Evidence synthesis

证据综合
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景使用戒烟干预措施的随机试验报告作为测试案例,这项研究旨在开发和评估机器学习(ML)算法,用于从研究报告中提取信息并预测结果,作为人类行为改变项目的一部分。这是两篇相关论文中的第一篇,第二篇论文报告了预测系统的进一步发展。方法研究人员在512份戒烟干预措施的随机试验报告中手动注释70项信息(“实体”),涵盖干预内容和交付。人口,设置,使用行为改变干预本体论的结果和研究方法。这些实体用于训练ML算法以自动提取信息。信息提取ML算法涉及使用\'FLAIR\'框架的命名实体识别系统。手动注释的干预,人口,设定和研究实体被用于开发一种深度学习算法,该算法使用多层长短期记忆(LSTM)组件来预测戒烟结果.结果F1评价得分,来自假阳性和假阴性率(范围0-1),对于信息提取算法,不同类型实体的平均分数为0.42(SD=0.22,范围0.05-0.88),而人类注释者的平均分数为0.75(SD=0.15,范围0.38-1.00)。分配实体以研究手臂的算法(例如,干预或控制)不成功。这种初始ML结果预测算法并没有超过仅基于平均结果值或线性回归模型的预测。结论虽然使用ML从戒烟干预的随机试验报告中提取信息取得了一些成功,我们确定了主要的挑战,这些挑战可以通过报告研究的方式实现更高的标准化来解决.戒烟研究的结果预测可能受益于新算法的开发,例如,使用本体论信息通知ML(如链接论文3中报道的)。
    Background  Using reports of randomised trials of smoking cessation interventions as a test case, this study aimed to develop and evaluate machine learning (ML) algorithms for extracting information from study reports and predicting outcomes as part of the Human Behaviour-Change Project. It is the first of two linked papers, with the second paper reporting on further development of a prediction system. Methods  Researchers manually annotated 70 items of information (\'entities\') in 512 reports of randomised trials of smoking cessation interventions covering intervention content and delivery, population, setting, outcome and study methodology using the Behaviour Change Intervention Ontology. These entities were used to train ML algorithms to extract the information automatically. The information extraction ML algorithm involved a named-entity recognition system using the \'FLAIR\' framework. The manually annotated intervention, population, setting and study entities were used to develop a deep-learning algorithm using multiple layers of long-short-term-memory (LSTM) components to predict smoking cessation outcomes. Results  The F1 evaluation score, derived from the false positive and false negative rates (range 0-1), for the information extraction algorithm averaged 0.42 across different types of entity (SD=0.22, range 0.05-0.88) compared with an average human annotator\'s score of 0.75 (SD=0.15, range 0.38-1.00). The algorithm for assigning entities to study arms ( e.g., intervention or control) was not successful. This initial ML outcome prediction algorithm did not outperform prediction based just on the mean outcome value or a linear regression model. Conclusions  While some success was achieved in using ML to extract information from reports of randomised trials of smoking cessation interventions, we identified major challenges that could be addressed by greater standardisation in the way that studies are reported. Outcome prediction from smoking cessation studies may benefit from development of novel algorithms, e.g., using ontological information to inform ML (as reported in the linked paper 3).
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:本研究的目的是分析纳入图书馆员和信息专家作为方法同行评审员的影响。我们试图确定图书馆员的评论是否以及如何与主题同行评审者不同;他们的建议的实施是否存在差异;这如何影响编辑决策;以及图书馆员和作者对图书馆员同行评审的感知效用。
    方法:我们使用了混合方法方法,对审稿人的报告进行定性分析,作者回复和编辑对“国际卫生治理杂志”投稿的决定。我们的内容分析对16个主题领域进行了分类,所以方法论和主题同行评议者的评论,可以比较决策和拒绝率。类别基于同行评审涵盖的标准领域(例如,title,独创性,等。)以及与方法相关的其他深入类别(例如,搜索策略,报告准则,等。).我们开发并使用标准来判断审稿人的观点并对他们的评论进行编码。我们进行了两项在线多项选择调查,并进行了定性分析:一项是方法学同行评审者对同行评审的看法,其他已发表的作者对建议的修订的看法。
    结果:方法同行评审员评估了2020年9月至2023年3月之间提交的13篇文献综述。收集了55份审稿人报告:25份来自方法学同行审稿人,30位来自主题同行评审员(平均:每篇手稿4.2条评论)。方法学同行评审员对方法学发表了更多评论,作者更有可能实施他们的更改(65个更改中的52个,vs.受试者同行评审者中的51人);他们也更有可能拒绝提交(7与四次,分别)。如果对编辑的建议存在差异,期刊编辑更有可能遵循方法论的同行评审(9与三次,分别)。对已发表的作者的调查(回应率为87.5%)显示,对方法有帮助的七个评论中有四个。图书馆员的调查回应(66.5%的回应率)显示,进行同行评审的人认为他们提高了出版物的质量。
    结论:图书馆员可以通过确保方法得到适当的实施和报告来加强证据综合出版物。他们的建议帮助作者修改提交的作品并促进编辑决策。进一步的研究可以确定与主题同行评审和期刊编辑共享评论是否可以使他们更好地理解证据综合方法。
    BACKGROUND: Objectives of this study were to analyze the impact of including librarians and information specialist as methodological peer-reviewers. We sought to determine if and how librarians\' comments differed from subject peer-reviewers\'; whether there were differences in the implementation of their recommendations; how this impacted editorial decision-making; and the perceived utility of librarian peer-review by librarians and authors.
