Postoperative complications of radical gastrectomy seriously affect postoperative recovery and require accurate risk prediction. Therefore, this study aimed to develop a prediction model specifically tailored to guide perioperative clinical decision-making for postoperative complications in patients with gastric cancer. A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients who underwent radical gastrectomy at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University between April 2022 and June 2023. A total of 166 patients were enrolled. Patient demographic characteristics, laboratory examination results, and surgical pathological features were recorded. Preoperative abdominal CT scans were used to segment the visceral fat region of the patients through 3Dslicer, a 3D Convolutional Neural Network (3D-CNN) to extract image features and the LASSO regression model was employed for feature selection. Moreover, an ensemble learning strategy was adopted to train the features and predict postoperative complications of gastric cancer. The prediction performance of the LGBM (Light Gradient Boosting Machine), XGB (XGBoost), RF (Random Forest), and GBDT (Gradient Boosting Decision Tree) models was evaluated through fivefold cross-validation. This study successfully constructed a model for predicting early complications following radical gastrectomy based on the optimal algorithm, LGBM. The LGBM model yielded an AUC value of 0.9232 and an accuracy of 87.28% (95% CI, 75.61-98.95%), surpassing the performance of other models. Through ensemble learning and integration of perioperative clinical data and visceral fat radiomics, a predictive LGBM model was established. This model has the potential to facilitate individualized clinical decision-making and the early recovery of patients with gastric cancer post-surgery.

BACKGROUND: Diagnostic errors pose significant health risks and contribute to patient mortality. With the growing accessibility of electronic health records, machine learning models offer a promising avenue for enhancing diagnosis quality. Current research has primarily focused on a limited set of diseases with ample training data, neglecting diagnostic scenarios with limited data availability.
OBJECTIVE: This study aims to develop an information retrieval (IR)-based framework that accommodates data sparsity to facilitate broader diagnostic decision support.
METHODS: We introduced an IR-based diagnostic decision support framework called CliniqIR. It uses clinical text records, the Unified Medical Language System Metathesaurus, and 33 million PubMed abstracts to classify a broad spectrum of diagnoses independent of training data availability. CliniqIR is designed to be compatible with any IR framework. Therefore, we implemented it using both dense and sparse retrieval approaches. We compared CliniqIR\'s performance to that of pretrained clinical transformer models such as Clinical Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (ClinicalBERT) in supervised and zero-shot settings. Subsequently, we combined the strength of supervised fine-tuned ClinicalBERT and CliniqIR to build an ensemble framework that delivers state-of-the-art diagnostic predictions.
RESULTS: On a complex diagnosis data set (DC3) without any training data, CliniqIR models returned the correct diagnosis within their top 3 predictions. On the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III data set, CliniqIR models surpassed ClinicalBERT in predicting diagnoses with <5 training samples by an average difference in mean reciprocal rank of 0.10. In a zero-shot setting where models received no disease-specific training, CliniqIR still outperformed the pretrained transformer models with a greater mean reciprocal rank of at least 0.10. Furthermore, in most conditions, our ensemble framework surpassed the performance of its individual components, demonstrating its enhanced ability to make precise diagnostic predictions.
CONCLUSIONS: Our experiments highlight the importance of IR in leveraging unstructured knowledge resources to identify infrequently encountered diagnoses. In addition, our ensemble framework benefits from combining the complementary strengths of the supervised and retrieval-based models to diagnose a broad spectrum of diseases.

