urbanization

城市化
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    U-Chang-Shi(乌鲁木齐-昌吉-石河子)城市群,位于新疆的中心,拥有丰富的自然资源。在过去的二十年里,快速城市化,工业化,和气候变化显著威胁到该地区的生态宜居性。为了全面,科学,并客观评估该地区的生态宜居性,本研究利用GoogleEarthEngine(GEE)平台和多源遥感数据来开发综合评价指标:遥感生态宜居指数(RSELI)。本文旨在研究2000年至2020年U长石城市群生态宜居性的变化。调查结果表明,尽管每年都有一些改进,生态宜居的总体趋势正在下降,表明城市化和工业化的快速发展给该地区的生态环境带来了相当大的压力。土地利用变化,在城市扩张和农业和工业用地增长的推动下,逐渐侵占现有的绿地和水体,生态环境进一步恶化。此外,该地区的地形特征影响了其生态宜居性;大的地形波动使水土流失和地质灾害普遍存在。尽管中部平原广阔的河流提供了充足的水资源,过度开发和构思不当的水文建设导致水资源短缺升级。北部靠近古尔班通古特沙漠的地区,生态环境极其脆弱,长期以来一直不适合居住。本研究为乌长石城市群的未来发展提供了至关重要的科学依据,希望为该地区的可持续发展和生态改善提供理论支持和实践指导。
    The U-Chang-Shi (Urumqi-Changji-Shihezi) urban cluster, located at the heart of Xinjiang, boasts abundant natural resources. Over the past two decades, rapid urbanization, industrialization, and climate change have significantly threatened the region\'s ecological livability. To comprehensively, scientifically, and objectively assess the ecological livability of this area, this study leverages the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform and multi-source remote sensing data to develop a comprehensive evaluation metric: the Remote Sensing Ecological Livability Index (RSELI). This aims to examine the changes in the ecological livability of the U-Chang-Shi urban cluster from 2000 to 2020. The findings show that despite some annual improvements, the overall trend in ecological livability is declining, indicating that the swift pace of urbanization and industrialization has placed considerable pressure on the region\'s ecological environment. Land use changes, driven by urban expansion and the growth in agricultural and industrial lands, have progressively encroached upon existing green spaces and water bodies, further deteriorating the ecological environment. Additionally, the region\'s topographical features have influenced its ecological livability; large terrain fluctuations have made soil erosion and geological disasters common. Despite the central plains\' vast rivers providing ample water resources, over exploitation and ill-conceived hydrological constructions have led to escalating water scarcity. The area near the Gurbantunggut Desert in the north, with its extremely fragile ecological environment, has long been unsuitable for habitation. This study provides a crucial scientific basis for the future development of the U-Chang-Shi urban cluster and hopes to offer theoretical support and practical guidance for the sustainable development and ecological improvement of the region.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    城市扩张一直在迅速增长,预计到2030年全球将增长两倍。城市化的影响对环境和经济发展产生不利影响。住宅用地几乎占城市面积的三分之一,严重影响了城市的居民。蒙古的首都,乌兰巴托,已经大大扩展了,特别是在城市周边地区,那里的生活条件差,缺乏基本的城市服务。本文旨在基于三个主要类别(宜居性,负担能力,和可访问性)使用模糊逻辑的15个标准。通过研究,我们已经确定了一些潜在的适合进一步发展的住宅区,例如位于城市南部的公寓住宅区和四个低层Ger区分布在主要运输走廊上。此外,结果表明,整个城镇的空间结构可能正在向多中心格局过渡。然而,城市外围的同心环图案显示了一个关于不受控制的GER区域扩张,这可能会增加该地区的低生活条件。这项研究建议更好的城市蔓延控制政策和更多的房地产市场投资,以确保乌兰巴托的可持续发展目标。
    Urban expansion has been rapidly increasing and is projected to be tripled in 2030 in worldwide. The impact of urbanization has adverse effects on the environment and economic development. Residential lands consist of almost one-third of the urban area and heavily affect the city\'s inhabitants. The capital of Mongolia, Ulaanbaatar, has been significantly expanded, particularly in the urban periphery where poor living conditions and a lack of essential urban services were identified. The paper aims to conduct a suitability analysis of residential areas in Ulaanbaatar city based on three main categories (livability, affordability, and accessibility) of fifteen criteria using the fuzzy logic. Through the study, we have identified some potential suitable residential areas for further