    METHODS: We used a mixed method approach, conducting a qualitative analysis of reviewer reports, author replies and editors\' decisions of submissions to the International Journal of Health Governance. Our content analysis categorized 16 thematic areas, so that methodological and subject peer-reviewers\' comments, decisions and rejection rates could be compared. Categories were based on the standard areas covered in peer-review (e.g., title, originality, etc.) as well as additional in-depth categories relating to the methodology (e.g., search strategy, reporting guidelines, etc.). We developed and used criteria to judge reviewers\' perspectives and code their comments. We conducted two online multiple-choice surveys which were qualitatively analyzed: one of methodological peer-reviewers\' perceptions of peer-reviewing, the other of published authors\' views on the suggested revisions.
    RESULTS: Methodological peer-reviewers assessed 13 literature reviews submitted between September 2020 and March 2023. 55 reviewer reports were collected: 25 from methodological peer-reviewers, 30 from subject peer-reviewers (mean: 4.2 reviews per manuscript). Methodological peer-reviewers made more comments on methodologies, with authors more likely to implement their changes (52 of 65 changes, vs. 51 of 82 by subject peer-reviewers); they were also more likely to reject submissions (seven vs. four times, respectively). Where there were differences in recommendations to editors, journal editors were more likely to follow methodological peer-reviewers (nine vs. three times, respectively). The survey of published authors (87.5% response rate) revealed four of seven found comments on methodologies helpful. Librarians\' survey responses (66.5% response rate) revealed those who conducted peer-reviews felt they improved quality of publications.
    CONCLUSIONS: Librarians can enhance evidence synthesis publications by ensuring methodologies have been conducted and reported appropriately. Their recommendations helped authors revise submissions and facilitated editorial decision-making. Further research could determine if sharing reviews with subject peer-reviewers and journal editors could benefit them in better understanding of evidence synthesis methodologies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:在2019年,我们发明了为期两周的系统评价(2weekSR)方法,完整完成,大约2周内符合PRISMA的系统评价。从那以后,我们继续开发和调整2weekSR方法,以完成更大的,和更复杂的系统审查,包括经验较少或经验不足的团队成员。
    方法:对于十个2周的SR,我们收集了以下方面的数据:1)系统综述特征;2)系统综述团队;3)完成和发表时间.我们还继续开发新工具,并将其集成到2weekSR流程中。
    结果:10个2周的SRs解决了干预问题,患病率和利用率问题,包括随机和观察性研究。审查涉及从458到5,471个参考文献的筛选,包括5至81项研究。团队规模的中位数为6。大多数审查(7/10)包括系统审查经验有限的团队成员;三个包括没有经验的团队成员。审查需要11个工作日(范围:5-20)和17个日历天(范围:5-84)的中位数才能完成;从期刊提交到发表的时间为99-260天。
    结论:2周SR方法学随审查规模和复杂性而变化,比传统上进行的系统审查节省了相当多的时间,而不依赖与快速审查相关的方法快捷方式。\'
    In 2019 we invented the 2-week systematic review (2weekSR) methodology, to complete full, Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses-compliant systematic reviews in approximately 2 weeks. Since then we have continued to develop and adapt the 2weekSR methodology for completing larger and more complex systematic reviews, including less experienced or inexperienced team members.
