modelling

建模
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    许多研究已经开发或验证了预测模型,以估计食管癌(EC)患者术后肺炎(POP)的可能性。这些模型的质量及其对临床实践和未来研究的适用性的评估仍然未知。本研究系统地评估了食管癌手术患者发生POP的风险预测模型的偏倚风险和适用性。
    PubMed,Embase,WebofScience,科克伦图书馆,护理和相关健康文献累积指数(CINAHL),中国国家知识基础设施(CNKI),中国科技期刊数据库(VIP),从开始到2024年3月12日检索万方数据库和中国生物医学文献数据库。两名研究者独立筛选文献并提取数据。采用预测模型偏差风险评估工具(PROBAST)检查表评估偏差风险和适用性。
    共14项研究,涉及23个模型。这些研究主要发表在2014年至2023年之间。所有研究的适用性都很好。然而,所有研究都表现出偏见的高风险,主要归因于不适当的数据源,样本量不足,对变量和缺失数据的不合理处理,缺乏模型验证。食管癌手术患者POP发生率为14.60%~39.26%。最常用的预测因素是吸烟,年龄,慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD),糖尿病,开胸手术的方法。模型间判别范围为0.627~0.850,灵敏度为60.7%~84.0%,特异性为59.1%至83.9%。
    在所有纳入的研究中,据报道,食管癌手术患者POP风险预测模型具有良好的区分度,表明模型性能稳定。然而,根据PROBAST检查表,所有研究均存在较高的偏倚风险.未来的研究应使用预测模型评估工具来改进研究设计,并开发具有更大样本和多中心外部验证的新模型。
    https://www.crd.约克。AC.英国/普劳里,标识符CRD42024527085。
    UNASSIGNED: Numerous studies have developed or validated prediction models to estimate the likelihood of postoperative pneumonia (POP) in esophageal cancer (EC) patients. The quality of these models and the evaluation of their applicability to clinical practice and future research remains unknown. This study systematically evaluated the risk of bias and applicability of risk prediction models for developing POP in patients undergoing esophageal cancer surgery.
    UNASSIGNED: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), China Science and Technology Journal Database (VIP), WanFang Database and Chinese Biomedical Literature Database were searched from inception to March 12, 2024. Two investigators independently screened the literature and extracted data. The Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST) checklist was employed to evaluate both the risk of bias and applicability.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 14 studies involving 23 models were included. These studies were mainly published between 2014 and 2023. The applicability of all studies was good. However, all studies exhibited a high risk of bias, primarily attributed to inappropriate data sources, insufficient sample size, irrational treatment of variables and missing data, and lack of model validation. The incidence of POP in patients undergoing esophageal cancer surgery ranged from 14.60% to 39.26%. The most frequently used predictors were smoking, age, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD), diabetes mellitus, and methods of thoracotomy. Inter-model discrimination ranged from 0.627 to 0.850, sensitivity ranged between 60.7% and 84.0%, and specificity ranged from 59.1% to 83.9%.
    UNASSIGNED: In all included studies, good discrimination was reported for risk prediction models for POP in patients undergoing esophageal cancer surgery, indicating stable model performance. However, according to the PROBAST checklist, all studies had a high risk of bias. Future studies should use the predictive model assessment tool to improve study design and develop new models with larger samples and multicenter external validation.
