Patient Admission

患者入院
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:心力衰竭(HF)和轻度射血分数降低(HFmrEF)患者中功能性二尖瓣反流(FMR)的流行病学分布及其对预后的影响尚不清楚。我们试图研究HFmrEF患者的FMR预后。
    方法:HF中心注册研究是一项前瞻性的,单身,在深圳大学第二附属医院进行的观察研究,其中纳入了2330例急性HF(AHF)患者,并将890例HFmrEF患者纳入分析。根据FMR的严重程度将患者分为三类:无/轻度,中度,和中度至重度/重度组。随后,对这些组的临床特征进行了比较,以及在1年随访期间评估主要终点(包括全因死亡率和HF再入院率)的发生率.
    结果:一年的随访结果表明,三组的主要复合终点发生率为23.5%,32.9%,和36.5%,分别。三组全因死亡率为9.3%,13.7%,和16.4%。生存分析显示,三组间主要复合终点发生率和全因死亡率差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。多因素Cox回归分析显示,中度FMR和中重度/重度FMR是HFmrEF患者临床预后不良的独立危险因素。风险比和95%置信区间分别为1.382(1.020-1.872,P=0.037)和1.546(1.092-2.190,P=0.014)。
    结论:中度FMR和中度至重度/重度FMR独立预测HFmrEF患者的不良预后。
    BACKGROUND: The epidemiological distribution of functional mitral regurgitation (FMR) in heart failure (HF) and mildly reduced ejection fraction (HFmrEF) patients and its impact on outcomes remains unclear. We attempt to investigate the prognosis of FMR in patients with HFmrEF.
    METHODS: The HF center registry study is a prospective, single, observational study conducted at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, where 2330 patients with acute HF (AHF) were enrolled and 890 HFmrEF patients were included in the analysis. The patients were stratified into three categories based on the severity of FMR: none/mild, moderate, and moderate-to-severe/severe groups. Subsequently, a comparison of the clinical characteristics among these groups was conducted, along with an assessment of the incidence of the primary endpoint (comprising all-cause mortality and readmission for HF) during a one-year follow-up period.
    RESULTS: The one-year follow-up results indicated that the primary composite endpoint occurrence rates in the three groups were 23.5%, 32.9%, and 36.5%, respectively. The all-cause mortality rates in the three groups were 9.3%, 13.7%, and 16.4% respectively. Survival analysis demonstrated a statistically significant difference in the occurrence rates of the primary composite endpoint and all-cause mortality among the three groups (P < 0.05). Multifactor Cox regression revealed that moderate FMR and moderate-to-severe/severe FMR were independent risk factors for adverse clinical prognosis in HFmrEF patients, with hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals of 1.382 (1.020-1.872, P = 0.037) and 1.546 (1.092-2.190, P = 0.014) respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: Moderate FMR and moderate-to-severe/severe FMR independently predict an unfavorable prognosis in patients with HFmrEF.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    考虑到与静脉铁治疗相关的不确定性和潜在的感染风险,卫生保健提供者可能会犹豫使用这种制剂来治疗细菌感染的住院患者,即使有临床指征。这项研究的目的是检查住院并接受细菌感染治疗的患者的静脉铁处方模式,及其相关的临床结果。
    这项回顾性图表评估了2019年在缅因州医学中心同一入院期间同时接受IV蔗糖铁和抗生素的成年患者。收集的数据包括铁研究,开IV铁的做法,和临床结果。使用描述性统计对数据进行汇总。
    共评估了197例患者。抗生素治疗的中位持续时间为5(4-9)天。153例(77.7%)患者的铁和抗生素给药重叠,平均重叠2.7(1-7)天。在44名没有重叠的患者中,20例(46%)在抗生素前接收静脉补铁。超过一半(57%)的感染类型涉及泌尿道和呼吸系统。大约2%的患者抗生素治疗扩大或持续时间延长,7%死亡,16%在出院后30天内再次入院。
    先前评估静脉铁感染风险的研究发表了相互矛盾的结果。这是唯一一项分析接受静脉铁剂和抗生素治疗感染但在住院期间未接受血液透析的患者结局的研究。虽然我们的研究结果支持静脉铁治疗在合并感染和铁缺乏的患者中是安全的,这一发现可能并非适用于所有临床亚组.
