species conservation

物种保护
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    雪豹(Pantherauncia)是难以捉摸的捕食者,栖息在高海拔和多山的崎habitat栖息地。本研究在盐池湾国家级自然保护区进行,甘肃省,中国,评估雪豹的栖息地适宜性,并确定导致其分布的关键环境因素。在2019年至2022年之间通过scat采样和相机捕获技术收集的现场数据提供了对雪豹栖息地偏好的见解。空间分布和聚类分析显示出高度栖息地适宜性的不同热点,大多集中在山区景观附近。虽然高度仍然是一个关键的决定因素,3300米以上的地方显示出更高的栖息地适宜性,其他因素,如土壤类型,人类足迹,森林覆盖,猎物的可用性,人为干扰也起着重要作用。这些变量会影响生态动态,并且是评估和管理雪豹栖息地所必需的。MaxEnt模型帮助我们更好地把握了这些问题,特别是人类活动对栖息地适宜性的巨大影响。当前的研究强调了海拔高度在确定雪豹栖息地偏好和保护区分布模式中的重要性。此外,这项研究强调了在雪豹的保护规划和管理策略中考虑海拔的重要性,特别是在山区。通过将完整的环境数据与创新的建模工具相结合,这项研究不仅改善了当地的保护工作,而且为世界各地类似的野生动植物保护计划提供了模型。通过了解驱动雪豹分布的环境因素,保护工作可以更有效地指导,以确保这种濒危物种的长期生存。这项研究为在人为压力和环境波动中保护雪豹栖息地的循证保护工作提供了宝贵的见解。
    Snow leopards (Panthera uncia) are elusive predators inhabiting high-altitude and mountainous rugged habitats. The current study was conducted in the Yanchiwan National Nature Reserve, Gansu Province, China, to assess the habitat suitability of snow leopards and identify key environmental factors inducing their distribution. Field data collected between 2019 and 2022 through scat sampling and camera trapping techniques provided insights into snow leopard habitat preferences. Spatial distribution and cluster analyses show distinct hotspots of high habitat suitability, mostly concentrated near mountainous landscapes. While altitude remains a critical determinant, with places above 3300 m showing increased habitat suitability, other factors such as soil type, human footprint, forest cover, prey availability, and human disturbance also play important roles. These variables influence ecological dynamics and are required to assess and manage snow leopard habitats. The MaxEnt model has helped us to better grasp these issues, particularly the enormous impact of human activities on habitat suitability. The current study highlights the importance of altitude in determining snow leopard habitat preferences and distribution patterns in the reserve. Furthermore, the study underscores the significance of considering elevation in conservation planning and management strategies for snow leopards, particularly in mountainous regions. By combining complete environmental data with innovative modeling tools, this study not only improves local conservation efforts but also serves as a model for similar wildlife conservation initiatives around the world. By understanding the environmental factors driving snow leopard distribution, conservation efforts can be more efficiently directed to ensure the long-term survival of this endangered species. This study provides valuable insights for evidence-based conservation efforts to safeguard the habitats of snow leopards amidst emerging anthropogenic pressure and environmental fluctuations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    肉桂是越南特有的濒危物种,具有重要的经济和生态价值。在规划管理和保护时,更好地了解该物种的遗传结构将是有用的。我们的目的是表征parthenoxylon的转录组,开发新的分子标记,并评估物种的遗传变异性。首先,五棵树的转录组测序(C.鹦鹉)基于根,leaf,和茎组织进行功能注释分析和开发新的分子标记。通过IlluminaHiSeqTM4000测序系统分析了parthenoxylon的转录组。总共产生27,363,199个碱基用于C.parthenoxylon。从头组装表明总共产生了160,435个单基因(平均长度=548.954bp)。将51,691个单基因与不同的数据库进行了比较,即COG,GO,KEGG,KOG,普法姆,Swiss-Prot,和NR用于功能注释。此外,总共确定了12,849个EST-SSR。在134对引物中,随机选择54人进行测试,在9个种群中成功扩增了15个。我们发现了中等水平的遗传多样性(PIC=0.52,Na=3.29,Ne=2.18,P=94.07%,在研究人群中,Ho=0.56和He=0.47)。群体间分子变异为10%,低遗传分化(Fst=0.06)表明低基因流(Nm=2.16)。使用BOTTLENECK(VP种群)检测到了C.parthenoxylon种群数量的减少。结构分析表明,与种群之间的基因流有关的两个最佳遗传簇。分子方差分析(AMOVA)显示,种群内的遗传变异(90%)高于种群间的遗传变异(10%)。UPGMA方法和DAPC将9个种群分为三个主要簇。我们的发现揭示了转录组序列的很大一部分,这些新开发的新型EST-SSR标记是种质评估的非常有效的工具,毛竹的遗传多样性和分子标记辅助选择。本研究为不同品种的毛竹的选育和保存提供了综合的遗传资源。
