survey weights

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目前还不清楚流感大流行期间感染后症状的风险是如何演变的,特别是在严重急性呼吸系统综合症冠状病毒2变种的传播和疫苗的供应之前。我们使用改良的Poisson回归分析,根据第一次急性covid期间:法国第一次(2020年3月至5月)或第二次(2020年9月至11月),比较covid症状后六个月的风险及其相关风险因素。无响应权重和多重归因用于处理缺失数据。在国家基于人口的队列中,年龄在15岁或以上的参与者中,covid后症状的风险为14.6%(95%CI:13.9%,15.3%),2020年3月至5月为7.0%(95%CI:6.3%,7.7%),2020年9月-11月(调整后RR:1.36,95%CI:1.20,1.55)。对于这两个时期,在存在基线身体状况的情况下,风险更高,随着急性症状的增加。在第一波中,女性的风险也更高,在存在基线精神状态的情况下,它随教育水平而变化。在2020年的法国,第一波感染后六个月症状的风险高于第二波。在变体的传播和疫苗的可用性之前观察到这种差异。
    It is unclear how the risk of post-covid symptoms evolved during the pandemic, especially before the spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 variants and the availability of vaccines. We used modified Poisson regressions to compare the risk of six-month post-covid symptoms and their associated risk factors according to the period of first acute covid: during the French first (March-May 2020) or second (September-November 2020) wave. Non-response weights and multiple imputation were used to handle missing data. Among participants aged 15 or more in a national population-based cohort, the risk of post-covid symptoms was 14.6% (95% CI: 13.9%, 15.3%) in March-May 2020, versus 7.0% (95% CI: 6.3%, 7.7%) in September-November 2020 (adjusted RR: 1.36, 95% CI: 1.20, 1.55). For both periods, the risk was higher in the presence of baseline physical condition(s), and it increased with the number of acute symptoms. During the first wave, the risk was also higher for women, in the presence of baseline mental condition(s), and it varied with educational level. In France in 2020, the risk of six-month post-covid symptoms was higher during the first than the second wave. This difference was observed before the spread of variants and the availability of vaccines.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:评估儿童和年轻人长Covid(CYP)的研究结果需要根据其方法学局限性进行评估。例如,如果随着时间的推移,无反应和/或自然减员在CYP的亚组之间存在系统性差异,调查结果可能有偏见,任何概括都是有限的。本研究旨在(i)为LongCovid(CLoCk)研究的儿童和年轻人构建调查权重,(ii)将其应用于已发表的CLoCk研究结果表明,在SARS-CoV-2阳性和阴性CYP中,呼吸急促和疲倦的患病率随基线至基线后12个月的时间增加。
    方法:对Logistic回归模型进行拟合,以计算(i)预期参与的响应的概率,(二)给予及时回应,和(iii)(Re)感染给予及时反应。回应,及时响应和(再)感染权重被生成为相应概率的倒数,总体的“预期人口”调查体重是这些体重的乘积。调查重量被修剪,以及开发的交互式工具,使用2021年英国人口普查的数据将目标人口调查权重重新校准为一般人口。
    结果:成功开发了用于CLoCk研究的灵活调查权重。在说明性示例中,重新加权的结果(当考虑响应选择时,自然减员,和(再)感染)与已发表的发现一致。
    结论:为CDoCk研究创建并使用了灵活的调查权重,以解决潜在的偏见和选择问题。先前报道的来自CLoCk的前瞻性发现可推广到英格兰的CYP更广泛的人群。这项研究强调了在考虑发现的普遍性时,考虑选择样本和随时间流失的重要性。
    BACKGROUND: Findings from studies assessing Long Covid in children and young people (CYP) need to be assessed in light of their methodological limitations. For example, if non-response and/or attrition over time systematically differ by sub-groups of CYP, findings could be biased and any generalisation limited. The present study aimed to (i) construct survey weights for the Children and young people with Long Covid (CLoCk) study, and (ii) apply them to published CLoCk findings showing the prevalence of shortness of breath and tiredness increased over time from baseline to 12-months post-baseline in both SARS-CoV-2 Positive and Negative CYP.
    METHODS: Logistic regression models were fitted to compute the probability of (i) Responding given envisioned to take part, (ii) Responding timely given responded, and (iii) (Re)infection given timely response. Response, timely response and (re)infection weights were generated as the reciprocal of the corresponding probability, with an overall \'envisioned population\' survey weight derived as the product of these weights. Survey weights were trimmed, and an interactive tool developed to re-calibrate target population survey weights to the general population using data from the 2021 UK Census.
