虽然双相情感障碍(BD)是一种根本性的周期性疾病,自1980年代问世以来,强调周期性极性的BD分裂模型一直主导着现代精神病学诊断系统。然而,由于新兴的支持性数据,BD的概念化逐渐回归,专注于研究界的纵向课程。纵向统计方法的进步有望进一步发展该领域。
当前的研究采用了隐马尔可夫模型,从纵向数据[即青年躁狂量表和蒙哥马利-阿斯伯格抑郁量表对双相情感障碍的系统治疗增强计划(STEP-BD)研究的五次反应]中发现了经验推导的躁狂和抑郁状态。估计参与者随着时间在这些状态之间转变的概率(n=3918),并评估临床变量(例如快速循环和物质依赖性)是否预测参与者的状态转变(n=3229)。
分析确定了三种凭经验得出的情绪状态(\‘正时,\'\'沮丧,\'和\'混合\')。相对于和谐状态和抑郁状态,混合状态不太常见,时间上更不稳定,与快速骑行有独特的联系,物质使用,和精神病。在基线时被分配到混合状态的个体相对不太可能被诊断患有BD-II(v。BD-I),更有可能出现混合或(低度)躁狂发作,并报告更频繁地经历易怒和情绪升高。
当前研究的结果代表了定义的重要一步,并表征了纵向进程,经验推导的情绪状态,可以用来形成客观的基础,经验尝试定义有意义的亚型的情感疾病定义的临床过程。
Although bipolar disorder (BD) is a fundamentally cyclical illness, a divided model of BD that emphasizes polarity over cyclicity has dominated modern psychiatric diagnostic systems since their advent in the 1980s. However, there has been a gradual return to conceptualizations of BD which focus on longitudinal course in the research community due to emerging supportive data. Advances in longitudinal statistical methods promise to further progress the field.
The current
study employed hidden Markov modeling to uncover empirically derived manic and depressive states from longitudinal data [i.e. Young Mania Rating Scale and Montgomery-Asberg Depression Rating Scale responses across five occasions from the Systematic Treatment Enhancement Program for Bipolar Disorder (STEP-BD)
study], estimate participants\' probabilities of transitioning between these states over time (n = 3918), and evaluate whether clinical variables (e.g. rapid cycling and substance dependence) predict participants\' state transitions (n = 3229).
Analyses identified three empirically derived mood states (\'euthymic,\' \'depressed,\' and \'mixed\'). Relative to the euthymic and depressed states, the mixed state was less commonly experienced, more temporally unstable, and uniquely associated with rapid cycling, substance use, and psychosis. Individuals assigned to the mixed state at baseline were relatively less likely to be diagnosed with BD-II (v. BD-I), more likely to present with a mixed or (hypo)manic episode, and reported experiencing irritable and elevated mood more frequently.
The results from the current
study represent an important step in defining, and characterizing the longitudinal course of, empirically derived mood states that can be used to form the foundation of objective, empirical attempts to define meaningful subtypes of affective illness defined by clinical course.