    这项研究表明,在我们的设施中,当患者在急性细菌感染的情况下接受静脉铁时,大多数患者没有阴性结局.
    UNASSIGNED: Given the uncertainties related to IV iron therapy and the potential risk of infection, health care providers may hesitate to use this preparation to treat hospitalized patients with bacterial infections, even if clinically indicated. The aim of this study was to examine patterns of prescribing IV iron in patients who were hospitalized and treated for a bacterial infection, and their associated clinical outcomes.
    UNASSIGNED: This retrospective chart review evaluated adult patients who received both IV iron sucrose and antibiotics during the same admission at Maine Medical Center in 2019. Data collected included iron studies, practices for prescribing IV iron, and clinical outcomes. Data were summarized using descriptive statistics.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 197 patients were evaluated. The median duration of antibiotic therapy was 5(4-9) days. Iron and antibiotic administration overlapped in 153(77.7%) patients, with a mean overlap of 2.7(1-7) days. In the 44 patients without overlap, 20(46%) received IV iron before antibiotics. More than half (57%) of infection types involved urinary tract and respiratory systems. Approximately 2% of patients had antibiotic therapy broadened or duration extended, 7% died, and 16% were readmitted within 30 days of discharge.
    UNASSIGNED: Prior studies evaluating the risk of infection with IV iron published conflicting results. This is the only study that analyzed outcomes in patients receiving IV iron and antibiotics for infection but not undergoing hemodialysis during a hospital admission. Although our findings support that IV iron treatment is safe among patients with concomitant infection and iron deficiency, this finding may not be the case for all clinical subgroups.
    UNASSIGNED: This study showed that when patients were administered IV iron in the setting of acute bacterial infection in our facility, most patients did not have negative outcomes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:急诊科(ED)的过度拥挤是一个全球性问题。早期和准确地识别患者的性格可能会限制在ED上花费的时间,从而提高所提供护理的吞吐量和质量。这项研究旨在比较医疗保健提供者和院前改良预警评分(MEWS)在预测住院需求方面的准确性。
    方法:前瞻性,观察,我们进行了多中心研究,包括由救护车带到ED的成年患者.涉及紧急医疗服务(EMS)人员,要求ED护士和医生使用结构化问卷来预测入院的需求。主要终点是医疗服务提供者和院前MEWS预测患者入院需求的准确性之间的比较。
    结果:共纳入798例患者,其中393例(49.2%)入院。预测住院的敏感性从80.0到91.9%不等。与EMS和ED护士相比,医生预测住院的准确性明显更高(p<0.001)。特异性范围为56.4至67.0%。所有医疗保健提供者在预测住院方面均优于MEWS≥3分(敏感性为80.0-91.9%对44.0%;所有p<0.001)。特别是对病房入院的预测比MEWS更准确(特异性94.7-95.9%对60.6%,所有p<0.001)。
    结论:医疗保健提供者可以准确预测住院需求,并且所有提供者的表现都优于MEWS得分。
    BACKGROUND: Overcrowding in the emergency department (ED) is a global problem. Early and accurate recognition of a patient\'s disposition could limit time spend at the ED and thus improve throughput and quality of care provided. This study aims to compare the accuracy among healthcare providers and the prehospital Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) in predicting the requirement for hospital admission.
    METHODS: A prospective, observational, multi-centre study was performed including adult patients brought to the ED by ambulance. Involved Emergency Medical Service (EMS) personnel, ED nurses and physicians were asked to predict the need for hospital admission using a structured questionnaire. Primary endpoint was the comparison between the accuracy of healthcare providers and prehospital MEWS in predicting patients\' need for hospital admission.