    For ten 2weekSRs, we collected data on (1) systematic review characteristics; (2) systematic review teams; and (3) time to completion and publication. We have also continued to develop new tools and integrate them into the 2weekSR processes.
    The 10 2weekSRs addressed intervention, prevalence, and utilization questions, and included a mix of randomized and observational studies. Reviews involved screening from 458 to 5,471 references, and included between 5 and 81 studies. The median team size was 6. Most reviews (7/10) included team members with limited systematic review experience; three included team members with no prior experience. Reviews required a median of 11 workdays (range: 5-20) and 17 calendar days (range: 5-84) to complete; time from journal submission to publication ranged from 99 to 260 days.
    The 2weekSR methodology scales with review size and complexity, offering a considerable time-saving over traditionally conducted systematic reviews without relying on methodological shortcuts associated with \"rapid reviews.\"
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    已使用各种病例描述和评分系统来定义新生儿小牛腹泻(NCD),并报告了各种腹泻相关结局。这限制了研究之间的直接比较。因此,本范围综述的目的是描述用于NCD的病例定义,并描述与腹泻相关的结局,为今后的标准化工作提供信息.文献检索使用3个数据库(Medline,CABDirect,Agricola),以及谷歌和谷歌学者。这返回了16854篇独特的文章,然后由两名独立审查员筛选合格,结果选择555进行数据提取。在文章中,研究人群主要包括乳制品品种的小牛(88%;n=486),而其余的评估牛肉,杂交,或两用牛肉/奶牛(10%;n=53),或未报告品种(3%;n=16)。使用1到8个指标来定义NCD的研究,总共提取了933个独特的指标。最常见的指标是单独的粪便稠度(30%;n=281),或至少有1个其他指标(26%;n=241)。定义腹泻,粪便稠度要么被定性地描述(例如,“大量液体粪便”),或者半定量的,例如,使用经常包含4个级别(n=208)的评分系统。一些非传染性疾病病例定义包括粪便颜色,volume,或气味(10%;n=98),体检参数(8%;n=79),粪便异常的持续时间(7%;n=67),异常内容的存在(例如,血,7%;n=61),农场处理记录(6%;n=54),粪便干物质(1%;n=12),或其他指标(4%;n=41)。49%的研究(n=273/555)引用了NCD病例定义的一个或多个参考文献,最常见的参考文献是Larson等人。(1977)(n=85),和McGuirk(2008)(n=59)。在555篇文章中,发现979个独特的腹泻相关结果,最常见的是对有或没有腹泻的小牛进行二元分类(49%;n=483)。其他文章报道了根据粪便评分计算的统计结果(16%;n=159),多发性腹泻严重程度(10%;n=95),或年龄小牛首先发展为NCD(8%;n=76)。这篇综述描述了非传染性疾病病例定义和腹泻相关结局之间的实质性异质性。这限制了研究的解释和比较。需要未来的工作来制定和验证NCD的报告标准,以优化知识综合并支持严格和道德的小牛健康研究。
    Various case descriptions and scoring systems have been used to define neonatal calf diarrhea (NCD) and diverse diarrhea-related outcomes are reported, which limits direct comparison between studies. Therefore, the objective of this scoping review was to characterize the case definitions used for NCD and describe diarrhea-related outcomes to inform future efforts towards standardization. A literature search identified articles using 3 databases (Medline, CAB Direct, Agricola), along with Google and Google Scholar. This returned 16,854 unique articles, which were then screened for eligibility by two independent reviewers, resulting in 555 being selected for data extraction. Among articles, the study populations included mostly dairy-breed calves (88%; n = 486) while the remainder evaluated beef, crossbred, or dual purpose beef/dairy calves (10%; n = 53), or did not report breed (3%; n = 16). Studies used between 1 and 8 metrics to define NCD, with 933 unique metrics extracted in total. The most common metric was fecal consistency alone (30%; n = 281), or with at least 1 other metric (26%; n = 241). To define diarrhea, fecal consistency was either described qualitatively (e.g., \"profuse liquid feces\"), or semi-quantitatively, for example using a scoring system that frequently included 4 levels (n = 208). Some NCD case definitions included fecal color, volume, or odor (10%; n = 98), physical exam parameters (8%; n = 79), the duration of abnormal feces (7%; n = 67), the presence of abnormal contents (e.g., blood, 7%; n = 61), farm treatment records (6%; n = 54), fecal dry matter (1%; n = 12), or another metric (4%; n = 41). One or more references were cited for the NCD case definition by 49% of studies (n = 273/555), with the most common references being Larson et al. (1977) (n = 85), and McGuirk (2008) (n = 59). In the 555 included articles, 979 unique diarrhea-related outcomes were found, most commonly a binary categorization of calves having or not having diarrhea (49%; n = 483). Other articles reported statistical outcomes calculated from fecal scores (16%; n = 159), multiple diarrhea severities (10%; n = 95), or the age calves first developed NCD (8%; n = 76). This review characterized substantial heterogeneity among NCD case definitions and diarrhea-related outcomes, which limits interpretation and comparison of studies. Future work is required to develop and validate reporting standards for NCD to optimize knowledge synthesis and support rigorous and ethical calf health research.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:随机对照试验(RCT)是知识综合中总结的医疗保健干预措施相对效果的首选证据来源。非随机干预研究(NRSI)可能提供替代,顺序,或RCT的补充证据。建议的分级,评估,开发和评估(GRADE)方法可以为正确使用RCT和NRSI提供不同的选择。在这篇文章中,当作者考虑在使用GRADE的系统评价中使用NRSI和RCT时,我们讨论了对证据确定性的不同含义.虽然这是一篇与GRADE相关的文章,它不是官方的GRADE指南或概念文章。
