temperature extremes

极端温度
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    大气温度与先天性心脏病(CHD)及其亚型之间的关联仍不确定。在这项基于人群的回顾性病例对照研究中,通过分布滞后非线性模型分析643例CHD病例和3,215例非CHD对照,以估计每周温度暴露对CHD风险的影响,并识别潜在的脆弱窗口。通过二元Logistic回归模型,我们发现,妊娠早期升高的温度与总体冠心病和室间隔缺损(VSD)的风险增加有关(OR:1.059,95%CI:1.002-1.119;OR:1.094,95%CI:1.005-1.190),而妊娠中期体温升高与房间隔缺损(ASD)风险呈显著正相关。然而,DLNM的结果显示,周平均温度与总CHD和亚型的风险之间存在非线性关系.暴露于极端,适度,轻度高温会显著增加整体冠心病的风险,ASD和VSD,关键窗口主要集中在妊娠第5-11周和第23-27周。低温极端暴露仅导致ASD的脆弱窗口:第13-14孕周。极端温度与动脉导管未闭或法洛四联症之间未发现显着正相关。在当前气候变化的背景下,我们的研究结果为目前对高温和低温极端暴露对CHD及其主要亚型影响的理解提供了新的证据.
    The associations between atmospheric temperature and congenital heart disease (CHD) and its subtypes are still inconclusive. In this population-based retrospective case-control study, 643 CHD cases and 3,215 non-CHD controls were analyzed through distributed lag nonlinear model to estimate the effect of weekly temperature exposure on CHD risk and to identify potentially vulnerable windows. Through the binary logistic regression model, we found that elevated temperature in the first trimester was associated with an increased risk of overall CHD and ventricular septal defect (VSD) (OR: 1.059, 95% CI: 1.002-1.119; OR: 1.094, 95% CI: 1.005-1.190, respectively), while increased temperature in the second trimester was significantly positively correlated with atrial septal defect (ASD) risk. However, the results of the DLNM showed a nonlinear relationship between the weekly average temperature and the risk of total CHDs and the subtypes. Exposure to extremely, moderately, and mildly high temperatures significantly increased the risk of overall CHD, ASD and VSD, and the critical windows were mainly concentrated at the 5th-11th and 23rd-27th weeks of gestation. Low-temperature extreme exposure resulted in vulnerable windows for ASD only: 13th-14th gestational weeks. No significant positive associations were found between extreme temperature and patent ductus arteriosus or tetralogy of Fallot. In the current context of climate change, our results add new evidence to the present understanding of the effects of high- and low-temperature extreme exposure on CHD and its main subtypes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    《巴黎协定》和政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)关于全球1.5°C变暖的特别报告强调了不同全球变暖水平(GWL)气候变化的潜在风险。极端高温事件的发生与阿拉伯半岛(AP)特别普遍的温暖气候有关。这项研究调查了未来温度的变化以及与AP相关的极端情况,在四个GWL下,例如1.5°C,2.0°C,3.0°C,和4.0°C,具有三种不同的共享社会经济途径(SSP:SSP1-2.6、SSP2-4.5和SSP5-8.5)。该研究使用了来自NASA地球交换全球每日缩减预测的27个模型的高分辨率数据集耦合模型比对项目第6阶段(NEX-GDDP-CMIP6)。结果表明,NEX-GDDP-CMIP6个体模型及其多模型手段合理地捕获了极端温度事件。在选定的SSP下,夏季最高和冬季最低温度预计每十年增加0.11-0.67°C和0.09-0.70°C。同样,在选定的SSP下,预计的极端温度在GWL上表现出不同程度的显着变暖。温暖的极端温度预计会增加,而在所有GWL和选定的SSP下,极端寒冷预计会减少。总的来说,这些发现提供了对AP温度变化的全面评估,以响应全球变暖,这有助于制定气候适应和缓解战略。
    The Paris Agreement and the Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5 °C from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) highlighted the potential risks of climate change across different global warming levels (GWLs). The increasing occurrence of extreme high-temperature events is linked to a warmer climate that is particularly prevalent in the Arabian Peninsula (AP). This study investigates future changes in temperatures and related extremes over AP, under four GWLs, such as 1.5 °C, 2.0 °C, 3.0 °C, and 4.0 °C, with three