ASF

ASF
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    非洲猪瘟(ASF)是一种高度传染性的病毒性疾病,影响家猪和野猪。自2019年在韩国首次爆发以来,已经做出了大量努力,通过减少野猪种群和消除受感染的尸体来防止ASF传播;但是,ASF传播的持续存在对这些努力提出了挑战。为了改进ASF管理策略,必须通过考虑野猪栖息地与具有野猪环境和人为特征的ASF管理区之间的差异及其管理策略来确定当前管理策略的局限性。这里,集合物种分布模型用于估计野猪栖息地和潜在的ASF管理区域,随着海拔,到城市地区的距离,以归一化植被指数为重要变量。使用maxSSS作为阈值标准,生成了野猪栖息地和潜在的ASF管理区域的二元图。ASF管理的差异区域是通过评估为野猪栖息地的上覆区域与未分类为ASF管理区域的上覆区域确定的。忠清北道等城市地区附近的茂密森林,庆尚北道,和庆尚南道被评估为具有高ASF传播风险的差异区域。这些发现对于完善ASF管理策略和建立主动控制措施具有重要的潜力。
    African swine fever (ASF) is a highly contagious viral disease affecting both domestic and wild boars. Since its first outbreak in South Korea in 2019, substantial efforts have been made to prevent ASF transmission by reducing the wild boar population and eliminating infected carcasses; however, the persistence of ASF transmission has posed challenges to these efforts. To improve ASF management strategies, the limitations of current management strategies must be identified by considering disparities between wild boar habitats and ASF-managed areas with environmental and anthropogenic characteristics of wild boars and their management strategies. Here, ensemble species distribution models were used to estimate wild boar habitats and potential ASF-managed areas, with elevation, distance to urban areas, and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index as important variables. Binary maps of wild boar habitats and potential ASF-managed areas were generated using the maxSSS as the threshold criterion. Disparity areas of ASF management were identified by overlying regions evaluated as wild boar habitats with those not classified as ASF-managed areas. Dense forests near urban regions like Chungcheongbuk-do, Gyeongsangbuk-do, and Gyeongsangnam-do were evaluated as disparity areas having high risk of ASF transmission. These findings hold significant potential for refining ASF management strategies and establishing proactive control measures.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    非洲猪瘟(ASF)是由ASF病毒(ASFV)引起的高度传染性疾病,其在家猪中具有高致死率,导致高社会经济影响。越南的生猪业务最近首次受到ASF的影响。因此,这项研究旨在开发一种疾病动态模型,以解释ASFV如何在越南猪种群中传播,并提出预防未来爆发所需的保护性疫苗覆盖率。疫情数据是从越南第一波ASF疫情中的十个私人小规模农场收集的。使用三种方法估计基本繁殖数(R0),包括指数增长法,最大似然法,和攻击率方法。平均R0值估计为1.49(95CI:1.05-2.21),1.58(95CI:0.92-2.56),和1.46(95CI:1.38-1.57),分别。根据最坏的情况,猪群中的所有猪都将在50天内被感染并被移走。我们建议,一旦获得商业批准的ASF疫苗,就在每个农场接种至少80%的猪。然而,仍然鼓励提高小规模农场的生物安全水平,以防止病毒的引入。
    African swine fever (ASF) is a highly contagious disease that is caused by the ASF virus (ASFV) with a high fatality rate in domestic pigs resulting in a high socio-economic impact. The pig business in Vietnam was recently affected by ASF for the first time. This study thus aimed to develop a disease dynamic model to explain how ASFV spreads in Vietnamese pig populations and suggest a protective vaccine coverage level required to prevent future outbreaks. The outbreak data were collected from ten private small-scale farms within the first wave of ASF outbreaks in Vietnam. Three methods were used to estimate the basic reproduction number (R0), including the exponential growth method, maximum likelihood method, and attack rate method. The average R0 values were estimated at 1.49 (95%CI: 1.05-2.21), 1.58 (95%CI: 0.92-2.56), and 1.46 (95%CI: 1.38-1.57), respectively. Based on the worst-case scenario, all pigs in a herd would be infected and removed within 50 days. We suggest vaccinating at least 80% of pigs on each farm once a commercially approved ASF vaccine is available. However, an improvement in biosecurity levels in small-scale farms is still greatly encouraged to prevent the introduction of the virus.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    After the emergence of African swine fever (ASF), the wild boar population numbers fell drastically in Eastern Europe. This situation made it possible to verify the changes in the wolves\' diet that occurred. The material collection was carried out in two regions, Grodno and Vitebsk, in Belarus. In total, 19 species/groups of prey were observed in the gray wolf diet, but the most important were wild boar, elk, red deer, roe deer and beaver. The decrease in the number of wild boar caused changes in the diet of wolves but only in Vitebsk region, where wolves\' diet before the ASF epidemic outbreak consisted mainly of elk and wild boar. After the decrease of wild boar numbers, wolves still mainly hunted elk, but other types of prey included roe deer, red deer and beaver. We found a negative correlation between wild boar and both deer species (roe deer and red deer) in the wolves\' diet. Moreover, the more the wolves consumed elk, the less they consumed beaver. In our opinion, only intensive hunting of wolves by humans can explain the resulting dietary fluctuations between elk and beaver, as well as the fact that wolves did not turn to other food sources.
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