    UNASSIGNED: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero, identifier CRD42024527085.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    空气质量的建模和预测有助于起草有效的指导方针,反过来,妥善管理受影响的地区。为了描绘城市中心的空气污染物,本研究分析了两种建模工具:AERMOD和CALINE4。这两种技术在从车辆和其他排放中模拟空气质量方面提供了独特的功能。CALINE4,高斯色散模型,指定移动源沿着道路的污染物扩散。它拥有用户友好的界面和特定道路的建模功能,考虑交通速度和车辆排放。然而,它简化了复杂的流动模式,并依赖于主要的气象数据。另一方面,AERMOD是适用于各种排放源的通用模型,包括移动源和固定源。它擅长捕捉不同的大气过程,但需要精确的气象,地形,和排放数据。AERMOD通常是监管合规评估的首选,尽管它需要更陡峭的学习曲线和更高的计算要求。CALINE4和AERMOD之间的选择取决于研究需求,数据可用性,和所需的建模精度。这篇综述提供了一个概述,以帮助研究人员做出明智的模型选择,以评估车辆相关的污染,城市可持续性的关键方面,空气质量管理。
    Modelling and prediction of air quality facilitates the drafting of efficient guidelines and, in turn, proper management of adversely affected areas. In order to depict the air pollutants in urban centres, this research analyses two modelling tools: AERMOD and CALINE4. Both technologies provide distinct capabilities in the modelling of air quality from vehicular and other emissions. CALINE4, a Gaussian dispersion model, specifies pollutant dispersion from mobile sources along roadways. It boasts a user-friendly interface and road-specific modelling capabilities, factoring in traffic speed and vehicle emissions. However, it simplifies intricate flow patterns and relies on primary meteorological data. On the other hand, AERMOD is a versatile model suitable for various emission sources, including both mobile and stationary sources. It excels at capturing diverse atmospheric processes but demands precise meteorological, terrain, and emission data. AERMOD is often preferred for regulatory compliance assessments, although it entails a steeper learning curve and higher computational requirements. The choice between CALINE4 and AERMOD hinges on study needs, data availability, and desired modelling precision. This review offers an overview to assist researchers in making informed model selections for assessing vehicle-related pollution, critical aspects of urban sustainability, and air quality management.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:这篇综述旨在综合有关功效的文献,进化,以及在心理健康领域实施诊所决策支持系统(CDSS)的挑战,上瘾,和并发疾病。
    方法:遵循PRISMA指南,我们进行了系统评价和荟萃分析.在MEDLINE等数据库中进行的搜索,Embase,CINAHL,PsycINFO,到2023年5月25日,WebofScience产生了27344条记录。在必要的排除之后,69条记录被分配用于详细的合成。在检查患者结果时,重点关注治疗效果等指标,患者满意度,和治疗验收,采用荟萃分析技术综合来自随机对照试验的数据.
    结果:共纳入69项研究,揭示了从2017年前的基于知识的模型到2017年后的数据驱动模型的兴起的转变。发现大多数模型处于成熟的第2或第4阶段。荟萃分析显示,成瘾相关结局的效应大小为-0.11,患者满意度和接受CDSS的效应大小为-0.50。
    结论:结果表明,从基于知识的CDSS方法向数据驱动的CDSS方法转变,与机器学习和大数据的进步相一致。尽管对成瘾结果的直接影响不大,更高的患者满意度表明更广泛使用CDSS的前景。识别的挑战包括警报疲劳和不透明的AI模型。
    结论:CDSS在心理健康和成瘾治疗方面显示出希望,但需要采取微妙的方法来有效和道德地实施。结果强调需要继续研究,以确保在医疗机构中得到优化和公平的使用。
    BACKGROUND: This review aims to synthesise the literature on the efficacy, evolution, and challenges of implementing Clincian Decision Support Systems (CDSS) in the realm of mental health, addiction, and concurrent disorders.
    METHODS: Following PRISMA guidelines, a systematic review and meta-analysis were performed. Searches conducted in databases such as MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO, and Web of Science through 25 May 2023, yielded 27,344 records. After necessary exclusions, 69 records were allocated for detailed synthesis. In the examination of patient outcomes with a focus on metrics such as therapeutic efficacy, patient satisfaction, and treatment acceptance, meta-analytic techniques were employed to synthesise data from randomised controlled trials.
    RESULTS: A total of 69 studies were included, revealing a shift from knowledge-based models pre-2017 to a rise in data-driven models post-2017. The majority of models were found to be in Stage 2 or 4 of maturity. The meta-analysis showed an effect size of -0.11 for addiction-related outcomes and a stronger effect size of -0.50 for patient satisfaction and acceptance of CDSS.
    CONCLUSIONS: The results indicate a shift from knowledge-based to data-driven CDSS approaches, aligned with advances in machine learning and big data. Although the immediate impact on addiction outcomes is modest, higher patient satisfaction suggests promise for wider CDSS use. Identified challenges include alert fatigue and opaque AI models.
