UNASSIGNED: Gastric cancer is a significant contributor to the global cancer burden. Risk prediction models aim to estimate future risk based on current and past information, and can be utilized for risk stratification in population screening programs for gastric cancer. This review aims to explore the research design of existing models, as well as the methods, variables, and performance of model construction.
UNASSIGNED: Six databases were searched through to November 4, 2023 to identify appropriate studies. PRISMA extension for scoping reviews and the Arksey and O\'Malley framework were followed. Data sources included PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, CNKI, Wanfang, and VIP, focusing on gastric cancer risk prediction model studies.
UNASSIGNED: A total of 29 articles met the inclusion criteria, from which 28 original risk prediction models were identified that met the analysis criteria. The risk prediction model is screened, and the data extracted includes research characteristics, prediction variables selection, model construction methods and evaluation indicators. The area under the curve (AUC) of the models ranged from 0.560 to 0.989, while the C-statistics varied between 0.684 and 0.940. The number of predictor variables is mainly concentrated between 5 to 11. The top 5 most frequently included variables were age, helicobacter pylori (Hp), precancerous lesion, pepsinogen (PG), sex, and smoking. Age and Hp were the most consistently included variables.
UNASSIGNED: This review enhances understanding of current gastric cancer risk prediction research and its future directions. The findings provide a strong scientific basis and technical support for developing more accurate gastric cancer risk models. We expect that these conclusions will point the way for future research and clinical practice in this area to assist in the early prevention and treatment of gastric cancer.

OBJECTIVE: Efficient primary prevention of diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is currently lacking. The identification of people at high DKD risk and timely intervention are key to preventing DKD. Therefore, a model to classify people according to their risk for developing DKD was developed previously and used in the current analysis to assess the effect of semaglutide versus placebo on primary DKD prevention.
METHODS: Participants with type 2 diabetes from the randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled SUSTAIN 6 trial without DKD at baseline who received 0.5/1.0 mg semaglutide or placebo were grouped by baseline DKD risk, calculated using a validated model. The main post hoc outcome was the effect of semaglutide versus placebo on the proportion of participants who developed DKD [urinary albumin/creatinine ratio (UACR) ≥30 mg/g and/or estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m2]. Additional post hoc outcomes included changes in DKD risk score, UACR and estimated glomerular filtration rate over time.
RESULTS: Of the total 1139 participants included in the analysis, 28.7% developed DKD; more participants with a high DKD risk (952/1139) developed DKD. Semaglutide significantly reduced the risk of developing DKD in both the total [odds ratio 0.56 (95% confidence interval: 0.42; 0.74; p < 0.0001)], and high DKD risk population [odds ratio 0.51 (95% confidence interval: 0.38; 0.69; p < 0.0001)] and significantly delayed DKD development versus placebo. The beneficial effects of semaglutide were largely driven by UACR changes. The number needed to treat for semaglutide in the high DKD risk population was 7.
CONCLUSIONS: This post hoc study indicates that semaglutide may have beneficial effects on primary DKD prevention in people with T2D.

UNASSIGNED: There is a growing interest in the use of complementary therapies for the prevention of disease and the maintenance of health. Furthermore, complementary therapies that incorporate exercise are becoming increasingly prevalent among the older adult, and thus may represent a crucial strategy for the primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Exercise therapy, as a means to prevent and treat cardiovascular diseases, has been gradually applied in clinical practice. It has the advantages of reducing mortality, improving clinical symptoms, restoring physical function and improving quality of life. In recent years, traditional Chinese sports such as Ba Duan Jin and Qigong have developed rapidly. Therefore, a comprehensive systematic review is required to examine interventions involving Ba Duan Jin exercise in healthy adults or those at increased risk of CVD in order to determine the effectiveness of Ba Duan Jin exercise for the primary prevention of CVD.
UNASSIGNED: To investigate the effect of Ba Duan Jin exercise intervention for the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases.
UNASSIGNED: Eight databases were systematically searched from inception to July, 2024 for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to evaluated the impact of Ba Duan Jin exercise intervention on cardiovascular diseases. The search terms were \"Cardiovascular diseases\" \"Ba Duan Jin\" and \"Randomized controlled.\" The Cochrane risk assessment tool was used to evaluate the study quality, and the meta-analysis was performed using Rev. Man 5.4 software.
UNASSIGNED: Seventeen completed trials were conducted with 1,755 participants who were randomly assigned and met the inclusion criteria. All 17 studies were conducted in China. The meta-analysis indicates that Ba Duan Jin exercise therapy can provide long-term benefits (20-30 years) by reducing all-cause mortality (RR = 0.55, 95% CI: 0.44-0.68, p < 0.01) and stroke mortality (RR = 0.49, 95% CI: 0.36-0.66, p < 0.01) in hypertensive patients. Subgroup analyses reveal that Ba Duan Jin exercise therapy decreases SBP (MD = -4.05, 95% CI = -6.84 to -1.26, p < 0.01) and DBP (MD = -3.21, 95% CI = -5.22 to -1.20, p < 0.01) levels in patients with essential hypertension, significantly reduces serum TC (MD = -0.78, 95% CI = -1.06 to -0.50, p < 0.01), TG (MD = -0.78, 95% CI = -0.93 to -0.62, p < 0.01), and LDL-C (MD = -0.76, 95% CI = -0.92 to -0.60, p < 0.01) levels in patients with hyperlipidemia, increases HDL-C (MD = 0.32, 95% CI = 0.14-0.51, p < 0.01) levels, and produces beneficial effects on cardiovascular function. Additionally, it can alleviate anxiety (MD = -3.37, 95% CI = -3.84 to -2.89, p < 0.01) and improve sleep quality (MD = -2.68, 95% CI = -3.63to -1.73, p < 0.01).
UNASSIGNED: Ba Duan Jin exercise therapy can improve the physical and mental condition and quality of life of patients with cardiovascular diseases, and it is worthy of further promotion and application in clinical practice.
UNASSIGNED: PROSPERO, identifier: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42024496934.

