Risk Adjustment

风险调整
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:我们旨在研究手术时间对教科书结果(TO)的影响,尤其是微创食管切除术的术后并发症和术后住院时间。
    方法:检索了2016年至2022年在前瞻性维护的数据库中接受食道切除术的患者。使用具有医疗团队随机效应的多变量混合效应模型对手术时间与结果之间的关系进行量化。使用有限的三次样条(RCS)绘图来表征手术时间与实现TO的几率之间的相关性。
    结果:检查了2210例患者的数据。中位手术时间为270分钟(四分位距,233-313)适用于所有情况。总的来说,902例患者(40.8%)达到TO。在非TO患者中,226例(10.2%)有严重并发症(≥III级),433例患者(19.6%)术后住院时间超过14天。多变量分析显示,手术时间与较高的主要并发症(比值比1.005,P<0.001)和术后住院时间延长(≥14天)(比值比1.003,P=0.006)相关。手术时间与TO之间的关系呈倒U形,298分钟被确定为实现TO的最高几率的临界点。
    结论:延长手术时间对术后发病率和术后住院时间有不利影响。在本研究中,TO显示与手术时间呈U型反相关,在298分钟出现明显的峰值。导致手术时间延长的潜在因素可能会增强质量指标和风险调整过程的目标。
    BACKGROUND: We aimed to study the impact of operative time on textbook outcome (TO), especially postoperative complications and length of postoperative stay in minimally invasive esophagectomy.
    METHODS: Patients undergoing esophagectomy for curative intent within a prospectively maintained database from 2016 to 2022 were retrieved. Relationships between operative time and outcomes were quantified using multivariable mixed-effects models with medical teams random effects. A restricted cubic spline (RCS) plotting was used to characterize correlation between operative time and the odds for achieving TO.
    RESULTS: Data of 2210 patients were examined. Median operative time was 270 mins (interquartile range, 233-313) for all cases. Overall, 902 patients (40.8%) achieved TO. Among non-TO patients, 226 patients (10.2%) had a major complication (grade ≥ III), 433 patients (19.6%) stayed postoperatively longer than 14 days. Multivariable analysis revealed operative time was associated with higher odds of major complications (odds ratio 1.005, P < 0.001) and prolonged postoperative stay (≥ 14 days) (odds ratio 1.003, P = 0.006). The relationship between operative time and TO exhibited an inverse-U shape, with 298 mins identified as the tipping point for the highest odds of achieving TO.
    CONCLUSIONS: Longer operative time displayed an adverse influence on postoperative morbidity and increased lengths of postoperative stay. In the present study, the TO displayed an inverse U-shaped correlation with operative time, with a significant peak at 298 mins. Potential factors contributing to prolonged operative time may potentiate targets for quality metrics and risk-adjustment process.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:评估将超声造影(CEUS)整合到卵巢附件报告和数据系统(O-RADS)超声(US)中用于表征具有实体成分的附件病变的额外优势。
    方法:这项前瞻性多中心研究招募了2021年9月至2022年12月期间怀疑患有固体成分附件病变的女性。所有计划手术的患者均接受了术前CEUS和US检查。根据O-RADSUS系统对病变进行分类,并记录定量CEUS指数。病理结果作为参考标准。进行了单变量和多变量分析,以确定具有实体成分的附件病变中恶性肿瘤的危险因素。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析来评估诊断性能。
    结果:共纳入175名女性的180个病灶。在这些群众中,80例为恶性,100例为良性。多变量分析显示,血清CA-125,存在声阴影,CEUS上固体成分的峰强度(PI)比(PImass/PIuversus)与附件恶性肿瘤独立相关。与O-RADSUS相比,改良的CEUS风险分层模型在评估具有固体成分的附件病变方面显示出更高的诊断价值(AUC:0.91vs0.78,p<0.001),并且表现出与附件(ADNEX)模型(AUC0.91vs0.86,p=0.07)。
    结论:我们的发现强调了CEUS作为一种辅助工具对提高O-RADSUS诊断评估的准确性的潜在价值。
    结论:改良的CEUS风险分层模型的有希望的表现表明,它有可能在用固体成分表征附件病变时减少不必要的手术。
    结论:•CEUS对O-RADSUS在区分具有实体成分的良性和恶性附件病变方面的附加价值需要进一步评估。•与O-RADSUS相比,改良的CEUS风险分层模型在表征具有固体成分的附件病变方面显示出优越的诊断价值和特异性。•包含CEUS证明了在用固体成分表征附件病变时减少不必要手术的潜力。
    OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the additional advantages of integrating contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) into the Ovarian-Adnexal Reporting and Data System (O-RADS) ultrasound (US) for the characterization of adnexal lesions with solid components.