    RESULTS: Flexible survey weights for the CLoCk study were successfully developed. In the illustrative example, re-weighted results (when accounting for selection in response, attrition, and (re)infection) were consistent with published findings.
    CONCLUSIONS: Flexible survey weights to address potential bias and selection issues were created for and used in the CLoCk study. Previously reported prospective findings from CLoCk are generalisable to the wider population of CYP in England. This study highlights the importance of considering selection into a sample and attrition over time when considering generalisability of findings.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    因果推断的先前工作表明,在倾向得分估计阶段和结果模型阶段使用调查抽样权重进行二元处理可以对所分析的二元处理的效果产生更稳健的估计。然而,到目前为止,将这项工作扩展到连续治疗和暴露尚未探索,也没有考虑如何处理倾向评分模型中的减员权重。尽管如此,当研究人员有观察数据时,广义倾向评分(GPS)分析被用于估计连续治疗对结果的影响,这些数据集通常具有需要在分析中考虑的调查或减员权重。这里,我们扩展了先前的工作,并通过分析结果表明,在GPS估计阶段和结果模型阶段使用调查抽样或减员权重进行连续治疗,可以得到比不可靠的估计器更可靠的估计器。仿真研究结果表明,虽然在两个估计阶段使用权重足以进行稳健估计,在某些情况下,在使用权重进行估计的各种方法下,这不是必要的,并且在某些情况下可以进行无偏估计。分析师不知道我们模拟研究的条件是否成立,因此,在两个估计阶段使用权重可能为减少潜在偏差提供保险。我们在一个实证例子的背景下讨论我们的结果的含义。
    Prior work in causal inference has shown that using survey sampling weights in the propensity score estimation stage and the outcome model stage for binary treatments can result in a more robust estimator of the effect of the binary treatment being analyzed. However, to date, extending this work to continuous treatments and exposures has not been explored nor has consideration been given for how to handle attrition weights in the propensity score model. Nonetheless, generalized propensity score (GPS) analyses are being used for estimating continuous treatment effects on outcomes when researchers have observational data, and those data sets often have survey or attrition weights that need to be accounted for in the analysis. Here, we extend prior work and show with analytic results that using survey sampling or attrition weights in the GPS estimation stage and the outcome model stage for continuous treatments can result in a more robust estimator than one that does not. Simulation study results show that, although using weights in both estimation stages is sufficient for robust estimation, it is not necessary and unbiased estimation is possible in some cases under various approaches to using weights in estimation. Analysts do not know if the conditions of our simulation studies hold, so use of weights in both estimation stages might provide insurance for reducing potential bias. We discuss the implications of our results in the context of an empirical example.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我们分析了全球卫生创新研究所收集的重复横断面调查数据,为了描述新冠肺炎大流行期间意大利人口的感知和行为,重点关注从2020年4月到2021年7月的时期。为了实现这个目标,我们提出了一个贝叶斯动态潜类回归模型,这说明了抽样偏差的影响,包括调查权重到似然函数中。根据提出的方法,对covid-19的态度是通过随着时间的推移而固定的理想行为来描述的,对应于不同程度的传播预防措施。通过潜在的高斯过程回归,特定轮廓的总体趋势在整个勘测波中动态变化,调整对象特定的协变量。我们说明了意大利人在大流行期间的行为演变,提供关于在封锁阶段理想行为比例如何变化的见解,在衡量年龄的影响时,性别,受访者对covid-19的态度的地区和就业情况。
    We analyze repeated cross-sectional survey data collected by the Institute of Global Health Innovation, to characterize the perception and behavior of the Italian population during the Covid-19 pandemic, focusing on the period that spans from April 2020 to July 2021. To accomplish this goal, we propose a Bayesian dynamic latent-class regression model, that accounts for the effect of sampling bias including survey weights into the likelihood function. According to the proposed approach, attitudes towards covid-19 are described via ideal behaviors that are fixed over time, corresponding to different degrees of compliance with spread-preventive measures. The overall tendency toward a specific profile dynamically changes across survey waves via a latent Gaussian process regression, that adjusts for subject-specific covariates. We illustrate the evolution of Italians\' behaviors during the pandemic, providing insights on how the proportion of ideal behaviors has varied during the phases of the lockdown, while measuring the effect of age, sex, region and employment of the respondents on the attitude toward covid-19.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    为了评估肯尼亚的艾滋病毒流行,一系列类似设计的独立艾滋病毒指标家庭调查可用于调查与艾滋病毒预防和控制相关的关键指标的趋势,并描述地理和社会人口差异,评估干预措施的影响,并制定战略。我们开发了方法和工具,以促进对2007年,2012年和2018年在肯尼亚进行的三项全国家庭调查的趋势进行有力分析。