    CONCLUSIONS: CDSS shows promise in mental health and addiction treatment but requires a nuanced approach for effective and ethical implementation. The results emphasise the need for continued research to ensure optimised and equitable use in healthcare settings.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    模拟模型用于农业的各个领域,以更好地了解系统并协助决策。在牛肉生产部门,针对系统各个维度的各种仿真研究是可用的。然而,缺乏对现有研究的概述。因此,进行了系统的审查,以提供对牛肉生产的模拟研究的概述,并建立对所使用的模拟方法的理解。Scopus,WebofScience,和ProQuestCentral研究数据库用于搜索相关文章,最后一次搜索是在2023年6月进行的。包括开发或使用模拟策略并使用肉牛作为研究主要重点的研究。这篇综述中包含的105项研究进行了彻底检查,以记录作者,出版年份,研究国家,研究类型,研究的重点领域,模拟场景,验证方法,和使用的软件程序。在全球范围内模拟牛肉生产系统的研究兴趣越来越大,大多数研究在北美和欧洲进行。在这些研究中,多数(84.76%,n=89)是生物物理或生物经济学研究类型,并使用确定性方法(n=42)。此外,大多数研究都有一个完整的农场范围(38.09%,n=40),并专注于生产率(51.43%,n=54)。由于只有不到一半的研究提到了使用的验证技术和软件程序,有必要提高这些信息的可用性,以确保这些模型在决策中得到有效采用。
    Simulation models are used in various areas of agriculture to better understand the system and assist in decision making. In the beef production sector, a variety of simulation research focusing on various dimensions of the system is available. However, an overview of the available research is lacking. Therefore, a systematic review was conducted to provide an overview of simulation studies of beef production and create an understanding of the simulation approaches used. Scopus, Web of Science, and ProQuest Central research databases were used to search the relevant articles, with the last search conducted in June 2023. Studies that developed or used simulation strategies and used beef cattle as a primary focus of the study were included. The 105 studies included in this review were examined thoroughly to record the authors, year of publication, country of study, type of study, focus area of the study, simulated scenarios, validation methods, and software programs used. There has been growing research interest in simulating beef production systems worldwide, with most studies conducted in North America and Europe. Among these studies, the majority (84.76%, n = 89) are biophysical or bioeconomic study types and use deterministic approaches (n = 42). Additionally, most studies have a whole-farm scope (38.09%, n = 40) and focus on productivity (51.43%, n = 54). Since only less than half of the studies mentioned the validation techniques and software programs used, there is a need to improve the availability of this information to ensure that the models are adopted effectively in decision making.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    霍乱流行病学中的各种建模技术已被开发并用于(1)研究其传播动力学,(2)预测和管理霍乱疫情,(3)评估各种控制和缓解措施的影响。在这项研究中,我们对用于霍乱动态建模的各种方法进行了批判性和系统的审查。此外,我们讨论了每种建模方法的优缺点。在谷歌学者中对文章进行了系统的搜索,PubMed,科学直接,泰勒和弗朗西斯。符合条件的研究是与霍乱动态有关的研究,不包括集中在动物霍乱传播模型上的研究。社会经济因素,以及遗传和分子相关研究。共有476篇同行评审的文章符合纳入标准,大约40%(32%)的研究在亚洲(非洲)进行。约52%,21%,9%,的研究,基于隔室(例如,SIRB),统计(时间序列和回归),和空间(时空聚类)模型,分别,而其余的分析研究使用了其他建模方法,如网络,机器学习和人工智能,贝叶斯,和基于代理的方法。纳入病原体媒介/家蝇传播的霍乱模型研究很少,一小部分研究人员(3.99%)考虑了关键流行病学参数的估计。在超过一半(58%)的研究中,仅使用疫苗接种平台作为控制措施。近年来,霍乱流行病学模型研究的研究生产率有所提高,但是作者使用了各种各样的模型。未来的模型应考虑纳入病原体的媒介/家蝇传播以及估计霍乱动力学传播的关键流行病学参数。
    Diverse modelling techniques in cholera epidemiology have been developed and used to (1) study its transmission dynamics, (2) predict and manage cholera outbreaks, and (3) assess the impact of various control and mitigation measures. In this study, we carry out a critical and systematic review of various approaches used for modelling the dynamics of cholera. Also, we discuss the strengths and weaknesses of each modelling approach. A systematic search of articles was conducted in Google Scholar, PubMed, Science Direct, and Taylor & Francis. Eligible studies were those concerned with the dynamics of cholera excluding studies focused on models for cholera transmission in animals, socio-economic factors, and genetic & molecular related studies. A total of 476 peer-reviewed articles met the inclusion criteria, with about 40% (32%) of the studies carried out in Asia (Africa). About 52%, 21%, and 9%, of the studies, were based on compartmental (e.g., SIRB), statistical (time series and regression), and spatial (spatiotemporal