source attribution

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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    弯曲杆菌病在世界范围内引起人类的重大疾病负担,并且是芬兰最常见的人畜共患胃肠炎。为了确定国内弯曲杆菌感染的感染源,我们分析了2004-2021年芬兰传染病注册中心(FIDR)的弯曲杆菌病例数据和2010-2021年国家食源性和水源性暴发疫情注册中心(FWO注册中心)的疫情数据,并于2022年7-8月进行了病例对照试验研究(256例病例和756例对照),并采用全基因组测序(WGS)进行来源归属和患者样本分析.在FIDR中,41%的病例缺乏旅行史信息。基于病例对照研究,我们估计在所有案件中,39%来自国内。使用WGS,在185例国内病例中观察到22组两个或两个以上病例,这些都没有报告到FWO登记册。基于本病例对照研究和来源归因,家禽是芬兰弯曲杆菌病的重要来源。对患者进行更广泛的采样和比较,食物,动物,和环境分离需要估计其他来源的重要性。在芬兰,弯曲杆菌病通常比FIDR通知显示的更多来自家庭。为了确定国内案件,旅行信息应包括在FIDR通知中,并改善爆发检测,所有国内患者分离株都应进行测序.
    Campylobacteriosis causes a significant disease burden in humans worldwide and is the most common type of zoonotic gastroenteritis in Finland. To identify infection sources for domestic Campylobacter infections, we analyzed Campylobacter case data from the Finnish Infectious Disease Register (FIDR) in 2004-2021 and outbreak data from the National Food- and Waterborne Outbreak Register (FWO Register) in 2010-2021, and conducted a pilot case-control study (256 cases and 756 controls) with source attribution and patient sample analysis using whole-genome sequencing (WGS) in July-August 2022. In the FIDR, 41% of the cases lacked information on travel history. Based on the case-control study, we estimated that of all cases, 39% were of domestic origin. Using WGS, 22 clusters of two or more cases were observed among 185 domestic cases, none of which were reported to the FWO register. Based on this case-control study and source attribution, poultry is an important source of campylobacteriosis in Finland. More extensive sampling and comparison of patient, food, animal, and environmental isolates is needed to estimate the significance of other sources. In Finland, campylobacteriosis is more often of domestic origin than FIDR notifications indicate. To identify the domestic cases, travel information should be included in the FIDR notification, and to improve outbreak detection, all domestic patient isolates should be sequenced.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    长江三角洲(YRD)地区在夏季和秋季经常发生臭氧污染事件。高浓度事件通常与天气模式有关,在多个尺度上影响臭氧的运输和光化学生产,从地方到区域范围。为了更好地了解区域臭氧污染问题,需要对臭氧源归属进行研究,特别是关于基于标记区域或时间段的不同垂直高度的源的贡献。2020年9月3日至8日,通过地面台站和臭氧激光雷达在合肥观测到臭氧浓度异常高的事件。通过天气天气模式分析并使用天气研究和预报化学模型(WRF-Chem)发现了此事件背后的机制。因为接近的台风导致风向可变,YRD地区产生的富含O3的气团(ORM)通过夜间残留层输送到合肥,并在第二天通过水平平流和垂直混合过程下降到地面。基于地理来源标记,9月6日,当地和区域来源的人为NOx排放(ANE)是合肥市严重臭氧污染的主要原因。此外,江苏南部区域内输送臭氧(SJS),安徽南部(SAH),YRD和浙江(ZJ)是地表和高层大气臭氧污染的主要驱动因素。基于时间段标记,9月3日至5日由ANE产生的臭氧对这一事件有重要贡献。重要的是要注意9月5日的ANE对第二天的表面峰值臭氧浓度的影响(即,9月6日)。我们的发现为YRD中的区域臭氧传输机制以及在时空尺度上预防和控制严重臭氧污染的措施的优化提供了重要见解。
    The Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region frequently experiences ozone pollution events during the summer and autumn seasons. High-concentration events are typically related to synoptic weather patterns, which impact the transport and photochemical production of ozone at multiple scales, ranging from the local to regional scale. To better understand the regional ozone pollution problem, studies on ozone source attribution are needed, especially regarding the contributions of sources at different vertical heights based on tagging the region or time periods. Between September 3 and 8, 2020, an episode of ozone concentration anomaly high was observed in Hefei through ground-based stations and ozone Lidar. The mechanism behind this event was uncovered through synoptic weather pattern analysis and using the Weather Research and Forecasting Chemistry model (WRF-Chem). Because an approaching typhoon caused variable wind direction, the O3-rich air masses (ORMs) arising from the YRD region were transported to Hefei via the nocturnal residual layer and descended to the ground through horizontal advection and vertical mixing processes the next day. Based on geographic source tagging, the anthropogenic NOx emissions (ANEs) from local and regional sources were the main contributors to the heavy ozone pollution over Hefei on September 6. Furthermore, the intra-regional transported ozone from southern Jiangsu (SJS), southern Anhui (SAH), and Zhejiang (ZJ) in the YRD was the main driving factor of the surface and upper atmosphere ozone pollution. Based on time period tagging, The ozone generated due to ANEs from September 3 to 5 significantly contributed to this episode. It is important to pay attention to the impact of ANEs on September 5 on the surface peak ozone concentration the following day (i.e., September 6). Our findings provide significant insights into the regional ozone transport mechanism in the YRD and optimization of measures to prevent and control heavy ozone pollution on spatiotemporal scales.