    方法:我们提供了在GRADE工作组会议期间使用的案例研究,以讨论使用NRSI和RCTs对GRADE领域和证据确定性的影响。通过与GRADE方法专家和Cochrane作者的迭代反馈讨论了几个概念。我们比较了在证据综合中可以满足的可能方案的建议解决方案,以告知决策和未来指导。
    结果:介绍了在证据综合中使用RCT和NRSI的不同方案,重点关注RCT和NRSI之间的不同等级评分如何影响对证据和可能的健康建议的总体评估。
    结论:考虑NRSI和RCT之间基于GRADE方法的差异和相似性可能有助于相互补充,并最大限度地提高知识综合和健康建议的价值。
    OBJECTIVE: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the preferred source of evidence for the relative effect of healthcare interventions summarized in knowledge syntheses. Nonrandomized studies of interventions (NRSI) may provide replacement, sequential, or complementary evidence to RCTs. The Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) approach can provide different options for properly using RCTs and NRSI integrated in health syntheses. In this article, we discuss different implications on the certainty of evidence when authors consider the use of NRSI and RCTs in systematic reviews using GRADE. Although this is a GRADE-related article, it is not an official GRADE guidance or concept article.
    METHODS: We present case studies used during GRADE working group meetings for discussion of the effects of using NRSI and RCTs on GRADE domains and on the certainty of evidence. Several concepts were discussed through iterative feedback with experts in GRADE methods and Cochrane authors. We compared suggested solutions for possible scenarios that can be met in evidence syntheses informing decisions and future guidance.
    RESULTS: Different scenarios for the use of RCTs and NRSI in evidence syntheses are presented, focusing on how different GRADE ratings between RCTs and NRSI affect the overall assessment of the evidence and possible health recommendations.
    CONCLUSIONS: Considering differences and similarities grounded in the GRADE approach between NRSI and RCTs may help complement one another and maximize the value of knowledge syntheses and health recommendations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Evidence syntheses that engage librarians as co-authors produce higher-quality results than those that do not. Trained as teachers, researchers, and information managers, librarians possess expert knowledge on research methodologies and information retrieval approaches that are critical for evidence synthesis. Researchers are under increasing pressure to produce evidence syntheses to inform practice and policymaking. Many fields outside of health science and medicine, however, do not have established guidelines, processes, or methodologies. This article describes how librarians led the creation of an interdisciplinary toolkit for researchers new to evidence synthesis. The implementation of the tools, including a protocol, supported eight evidence syntheses focused on effective agricultural interventions published in a special collection in Nature Research in October 2020. This article is a step-by-step overview of the tools and process. We advocate that librarian collaboration in evidence synthesis must become the norm, not the exception. Evidence synthesis project leads without access to a qualified librarian may use this toolkit as a point of entry for production of transparent, reproducible reviews.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    决策者越来越多地要求快速回答临床或公共卫生问题。为了节省时间,人员,和财政资源,快速审查简化了系统审查过程的方法步骤。我们旨在探索快速审查方法的有效性,该方法结合了大量缩写的文献检索与使用三个案例研究的摘要和全文的单审稿人筛选。
    我们使用了三个正在进行的Cochrane评论的便利样本作为参考标准。两篇评论涉及肿瘤学主题,一篇评论涉及公共卫生主题。对于这三个主题中的每一个,三位审稿人独立筛选了这些文献。我们的主要结果是快速评论和相应的Cochrane评论之间的结论变化。如果快速方法错过了研究,我们重新计算了主要结局的荟萃分析,并询问Cochrane综述作者,与参考标准相比,新的证据是否会改变他们的原始结论.此外,我们评估了快速审查方法与原始Cochrane审查结果的敏感性.