    RESULTS: In total 798 patients were included of whom 393 (49.2%) were admitted to the hospital. Sensitivity of predicting hospital admission varied from 80.0 to 91.9%, with physicians predicting hospital admission significantly more accurately than EMS and ED nurses (p < 0.001). Specificity ranged from 56.4 to 67.0%. All healthcare providers outperformed MEWS ≥ 3 score on predicting hospital admission (sensitivity 80.0-91.9% versus 44.0%; all p < 0.001). Predictions for ward admissions specifically were significantly more accurate than MEWS (specificity 94.7-95.9% versus 60.6%, all p < 0.001).
    CONCLUSIONS: Healthcare providers can accurately predict the need for hospital admission, and all providers outperformed the MEWS score.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:COVID-19沉淀遏制政策的出现(例如,封锁,学校关闭,等。).这些政策扰乱了医疗保健,可能侵蚀可持续发展目标的收益,包括新生儿死亡率。我们的分析旨在评估COVID-19遏制政策对肯尼亚67个新生儿病房新生儿入院率和死亡率的间接影响,马拉维,尼日利亚,和坦桑尼亚在2019年1月至2021年12月之间。
    方法:牛津严格度指数用于量化肯尼亚一段时间内的COVID-19政策严格度,马拉维,尼日利亚,坦桑尼亚。在2020年3月至4月期间,这四个国家的严格程度显着增加(尽管坦桑尼亚的情况较少),因此定义了中断点。我们使用三月作为主要中断月份,与四月进行敏感性分析。额外的敏感性分析不包括2020年3月和4月的数据,将该指数建模为连续暴露,并检查了每个国家的模型。根据此中断期评估新生儿入院率和死亡率的变化,采用混合效应分段回归。分析单位是新生儿单元(n=67),共有266,741例新生儿入院(2019年1月至2021年12月)。
    结果:从2020年2月到3月,新生儿病房的入院率总体下降了15%,67个新生儿病房中有一半显示入院率下降。在接诊人数下降的34个新生儿病房中,19(28%)有显著下降≥20%。从2020年3月到2021年12月,招生人数平均逐月下降约2%。尽管录取率有所下降,我们发现住院新生儿总死亡率无显著变化.三个敏感性分析提供了一致的结果。
    结论:COVID-19控制措施对新生儿入院有影响,但未发现住院新生儿总死亡率有显著变化.这些设施的其他定性研究探索了可能的原因。加强医疗系统以应对突发事件,如流行病,对于实现可持续发展目标至关重要,包括到2030年将新生儿死亡人数减少到每1000活产婴儿中不到12人。
    BACKGROUND: The emergence of COVID-19 precipitated containment policies (e.g., lockdowns, school closures, etc.). These policies disrupted healthcare, potentially eroding gains for Sustainable Development Goals including for neonatal mortality. Our analysis aimed to evaluate indirect effects of COVID-19 containment policies on neonatal admissions and mortality in 67 neonatal units across Kenya, Malawi, Nigeria, and Tanzania between January 2019 and December 2021.
    METHODS: The Oxford Stringency Index was applied to quantify COVID-19 policy stringency over time for Kenya, Malawi, Nigeria, and Tanzania. Stringency increased markedly between March and April 2020 for these four countries (although less so in Tanzania), therefore defining the point of interruption. We used March as the primary interruption month, with April for sensitivity analysis. Additional sensitivity analysis excluded data for March and April 2020, modelled the index as a continuous exposure, and examined models for each country. To evaluate changes in neonatal admissions and mortality based on this interruption period, a mixed effects segmented regression was applied. The unit of analysis was the neonatal unit (n = 67), with a total of 266,741 neonatal admissions (January 2019 to December 2021).
    RESULTS: Admission to neonatal units decreased by 15% overall from February to March 2020, with half of the 67 neonatal units showing a decline in admissions. Of the 34 neonatal units with a decline in admissions, 19 (28%) had a significant decrease of ≥ 20%. The month-to-month decrease in admissions was approximately 2% on average from March 2020 to December 2021. Despite the decline in admissions, we found no significant changes in overall inpatient neonatal mortality. The three sensitivity analyses provided consistent findings.
    CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 containment measures had an impact on neonatal admissions, but no significant change in overall inpatient neonatal mortality was detected. Additional qualitative research in these facilities has explored possible reasons. Strengthening healthcare systems to endure unexpected events, such as pandemics, is critical in continuing progress towards achieving Sustainable Development Goals, including reducing neonatal deaths to less than 12 per 1000 live births by 2030.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:作为瑞士Covid-19限制的一部分,联邦禁止非紧急检查和治疗在2020年春季的六周内适用于所有医院(“春季封锁”)。这项研究的目的是根据所有医院的数据,全面调查新冠肺炎大流行对瑞士住院的影响,专注于不同医疗紧迫性的选定程序。
    方法:该研究包括所有急性护理住院病例(包括Covid-19病例,根据瑞士医院医疗统计,不包括精神病学和康复病例)。除了总录取人数,按地区细分,医院类型和年龄组,我们专注于代表不同医疗紧迫性的选定程序:选择性手术,癌症手术,和紧急情况。程序是根据专家访谈选择的。我们比较了春季禁闭期间以及2020年和2021年全年的入学人数,其绝对数量和百分比变化与2019年相应时期(基准年)的变化。
    结果:在弹簧锁定期间,到2020年底,入院人数减少47,156人(32.2%),没有追赶效应(-72,817人/-5.8%)。特定程序的减少高达86%,选择性手术的住院率下降幅度最大,只有在少数程序的情况下才能完全逆转的下降,如关节成形术。引人注目的是,在春季封锁期间,由于紧急情况而导致的入院人数也大大减少(中风-14%;急性心肌梗死STEMI:-9%,NSTEMI:-26%)。癌症手术中选定程序的结果未显示出一致的模式。2021年,大多数手术的录取人数达到甚至超过2019年。
    结论:入学人数大幅减少,特别是在选修程序中,可能反映了分诊对春季封锁期间预期的新冠肺炎病例的影响。到2020年底,相对于以前,入学人数仍处于较低水平,大流行前的一年。2021年的数字达到了2019年的水平,这表明新冠肺炎疫情只是暂时影响了瑞士的住院医疗保健。观察到的紧急情况和癌症手术入院人数减少的长期后果需要在个人层面进行调查。
    BACKGROUND: As part of the Covid-19-restrictions in Switzerland, a federal ban on non-urgent examinations and treatments was applied to all hospitals during six weeks in spring 2020 (\"spring lockdown\"). The aim of this study was to comprehensively investigate the consequences of the Covid-19 pandemic on Swiss inpatient admissions based on data of all hospitals, focusing on selected procedures of different medical urgency.
    METHODS: The study includes all acute care inpatient cases (including Covid-19 cases, excluding cases in psychiatry and rehabilitation) according to the Swiss Medical Statistics of Hospitals. Besides the total number of admissions, subdivided by regions, hospital types and age groups, we focused on selected procedures representing different medical urgency: elective surgeries, cancer surgeries, and emergencies. Procedures were selected based on expert interviews. We compared the number of admissions during spring lockdown and for the whole years 2020 and 2021 in absolute numbers and in percentage changes to the corresponding periods in 2019 (baseline year).
    RESULTS: During spring lockdown, the number of admissions decreased by 47,156 (32.2%) without catch-up effect by the end of 2020 (-72,817 admissions/-5.8%). With procedure-specific decreases of up to 86%, the decline in admissions was largest for elective surgery, a decline that was only fully reversed in the case of a few procedures, such as joint arthroplasty. Strikingly, admissions due to emergencies also substantially decreased during spring lockdown (stroke -14%; acute myocardial infarction STEMI: -9%, NSTEMI: -26%). Results for the selected procedures in cancer surgery showed no consistent pattern. In 2021, admission numbers for most procedures reached or even exceeded those in 2019.