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Nitrogen (N) management is essential for food security. The North China Plain is an important food producing region, but also a hotspot of N losses to the environment. This results in water, soil, and air pollution. In this study, we aim to quantify the relative contribution of different crops and animals to N losses, by taking the Quzhou county as a typical example in the North China Plain. We developed and applied a new version of the NUtrient flows in Food chains, Environment, and Resource use (NUFER) model. Our model is based on updated information for N losses in Quzhou. Our results show that N losses to the environment from crop and animal production in Quzhou were approximately 9 kton in 2017. These high N losses can be explained by the low N use efficiency in food production because of poor N management. For crop production, wheat, maize, and vegetables contributed 80% to N losses. Ammonia emissions and N leaching have dominant shares in these N losses. Pigs and laying hens were responsible for 74% of N losses from animal production. Ammonia emissions to air and direct discharges of manure to water were the main contributors to these N losses. Effective reduction of N losses requires improving the nutrient management in crop (wheat, maize, vegetables) and animal (pigs, laying hens) production. Our work could support the Agricultural Green Development in the North China Plain.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    空肠弯曲杆菌(C.jejuni),被认为是世界范围内人类细菌性胃肠炎最常见的细菌原因之一。由于高分辨率分型方法的使用有限,埃及弯曲杆菌病的流行病学和传播动力学仍然不明确。在这项试点研究中,我们评估了基于基因的多重分型技术对来自不同来源的空肠弯曲菌进行定性的辨别能力,并估计了埃及空肠弯曲菌感染的不同潜在来源的相对贡献。对从临床样品中回收的90株空肠弯曲菌进行全基因组测序(WGS)。零售鸡肉,2017年至2018年埃及的乳制品。使用常规的七基因座多位点序列分型(MLST)进行比较基因组分析,核糖体MLST(rMLST),核心基因组MLST(cgMLST),15个宿主分离(HS)标记的等位基因变异,和比较基因组指纹图谱(CGF40)。通过STRUCTURE软件使用MLST进行概率源归属,CGF40、cgMLST和HS标记的等位基因变异。上述基因分型方法的鉴别力比较显示cgMLST是最具鉴别力的方法,其次是HS标记。来源归因分析显示,当使用HS和cgMLST时,在埃及的临床病例中,零售鸡作为感染源的作用(64.2%和52.3%的临床分离株被分配到该来源,分别)。有趣的是,在埃及,牛水库也被确定为空肠弯曲杆菌感染的贡献者;通过HS和cgMLST将35.8%和47.7%的临床分离株分配到该来源,分别。这里,我们提供了使用WGS分型方法促进空肠弯曲杆菌来源追踪的重要性的证据.我们的研究结果表明非家禽来源的重要性,以及先前报道的零售鸡肉在埃及人类弯曲杆菌病中的作用,可以为国家控制措施提供见解。
    Campylobacter jejuni (C. jejuni), is considered among the most common bacterial causes of human bacterial gastroenteritis worldwide. The epidemiology and the transmission dynamics of campylobacteriosis in Egypt remain poorly defined due to the limited use of high-resolution typing methods. In this pilot study, we evaluated the discriminatory power of multiple typing \'gene-by-gene based\' techniques to characterize C. jejuni obtained from different sources and estimate the relative contribution of different potential sources of C. jejuni infection in Egypt. Whole genome sequencing (WGS) was performed on 90 C. jejuni isolates recovered from clinical samples, retail chicken, and dairy products in Egypt from 2017 to 2018. Comparative genomic analysis was performed using conventional seven-locus multilocus sequence typing (MLST), ribosomal MLST (rMLST), core genome MLST (cgMLST), allelic variation in 15 host-segregating (HS) markers, and comparative genomic fingerprinting (CGF40). The probabilistic source attribution was performed via STRUCTURE software using MLST, CGF40, cgMLST and allelic variation in HS markers. Comparison of the discriminatory power of the aforementioned genotyping methods revealed cgMLST to be the most discriminative method, followed by HS markers. The source attribution analysis showed the role of retail chicken as a source of infection among clinical cases in Egypt when HS and cgMLST were used (64.2% and 52.3% of clinical isolates were assigned to this source, respectively). Interestingly, the cattle reservoir was also identified as a contributor to C. jejuni infection in Egypt; 35.8% and 47.7% of clinical isolates were assigned to this source by HS and cgMLST, respectively. Here, we provided evidence of the importance of using WGS typing methods to facilitate source tracking of C. jejuni. Our findings suggest the importance of non-poultry sources, together with the previously reported role of retail chicken in human campylobacteriosis in Egypt that can provide insights to inform national control measures.