temporal monitoring

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    淡水盐渍化综合征(FSS)是指生物群体,物理,以及通常在盐碱化反应中一起发生的化学影响。FSS可以通过化学混合物的动员来评估,被称为“化学鸡尾酒”,在流域。目前,我们不知道是否可以使用恢复和保护策略来减轻或逆转盐碱化和沿溪流流动的化学混合物。我们调查了1)在时间和空间上沿经历不同恢复和河岸森林保护水平的溪流形成化学鸡尾酒的情况,以及2)沿保护和恢复区域的流路衰减化学鸡尾酒和盐离子的潜力。我们监测了流水化学的高频时间和纵向变化,以响应不同的污染事件(即,路盐,雨水径流,废水,和基流条件)以及切萨皮克湾流域六个城市流域的几种类型的流域管理或保护工作。主成分分析(PCA)表明沿流路形成的化学混合物(即河流的永久河段)因污染事件而变化。为了应对冬季道路盐的应用,化学鸡尾酒富含盐和金属(例如,Na+,Mn,和铜)。在大多数基流和暴雨流条件下,化学混合物中的盐离子和痕量金属含量较低。在穿过区域公园的流路的基流和暴雨流条件下,盐离子的下游衰减发生。溪流-洪泛区修复,还有一个国家公园.相反,盐离子和金属的化学混合物,由于多次道路盐施用或长时间的道路盐暴露而形成的,没有显示下游快速衰减的模式。多元线性回归用于研究影响化学混合物沿流路变化的变量。沿流道的盐离子和化学混合物的衰减和稀释与河岸森林缓冲区宽度显着相关,盐污染的类型,和下游距离。虽然盐离子和化学混合物可以减弱和稀释,以响应在较低浓度范围内的保护和恢复努力,在道路盐事件中衰减可能存在限制,特别是如果暴雨绕过河岸缓冲区。
    Freshwater Salinization Syndrome (FSS) refers to groups of biological, physical, and chemical impacts which commonly occur together in response to salinization. FSS can be assessed by the mobilization of chemical mixtures, termed \"chemical cocktails\", in watersheds. Currently, we do not know if salinization and mobilization of chemical cocktails along streams can be mitigated or reversed using restoration and conservation strategies. We investigated 1) the formation of chemical cocktails temporally and spatially along streams experiencing different levels of restoration and riparian forest conservation and 2) the potential for attenuation of chemical cocktails and salt ions along flowpaths through conservation and restoration areas. We monitored high-frequency temporal and longitudinal changes in streamwater chemistry in response to different pollution events (i.e., road salt, stormwater runoff, wastewater effluent, and baseflow conditions) and several types of watershed management or conservation efforts in six urban watersheds in the Chesapeake Bay watershed. Principal component analysis (PCA) indicates that chemical cocktails which formed along flowpaths (i.e., permanent reaches of a stream) varied due to pollution events. In response to winter road salt applications, the chemical cocktails were enriched in salts and metals (e.g., Na+, Mn, and Cu). During most baseflow and stormflow conditions, chemical cocktails were less enriched in salt ions and trace metals. Downstream attenuation of salt ions occurred during baseflow and stormflow conditions along flowpaths through regional parks, stream-floodplain restorations, and a national park. Conversely, chemical mixtures of salt ions and metals, which formed in response to multiple road salt applications or prolonged road salt exposure, did not show patterns of rapid attenuation downstream. Multiple linear regression was used to investigate variables that influence changes in chemical cocktails along flowpaths. Attenuation and dilution of salt ions and chemical cocktails along stream flowpaths was significantly related to riparian forest buffer width, types of salt pollution, and distance downstream. Although salt ions and chemical cocktails can be attenuated and diluted in response to conservation and restoration efforts at lower concentration ranges, there can be limitations in attenuation during road salt events, particularly if storm drains bypass riparian buffers.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    河流中悬浮泥沙(SS)和微塑料(MP)的运移是一个相当复杂的过程,受几个空间和时间变化因素的影响(例如,水文学,沉积物可用性,人类影响)。研究人员通常单独研究这些因素,并基于空间和时间的有限重复。因此,这项研究旨在通过应用密集的时间(72个测量)和空间监测(在26个站点)来比较SS和MP运输的驱动因素。这项研究是在中型Tisza河上进行的,中欧。通过水采样测量悬浮沉积物浓度(SSC),并根据Sentinel-2图像进行估算。而MP浓度是通过抽水(1m3)测量的。Tisza的SSC在12.6至322.5g/m3之间变化,而MP浓度在0-129项目/m3范围内。大多数传输的颗粒是纤维(81-98%),因此,人们认为国会议员来自废水。结果反映了水文条件对SS和MP浓度的影响。因为在一年中发现它们之间存在强正相关(ρSSC-MP=0.6);然而,洪水期间的相关性(小洪水:ρ=0.63;中等洪水:ρ=0.41)高于低阶段(ρ=0.1)。假定在洪水期间,径流和渠道材料的动员都有助于增加SS和MP的传输。相反,在低阶段,动员渠道材料和废水输入的重要性增加。重复测量表明,斜率和速度条件,接近的来源,支流,水坝会影响SS和MP浓度的纵向变化。然而,支流和水坝的影响是模糊的(特别是对于MP),需要进一步研究。纵向测量是在低阶段进行的;因此,SS和MP浓度之间存在中度负相关(ρ2021=-0.35;ρ2022=-0.41)。因此,需要在(河岸)洪水期间进行额外的监测和更密集的空间采样,以精确揭示河流中SS和MP浓度的时空变化。
