds and 100% (60.90-100) for ≥ 70-year-olds. Solicited adverse events (AEs) were more frequent in the RZV vs the placebo group (median duration: 1-3 days for both groups). Pain and fatigue were the most frequent local and general AEs (RZV: 72.1% and 43.4%; placebo: 9.2% and 5.3%). The frequencies of unsolicited AEs, serious AEs, potential immune-mediated diseases, and deaths were similar between both groups. RZV is well tolerated and efficacious in preventing HZ in Chinese ≥ 50-year-olds, consistent with efficacy studies including worldwide populations with similar age and medical characteristics.
    What is the context? Herpes zoster, commonly known as shingles, is a painful rash resulting from the reactivation of the dormant virus causing chickenpox.Vaccines preventing shingles, such as Shingrix, were shown to be well tolerated and efficacious in healthy adults over 50 years of age from Europe, North and Latin America, Australia, and Asia (Taiwan, Hong Kong, Korea, Japan).However, data on real-world protective effect of Shingrix are limited in some regions where the vaccine is licensed for use, such as mainland China.What is new? We analyzed data from Chinese adults aged 50 years or older to determine the efficacy and safety of Shingrix.Around 6000 participants were divided in two equal groups to receive two doses of Shingrix or two doses of a placebo, given 2 months apart.We found that, during the study period, the vaccine was 100% efficacious in preventing shingles.We showed that the vaccine had an acceptable safety profile in this Chinese population.What is the impact? Shingrix is efficacious and well tolerated in Chinese adults over 50 years of age, as it is in similarly aged populations from other evaluated regions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    为了研制出安全有效的口蹄疫广谱疫苗,在这里,我们基于三种不同的FMDV拓扑类型开发了重组FMD多表位三价疫苗.通过在猪中的免疫效力评价疫苗的效力。结果表明,抗原不低于25μg的疫苗通过一级加强方案引发FMDV血清型O特异性抗体和中和抗体,并为猪提供免疫保护。更重要的是,该疫苗不仅引发了针对FMDV三种不同拓扑类型的相同水平的中和抗体,但也提供了完全保护猪免受三种相应的病毒攻击。在整个实验过程中,完全受保护的猪都无法产生抗3ABC抗体,这意味着疫苗可以提供无菌免疫。该疫苗可引发持久的高水平抗体,并在免疫后六个月内有效保护猪免受毒力攻击。因此,我们认为这种疫苗将来可能用于FMD的预防和控制。
    In order to develop a safe and effective broad-spectrum vaccine for foot-and-mouth disease (FMDV), here, we developed a recombinant FMD multiple-epitope trivalent vaccine based on three distinct topotypes of FMDV. Potency of the vaccine was evaluated by immune efficacy in pigs. The results showed that the vaccine with no less than 25 μg of antigen elicited FMDV serotype O specific antibodies and neutralization antibodies by primary-booster regime, and offered immune protection to pigs. More importantly, the vaccine elicited not only the same level of neutralization antibodies against the three distinct topotypes of FMDV, but also provided complete protection in pigs from the three corresponding virus challenge. None of the fully protected pigs were able to generate anti-3ABC antibodies throughout the experiment, which implied the vaccine can offer sterilizing immunity. The vaccine elicited lasting-long high-level antibodies and effectively protected pigs from virulent challenge within six months of immunization. Therefore, we consider that this vaccine may be used in the future for the prevention and control of FMD.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    结直肠癌(CRC)的长期幸存者是一个快速扩大的群体。然而,23价肺炎球菌多糖疫苗(PPSV23)对该组的有效性尚不清楚.这项在台湾以人群为基础的全国性研究旨在研究PPSV23对肺炎住院发生率比率(IRR)的影响,累积发病率,以及这些长期CRC幸存者的总生存率。这项队列研究基于2000-2017年台湾癌症登记和台湾国家健康保险研究数据库。在以1:1的比例与协变量精确匹配后,共有1,355名接种疫苗的幸存者和1,355名未接种疫苗的幸存者.经多元泊松回归模型调整后,接种疫苗组的肺炎住院风险低于未接种疫苗组,调整后的内部收益率为0.879(p=.391)。此外,接种疫苗组比未接种疫苗组有更低的累积发病率和更高的总生存时间。