    METHODS: This prospective multicenter study recruited women suspected of having adnexal lesions with solid components between September 2021 and December 2022. All patients scheduled for surgery underwent preoperative CEUS and US examinations. The lesions were categorized according to the O-RADS US system, and quantitative CEUS indexes were recorded. Pathological results served as the reference standard. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed to identify risk factors for malignancy in adnexal lesions with solid components. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was employed to assess diagnostic performance.
    RESULTS: A total of 180 lesions in 175 women were included in the study. Among these masses, 80 were malignant and 100 were benign. Multivariable analysis revealed that serum CA-125, the presence of acoustic shadowing, and peak intensity (PI) ratio (PImass/PIuterus) of solid components on CEUS were independently associated with adnexal malignancy. The modified CEUS risk stratification model demonstrated superior diagnostic value in assessing adnexal lesions with solid components compared to O-RADS US (AUC: 0.91 vs 0.78, p < 0.001) and exhibited comparable performance to the Assessment of Different NEoplasias in the adnexa (ADNEX) model (AUC 0.91 vs 0.86, p = 0.07).
    CONCLUSIONS: Our findings underscore the potential value of CEUS as an adjunctive tool for enhancing the precision of diagnostic evaluations of O-RADS US.
    CONCLUSIONS: The promising performance of the modified CEUS risk stratification model suggests its potential to mitigate unnecessary surgeries in the characterization of adnexal lesions with solid components.
    CONCLUSIONS: • The additional value of CEUS to O-RADS US in distinguishing between benign and malignant adnexal lesions with solid components requires further evaluation. • The modified CEUS risk stratification model displayed superior diagnostic value and specificity in characterizing adnexal lesions with solid components when compared to O-RADS US. • The inclusion of CEUS demonstrated potential in reducing the need for unnecessary surgeries in the characterization of adnexal lesions with solid components.
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  • 文章类型: Multicenter Study
    目的:透析中低血压(IDH)与HD患者的不良临床结局密切相关。IDH预测模型对于IDH风险筛查和临床决策很重要。在这项研究中,我们使用机器学习(ML)开发了用于HD患者风险预测的IDH模型.
    方法:将62,227个透析会话随机分为训练数据(70%),测试数据(20%),和验证数据(10%)。基于27个变量的IDH-A模型被构建用于下一次HD治疗的风险预测。基于来自64,870个透析疗程的10个变量开发了IDH-B模型,用于在每次HD治疗之前进行风险评估。光梯度升压机(LightGBM),线性判别分析,支持向量机,XGBoost,TabNet,和多层感知器用于开发预测模型。
    结果:在IDH-A模型中,我们将LightGBM方法确定为性能最佳和可解释的模型,在Fall30Nadir90定义中C-统计量为0.82,高于其他模型(P<0.01)。在Nadir90,Nadir100,Fall20,Fall30和Fall20Nadir90的其他IDH标准中,LightGBM方法的性能为C统计量为0.77至0.89。作为一个补充应用,IDH-B模型中的LightGBM模型在Fall30Nadir90定义中的C-统计量为0.68,在其他五个IDH标准中的C-统计量为0.69至0.78,也高于其他方法,分别。
    结论:使用ML,我们将LightGBM方法确定为性能良好且可解释的模型。我们确定了顶级变量是HD患者中IDH事件的高危因素。IDH-A和IDH-B模型可以有效地相互补充以进行风险预测,并通过应用于不同的临床环境进一步促进及时干预。
    OBJECTIVE: Intradialytic hypotension (IDH) is closely associated with adverse clinical outcomes in HD-patients. An IDH predictor model is important for IDH risk screening and clinical decision-making. In this study, we used Machine learning (ML) to develop IDH model for risk prediction in HD patients.