    The suspended sediment (SS) and microplastic (MP) transport in rivers is quite a complex process, influenced by several spatially and temporally changing factors (e.g., hydrology, sediment availability, human impact). Researchers usually investigate these factors individually and based on limited repetition in space and time. Therefore, this study aims to compare the driving factors of SS and MP transport by applying dense temporal (72 measurements) and spatial monitoring (at 26 sites). This study was performed on the medium-sized Tisza River, Central Europe. The suspended sediment concentration (SSC) was measured by water sampling and estimated based on Sentinel-2 images, while MP concentration was measured by pumping of water (1 m3). The SSC of the Tisza varied between 12.6 and 322.5 g/m3, whereas the MP concentration ranged 0-129 item/m3. Most of the transported particles were fibers (81-98 %), thus, it was assumed that MPs originated from wastewater. The results reflect that the hydrological conditions basically influence the SS and MP concentrations, as a strong positive correlation was found (ρSSC-MP = 0.6) between them during a year; however, the correlation during floods (minor floods: ρ = 0.63; medium floods: ρ = 0.41) was higher than at low stages (ρ = 0.1). It was assumed that run-off and mobilization of channel materials both contribute to increased SS and MP transport during floods. In contrary, the importance of mobilization of channel materials and wastewater input increase during low stages. The repeated measurements revealed that slope and velocity conditions, proximity of sources, tributaries, and dams influence the longitudinal changes in SS and MP concentrations. However, the effects of tributaries and dams are ambiguous (especially for MP) and require further research. The longitudinal measurements were conducted at low stages; hence, moderate negative correlations (ρ2021 = -0.35; ρ2022 = -0.41) were found between the SS and MP concentrations. Therefore, additional monitoring during (overbank) floods and denser spatial sampling are required to precisely reveal the spatiotemporal changes of SS and MP concentrations in rivers.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Mercury (Hg) is a highly toxic metal that adversely impacts human and wildlife health. The amount of Hg released globally in the environment has increased steadily since the Industrial Revolution, resulting in growing contamination in biota. Seabirds have been extensively studied to monitor Hg contamination in the world\'s oceans. Multidecadal increases in seabird Hg contamination have been documented in polar, temperate and subtropical regions, whereas in tropical regions they are largely unknown. Since seabirds accumulate Hg mainly from their diet, their trophic ecology is fundamental in understanding their Hg exposure over time. Here, we used the sooty tern (Onychoprion fuscatus), the most abundant tropical seabird, as bioindicator of temporal variations in Hg transfer to marine predators in tropical ecosystems, in response to trophic changes and other potential drivers. Body feathers were sampled from 220 sooty terns, from museum specimens (n = 134) and free-living birds (n = 86) from