    我们使用了2007年和2012年肯尼亚艾滋病指标调查(KAIS2007和KAIS2012)和2018年肯尼亚基于人口的艾滋病毒影响评估(KENPHIA2018)的数据。为了评估每个研究的设计和其他感兴趣的变量,变量被重新编码,以确保它们在三次调查中具有相同的含义。在评估权重程序的可比性之后,我们使用KAIS2012无应答加权程序来修正归一化的KENPHIA权重.分析仅限于所有三项调查所涵盖的地理区域。然后将修订的分析文件合并为单个文件用于合并分析。我们评估了年龄分布,性别,家庭财富,和城市/农村状况,以确定调查之间的意外变化。为了演示如何进行趋势分析,我们使用连续的,二进制,和时间到事件变量作为示例。具体来说,首次性行为年龄和过去12个月接受过HIV检测的时间趋势被用来证明所提出的分析方法.这些是用受访者特定的变量(年龄,性别,教育水平,和婚姻状况)和家庭变量(居住地和财富指数)。所有分析均在SAS9.4中进行,但以Stata和R格式创建分析文件以支持其他分析。
    本研究展示了选定指标的趋势,以说明可在类似环境中使用的方法。早期性行为的发生率从2007年的每1000人年风险11.63(95%CI:10.95-12.34)下降到2012年的每1000人年风险10.45(95%CI:9.75-11.2)和2018年的每1000人年风险9.58(95%CI:9.08-10.1)。HIV检测率从2007年的12.6%(95%CI:11.6%-13.6%)上升至2012年的56.1%(95%CI:54.6%-57.6%),但在2018年略有下降至55.6%[95%CI:54.6%-56.6%)。在2007年至2012年之间可以令人信服地证明早期性行为发生率的下降,但在2012年至2018年之间却没有。同样,2012年和2018年的艾滋病毒检测率几乎没有差异。
    我们的方法可用于支持低收入环境中HIV调查变量的趋势比较。可以评估独立的全国住户调查的可比性,适当调整,并用于估计关键指标的趋势。随着时间的推移,分析趋势不仅可以提供对肯尼亚艾滋病毒流行控制进展的见解,还可以找出差距。
    For assessing the HIV epidemic in Kenya, a series of independent HIV indicator household-based surveys of similar design can be used to investigate the trends in key indicators relevant to HIV prevention and control and to describe geographic and sociodemographic disparities, assess the impact of interventions, and develop strategies. We developed methods and tools to facilitate a robust analysis of trends across three national household-based surveys conducted in Kenya in 2007, 2012, and 2018.
    We used data from the 2007 and 2012 Kenya AIDS Indicator surveys (KAIS 2007 and KAIS 2012) and the 2018 Kenya Population-based HIV Impact Assessment (KENPHIA 2018). To assess the design and other variables of interest from each study, variables were recoded to ensure that they had equivalent meanings across the three surveys. After assessing weighting procedures for comparability, we used the KAIS 2012 nonresponse weighting procedure to revise normalized KENPHIA weights. Analyses were restricted to geographic areas covered by all three surveys. The revised analysis files were then merged into a single file for pooled analysis. We assessed distributions of age, sex, household wealth, and urban/rural status to identify unexpected changes between surveys. To demonstrate how a trend analysis can be carried out, we used continuous, binary, and time-to-event variables as examples. Specifically, temporal trends in age at first sex and having received an HIV test in the last 12 months were used to demonstrate the proposed analytical approach. These were assessed with respondent-specific variables (age, sex, level of education, and marital status) and household variables (place of residence and wealth index). All analyses were conducted in SAS 9.4, but analysis files were created in Stata and R format to support additional analyses.
    This study demonstrates trends in selected indicators to illustrate the approach that can be used in similar settings. The incidence of early sexual debut decreased from 11.63 (95% CI: 10.95-12.34) per 1,000 person-years at risk in 2007 to 10.45 (95% CI: 9.75-11.2) per 1,000 person-years at risk in 2012 and to 9.58 (95% CI: 9.08-10.1) per 1,000 person-years at risk in 2018. HIV-testing rates increased from 12.6% (95% CI: 11.6%-13.6%) in 2007 to 56.1% (95% CI: 54.6%-57.6%) in 2012 but decreased slightly to 55.6% [95% CI: 54.6%-56.6%) in 2018. The decrease in incidence of early sexual debut could be convincingly demonstrated between 2007 and 2012 but not between 2012 and 2018. Similarly, there was virtually no difference between HIV Testing rates in 2012 and 2018.