    METHODS: 62,227 dialysis sessions were randomly partitioned into training data (70%), test data (20%), and validation data (10%). IDH-A model based on twenty-seven variables was constructed for risk prediction for the next HD treatment. IDH-B model based on ten variables from 64,870 dialysis sessions was developed for risk assessment before each HD treatment. Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), Linear Discriminant Analysis, support vector machines, XGBoost, TabNet, and multilayer perceptron were used to develop the predictor model.
    RESULTS: In IDH-A model, we identified the LightGBM method as the best-performing and interpretable model with C- statistics of 0.82 in Fall30Nadir90 definitions, which was higher than those obtained using the other models (P<0.01). In other IDH standards of Nadir90, Nadir100, Fall20, Fall30, and Fall20Nadir90, the LightGBM method had a performance with C- statistics ranged 0.77 to 0.89. As a complementary application, the LightGBM model in IDH-B model achieved C- statistics of 0.68 in Fall30Nadir90 definitions and 0.69 to 0.78 in the other five IDH standards, which were also higher than the other methods, respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: Use ML, we identified the LightGBM method as the good-performing and interpretable model. We identified the top variables as the high-risk factors for IDH incident in HD-patient. IDH-A and IDH-B model can usefully complement each other for risk prediction and further facilitate timely intervention through applied into different clinical setting.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:医院提供的医疗保健质量的显着差异引起了美国医疗保险和医疗补助服务中心的广泛关注。主要问题是根据患者结果评估医院绩效。广义线性随机效应模型是评估医院绩效的有前途的分析工具。然而,在这些模型中,医院比较数据经常违反关于随机效应的正态性和变换条件均值结构的线性表示的经典假设。
    方法:在本文中,我们提出并测试了一类包含非参数平均结构和半非参数医院随机效应的医院比较模型的性能.此类模型得到了进一步改进,并集成到零膨胀模型中。[公式:参见正文]彻底开发了实施这些新提出的医院比较模型的程序。[公式:见文本]程序可通过GitHub(https:\\\\www.GitHub.com)存储库。
    结果:我们通过进行深入的实证研究证明了所提出的医院比较模型的稳健性。在大规模重症监护病房数据集中,使用灵活的半非参数随机效应和功能固定效应平均结构来分析患者死亡率。在应用所提出的模型来评估标准化的模态率并解决跨医院的患者混合变异性之后,我们发现那些死亡率较高的表现不佳的医院。
    结论:我们的研究结果强调了构建先进的医院绩效评估工具如何能够在行政和公共层面支持更好的决策。拟议的医院比较模型具有全面的识别医院随机效应模式的能力,并以强大的准确性和可解释性传达医疗质量的可变性。
    OBJECTIVE: Significant variability in the quality of healthcare supplied by hospitals is drawing broad attention from the United States Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. The primary issue is to evaluate hospital performance based on patient outcomes. Generalized linear random-effects models are a promising analytical tool for evaluating hospital performance. However, hospital compare data often violate the classical assumptions of normality on random effects and linearity representation on transformed conditional mean structures in these models.
    METHODS: In this article, we proposed and tested the performance of a class of hospital compare models that embraces nonparametric mean structures with semi-nonparametric hospital random effects. Such models were further improved and integrated into a zero-inflated model. [Formula: see text] programs to implement these newly proposed hospital compare models were thoroughly developed. The [Formula: see text] programs are freely available via a GitHub (https:\\\\www.GitHub.com) repository.