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Volatile organic compounds (VOCs) play a crucial role in modulating air pollution by ozone and fine particles, particularly in urban areas. While in recent years short-term intervention actions for better air quality during big events in China did present good opportunities to examine the effectiveness of control measures in reducing anthropogenic VOCs emission, it is highly challenging to interpret the real effect of a specific control measure based on field monitoring data when a cocktail of control measures were adopted. Here we took the air quality intervention actions during the 16th Asian Games (AG) in Guangzhou as a case study to explore the impact of short-term multiple measures on VOCs reduction. The average mass concentrations of VOCs decreased by 52-68% during the AG. These percentages could not reflect emission reduction rates as the concentration might be also heavily impacted by dispersion conditions. Diagnostic ratios, such as methyl tert-butyl ether to carbon monoxide (MTBE/CO) and i-pentane/CO, decreased by over 60% during the AG, suggesting a substantial reduction in gasoline related emissions. A method linking emission reduction rates of two sources with their contribution percentages before and during the AG by using a receptor model was further formulated. With the available reduction rate of 34% for vehicular exhaust obtained during the traffic restriction drill in our previous study, VOCs emissions from gasoline evaporation and solvent use reduced by 45.7% and 13.6% during the AG, respectively. Total VOCs emissions decreased by 25.3% on average during the AG, and the emission control of vehicular exhaust, oil evaporation, and solvent use accounted for 17.0%, 6.3% and 2.0% of total VOCs emission reduction, respectively. This study presented an observed-based method with diagnostic/quantitative approaches to single out the effectiveness of each control measures in reducing VOCs emissions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    OBJECTIVE: Non-typhoid Salmonella (NTS) may invade beyond the intestine, causing bacteraemia, sepsis, and infection of normally sterile sites. The epidemiology of invasive NTS (iNTS) infection is under-researched. We determined trends, risk factors, serotype distribution, antimicrobial resistance (AMR), and attributable sources of iNTS infection in a high-income setting.
    METHODS: 22,837 records of culture-confirmed human salmonellosis cases and 10,008 serotyped Salmonella isolates from five putative animal reservoirs (pigs, cattle, broilers, layers, reptiles) in the Netherlands during 2005-2018 were retrieved from national surveillance registries. Risk factors for iNTS infection were identified using logistic regression analysis. Source attribution modelling was based on serotyping, prevalence, and exposure data.
    RESULTS: The average annual percentage of iNTS infections was 4.6% (range 3.5-5.7%). An increase in iNTS infections was observed since 2012 (odds ratio (OR) 1.09, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.04-1.14). Increased iNTS infection risk was associated with wintertime (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.12-1.66), male sex (OR 1.73, 95% CI 1.51-1.99), older age (ORs: 3.27 to 16.33, depending on age groups), and living in rural areas (OR 1.54, 95% CI 1.23-1.93). While 52% of iNTS infections (n = 950) were caused by serotypes Enteritidis and Typhimurium, those displaying the highest invasiveness relative to their occurrence were Dublin (32.9%, n = 163), Panama (21.6%, n = 106), and Poona (14.1%, n = 71). Cattle were a larger source of iNTS than non-iNTS infections (12.2% vs. 7.6%). Lower AMR and multi-resistance rates were observed among iNTS (37.9%) than non-iNTS isolates (48.6%).