    Cinnamomumparthenoxylon is an endemic and endangered species with significant economic and ecological value in Vietnam. A better understanding of the genetic architecture of the species will be useful when planning management and conservation. We aimed to characterize the transcriptome of C.parthenoxylon, develop novel molecular markers, and assess the genetic variability of the species. First, transcriptome sequencing of five trees (C.parthenoxylon) based on root, leaf, and stem tissues was performed for functional annotation analysis and development of novel molecular markers. The transcriptomes of C.parthenoxylon were analyzed via an Illumina HiSeqTM 4000 sequencing system. A total of 27,363,199 bases were generated for C.parthenoxylon. De novo assembly indicated that a total of 160,435 unigenes were generated (average length = 548.954 bp). The 51,691 unigenes were compared against different databases, i.e. COG, GO, KEGG, KOG, Pfam, Swiss-Prot, and NR for functional annotation. Furthermore, a total of 12,849 EST-SSRs were identified. Of the 134 primer pairs, 54 were randomly selected for testing, with 15 successfully amplified across nine populations of C.parthenoxylon. We uncovered medium levels of genetic diversity (PIC = 0.52, Na = 3.29, Ne = 2.18, P = 94.07%, Ho = 0.56 and He = 0.47) within the studied populations. The molecular variance was 10% among populations and low genetic differentiation (Fst = 0.06) indicated low gene flow (Nm = 2.16). A reduction in the population size of C.parthenoxylon was detected using BOTTLENECK (VP population). The structure analysis suggested two optimal genetic clusters related to gene flow among the populations. Analysis of molecular variance (AMOVA) revealed higher genetic variation within populations (90%) than among populations (10%). The UPGMA approach and DAPC divided the nine populations into three main clusters. Our findings revealed a significant fraction of the transcriptome sequences and these newlydeveloped novel EST-SSR markers are a very efficient tool for germplasm evaluation, genetic diversity and molecular marker-assisted selection in C.parthenoxylon. This study provides comprehensive genetic resources for the breeding and conservation of different varieties of C.parthenoxylon.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    文件,保护和拯救生物多样性越来越多地使用活的生物样品。物种之间的持续关联,生物样本,如组织和细胞系,附带的数据对于使用是必不可少的,交换和受益于这些宝贵的材料。因此,需要通过分配唯一和强大的标识符来明确验证此类生物样品,以允许明确的引用。避免识别冲突,保持研究的可重复性。基于统一规则的预定义命名法将有助于此过程。然而,这种命名法目前对于动物生物材料是缺乏的。我们在这里首先介绍,标准化,人类可读的命名设计,这足以为动物细胞材料产生独特而稳定的识别名称,重点是野生动物物种。拟议的标准命名方案中包含了特定于物种的人类和机器可读语法,允许捐赠材料和培养细胞的可追溯性,以及数据完整性。只有当它始终应用于公共领域时,随着出版物和机构间样本和数据的交换,集中分布和存储,是否可以减轻错误识别和失去可追溯性的风险。这种创新的全球适用的识别系统为在冷冻库中长期存储动物生物样品提供了可持续结构的标准,从而促进了当前和未来的物种保护和生物医学研究。