Ascension Island, in the South Atlantic Ocean, over 145 years (1876-2021). Chemical analyses included (i) total- and methyl-Hg, and (ii) carbon (δ1³C) and nitrogen (δ15N) stable isotopes, as proxies of foraging habitat and trophic position, respectively, to investigate the relationship between trophic ecology and Hg contamination over time. Despite current regulations on its global emissions, mean Hg concentrations were 58.9% higher in the 2020s (2.0 μg g-1, n = 34) than in the 1920s (1.2 μg g-1, n = 107). Feather Hg concentrations were negatively and positively associated with δ1³C and δ15N values, respectively. The sharp decline of 2.9 ‰ in δ1³C values over time indicates ecosystem-wide changes (shifting primary productivity) in the tropical South Atlantic Ocean and can help explain the observed increase in terns\' feather Hg concentrations. Overall, this study provides invaluable information on how ecosystem-wide changes can increase Hg contamination of tropical marine predators and reinforces the need for long-term regulations of harmful contaminants at the global scale.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    自2010年代以来,综合征监测(SyS)在动物健康中的使用越来越多,但是由于方法和实践上的挑战,生产数据的使用还没有得到充分的探索。本文旨在通过使用养猪场常规收集的生产数据开发SyS系统来解决其中的一些挑战。根据记录的数据创建与健康相关的指标,出现了两种不同的时间序列类型:SyS传统上使用的每周事件计数;和连续时间序列,每个新事件都是一个新的观察,并且不应用按时间单位分组。指数加权移动平均(EWMA)和休哈特控制图用于时间像差检测,使用三个检测极限创建“严重性”评分。使用猪呼吸和繁殖综合征(PRRS)的模拟爆发作为疾病引入情景来评估系统性能。该系统被证明能够提供意外趋势的早期检测,为农民提供有用的健康和管理决策支持工具。需要进行进一步的研究,以将监测多个并行时间序列的结果结合到对繁殖失败风险的总体评估中。
    The use of syndromic surveillance (SyS) has grown in animal health since the 2010s, but the use of production data has been underexplored due to methodological and practical challenges. This paper aimed to tackle some of those challenges by developing a SyS system using production data routinely collected in pig breeding farms. Health-related indicators were created from the recorded data, and two different time-series types emerged: the weekly counts of events traditionally used in SyS; and continuous time-series, where every new event is a new observation, and grouping by time-unit is not applied. Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) and Shewhart control charts were used for temporal aberration detection, using three detection limits to create a \"severity\" score. The system performance was evaluated using simulated outbreaks of porcine respiratory and reproduction syndrome (PRRS) as a disease introduction scenario. The system proved capable of providing early detection of unexpected trends, serving as a useful health and management decision support tool for farmers. Further research is needed to combine results of monitoring multiple parallel time-series into an overall assessment of the risk of reproduction failure.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    减少与化石燃料有关的甲烷排放已被确定为缓解气候变化的重要手段,但是对于世界上大多数石油和天然气生产盆地来说,排放源识别仍然遥不可及。我们结合三个互补的卫星数据集来调查土库曼斯坦西海岸的单个甲烷排放源,世界上最大的甲烷热点之一。我们发现了29种不同的发射器,排放速率>1800kg/h,活跃在2017-2020年时间段,尽管较早的卫星数据显示这种类型的发射已经发生了几十年。我们发现,所有来源都与主要用于原油生产的采油场有关,其中24个是不活跃的火炬排放气体。对时间序列的分析表明,燃烧减少与排放增加之间存在因果关系。在区域一级,2020年显示,前几年的甲烷羽流探测数量大幅增加。我们的结果表明,这些大型排放点源代表了关键的缓解机会,因为它们来自人类控制的设施,这种新的卫星方法有望在全球范围内探测和监测甲烷点排放的革命。
