PDF(Pubmed)
Abstract：
The impact of COVID-19 on urban travel behavior has been unprecedented. It has significantly influenced the travel mode choices of different urban commuters in various countries across the globe. Given that the public transport providers need to tradeoff between minimizing the spread of COVID-19 and providing an affordable travel choice in this environment, we develop a strategic queueing model to analyze the effect of different pricing strategies on the commuter behavior. In particular, we consider a Markovian queue in front of a public transport ticket counter wherein strategic commuters arrive at the service facility and make joining or balking decisions based on their derived utilities. In contrast to conventional wisdom, we suggest that the public transport provider needs to decrease the price to filter out the wealthy commuters who possess feasible alternative travel options from using public transport and promote the commuters with no alternatives in using public transport.
摘要：
COVID-19对城市出行行为的影响是前所未有的。它极大地影响了全球各个国家不同城市通勤者的出行方式选择。鉴于公共交通提供商需要在最大限度地减少COVID-19的传播和在这种环境下提供负担得起的旅行选择之间进行权衡，我们建立了一个战略排队模型来分析不同的定价策略对通勤行为的影响。特别是,我们考虑在公共交通售票柜台前的马尔可夫队列，其中战略通勤者到达服务设施，并根据其衍生的公用事业做出加入或拒绝决定。与传统智慧相反，我们建议公共交通提供商需要降低价格，以过滤那些拥有可行替代旅行选择的富裕通勤者使用公共交通工具，并促进没有其他选择的通勤者使用公共交通工具。