    The documentation, preservation and rescue of biological diversity increasingly uses living biological samples. Persistent associations between species, biosamples, such as tissues and cell lines, and the accompanying data are indispensable for using, exchanging and benefiting from these valuable materials. Explicit authentication of such biosamples by assigning unique and robust identifiers is therefore required to allow for unambiguous referencing, avoid identification conflicts and maintain reproducibility in research. A predefined nomenclature based on uniform rules would facilitate this process. However, such a nomenclature is currently lacking for animal biological material. We here present a first, standardized, human-readable nomenclature design, which is sufficient to generate unique and stable identifying names for animal cellular material with a focus on wildlife species. A species-specific human- and machine-readable syntax is included in the proposed standard naming scheme, allowing for the traceability of donated material and cultured cells, as well as data FAIRification. Only when it is consistently applied in the public domain, as publications and inter-institutional samples and data are exchanged, distributed and stored centrally, can the risks of misidentification and loss of traceability be mitigated. This innovative globally applicable identification system provides a standard for a sustainable structure for the long-term storage of animal bio-samples in cryobanks and hence facilitates current as well as future species conservation and biomedical research.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    对于大多数物种来说,气候变化对新热带地区本地物种分布的影响仍然不确定。Prostthecheamariae是墨西哥的一种地方性附生兰花,被归类为威胁。这项研究的目的是评估气候变化对P.mariae的自然分布以及保护区(PAs)保护该物种未来最佳环境条件的能力的影响。历史记录是从草本收藏和实地调查中获得的。我们将WorldClim的气候变量用于基线情景和2050年期间,使用一般循环模型CCSM4和CNRM-CM5(RCP4.5)。为分布模型创建了三组气候数据,并使用kuenm软件包评估了多个模型。我们发现该物种仅限于该国东部地区。对未来情景的预测不仅预测了栖息地的大幅减少,而且还预测了栖息地碎片化的增加。在该物种的当前分布区域内发现了十个PA;将来,该物种可能会失去这些PA中36%至48%的可用栖息地。结果允许确定气候变化将产生最严重影响的位置,并提出了长期保护的建议。
    The impact of climate change on the distribution of native species in the Neotropics remains uncertain for most species. Prosthechea mariae is an endemic epiphytic orchid in Mexico, categorized as threatened. The objective of this study was to assess the effect of climate change on the natural distribution of P. mariae and the capacity of protected areas (PAs) to safeguard optimal environmental conditions for the species in the future. Historical records were obtained from herbaria collections and through field surveys. We utilized climate variables from WorldClim for the baseline scenario and for the 2050 period, using the general circulation models CCSM4 and CNRM-CM5 (RCP 4.5). Three sets of climate data were created for the distribution models, and multiple models were evaluated using the kuenm package. We found that the species is restricted to the eastern region of the country. The projections of future scenarios predict not only a substantial reduction in habitat but also an increase in habitat fragmentation. Ten PAs were found within the current distribution area of the species; in the future, the species could lose between 36% and 48% of its available habitat within these PAs. The results allowed for the identification of locations where climate change will have the most severe effects, and proposals for long-term conservation are addressed.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    乌山萨拉曼(柳亚石希),JinfoSalamander(Pseudohynobiusjinfo),文县诺比·萨拉曼德(Tylototritonwenxianensis)是中国罕见的国家二级保护野生动物。我们进行了MaxEnt模型来预测和分析这些物种在当前和未来气候条件下在重庆的潜在分布和趋势。物种分布数据主要来自实地调查,辅以博物馆收藏和现有文献。这些努力产生了636条记录,包括P.jinfo的43,对于文仙T.23,还有570张L.shihi.使用ENMTools删除了同一100m×100m网格单元中的重复记录,为P.jinfo产生10、12和58个有效分布点,温县,还有L.shihi,分别。使用R包“ENMeval2.0”应用特征类参数(FC)和正则化乘数(RM)的优化,以MaxEnt建立最优模型。应用改进的模型来模拟这三个物种的合适分布区域。