    RESULTS: We demonstrate the robustness of the proposed hospital compare models by conducting intensive empirical studies. Flexible semi-nonparametric random effects and functional fixed-effects mean structure were used to analyze patient mortality in a large-scale intensive care unit data set. After applying the proposed models to assess standardized modality rates and address patient-mix variability across hospitals, we detected those underperforming hospitals with higher mortality rates.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our research findings highlight how constructing advanced assessment tools for hospital performance could support better decision-making at the administrative and public levels. The proposed hospital compare models are comprehensive in their capacity to identify patterns of hospital random effects and to convey the variability in healthcare quality with powerful accuracy and interpretability.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:本研究的目的是确定中文版《儿童医院医疗保健提供者和系统消费者评估》(Child-HCAHPS)的病例组合调整者,并评估病例组合调整对中国患者体验措施的影响。
    方法:本研究回顾性分析了从中国六个国家儿科区域中心收集的数据。参与者是≤17岁的儿童及其完成调查的监护人。中国儿童HCAHPS用于测量儿科住院护理经验。使用解释力的汇总措施评估候选病例混合调节剂。对六个中心的分数和排名的变化进行了量化,以评估调整的影响。
    结果:2021年1月至3月,共有2708名受访者完成了调查,回复率为7-15%。儿童的全球健康状况和作为儿童母亲的受访者被确定为病例混合调节者,构建了18项患者体验项目的病例混合调整模型。调整前后医院排名的Kendallτ相关性在0.73到1.00之间。
    结论:尽管病例组合调整的影响在我们的样本中可能看起来不大,它证明了可行性,必要性,以及进一步开发中国儿科医疗机构病例组合调整模型的方法。
    结论:病例组合调整模型针对医疗保健提供者无法修正的可能影响患者体验评分的因素进行调整,从而提高机构级评级的可比性。质量措施的标准化病例混合调整方案需要在不同的设置中进行修改。这是第一项确定调整变量和病例组合调整对中国人群儿科住院患者经验测量的可能影响的研究。本研究为进一步发展中国儿科医疗机构病例组合调整模型的可行性和必要性提供了证据。
    BACKGROUND: The aim of the study was to identify case-mix adjusters for the Chinese version of the Child Hospital Consumer Assessment of Healthcare Providers and Systems (Child-HCAHPS) and assess the impact of case-mix adjustment on patient experience measures in China.
    METHODS: This study analyzed data collected from six National Regional Center for Pediatric across China retrospectively. Participants were children aged ≤17 years and their guardians who completed the survey. The Chinese Child-HCAHPS was used to measure pediatric inpatient care experience. Candidate case-mix adjusters were assessed using a summary measure of explanatory power. Changes in scores and rankings of the six centers were quantified to assess the impact of adjustment.
    RESULTS: A total of 2708 respondents completed the survey from January to March 2021, with a response rate of 7-15%. The child\'s global health status and the respondent being the child\'s mother were identified as case-mix adjusters, and case-mix adjustment models for 18 patient experience items were constructed. Kendall\'s τ correlation of hospital rankings before and after adjustment ranged from 0.73 to 1.00.
    CONCLUSIONS: Although the impact of case-mix adjustment may appear modest in our sample, it demonstrated the feasibility, necessity, and methodology for further development of case-mix adjustment models in pediatric healthcare facilities in China.
    CONCLUSIONS: Case-mix adjustment models adjust for factors that are unamendable by healthcare providers that may affect patient experience ratings, thereby improving the comparability of institutional-level ratings. Standardized case-mix adjustment protocols for quality measures need to be modified in different settings. This is the first study to identify adjustment variables and the possible impact of case-mix adjustment on pediatric inpatients\' experience measures in a Chinese population. This study provided evidence on the feasibility and necessity for further development of case-mix adjustment models for pediatric healthcare facilities in China.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    The validity of risk-adjustment methods based on administrative data has been questioned because hospital referral regions with higher diagnosis frequencies report lower case-fatality rates, implying that diagnoses do not track the underlying health risk. The objective of this study is to test the hypothesis that regional variation of diagnostic frequency in inpatient records is not associated with different coding practices but a reflection of the underlying health risks.
    We applied two stratification methods to Medicare Analysis and Provider Review data from 2009 through 2014: (1) the number of chronic conditions; and, (2) quartiles of Risk Stratification Index (RSI)-defined risk. After sorting hospital referral regions into quintiles of diagnostic frequency, we examined all-cause mortality.
    Medicare Analysis and Provider Review administrative database.