    CONCLUSIONS: The substantial reduction in admissions, particularly in elective procedures, may reflect the impact of the triage in favor of anticipated Covid-19-cases during spring lockdown. By the end of 2020, admissions were still at lower levels relative to the previous, pre-pandemic year. The numbers in 2021 reached the same levels as those in 2019, which suggests that the Covid-19 pandemic only temporarily impacted inpatient health care in Switzerland. Long-term consequences of the observed reduction in admissions for emergencies and cancer surgery need to be investigated at the individual level.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:当老年痴呆症患者入院时,他们经常感到迷失方向和困惑,他们的认知障碍可能会恶化,纯粹是由于环境的突然变化。因此,医院设计被认为是痴呆症老年人护理和福祉的重要方面。随着痴呆症患者数量的增加,入院的经验,例如,单人间比以往任何时候都更重要。
    目的:本范围审查旨在确定,探索并从概念上绘制文献,报道老年痴呆症患者及其家人在入住单间住宿医院期间的经历。我们遵循JoannaBriggs研究所的建议进行范围审查。此外,我们使用系统评价的首选报告项目(PRISMA-ScR)清单,这有助于制定和报告这一范围审查。
    结果:我们在23年(1998-2021年)的时间框架内包括了10个来源。来源来自欧洲,澳大利亚和加拿大。我们确定了三个概念图:安全和安保,隐私和尊严和感官刺激。我们的审查表明,这三个概念图的主题对于患有痴呆症的老年人及其家庭来说是相互依存的。
    结论:我们得出的结论是,不仅单间设计决定了老年痴呆症患者及其家人的经历是重要的;暴露于感官刺激和训练有素的工作人员的存在,采取有尊严的以患者为中心的方法,对于他们的优质护理体验也至关重要。
    BACKGROUND: When older persons with dementia are admitted to hospital, they often feel disoriented and confused and their cognitive impairment may worsen, purely due to the sudden change in their environment. As such hospital design is recognised as an important aspect in the care and well-being of older persons with dementia. As the number of persons with dementia is increasing, the experience of admission to a hospital with, for example, single rooms is more relevant than ever.
    OBJECTIVE: This scoping review aimed to identify, explore and conceptually map the literature reporting on what older people with dementia and their families experienced during admission to a hospital with single room accommodation. We followed the Joanna Briggs Institute recommendations for undertaking a scoping review. In addition, we used the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews (PRISMA-ScR) Checklist, which assisted the development and reporting of this scoping review.
    RESULTS: We included 10 sources within a time frame of 23 years (1998-2021). The sources originate from Europe, Australia and Canada. We identified three conceptual maps: Safety and security, Privacy and dignity and Sensorial stimulation. Our review demonstrates that the themes of the three conceptual maps are experienced as mutually interdependent for the older persons with dementia and their families.
    CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that it is not merely the single room design that determines what the older persons with dementia and their families experience as important; the exposure to sensorial stimulation and the presence of well-trained staff taking a dignified patient-centred approach are also crucial for their experience of high-quality nursing care.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:非心脏手术后转移到ICU很常见,包括根治性结直肠癌(CRC)切除术。了解合理利用昂贵的ICU医疗资源和术后支持性护理至关重要。这项研究旨在构建和验证列线图,以预测根治性CRC切除术后立即强制ICU入院的需求。
    方法:回顾性分析宁夏医科大学总医院2020年8月至2022年4月因CRC行根治性或姑息性手术的1003例患者资料。患者以7:3的比例随机分配到训练和验证队列。在训练队列中使用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)和多变量逻辑回归确定独立预测因子,以构建列线图。开发了一种在线预测工具供临床使用。在两个队列中评估了列线图的校准和判别性能,并通过决策曲线分析(DCA)评价其临床效用。
    结果:最终的预测模型包括年龄(P=0.003,比值比[OR]3.623,95%置信区间[CI]1.535-8.551);2002年营养风险筛查(NRS2002)(P=0.000,OR6.129,95%CI2.920-12.863);血清白蛋白(ALB),OR0.0.0.995%CI=0.1.6P曲线下面积为0.865,一致性指数为0.367。Hosmer-Lemeshow测试表明模型拟合良好(P=0.367)。校准曲线非常接近理想对角线。DCA显示了预测模型对术后ICU入院的显着净益处。
    结论:CRC根治性切除术后ICU入院的预测因素包括年龄,术前血清白蛋白水平,营养风险筛查,心房颤动,COPD,FEV1/FVC,和手术路线。预测列线图和在线工具支持接受根治性CRC手术的患者术后ICU入院的临床决策。
    背景:尽管这项研究具有回顾性性质,我们已经在中国临床试验注册中心进行了主动注册.注册号为ChiCTR2200062210,注册日期为29/07/2022。
    BACKGROUND: Transfer to the ICU is common following non-cardiac surgeries, including radical colorectal cancer (CRC) resection. Understanding the judicious utilization of costly ICU medical resources and supportive postoperative care is crucial. This study aimed to construct and validate a nomogram for predicting the need for mandatory ICU admission immediately following radical CRC resection.