结果表明,石希当前适宜生境面积占重庆市全区的9.72%。预计,到2050年,适宜栖息地的比例将增加到12.54%,但到2070年将减少到11.98%,到2090年将进一步下降到8.80%。目前P.jinfo适宜生境面积占重庆市全区的1.08%,预计到2050年将降至0.31%,到2070年将降至0.20%,到2090年将降至0.07%。目前温县适宜生境面积占重庆市全区的0.81%,预计到2050年将降至0.37%,到2070年将降至0.21%,到2090年将降至0.06%。人为干扰,气候变量,生境特征是影响重庆市3种sal分布的主要因素。靠近道路对L.shihi的影响很大,虽然气候条件主要影响P.jinfo,与水源的距离对温县至关重要。基于为每个物种确定的关键变量,提出了以下建议:(1)对于L.shihi,必须尽量减少人为干扰,保护没有道路的地区和自然保护区内现有的植被,以确保它们继续存在。(2)对于P.jinfo,保护高海拔栖息地至关重要,随着道路对维持物种生态位造成的干扰的减少。(3)对于文仙,保护水生栖息地至关重要。此外,努力减轻道路建设的影响和提高公众意识对于保护该物种及其栖息地的连通性至关重要。
    The Wushan Salamander (Liua shihi), Jinfo Salamander (Pseudohynobius jinfo), and Wenxian Knobby Salamander (Tylototriton wenxianensis) are rare national Class II protected wild animals in China. We performed MaxEnt modeling to predict and analyze the potential distribution and trends of these species in Chongqing under current and future climate conditions. Species distribution data were primarily obtained from field surveys, supplemented by museum collections and the existing literature. These efforts yielded 636 records, including 43 for P. jinfo, 23 for T. wenxianensis, and 570 for L. shihi. Duplicate records within the same 100 m × 100 m grid cell were removed using ENMTools, resulting in 10, 12, and 58 valid distribution points for P. jinfo, T. wenxianensis, and L. shihi, respectively. The optimization of feature class parameters (FC) and the regularization multiplier (RM) were applied using R package \"ENMeval 2.0\" to establish the optimal model with MaxEnt. The refined models were applied to simulate the suitable distribution areas for the three species. The results indicate that the current suitable habitat area for L. shihi accounted for 9.72% of the whole region of the Chongqing municipality. It is projected that, by 2050, the proportion of suitable habitat will increase to 12.54% but will decrease to 11.98% by 2070 and further decline to 8.80% by 2090. The current suitable habitat area for P. jinfo accounted for 1.08% of the whole region of the Chongqing municipality, which is expected to decrease to 0.31%% by 2050, 0.20% by 2070, and 0.07% by 2090. The current suitable habitat area for T. wenxianensis accounted for 0.81% of the whole region of the Chongqing municipality, which is anticipated to decrease to 0.37% by 2050, 0.21% by 2070, and 0.06% by 2090. Human disturbance, climate variables, and habitat characteristics are the primary factors influencing the distribution of three salamander species in Chongqing. The proximity to roads significantly impacts L. shihi, while climate conditions mainly affect P. jinfo, and the distance to water sources is crucial for T. wenxianensis. The following suggestions were made based on key variables identified for each species: (1) For L. shihi, it is imperative to minimize human disturbances and preserve areas without roads and the existing vegetation within nature reserves to ensure their continued existence. (2) For P. jinfo, the conservation of high-altitude habitats is of utmost importance, along with the reduction in disturbances caused by roads to maintain the species\' ecological niche. (3) For T. wenxianensis, the protection of aquatic habitats is crucial. Additionally, efforts to mitigate the impacts of road construction and enhance public awareness are essential for the preservation of this species and the connectivity of its habitats.