BACKGROUND: Health care-associated infections due to multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs), such as methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) and Clostridioides difficile (CDI), place a significant burden on our health care infrastructure.
OBJECTIVE: Screening for MDROs is an important mechanism for preventing spread but is resource intensive. The objective of this study was to develop automated tools that can predict colonization or infection risk using electronic health record (EHR) data, provide useful information to aid infection control, and guide empiric antibiotic coverage.
METHODS: We retrospectively developed a machine learning model to detect MRSA colonization and infection in undifferentiated patients at the time of sample collection from hospitalized patients at the University of Virginia Hospital. We used clinical and nonclinical features derived from on-admission and throughout-stay information from the patient\'s EHR data to build the model. In addition, we used a class of features derived from contact networks in EHR data; these network features can capture patients\' contacts with providers and other patients, improving model interpretability and accuracy for predicting the outcome of surveillance tests for MRSA. Finally, we explored heterogeneous models for different patient subpopulations, for example, those admitted to an intensive care unit or emergency department or those with specific testing histories, which perform better.
RESULTS: We found that the penalized logistic regression performs better than other methods, and this model\'s performance measured in terms of its receiver operating characteristics-area under the curve score improves by nearly 11% when we use polynomial (second-degree) transformation of the features. Some significant features in predicting MDRO risk include antibiotic use, surgery, use of devices, dialysis, patient\'s comorbidity conditions, and network features. Among these, network features add the most value and improve the model\'s performance by at least 15%. The penalized logistic regression model with the same transformation of features also performs better than other models for specific patient subpopulations.
CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows that MRSA risk prediction can be conducted quite effectively by machine learning methods using clinical and nonclinical features derived from EHR data. Network features are the most predictive and provide significant improvement over prior methods. Furthermore, heterogeneous prediction models for different patient subpopulations enhance the model\'s performance.

UNASSIGNED: Voiding cystourethrography (VCUG) is the gold standard for the diagnosis and grading of vesicoureteral reflux (VUR). However, VUR grading from voiding cystourethrograms is highly subjective with low reliability. This study aimed to develop a deep learning model to improve reliability for VUR grading on VCUG and compare its performance to that of clinicians.
UNASSIGNED: In this retrospective study in China, VCUG images were collected between January 2019 and September 2022 from our institution as an internal dataset for training and 4 external data sets as external testing set for validation. Samples were divided into training (N = 1000) and validation sets (N = 500), internal testing set (N = 168), and external testing set (N = 280). An ensemble learning-based model, Deep-VCUG, using Res-Net 101 and the voting methods was developed to predict VUR grade. The grading performance was assessed using heatmaps, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and F1 score in the internal and external testing set. The performances of four clinicians (2 pediatric urologists and 2 radiologists) with and without the Deep-VCUG assisted to predict VUR grade were explored in external testing sets.
UNASSIGNED: A total of 1948 VCUG images were collected (Internal dataset = 1668; multi-center external dataset = 280). For assessing unilateral VUR grading, the Deep-VCUG achieved AUCs of 0.962 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.943-0.978) and 0.944 (95% [CI]: 0.921-0.964) in the internal and external testing sets, respectively, for bilateral VUR grading, the Deep-VCUG also achieved high AUCs of 0.960 (95% [CI]: 0.922-0.983) and 0.924 (95% [CI]: 0.887-0.957). The Deep-VCUG model using voting method outperformed single model and clinician in terms of classification based on VCUG image. Moreover, Under the Dee-VCUG assisted, the classification ability of junior and senior clinicians was significantly improved.
UNASSIGNED: The Deep-VCUG model is a generalizable, objective, and accurate tool for vesicoureteral reflux grading based on VCUG imaging and had good assistance with clinicians to VUR grading applicability.
UNASSIGNED: This study was supported by Natural Science Foundation of China, \"Fuqing Scholar\" Student Scientific Research Program of Shanghai Medical College, Fudan University, and the Program of Greater Bay Area Institute of Precision Medicine (Guangzhou).

Alterations in the gut microbiome are associated with the pathogenesis of Alzheimer\'s disease (AD) and can be used as a diagnostic measure. However, longitudinal data of the gut microbiome and knowledge about its prognostic significance for the development and progression of AD are limited. The aim of the present study was to develop a reliable predictive model based on gut microbiome data for AD development. In this longitudinal study, we investigated the intestinal microbiome in 49 mild cognitive impairment (MCI) patients over a mean (SD) follow-up of 3.7 (0.6) years, using shotgun metagenomics. At the end of the 4-year follow-up (4yFU), 27 MCI patients converted to AD dementia and 22 MCI patients remained stable. The best taxonomic model for the discrimination of AD dementia converters from stable MCI patients included 24 genera, yielding an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.87 at BL, 0.92 at 1yFU and 0.95 at 4yFU. The best models with functional data were obtained via analyzing 25 GO (Gene Ontology) features with an AUROC of 0.87 at BL, 0.85 at 1yFU and 0.81 at 4yFU and 33 KO [Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) ortholog] features with an AUROC of 0.79 at BL, 0.88 at 1yFU and 0.82 at 4yFU. Using ensemble learning for these three models, including a clinical model with the four parameters of age, gender, body mass index (BMI) and Apolipoprotein E (ApoE) genotype, yielded an AUROC of 0.96 at BL, 0.96 at 1yFU and 0.97 at 4yFU. In conclusion, we identified novel and timely stable gut microbiome algorithms that accurately predict progression to AD dementia in individuals with MCI over a 4yFU period.

