sustainability and resilience

可持续性和复原力
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究旨在应用一种旅程制图方法,以确定每个旅行阶段残疾人(PWD)的旅行考虑因素和障碍,从考虑旅行到到达目的地,他们目前的交通方式,目的是理解和避免向自动驾驶系统过渡期间的“痛点”。二十名残疾人,包括那些有身体,视觉,听觉,认知,和身体/视觉障碍相结合,参加了半结构化的一对一面试。描述性统计数据用于人口统计信息,采用定性内容分析对转录访谈进行分析,提取主题。主题由所使用的运输方式进一步组织。考虑和计划旅行的前四个主题是第三方援助可用性(私家车,公共交通,和辅助运输),寻找无障碍或合适的停车位(私家车),进入服务位置(公共交通和辅助运输),和交通时间表(公共交通和辅助运输)。定位的四大旅行障碍,进入,骑马,离开交通工具和到达目的地的是车辆进出(私人车辆和公共交通工具),关注轮椅安全(公共交通和辅助运输),需要第三方援助(私家车和公共交通),和可访问的服务地点(公共交通)。研究表明,为了减轻残疾人士的旅行考虑和障碍,应同时解决特定车辆的障碍和基础设施问题。我们预计这些发现将为自动驾驶汽车的设计和开发提供见解。更好地满足残疾人的需求。
    This study aimed to apply a journey mapping methodology to identify travel considerations and barriers for people with disabilities (PWDs) at each travel stage, from considering a trip through to arriving at the destination for their current modes of transportation, with the objective of understanding and avoiding \"pain points\" during a transition to autonomous driving systems. Twenty PWDs, including those with physical, visual, aural, cognitive, and combined physical/visual impairments, participated in a semistructured one-on-one interview. Descriptive statistics were used for demographic information, and qualitative content analysis was used to analyze the transcribed interviews and extract themes. Themes were further organized by the modes of transportation used. The top four themes in considering and planning a trip were third-party assistance availability (private vehicle, public transportation, and paratransit), finding an accessible or suitable parking space (private vehicle), access to a service location (public transportation and paratransit), and transportation schedules (public transportation and paratransit). The top four travel barriers to locating, entering, riding, and exiting transportation and arriving at the destination were vehicle ingress/egress (private vehicle and public transportation), concerns about wheelchair securement (public transportation and paratransit), requiring third-party assistance (private vehicle and public transportation), and accessibility to service locations (public transportation). The study suggests that to mitigate travel considerations and barriers for PWDs, vehicle-specific barriers and infrastructure issues should be addressed simultaneously. We anticipate that the findings will provide insights into the design and development of autonomous vehicles, to better accommodate the needs of PWDs.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    COVID-19的持续传播对社区安全构成了重大威胁。由于大流行何时结束仍不确定,了解导致COVID-19新病例的因素至关重要,特别是从运输角度来看。本文研究了美国居民每日旅行距离对COVID-19在社区中传播的影响。人工神经网络方法用于使用从两个来源收集的数据构建和测试预测模型:交通统计局和COVID-19跟踪项目。该数据集使用了10个按距离划分的每日旅行变量,并在2020年3月至9月进行了新的测试,样本量为10,914。结果表明,每天不同距离的旅行对预测COVID-19传播的重要性。更具体地说,短于3英里的旅行和250至500英里的旅行对预测新冠肺炎每日新病例的贡献最大。此外,每天的新测试和10到25英里之间的旅行是影响最小的变量之一。这项研究的发现可以帮助政府部门根据居民的日常出行行为评估COVID-19感染的风险,并形成必要的策略来减轻风险。所开发的神经网络可用于预测感染率并构建各种情景以进行风险评估和控制。
    The continued spread of COVID-19 poses significant threats to the safety of the community. Since it is still uncertain when the pandemic will end, it is vital to understand the factors contributing to new cases of COVID-19, especially from the transportation perspective. This paper examines the effect of the United States residents\' daily trips by distances on the spread of COVID-19 in the community. The artificial neural network method is used to construct and test the predictive model using data collected from two sources: Bureau of Transportation Statistics and the COVID-19 Tracking Project. The dataset uses ten daily travel variables by distances and new tests from March to September 2020, with a sample size of 10,914. The results indicate the importance of daily trips at different distances in predicting the spread of COVID-19. More specifically, trips shorter than 3 mi and trips between 250 and 500 mi contribute most to predicting daily new cases of COVID-19. Additionally, daily new tests and trips between 10 and 25 mi are among the variables with the lowest effects. This study\'s findings can help governmental authorities evaluate the risk of COVID-19 infection based on residents\' daily travel behaviors and form necessary strategies to mitigate the risks. The developed neural network can be used to predict the infection rate and construct various scenarios for risk assessment and control.