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  • 文章类型: Published Erratum
    [这更正了文章DOI:10.3389/fpls.2023.1283037。].
    [This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/fpls.2023.1283037.].
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    植物多样性探索需要加速,因为许多物种在发现和描述之前就会灭绝,许多物种丰富的地区仍然缺乏研究。然而,大多数当代植物收藏更喜欢专注于特定的群体,这阻碍了植物多样性的探索和保护。因此,我们需要一种替代方法来解决眼前的困境。综合自然历史收藏(NHC),它存在于20世纪生物多样性探索的巅峰时期。我们探讨了欧内斯特·亨利·威尔逊(20世纪最成功的博物学家之一)在中国的植物收藏,以说明NHC的优势,并讨论NHC是否值得在今天再次推广。从多个来源,我们收集了19,218个可用的样本记录,11,884个收集号分配并分析了收集的物种,集合的性质,恢复了他探索的四条路线。结果表明,威尔逊的标本来自7个省市的28个地级市和38个县级地区,他们属于200个家庭,1046属,3794种,和342个特定分类群,约41%,22%,10%,5%的中国植物科,属,物种,和非特定分类群。威尔逊案例研究表明,NHC在强调物种发现和保护方面特别有效,记录生态信息,了解一个地区的植物区系,并开发景观应用程序。因此,我们强烈主张在物种丰富的地区扩大自然历史收藏。此外,我们建议雇佣专门的收藏家,招募国际合作,以及未来NHC指南的标准化。
    Plant diversity exploration needs to be accelerated because many species will go extinct before their discovery and description, and many species-rich regions remain poorly studied. However, most contemporary plant collections prefer to focus on a specific group, which hinders the exploration and conservation of plant diversity. Therefore, we need an alternative approach to the dilemma at hand. The comprehensive Natural History Collection (NHC), which existed throughout the pinnacle of biodiversity exploration in the 20th century could be considered. We explore Ernest Henry Wilson\'s (one of the most successful naturalists in the 20th) plant collections in China as a case to illustrate the advantages of NHC and discuss whether NHC deserves to be promoted again today. From multiple sources, we gathered 19,218 available specimen records of 11,884 collecting numbers assigned and analyzed the collected species, the collection\'s nature, and restored four routes of his explorations. Results reveal that Wilson\'s specimens were collected from 28 prefecture-level cities and 38 county-level regions of 7 provinces or municipalities, they belong to 200 families, 1046 genera, 3794 species, and 342 infraspecific taxa, approximately 41 %, 22 %, 10 %, 5 % of Chinese plant families, genera, species, and infraspecific taxa respectively. The Wilson case study shows that NHC is particularly effective in emphasizing species discovery and conservation, recording ecological information, understanding a region\'s flora, and developing landscape applications. Therefore, we strongly advocate for the expansion of natural history collections in species-rich regions. Furthermore, we recommend the employment of specialized collectors, the enlistment of international cooperation, and the standardization of guidelines for future NHCs.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    以色列的地区形成了大陆桥;因此,以色列的淡水鱼动物群由来自非洲的独特物种组成,亚洲,或欧洲,通常是地方性的或处于分布范围的边缘。全球,鱼类生物多样性受到淡水栖息地的压力和干扰,尤其是在干旱地区,例如在以色列的部分地区。生物多样性保护需要有效的工具来监测人口变化。DNA条形码,通过补充和加强物种识别,提供这样的监控工具。在这项研究中,代表28个物种的200多个标本进行了DNA条形码编码,并与以前可用的记录一起,建立了以色列淡水鱼的DNA条形码数据库。在生成的71个不同的条形码中,37%是新的,证明以色列鱼类种群的独特性。对于大多数物种来说,形态和分子物种鉴定一致。然而,发现了五个属的差异。基于DNA条形码,我们建议将刺五加作为刺五加的初级同义词。在Garraspp。,我们建议将Garranana分为两个物种,并将该地区的Garrarufa分配给Garrajordanica,或者可能是两个物种。以色列Pseudophoxinuskervillei与叙利亚和黎巴嫩的物种不同。然而,SyriacusPseudophoxinussyriacus可能不会濒临灭绝,因为它在遗传上与Dseudophoxinusdrusensis非常相似。在以色列,而不是五种报道的Oxynoemacheilus物种,将DNA条形码与形态学结合表明只有三种。遗传和地理分离表明,阿法尼乌斯·门托可能是一个物种复合体。这项研究提供了一个完整的条形码数据库,暗示了该地区重大的物种重新考虑,并突出了加利利海和贝特舍山谷作为生物多样性热点。因此,这项研究将促进对该地区鱼类及其生态的进一步研究,以及以色列和该地区淡水鱼生物多样性的监测和保护。