different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs: SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5). The study uses high-resolution datasets of 27 models from the NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6). The results showed that the NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 individual models and their multi-model means reasonably captured the extreme temperature events. The summer maximum and winter minimum temperatures are projected to increase by 0.11-0.67 °C and 0.09-0.70 °C per decade under the selected SSPs. Likewise, the projected temperature extremes exhibit significant warming with varying degrees across the GWLs under the selected SSPs. The warm temperature extremes are projected to increase, while the cold extremes are projected to decrease under all GWLs and the selected SSPs. Overall, the findings provide a comprehensive assessment of temperature changes over AP in response to global warming, which can be helpful in the development of climate adaptation and mitigation strategies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    全球变暖可能会影响高海拔两栖动物的早期发育阶段,从而影响他们以后的健身。然而,这在很大程度上是未经探索的。为了研究胚胎和幼虫阶段经历的温度是否以及如何影响它们在后期发育阶段的适合性,我们设计了两个实验,其中胚胎和幼虫用三个温度(24、18和12°C)处理,分别。然后,评价了所有处理方法在变态高潮期间t的生活史特征,包括增长率,存活率,形态学,热生理学,游泳表演,标准代谢率(SMR),氧化和抗氧化系统,和代谢酶活性。结果表明,高温加速了变态,但在变态时减小了体型。此外,胚胎和幼虫阶段的变暖降低了热耐受范围,并引起氧化应激增加。此外,高胚胎温度显著降低了孵化成功率,但对游泳成绩和SMR无显著影响。幼虫期的变暖对t的生存和游泳性能有害。效应大小分析表明,胚胎温度对某些生理性状的负面影响,比如成长和发展,生存和游泳表现,比幼虫温度更明显。我们的结果强调了需要特别注意两栖动物的早期阶段,特别是在评估全球变暖对其生存的影响时的胚胎阶段。
    Global warming may affect the early developmental stages of high-altitude amphibians, thereby influencing their later fitness. Yet, this has been largely unexplored. To investigate whether and how the temperatures experienced by embryonic and larval stages affect their fitness at later developmental stages, we designed two experiments in which the embryos and larvae were treated with three temperatures (24, 18 and 12 °C), respectively. Then, the life history traits of the tadpoles during the metamorphotic climax in all treatments were evaluated, including growth rate, survival rate, morphology, thermal physiology, swimming performance, standard metabolic rate (SMR), oxidative and antioxidative system, and metabolic enzyme activities. The results revealed that elevated temperature accelerated metamorphosis but decreased body size at metamorphosis. Additionally, warming during the embryonic and larval stages decreased the thermal tolerance range and induced increased oxidative stress. Furthermore, high embryonic temperature significantly decreased the hatching success, but had no significant effect on swimming performance and SMR. Warming during larval periods was harmful to the survival and swimming performance of tadpoles. The effect size analysis revealed that the negative impacts of embryonic temperature on certain physiological traits, such as growth and development, survival and swimming performance, were more pronounced than those of larval temperature. Our results highlight the necessity for particular attention to be paid to the early stages of amphibians, notably the embryonic stages when evaluating the impact of global warming on their survival.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    极端温度对陆地生态系统产生重大影响,但是,这些极端情况引发植被生产力不利变化的确切水平仍然难以捉摸。在这项研究中,我们得出了两个临界阈值,使用生长季节温度和基于卫星的植被生产力的标准偏差(SD)作为关键指标。我们的发现表明,平均而言,在2001年至2018年期间,当温度异常超过平均温度以上1.45SD时,植被生产力会受到快速抑制。此外,在超过平均值2.98SD的温度下,我们观察到最大程度的抑制,特别是对最极端的高温事件的反应。当地球系统模型由未来的中等排放情景驱动时,他们预测,平均温度将分别在2050年和2070年左右超过这两个关键阈值。然而,重要的是要注意,这些阈值交叉的时间表现出空间变化,并且在热带地区将出现得更早。我们的发现强调,将全球变暖限制在1.5°C可以使植被生长的安全区域增加13%,而允许变暖达到工业化前水平以上2°C。这种缓解策略有助于避免暴露于违反这些阈值的有害极端温度。我们的研究强调了气候缓解政策在气候变暖的世界中促进陆地生态系统可持续发展的关键作用。
