spatiotemporal modeling

时空建模
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文进行了系统的文献综述,提供数据增强(DA)的全面分类,迁移学习(TL),以及在少发学习(FSL)的背景下进行EEG信号分类的自我监督学习(SSL)技术。EEG信号在各种范例中显示出巨大的潜力,包括运动图像,情感识别,视觉诱发电位,稳态视觉诱发电位,快速串行视觉演示,事件相关电位,和精神负荷。然而,挑战,如有限的标记数据,噪音,以及学科间/学科内的变异性阻碍了传统机器学习(ML)和深度学习(DL)模型的有效性。这篇综述有条不紊地探讨了FSL是如何处理的,合并DA,TL,和SSL,可以解决这些挑战并增强特定EEG范例中的分类性能。它还深入研究了与EEG信号分类中这些技术相关的开放研究挑战。具体来说,这篇综述审查了针对各种脑电图范式定制的DA策略的识别,创建有效知识转移的TL架构,以及从EEG数据中进行无监督表示学习的SSL方法的制定。解决这些挑战对于增强基于FSL的EEG信号分类的功效和鲁棒性至关重要。通过介绍FSL技术的结构化分类并讨论相关的研究挑战,本系统综述为未来的EEG信号分类研究提供了有价值的见解.这些发现旨在指导和激励研究人员,促进在现实环境中应用FSL方法以改进EEG信号分析和分类的进步。
    This paper presents a systematic literature review, providing a comprehensive taxonomy of Data Augmentation (DA), Transfer Learning (TL), and Self-Supervised Learning (SSL) techniques within the context of Few-Shot Learning (FSL) for EEG signal classification. EEG signals have shown significant potential in various paradigms, including Motor Imagery, Emotion Recognition, Visual Evoked Potentials, Steady-State Visually Evoked Potentials, Rapid Serial Visual Presentation, Event-Related Potentials, and Mental Workload. However, challenges such as limited labeled data, noise, and inter/intra-subject variability have impeded the effectiveness of traditional machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models. This review methodically explores how FSL approaches, incorporating DA, TL, and SSL, can address these challenges and enhance classification performance in specific EEG paradigms. It also delves into the open research challenges related to these techniques in EEG signal classification. Specifically, the review examines the identification of DA strategies tailored to various EEG paradigms, the creation of TL architectures for efficient knowledge transfer, and the formulation of SSL methods for unsupervised representation learning from EEG data. Addressing these challenges is crucial for enhancing the efficacy and robustness of FSL-based EEG signal classification. By presenting a structured taxonomy of FSL techniques and discussing the associated research challenges, this systematic review offers valuable insights for future investigations in EEG signal classification. The findings aim to guide and inspire researchers, promoting advancements in applying FSL methodologies for improved EEG signal analysis and classification in real-world settings.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我们评估了乌维拉快速诊断测试阳性霍乱病例的时空聚类,刚果民主共和国东部。我们检测到与主要河流一致重叠的时空簇,我们概述了与目前用于针对性干预的半径相一致的风险增加区域的范围.
    We evaluated the spatiotemporal clustering of rapid diagnostic test-positive cholera cases in Uvira, eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo. We detected spatiotemporal clusters that consistently overlapped with major rivers, and we outlined the extent of zones of increased risk that are compatible with the radii currently used for targeted interventions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    城市空气污染可能在空间和时间上变化很大。然而,很少有监测策略可以同时解决精细尺度的时空变化。这里,我们提出了一种新的测量驱动的时空建模方法,该方法超越了两种互补采样范式的局限性:移动监测和固定位置传感器网络。我们发展,验证,并应用该模型使用来自密集的数据来预测黑碳(BC),在西奥克兰进行100天的实地研究,CA.我们的时空模型利用了从多污染物移动监测活动中得出的相干空间模式,以填补来自低成本传感器网络的时间完整的BC数据中的空间空白。我们的模型在精细的空间和时间分辨率(30m,15分钟),证明了移动(Pearson的R〜0.77)和固定站点测量(R〜0.95)的样本外相关性强,同时揭示了单独使用单一监测方法无法有效捕获的特征。该模型揭示了主要排放源附近的急剧浓度梯度,同时捕获了它们的时间变异性,提供对污染源和动态的宝贵见解。