development, such as apartment residential area located in the southern part of the city and four low-rise ger areas were distributed along major transport corridors. Moreover, the results indicated that the spatial structure of the whole town might be in transition to a polycentric pattern. However, a concentric ring pattern in the \'city\'s periphery displayed a concerning uncontrolled ger area expansion, which may increase low living conditions in the area. This study recommends better urban sprawl control policies and more property market investment in the ger area to ensure sustainable development goals in Ulaanbaatar.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    随着城市化进程的加快,城市热岛效应日益普遍和显著,给城市规划者和决策者带来挑战。为揭示济南市城市热岛效应的时空变化,这项研究利用了2009年,2014年和2019年的Landsat卫星图像,采用经典的单窗口算法来提取地表温度(LST)。此外,引入地探测器,对济南市LST与土地覆盖类型(植被,水体,和建筑物)。结果表明,2009-2019年济南城市热岛效应的严重程度显著增加,中心城区持续呈现高强度核心热岛。济南市郊地区呈现出热岛效应与中心城区融合的明显趋势。水体中强冷岛效应区和冷岛效应区的总面积达到89.7%,而建筑区域中热岛和强热岛效应区的比例合计为62.2%。植被覆盖(FVC)对城市热岛效应强度水平的影响最大。为济南市城市规划建设相关决策提供了可靠依据。
    The urban heat island (UHI) effect has become increasingly prevalent and significant with the accelerated pace of urbanization, posing challenges for urban planners and policymakers. To reveal the spatiotemporal variations of the urban heat island effect in Jinan City, this study utilized Landsat satellite images from 2009, 2014, and 2019, employing the classic Mono-Window algorithm to extract land surface temperature (LST). Additionally, Geodetector was introduced to conduct a detailed analysis of the relationship between LST in Jinan City and land cover types (vegetation, water bodies, and buildings). The results indicate a significant increase in the severity of the urban heat island effect in Jinan from 2009 to 2019, with the central urban area consistently exhibiting a high-intensity core heat island. Suburban areas of Jinan show a clear trend of merging their heat island effects with the central urban area. The combined area of strong cool island effect zones and cool island effect zones within water bodies reaches 89.7%, while the combined proportion of heat island and strong heat island effect zones in building areas is 62.2%. Vegetation cover (FVC) exerts the greatest influence among all factors on the intensity level of the urban heat island effect. These findings provide a reliable basis for decision-making related to urban planning and construction in Jinan City.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    了解城市群内涝的特点,对于有效的防涝和治涝至关重要,以及促进城市可持续发展。以往的研究主要集中在单一尺度的城市群内涝的驱动机制,但城市群空间具有较大的时空异质性,通常很难在单一尺度上充分揭示这些特征。因此,本研究采用多尺度分析方法,试图探索城市群内涝事件的时空演变特征和潜在机制。结果表明:(1)GBA内涝程度和高密度带增加,内涝点在空间上是多中心的。然而,香港的内涝点正在减少。(2)ISP和AI对内涝的影响在所有尺度上都占主导地位,其次是RE和Slope。ISP_Slope和ISP_RE是内涝的关键交互作用。(3)内涝聚集度随网格规模的增大而减小,土地覆盖因子对内涝的影响随网格尺度的增大而增大。此外,网格尺度的发现优于分水岭尺度的发现,表明网格尺度更有利于城市群内涝调查。本研究拓宽了我们对城市群内涝机理的理解,为城市群内涝防治的政策决策提供参考。
    Understanding the characteristics of waterlogging in urban agglomeration is essential for effective waterlogging prevention and management, as well as for promoting sustainable urban development. Previous studies have predominantly focused on the driving mechanisms of waterlogging in urban agglomeration at a single scale, but urban agglomeration space has greater spatio-temporal heterogeneity, it is often difficult to fully reveal such characteristics at a single scale. Consequently, this study endeavors to explore the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and underlying mechanisms of waterlogging incidents within urban agglomerations by adopting a multi-scale analytical approach. The results indicate that: (1) The waterlogging degree and high-density zones increase in the GBA, and the waterlogging points are spatially polycentric. However, the