Acute hyperglycemia is a common endocrine and metabolic disorder that seriously threatens the health and life of patients. Exploring effective diagnostic methods and treatment strategies for acute hyperglycemia to improve treatment quality and patient satisfaction is currently one of the hotspots and difficulties in medical research. This article introduced a method for diagnosing acute hyperglycemia based on data-driven prediction models. In the experiment, clinical data from 1000 patients with acute hyperglycemia were collected. Through data cleaning and feature engineering, 10 features related to acute hyperglycemia were selected, including BMI (Body Mass Index), TG (triacylglycerol), HDL-C (High-density lipoprotein cholesterol), etc. The support vector machine (SVM) model was used for training and testing. The experimental results showed that the SVM model can effectively predict the occurrence of acute hyperglycemia, with an average accuracy of 96 %, a recall rate of 84 %, and an F1 value of 89 %. The diagnostic method for acute hyperglycemia based on data-driven prediction models has a certain reference value, which can be used as a clinical auxiliary diagnostic tool to improve the early diagnosis and treatment success rate of acute hyperglycemia patients.

In order to effectively predict the changing trend of operating parameters in the pump unit and carry out fault diagnosis and alarm processes, a trend prediction model is proposed in this paper based on PCA-based multi-task learning (MTL) and an attention mechanism (AM). The multi-task learning method based on PCA was used to process the operating data of the pump unit to make full use of the historical data to extract the key common features reflecting the operating state of the pump unit. The attention mechanism (AM) is introduced to dynamically allocate the weight coefficient of common feature mapping for highlighting the key common features and improving the prediction accuracy of the model when predicting the trend of data change for new working conditions. The model is tested with the actual operating data of a pumping station unit, and the calculation results of different models are compared and analyzed. The results show that the introduction of multi-task learning and attention mechanisms can improve the stability and accuracy of the trend prediction model compared with traditional single-task learning and static common feature mapping weights. According to the threshold analysis of the monitoring statistical parameters of the model, a multi-stage alarm model of pump unit operation condition monitoring can be established, which provides a theoretical basis for optimizing operation and maintenance management strategy in the process of pump station management.

Biochar is crucial for agricultural output and plays a significant role in effectively eliminating heavy metals (HMs) from the soil, which is essential for maintaining a soil-plant environment. This work aimed to assess machine learning models to analyze the impact of soil parameters on the transformation of HMs in biochar-soil-plant environments, considering the intricate non-linear relationships involved. A total of 211 datasets from pot or field experiments were evaluated. Fourteen factors were taken into account to assess the efficiency and bioavailability of HM-biochar amendment immobilization. Four predictive models, namely linear regression (LR), partial least squares (PLS), support vector regression (SVR), and random forest (RF), were compared to predict the immobilization efficiency of biochar-HM. The findings revealed that the RF model was created using 5-fold cross-validation, which exhibited a more reliable prediction performance. The results indicated that soil features accounted for 79.7% of the absorption of HM by crops, followed by biochar properties at 17.1% and crop properties at 3.2%. The main elements that influenced the result have been determined as the characteristics of the soil (including the presence of different HM species and the amount of clay) and the quantity and attributes of the biochar (such as the temperature at which it was produced by pyrolysis). Furthermore, the RF model was further developed to predict bioaccumulation factors (BAF) and variations in crop uptake (CCU). The R2 values were found to be 0.7338 and 0.6997, respectively. Thus, machine learning (ML) models could be useful in understanding the behavior of HMs in soil-plant ecosystems by employing biochar additions.