    Temperature extremes exert a significant influence on terrestrial ecosystems, but the precise levels at which these extremes trigger adverse shifts in vegetation productivity have remained elusive. In this study, we have derived two critical thresholds, using standard deviations (SDs) of growing-season temperature and satellite-based vegetation productivity as key indicators. Our findings reveal that, on average, vegetation productivity experiences rapid suppression when confronted with temperature anomalies exceeding 1.45 SD above the mean temperature during 2001-2018. Furthermore, at temperatures exceeding 2.98 SD above the mean, we observe the maximum level of suppression, particularly in response to the most extreme high-temperature events. When Earth System Models are driven by a future medium emission scenario, they project that mean temperatures will routinely surpass both of these critical thresholds by approximately the years 2050 and 2070, respectively. However, it is important to note that the timing of these threshold crossings exhibits spatial variation and will appear much earlier in tropical regions. Our finding highlights that restricting global warming to just 1.5°C can increase safe areas for vegetation growth by 13% compared to allowing warming to reach 2°C above preindustrial levels. This mitigation strategy helps avoid exposure to detrimental extreme temperatures that breach these thresholds. Our study underscores the pivotal role of climate mitigation policies in fostering the sustainable development of terrestrial ecosystems in a warming world.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于气候的急剧变化,极端天气变得越来越频繁。尽管如此,关于极端温度事件与精子质量之间关系的研究仍然很少。在这项研究中,我们阐明了暴露于极端环境温度对精子质量的影响。这项调查的数据来自安徽前瞻性辅助生殖队列,涵盖2015年至2020年期间。参数,如精子浓度,精子总数,总运动性,渐进运动,活动精子总数,从精液样本中量化进行性活动精子计数。我们评估了参与者在采样前0-90天内暴露于极端温度的情况。这项调查包括15112名参与者,产生28,267个精液样本。我们的研究结果表明,连续三天(在第一个百分位数阈值)暴露于极端低温与精子数量参数和浓度具有不利的相关性。在第二个百分位数阈值下观察到类似的趋势,其中明显的不良反应通常在4天的暴露序列后表现出来。高温极端分析显示,第98百分位数的暴露对所有六个精子质量参数都有不利影响,精子计数参数对高温特别敏感,暴露三天后立即显示显著结果。当考虑更多的极端温度(第99百分位数)时,对精子计数参数的负面影响更为明显。此外,进行性运动表现出更强的负反应。总之,与精子数量相关的参数特别容易受到极端温度暴露的影响。暴露于高温极端环境也可能与精子浓度和活力的降低有关。这项研究的结果表明,男性人群应注意避免暴露在温度极端的环境中,对提高人类生育质量具有重要意义。
    Extreme weather is becoming more frequent due to drastic changes in the climate. Despite this, the body of research focused on the association between temperature extreme events and sperm quality remains sparse. In this study, we elucidate the impact of exposure to environmental temperature extremes on sperm quality. Data for this investigation were derived from the Anhui Prospective Assisted Reproduction Cohort, encompassing the period from 2015 to 2020. Parameters such as sperm concentration, total sperm count, total motility, progressive motility, total motile sperm count, and progressive motile sperm count were quantified from semen samples. We assessed the exposure of participants