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    新冠肺炎疫情扰乱了美国各地的日常生活和基础设施,包括公共交通系统,从2020年3月开始,乘客量急剧下降。这项研究旨在探讨奥斯汀人口普查区乘客人数下降的差异,TX以及是否存在与这些下降相关的人口和空间特征。来自首都大都会运输局的过境乘客数据与美国社区调查数据结合使用,以了解大流行引起的乘客量变化的空间分布。使用多元聚类分析以及地理加权回归模型,分析表明,该城市人口较老的地区以及黑人和西班牙裔人口的百分比较高,而失业率较高的地区下降幅度更大。在奥斯汀市中心,西班牙裔居民的百分比似乎最明显地影响了乘车率。这些发现支持并扩展了先前的研究,这些研究发现,大流行对过境乘客的影响强调了美国和城市内部过境使用和依赖的差异。
    The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted day-to-day lives and infrastructure across the United States, including public transit systems, which saw precipitous declines in ridership beginning in March 2020. This study aimed to explore the disparities in ridership decline across census tracts in Austin, TX and whether demographic and spatial characteristics exist that are related to these declines. Transit ridership data from the Capital Metropolitan Transportation Authority were used in conjunction with American Community Survey data to understand the spatial distribution of ridership changes caused by the pandemic. Using a multivariate clustering analysis as well as geographically weighted regression models, the analysis indicated that areas of the city with older populations as well as higher percentages of Black and Hispanic populations were associated with less severe declines in ridership, whereas areas with higher unemployment saw steeper declines. The percentage of Hispanic residents appeared to affect ridership most clearly in the center of Austin. These findings support and expand on previous research that found that the impacts of the pandemic on transit ridership have emphasized the disparities in transit usage and dependence across the United States and within cities.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    2020年标志着全球大流行的蔓延,新冠肺炎,挑战我们日常生活的许多方面。不同的组织参与了这次疫情的控制。社会距离干预被认为是减少面对面接触和减缓感染率的最有效政策。在不同的州和城市实施了居家和就地避难令,影响日常交通模式。社会距离干预和对疾病的恐惧导致城市和县的交通量下降。然而,留在家中的命令结束后,一些公共场所重新开放,流量逐渐开始恢复到大流行前的水平。可以看出,各县在衰退和复苏阶段有不同的模式。这项研究分析了大流行后县级流动性的变化,探索了促成因素,并确定可能的空间异质性。为此,已选择田纳西州的95个县作为研究区域,以执行地理加权回归(GWR)模型。结果表明,非高速公路道路上的密度,家庭收入中位数,失业率的百分比,人口密度,65岁以上的人占百分比,18岁以下的人占百分比,在家工作的百分比,在下降和恢复阶段,平均工作时间与车辆行驶里程变化幅度显着相关。此外,GWR估计捕获了各县之间系数的空间异质性和局部变异。最后,结果表明,恢复阶段可以根据确定的空间属性进行估计。所提出的模型可以帮助机构和研究人员根据未来类似事件中的空间因素来估计和管理下降和恢复。
    The year 2020 has marked the spread of a global pandemic, COVID-19, challenging many aspects of our daily lives. Different organizations have been involved in controlling this outbreak. The social distancing intervention is deemed to be the most effective policy in reducing face-to-face contact and slowing down the rate of infections. Stay-at-home and shelter-in-place orders have been implemented in different states and cities, affecting daily traffic patterns. Social distancing interventions and fear of the disease resulted in a traffic decline in cities and counties. However, after stay-at-home orders ended and some public places reopened, traffic gradually started to revert to pre-pandemic levels. It can be shown that counties have diverse patterns in the decline and recovery phases. This study analyzes county-level mobility change after the pandemic, explores the contributing factors, and identifies possible spatial heterogeneity. To this end, 95 counties in Tennessee have been selected as the study area to perform geographically weighted regressions (GWR) models. The results show that density on non-freeway roads, median household income, percent of unemployment, population density, percent of people over age 65, percent of people under age 18, percent of work from home, and mean time to work are significantly correlated with vehicle miles traveled change magnitude in both decline and recovery phases. Also, the GWR estimation captures the spatial heterogeneity and local variation in coefficients among counties. Finally, the results imply that the recovery phase could be estimated depending on the identified spatial attributes. The proposed model can help agencies and researchers estimate and manage decline and recovery based on spatial factors in similar events in the future.