clustering) models, respectively, while the rest of the analysed studies used other modelling approaches such as network, machine learning and artificial intelligence, Bayesian, and agent-based approaches. Cholera modelling studies that incorporate vector/housefly transmission of the pathogen are scarce and a small portion of researchers (3.99%) considers the estimation of key epidemiological parameters. Vaccination only platform was utilized as a control measure in more than half (58%) of the studies. Research productivity in cholera epidemiological modelling studies have increased in recent years, but authors used diverse range of models. Future models should consider incorporating vector/housefly transmission of the pathogen and on the estimation of key epidemiological parameters for the transmission of cholera dynamics.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这篇综述的意义在于解决胶囊内窥镜被动运动的局限性,阻碍了它们在医疗应用中的广泛使用。这项研究的重点是评估现有的微型体内遥控胶囊内窥镜,检查他们的运动设计,和工作理论,为克服挑战和增强其在诊断和治疗环境中的适用性铺平道路。
    本文探讨了具有两质量布置的自行式遥控胶囊内窥镜的背景下的控制方法和动态系统建模。文献检索,2000年至2022年在伦敦玛丽皇后大学图书馆进行的研究,采用了一种系统的方法,从广义的关键词“胶囊内窥镜”开始,并逐步缩小到诸如“胶囊内窥镜控制”和“自推进胶囊内窥镜”等特定方面使用各种标准。
    有效地驱动和控制遥控胶囊内窥镜有可能克服当前医疗技术的局限性,为诊断和治疗胃肠道疾病提供了可行的解决方案。成功控制了遥控胶囊内窥镜,正如这篇综述论文所证明的那样,将导致医学工程的阶跃变化,建立远程控制胶囊内窥镜作为该领域的快速标准。
    UNASSIGNED: The significance of this review lies in addressing the limitations of passive locomotion in capsule endoscopes, hindering their widespread use in medical applications. The research focuses on evaluating existing miniature in vivo remote-controlled capsule endoscopes, examining their locomotion designs, and working theories to pave the way for overcoming challenges and enhancing their applicability in diagnostic and treatment settings.
    UNASSIGNED: This paper explores control methods and dynamic system modeling in the context of self-propelled remote-controlled capsule endoscopes with a two-mass arrangement. The literature search, conducted at Queen Mary University of London Library from 2000 to 2022, utilized a systematic approach starting with the broad keyword \'Capsule Endoscope\' and progressively narrowing down to specific aspects such as \'Capsule Endoscope Control\' and \'Self-propelled Capsule Endoscope\' using various criteria.
    UNASSIGNED: Efficiently driving and controlling remote-controlled capsule endoscopes have the potential to overcome the current limitations in medical technology, offering a viable solution for diagnosing and treating gastrointestinal diseases. Successful control of the remote-controlled capsule endoscope, as demonstrated in this review paper, will lead to a step change in medical engineering, establishing the remote-controlled capsule endoscope as a swift standard in the field.
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  • 文章类型: Review
    目的:随机对照试验是医学证据产生的金标准,但受限于其现实世界的普遍性,资源需求,更短的随访持续时间和无法进行所有临床问题。决策分析(DA)模型可以通过使用现有数据以及证据和专家知情的假设来模拟试验和观察研究,并在更长的时间范围内扩展分析。不同的研究人群和具体场景,帮助将人群结果转化为患者特定的临床和经济结果。这里,我们提出了用于心脏手术研究的DA的范围审查和方法入门。
    方法:使用PubMed/MEDLINE进行范围审查,EMBASE和WebofScience数据库,用于心脏手术DA研究,直到2021年12月发布。对文章进行了描述性总结,以量化趋势并确定方法的一致性。
    结果:共确认184篇文章,其中马尔可夫模型(N=92,50.0%)是最常用的模型。最常见的结果是成本(N=107,58.2%),质量调整寿命年(N=96,52.2%)和增量成本效益比(N=89,48.4%).大多数(N=165,89.7%)文章应用了敏感性分析,最常见的是确定性敏感性分析(N=128,69.6%)。22.3%的文章中出现了为模型开发和/或报告提供信息的指南报告。
    结论:在心脏手术中,DA方法正在增加,但仍然有限且变化很大。提出了方法学入门,可以为研究人员提供开始或改进DA的基础,以及为读者和审稿人提供审查DA研究的基本概念。
    OBJECTIVE: Randomized controlled trials are the gold standard for evidence generation in medicine but are limited by their real-world generalizability, resource needs, shorter follow-up durations and inability to be conducted for all clinical questions. Decision analysis (DA) models may simulate trials and observational studies by using existing data and evidence- and expert-informed assumptions and extend analyses over longer time horizons, different study populations and specific scenarios, helping to translate population outcomes to patient-specific clinical and economic outcomes. Here, we present a scoping review and methodological primer on DA for cardiac surgery research.