    CONCLUSIONS: The increase in iNTS infections, which is reported also in other countries, is of public health and clinical concern. The underlying reasons seem to be multi-factorial in nature. iNTS infection risk depends more on the infecting serotypes and patient demographics, and less on the attributable reservoirs and AMR profiles.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    This work explores the use of Raman micro-spectroscopy to determine sources of airborne particulate matter collected on PM2.5 air filters in Imperial Valley, California. The goal is to examine if nearby soil is a potential source of particles sampled on air filters deployed in an urbanized desert area during events of unusually high PM2.5 excursions. Particle specific composition information can be an indicator of potential origin. This can provide insights into the source of unexpectedly high proportion of large particles sampled on PM2.5 filters in the vicinity of Imperial Valley. The measured spectral correspondence between the filter and soil particles, in the size range of 2.5-10 μm, is consistent with windblown dust being a likely source of the larger (>2.5 μm) particles collected on the PM2.5 filters. Additionally, these particles were identified as components of commonly occurring crustal minerals in the vicinity of the sampling site, such as iron oxides, hydroxides, sulfides, titanium dioxides and aluminosilicates. A substantial portion of the analyzed filter particles displayed a strong broadband fluorescence signal, which is consistent with the presence of organic matter and has been recognized as a marker for soil related origin of the filter particles. Elemental carbon (soot) was found to be prevalent among the particles as well, suggesting the existence of combustion related sources. Comparison between a heavily loaded filter sample and a filter with a more typical, lower loading did not show any obvious difference in chemical compositions. In both cases the particles appeared to be of crustal origin with the prevalence of elemental carbon. The primary difference between these two filter samples appear to be their particle size distribution - the heavily loaded filter sample contained greater proportion of large particles (>2.5 μm), and was more consistent with spectral signature of soils analyzed from the region.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    通过公共卫生政策的设计和实施来预防和控制人畜共患病需要对传播途径有透彻的了解。联合对从病例中获得的微生物分离株的流行病学数据和遗传信息进行建模,为追溯感染源提供了一种方法。在本文中,每种来源的弯曲杆菌感染人类病例的归因概率,条件是每个案例在农村居住的程度与城市环境相比,估计。结合遗传数据和进化过程的模型与新开发的无遗传模型一起应用。我们表明,除了罕见的微生物基因型外,每个模型的推断都是可比的。Further,“乡村性”的影响可以在Logit尺度上线性建模,随着农村的增加,导致反刍动物来源的弯曲杆菌病的可能性增加。
    Preventing and controlling zoonoses through the design and implementation of public health policies requires a thorough understanding of transmission pathways. Modelling jointly the epidemiological data and genetic information of microbial isolates derived from cases provides a methodology for tracing back the source of infection. In this paper, the attribution probability for human cases of campylobacteriosis for each source, conditional on the extent to which each case resides in a rural compared to urban environment, is estimated. A model that incorporates genetic data and evolutionary processes is applied alongside a newly developed genetic-free model. We show that inference from each model is comparable except for rare microbial genotypes. Further, the effect of \'rurality\' may be modelled linearly on the logit scale, with increasing rurality leading to the increasing likelihood of ruminant-sourced campylobacteriosis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    The Benzene and other Toxics Exposure (BEE-TEX) field study was an experimental campaign designed to demonstrate novel methods for measuring ambient concentrations of hazardous air pollutants (HAPs) in real time and to attribute these concentrations to quantified releases from specific emission points in industrial facilities while operating outside facility fence lines. BEE-TEX was conducted in February 2015 at three neighboring communities in the Houston Ship Channel of Texas, where a large number of petrochemical facilities are concentrated. The novel technologies deployed during BEE-TEX included: (1) tomographic remote sensing based on differential optical absorption spectroscopy; (2) real-time broadcasting of ambient air monitoring data over the World Wide Web; (3) real-time source attribution and quantification of HAP emissions based on either tomographic or mobile measurement platforms; and (4) the use of cultured human lung cells in vitro as portable indicators of HAP exposure.
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