    METHODS: Retrospective analysis was conducted on data from 1003 patients who underwent radical or palliative surgery for CRC at Ningxia Medical University General Hospital from August 2020 to April 2022. Patients were randomly assigned to training and validation cohorts in a 7:3 ratio. Independent predictors were identified using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariate logistic regression in the training cohort to construct the nomogram. An online prediction tool was developed for clinical use. The nomogram\'s calibration and discriminative performance were assessed in both cohorts, and its clinical utility was evaluated through decision curve analysis (DCA).
    RESULTS: The final predictive model comprised age (P = 0.003, odds ratio [OR] 3.623, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.535-8.551); nutritional risk screening 2002 (NRS2002) (P = 0.000, OR 6.129, 95% CI 2.920-12.863); serum albumin (ALB) (P = 0.013, OR 0.921, 95% CI 0.863-0.982); atrial fibrillation (P = 0.000, OR 20.017, 95% CI 4.191-95.609); chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (P = 0.009, OR 8.151, 95% CI 1.674-39.676); forced expiratory volume in 1 s / Forced vital capacity (FEV1/FVC) (P = 0.040, OR 0.966, 95% CI 0.935-0.998); and surgical method (P = 0.024, OR 0.425, 95% CI 0.202-0.891). The area under the curve was 0.865, and the consistency index was 0.367. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test indicated excellent model fit (P = 0.367). The calibration curve closely approximated the ideal diagonal line. DCA showed a significant net benefit of the predictive model for postoperative ICU admission.
    CONCLUSIONS: Predictors of ICU admission following radical CRC resection include age, preoperative serum albumin level, nutritional risk screening, atrial fibrillation, COPD, FEV1/FVC, and surgical route. The predictive nomogram and online tool support clinical decision-making for postoperative ICU admission in patients undergoing radical CRC surgery.
    BACKGROUND: Despite the retrospective nature of this study, we have proactively registered it with the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry. The registration number is ChiCTR2200062210, and the date of registration is 29/07/2022.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    维生素D缺乏症(VDD,据报道,25-羟基维生素D<20ng/mL)与慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)的恶化有关,但有时存在争议。研究严重的维生素D缺乏(SVDD,25-羟基维生素D<10ng/mL)在COPD恶化中是有限的。
    我们在134例COPD加重住院患者中进行了一项回顾性观察研究。将25-羟基维生素D建模为连续或二分(截止值:10或20ng/mL)变量,以评估前一年SVDD与住院的关联。进行受试者工作特征(ROC)分析以找到25-羟基维生素D的最佳临界值。
    总共有23%的患者患有SVDD。SVDD在女性中更为普遍,和SVDD组倾向于有较低的血液嗜酸性粒细胞计数。前一年住院患者的25-羟基维生素D水平明显较低(13.6比16.7ng/mL,P=0.044),SVDD的患病率更高(38.0%vs14.3%,P=0.002)。在住院加重的COPD患者中,SVDD与前一年的住院独立相关[比值比(OR)4.34,95%CI1.61-11.72,P=0.004],而连续25-羟基维生素D和VDD则没有(P=0.1,P=0.9,分别)。ROC曲线的曲线下面积为0.60(95%CI0.50-0.71),最佳的25-羟基维生素D截止值为10.4ng/mL。
    在住院加重的COPD患者中,SVDD可能显示出与前一年住院更稳定的相关性。SVDD组嗜酸性粒细胞计数较低的原因需要进一步探索。
    UNASSIGNED: Vitamin D deficiency (VDD, 25-hydroxyvitamin D < 20 ng/mL) has been reported associated with exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) but sometimes controversial. Research on severe vitamin D deficiency (SVDD, 25-hydroxyvitamin D < 10 ng/mL) in exacerbation of COPD is limited.