    METHODS: A scoping review was performed using the PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE and Web of Science databases for cardiac surgery DA studies published until December 2021. Articles were summarized descriptively to quantify trends and ascertain methodological consistency.
    RESULTS: A total of 184 articles were identified, among which Markov models (N = 92, 50.0%) were the most commonly used models. The most common outcomes were costs (N = 107, 58.2%), quality-adjusted life-years (N = 96, 52.2%) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (N = 89, 48.4%). Most (N = 165, 89.7%) articles applied sensitivity analyses, most frequently in the form of deterministic sensitivity analyses (N = 128, 69.6%). Reporting of guidelines to inform the model development and/or reporting was present in 22.3% of articles.
    CONCLUSIONS: DA methods are increasing but remain limited and highly variable in cardiac surgery. A methodological primer is presented and may provide researchers with the foundation to start with or improve DA, as well as provide readers and reviewers with the fundamental concepts to review DA studies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文回顾了四种类型的包装前营养标签(FoPL)在影响卡路里购买方面的有效性。四种FoPL类型已准备好在欧洲国家统一实施。Further,这项研究扩展了其分析,以评估在27个欧盟国家中自愿采用这些FoPL的影响。Nutri-Score显示出更高的产生积极健康和经济成果的潜力,与其他FoPLs相比。在欧盟国家,Nutri-Score预计将避免近200万例非传染性疾病,总的来说,2023年至2050年。Keyhole表现出相似幅度的影响,但没有统计学意义。Nutri-Repere显示影响较小,而Nutri-Couleurs的影响不显著。Nutri-Score预计将大幅降低年度医疗保健支出0.05%,而其他标签的影响可以忽略不计。通过减少疾病病例,FoPLs有潜力提高就业和工作效率。Nutri-Score超过其他标签,在欧盟国家/地区,每100,000个工作年龄的个人中,估计每年有10.6个全职同等工人。总之,强制实施这四个标签中的任何一个都会比自愿实施所获得的效果更大,提供证据,为欧盟范围内的营养标签系统提供立法建议。
    This paper reviews the effectiveness of four types of front-of-pack nutrition labels (FoPLs) in influencing calorie purchases. The four FoPL types are poised for unified implementation across European countries. Further, this study extends its analysis to evaluate the impacts of the voluntary adoption of these FoPLs within 27 EU nations. Nutri-Score displays higher potential for yielding positive health and economic outcomes, compared with other FoPLs. Across EU countries, Nutri-Score is projected to avert nearly two million cases of non-communicable diseases, in total, between 2023 and 2050. Keyhole demonstrates effects of a similar magnitude but with no statistical significance. Nutri-Repere shows smaller impacts, while Nutri-Couleurs has non-significant effects. Nutri-Score is projected to significantly lower annual healthcare spending by 0.05%, whereas the other labels have negligible impacts. By reducing cases of disease, FoPLs have the potential to improve employment and work productivity. Nutri-Score surpasses the other labels with an estimated annual gain of 10.6 full-time equivalent workers per 100,000 individuals of working age across EU countries. In all, mandatory implementation of any of the four labels would lead to greater effects than those obtained with a voluntary implementation, providing evidence to inform legislation proposal for an EU-wide nutrition labelling system.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    先进和现代的作物改良技术可以弥合为不断增长的人口提供食物的差距。人工智能(AI)是指在机器中模拟人类智能,指的是计算算法的应用,机器学习(ML)和深度学习(DL)技术。这旨在从历史数据中概括模式和关系,采用各种数学优化技术,从而制作预测模型,以促进选择优良的基因型。这些技术资源密集程度较低,可以基于对大规模表型数据集的分析来解决问题。基因组选择(GS)的ML使用高通量基因分型技术来收集基因组中大量标记的遗传信息。GS模型的预测基于来自训练群体的基因型和表型数据之间的数学关系。通过分析大规模基因组数据并促进准确预测模型的开发,ML技术已成为基因组编辑的强大工具。精确的表型是推进作物育种解决农业生产相关问题的前提。ML算法可以通过生成预测模型来解决这个问题,基于对大规模表型数据集的分析。DL模型还具有精确表型的潜在可靠性。这篇综述全面概述了各种ML和DL模型,他们的应用,提高效率的潜力,对先进作物改良方案的特异性和安全性,如基因组选择,基因组编辑,随着表型预测,促进加速育种。