Cardiac arrest (CA) is the leading cause of death in critically ill patients. Clinical research has shown that early identification of CA reduces mortality. Algorithms capable of predicting CA with high sensitivity have been developed using multivariate time series data. However, these algorithms suffer from a high rate of false alarms, and their results are not clinically interpretable.
We propose an ensemble approach using multiresolution statistical features and cosine similarity-based features for the timely prediction of CA. Furthermore, this approach provides clinically interpretable results that can be adopted by clinicians.
Patients were retrospectively analyzed using data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV database and the eICU Collaborative Research Database. Based on the multivariate vital signs of a 24-hour time window for adults diagnosed with heart failure, we extracted multiresolution statistical and cosine similarity-based features. These features were used to construct and develop gradient boosting decision trees. Therefore, we adopted cost-sensitive learning as a solution. Then, 10-fold cross-validation was performed to check the consistency of the model performance, and the Shapley additive explanation algorithm was used to capture the overall interpretability of the proposed model. Next, external validation using the eICU Collaborative Research Database was performed to check the generalization ability.
The proposed method yielded an overall area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.86 and area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) of 0.58. In terms of the timely prediction of CA, the proposed model achieved an AUROC above 0.80 for predicting CA events up to 6 hours in advance. The proposed method simultaneously improved precision and sensitivity to increase the AUPRC, which reduced the number of false alarms while maintaining high sensitivity. This result indicates that the predictive performance of the proposed model is superior to the performances of the models reported in previous studies. Next, we demonstrated the effect of feature importance on the clinical interpretability of the proposed method and inferred the effect between the non-CA and CA groups. Finally, external validation was performed using the eICU Collaborative Research Database, and an AUROC of 0.74 and AUPRC of 0.44 were obtained in a general intensive care unit population.
The proposed framework can provide clinicians with more accurate CA prediction results and reduce false alarm rates through internal and external validation. In addition, clinically interpretable prediction results can facilitate clinician understanding. Furthermore, the similarity of vital sign changes can provide insights into temporal pattern changes in CA prediction in patients with heart failure-related diagnoses. Therefore, our system is sufficiently feasible for routine clinical use. In addition, regarding the proposed CA prediction system, a clinically mature application has been developed and verified in the future digital health field.

Alzheimer\'s disease (AD) is the most common cause of dementia. Accurate prediction and diagnosis of AD and its prodromal stage, i.e., mild cognitive impairment (MCI), is essential for the possible delay and early treatment for the disease. In this paper, we adopt the data from the China Longitudinal Aging Study (CLAS), which was launched in 2011, and includes a joint effort of 15 institutions all over the country. Four thousand four hundred and eleven people who are at least 60 years old participated in the project, where 3,514 people completed the baseline survey. The survey collected data including demographic information, daily lifestyle, medical history, and routine physical examination. In particular, we employ ensemble learning and feature selection methods to develop an explainable prediction model for AD and MCI. Five feature selection methods and nine machine learning classifiers are applied for comparison to find the most dominant features on AD/MCI prediction. The resulting model achieves accuracy of 89.2%, sensitivity of 87.7%, and specificity of 90.7% for MCI prediction, and accuracy of 99.2%, sensitivity of 99.7%, and specificity of 98.7% for AD prediction. We further utilize the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) algorithm to visualize the specific contribution of each feature to AD/MCI prediction at both global and individual levels. Consequently, our model not only provides the prediction outcome, but also helps to understand the relationship between lifestyle/physical disease history and cognitive function, and enables clinicians to make appropriate recommendations for the elderly. Therefore, our approach provides a new perspective for the design of a computer-aided diagnosis system for AD and MCI, and has potential high clinical application value.

