Shocks

冲击
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究对2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)与每日股价变化之间的关系进行了彻底调查。我们使用几种类型的COVID-19患者作为指标,探讨股票价格是否受到COVID-19影响的显著影响。此外,以中国股市为例,我们对COVID-19对金融市场的心理和工业影响特别感兴趣。本研究对文献有两个贡献。首先,从理论的角度来看,它显示了对大流行的心理反应与股价之间的新颖定量关系。此外,它通过指出冲动反应的具体功能表现来描述股市冲击的机理。据我们所知,这是对金融市场冲击冲动的首次理论计算。第二,这项研究实证估计了COVID-19大流行对股市收益波动的边际效应。通过控制股票基本面,这项研究还估计了不同的行业对大流行股票波动的反应。我们证实,COVID-19大流行在股市引起了恐慌,这不仅压低了股价,而且加剧了每日收益的波动性。关于冲击的冲动,我们确定了大流行变量的累积水平以及它们的增量差异.正如我们的实证结果表明,这些差异的术语最终将主导边际效应,这证实了冲击的消逝冲动。最后,这项研究强调了股市波动和行业回报的一些重要政策含义。
    This study presents a thorough investigation of the relationship between the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and daily stock price changes. We use several types of COVID-19 patients as indicators for exploring whether stock prices are significantly affected by COVID-19\'s impact. In addition, using the Chinese stock market as an example, we are particularly interested in the psychological and industrial impacts of COVID-19 on the financial market. This study makes two contributions to the literature. First, from a theoretical perspective, it shows a novel quantitative relationship between the psychological response to the pandemic and stock prices. In addition, it depicts the mechanism of the shock to the stock market by pointing out the specific functional expression of the impulse reaction. To our knowledge, this is the first theoretical calculation of the impulse of a shock to the financial market. Second, this study empirically estimates the marginal effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on fluctuations in stock market returns. By controlling for stock fundamentals, this study also estimates diverse industrial responses to pandemic stock volatility. We confirm that the COVID-19 pandemic has caused panic in the stock market, which not only depresses stock prices but also inflates volatility in daily returns. Regarding the impulse of the shock, we identify the cumulative level of the pandemic variables as well as their incremental differences. As shown by our empirical results, the terms for these differences will eventually dominate the marginal effect, which confirms the fading impulse of the shock. Finally, this study highlights some important policy implications of stock market volatility and returns to work in the industry.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Background: There is an increasing recognition that community resilience plays a significant role in addressing health shocks like the Ebola virus disease (EVD) epidemic. However, the factors that constitute community resilience, and how these operate dynamically with other health system factors are less understood. Objective: This paper seeks to understand key factors that constitute community resilience and their role in responding to the EVD outbreak in Liberia. Methods: Key informant interviews were conducted between November 2017 and April 2018 with community representatives in Bomi, Margibi and Montserrado counties, and other national stakeholders involved in the EVD response in Liberia from 2014 to 2016. A national stakeholder meeting was conducted to verify and interpret information emerging from the interviews. Results: Factors that were critical for addressing the EVD epidemic in Liberia were identified as: strong leadership, tight bonds and sense of kinship at the community level; trusted communication channels; and trust among various health system stakeholders. These factors facilitated collective actions within communities and helped to direct response initiatives from other levels of the health system to the community. Foreign assistance was seen as crucial for recovery and revitalization of affected communities. However, such aid is often not targeted at addressing critical challenges in a sustainable way, especially when the assistance is highly restricted to specific activities, and those activities are determined without consultation with local actors and community groups. Conclusion: Efforts to systematically build responsible leadership and social capital at community level, including those that strengthen bonds in communities and trust across key actors in the health system, are needed to address health shocks like EVD outbreaks. Without building such capabilities in community resilience, it will be difficult to reap the expected gains from investments focusing on building physical capital and technical capabilities in health services and emergency preparedness.
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  • 文章类型: Clinical Trial, Phase III
    这项研究旨在评估在多中心前瞻性ADVANCEIII(避免在ICDPatientsIII中提供非持续性心律失常的Therapies)试验中对单腔(VVI)植入式心脏复律除颤器(ICD)进行长时间检测编程的效果。
    编程策略可以减少不必要的ICD冲击及其不利影响,但迄今为止仅针对双腔ICD进行了描述。
    共有545名受试者(85%为男性;心房颤动25%,左心室射血分数31%,缺血性病因68%,32%)接受VVIICD的二级预防适应症根据设备类型随机分为长期检测(40个间隔中的30个)或标准程序(24个间隔中的18个),心房颤动病史,和指示。在双臂中,充电期间的抗心动过速起搏(ATP)治疗被编程为周期长度为320~200ms的发作和仅周期长度<200ms的电击.小波函数和稳定性函数启用。使用负二项回归模型比较所提供的治疗。
    共有267名患者被随机分配到长期检测组,278名患者被随机分配到对照组。中位随访时间为12个月。一百一十二种疗法(电击和ATP)发生在长检测臂中,而在控制臂中发生257种。在40个间隔中的30个间隔(95%置信区间[CI]:0.36至0.76;p=0.002)减少48%。在长长的检测臂中,与控制臂相比,总体电击减少了40%(48vs.24;95%CI:0.38至0.94;p=0.026),适当冲击为51%(34与74;95%CI:0.26至0.94;p=0.033)。军种之间的晕厥事件没有区别,但是长检测臂的存活率提高了。
    在植入VVIICD的患者中,长检测间隔的编程显着减少了适当的治疗,冲击,和全因死亡率。(避免在ICD患者III[ADVANCEIII]中提供非持续性心律失常的温度计;NCT00617175)。
    This study sought to evaluate the effects of programming a long detection in single-chamber (VVI) implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs) in the multicenter prospective ADVANCE III (Avoid DeliVering TherApies for Non-sustained Arrhythmias in ICD PatiEnts III) trial.