    Sophisticated and modern crop improvement techniques can bridge the gap for feeding the ever-increasing population. Artificial intelligence (AI) refers to the simulation of human intelligence in machines, which refers to the application of computational algorithms, machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques. This is aimed to generalise patterns and relationships from historical data, employing various mathematical optimisation techniques thus making prediction models for facilitating selection of superior genotypes. These techniques are less resource intensive and can solve the problem based on the analysis of large-scale phenotypic datasets. ML for genomic selection (GS) uses high-throughput genotyping technologies to gather genetic information on a large number of markers across the genome. The prediction of GS models is based on the mathematical relation between genotypic and phenotypic data from the training population. ML techniques have emerged as powerful tools for genome editing through analysing large-scale genomic data and facilitating the development of accurate prediction models. Precise phenotyping is a prerequisite to advance crop breeding for solving agricultural production-related issues. ML algorithms can solve this problem through generating predictive models, based on the analysis of large-scale phenotypic datasets. DL models also have the potential reliability of precise phenotyping. This review provides a comprehensive overview on various ML and DL models, their applications, potential to enhance the efficiency, specificity and safety towards advanced crop improvement protocols such as genomic selection, genome editing, along with phenotypic prediction to promote accelerated breeding.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    植物介导的CH4运输(PMT)是土壤产生的CH4逃逸到大气中的主要途径,因此在控制生态系统CH4排放中起着重要作用。PMT同时受到非生物和生物因素的影响,以及生物因素的影响,如优势植物物种及其性状,可以超越非生物因素的影响。越来越多的证据表明,植物介导的CH4通量不仅包括PMT,而且由于检测到附着在芽上的产甲烷菌和甲烷营养菌,植物内CH4的产生和氧化。尽管物种间和季节间存在差异,以及植物内微生物对总植物介导的CH4交换(PME)的可能贡献,当前基于过程的生态系统模型仅根据连生植物的整体生物量或叶面积指数估算PMT。我们强调了五个知识差距,应该投入更多的研究工作。首先,物种间差异很大,即使在同一个家庭里,使PMT的一般估计复杂化,并呼吁进一步研究不同类型湿地的关键优势物种。第二,界面(根际-根,根茎,或叶片大气)和控制PMT的植物性状记录不佳,但需要从物种到相关功能组的概括。第三,PMT跨物种的主要环境控制仍不确定。第四,植物内CH4产生和氧化的作用定量不佳。第五,当前过程模型中对PMT的简单描述导致生态系统CH4通量预测的不确定性和潜在的高误差。我们的审查表明,通量测量应在多个生长季节进行,并与性状评估和微生物分析配对,应该开发基于特征的模型。只有这样,我们才能准确估计植物介导的CH4排放量,最终在区域和全球尺度上的生态系统总CH4排放量。
    Plant-mediated CH4 transport (PMT) is the dominant pathway through which soil-produced CH4 can escape into the atmosphere and thus plays an important role in controlling ecosystem CH4 emission. PMT is affected by abiotic and biotic factors simultaneously, and the effects of biotic factors, such as the dominant plant species and their traits, can override the effects of abiotic factors. Increasing evidence shows that plant-mediated CH4 fluxes include not only PMT, but also within-plant CH4 production and oxidation due to the detection of methanogens and methanotrophs attached to the shoots. Despite the inter-species and seasonal differences, and the probable contribution of within-plant microbes to total plant-mediated CH4 exchange (PME), current process-based ecosystem models only estimate PMT based on the bulk biomass or leaf area index of aerenchymatous plants. We highlight five knowledge gaps to which more research efforts should be devoted. First, large between-species variation, even within the same family, complicates general estimation of PMT, and calls for further work on the key dominant species in different types of wetlands. Second, the interface (rhizosphere-root, root-shoot, or leaf-atmosphere) and plant traits controlling PMT remain poorly documented, but would be required for generalizations from species to relevant functional groups. Third, the main environmental controls of PMT across species remain uncertain. Fourth, the role of within-plant CH4 production and oxidation is poorly quantified. Fifth, the simplistic description of PMT in current process models results in uncertainty and potentially high errors in predictions of the ecosystem CH4 flux. Our review suggest that flux measurements should be conducted over multiple growing seasons and be paired with trait assessment and microbial analysis, and that trait-based models should be developed. Only then we are capable to accurately estimate plant-mediated CH4 emissions, and eventually ecosystem total CH4 emissions at both regional and global scales.
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