UNASSIGNED: To construct and evaluate a predictive model for in-hospital mortality among critically ill patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) undergoing continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT), based on nine machine learning (ML) algorithm.
UNASSIGNED: The study retrospectively included patients with AKI who underwent CRRT during their initial hospitalization in the United States using the medical information mart for intensive care (MIMIC) database IV (version 2.0), as well as in the intensive care unit (ICU) of Huzhou Central Hospital. Patients from the MIMIC database were used as the training cohort to construct the models (from 2008 to 2019, n = 1068). Patients from Huzhou Central Hospital were utilized as the external validation cohort to evaluate the models (from June 2019 to December 2022, n = 327). In the training cohort, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression with cross-validation was employed to select features for constructing the model and subsequently established nine ML predictive models. The performance of these nine models on the external validation cohort dataset was comprehensively evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and the optimal model was selected. A static nomogram and a web-based dynamic nomogram were presented, with a comprehensive evaluation from the perspectives of discrimination (AUROC), calibration (calibration curve) and clinical practicability (DCA curves).
UNASSIGNED: Finally, 1395 eligible patients were enrolled, including 1068 patients in the training cohort and 327 patients in the external validation cohort. In the training cohort, LASSO regression with cross-validation was employed to select features and nine models were individually constructed. Compared to the other eight models, the Lasso regularized logistic regression (Lasso-LR) model exhibited the highest AUROC (0.756) and the optimal calibration curve. The DCA curve suggested a certain clinical utility in predicting in-hospital mortality among critically ill patients with AKI undergoing CRRT. Consequently, the Lasso-LR model was the optimal model and it was visualized as a common nomogram (static nomogram) and a web-based dynamic nomogram (https://chsyh2006.shinyapps.io/dynnomapp/). Discrimination, calibration and DCA curves were employed to assess the performance of the nomogram. The AUROC for the training and external validation cohorts in the nomogram model was 0.771 (95%CI: 0.743, 0.799) and 0.756 (95%CI: 0.702, 0.809), respectively. The calibration slope and Brier score for the training cohort were 1.000 and 0.195, while for the external validation cohort, they were 0.849 and 0.197, respectively. The DCA indicated that the model had a certain clinical application value.
UNASSIGNED: Our study selected the optimal model and visualized it as a static and dynamic nomogram integrating clinical predictors, so that clinicians can personalized predict the in-hospital outcome of critically ill patients with AKI undergoing CRRT upon ICU admission.

METHODS: Systematic literature review.
OBJECTIVE: To develop a predictive model for osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures (OVCF) in the elderly, utilizing current tools that are sensitive to bone and paraspinal muscle changes.
METHODS: A retrospective analysis of data from 260 patients from October 2020 to December 2022, to form the Model population. This group was split into Training and Testing sets. The Training set aided in creating a nomogram through binary logistic regression. From January 2023 to January 2024, we prospectively collected data from 106 patients to constitute the Validation population. The model\'s performance was evaluated using concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) for both internal and external validation.
RESULTS: The study included 366 patients. The Training and Testing sets were used for nomogram construction and internal validation, while the prospectively collected data was for external validation. Binary logistic regression identified nine independent OVCF risk factors: age, bone mineral density (BMD), quantitative computed tomography (QCT), vertebral bone quality (VBQ), relative functional cross-sectional area of psoas muscles (rFCSAPS), gross and functional muscle fat infiltration of multifidus and psoas muscles (GMFIES+MF and FMFIES+MF), FMFIPS, and mean muscle ratio. The nomogram showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.91 for the C-index, with internal and external validation AUCs of 0.90 and 0.92. Calibration curves and DCA indicated a good model fit.
CONCLUSIONS: This study identified nine factors as independent predictors of OVCF in the elderly. A nomogram including these factors was developed, proving effective for OVCF prediction.

BACKGROUND: Ischaemic stroke is the leading cause of death worldwide, and early neurological deterioration(END) occurs in 20%-40% of patients, which is the main cause of severe neurological deficits and disability, and even increased mortality. The occurrence of END is closely related to the poor prognosis of the patients, so it is important to identify the risk factors for the occurrence of END in patients with AIS and target intervention at an early stage factors and targeted intervention is of great significance.
METHODS: Up to December 20, 2023, a comprehensive search was conducted across PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, MedLine, and The Cochrane Library for studies focusing on predictive models for END in acute stroke patients. Included studies either developed or validated predictive models. The Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment tool was utilized to assess bias in these prediction models. Pooled area under the curve values were calculated using DerSimonian and Laird random-effects model.
RESULTS: Nineteen studies, each presenting an original model, were identified. Predominantly constructed through logistic multiple regression, these models demonstrated robust predictive performance (area under the curve ≥0.80). Key predictors of END in acute ischemic stroke patients included blood glucose levels, baseline National Institute of Health Stroke Scale scores, extent of cerebral infarction, and stenosis in the carotid and middle cerebral arteries.
CONCLUSIONS: Clinical practitioners should closely monitor high-frequency predictors of END in patients. However, the varying quality of current models necessitates the selection of models that balance performance with operational simplicity in clinical practice.

