Under climate change, the reduction of frost risk, onset of warm temperatures and depletion of soil moisture are all likely to occur earlier in the year in many temperate regions. The resilience of tree species will depend on their ability to track these changes in climate with shifts in phenology that lead to earlier growth initiation in the spring. Exposure to warm temperatures (\'forcing\') typically triggers growth initiation, but many trees also require exposure to cool temperatures (\'chilling\') while dormant to readily initiate growth in the spring. If warming increases forcing and decreases chilling, climate change could maintain, advance or delay growth initiation phenology relative to the onset of favorable conditions. We modeled the timing of height- and diameter-growth initiation in coast Douglas-fir (an ecologically and economically vital tree in western North America) to determine whether changes in phenology are likely to track changes in climate using data from field-based and controlled-environment studies, which included conditions warmer than those currently experienced in the tree\'s range. For high latitude and elevation portions of the tree\'s range, our models predicted that warming will lead to earlier growth initiation and allow trees to track changes in the onset of the warm but still moist conditions that favor growth, generally without substantially greater exposure to frost. In contrast, toward lower latitude and elevation range limits, the models predicted that warming will lead to delayed growth initiation relative to changes in climate due to reduced chilling, with trees failing to capture favorable conditions in the earlier parts of the spring. This maladaptive response to climate change was more prevalent for diameter-growth initiation than height-growth initiation. The decoupling of growth initiation with the onset of favorable climatic conditions could reduce the resilience of coast Douglas-fir to climate change at the warm edges of its distribution.

Nitrogen fertilizer applications are common land use management tools, but details on physiological responses to these applications are often lacking, particularly for long-term responses over decades of forest management. We used tree ring growth patterns and stable isotopes to understand long-term physiological responses to fertilization using a controlled fertilization experiment begun in 1964 in Washington State (USA), in which three levels of nitrogen fertilizer were applied: 157, 314; and 471 kg/ha. Basal area increment (BAI) increased more than fourfold in the highest treatment to twofold in the lowest, and a significant increase in BAI was observed for 20 years. Latewood delta 13C sharply decreased by 1.4 per thousand after fertilization and was significantly lower than controls for four years, but no differences existed between fertilization levels, and the effect disappeared after four years, indicating that intrinsic water use efficiency (A/gs) increased in response to fertilization. Earlywood delta 13C showed similar trends but was more variable. Latewood delta 18O increased significantly above controls by approximately 2 per thousand in all treatments, but the duration differed with treatment level, with the effect being longer for higher levels of fertilization and lasting as long as nine years after fertilization. Because source water and relative humidity were the same between experimental plots, we interpreted the delta 18O increase with treatment as a decrease in leaf-level transpiration. Earlywood delta 18O did not show any treatment effects. Because the Pacific Northwest has a mediterranean climate with dry summers, we speculated that fertilization caused a substantial increase in leaf area, causing the trees to transpire themselves into drought stress during the late summer. We estimate from the delta 18O data that stomatal conductance (gs) was reduced by approximately 30%. Using the delta 13C data to estimate assimilation rates (A), A during the late season was also reduced by 20-30%. If leaf-level A decreased, but BAI increased, we estimated that leaf area on those trees must have increased by fourfold with the highest level of treatment within this stand. This increase in leaf area resulting from fertilization caused a hydraulic imbalance within the trees that lasted as long as nine years after treatment at the highest levels of fertilization.

The insect growth regulator tebufenozide (MIMIC 2LV) was tested to examine its impact on the Douglas-fir tussock moth, Orgyia pseudotsugata (McDunnough) (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae). Laboratory tests gave an estimated concentration of 1.26 ppm of the compound to achieve 50% population mortality (LC50) for second-instar O. pseudotsugata. At the highest concentration tested, tebufenozide resulted in significant larval mortality within 7 d with an estimated time to 50% population mortality (LT50) of 6.3 d. A field comparison oftebufenozide with diflubenzuron (Dimilin 4L) and Bacillus thurengiensis var. kurstaki (Btk, FORAY 48B) was also conducted. There was no significant difference in larval mortality within field plots that were treated with diflubenzuron (42.4%) or Btk (44.8%). Larval mortality in the tebufenozide-treated plots (56.8%) was also similar to the mortality in the diflubenzuron and Btk treatments. All three treatments resulted in more larval mortality than that measured in untreated controlplots (11.2%). Both tebufenozide and diflubenzuron treatments resulted in significantly more mortality (55.0% and 40.0%, respectively) to larvae-fed treated foliage 3 wk after application than was measured for larvae-fed foliage from untreated trees (11.0%). There was no significant difference among the treatments in the percentage of host trees in the overstory that sustained >25% defoliation, and all three treatments resulted in less defoliation than was measured in the control plots. There was no significant difference among the treatments in the percentage of host trees in the understory that sustained >25% defoliation.

Not all disease activity causes an impact. Not all impacts are negative. The aim of this study was to examine a method that could conceptually specify when impacts occur and that could quantify both negative and positive disease impacts. For this study, dwarf mistletoe ( Arceuthobium douglasi) of Douglas fir ( Pseudotsuga menziesii) in southwestern Oregon was used as a case study. The method uses six variables for forest growth, mortality, and stand structure, and six categorical disease severity scores. The impact model displays stands as points in multidimensional scaling space, where relative position is determined by values of the six stand variables. Positions in this two-dimensional space change when stand characteristics change. Differences associated with disease severity could be traced as trajectories, and impact was quantified using the length and direction of these trajectories. This multivariate impact assessment method was contrasted to impact assessments based on single variables. Methods based on multiple variables offer a useful way of characterizing impact on multiple objectives. The model indicates that dwarf mistletoe has positive, negative, and neutral impacts and that these could be illustrated and quantified using this method.