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究调查了COVID-19对资源匮乏的妇女的流动性及其与南亚城市生计的联系的影响,以及如何采取促进性别平等的运输措施。这项研究,2020年10月至2021年5月在德里进行,使用了混合方法,多方利益相关者,和反身方法。对德里的性别和流动背景进行了文献综述,印度。通过对资源贫乏妇女的调查收集了定量数据,而定性研究方法包括对他们的深入访谈。在数据收集之前和之后,通过圆桌会议和关键线人访谈,让不同的利益攸关方参与进来,分享调查结果和建议。抽样调查(n=800)显示,只有1.8%的工作资源匮乏的妇女可以使用私人车辆,让他们依赖公共交通。虽然他们的旅行中有81%是乘公共汽车,他们57%的高峰时间旅行是通过辅助运输,尽管乘坐公共汽车自由旅行。只有10%的样本可以使用智能手机,这限制了他们对基于智能手机应用程序的数字计划的访问。这些妇女表达了担忧,例如在免费乘车计划下,公共汽车班次差和公共汽车没有为她们停下来。这些与COVID-19大流行前面临的问题是一致的。这些调查结果突出表明,需要为资源贫乏的妇女制定有针对性的战略,以实现促进性别平等的运输。其中包括多式联运补贴,获得实时信息的短消息服务,提高投诉意识,和有效的申诉补救制度。
    This research examines the impacts of COVID-19 on the mobility of resource-poor women and its linkage with livelihoods in urban South Asia, and how gender-responsive transport measures could be adopted. The study, conducted in Delhi between October 2020 and May 2021, used a mixed methods, multi-stakeholder, and reflexive approach. A literature review was conducted on the gender and mobility context in Delhi, India. Quantitative data were collected through surveys with resource-poor women, while qualitative research methods consisted of in-depth interviews with them. Different stakeholders were engaged through round tables and key informant interviews before and after data collection to share the findings and recommendations. The sample survey (n = 800) revealed that only 1.8% of working resource-poor women have access to a personal vehicle, making them dependent on public transport. While 81% of their trips are by bus, 57% of their peak hour trips are by paratransit, despite free travel on buses. Only 10% of the sample have access to a smart phone, which restricts their access to digital initiatives based on smart phone applications. The women expressed concerns such as poor bus frequencies and buses not stopping for them under the free ride scheme. These were consistent with issues faced before the COVID-19 pandemic. These findings highlight the need for targeted strategies for resource-poor women to achieve equity in gender-responsive transport. These include a multimodal subsidy, short messaging service to obtain real-time information, increased awareness on filing complaints, and an effective grievance redressal system.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文报告了在印度与COVID-19相关的封锁早期阶段与人们的看法和态度有关的证据,主要包括四个方面:战略和预防措施,长途旅行,基本服务,和封锁后的旅行。设计了一个五阶段调查工具,并通过各种在线模式分发,以方便受访者,并在短时间内实现更大的地理覆盖范围。使用统计工具对调查答复进行了分析,并将结果转化为潜在的政策建议,这些建议可能有助于在未来类似性质的大流行期间实施有效的干预措施。调查结果突显了人们对COVID-19的认识率很高,缺乏口罩等防护设备,手套,以及在印度封锁初期的个人防护装备包。然而,在一些社会经济群体中也观察到了一些异质性,这些群体强调需要在印度等多元化国家开展有针对性的运动。调查结果还表明,当这种封锁措施长期延长时,有必要为社会的一部分安排安全和卫生的长途旅行。在封锁后恢复期间,与模式选择偏好相关的观察表明,公共交通乘客可能会转向个人模式。
    The paper reports evidence related to peoples\' perceptions and attitude during the early stages of COVID-19 related lockdown in India in four major aspects: strategies and preventive measures, long-distance travel, essential services, and post-lockdown travel. A five-stage survey instrument was designed and circulated through various online modes to make it convenient to the respondents and also to achieve a greater geographical coverage within a short period of time. The survey responses were analyzed using statistical tools and the results are translated into potential policy recommendations which may be useful to implement effective interventions during future pandemics of similar nature. The findings highlight a high rate of awareness among the people about the COVID-19, lack of supply of protective equipment such as masks, gloves, and personal protective equipment kits during the early stage of lockdown in India. However, several heterogeneities were also observed across a few socio-economic groups which emphasize the need for targeted campaigns in a diverse country such as India. The findings also suggest the need for arranging safe and hygienic long-distance trips for a section of the society when such lockdown measures are extended for long periods. The observations related to mode choice preferences during the post-lockdown recovery period indicate a potential shift of public transport patronage to the personal modes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    COVID-19大流行对公共卫生和安全产生了深远的影响,经济学,和运输系统。