    18 126 301 hospitalised Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged 65 or older who had at least one hospital-based procedure between 2009 and 2014.
    Coding frequency and baseline regional population risk factors by hospital referral region.
    One year all-cause mortality in patients having the same number of chronic conditions or within the same RSI score quartile across US health referral regions, grouped by diagnostic frequency.
    No consistent relationship between diagnostic frequency and mortality in the risk stratum defined by number of chronic conditions was detected. In the strata defined by RSI quartile, there was no decrease in mortality as a function of diagnostic frequency. Instead, adjusted mortality was positively correlated with socioeconomic risk factors.
    Using present-on-admission codes only, diagnostic frequency among inpatients with at least one hospital-based procedure appears to be consequent to differences in baseline population health status, rather than diagnostic coding practices. In this population, claims-based risk-adjustment using RSI appears to be useful for assessing hospital outcomes and performance.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Thromboembolic events are the most serious complication of atrial fibrillation (AF), and the left atrial appendage (LAA) is the most important site of thrombosis in patients with AF. During the period of COVID-19, a non-invasive left atrial appendage detection method is particularly important in order to reduce the exposure of the virus. This study used CT three-dimensional reconstruction methods to explore the relationship between LAA morphology, LAA orifice area and its mechanical function in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF).
    A total of 81 consecutive patients with NVAF (36 cases of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation and 45 cases of persistent atrial fibrillation) who were planned to undergo catheter radiofrequency ablation were enrolled. All patients were examined by transthoracic echocardiography (TTE), TEE, and computed tomography angiography (CTA) before surgery. The LAA orifice area was obtained according to the images of CTA. According to the left atrial appendage morphology, it was divided into chicken wing type and non-chicken wing type. At the same time, TEE was performed to determine left atrial appendage flow velocity (LAAFV), and the relationship between the left atrial appendage orifice area and LAAFV was analyzed.
    The LAAFV in Non-chicken wing group was lower than that in Chicken wing group (36.2 ± 15.0 cm/s vs. 49.1 ± 22.0 cm/s, p-value < 0.05). In the subgroup analysis, the LAAFV in Non-chicken wing group was lower than that in Chicken wing group in the paroxysmal AF (44.0 ± 14.3 cm/s vs. 60.2 ± 22.8 cm/s, p-value < 0.05). In the persistent AF, similar results were observed (29.7 ± 12.4 cm/s vs. 40.8 ± 17.7 cm/s, p-value < 0.05). The LAAFV in persistent AF group was lower than that in paroxysmal AF group (34.6 ± 15.8 cm/s vs. 49.9 ± 20.0 cm/s, p-value < 0.001). The LAAFV was negatively correlated with left atrial dimension (R = - 0.451, p-value < 0.001), LAA orifice area (R= - 0.438, p-value < 0.001) and left ventricular mass index (LVMI) (R= - 0.624, p-value < 0.001), while it was positively correlated with LVEF (R = 0.271, p-value = 0.014). Multiple linear regression analysis showed that LAA morphology (β = - 0.335, p-value < 0.001), LAA orifice area (β = -  0.185, p-value = 0.033), AF type (β = - 0.167, p-value = 0.043) and LVMI (β = - 0.465, p-value < 0.001) were independent factors of LAAFV.
