response surface model

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    评估装甲钝器创伤(BABT)背后是防止军事人员非穿透性伤害的关键一步,这可能是由于射弹撞击防弹衣的动能转移造成的。尽管当前的NIJStandard-0101.06标准侧重于防止装甲背面过度变形,本标准不考虑撞击位置的可变性,胸部器官和组织材料特性,和损伤阈值,以评估潜在的伤害。为了解决这个差距,通过从幸存者数据库中重新创建特定案例并生成伤害风险曲线,已采用有限元(FE)人体模型(HBM)来研究BABT撞击条件的变异性。然而,这些确定性分析主要使用代表男性第50百分位数的模型,不调查系统内固有的不确定性和可变性,从而限制了在不同军事人群中调查伤害风险的普遍性。国防部资助的I-PREDICT未来海军能力(FNC)引入了概率HBM,它考虑了组织材料和失效特性的不确定性和可变性,人体测量学,和外部加载条件。本研究利用I-PREDICTHBM对三个胸部撞击位置-肝脏进行BABT模拟,心,和下腹部。对BABT事件引起的组织水平应变的概率分析用于确定实现器官水平损伤的军事战斗失能量表(MCIS)的概率,并采用新损伤严重程度评分(NISS)进行全身损伤风险评估。器官水平的MCIS指标显示,对心脏的影响会对心脏和脾脏造成严重伤害,而对肝脏的影响会导致肋骨骨折和肝脏严重撕裂。下腹部的撞击会导致脾脏撕裂。仿真结果表明,在当前的保护标准下,根据撞击位置,全身受伤的风险在6%到98%之间变化,对心脏的影响最严重,然后是肝脏和下腹部的撞击。这些结果表明,当前的防弹衣保护标准可能会导致特定位置的严重伤害,但其他人没有受伤。
    Evaluating Behind Armor Blunt Trauma (BABT) is a critical step in preventing non-penetrating injuries in military personnel, which can result from the transfer of kinetic energy from projectiles impacting body armor. While the current NIJ Standard-0101.06 standard focuses on preventing excessive armor backface deformation, this standard does not account for the variability in impact location, thorax organ and tissue material properties, and injury thresholds in order to assess potential injury. To address this gap, Finite Element (FE) human body models (HBMs) have been employed to investigate variability in BABT impact conditions by recreating specific cases from survivor databases and generating injury risk curves. However, these deterministic analyses predominantly use models representing the 50th percentile male and do not investigate the uncertainty and variability inherent within the system, thus limiting the generalizability of investigating injury risk over a diverse military population. The DoD-funded I-PREDICT Future Naval Capability (FNC) introduces a probabilistic HBM, which considers uncertainty and variability in tissue material and failure properties, anthropometry, and external loading conditions. This study utilizes the I-PREDICT HBM for BABT simulations for three thoracic impact locations-liver, heart, and lower abdomen. A probabilistic analysis of tissue-level strains resulting from a BABT event is used to determine the probability of achieving a Military Combat Incapacitation Scale (MCIS) for organ-level injuries and the New Injury Severity Score (NISS) is employed for whole-body injury risk evaluations. Organ-level MCIS metrics show that impact at the heart can cause severe injuries to the heart and spleen, whereas impact to the liver can cause rib fractures and major lacerations in the liver. Impact at the lower abdomen can cause lacerations in the spleen. Simulation results indicate that, under current protection standards, the whole-body risk of injury varies between 6 and 98% based on impact location, with the impact at the heart being the most severe, followed by impact at the liver and the lower abdomen. These results suggest that the current body armor protection standards might result in severe injuries in specific locations, but no injuries in others.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    推广用机制砂全面替代天然砂,进行了一项研究,以确定添加聚丙烯纤维(PPFs)以增加人造砂混凝土(MSC)的抗弯强度和抗碳化性的效果。以PPF的含量和长度为变量,采用2×3阶乘设计,建立了碳化深度预测模型和响应面模型(RSM)。使用X射线衍射(XRD)和扫描电子显微镜(SEM)分析了聚丙烯纤维增强的人造砂混凝土(PPF-MSC)的相组成和微观结构。结果表明,添加不同含量和长度的PPF能不同程度地提高PPF-MSC的抗弯强度,同时减少碳化深度和增加碳化28天后的动态弹性模量。通过添加1kg/m3的12mmPPF,可以获得PPF-MSC的最高弯曲强度(6.12MPa)和耐碳化性,而碳化深度和碳化28天后动态弹性模量的增加保持在最小2.26%和1.94mm,分别。建立了PPF-MSC碳化深度的预测模型,得到了PPF含量和长度以及碳化时间的计算公式。从RSM获得以下结果:与PPF长度相比,PPF含量对PPF-MSC抗弯强度影响较大,对PPF-MSC抗碳化能力影响较小;PPF含量与长度之间无显著交互作用;预测值与实测值接近,表明该模型具有很高的可靠性。碳化28天后PPF-MSC和MSC的XRD图案和SEM显微照片的比较显示,PPF-MSC的碳化区域的图案中CaCO3的峰强度比MSC的低,PPF-MSC中的表面孔和裂纹比MSC少得多。这些结果表明,添加PPF增加了MSC的紧密度,并产生了对水分子和二氧化碳(CO2)侵蚀的有效抵抗力。从而提高MSC的抗弯强度和抗碳化能力。