为了减少这种疾病的传播,世界各地的联邦和地方政府都对“非必要”企业实施了居家旅行命令和其他限制,以实施社交距离。初步证据表明,这些订单在美国的影响存在很大差异,无论是在国家和随着时间的推移。本研究使用美国48个州和哥伦比亚特区的每日县级车辆行驶里程(VMT)数据来研究此问题。估计了双向随机效应模型,以评估2020年3月1日至6月30日VMT与基线1月旅行水平相比的变化。居家订单的实施与VMT平均减少56.4%相关。然而,这种效应被证明会随着时间的推移而消失,这可能归因于“隔离疲劳”。“在没有完整的就地避难命令的情况下,在对部分企业实行限制的地方,旅行也减少了。例如,限制娱乐,室内用餐,室内娱乐活动减少了3%至4%,而零售和个人护理设施的限制显示交通量降低了13%。VMT也根据COVID病例报告的数量而有所不同,以及其他特征,包括家庭收入中位数,政治倾向,以及这个县的农村性质。
    The COVID-19 pandemic has had far-reaching impacts on public health and safety, economics, and the transportation system. To reduce the spread of this disease, federal and local governments around the world have introduced stay-at-home orders and other restrictions on travel to \"non-essential\" businesses to implement social distancing. Preliminary evidence suggests substantial variability in the impacts of these orders in the United States, both across states and over time. This study examines this issue using daily county-level vehicle miles traveled (VMT) data for the 48 continental U.S. states and the District of Columbia. A two-way random effects model is estimated to assess changes in VMT from March 1 to June 30, 2020 as compared with baseline January travel levels. The implementation of stay-at-home orders was associated with a 56.4 percent reduction in VMT on average. However, this effect was shown to dissipate over time, which may be attributable to \"quarantine fatigue.\" In the absence of full shelter-in-place orders, travel was also reduced where restrictions on select businesses were introduced. For example, restrictions on entertainment, indoor dining, and indoor recreational activities corresponded to reductions in VMT of 3 to 4 percent while restrictions on retail and personal care facilities showed 13 percent lower traffic levels. VMT was also shown to vary based on the number of COVID case reports, as well as with respect to other characteristics, including median household income, political leanings, and how rural the county was in nature.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在没有疫苗的情况下,社交距离和减少旅行等非药物干预措施是减缓COVID-19大流行传播的唯一策略.使用2020年3月至5月在大流行开始时从夏威夷收集的调查数据(n=22,200),调查了将疾病带入州的旅行者传播者与社区传播者之间的差异。除了描述人口统计学属性并将其与那些易受COVID-19影响的人的属性进行比较外,还开发并测试了解释旅行行为的Logit模型。旅行者传播者可能是男性,年轻,返回的学生。社区传播者更可能是男性,基本工人,第一反应者,和暴露风险最高的医务人员。使用空间统计,绘制了高危个体的集群和热点位置。由于交通研究人员能够将他们的关键分析能力和经验与有关移动性和传染病传播的相关数据库相结合,这一分析可以支持应对和减缓大流行蔓延的努力。
    In the absence of a vaccine, nonpharmaceutical interventions such as social distancing and travel reductions were the only strategies for slowing the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. Using survey data from Hawaii (n = 22,200) collected in March through May of 2020 at the onset of the pandemic, the differences between traveler spreaders who brought the disease into the state and community spreaders were investigated. In addition to describing the demographic attributes and comparing them with attributes of those who were vulnerable to COVID-19, logit models explaining travel behaviors were developed and tested. Traveler spreaders were likely to be male, younger, and returning students. Community spreaders were more likely to be male, essential workers, first responders, and medical personnel at the highest risk of exposure. Using spatial statistics, clusters and hotspot locations of high-risk individuals were mapped. As transportation researchers are in a position to combine their critical analytical capabilities and experience with relevant databases on mobility and the spread of infectious diseases, this analysis could support efforts to respond to and slow the spread of the pandemic.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    为了防止新冠肺炎等人传人疾病的大流行蔓延,各国政府通常诉诸全国或地区封锁战略。这样的封锁,无论何时何地实施,减少人员和车辆的移动,并大幅改变交通状况。这项研究的重点是交通状况急剧和突然变化的影响,在印度马哈拉施特拉邦的新冠肺炎封锁期间,2020年3月至6月,关于机动车事故数量(MVA),以及由此造成的伤亡。对警察报告的MVA首次信息报告(FIR)进行了内容分析,并将这些锁定趋势与相应的先前(正常)时期的档案数据进行比较。统计分析表明,在封锁期间,虽然MVA的总数急剧下降,他们更严重,每个MVA的死亡率要高得多。此外,涉及MVA的车辆模式,以及由此产生的死亡模式,在封锁期间也会发生变化。本文探讨了这些模式变化的原因,并提供了减少与大流行相关的封锁的这些负外部性的建议。