    Colorectal cancer (CRC) long-term survivor is a rapid enlarging group. However, the effectiveness of 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) on this group is unknown. This nationwide population-based study in Taiwan was designed to examine the effect of PPSV23 on incidence rate ratio (IRR) of pneumonia hospitalization, cumulative incidence, and overall survival rate for these long-term CRC survivors. This cohort study was based on the Taiwan Cancer Registry and Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database from 2000-2017. After individual exact matching to covariates with 1:1 ratio, there were a total of 1,355 vaccinated and 1,355 unvaccinated survivors. After adjusted by multivariate Poisson regression model, vaccinated group had a non-significantly lower pneumonia hospitalization risk than unvaccinated, with an adjusted IRR of 0.879 (p = .391). Besides, vaccinated group had both lower cumulative incidence rate and higher overall survival time than unvaccinated.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    严重急性呼吸系统综合症冠状病毒2型(SARS-CoV-2)变种的迅速出现,再加上严重的免疫逃避和印记,危及疫苗的功效,迫切需要开发广泛的保护性疫苗。这里,我们提出了一种策略,采用重组狂犬病病毒(RABV),从SARS-CoV-2原型中创建表达异源串联受体结合域(RBD)三聚体的通用SARS-CoV-2疫苗,Delta,和Omicron菌株(SRV-PDO)。小鼠免疫结果表明SRV-PDO能有效诱导细胞和体液免疫应答,并且与仅表达RBD单体的重组RABV相比,证明了更高的免疫原性和更广泛的SARS-CoV-2中和。此外,SRV-PDO在攻击测定中表现出对SARS-CoV-2的完全保护。这项研究表明,表达串联RBD-异源三聚体作为多价免疫原的重组RABV可以引发广谱免疫反应和对SARS-CoV-2的有效保护,使其成为未来人类或兽用疫苗的有希望的候选者,并提供了新的观点在其他疫苗设计。
    The rapid emergence of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus type 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants, coupled with severe immune evasion and imprinting, has jeopardized the vaccine efficacy, necessitating urgent development of broad protective vaccines. Here, we propose a strategy employing recombinant rabies viruses (RABV) to create a universal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine expressing heterologous tandem receptor-binding domain (RBD) trimer from the SARS-CoV-2 Prototype, Delta, and Omicron strains (SRV-PDO). The results of mouse immunization indicated that SRV-PDO effectively induced cellular and humoral immune responses, and demonstrated higher immunogenicity and broader SARS-CoV-2 neutralization compared to the recombinant RABVs that only expressed RBD monomers. Moreover, SRV-PDO exhibited full protection against SARS-CoV-2 in the challenge assay. This study demonstrates that recombinant RABV expressing tandem RBD-heterotrimer as a multivalent immunogen could elicit a broad-spectrum immune response and potent protection against SARS-CoV-2, making it a promising candidate for future human or veterinary vaccines and offering a novel perspective in other vaccine design.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:新型冠状病毒对健康构成重大威胁,促使采取疫苗接种作为主要预防措施。然而,目前对免疫反应和疫苗效力的评估被认为是不充分的.
    目的:本研究试图探索不同疫苗接种时间点和突破性感染期间免疫反应的演变动力学。它旨在阐明流行病学因素的协同作用,体液免疫,和细胞免疫。此外,回归曲线用于确定疫苗的保护效力与刺激的免疫应答之间的相关性。
    方法:使用LASSO进行高维数据分析,这项研究利用了四种机器学习算法——逻辑回归,随机森林,LGBM分类器,和AdaBoost分类器-全面评估加强疫苗接种后的免疫应答。
    结果:中和抗体水平在加强后迅速升高,一周时上升至102.38AU/mL,两周时达到298.02AU/mL的峰值。影响因素如性别、年龄,病史,和吸烟状况显着影响加强后抗体水平。该研究进一步构建了中和抗体的回归曲线,非开关记忆B单元,CD4+T细胞,和CD8+T细胞使用LASSO结合随机森林算法。
    结论:建立人工智能评估系统对于预测COVID-19加强疫苗接种后的突破性感染预后至关重要。这项研究强调了免疫的各种组成部分与外部因素之间的复杂相互作用,阐明提高疫苗有效性的关键见解。3D建模识别了预后组(0-2类)内体液和细胞免疫之间的独特相互作用。这强调了体液免疫的协同效应的关键作用,细胞免疫,和流行病学因素在确定加强给药后COVID-19疫苗的保护效力方面的作用。
    BACKGROUND: Novel coronaviruses constitute a significant health threat, prompting the adoption of vaccination as the primary preventive measure. However, current evaluations of immune response and vaccine efficacy are deemed inadequate.