waterlogging point in Hong Kong is decreasing. (2) The influence of ISP and AI on waterlogging is dominant at all scales, followed by RE and Slope. ISP∩Slope and ISP∩RE are the key interactions for waterlogging. (3) The aggregation of waterlogging decreases with grid scale, and the influence of land cover factors on waterlogging increases with grid scale. Moreover, the findings at the grid scale outperformed those at the watershed scale, indicating that the grid scale is more conducive to the investigation of waterlogging in urban agglomerations. This research broadens our comprehension of the mechanisms behind waterlogging in urban agglomeration and provide references for policy decisions on waterlogging prevention and mitigation within urban agglomerations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    为了城市的可持续发展,在对天津快速城市化的研究中,我们探讨了2000年至2020年土地利用变化与生态系统碳循环之间复杂的相互作用。空间分析和利润损失矩阵计算揭示了对比的生态影响:林地和草地的扩张提高了净初级生产力(NPP)并减少了碳排放,而城市建设则表现出相反的效果。20多年来,在建筑热潮中,天津的城市转型导致NPP下降了16.91GgC。然而,2015年后生态政策的转变导致了0.85Gt的显著净碳吸收量,展示政策干预在减轻城市化对环境的影响方面的潜力。这项研究强调了高度城市化环境中可持续城市规划和生态保护策略的重要性。
    For the sustainable development of the city, in a study of Tianjin\'s rapid urbanization, we explore the complex interplay between land use change and the ecosystem carbon cycle from 2000 to 2020. Spatial analysis and profit-loss matrix calculations reveal contrasting ecological impacts: expansion of woodlands and grasslands enhances Net Primary Productivity (NPP) and reduces carbon emissions, while urban construction shows the opposite effect. Over 20 years, Tianjin\'s urban transformation led to a 16.91 GgC decline in NPP amidst a construction boom. However, post-2015 ecological policy shifts resulted in a significant net carbon uptake of 0.85 Gt, demonstrating the potential of policy interventions in mitigating environmental impacts of urbanization. This study underscores the importance of sustainable urban planning and ecological conservation strategies in highly urbanized settings.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    评价小城镇可持续发展水平和障碍因素是我国实施新型城镇化和乡村振兴战略的重要保证。也是推动联合国可持续发展目标11(SDG11)的关键路径。传统的评价方法(如层次分析法、AHP,与理想解相似的顺序偏好技术,TOPSIS)主要通过加权计算各指标的综合得分。这些方法在处理多维数据和系统非线性方面存在局限性,它们不能完全揭示小城镇可持续发展系统内的复杂关系和相互作用。相比之下,本研究采用主成分分析(PCA)和突变级数法(CPM)相结合的评价模型能较好地处理多维数据和系统非线性关系,降低评价的主观性,提高评价结果的准确性和可靠性。具体研究过程如下:首先,根据联合国SDG11框架,使用多源大数据,建立了适合中国国情的小城镇可持续发展理论框架和评价指标体系。还考虑了县级因素对小城镇可持续发展的影响,并使用熵权-灰色关联模型来衡量这些影响,产生了一个包含县级影响的城镇级数据集。其次,采用基于PCA-CPM模型的综合评价模型对我国782个顶级小城镇的可持续发展水平进行了评价。最后,改进的诊断模型用于识别影响小城镇可持续发展的障碍。主要研究结果包括:52.69%的小城镇可持续发展得分超过0.7255分,说明小城镇整体表现处于中高发展水平。小城镇的发展在不同地区和类型上表现出显著差异,这与县级效应密切相关。经济和社会因素是小城镇可持续发展的主要障碍,这些障碍的影响从东部到中部加剧,西方,和东北地区。这项研究为政策制定者和学者提供了宝贵的见解,促进对小城镇可持续发展的深入认识。
    Evaluating the sustainable development level and obstacle factors of small towns is an important guarantee for implementing China\'s new-type urbanization and rural revitalization strategies, and is also a key path to promoting the United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 11 (SDG11). Traditional evaluation methods (such as Analytic Hierarchy Process, AHP, and Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution, TOPSIS) mainly calculate the comprehensive score of each indicator through weighting. These methods have limitations in handling multidimensional data and system nonlinearity, and they cannot fully reveal the complex relationships and interactions within the sustainability systems of small towns. In contrast, the evaluation model combining Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Catastrophe Progression Method (CPM) used in this study can better handle multidimensional data and system nonlinear relationships, reducing subjectivity in evaluation and improving the accuracy