    Programming strategies may reduce unnecessary ICD shocks and their adverse effects but to date have been described only for dual-chamber ICDs.
    A total of 545 subjects (85% male; atrial fibrillation 25%, left ventricular ejection fraction 31%, ischemic etiology 68%, secondary prevention indications 32%) receiving a VVI ICD were randomized to long detection (30 of 40 intervals) or standard programming (18 of 24 intervals) based on device type, atrial fibrillation history, and indication. In both arms, antitachycardia pacing (ATP) therapy during charging was programmed for episodes with cycle length 320 to 200 ms and shock only for cycle length <200 ms. Wavelet and stability functions enabled. Therapies delivered were compared using a negative binomial regression model.
    A total of 267 patients were randomized to long detection and 278 to the control group. Median follow-up was 12 months. One hundred twelve therapies (shocks and ATP) occurred in the long detection arm versus 257 in the control arm, for a 48% reduction with 30 of 40 intervals (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.36 to 0.76; p = 0.002). In the long detection arm, overall shocks were reduced by 40% compared to the control arm (48 vs. 24; 95% CI: 0.38 to 0.94; p = 0.026) and appropriate shocks by 51% (34 vs. 74; 95% CI: 0.26 to 0.94; p = 0.033). Syncopal events did not differ between arms, but survival improved in the long detection arm.
    Among patients implanted with a VVI ICD, programming with the long detection interval significantly reduced appropriate therapies, shocks, and all-cause mortality. (Avoid DeliVering TherApies for Non-sustained Arrhythmias in ICD PatiEnts III [ADVANCEIII]; NCT00617175).
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs) are effective in terminating lethal arrhythmias, but little is known about the degree of health care utilization (HCU) after ICD therapies.
    Using data from the managed ventricular pacing trial, we sought to identify the incidence and types of HCU in ICD patients after receiving ICD therapy (shocks or antitachycardia pacing [ATP]).
    We analyzed HCU events (ventricular tachyarrhythmia [VTA]-related, heart failure-related, ICD implant procedure-related, ICD system-related, or other) and their association with ICD therapies (shocked ventricular tachycardia episode, ATP-terminated ventricular tachycardia episode, and inappropriately shocked episode).
    A total of 1879 HCUs occurred in 695 of 1030 subjects (80% primary prevention) and were classified as follows: 133 (7%) VTA-related, 373 (20%) heart failure-related, 97 (5%) implant procedure-related, 115 (6%) system-related, and 1160 (62%) other. Of 2113 treated VTA episodes, 1680 (80%) received ATP only and 433 (20%) received shocks. Stratifying VTA-related HCUs on the basis of the type of ICD therapy delivered, there were 25 HCUs per 100 shocked VTA episodes compared with 1 HCU per 100 ATP-terminated episodes. Inappropriate ICD shocks occurred in 8.7% of the subjects and were associated with 115 HCUs. The majority of HCUs (52%) began in the emergency department, and 66% of all HCUs resulted in hospitalization.
    For VTA-related HCUs, shocks are associated with a 25-fold increase in HCUs compared to VTAs treated by ATP only. Application of evidence-based strategies and automated device-based algorithms to reduce ICD shocks (higher rate cutoffs, use of ATP, and arrhythmia detection) may help reduce HCUs.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    BACKGROUND: Several meta-analyses of the implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) clinical trials have demonstrated that while men derived a mortality reduction with prophylactic ICD implantation, women did not. These trials also observed that women receive less appropriate ICD shock therapy compared to men. We aimed to investigate this \"gender-paradox\" among a heterogeneous community cohort of patients receiving ICDs.
    METHODS: We identified 1,445 consecutive patients undergoing ICD implantation from 1997 to 2007. The study population consisted of 582 patients, of whom 291 were women who could be propensity matched to 291 men, based on age, ejection fraction, implantation indication (primary or secondary), etiology of cardiomyopathy (ischemic or nonischemic), and the presence of a cardiac resynchronization therapy-defibrillator (CRT-D) device. The impact of gender difference on the probability of death and appropriate ICD shocks for ventricular arrhythmias was calculated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards analyses.
    RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 909 ± 901 days, compared to men, women demonstrated a similar risk of death (25% vs 25%, adjusted hazard ratio [AHR] 1.05 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.81-1.35], P = 0.74). In contrast, women demonstrated a decreased probability of appropriate ICD-shock therapy (14% vs 19%, AHR 0.80 [95% CI 0.59-0.88], P = 0.03) compared to men, and among cohorts with a nonischemic cardiomyopathy (10% vs 20%, P < 0.001) and CRT-D devices (7% vs 19%, P = 0.01).
    CONCLUSIONS: Among a community cohort with ICDs, women have a similar mortality compared to men while experiencing less appropriate ICD therapy. These results support the findings of a lower arrhythmic mortality among women.
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