to temperature extremes during the 0-90 days prior to sampling. This investigation encompassed 15,112 participants, yielding 28,267 semen samples. Our research findings indicate that exposure to low temperature extreme for three consecutive days (at the first percentile threshold) has a detrimental correlation with sperm count parameters and concentration. Similar trends were observed with the second percentile threshold, where significant adverse effects typically manifested after a four-day exposure sequence. Analysis of high temperature extreme showed that exposure at the 98th percentile had adverse effects on all six sperm quality parameters, and the sperm count parameter was particularly sensitive to high temperature, showing significant results immediately after three days of exposure. When considering even more temperature extreme (99th percentile), the negative consequences were more pronounced on the sperm count parameter. Additionally, progressive motility showed a stronger negative response. In summary, parameters associated with sperm count are particularly vulnerable to temperature extremes exposure. Exposure to high temperature extremes environments may also be associated with a decrease in sperm concentration and vitality. The findings of this study suggest that male population should pay attention to avoid exposure to temperature extreme environment, which has important significance for improving the quality of human fertility.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:儿童比成年人更容易受到与气候相关的健康威胁,但是研究气候变化如何影响人类健康的评论主要是描述性的,缺乏对儿童面临的健康影响程度的评估。这是第一次系统评价和荟萃分析,确定哪些气候-健康关系对儿童构成最大威胁。
    目的:我们回顾了流行病学研究,以分析气候变化导致的各种儿童健康结果,并确定与最大效应大小的关系。我们确定了特定人群的风险,并为未来的研究提供了建议。
    方法:我们搜索了四个大型在线数据库,以根据PRISMA(系统评价)指南在2023年1月5日之前发表的观察性研究。我们分别评估了每个纳入的研究,并汇总了相关的定量数据。我们在荟萃分析中使用了定量数据,我们标准化了效应大小,并在气候变量和健康结果的不同分组之间进行了比较。
    结果:在我们确定的1301篇文章中,163项研究符合分析条件。我们确定了气候变化与儿童健康之间的许多关系,其中最强的是暴露于极端温度的早产风险增加(平均60%)。呼吸系统疾病,死亡率,和发病率,其中,也受到气候变化的影响。与温度影响相比,不同空气污染物对健康结果的影响要小得多,但大多数(16/20=80%)污染物研究表明至少有微弱的影响。大多数研究发生在高收入地区,但是我们没有根据健康结果发现地理聚类,气候变量,或风险的大小。以下因素是保护与气候有关的儿童健康威胁:(i)经济稳定和实力,(ii)获得高质量的医疗保健,(iii)适当的基础设施,(四)粮食安全。对这些服务的威胁因当地地理而异,气候,和社会经济条件。由于人为气候变化,儿童的疾病患病率将增加,我们对气候变化各方面对儿童健康的影响进行量化,可以有助于规划将改善今世后代健康的缓解措施。
    BACKGROUND: Children are more vulnerable than adults to climate-related health threats, but reviews examining how climate change affects human health have been mainly descriptive and lack an assessment of the magnitude of health effects children face. This is the first systematic review and meta-analysis that identifies which climate-health relationships pose the greatest threats to children.
    OBJECTIVE: We reviewed epidemiologic studies to analyse various child health outcomes due to climate change and identify the relationships with the largest effect size. We identify population-specific risks and provide recommendations for future research.
    METHODS: We searched four large online databases for observational studies published up to 5 January 2023 following PRISMA (systematic review) guidelines. We evaluated each included study individually and aggregated relevant quantitative data. We used quantitative data in our meta-analysis, where we standardised effect sizes and compared them among different groupings of climate variables and health outcomes.