BACKGROUND: Conventional transvenous implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (TV-ICD) is the standard device used for primary prevention of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in patients with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Nonetheless its use is associated with lead-related complications including infection and malfunction. A subcutaneous implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (S-ICD) offers an alternative option without the need for a transvenous lead but has limitations. The decision to implant a TV-ICD or S-ICD in patients with impaired LVEF for primary prevention of SCD is controversial. Several randomised controlled trials and large observational studies have confirmed similar safety and efficacy of S-ICDs and TV-ICDs in such population.
METHODS: A literature review was conducted to compare the outcomes of subcutaneous (S-ICD) versus transvenous (TV-ICD) implantable cardioverter-defibrillators. Databases including PubMed, MEDLINE, and Cochrane were searched for relevant peer-reviewed articles. Studies were selected based on relevance and quality. Key outcomes like complication rates, efficacy, and patient survival were summarized in a comparative table.
RESULTS: Different factors that influence the choice between an TV-ICD and S-ICD for primary prevention of SCD in patients with LVEF are highlighted to guide selection of the appropriate device in different patient populations. Moreover, future perspective on the combination of SICD with leadless pacemaker, and the latest development of the extravascular implantable cardioverter defibrillator are also discussed.
CONCLUSIONS: S-ICD offers a safe and efficacious option to primary prevention in reduced ejection fraction. Future development including incorporation of leadless pacemaker will add to the arsenal of choice to protect patients from sudden cardiac death.

UNASSIGNED: Results from studies were inconsistent with regard to the effect of folic acid on the primary prevention of stroke. The aim of this study was to analyze the association between folic acid and the primary prevention of stroke using the data from observational studies and randomized controlled trials (RCTs).
UNASSIGNED: Eligible publications published until June 2024 were searched in the database of PubMed, Web of Science and Embase. This study included all observational studies and RCTs of folic acid with first stroke as the reporting endpoints. Relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were pooled in the random-effects model to assess the effect of folic acid on the primary prevention of stroke.
UNASSIGNED: Results from 12 observational publications with 16 research, including 312,320 participants, were combined to explore the association between dietary folic acid intake and the primary prevention of stroke. The results showed that high dietary folic acid intake was associated with a 17% reduction in stroke incidence (RR:0.83; 95% CI: 0.73-0.94), and the effect of dietary folic acid was greater in areas without grain fortification (RR:0.80; 95% CI: 0.67-0.95). The pooled results from 12 RCTs, totaling 75,042 participants, indicated that folic acid supplementation was not associated with the stroke primary prevention (RR:0.92; 95% CI: 0.80-1.05), but folic acid supplementation was effective in areas without grain fortification (RR:0.78; 95% CI: 0.68-0.89).
UNASSIGNED: Our meta-analysis demonstrated that dietary folic acid is effective in stroke primary prevention, and folic acid supplementation is effective in stroke primary prevention only in areas without grain fortification.
UNASSIGNED: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/#myprospero, identifier CRD42024516991.