    To popularize the complete replacement of natural sand with manufactured sand, a study was performed to determine the effect of adding polypropylene fibres (PPFs) to increase the bending strength and carbonization resistance of manufactured sand concrete (MSC). A 2 × 3 factorial design with the content and length of PPF as variables was used to establish a carbonization depth prediction model and a response surface model (RSM). The phase composition and microstructure of polypropylene-fibre-reinforced manufactured sand concrete (PPF-MSC) were analysed using X-ray diffraction (XRD) and scanning electron microscopy (SEM). The results show the addition of PPF with different contents and lengths increases the bending strength of PPF-MSC to varying degrees, while reducing the carbonization depth and increasing the dynamic elastic modulus after 28 days of carbonization. The highest bending strength (6.12 MPa) and carbonization resistance of PPF-MSC are obtained by the addition of 1 kg/m3 of 12 mm PPF, while the carbonization depth and an increase in the dynamic elastic modulus after 28 days of carbonization are maintained at a minimum of 2.26% and 1.94 mm, respectively. A prediction model was established to obtain a formula for the PPF-MSC carbonization depth in terms of the content and length of PPF and the carbonization time. The following results were obtained from the RSM: compared to the PPF length, the PPF content has a larger impact on the PPF-MSC bending strength and a smaller impact on the PPF-MSC carbonization resistance; there is no significant interaction between the content and length of PPF; and the predicted and measured values are close, indicating that the model is highly reliable. A comparison of the XRD patterns and SEM micrographs of PPF-MSC and MSC after 28 days of carbonization show a lower peak intensity of CaCO3 in the pattern for the carbonized area for PPF-MSC than for MSC and considerably fewer surface pores and cracks in PPF-MSC than in MSC. These results indicate that the addition of PPF increases the compactness of MSC and creates an effective resistance to the erosion by water molecules and carbon dioxide (CO2), thus enhancing the bending strength and carbonization resistance of MSC.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于最近地面臭氧的增长和挥发性有机化合物(VOC)的排放增加,VOC排放控制已成为中国关注的主要问题。作为回应,最近的政策规定了控制VOC的排放上限,但是很少有人受到PM2.5和臭氧共同控制目标的限制,并讨论了影响排放帽制定的因素。在这里,我们通过一种新的响应面建模(RSM)技术,提出了一个量化受PM2.5和臭氧目标约束的VOC排放帽的框架,实现量化的50%的计算成本节省。在珠江三角洲(PRD)地区,受空气质量目标限制的VOC排放上限随着NOx减排水平的变化而变化很大。如果不考虑珠三角地区周边地区的控制措施,VOC排放上限可以有两种可行的策略来实现空气质量目标(对于最大8小时平均90百分位数(MDA8-90%)的臭氧为160µg/m3,对于年平均PM2.5为25µg/m3):适度的VOC排放上限,NOx减排量<20%,或明显的VOC排放上限,NOx减排量>60%。如果将臭氧浓度目标降低到155µg/m3,则深度减少NOx排放是珠三角唯一可行的臭氧控制措施。基于蒙特卡罗模拟的季节性VOC排放上限的优化可以使我们获得更高的臭氧收益或更大的VOC减排量。如果挥发性有机化合物的排放量在秋季进一步减少,MDA8-90%臭氧可降低0.3-1.5µg/m3,相当于10%VOC减排措施的臭氧益处。本研究提出的VOC排放上限量化和优化方法可为我国区域PM2.5和O3污染的协调控制提供科学指导。
    Because of the recent growth in ground-level ozone and increased emission of volatile organic compounds (VOCs), VOC emission control has become a major concern in China. In response, emission caps to control VOC have been stipulated in recent policies, but few of them were constrained by the co-control target of PM2.5 and ozone, and discussed the factor that influence the emission cap formulation. Herein, we proposed a framework for quantification of VOC emission caps constrained by targets for PM2.5 and ozone via a new response surface modeling (RSM) technique, achieving 50% computational cost savings of the quantification. In the Pearl River Delta (PRD) region, the VOC emission caps constrained by air quality targets varied greatly with the NOx emission reduction level. If control measures in the surrounding areas of the PRD region were not considered, there could be two feasible strategies for VOC emission caps to meet air quality targets (160 µg/m3 for the maximum 8-hr-average 90th-percentile (MDA8-90%) ozone and 25 µg/m3 for the annual average of PM2.5): a moderate VOC emission cap with <20% NOx emission reductions or a notable VOC emission cap with >60% NOx emission reductions. If the ozone concentration target were reduced to 155 µg/m3, deep NOx emission reductions is the only feasible ozone control measure in PRD. Optimization of seasonal VOC emission caps based on the Monte Carlo simulation could allow us to gain higher ozone benefits or greater VOC emission reductions. If VOC emissions were further reduced in autumn, MDA8-90% ozone could be lowered by 0.3-1.5 µg/m3, equaling the ozone benefits of 10% VOC emission reduction measures. The method for VOC emission cap quantification and optimization proposed in this study could provide scientific guidance for coordinated control of regional PM2.5 and O3 pollution in China.