    RESULTS: Of 1301 articles we identified, 163 studies were eligible for analysis. We identified many relationships between climate change and child health, the strongest of which was increasing risk (60 % on average) of preterm birth from exposure to temperature extremes. Respiratory disease, mortality, and morbidity, among others, were also influenced by climate changes. The effects of different air pollutants on health outcomes were considerably smaller compared to temperature effects, but with most (16/20 = 80 %) pollutant studies indicating at least a weak effect. Most studies occurred in high-income regions, but we found no geographical clustering according to health outcome, climate variable, or magnitude of risk. The following factors were protective of climate-related child-health threats: (i) economic stability and strength, (ii) access to quality healthcare, (iii) adequate infrastructure, and (iv) food security. Threats to these services vary by local geographical, climate, and socio-economic conditions. Children will have increased prevalence of disease due to anthropogenic climate change, and our quantification of the impact of various aspects of climate change on child health can contribute to the planning of mitigation that will improve the health of current and future generations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    陆生硅藻广泛分布在各种生境中,并定期记录在生物锈蚀中。尽管硅藻早就知道生活在陆地栖息地,只有少数研究关注它们的生态生理学多样性。在这里,我们对来自生物锈病的五种陆地硅藻培养物的生态生理性能进行了研究,收集在波罗的海德国海岸的沙丘中。采样点是沿着人类对沙丘的影响梯度选择的。硅藻物种的丰富,从永久性幻灯片粗略估计,每个采样点大约有30种。以相同的方式计算物种丰度,表明破碎的硅藻硅藻壳比例很高。在实验室中建立的所有硅藻培养物都没有光抑制和沿光梯度的高氧产生。菌株之间的脱水耐受性不同,Hantzschiaabundans和Achnanthescoarctata的回收率很高,而Pinnulariaborealis和Pinnulariaintermediate的回收率很低至没有。大多数菌株的最大生长速率在25至30°C之间。这些温度在自然环境中很容易达到。然而,在短期暴露于高温期间,记录到35°C的氧气产量。有趣的是,五种硅藻培养物中的两种(Hantzschiaabundans和Pinnulariaborealis)产生了类似霉菌素的氨基酸。这些紫外线防护物质是从海洋硅藻中已知的,但以前在陆地硅藻中没有报道。
    Terrestrial diatoms are widespread in a large variety of habitats and are regularly recorded in biocrusts. Although diatoms have long been known to live in terrestrial habitats, only a few studies have focused on their diversity of ecophysiology. Here we present a study on the ecophysiological performance of five terrestrial diatom cultures from biocrusts, which were collected in sand dunes of the German coast of the Baltic Sea. The sampling sites were selected along a gradient of human impacts on the dunes. The richness of diatom species, roughly estimated from permanent slides, was around 30 species per sampling site. The species abundance was calculated in the same way revealing a high proportion of broken diatom frustules. All diatom cultures established in the laboratory showed no photoinhibition and high oxygen production along a light gradient. The desiccation tolerance differed among the strains, with high recovery observed for Hantzschia abundans and Achnanthes coarctata and low to no recovery for Pinnularia borealis and Pinnularia intermedia. The maximum growth rate for most strains was between 25 and 30°C. These temperatures can be easily reached in their natural environments. Nevertheless, during short-term exposure to elevated temperatures, oxygen production was recorded up to 35°C. Interestingly, two of five diatom cultures (Hantzschia abundans and Pinnularia borealis) produced mycosporine-like amino acids. These UV-protective substances are known from marine diatoms but not previously reported in terrestrial diatoms.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    鉴于昆虫在所有生态系统中发挥的关键和多样化作用,全球昆虫丰度和多样性的下降现已得到充分记录,并且越来越令人担忧。栖息地丧失,入侵物种,和人为化学物质显然都对昆虫种群有害,但是越来越多的证据暗示气候变化是全球昆虫数量减少的关键驱动因素。变暖的温度加上增加的变异性可能会使生物体暴露于超过耐受性的极端热量下,可能会导致当地灭绝。在这种情况下,耐热极限(例如,临界热最大值,CTmax)已对许多无脊椎动物进行了测量,并且通常与发现动物的气候区域密切相关。然而,远低于CTmax的温度也可能对昆虫产生显著影响,但研究相对较少。此外,许多生态和经济足迹过大的昆虫是殖民地的(例如,蚂蚁,群居蜜蜂,白蚁),使热量对个体的影响可以通过菌落传播或由菌落补偿。对于殖民地生物,因此,测量对个体的直接影响可能几乎不能揭示气候变化对人口水平的影响。这里,我们使用大黄蜂(Bombus属)作为案例研究,以强调对CTmax以下的热效应以及对殖民地影响和响应的有限理解可能会阻碍我们解释过去和预测未来气候变化影响的能力。大黄蜂的见解表明,对于不同的无脊椎动物,预测气候变化影响将需要对热暴露的影响有更细致的了解,并需要对殖民地的结转效应和补偿反应进行更多的研究。