    Our approach can be used to support trend comparisons for variables in HIV surveys in low-income settings. Independent national household surveys can be assessed for comparability, adjusted as appropriate, and used to estimate trends in key indicators. Analyzing trends over time can not only provide insights into Kenya\'s progress toward HIV epidemic control but also identify gaps.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    健康信息国家趋势调查(HINTS)是基于概率的,全国代表性的调查进行例行收集有关美国公众的癌症相关的信念和行为的信息,包括使用癌症相关信息。HINTS的创建是为了产生国家估计,并且缺乏创建准确和精确的州和地区估计的能力。当前工作的动机是通过标准校准方法使用国家样本(HINTS)创建州和区域级别的估计。地方一级的健康估计可以为政策决策提供信息,更好地针对社区内的癌症需求。地方一级的数据使研究人员有机会更详细地检查当地人口,而无需额外的昂贵数据收集。
    通过结合2012年至2018年的七个HINTS数据周期,然后提取先前创建的人级权重,我们能够创建关键结果的HINTS次国家调查估计的表格和地图,这些结果具有小的方差和小的潜在偏差.
    本文介绍了用于协调和汇总跨周期数据的方法,根据汇总数据创建州和地区级别的估计,并为汇集的数据集生成调查权重。它展示了汇总数据分析的机遇和挑战。
    The Health Information National Trends Survey (HINTS) is a probability-based, nationally representative survey conducted routinely to gather information about the American public\'s cancer-related beliefs and behaviors, including the use of cancer-related information. HINTS was created to produce national estimates and has lacked the ability to create accurate and precise state and regional estimates. The motivation for this current work was to create state- and regional-level estimates using a national sample (HINTS) through standard calibration methods. Health estimates at a local level can inform policy decisions that better target the cancer needs within a community. Local-level data allow researchers an opportunity to examine local populations in finer detail without additional costly data collection.
    By combining seven cycles of HINTS data from 2012 to 2018 and then raking the previously created person-level weights, we were able to create tables and maps of HINTS subnational survey estimates for key outcomes that have small variances and little potential bias.
    This paper describes the methods used to harmonize and aggregate data across cycles, create state- and regional-level estimates from the pooled data, and produce survey weights for the pooled datasets. It demonstrates both the opportunities and the challenges of pooled data analysis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:烟草与健康的人口评估(PATH)研究是美国人口对烟草使用及其对健康的影响的全国代表性研究,在2013年至2016年之间进行了3波数据收集。先前的工作描述了第一波的方法。在本文中,我们描述了随后的2波的方法,并为如何对PATH研究数据进行纵向分析提供了建议。
    方法:我们使用标准调查质量指标来评估PATH研究的后续波结果。PATH研究数据的纵向和横截面分析的建议和示例遵循基于设计的统计推断框架。
    结果:质量指标表明,大约40,000名持续受访者的PATH研究样本仍然代表其目标人群。根据预期的分析,不同的测量权重可能是合适的。
    结论:PATH研究数据是对纵向分析烟草使用及其对健康的影响感兴趣的监管科学家的宝贵资源。多组专门调查权重的可用性使研究人员能够针对广泛的烟草相关分析问题。
    OBJECTIVE: The Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health (PATH) Study is a nationally representative study of the US population on tobacco use and its effects on health, with 3 waves of data collection between 2013 and 2016. Prior work described the methods of the first wave. In this paper, we describe the methods of the subsequent 2 waves and provide recommendations for how to conduct longitudinal analyses of PATH Study data.
    METHODS: We use standard survey quality metrics to evaluate the results of the follow-up waves of the PATH Study. The recommendations and examples of longitudinal and cross-sectional analyses of PATH Study data follow a design-based statistical inference framework.
    RESULTS: The quality metrics indicate that the PATH Study sample of approximately 40,000 continuing respondents remains representative of its target population. Depending on the intended analysis, different survey weights may be appropriate.
    CONCLUSIONS: The PATH Study data are a valuable resource for regulatory scientists interested in longitudinal analysis of tobacco use and its effects on health. The availability of multiple sets of specialized survey weights enables researchers to target a wide range of tobacco-related analytic questions.
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  • 文章类型: Comparative Study
    Many studies in psychological and educational research aim to estimate population average treatment effects (PATE) using data from large complex survey samples, and many of these studies use propensity score methods. Recent advances have investigated how to incorporate survey weights with propensity score methods. However, to this point, that work had not been well summarized, and it was not clear how much difference the different PATE estimation methods would make empirically.
    The purpose of this study is to systematically summarize the appropriate use of survey weights in propensity score analysis of complex survey data and use a case study to empirically compare the PATE estimates using multiple analysis methods that include ordinary least squares regression, weighted least squares regression, and various propensity score applications.