and reliability of the assessment results. The specific research process is as follows: First, based on the United Nations SDG11 framework, using multi-source big data, a theoretical framework and evaluation index system for the sustainable development of small towns suitable for the Chinese context were established. The impact of county-level factors on the sustainable development of small towns was also considered, and an entropy weight-grey correlation model was used to measure these impacts, resulting in a town-level dataset incorporating county-level influences. Secondly, the sustainability levels of 782 top small towns in China were evaluated using the comprehensive evaluation model based on PCA-CPM Model. Finally, an improved diagnostic model was used to identify obstacles influencing the sustainable development of small towns. The main findings include: 52.69% of the small towns have a sustainable development score exceeding 0.7255, indicating that the overall performance of small towns is at a medium to high development level. The development of small towns exhibits significant differences across regions and types, which are closely linked to county-level effects. Economic and social factors are the main obstacles to the sustainable development of small towns, and the impact of these obstacles intensifies from the eastern to the central, western, and northeastern regions. This study provides valuable insights for policymakers and scholars, promoting a deeper understanding of the sustainable development of small towns.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    非洲正在发生的快速城市化正在导致大型城市群的出现。尽管在其他地方出现这种聚集会带来潜在和典型的经济利益,关于非洲的城市化,可以说不多。随着城市化预测的持续增加,有必要了解城市化和经济动态的关系,以便充分发挥这股浪潮的潜力。使用城市化率的面板数据集,贸易,经济增长,在1991-2019年期间,六个非洲国家的生产率和就业,我们使用来自六个非洲国家的数据,采用横截面增广自回归分布滞后(CS-ARDL)方法探讨了这种关系。研究结果表明,城市化与城市化之间存在显著的关系,国际贸易,经济增长,生产力,和就业。它们还显示了所研究变量之间的因果关系。此外,这项研究的结果表明,国际贸易有助于,显著,从长远来看,提高生产率,经济增长和就业,在短期内提高生产率和选定非洲国家的就业。这项研究研究,因此,非洲城市化和国际贸易具有巨大的经济潜力,因此需要得到鼓励和有效管理。这为规划者和决策者提供了证据,以支持旨在促进非洲国家结构转型的可持续城市化和多样化国际贸易的政策。
    The rapid urbanization taking place in Africa is resulting in the emergence of large urban agglomerations. Despite the potential and typical economic benefits associated with the emergence of such agglomerations elsewhere, not much can be said of Africa\'s urbanization. With urbanization projections pointing to a continued increase, there is a need to understand the urbanization and economic dynamics relationship in order to exploit the full potential of this wave. Using a panel data set of urbanization rate, trade, economic growth, productivity and employment in six African countries for the period 1991-2019, we explore this relationship by adopting the cross-sectional augmented autoregressive distributed lag (CS-ARDL) approach using data from six African countries. The findings show that there is a significant relationship between urbanization, international trade, economic growth, productivity, and employment. they also show a causal relationship between the variables studied. In addition, the findings of this study reveal that international trade contributes, significantly, to improving the productivity in long run and the economic growth and employment increase the productivity in short run and employment in the selected African countries. This research study, therefore, contributes to the critical argument that African urbanization and international trade have significant economic potential and therefore need to be encouraged and managed effectively. This provides evidence for planners and policy-makers to back policy geared toward sustainable urbanization and diversified international trade that will contribute to the structural transformation of African countries.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究探讨了大湾区(GBA)白鹭历史高速公路走廊的保护,重点是栖息地的连通性和动态走廊。为了解决以前研究中的差距,我们使用了实地观察,跨越三十年的生物气候数据和地表覆盖信息。我们的方法涉及MaxENT建模和LinkageMapper方法。结果表明,MaxENT模型有效地模拟了白鹭不同层次的栖息地,海岸线和河岸成为主要栖息地。此外,生物气候因素,特别是生物19和生物8,发挥了主导作用,占2020年栖息地适宜性的90%。其他因素的贡献相当小。通过利用电阻面和走廊提取方法,2000年后,高速公路网络出现了值得注意的变化,随后逐渐恢复正常。连通性分析强调了白鹭保存的关键30公里阈值。走廊宽度应基于成本效益的考虑来确定。我们得出的结论是,将MaxENT与联动映射器方法相结合,即使白鹭观测有限,整合多源数据,如土地覆盖,可能会模拟白鹭等水鸟的潜在合适栖息地和飞行动态。这项研究为GBA中白鹭的保护和栖息地的保护提供了有价值的见解,为全球水鸟多样性和栖息地质量做出贡献。