With the rapid spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19), a sustained global pandemic has emerged. Globally, the cumulative death toll is in the millions. The rising number of COVID-19 infections and deaths has severely impacted the lives of people worldwide, healthcare systems, and economic development. We conducted a retrospective analysis of the characteristics of COVID-19 patients. This analysis includes clinical features upon initial hospital admission, relevant laboratory test results, and imaging findings. We aimed to identify risk factors for severe illness and to construct a predictive model for assessing the risk of severe COVID-19. We collected and analyzed electronic medical records of confirmed COVID-19 patients admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Jiangsu University (Zhenjiang, China) between December 18, 2022, and February 28, 2023. According to the WHO diagnostic criteria for the novel coronavirus, we divided the patients into two groups: severe and non-severe, and compared their clinical, laboratory, and imaging data. Logistic regression analysis, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were used to identify the relevant risk factors for severe COVID-19 patients. Patients were divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort. A nomogram model was constructed using the \"rms\" package in R software. Among the 346 patients, the severe group exhibited significantly higher respiratory rates, breathlessness, altered consciousness, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels compared to the non-severe group. Imaging findings indicated that the severe group had a higher proportion of bilateral pulmonary inflammation and ground-glass opacities compared to the non-severe group. NLR and LDH were identified as independent risk factors for severe patients. The diagnostic performance was maximized when NLR, respiratory rate (RR), and LDH were combined. Based on the statistical analysis results, we developed a COVID-19 severity risk prediction model. The total score is calculated by adding up the scores for each of the twelve independent variables. By mapping the total score to the lowest scale, we can estimate the risk of COVID-19 severity. In addition, the calibration plots and DCA analysis showed that the nomogram had better discrimination power for predicting the severity of COVID-19. Our results showed that the development and validation of the predictive nomogram had good predictive value for severe COVID-19.

UNASSIGNED: Thyroid cancer is the most common malignancy of the endocrine system. PANoptosis is a specific form of inflammatory cell death. It mainly includes pyroptosis, apoptosis and necrotic apoptosis. There is increasing evidence that PANoptosis plays a crucial role in tumour development. However, no pathogenic mechanism associated with PANoptosis in thyroid cancer has been identified.
UNASSIGNED: Based on the currently identified PANoptosis genes, a dataset of thyroid cancer patients from the GEO database was analysed. To screen the common differentially expressed genes of thyroid cancer and PANoptosis. To analyse the functional characteristics of PANoptosis-related genes (PRGs) and screen key expression pathways. The prognostic model was established by LASSO regression and key genes were identified. The association between hub genes and immune cells was evaluated based on the CIBERSORT algorithm. Predictive models were validated by validation datasets, immunohistochemistry as well as drug-gene interactions were explored.
UNASSIGNED: The results showed that eight key genes (NUAK2, TNFRSF10B, TNFRSF10C, TNFRSF12A, UNC5B, and PMAIP1) exhibited good diagnostic performance in differentiating between thyroid cancer patients and controls. These key genes were associated with macrophages, CD4+ T cells and neutrophils. In addition, PRGs were mainly enriched in the immunomodulatory pathway and TNF signalling pathway. The predictive performance of the model was confirmed in the validation dataset. The DGIdb database reveals 36 potential therapeutic target drugs for thyroid cancer.
UNASSIGNED: Our study suggests that PANoptosis may be involved in immune dysregulation in thyroid cancer by regulating macrophages, CD4+ T cells and activated T and B cells and TNF signalling pathways. This study suggests potential targets and mechanisms for thyroid cancer development.