    To prevent the pandemic spread of human-to-human transmitted diseases such as COVID-19, governments commonly resort to countrywide or regional lockdown strategies. Such lockdowns, whenever and wherever implemented, curtail the movement of persons and vehicles, and drastically alter traffic conditions. This study focuses on the effect of drastic and sudden changes in the traffic conditions, during the COVID-19 lockdown in the State of Maharashtra in India, in March-June 2020, on the numbers of motor vehicle accidents (MVAs), and the resultant fatalities and injuries. Content analysis of police-reported first information reports (FIRs) of MVAs is performed, and these lockdown trends are compared with archival data from corresponding previous (normal) periods. The statistical analysis shows that, during the lockdown, while the total number of MVAs fall drastically, they are more severe and have a much higher fatality rate per MVA. Also, the pattern of vehicles involved in MVAs, and resultant pattern of fatalities, also changes during lockdowns. The paper explores the reasons for these changed patterns and provides suggestions to reduce these negative externalities of pandemic related lockdowns.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    最近的COVID-19大流行导致了几乎在世界范围内的就地避难战略。这引起了一些关于安全放松当前限制的自然担忧。本文重点介绍了在运输背景下加热通风和空调(HVAC)系统的设计和操作。DoHVACsystemshavearoleinlimitedvirusspread?Duringshelt-in-place,住宅或车辆中的暖通空调系统可以帮助限制病毒传播吗?典型的工作场所和交通暖通空调系统可以限制病毒的传播吗?本文直接解决了这些和其他问题。此外,它还总结了做出有意义的预测所需的简化假设。本文使用Ginsberg和Bui首次给出的变换方法得出新结果。这些新结果描述了通过HVAC系统的病毒传播,并估算了当感染的乘员存在于同一建筑物或车辆内时未感染的建筑物或车辆乘员吸入的病毒的总剂量。这些结果的核心是推导出一个称为“保护因子”的数量,这是一个从防毒面具设计中借用的艺术术语。依赖于这些微分方程的数值逼近的较旧结果早已得到实验室验证。本文首次给出了固定基础设施中的精确解决方案。这些解决方案,因此,保留对较旧的近似方法的相同实验室验证。Further,这些精确的解决方案对运输中使用的HVAC系统产生了有价值的见解。
    The recent COVID-19 pandemic has led to a nearly world-wide shelter-in-place strategy. This raises several natural concerns about the safe relaxing of current restrictions. This article focuses on the design and operation of heating ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) systems in the context of transportation. Do HVAC systems have a role in limiting viral spread? During shelter-in-place, can the HVAC system in a dwelling or a vehicle help limit spread of the virus? After the shelter-in-place strategy ends, can typical workplace and transportation HVAC systems limit spread of the virus? This article directly addresses these and other questions. In addition, it also summarizes simplifying assumptions needed to make meaningful predictions. This article derives new results using transform methods first given in Ginsberg and Bui. These new results describe viral spread through an HVAC system and estimate the aggregate dose of virus inhaled by an uninfected building or vehicle occupant when an infected occupant is present within the same building or vehicle. Central to these results is the derivation of a quantity called the \"protection factor\"-a term-of-art borrowed from the design of gas masks. Older results that rely on numerical approximations to these differential equations have long been lab validated. This article gives the exact solutions in fixed infrastructure for the first time. These solutions, therefore, retain the same lab validation of the older methods of approximation. Further, these exact solutions yield valuable insights into HVAC systems used in transportation.
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