    This study explores the conservation of historic flyway corridors for egret in the Greater Bay Area (GBA), with a focus on habitat connectivity and dynamic corridors. To address the gaps in previous research, we used field observations, bio-climatic data and landcover information spanning three decades. Our approach involves MaxENT modeling and the Linkage Mapper method. The results showed that the MaxENT model effectively simulated the egret habitats at different levels, with coastlines and riverbanks emerging as primary habitat zones. Moreover, bio-climatic factors, particularly Bio 19 and Bio 8, played a dominant role, accounting for 90 % of the habitat suitability in 2020. Other factors contributed rather minimally. Through the utilization of resistance surface and corridor extraction methods, noteworthy alterations in the flyway networks emerged post-2000, followed by a gradual return to normal. Connectivity analyses highlighted a critical 30 km threshold for the egret preservation. Corridor widths should be determined based on cost-effective considerations. We conclude that combining MaxENT with the Linkage Mapper method, even with limited egret observations and integrating multi-source data, such as land cover, might simulate potential suitable habitats and flyway dynamics for waterbirds such as egrets. This study provides valuable insights for the egret conservation and the preservation of their habitats in the GBA, contributing to a global waterbird diversity and habitat quality.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    现代城市的不断扩张不仅导致生态退化,而且严重威胁区域生态安全和可持续发展。构建生态安全模式已成为缓解甚至解决区域发展与生态保护之间矛盾的重要途径。成渝经济圈是中国西部地区区域经济发展战略的核心区,2000年至2020年经济快速增长。这项研究整合了对生态系统服务重要性的评估,生态环境敏感性和景观连通性;运用电路理论和水文分析建立了区域ESP时空演变的研究框架;并结合主要功能导向区开发了优化的ESP。结果表明,在2000年至2020年之间,城市扩张对CCEC的ESP产生了显着影响。生态资源的分裂与融合同时发生,补丁数量从64个减少到46个,减少了28.13%。早期的生态安全网络遭到破坏,导致一些生态走廊的消失或延长。生态廊道的数量从136减少到87,减少了36.03%;总长度从7500.57km减少到5256.28km,减少了29.92%。需要紧急优化ESP,将重点生态保护区的数量从106个减少到53个,减少了50%,同时将优先恢复区从37个增加到42个,增加了13.51%。研究还揭示了当前主体功能区在保护线性走廊方面的不足,必须重点关注重要开发区的生态源和周围走廊的保护和恢复。此外,“一个避难所”的空间优化策略,两个核心,提出了“三个区域”,以增强区域生态系统的稳定性和连通性。目的是通过建议30〜100m的生态走廊宽度范围来在生态保护和粮食安全之间取得平衡。这些研究结果为CCEC的生态空间保护和恢复提供了科学指导。有助于加强快速城市化地区科学合理的生态规划。
    The continuous expansion of modern cities not only leads to ecological degradation but also seriously threatens regional ecological security and sustainable development. The construction of ecological security patterns (ESPs) has emerged as a significant approach to alleviate or even solve the conflict between regional development and ecological protection. The Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle (CCEC) represents the core area of regional economic development strategy in western China, characterized by rapid economic growth from 2000 to 2020. This study integrates assessments of ecosystem services importance, eco-environmental sensitivity and landscape connectivity; uses circuit theory and hydrological analysis to establish a research framework for the spatiotemporal evolution of regional ESP; and develops an optimized ESP combined with the Major Function Oriented Zone. The results indicate that urban expansion significantly impacted the ESP of the CCEC between 2000 