    对于两个肿瘤学主题(案例研究1和2),这三个快速综述各自得出了与Cochrane综述相同的结论.然而,在案例研究2中,作者对他们的结论不太确定。对于案例研究3,公共卫生主题,三个快速评价中只有一个得出了与Cochrane评价相同的结论.另外两个快速评论提供的信息不足以使作者得出结论。使用快速审查方法,病例研究1的敏感性为100%(3/3).对于案例研究2,三个快速审查确定了40%(10个中的4个),50%(5/10),和60%(10个中的6个)的纳入研究,案例研究3分别为38%(21个中的8个),43%(21个中的9个),和48%(21个中的10个)。
    在这些案例研究的限制下,对于重点关注的临床问题,将简写的文献检索与单一审查者筛选相结合的快速审查方法可能是可行的.对于复杂的公共卫生主题,敏感性似乎不够。
    Decision-makers increasingly request rapid answers to clinical or public health questions. To save time, personnel, and financial resources, rapid reviews streamline the methodological steps of the systematic review process. We aimed to explore the validity of a rapid review approach that combines a substantially abbreviated literature search with a single-reviewer screening of abstracts and full texts using three case studies.
    We used a convenience sample of three ongoing Cochrane reviews as reference standards. Two reviews addressed oncological topics and one addressed a public health topic. For each of the three topics, three reviewers screened the literature independently. Our primary outcome was the change in conclusions between the rapid reviews and the respective Cochrane reviews. In case the rapid approach missed studies, we recalculated the meta-analyses for the main outcomes and asked Cochrane review authors if the new body of evidence would change their original conclusion compared with the reference standards. Additionally, we assessed the sensitivity of the rapid review approach compared with the results of the original Cochrane reviews.
    For the two oncological topics (case studies 1 and 2), the three rapid reviews each yielded the same conclusions as the Cochrane reviews. However, the authors would have had less certainty about their conclusion in case study 2. For case study 3, the public health topic, only one of the three rapid reviews led to the same conclusion as the Cochrane review. The other two rapid reviews provided insufficient information for the authors to draw conclusions. Using the rapid review approach, the sensitivity was 100% (3 of 3) for case study 1. For case study 2, the three rapid reviews identified 40% (4 of 10), 50% (5 of 10), and 60% (6 of 10) of the included studies, respectively; for case study 3, the respective numbers were 38% (8 of 21), 43% (9 of 21), and 48% (10 of 21).