    The LAA orifice area is closely related to the mechanical function of the LAA in patients with NVAF. The larger LAA orifice area and LVMI, Non-chicken wing LAA and persistent AF are independent predictors of decreased mechanical function of LAA, and these parameters might be helpful for better management of LA thrombosis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    流感监测在公共卫生领域备受关注。对于零过多的情况,零膨胀泊松过程被广泛使用。然而,传统的基于零膨胀泊松模型的控制图,忽略流感病例和危险因素之间的联系,因此,在实施监控图表时可能会导致意想不到的错误。
    在本文中,我们提出了风险调整后的零膨胀泊松累积和控制图,其中将危险因素用于调整流感风险,并通过零膨胀泊松回归进行调整。我们分别提出了单独和同时监控参数的控制图。
    对我们提出的风险调整后的零膨胀泊松累积和控制图的性能进行了评估,并与模拟研究中未调整的标准累积和控制图进行了比较。结果表明,对于不同的影响因子分布和不同的系数,与标准图表相比,风险调整后的累积和图表产生的误报要少得多。最后,香港的流感监测数据用于说明建议图表的应用。
    我们的结果表明,我们提出的调整后的累积和控制图比未调整的标准控制图更准确和可信,因为调整后的控制图的误报率较低。即使是未调整的控制图也可能比调整后的控制图信号快一点,他们发出的警报可能可信度很低,因为即使流程处于控制之中,他们也经常发出警报。因此,我们建议使用风险调整后的累积和控制图来监测流感监测数据,以准确地发出警报,可靠且相对较快。
    The influenza surveillance has been received much attention in public health area. For the cases with excessive zeroes, the zero-inflated Poisson process is widely used. However, the traditional control charts based on zero-inflated Poisson model, ignore the association between influenza cases and risk factors, and thus may lead to unexpected mistakes when implementing monitoring charts.
    In this paper, we proposed risk-adjusted zero-inflated Poisson cumulative sum control charts, in which the risk factors were put to adjust the risk of influenza and the adjustment was made by zero-inflated Poisson regression. We respectively proposed the control chart monitoring the parameters individually and simultaneously.
    The performance of our proposed risk-adjusted zero-inflated Poisson cumulative sum control chart was evaluated and compared with the unadjusted standard cumulative sum control charts in simulation studies. The results show that for different distribution of impact factors and different coefficients, the risk-adjusted cumulative sum charts can generate much less false alarm than the standard ones. Finally, the influenza surveillance data from Hong Kong is used to illustrate the application of the proposed chart.
    Our results suggest that the adjusted cumulative sum control chart we proposed is more accurate and credible than the unadjusted standard control charts because of the lower false alarm rate of the adjusted ones. Even the unadjusted control charts may signal a little faster than the adjusted ones, the alarm they raise may have low credibility since they also raise alarm frequently even the processes are in control. Thus we suggest using the risk-adjusted cumulative sum control charts to monitor the influenza surveillance data to alert accurately, credibly and relatively quickly.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    未经证实:钩钢板内固定肩锁关节(AC)脱位后的肩峰下撞击综合征(SIS)是最常见的并发症。然而,对其影响因素的研究很少。本研究的目的是通过分析术后SIS的影响因素,找出危险因素,最大限度地降低SIS在临床手术中的发生率。我们回顾性分析了2014年8月至2017年8月在我们研究所连续330例AC关节脱位患者的前瞻性数据。移除内固定后,在最后一次随访中,SIS作为因变量。独立变量包括年龄,性别,身体质量指数(BMI),吸烟状况,酒精消费,损伤类型,罗克伍德分类,受伤部位,操作时间,损伤到手术,钩体和肩峰之间的距离(DBA),钩尖深度(DHT),钩板和肱骨头(DHH)之间的距离,肩峰和肱骨头(DAH)之间的距离,钩板角度(AHP)和肩峰形状。采用Logistic回归分析确定SIS的独立影响因素。共纳入312例,丢失18例。随访率为94.5%。在没有SIS组的情况下,共有225例(男123例,女102例)。在SIS组中,共包括87例病例(男56例,女31例)。SIS发生率为27.8%。DHT(OR=9.385,95%CI=4.883~18.040,P<.001)和DBA(OR=2.444,95%CI=1.591~3.755,P<.001)是钩板治疗AC脱位的显著独立危险因素。DAH(OR=0.597,95%CI=0.396~0.900,P=0.014)和肩峰形状平直(OR=0.325,95%CI=0.135~0.785,P=0.012)也是SIS的独立影响因素。但他们都有保护作用.SIS在锁骨钩板固定AC脱位中的发生率很高。DHT和DBA是两个独立的危险因素,DAH和肩峰形状平直是SIS的两个独立保护因素。在临床手术中,应避免危险因素,降低SIS的发生率。