Coenzyme Q10 (CoQ10) supplementation appears to be associated with a lower blood pressure. Nevertheless, it remains unclear whether food-sourced CoQ10 will affect new-onset hypertension in general adults. This study investigated the relationship between dietary CoQ10 intake and new-onset hypertension among the general population. Participants without hypertension at baseline from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) prospective cohort study were included (n = 11,428). Dietary CoQ10 intake was collected by validated dietary recalls and the food weighing method. Linear and non-linear relationships between dietary CoQ10 intake and new-onset hypertension were analyzed using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic splines. During follow-up (median: 6 years), 4006 new-onset hypertension cases were documented. Compared with non-consumers, the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) from quintile 2 to 4 total dietary CoQ10 were 0.83 (0.76, 0.91), 0.86 (0.78, 0.94) and 1.01 (0.92, 1.11); total plant-derived CoQ10 were 0.80 (0.73, 0.88), 1.00 (0.91, 1.09) and 1.10 (1.00, 1.20); and animal-derived CoQ10 were 0.65 (0.59, 0.71), 0.58 (0.53, 0.64) and 0.68 (0.62, 0.75). The lowest risk was found at moderate intake, with a non-linear relationship (P nonlinearity < 0.05). Furthermore, the overall inverse association was stronger among individuals without alcohol consumption or eating a low-fat diet. Moderate long-term dietary CoQ10 intake might be protective against new-onset hypertension. However, it follows a non-linear relationship and excessive intake may increase the risk of new-onset hypertension in the Chinese population.

UNASSIGNED: In non-high-risk individuals, risk-category-based atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) screening strategies may be more cost-effective than one-size-fits-all approaches. However, current decisions are constrained by a lack of research evidence. We aimed to explore appropriate risk-category-based screening interval strategies for non-high-risk individuals in ASCVD primary prevention in the Chinese population.
UNASSIGNED: We used data from 28,624 participants in the China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) who had completed at least two field surveys. The risk assessment tools were the 10-year ASCVD risk prediction models developed based on the CKB cohort. We constructed multistate Markov models to model disease progression and estimate transition probabilities between different risk categories. The total person-years spent unidentified in the high-risk state over a 10-year period were calculated for each screening interval protocol. We also estimated the number of ASCVD events prevented, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained, and costs saved when compared to the 3-yearly screening protocol.
UNASSIGNED: When compared to the uniform 3-yearly protocol, most risk-category-based screening interval protocols would identify more high-risk individuals timely, thus preventing more ASCVD events and gaining QALYs. A few of them would reduce total health-care costs. The protocol, which used 6-year, 3-year, and 2-year screening intervals for low-risk, intermediate-low-risk, and intermediate-high risk individuals, was optimal, and would reduce the person-years spent unidentified in the high-risk category by 17.9% (95% CI: 13.1%-21.9%), thus preventing an estimated 113 thousand (95% CI: 83-138) hard ASCVD events for Chinese adults aged 30-79 over a 10-year period. When using a lower cost of statin therapy, more screening protocols would gain QALYs while saving costs.
UNASSIGNED: For the primary prevention of ASCVD, risk-category-based screening protocols outperformed the one-size-fits-all approach in the Chinese population.
UNASSIGNED: This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (82192904, 82388102, 82192900) and grants (2023YFC2509400) from the National Key R&D Program of China. The CKB baseline survey and the first re-survey were supported by a grant from the Kadoorie Charitable Foundation in Hong Kong. The long-term follow-up is supported by grants from the UK Wellcome Trust (212946/Z/18/Z, 202922/Z/16/Z, 104085/Z/14/Z, 088158/Z/09/Z), grants (2016YFC0900500) from the National Key R&D Program of China, National Natural Science Foundation of China (81390540, 91846303, 81941018), and Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology (2011BAI09B01).

UNASSIGNED: Evidence on statin use for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in older people needs to be extended and updated, aiming to provide further guidance for clinical practice.
UNASSIGNED: PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library and Web of Science were searched for eligible observational studies comparing statin use vs. no-statin use for primary prevention of CVD in older people (age ≥ 65 years). The primary outcomes were all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, coronary heart disease (CHD)/myocardial infraction (MI), stroke and total CV events. Risk estimates of each relevant outcome were synthesized as a hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) using in the random-effects model.
UNASSIGNED: Twelve eligible observational studies (n = 1,627,434) were enrolled. The pooled results suggested that statin use was associated with a significantly decreased risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.46-0.63), CVD mortality (HR: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.39-0.65), CHD/MI (HR: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.69-1.00), stroke (HR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.68-0.92) and total CV events (HR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.66-0.85). The association in all-cause mortality still remained obvious at higher ages ( ≥ 70 years old, HR: 0.56, 95% CI: 0.44-0.71; ≥ 75 years old, HR: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.60-0.80; ≥ 85 years old, HR: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.74-0.97), ≥ 20% (HR: 0.47, 95% CI: 0.35-0.62) and < 20% diabetic populations (HR: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.40-0.64), and ≥ 50% (HR: 0.68, 95% CI: 0.59-0.79) and < 50% hypertensive populations (HR: 0.38, 95% CI: 0.16-0.88).
UNASSIGNED: Statin use was related to a 46%, 49%, 17%, 21% and 25% risk reduction on all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, CHD/MI, stroke and total CV events in older patients, respectively. The significant association was also addressed in older patients and ≥ 75 years old individuals for CVD primary prevention.