    Israel\'s region forms a continental bridge; hence, the freshwater fish fauna in Israel consists of unique populations of species that originated from Africa, Asia, or Europe and are often endemic or at the edge of their distribution range. Worldwide, fish biodiversity suffers significantly from pressures and disturbances of freshwater habitats, especially in arid regions, such as in parts of Israel. Biodiversity conservation requires efficient tools for monitoring changes in populations. DNA barcoding, by complementing and enhancing species identification, provides such monitoring tools. In this study, over 200 specimens representing over 28 species were DNA barcoded and together with previously available records, a DNA barcoding database for freshwater fish of Israel was established. Of the 71 distinct barcodes generated, 37% were new, attesting to the uniqueness of fish populations in Israel. For most species, morphological and molecular species identifications agreed. However, discrepancies were found for five genera. Based on DNA barcoding, we propose Acanthobrama telavivensis as a junior synonym for Acanthobrama lissneri. In Garra spp., we propose splitting Garra nana into two species and assigning Garra rufa in the region to Garra jordanica, or possibly to two species. Israeli Pseudophoxinus kervillei is not the same species as in Syria and Lebanon. However, Pseudophoxinus syriacus might not be endangered since it is genetically very similar to Pseudophoxinus drusensis. In Israel, instead of five reported Oxynoemacheilus species, combining DNA barcoding with morphology suggests only three. Genetic and geographic separation suggested that Aphanius mento is likely a species complex. The study provides a thorough barcoding database, suggests significant species reconsiderations in the region, and highlights the Sea of Galilee and the Beit She\'an valley streams as biodiversity \"hotspots.\" This study will therefore promote further studying of the fish species in the region and their ecology, as well as the monitoring and conservation of freshwater fish biodiversity in Israel and the region.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    为了实现有效的保护目标,在考虑多种影响因素的同时,绘制生物多样性格局和热点区域图至关重要。然而,仅关注生物多样性热点不足以在景观规模上进行物种保护。这强调了将热点与物种的家园范围相结合以确定优先保护区的重要性。
    将植被数据与从霸王岭自然保护区的千米网格收集的环境和人为干扰数据进行编译,海南,中国,我们分析了植物多样性的空间分布(物种丰富度和Shannon-Wiener指数),以及影响这些模式的主要驱动因素。我们还使用阈值方法调查了热点的空间分布,并将其与旗舰物种的归属范围进行了比较。海南长臂猿(Nomascushainanus)。
    气候和土壤是塑造霸王岭自然保护区植物多样性空间格局的主要驱动因素,超越人为干扰和地形因素的影响。两种多样性指数均表现出大致相似的模式,但在Futouling和Elongling的周边地区除外。与物种丰富度热点相比,由Shannon-Wiener指数确定的热点与海南长臂猿的家园范围显示出更高的空间重叠。2019年最近成立的海南长臂猿集团E,距离原始Futouling栖息地8公里,与已识别的热点不一致。
    我们的发现表明,海南长臂猿E组栖息地内的植物多样性热点相对有限,强调优先保护它的必要性。将热点与极度濒危物种的家园范围相结合,为决策者提供了宝贵的信息,可以在不断变化的环境中建立合理的保护网络,以及物种栖息地恢复的参考。
    UNASSIGNED: To achieve effective conservation objectives, it is crucial to map biodiversity patterns and hotspots while considering multiple influencing factors. However, focusing solely on biodiversity hotspots is inadequate for species conservation on a landscape scale. This emphasizes the importance of integrating hotspots with the home ranges of species to identify priority conservation areas.