    UNASSIGNED: We performed a retrospective observational study in 134 hospitalized exacerbated COPD patients. 25-hydroxyvitamin D was modeled as a continuous or dichotomized (cutoff value: 10 or 20 ng/mL) variable to evaluate the association of SVDD with hospitalization in the previous year. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to find the optimal cut-off value of 25-hydroxyvitamin D.
    UNASSIGNED: In total 23% of the patients had SVDD. SVDD was more prevalent in women, and SVDD group tended to have lower blood eosinophils counts. 25-hydroxyvitamin D level was significantly lower in patients who were hospitalized in the previous year (13.6 vs 16.7 ng/mL, P = 0.044), and the prevalence of SVDD was higher (38.0% vs 14.3%, P = 0.002). SVDD was independently associated with hospitalization in the previous year [odds ratio (OR) 4.34, 95% CI 1.61-11.72, P = 0.004] in hospitalized exacerbated COPD patients, whereas continuous 25-hydroxyvitamin D and VDD were not (P = 0.1, P = 0.9, separately). The ROC curve yielded an area under the curve of 0.60 (95% CI 0.50-0.71) with an optimal 25-hydroxyvitamin D cutoff of 10.4 ng/mL.
    UNASSIGNED: SVDD probably showed a more stable association with hospitalization in the previous year in hospitalized exacerbated COPD patients. Reasons for lower eosinophil counts in SVDD group needed further exploration.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    巴西亚马逊,一个重要的热带地区,面对人类活动不断升级的威胁,农业,和气候变化。本研究旨在评估森林火灾发生之间的关系,气象因素,2009年至2019年,亚马逊法律地区因呼吸系统疾病而住院。使用带有官方数据的联立方程模型,我们研究了森林砍伐引起的火灾与呼吸健康问题之间的关联。在研究期间,合法亚马逊地区记录了惊人的1,438,322场野火,1,218,606(85%)发生在8月至12月,被称为森林火灾季节。在森林火灾季节,在1,532,228例呼吸系统疾病住院人数中,有很大一部分(566,707)是0-14岁和60岁及以上的个人。构造了由两组联立方程组组成的模型。该模型说明了气象条件的季节性波动,驱动与森林火灾增加相关的人类活动。它还代表了空气质量变化如何影响森林火灾期间呼吸道疾病的发生。这种建模方法揭示了更干燥的条件,升高的温度,降水减少加剧了火灾事故,在合法亚马逊地区的森林火灾季节,每1000次森林火灾事件中,呼吸道疾病的住院率高达22次。2009-2019年。这项研究强调了迫切需要环境和健康政策来减轻亚马逊雨林野火的影响。强调森林砍伐的相互作用,气候变化,以及人为火灾对呼吸道健康的影响。
    The Brazilian Amazon, a vital tropical region, faces escalating threats from human activities, agriculture, and climate change. This study aims to assess the relationship between forest fire occurrences, meteorological factors, and hospitalizations due to respiratory diseases in the Legal Amazon region from 2009 to 2019. Employing simultaneous equation models with official data, we examined the association between deforestation-induced fires and respiratory health issues. Over the studied period, the Legal Amazon region recorded a staggering 1,438,322 wildfires, with 1,218,606 (85%) occurring during August-December, known as the forest fire season. During the forest fire season, a substantial portion (566,707) of the total 1,532,228 hospital admissions for respiratory diseases were recorded in individuals aged 0-14 years and 60 years and above. A model consisting of two sets of simultaneous equations was constructed. This model illustrates the seasonal fluctuations in meteorological conditions driving human activities associated with increased forest fires. It also represents how air quality variations impact the occurrence of respiratory diseases during forest fires. This modeling approach unveiled that drier conditions, elevated temperatures, and reduced precipitation exacerbate fire incidents, impacting hospital admissions for respiratory diseases at a rate as high as 22 hospital admissions per 1000 forest fire events during the forest fire season in the Legal Amazon, 2009-2019. This research highlights the urgent need for environmental and health policies to mitigate the effects of Amazon rainforest wildfires, stressing the interplay of deforestation, climate change, and human-induced fires on respiratory health.