■探讨血清钙水平与重症急性骨髓炎预后的关系,并评估钙水平在预后评估中的有效性。
■本回顾性研究从重症监护医学信息集市(MIMIC-IV)获得了诊断为严重急性骨髓炎的患者的相关记录。本研究利用COX回归分析评估不同指标对预后的影响。加强对危重患者预后的预测,绘制了列线图。使用接收器工作特征(ROC)曲线的曲线下面积(AUC)评估列线图的判别能力,除了校准曲线。
■该研究共分析了1,133例严重急性骨髓炎,分为幸存者组(1025例)和非幸存者组(108例)。两组在年龄方面有显著差异,高血压,脓毒症,肾损伤,和各种实验室指标,包括WBC,PLT,Ca2+,CRP,血红蛋白,白蛋白,肌酐(P<0.05)。然而,在种族中没有发现显著差异,性别,婚姻状况,伤口微生物群的检测,血糖,乳酸,ALP水平。使用年龄,高血压,脓毒症,Ca2+,肌酐,白蛋白,和血红蛋白作为变量。结果显示,高血压和脓毒症对生存时间有显著影响(HR=0.514,95%CI0.339-0.779,P=0.002;HR=1.696,95%CI1.056-2.723,P=0.029)。年龄,血红蛋白,Ca2+,白蛋白,肌酐对生存时间也有显著影响(P<0.05)。然而,其他变量对生存时间的影响无统计学意义(P>0.05).为了预测生存时间,使用上述指标绘制列线图,AUC为0.841.通过ROC曲线和校准曲线进一步证实了列线图的准确性。
■根据调查结果,本研究表明,在重症监护病房(ICU)住院2年内,血清钙水平降低可作为明确且独立的死亡率预测因子.
UNASSIGNED: To explore the relationship between serum calcium levels and the prognosis of severe acute
osteomyelitis, and to assess the effectiveness of calcium levels in prognostic evaluation.
UNASSIGNED: Relevant patient records of individuals diagnosed with severe acute
osteomyelitis were obtained for this retrospective study from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV). The study aimed to assess the impact of different indicators on prognosis by utilizing COX regression analysis. To enhance prognostic prediction for critically ill patients, a nomogram was developed. The discriminatory capacity of the nomogram was evaluated using the Area Under the Curve (AUC) of the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve, in addition to the calibration curve.
UNASSIGNED: The study analyzed a total of 1,133 cases of severe acute
osteomyelitis, divided into the survivor group (1,025 cases) and the non-survivor group (108 cases). Significant differences were observed between the two groups in terms of age, hypertension, sepsis, renal injury, and various laboratory indicators, including WBC, PLT, Ca2+, CRP, hemoglobin, albumin, and creatinine (P<0.05). However, no significant differences were found in race, gender, marital status, detection of wound microbiota, blood sugar, lactate, and ALP levels. A multivariate COX proportional hazards model was constructed using age, hypertension, sepsis, Ca2+, creatinine, albumin, and hemoglobin as variables. The results revealed that hypertension and sepsis had a significant impact on survival time (HR=0.514, 95% CI 0.339-0.779, P=0.002; HR=1.696, 95% CI 1.056-2.723, P=0.029). Age, hemoglobin, Ca2+, albumin, and creatinine also showed significant effects on survival time (P<0.05). However, no statistically significant impact on survival time was observed for the other variables (P>0.05). To predict the survival time, a nomogram was developed using the aforementioned indicators and achieved an AUC of 0.841. The accuracy of the nomogram was further confirmed by the ROC curve and calibration curve.
UNASSIGNED: According to the findings, this study establishes that a reduction in serum calcium levels serves as a distinct and standalone predictor of mortality among individuals diagnosed with severe acute
osteomyelitis during their stay in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) within a span of two years.