    OBJECTIVE: The study sought to explore the evolving dynamics of immune response at various vaccination time points and during breakthrough infections. It aimed to elucidate the synergistic effects of epidemiological factors, humoral immunity, and cellular immunity. Additionally, regression curves were used to determine the correlation between the protective efficacy of the vaccine and the stimulated immune response.
    METHODS: Employing LASSO for high-dimensional data analysis, the study utilised four machine learning algorithms-logistical regression, random forest, LGBM classifier, and AdaBoost classifier-to comprehensively assess the immune response following booster vaccination.
    RESULTS: Neutralising antibody levels exhibited a rapid surge post-booster, escalating to 102.38 AU/mL at one week and peaking at 298.02 AU/mL at two weeks. Influential factors such as sex, age, disease history, and smoking status significantly impacted post-booster antibody levels. The study further constructed regression curves for neutralising antibodies, non-switched memory B cells, CD4+T cells, and CD8+T cells using LASSO combined with the random forest algorithm.
    CONCLUSIONS: The establishment of an artificial intelligence evaluation system emerges as pivotal for predicting breakthrough infection prognosis after the COVID-19 booster vaccination. This research underscores the intricate interplay between various components of immunity and external factors, elucidating key insights to enhance vaccine effectiveness. 3D modelling discerned distinctive interactions between humoral and cellular immunity within prognostic groups (Class 0-2). This underscores the critical role of the synergistic effect of humoral immunity, cellular immunity, and epidemiological factors in determining the protective efficacy of COVID-19 vaccines post-booster administration.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    分析2019-2022年北京地区A组轮状病毒(RVA)腹泻的流行病学特征,评价RV5疫苗的效果。收集急性腹泻患者的粪便标本,检测RVA并进行基因分型。通过片段扩增和Sanger测序对RVA的全基因组进行测序。使用贝叶斯和最大似然方法构建系统发育树。采用描述性流行病学方法分析RVA腹泻的特点。使用测试阴性设计来评估RV5的疫苗有效性(VE)。与2011-2018年相比,2019年至2022年间,5岁以下急性腹泻患者和成年人的RVA阳性率显着下降,分别为9.45%(249/634)和3.66%(220/6016)。分别。RVA的主要基因型从2019年至2021年的G9-VIP[8]-III变为2022年的G8-VP[8]-III,G8-VP[8]-III菌株的P[8]序列形成了一个新的分支,称为P[8]-IIIb。G8-VP[8]-III的完整基因型为G8-P[8]-I2-R2-C2-M2-A2-N2-T2-E2-H2。3剂RV5对RVA腹泻的VE为90.4%(95%CI:28.8%-98.7%)。2019-2022年北京RVA患病率下降,主要基因型变为G8P[8],这可能与RV5疫苗接种有关。持续监测对于评估疫苗有效性和改进疫苗设计是必要的。
    To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of group A rotavirus (RVA) diarrhea in Beijing between 2019 and 2022 and evaluate the effectiveness of the RV5 vaccine. Stool specimens were collected from patients with acute diarrhea, and RVA was detected and genotyped. The whole genome of RVA was sequenced by fragment amplification and Sanger sequencing. Phylogenetic trees were constructed using Bayesian and maximum likelihood methods. Descriptive epidemiological methods were used to analyze the characteristics of RVA diarrhea. Test-negative design was used to evaluate the vaccine effectiveness (VE) of the RV5. Compared with 2011-2018, RVA-positive rates in patients with acute diarrhea under 5 years of age and adults decreased significantly between 2019 and 2022, to 9.45% (249/634) and 3.66% (220/6016), respectively. The predominant genotype of RVA had changed from G9-VIP[8]-III between 2019 and 2021 to G8-VP[8]-III in 2022, and P[8] sequences from G8-VP[8]-III strains formed a new branch called P[8]-IIIb. The complete genotype of G8-VP[8]-III was G8-P[8]-I2-R2-C2-M2-A2-N2-T2-E2-H2. The VE of 3 doses of RV5 was 90.4% (95% CI: 28.8%-98.7%) against RVA diarrhea. The prevalence of RVA decreased in Beijing between 2019 and 2022, and the predominant genotype changed to G8P[8], which may be related to RV5 vaccination. Continuous surveillance is necessary to evaluate vaccine effectiveness and improve vaccine design.
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