    Reduction of fossil fuel-related methane emissions has been identified as an essential means for climate change mitigation, but emission source identification remains elusive for most oil and gas production basins in the world. We combine three complementary satellite data sets to survey single methane emission sources on the west coast of Turkmenistan, one of the largest methane hotspots in the world. We found 29 different emitters, with emission rates >1800 kg/h, active in the 2017-2020 time period, although older satellite data show that this type of emission has been occurring for decades. We find that all sources are linked to extraction fields mainly dedicated to crude oil production, where 24 of them are inactive flares venting gas. The analysis of time series suggests a causal relationship between the decrease in flaring and the increase in venting. At the regional level, 2020 shows a substantial increase in the number of methane plume detections concerning previous years. Our results suggest that these large venting point sources represent a key mitigation opportunity as they emanate from human-controlled facilities, and that new satellite methods promise a revolution in the detection and monitoring of methane point emissions worldwide.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    多用途海洋保护区(MUMPA)是发展中国家海洋保护的常用工具,特别是在大量不承担储备在社会或政治上不可行的情况下。尽管MUMPA在世界各地产生了好处,持续的适度捕捞压力降低了实现这些地区主要目标的可能性,这是生态系统的保护。在这项研究中,我们使用传统和功能指标来评估MUMPA中鱼类组合随时间的变化,包括物种反应和生态过程的变化。我们在圣埃斯皮里图岛对鱼类进行了视觉普查,墨西哥(MUMPA;N=320;24°N,110°W)从2005年到2017年评估鱼类丰富度,尺寸分布和密度。使用六个性状计算了三个功能指数(大小,移动性,活动期间,聚合,在水柱和饮食中的位置):功能丰富度(物种占据的体积),分散性(物种之间的互补性)和原创性(功能冗余的逆)。我们比较了三种管理区类型之间的鱼类多样性(可持续捕捞,传统捕鱼和禁渔区),经过13年的时间,评估哪些物种的发生增加或减少,密度,和生物量,以及指数随着时间的推移如何反应。尽管生物量普遍增加,密度和原创性稳定,我们发现鱼类生物多样性以物种和功能丰富度下降的形式减少,这可能意味着局部灭绝的风险和某些生态系统过程的减少。此外,功能分散的变化表明,一些功能随着时间的推移正在失去代表性。虽然没有单一的原因是明显的,竞争互动等因素,栖息地的丧失和捕捞压力的持续可能解释了这些减少。生物量的增加与平均大小的总体增加有关,而不是增加商业物种的生物量,因为后者在研究期间保持稳定。扩大禁入区,执行捕鱼条例,和核心区的监视,应该实施以扭转特定物种的下降,并促进该MUMPA中鱼类功能多样性的保护。
    Multi-use marine protected areas (MUMPAs) are a commonly applied tool for marine conservation in developing countries, particularly where large no-take reserves are not socially or politically feasible. Although MUMPAs have produced benefits around the world, the persistence of moderate fishing pressure reduces the likelihood of achieving the primary objective of these areas, which is the conservation of ecosystems. In this study we used traditional and functional metrics to evaluate how fish assemblages changed through time in a MUMPA, including shifts in species responses and in ecological processes. We conducted visual censuses of fishes at Espíritu Santo Island, México (MUMPA; N = 320; 24°N, 110°W) from 2005 to 2017 to assess fish richness, size-distribution and density. Three functional indices were calculated using six traits (size, mobility, period of activity, aggregation, position in water column and diet): functional richness (volume occupied by species), dispersion (complementarity between species) and originality (inverse of functional redundancy). We compared fish diversity among three management zone types (sustainable fishing, traditional fishing and no-take zones), through a 13-year period, assessing which species increased or decreased in occurrence, density, and biomass, and how indices respond over time. Despite a general increase in biomass and stability in density and originality, we detected a reduction in fish biodiversity in the form of declines in species and functional richness, which could imply the risk of local extinction and decrease in certain ecosystem processes. In addition, changes in functional dispersion showed that some functions are losing representation through time. Although no single cause is apparent, such factors as competitive interactions, habitat loss and persistence of fishing pressure potentially explain these decreases. The rise in biomass was associated with a general increase in the average size, rather than increased biomass of commercial species, as the latter remained stable during the study period. Expansion of no-take areas, enforcement of fishing regulations, and surveillance in core zones, should be implemented to reverse the decline in particular species and to promote conservation of fish functional diversity in this MUMPA.