BACKGROUND: The escalating global prevalence of obesity has necessitated the exploration of novel diagnostic approaches. Recent scientific inquiries have indicated potential alterations in voice characteristics associated with obesity, suggesting the feasibility of using voice as a noninvasive biomarker for obesity detection.
OBJECTIVE: This study aims to use deep neural networks to predict obesity status through the analysis of short audio recordings, investigating the relationship between vocal characteristics and obesity.
METHODS: A pilot study was conducted with 696 participants, using self-reported BMI to classify individuals into obesity and nonobesity groups. Audio recordings of participants reading a short script were transformed into spectrograms and analyzed using an adapted YOLOv8 model (Ultralytics). The model performance was evaluated using accuracy, recall, precision, and F1-scores.
RESULTS: The adapted YOLOv8 model demonstrated a global accuracy of 0.70 and a macro F1-score of 0.65. It was more effective in identifying nonobesity (F1-score of 0.77) than obesity (F1-score of 0.53). This moderate level of accuracy highlights the potential and challenges in using vocal biomarkers for obesity detection.
CONCLUSIONS: While the study shows promise in the field of voice-based medical diagnostics for obesity, it faces limitations such as reliance on self-reported BMI data and a small, homogenous sample size. These factors, coupled with variability in recording quality, necessitate further research with more robust methodologies and diverse samples to enhance the validity of this novel approach. The findings lay a foundational step for future investigations in using voice as a noninvasive biomarker for obesity detection.

BACKGROUND: Brain age model, including estimated brain age and brain-predicted age difference (brain-PAD), has shown great potentials for serving as imaging markers for monitoring normal ageing, as well as for identifying the individuals in the pre-diagnostic phase of neurodegenerative diseases.
OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the brain age models in normal ageing and mild cognitive impairments (MCI) converters and their values in classifying MCI conversion.
METHODS: Pre-trained brain age model was constructed using the structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data from the Cambridge Centre for Ageing and Neuroscience (Cam-CAN) project (N = 609). The tested brain age model was built using the baseline, 1-year and 3-year follow-up MRI data from normal ageing (NA) adults (n = 32) and MCI converters (n = 22) drew from the Open Access Series of Imaging Studies (OASIS-2). The quantitative measures of morphometry included total intracranial volume (TIV), gray matter volume (GMV) and cortical thickness. Brain age models were calculated based on the individual\'s morphometric features using the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm.
RESULTS: With comparable chronological age, MCI converters showed significant increased TIV-based (Baseline: P = 0.021; 1-year follow-up: P = 0.037; 3-year follow-up: P = 0.001) and left GMV-based brain age than NA adults at all time points. Higher brain-PAD scores were associated with worse global cognition. Acceptable classification performance of TIV-based (AUC = 0.698) and left GMV-based brain age (AUC = 0.703) was found, which could differentiate the MCI converters from NA adults at the baseline.
CONCLUSIONS: This is the first demonstration that MRI-informed brain age models exhibit feature-specific patterns. The greater GMV-based brain age observed in MCI converters may provide new evidence for identifying the individuals at the early stage of neurodegeneration. Our findings added value to existing quantitative imaging markers and might help to improve disease monitoring and accelerate personalized treatments in clinical practice.
Based on individual’s MRI scans, brain age model has shown great potentials for serving as imaging markers for monitoring normal ageing (NA), as well as for identifying the ones in the pre-diagnostic phase of age-related neurodegenerative diseases. In this study, we investigated the brain age models in normal ageing and mild cognitive impairments (MCI) converters and their values in classifying MCI conversion. Pre-trained brain age model was constructed using the quantitative measures of morphometry included total intracranial volume (TIV), gray matter volume (GMV) and cortical thickness. With comparable chronological age, MCI converters showed significant increased brain age than NA adults at all time points. Higher brain age were associated with worse global cognition. This is the first demonstration that MRI-informed brain age models exhibit feature-specific patterns. The greater GMV-based brain age observed in MCI converters may provide new evidence for identifying the individuals at the early stage of neurodegeneration. Our findings added value to existing quantitative imaging markers and might help to improve disease monitoring and accelerate personalized treatments in clinical practice.