    UNASSIGNED: Subacromial impingement syndrome (SIS) after hook plate fixation for acromioclavicular joint (AC) dislocation was the most common complication. However, the researches on its\' influential factors were rare. The purpose of this study was to identify the risk factors by analyzing the influencing factors of postoperative SIS and minimize the incidence of SIS in clinical surgery.We retrospectively analyzed the prospectively collected data from 330 consecutive patients with AC joint dislocation between August 2014 and August 2017 at our institute. The SIS was presented as the dependent variable at the last follow-up when the internal fixation was removed. The independent variables included age, gender, body-mass index (BMI), smoking status, alcohol consumption, type of injury, Rockwood Classification, site of injury, operation time, injury-to-surgery, the distance between the hook body and the acromion (DBA), the depth of hook tip (DHT), the distance between the hook plate and the humeral head (DHH), the distance between the acromion and the humeral head (DAH), the hook plate angle (AHP) and acromial shape. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent influential factors of SIS.A total of 312 cases were included and 18 cases were lost. The follow-up rate was 94.5%. In without SIS group, there were 225 cases (123 males and 102 females). In with SIS group, a total of 87 cases were included (56 males and 31 females). The incidence of SIS was 27.8%. DHT (OR = 9.385, 95% CI = 4.883 to 18.040, P < .001) and DBA (OR = 2.444, 95% CI = 1.591 to 3.755, P < .001) were the significant independent risk factor for SIS of AC dislocation treat with hook plate. DAH (OR = 0.597, 95% CI = 0.396 to 0.900, P = .014) and acromial shape with flat and straight (OR = 0.325, 95% CI = 0.135 to 0.785, P = .012) were also independent factors of SIS, but they were all protective.The SIS had a high incidence in fixation of clavicular hook plate for AC dislocation. DHT and DBA were two independent risk factors, DAH and acromial shape with flat and straight were two independent protective factors for SIS. In clinical surgery, we should avoid risk factors to reduce the incidence of SIS.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    未经授权:本研究旨在开发列线图来预测软骨母细胞性骨肉瘤(COS)患者的生存。对从监测中收集的320例COS进行了分析,流行病学,和2004年至2015年的最终结果(SEER)数据库。使用单变量和多变量Cox分析筛选独立的预后因素。随后,建立列线图来预测患者的癌症特异性生存率(CSS)和总生存率(OS)。使用校准曲线和一致性指数(C指数)检查列线图的预测准确性和辨别能力。正如单变量和多变量Cox回归分析所揭示的那样,年龄,肿瘤大小,主站点,转移的存在,有手术史,发现放疗史是影响COS患者生存的独立预后因素(均P<0.05)。此外,年龄>39岁,远处转移的存在,没有手术史,发现肿瘤大小>103mm与患者预后不良有关,而下颌骨的主要部位和没有接受过放疗的病史显示与患者更有利的预后相关。接下来,构建列线图来预测COS患者的OS和CSS。我们构建了列线图,可以为软骨母细胞性骨肉瘤患者提供准确的生存预测。这些列线图可以帮助外科医生定制软骨母细胞性骨肉瘤患者的治疗策略。
    UNASSIGNED: The present study aimed to develop nomograms to predict survival in patients with chondroblastic osteosarcoma (COS).An analysis was conducted of 320 cases of COS collected from the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) database between 2004 and 2015. Independent prognostic factors were screened using univariate and multivariate Cox analyses. Subsequently, nomograms were established to predict the patients\' cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) rates. The prediction accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomograms were examined using calibration curves and the concordance index (C-index).As revealed in the univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis, age, tumor size, the primary site, the presence of metastasis, a history of having undergone surgery, and a history of having received radiotherapy were found to be independent prognostic factors associated with survival in patients with COS (all P < .05). Furthermore, age >39 years, the presence of distant metastasis, no history of having undergone any surgery, and tumor size >103 mm were found to be associated with poor prognosis in patients, while the primary site of the mandible and no history of having undergone radiotherapy showed associations with a more favorable prognosis in patients. Next, nomograms were constructed to predict the OS and CSS in patients with COS.We constructed nomograms that can provide accurate survival predictions in patients with chondroblastic osteosarcoma. These nomograms can help surgeons customize the treatment strategies for patients with chondroblastic osteosarcoma.
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