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Ecotourism is the greener variant of tourism which advocates conservation of biodiversity and acts as a development strategy to build a self-sustainable system to help protect and further enhance the ecosystem through the income generated by ecotourism activities. There is a strong linkage between biodiversity conservation and ecotourism which has also been recognized by the UN and finds its place under the technical note on \"Biodiversity and the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development\". But, are the stakeholders of the ecotourism destinations religiously following practices that will ensure biodiversity conservation at all times is something that needs continuous evaluation and validation. The authors have worked in the past on developing multi-stage methodology (ESA Framework, ESM Model and their validation) using Qualitative and Quantitative techniques and successfully developed Ecotourism Sustainability Assessment Method (ESAM) for such an appraisal. The present paper aims at devising a process which will show the applicability of ESM model in identifying the biodiversity related and other environmental factors, adversely impacting the ecotourism destination at present, or may impact it in times to come. In addition, it also offers the prescription to solve these issues and achieve the goal of ecotourism sustainability at the operational level. This proposed process initially will be defined with the help of a site-level case study of Mt. Kangchendzonga Base Camp Trek, Sikkim. Later, this would be extended to other ecologies and geographies so that in the future, a robust and useful model, applicable for most of the ecotourism destinations, can be developed.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    监测吸烟率是评估对烟草控制措施的反应的关键,并评估相关的健康和经济成本。对澳大利亚烟草消费的估计是基于各种数据来源-税收优惠,销售,和自我报告调查。这些数据源中的每一个都存在局限性,这使得通过多种方法对香烟使用估计进行三角测量很重要。基于废水的流行病学,废水的系统采样和分析,现在是测量和监测人类暴露于一系列化学物质的常规方法。这项研究提供了对尼古丁暴露的高频长期时间评估,烟草的主要成瘾性成分,使用这种方法。分析了从2010年至2017年从区域城市集水区收集的291个存档废水样品中的人类特异性尼古丁代谢物(可替宁和反式-3'-羟基可替宁),估计人均尼古丁使用量。将基于废水的流行病学确定的尼古丁使用的时间趋势与国家销售和调查数据进行了比较。废水分析显示,从2010年到2017年,消费的卷烟当量平均数量减少了25%,每年下降3%。这些发现与基于调查和销售数据的估计非常吻合,表明每年下降5%和4%,分别。这项研究的结果表明,WBE是一种相对具有成本效益和客观的方法来报告尼古丁消费的长期数据。与替代数据源结合使用时,和有价值的社会人口统计信息的调查,基于废水的流行病学有助于完善我们对吸烟总影响的估计和理解。
    Monitoring smoking prevalence is key to assessing responses to tobacco control measures, and evaluating associated health and economic costs. Estimates of tobacco consumed in Australia are based on various data sources - tax excise clearances, sales, and self-report surveys. There are limitations with each of these data sources which makes triangulation of cigarette use estimates by multiple methods important. Wastewater-based epidemiology, the systematic sampling and analysis of wastewater, is now a routine method to measure and monitor human exposure to a range of chemicals. This study provides a high frequency long-term temporal assessment of exposure to nicotine, the main addictive component of tobacco, using this approach. 