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    纳米粒子的绿色合成由于其生态友好和可持续的方法以降低的成本合成纳米粒子而受到关注。人工神经网络(ANN)和响应面模型(RSM)对于减少纳米粒子合成中的实验工作量很重要。在这项工作中,使用植物提取物的体积进行Desmostachyabipinnata提取物的金纳米颗粒合成的优化,氯化金的浓度,反应时间,pH值,和温度作为工艺参数,输出为吸光度。从RSM获得实验设计,并使用ANN进一步优化模型。进行了RSM产生的32次实验运行,并将实验获得的结果与RSM和ANN产生的结果进行了比较。对人工神经网络的不同算法进行了测试,以获得最佳算法。优化研究导致第20次运行15毫升的最大响应,2.5mM,45分钟,7和40°C作为参数。通过RSM获得的优化输入参数为10ml,2mM,30分钟,6和30°C。通过紫外光谱证实了金纳米颗粒的形成,XRD,和SEM。人工神经网络的不同算法,比如LevenMarquardt,缩放共轭梯度,使用贝叶斯网络。发现Levenmarquardt算法是最适合当前研究的算法。
    Green synthesis of nanoparticles has gained attention due to its eco-friendly and sustainable approach to synthesize nanoparticles at a reduced cost. Artificial neural network (ANN) and response surface model (RSM) are important to reduce experimental efforts in nanoparticle synthesis. In this work, optimization of gold nanoparticle synthesis by Desmostachya bipinnata extract was performed using the volume of plant extract, concentration of auric chloride, reaction time, pH, and temperature as process parameters, and the output was absorbance. The experimental design was obtained from RSM and the model was optimized further using ANN. Thirty-two experimental runs generated by RSM were performed and the results obtained experimentally were compared with those generated by RSM and ANN. Different algorithms of ANN were tested to obtain the best one. The optimization studies resulted in a maximum response for 20th run with 15 ml, 2.5 mM, 45 min, 7, and 40 °C as parameters. Optimized input parameters obtained by RSM were 10 ml, 2 mM, 30 min, 6, and 30 °C. The formation of gold nanoparticles was confirmed by UV spectroscopy, XRD, and SEM. Different algorithms of ANN, such as leven marquardt, scaled conjugate gradient, and bayesian network were used. Leven marquardt algorithm was found to be the most suitable algorithm for the current study.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    This article describes the development and application of a streamlined air control and response modeling system with a novel response surface modeling-linear coupled fitting method and a new module to provide streamlined model data for PM2.5 attainment assessment in China. This method is capable of significantly reducing the dimensions required to establish a response surface model, as well as capturing more realistic response of PM2.5 to emission changes with a limited number of model simulations. The newly developed module establishes a data link between the system and the Software for Model Attainment Test-Community Edition (SMAT-CE), and has the ability to rapidly provide model responses to emission control scenarios for SMAT-CE using a simple interface. The performance of this streamlined system is demonstrated through a case study of the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) in China. Our results show that this system is capable of reproducing the Community Multi-Scale Air Quality (CMAQ) model simulation results with maximum mean normalized error<3.5%. It is also demonstrated that primary emissions make a major contribution to ambient levels of PM2.5 in January and August (e.g., more than 50% contributed by primary emissions in Shanghai), and Shanghai needs to have regional emission control both locally and in its neighboring provinces to meet China\'s annual PM2.5 National Ambient Air Quality Standard. The streamlined system provides a real-time control/response assessment to identify the contributions of major emission sources to ambient PM2.5 (and potentially O3 as well) and streamline air quality data for SMAT-CE to perform attainment assessments.
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