    UNASSIGNED: Compiling the vegetation data with environmental and anthropogenic disturbance data collected from kilometer-grid plots in Bawangling Nature Reserve, Hainan, China, we analyzed the spatial distribution of plant diversity (species richness and Shannon-Wiener index), as well as the main drivers affecting these patterns. We also investigated the spatial distribution of hotspots using a threshold approach and compared them with the home ranges of the flagship species, Hainan gibbon (Nomascus hainanus).
    UNASSIGNED: Climate and soil are predominant drivers shaping the spatial pattern of plant diversity in Bawangling Nature Reserve, surpassing the influence of anthropogenic disturbance and topographic factors. Both diversity indices exhibit a generally similar pattern with exceptions in surrounding areas of Futouling and Elongling. The hotspots identified by the Shannon-Wiener index showed a higher spatial overlap with the home ranges of Hainan gibbon compared to the species richness hotspots. The recently established Hainan gibbon Group E in 2019, located 8 km away from the original Futouling habitat, does not coincide with identified hotspots.
    UNASSIGNED: Our findings indicate that the hotspots of plant diversity within the habitat of Hainan gibbon Group E are relatively limited, emphasizing the necessity of giving precedence to its conservation. Integrating hotspots with the home ranges of critically endangered species offers decision-makers valuable information to establish rational conservation networks in the context of changing environments, as well as a reference for habitat restoration of species.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    撒丁岛湿地(意大利)是地中海中部东部鸟类飞行路线上许多候鸟的中途停留地点。这些湿地现在受到人类活动和气候变化的严重威胁。因此,我们建立了一个模拟框架,以预测几种反事实和管理方案对撒丁岛沿海湿地鸟类多样性水平的影响。我们发现阿尔法鸟类多样性(即,每个湿地的鸟类物种的平均数量)注定会(a)由于水盐度最有可能增加而减少,水排放,和旅游压力;(b)在最坏的情况下减半(从14.9到7.4,在22个湿地中,有9个湿地仅容纳2到5个水鸟物种)。然而,结果还表明,适当的管理策略可以预防和逆转此类结果。对旅游活动的限制,海水淡化,防止未来的盐水入侵,禁止排水可能会显著有利于这些湿地的鸟类多样性,在最佳情况下,预计α鸟类多样性将从14.9增加到24.8(在22个湿地中,有10个湿地预计将容纳29至32个水鸟物种)。在这些重要湿地的管理计划中可以强调我们结果的重要性,其中大部分属于Natura2000网络。
    The Sardinian wetlands (Italy) act as stopover sites for many migratory birds along the central eastern Mediterranean bird flyway. These wetlands are now severely threatened by human activities and climate change. Accordingly, we built a simulation framework to predict the effects of several counterfactual and management scenarios on the level of avian diversity in the coastal wetlands of Sardinia. We found that the alpha avian diversity (i.e., the mean number of avian species per wetland) is destined to (a) decrease due to the most likely increase in water salinity, water discharges, and tourism pressure; and (b) halve (from 14.9 to 7.4, with 9 wetlands out of 22 predicted to host only between two and five waterbird species) in the worst possible scenario. However, the results also showed that proper management strategies could prevent and reverse such outcomes. Restrictions on tourism activities, water desalination, prevention of future saltwater intrusions, and the prohibition of water discharges could markedly favor the avian diversity in these wetlands, with an expected increase in the alpha avian diversity from 14.9 to 24.8 (and 10 wetlands out of 22 predicted to host from 29 to 32 waterbird species) in the best possible scenario. The importance of our results could be emphasized in the management plans of these important wetlands, most of which belong to the Natura 2000 network.
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