291 archived wastewater samples collected from a regional city catchment from 2010 to 2017 were analysed for human-specific nicotine metabolites (cotinine and trans-3\'-hydroxycotinine), to estimate per capita nicotine use. Temporal trends in nicotine use determined by wastewater-based epidemiology were compared with national sales and survey data. Wastewater analysis showed a 25% reduction in the mean number of cigarette equivalents consumed from 2010 to 2017, representing a 3% annual decline. These findings are in good agreement with estimates based on surveys and sales data, indicating annual declines of 5% and 4%, respectively. Findings of this study demonstrate WBE to be a relatively cost-effective and objective approach to reporting long-term data on nicotine consumption. When combined with alternative data sources, and valuable sociodemographic information of surveys, wastewater-based epidemiology helps to refine our estimates and understanding of the total impacts of smoking.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这篇综述介绍了动物健康监测(AHSyS)领域的当前举措和发展潜力,从它的出现到兽医公共卫生领域的前沿已经过去了5年。使用了系统审查方法来记录正在进行的AHSyS倡议(活动系统和处于试点阶段的系统)和最近的方法发展。来自从业者的临床数据和实验室数据仍然是AHSyS的主要数据来源。然而,虽然目前尚未纳入前瞻性运行的举措,生产数据,死亡率数据,屠宰场数据,和新媒体来源(如互联网搜索)一直是越来越多的出版物寻求开发和验证新的AHSyS指标的目标。AHSyS固有的一些限制,例如报告可持续性和缺乏分类标准,继续阻碍了自动综合征分析和解释的发展。在动物健康数据电子采集无处不在的时代,监视专家对运行多变量系统(同时监视多个数据流)越来越感兴趣,因为它们比单变量系统推断更准确。因此,贝叶斯方法,更容易发现多个综合征数据源之间的相互作用,预计将在AHSyS的未来发挥重要作用。很明显,早期发现疫情可能不是AHSyS的主要预期好处。随着更多的系统将进入积极的预期阶段,在过去五年的密集发展阶段之后,这项研究设想AHSyS,特别是对牲畜来说,为未来的国际做出重大贡献-,national-,和地方动物健康情报,通过在食品生产链的各个阶段提供对动物福利和健康的扎实认识,超越了对疾病事件的检测和监测,以及对这一价值链中涉及参与者的风险管理的理解。
    This review presents the current initiatives and potential for development in the field of animal health surveillance (AHSyS), 5 years on from its advent to the front of the veterinary public health scene. A systematic review approach was used to document the ongoing AHSyS initiatives (active systems and those in pilot phase) and recent methodological developments. Clinical data from practitioners and laboratory data remain the main data sources for AHSyS. However, although not currently integrated into prospectively running initiatives, production data, mortality data, abattoir data, and new media sources (such as Internet searches) have been the objective of an increasing number of publications seeking to develop and validate new AHSyS indicators. Some limitations inherent to AHSyS such as reporting sustainability and the lack of classification standards continue to hinder the development of automated syndromic analysis and interpretation. In an era of ubiquitous electronic collection of animal health data, surveillance experts are increasingly interested in running multivariate systems (which concurrently monitor several data streams) as they are inferentially more accurate than univariate systems. Thus, Bayesian methodologies, which are much more apt to discover the interplay among multiple syndromic data sources, are foreseen to play a big part in the future of AHSyS. It has become clear that early detection of outbreaks may not be the principal expected benefit of AHSyS. As more systems will enter an active prospective phase, following the intensive development stage of the last 5 years, the study envisions AHSyS, in particular for livestock, to significantly contribute to future international-, national-, and local-level animal health intelligence, going beyond the detection and monitoring of disease events by contributing solid situation awareness of animal welfare and health at various stages along the food-producing chain, and an understanding of the risk management involving actors in this value chain.
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