    Global declines in abundance and diversity of insects are now well-documented and increasingly concerning given the critical and diverse roles insects play in all ecosystems. Habitat loss, invasive species, and anthropogenic chemicals are all clearly detrimental to insect populations, but mounting evidence implicates climate change as a key driver of insect declines globally. Warming temperatures combined with increased variability may expose organisms to extreme heat that exceeds tolerance, potentially driving local extirpations. In this context, heat tolerance limits (e.g., critical thermal maximum, CTmax) have been measured for many invertebrates and are often closely linked to climate regions where animals are found. However, temperatures well below CTmax may also have pronounced effects on insects, but have been relatively less studied. Additionally, many insects with out-sized ecological and economic footprints are colonial (e.g., ants, social bees, termites) such that effects of heat on individuals may propagate through or be compensated by the colony. For colonial organisms, measuring direct effects on individuals may therefore reveal little about population-level impacts of changing climates. Here, we use bumble bees (genus Bombus) as a case study to highlight how a limited understanding of heat effects below CTmax and of colonial impacts and responses both likely hinder our ability to explain past and predict future climate change impacts. Insights from bumble bees suggest that, for diverse invertebrates, predicting climate change impacts will require a more nuanced understanding of the effects of heat exposure and additional studies of carry-over effects and compensatory responses by colonies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文的目的是回顾有关雷暴等极端天气事件的影响的最新文献,野火,热带气旋,淡水洪水,和极端温度与哮喘症状有关。几项研究表明,雷暴会使哮喘症状恶化,野火,热带气旋,淡水洪水,极端温度。特别是,雷暴哮喘可能因温度等因素而加剧,降水,和过敏原致敏。因此,过敏和免疫学界必须意识到与这些极端天气事件相关的健康影响,以便教育患者并采取缓解策略。
    The objective of this article is to review recent literature on the implications of extreme weather events such as thunderstorms, wildfires, tropical cyclones, freshwater flooding, and temperature extremes in relationship to asthma symptoms. Several studies have shown worsening of asthma symptoms with thunderstorms, wildfires, tropical cyclones, freshwater flooding, and temperature extremes. In particular, thunderstorm asthma can be exacerbated by certain factors such as temperature, precipitation, and allergen sensitization. Therefore, it is imperative that the allergy and immunology community be aware of the health effects associated with these extreme weather events in order to educate patients and engage in mitigation strategies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    关于城市特征在改变极端温度健康影响中的作用的研究尚不清楚。这项研究旨在量化归因于极端温度的感染性腹泻的发病风险以及一系列城市特定指标的修改效果。应用分布式滞后非线性模型和多变量元回归来估计归因于极端温度的感染性腹泻发病率的分数,并探索城市级特征的影响修改。极端高温和极端寒冷相关性感染性腹泻占总病例的0.99%(95%CI:0.57-1.29)和1.05%(95%CI:0.64-1.24),分别。中国南部和北部的感染性腹泻的极端温度归因比例不同。几个城市特征改变了极端寒冷与感染性腹泻的关系,发病率较高的影响与人均用水量增加和纬度下降有关。纬度或人均GDP水平较高的地区似乎对极端高温更为敏感。总之,暴露在极端温度下与感染性腹泻的风险增加相关,城市特征可以改变这种影响。这一发现可以为公共卫生干预措施提供信息,以减少极端温度对感染性腹泻的不利影响。
    Studies about the role of urban characteristics in modifying the health effect of temperature extremes are still unclear. This study is aimed at quantifying the morbidity risk of infectious diarrhea attributable to temperature extremes and the modified effect of a range of city-specific indicators. Distributed lag non-linear model and multivariate meta-regression were applied to estimate fractions of infectious diarrhea morbidity attributable to temperature extremes and to explore the effect modification of city-level characteristics. Extreme heat- and extreme cold-related infectious diarrhea amounted to 0.99% (95% CI: 0.57-1.29) and 1.05% (95% CI: 0.64-1.24) of the total cases, respectively. The attributable fraction of temperature extremes on infectious diarrhea varied between southern and northern China. Several city characteristics modified the association of extreme cold with infectious diarrhea, with a higher morbidity impact related to increased water consumption per capita and decreased latitude. Regions with higher levels of latitude or GDP per capita appeared to be more sensitive to extreme hot. In conclusion, exposure to temperature extremes was associated with increased risks of infectious diarrhea and the effect can be modified by urban characteristics. This finding can inform public health interventions to decrease the adverse effects of temperature extremes on infectious diarrhea.
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