    Within the limitations of these case studies, a rapid review approach that combines abbreviated literature searches with single-reviewer screening may be feasible for focused clinical questions. For complex public health topics, sensitivity seems to be insufficient.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Background: The intervention Complexity Assessment Tool for Systematic Reviews (iCAT_SR) has been developed to facilitate detailed assessments of intervention complexity in systematic reviews. Worked examples of the tool\'s application are needed to promote its use and refinement. The aim of this case study was to apply the iCAT_SR to a subset of 20 studies included in a Cochrane review of interventions aimed at improving appropriate polypharmacy in older people. Methods: Interventions were assessed independently by two authors using the six core iCAT_SR dimensions: (1) \'Target organisational levels/categories\'; (2) \'Target behaviour/actions\'; (3) \'Active intervention components\'; (4) \'Degree of tailoring\'; (5) \'Level of skill required by intervention deliverers\'; (6) \'Level of skill required by intervention recipients\'. Attempts were made to apply four optional dimensions: \'Interaction between intervention components\'; \'Context/setting\'; \'Recipient/provider factors\'; \'Nature of causal pathway\'. Inter-rater reliability was assessed using Cohen\'s Kappa coefficient. Disagreements were resolved by consensus discussion. The findings are presented narratively. Results: Assessments involving the core iCAT_SR dimensions showed limited consistency in intervention complexity across included studies, even when categorised according to clinical setting. Interventions were delivered across various organisational levels and categories (i.e. healthcare professionals and patients) and typically comprised multiple components. Intermediate skill levels were required by those delivering and receiving the interventions across all studies. A lack of detail in study reports precluded application of the iCAT_SR\'s optional dimensions. The inter-rater reliability was substantial (Cohen\'s Kappa = 0.75) Conclusions: This study describes the application of the iCAT_SR to studies included in a Cochrane systematic review. Future intervention studies need to ensure more detailed reporting of interventions, context and the causal pathways underlying intervention effects to allow a more holistic understanding of intervention complexity and facilitate replication in other settings. The experience gained has helped to refine the original guidance document relating to the application of iCAT_SR.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Systematic evidence mapping offers a robust and transparent methodology for facilitating evidence-based approaches to decision-making in chemicals policy and wider environmental health (EH). Interest in the methodology is growing; however, its application in EH is still novel. To facilitate the production of effective systematic evidence maps for EH use cases, we survey the successful application of evidence mapping in other fields where the methodology is more established. Focusing on issues of \"data storage technology,\" \"data integrity,\" \"data accessibility,\" and \"transparency,\" we characterize current evidence mapping practice and critically review its potential value for EH contexts. We note that rigid, flat data tables and schema-first approaches dominate current mapping methods and highlight how this practice is ill-suited to the highly connected, heterogeneous, and complex nature of EH data. We propose this challenge is overcome by storing and structuring data as \"knowledge graphs.\" Knowledge graphs offer a flexible, schemaless, and scalable model for systematically mapping the EH literature. Associated technologies, such as ontologies, are well-suited to the long-term goals of systematic mapping methodology in promoting resource-efficient access to the wider EH evidence base. Several graph storage implementations are readily available, with a variety of proven use cases in other fields. Thus, developing and adapting systematic evidence mapping for EH should utilize these graph-based resources to ensure the production of scalable, interoperable, and robust maps to aid decision-making processes in chemicals policy and wider EH.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在系统审查中,荟萃分析通常用于总结特定研究问题的相关研究结果。如果可以假设在所有研究中估计相同的真实效果,应用具有共同效应的荟萃分析(通常称为固定效应荟萃分析)是足够的.如果预期研究之间存在异质性,选择的方法是具有随机效应的荟萃分析。广泛使用的DerSimonian和Laird方法用于随机效应的荟萃分析,由于其不利的统计特性而受到批评,特别是在研究很少的情况下。Cochrane合作组织的一个工作组建议使用Knapp-Hartung方法进行具有随机效应的荟萃分析。然而,因为如果只有很少的研究可用,异质性就不能可靠地估计,Knapp-Hartung方法,在正确考虑相应的不确定性的同时,功率非常低。我们的目的是总结在只有极少数情况下进行有意义的证据综合的可能方法(即,2-4)研究。提供了一些一般性建议,说明何时应使用哪种方法。我们的建议是基于现有的关于荟萃分析方法的文献,很少有研究和作者的共识。来自医疗保健质量和效率研究所的档案评估的两个示例说明了这些建议。
    In systematic reviews, meta-analyses are routinely applied to summarize the results of the relevant studies for a specific research question. If one can assume that in all studies the same true effect is estimated, the application of a meta-analysis with common effect (commonly referred to as fixed-effect meta-analysis) is adequate. If between-study heterogeneity is expected to be present, the method of choice is a meta-analysis with random effects. The widely used DerSimonian and Laird method for meta-analyses with random effects has been criticized due to its unfavorable statistical properties, especially in the case of very few studies. A working group of the Cochrane Collaboration recommended the use of the Knapp-Hartung method for meta-analyses with random effects. However, as heterogeneity cannot be reliably estimated if only very few studies are available, the Knapp-Hartung method, while correctly accounting for the corresponding uncertainty, has very low power. Our aim is to summarize possible methods to perform meaningful evidence syntheses in the situation with only very few (ie, 2-4) studies. Some general recommendations are provided on which method should be used when. Our recommendations are based on the existing literature on methods for meta-analysis with very few studies and consensus of the authors. The recommendations are illustrated by 2 examples coming from dossier assessments of the Institute for Quality and Efficiency in Health Care.
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