and 2020. The fragmentation and merging of ecological sources occurred simultaneously, the number of patches reduced by 28.13% from 64 to 46. The early ecological security network was compromised, leading to the disappearance or elongation of some ecological corridors. The number of ecological corridors decreased by 36.03% from 136 to 87; the total length was reduced by 29.92% from 7500.57 km to 5256.28 km. Urgent optimization of the ESP is needed, reducing the number of key ecological protection areas by 50% from 106 to 53 while increasing priority restoration areas by 13.51% from 37 to 42. The study also reveals the insufficiency of the current Major Function Oriented Zone in protecting linear corridors, necessitating focused attention on the protection and restoration of ecological sources and surrounding corridors in important development zones. Additionally, a spatial optimization strategy of \"one shelter, two cores, and three regions\" is proposed to enhance regional ecosystem stability and connectivity. The aim was to strike a balance between ecological protection and food security by recommending an ecological corridor width range of 30∼100 m. These research findings offer scientific guidance for ecological space protection and restoration in the CCEC, contributing to the enhancement of both scientific and rational ecological planning in rapidly urbanizing areas.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    探索与地表温度(LST)变化相关的局部气候带(LCZ)的时空动态演变可以帮助城市规划者深入了解城市气候。首先,我们监测了成都市三维城市空间形态的演变,四川省,中国2010-2020年,采用普通最小二乘模型对城市空间格局变化与LST变化之间的动态相关性(DR)进行拟合,揭示了与LST上升密切相关的城市空间格局变化。其次,通过时空立方体模型和新兴热点分析的集成,研究了LST的时空模式。最后,集成了基于曲线拟合和随机森林的预测模型,以模拟2025年研究区的LST。结果表明:城市空间形态的演变包括三个阶段:初始增量扩展,中期增量扩张和存量更新,以及后期存量更新和生态转型。建筑环境对LST上升的影响大于自然环境,建筑密度比建筑高度的影响更大。LST整体呈现变暖趋势,七个已确定的LST时空模式以振荡和新热点模式为主,占研究区域的51.99%和11.44%,分别。城市空间形态和LST之间的DR在不同时间段和建筑环境类型之间有所不同,而自然环境总是与LST呈正相关。未来城市的热环境将会变暖,受热岛影响的地区将转移到城市中心。
    Exploring the spatiotemporal dynamic evolution of local climate zones (LCZ) associated with changes in land surface temperature (LST) can help urban planners deeply understand urban climate. Firstly, we monitored the evolution of 3D urban spatial form in Chengdu City, Sichuan Province, China from 2010 to 2020, used the ordinary least squares model to fit the dynamic correlation (DR) between the changes in urban spatial patterns and changes in LST, and revealed the changes of urban spatial patterns closely related to the rise in LST. Secondly, the spatiotemporal patterns of LST were examined by the integration of the Space-Time Cube model and emerging hotspot analysis. Finally, a prediction model based on curve fitting and random forest was integrated to simulate the LST of study area in 2025. Results show the following: the evolution of the urban spatial form consists of three stages: initial incremental expansion, midterm incremental expansion and stock renewal, and late stock renewal and ecological transformation. The influence of the built environment on the rise of LST is greater than that of the natural environment, and the building density has a greater effect than the building height. The overall LST shows a warming trend, and the seven identified LST spatiotemporal patterns are dominated by oscillating and new hotspots patterns, accounting for 51.99 and 11.44% of the study area, respectively. The DR between urban spatial form and LST varies across different time periods and built environment types, whereas the natural environment is always positively correlated with LST. The thermal environment of the city will warm up in the future, and the area affected by the heat island will shift to the central of the city.
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