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:虽然临床实践指南建议肿瘤学家讨论晚期癌症患者的治疗目标,据估计,住院的高危癌症患者中,只有不到20%的人与医疗服务提供者进行了临终讨论。虽然人们一直有兴趣开发死亡率预测模型来引发这样的讨论,很少有研究将这些模型与临床判断进行比较,以确定患者的死亡风险。
    方法:本研究是对2022年2月7日至6月7日在纪念斯隆·凯特琳癌症中心的1,069例实体瘤内科肿瘤科住院患者(n=911例患者)的前瞻性分析。电子调查被送到医院,高级实践提供商,和医学肿瘤学家入院后的第一个下午,他们被要求估计患者在45天内死亡的可能性。将提供者对死亡率的估计与使用监督机器学习方法开发的预测模型进行了比较,并合并了常规实验室,人口统计学,生物识别,和录取数据。接收器工作特性曲线下面积(AUC),在临床医生估计值和模型预测值之间比较校准曲线和决策曲线.
    结果:入院后45天内,911例患者中有229例(25%)死亡。该模型的性能优于临床医生的估计(AUC0.834vs.0.753,p<0.0001)。将临床医生的预测与模型的估计值相结合,进一步将AUC增加到0.853(p<0.0001)。临床医生高估了风险,而模型却经过了很好的校准。该模型证明了在广泛的阈值概率上的净收益。
    结论:入院时的住院患者预后模型是协助临床提供者评估死亡风险的有力工具,最近已在我们机构的电子病历中实施,以改善住院癌症患者的临终护理计划。
    OBJECTIVE:  While clinical practice guidelines recommend that oncologists discuss goals of care with patients who have advanced cancer, it is estimated that less than 20% of individuals admitted to the hospital with high-risk cancers have end-of-life discussions with their providers. While there has been interest in developing models for mortality prediction to trigger such discussions, few studies have compared how such models compare with clinical judgment to determine a patient\'s mortality risk.
    METHODS:  This study is a prospective analysis of 1,069 solid tumor medical oncology hospital admissions (n = 911 unique patients) from February 7 to June 7, 2022, at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center. Electronic surveys were sent to hospitalists, advanced practice providers, and medical oncologists the first afternoon following a hospital admission and they were asked to estimate the probability that the patient would die within 45 days. Provider estimates of mortality were compared with those from a predictive model developed using a supervised machine learning methodology, and incorporated routine laboratory, demographic, biometric, and admission data. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration and decision curves were compared between clinician estimates and the model predictions.
    RESULTS:  Within 45 days following hospital admission, 229 (25%) of 911 patients died. The model performed better than the clinician estimates (AUC 0.834 vs. 0.753, p < 0.0001). Integrating clinician predictions with the model\'s estimates further increased the AUC to 0.853 (p < 0.0001). Clinicians overestimated risk whereas the model was extremely well-calibrated. The model demonstrated net benefit over a wide range of threshold probabilities.
    CONCLUSIONS:  The inpatient prognosis at admission model is a robust tool to assist clinical providers in evaluating mortality risk, and it has recently been implemented in the electronic medical record at our institution to improve end-of-life care planning for hospitalized cancer patients.
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