    We first summarize various propensity score methods that handle survey weights. We then demonstrate the performance of various analysis methods using a nationally representative data set, the Early Childhood Longitudinal Study-Kindergarten to estimate the effects of preschool on children\'s academic achievement. The correspondence of the results was evaluated using multiple criteria.
    It is important for researchers to think carefully about their estimand of interest and use methods appropriate for that estimand. If interest is in drawing inferences to the survey target population, it is important to take the survey weights into account, particularly in the outcome analysis stage for estimating the PATE. The case study shows, however, not much difference among various analysis methods in one applied example.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文介绍了第1波(2018)国际烟草控制(ITC)日本调查的方法。受访者是四个用户群体之一的20岁及以上的成年人:(1)仅吸烟的吸烟者,每月至少吸烟一次,并且根本不使用或每周使用加热的烟草产品(HTPs),(2)仅使用HTP的用户至少每周使用HTP并且根本不吸烟或少于每月吸烟,(3)香烟-HTP双重用户至少每月吸烟,至少每周使用HTP,(4)从未吸烟或吸烟少于每月且使用HTPs少于每周的非使用者。合格的受访者是由一家商业调查公司从其在线小组中招募的。受访者根据人口统计按比例分配到样本阶层,地理,和用户类型规格基准为国家参考。测量重量,考虑吸烟/HTP使用状态,性别,年龄,教育,和地理,被校准到日本一项全国代表性调查的基准。有效率为45.1%,合作率为96.3%。总样本量为4615(3288名吸烟者,164个专属HTP用户,549香烟-HTP双用户,和614个非用户)。2018年ITC日本调查抽样设计和调查数据收集方法将允许分析前瞻性地检查日本卷烟和HTPs的使用以及与这两种产品的使用以及它们之间的过渡相关的因素。
    This paper describes the methods of the Wave 1 (2018) International Tobacco Control (ITC) Japan Survey. The respondents were adults aged 20 years and older in one of four user groups: (1) cigarette-only smokers who smoked at least monthly and used heated tobacco products (HTPs) not at all or less than weekly, (2) HTP-only users who used HTPs at least weekly and smoked cigarettes not at all or less than monthly, (3) cigarette-HTP dual users who smoked at least monthly and used HTPs at least weekly, and (4) non-users who had never smoked or who smoked less than monthly and used HTPs less than weekly. Eligible respondents were recruited by a commercial survey firm from its online panel. Respondents were allocated proportionally to sample strata based on demographic, geographic, and user type specifications benchmarked to a national reference. Survey weights, accounting for smoking/HTP use status, sex, age, education, and geography, were calibrated to benchmarks from a nationally representative survey in Japan. Response rate was 45.1% and cooperation rate was 96.3%. The total sample size was 4615 (3288 cigarette smokers, 164 exclusive HTP users, 549 cigarette-HTP dual users, and 614 non-users). The 2018 ITC Japan Survey sampling design and survey data collection methods will allow analyses to examine prospectively the use of cigarettes and HTPs in Japan and factors associated with the use of both products and of transitions between them.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    To estimate via questionnaire within a population sample of New Zealand (NZ) children aged 6-to-10 years, the prevalence of sleep disordered breathing (SDB) and those struggling academically, and to identify individual and shared risk factors (health and demographic) for parent-reported SDB symptoms and academic difficulties.
    In this cross-sectional study, parents/caregivers of children were recruited through schools and social media to complete an online questionnaire covering health and demographic factors, their children\'s SDB symptoms (Pediatric Sleep Questionnaire; PSQ) and parental ratings of academic performance based on teacher feedback relative to expected progress in the national curriculum (well below/below/at/above) in reading, writing, and math.
    A total of 1205 children (53% male) aged (mean) eight years two months were included, comprising 79.4% NZ European/other and 15.0% Māori. The survey-weighted prevalence of SDB (based on the PSQ) was 17.5%. This was higher amongst those with academic difficulties rated \'below/well below\' expected progress for reading, writing and math (estimated at 24.0%, 31.0% and 27.5% respectively), with increased odds (adjusted odds ratios) for poor progress of 1.9 (95% CI: 1.2, 3.0), 1.8 (95% CI: 1.2, 2.7) and 2.4 (95% CI: 1.6, 3.7) respectively. There were no shared risk factors common to both SDB and academic difficulties identified from multivariate analyses.
    The findings suggest that children with parent-reported SDB symptoms may be at high risk for poor progress in reading, writing, and math. Future research could examine whether treatment of SDB reduces barriers to learning and offsets educational risk.
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