UNASSIGNED: Early recognition of coronary artery disease (CAD) could delay its progress and significantly reduce mortality. Sensitive, specific, cost-efficient and non-invasive indicators for assessing individual CAD risk in community population screening are urgently needed.
UNASSIGNED: 3112 patients with CAD and 3182 controls were recruited from three clinical centers in China, and differences in baseline and clinical characteristics were compared. For the discovery cohort, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was used to identify significant features and four machine learning algorithms (logistic regression, support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF) and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)) were applied to construct models for CAD risk assessment, the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve and precision-recall (PR) curve were conducted to evaluate their predictive accuracy. The optimal model was interpreted by Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) analysis and assessed by the ROC curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) and validated by two external cohorts.
UNASSIGNED: Using LASSO filtration, all included variables were considered to be statistically significant. Four machine learning models were constructed based on these features and the results of ROC and PR curve implied that the XGBoost model exhibited the highest predictive performance, which yielded a high area of ROC curve (AUC) of 0.988 (95% CI: 0.986-0.991) to distinguish CAD patients from controls with a sensitivity of 94.6% and a specificity of 94.6%. The calibration curve showed that the predicted results were in good agreement with actual observations, and DCA exhibited a better net benefit across a wide range of threshold probabilities. External validation of the model also exhibited favorable discriminatory performance, with an AUC, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.953 (95% CI: 0.945-0.960), 89.9%, and 87.1% in the validation cohort, and 0.935 (95% CI: 0.915-0.955), 82.0%, and 90.3% in the replication cohort.
UNASSIGNED: Our model is highly informative for clinical practice and will be conducive to primary prevention and tailoring the precise management for CAD patients.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the health benefits and intervention efficiency of different strategies of initiating antihypertensive therapy for the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases in a community-based Chinese population from the Chinese electronic health records research in Yinzhou (CHERRY) study.
METHODS: A decision-analytic Markov model was used to simulate and compare different antihypertensive initiation strategies, including: Strategy 1, initiation of antihypertensive therapy for Chinese adults with systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≥140 mmHg (2020 Chinese guideline on the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases); Strategy 2, initiation of antihypertensive therapy for Chinese adults with SBP ≥130 mmHg; Strategy 3, initiation of antihypertensive therapy for Chinese adults with SBP≥140 mmHg, or with SBP between 130 and 140 mmHg and at high risk of cardiovascular diseases (2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guideline for the prevention, detection, evaluation, and management of high blood pressure in adults); Strategy 4, initiation of antihypertensive therapy for Chinese adults with SBP≥160 mmHg, or with SBP between 140 and 160 mmHg and at high risk of cardiovascular diseases (2019 United Kingdom National Institute for Health and Care Excellence guideline for the hypertension in adults: Diagnosis and management). The high 10-year cardiovascular risk was defined as the predicted risk over 10% based on the 2019 World Health Organization cardiovascular disease risk charts. Different strategies were simulated by the Markov model for ten years (cycles), with parameters mainly from the CHERRY study or published literature. After ten cycles of simulation, the numbers of quality-adjusted life years (QALY), cardiovascular events and all-cause deaths were calculated to evaluate the health benefits of each strategy, and the numbers needed to treat (NNT) for each cardiovascular event or all-cause death could be prevented were calculated to assess the intervention efficiency. One-way sensitivity analysis on the uncertainty of incidence rates of cardiovascular disease and probabilistic sensitivity analysis on the uncertainty of hazard ratios of interventions were conducted.
RESULTS: A total of 213 987 Chinese adults aged 35-79 years without cardiovascular diseases were included. Compared with strategy 1, the number of cardiovascular events that could be prevented in strategy 2 increased by 666 (95% UI: 334-975), while the NNT per cardiovascular event prevented increased by 10 (95% UI: 7-20). In contrast to strategy 1, the number of cardiovascular events that could be prevented in strategy 3 increased by 388 (95% UI: 194-569), and the NNT per cardiovascular event prevented decreased by 6 (95% UI: 4-12), suggesting that strategy 3 had better health benefits and intervention efficiency. Compared to strategy 1, although the number of cardiovascular events that could be prevented decreased by 193 (95% UI: 98-281) in strategy 4, the NNT per cardiovascular event prevented decreased by 18 (95% UI: 13-37) with better efficiency. The results were consistent in the sensitivity analyses.
CONCLUSIONS: When initiating antihypertensive therapy in an economically developed area of China, the strategy combined with cardiovascular risk assessment is more efficient than those purely based on the SBP threshold. The cardiovascular risk assessment strategy with different SBP thresholds is suggested to balance health benefits and intervention efficiency in diverse populations.