In this study a prediction algorithm has been proposed to rapidly figure out neutron radiation field for nuclear explosion under complex terrain scenario based on ensemble learning approach, which could be an impossibility for traditional radiation transport simulation methodology. By analyzing the influence of complex surface morphology on the radiation field, a series of characteristic parameters which could characterize the topographic features and their influence on the transport of neutrons and secondary gamma in the atmosphere have been extracted with the application of DEM, and the sample sethas been constructedwith the MC simulation results of terrain samples generated by random algorithm, to be used to train the prediction model for the neutron radiation field of nuclear explosion. In order to verify the actual prediction performance of the model, the study has implemented the prediction for the neutron flux, neutron tissue dose and secondary gamma tissue dose under the authentic urban and mountainous terrain scenarios, and analyzed and compared the results from fast prediction and MC simulation in different evaluation dimensions. The comparisons suggest that both of the results are in good agreement with each other, demonstrating that the fast prediction models preliminarily possess the engineering application value. In addition, a feasible approach to improve the generalization performance of the prediction model for various radiation scenarios has been proposed, which could be deemed as a reference for further research.

UNASSIGNED: The introduction of new clinical risk scores (e.g. European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) II) superseding original scores (e.g. EuroSCORE I) with different variable sets typically result in disparate datasets due to high levels of missingness for new score variables prior to time of adoption. Little is known about the use of ensemble learning to incorporate disparate data from legacy scores. We tested the hypothesised that Homogenenous and Heterogeneous Machine Learning (ML) ensembles will have better performance than ensembles of Dynamic Model Averaging (DMA) for combining knowledge from EuroSCORE I legacy data with EuroSCORE II data to predict cardiac surgery risk.
UNASSIGNED: Using the National Adult Cardiac Surgery Audit dataset, we trained 12 different base learner models, based on two different variable sets from either EuroSCORE I (LogES) or EuroScore II (ES II), partitioned by the time of score adoption (1996-2016 or 2012-2016) and evaluated on holdout set (2017-2019). These base learner models were ensembled using nine different combinations of six ML algorithms to produce homogeneous or heterogeneous ensembles. Performance was assessed using a consensus metric.
UNASSIGNED: Xgboost homogenous ensemble (HE) was the highest performing model (clinical effectiveness metric (CEM) 0.725) with area under the curve (AUC) (0.8327; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.8323-0.8329) followed by Random Forest HE (CEM 0.723; AUC 0.8325; 95%CI 0.8320-0.8326). Across different heterogenous ensembles, significantly better performance was obtained by combining siloed datasets across time (CEM 0.720) than building ensembles of either 1996-2011 (t-test adjusted, p = 1.67×10-6) or 2012-2019 (t-test adjusted, p = 1.35×10-193) datasets alone.
UNASSIGNED: Both homogenous and heterogenous ML ensembles performed significantly better than DMA ensemble of Bayesian Update models. Time-dependent ensemble combination of variables, having differing qualities according to time of score adoption, enabled previously siloed data to be combined, leading to increased power, clinical interpretability of variables and usage of data.

Software Defect Prediction (SDP) is an integral aspect of the Software Development Life-Cycle (SDLC). As the prevalence of software systems increases and becomes more integrated into our daily lives, so the complexity of these systems increases the risks of widespread defects. With reliance on these systems increasing, the ability to accurately identify a defective model using Machine Learning (ML) has been overlooked and less addressed. Thus, this article contributes an investigation of various ML techniques for SDP. An investigation, comparative analysis and recommendation of appropriate Feature Extraction (FE) techniques, Principal Component Analysis (PCA), Partial Least Squares Regression (PLS), Feature Selection (FS) techniques, Fisher score, Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE), and Elastic Net are presented. Validation of the following techniques, both separately and in combination with ML algorithms, is performed: Support Vector Machine (SVM), Logistic Regression (LR), Naïve Bayes (NB), K-Nearest Neighbour (KNN), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Decision Tree (DT), and ensemble learning methods Bootstrap Aggregation (Bagging), Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Random Forest(RF), and Generalized Stacking (Stacking). Extensive experimental setup was built and the results of the experiments revealed that FE and FS can both positively and negatively affect performance over the base model or Baseline. PLS, both separately and in combination with FS techniques, provides impressive, and the most consistent, improvements, while PCA, in combination with Elastic-Net, shows acceptable improvement.