    Urban air pollution can vary sharply in space and time. However, few monitoring strategies can concurrently resolve spatial and temporal variation at fine scales. Here, we present a new measurement-driven spatiotemporal modeling approach that transcends the individual limitations of two complementary sampling paradigms: mobile monitoring and fixed-site sensor networks. We develop, validate, and apply this model to predict black carbon (BC) using data from an intensive, 100-day field study in West Oakland, CA. Our spatiotemporal model exploits coherent spatial patterns derived from a multipollutant mobile monitoring campaign to fill spatial gaps in time-complete BC data from a low-cost sensor network. Our model performs well in reconstructing patterns at fine spatial and temporal resolution (30 m, 15 min), demonstrating strong out-of-sample correlations for both mobile (Pearson\'s R ∼ 0.77) and fixed-site measurements (R ∼ 0.95) while revealing features that are not effectively captured by a single monitoring approach in isolation. The model reveals sharp concentration gradients near major emission sources while capturing their temporal variability, offering valuable insights into pollution sources and dynamics.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    生长素和细胞分裂素之间的相互作用在植物发育的许多方面都很重要。生长素和细胞分裂素浓度以及报告基因表达的实验测量清楚地表明,拟南芥根发育中生长素和细胞分裂素浓度模式共存。然而,在生长素之间的串扰的背景下,细胞分裂素和乙烯,关于生长素和细胞分裂素浓度模式如何同时出现以及它们如何在拟南芥根中相互调节,知之甚少。这项工作利用了广泛的实验观察结果,提出了同时形成生长素和细胞分裂素浓度的机制。除了生长素和细胞分裂素之间的调节关系,该机制揭示了乙烯信号是同时实现生长素和细胞分裂素模式的重要因素,同时也预测其他实验观察结果。将该机制与现实的硅根模型相结合,再现了生长素和细胞分裂素模式的实验观察结果。该机制的预测可以与各种实验观察进行比较,包括我们小组进行的实验和其他小组报告的其他独立实验。这些预测的例子包括生长素生物合成速率的模式,pin3,4,7突变体中的PIN1和PIN2模式变化,pls突变体的细胞分裂素模式变化,PLS图案化,以及不同突变体的各种趋势。这项研究揭示了拟南芥根发育中生长素和细胞分裂素浓度同时形成模式的合理机制,并暗示了乙烯模式整合的关键作用。
    The interaction between auxin and cytokinin is important in many aspects of plant development. Experimental measurements of both auxin and cytokinin concentration and reporter gene expression clearly show the coexistence of auxin and cytokinin concentration patterning in Arabidopsis root development. However, in the context of crosstalk among auxin, cytokinin, and ethylene, little is known about how auxin and cytokinin concentration patterns simultaneously emerge and how they regulate each other in the Arabidopsis root. This work utilizes a wide range of experimental observations to propose a mechanism for simultaneous patterning of auxin and cytokinin concentrations. In addition to revealing the regulatory relationships between auxin and cytokinin, this mechanism shows that ethylene signaling is an important factor in achieving simultaneous auxin and cytokinin patterning, while also predicting other experimental observations. Combining the mechanism with a realistic in silico root model reproduces experimental observations of both auxin and cytokinin patterning. Predictions made by the mechanism can be compared with a variety of experimental observations, including those obtained by our group and other independent experiments reported by other groups. Examples of these predictions include patterning of auxin biosynthesis rate, changes in PIN1 and PIN2 patterns in pin3,4,7 mutants, changes in cytokinin patterning in the pls mutant, PLS patterning, and various trends in different mutants. This research reveals a plausible mechanism for simultaneous patterning of auxin and cytokinin concentrations in Arabidopsis root development and suggests a key role for ethylene pattern integration.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文介绍了使用遥感图像和机器学习根据吸收的光合有效辐射(FAPAR)复合材料的潜在分数的时间序列绘制和评估土地潜力的结果。这里的土地潜力是指假设没有短期人为影响的潜在植被生产力,如集约化农业和城市化。对这种生态土地潜力的了解可以支持对土地退化水平和恢复潜力的评估。从2000-2021年的8天GLASSFAPARV6产品得出250m空间分辨率下三个百分位数(0.05、0.50和0.95概率)的每月汇总FAPAR时间序列,并用于确定FAPAR的长期趋势,以及在没有人体压力的情况下对潜在的FAPAR进行建模。CCa从全球12,500个地点采样的300万个训练点覆盖了68个代表气候的生物物理变量,地形,地形,和植被覆盖,以及代表人类压力的几个变量,包括:人口数量,耕地强度,夜灯和人类足迹指数。训练点被用于集成机器学习模型中,该模型堆叠了三个基础学习者(极其随机的树,梯度下降树和人工神经网络)使用线性回归器作为元学习器。然后通过消除协变量层中城市化和集约化农业的影响来预测潜在的FAPAR。严格交叉验证的结果表明,FAPAR的全球分布可以用0.89的R2来解释,最重要的协变量是生长季节长度,森林覆盖指标和年降水量。从这个模型来看,制作了最近一年(2021年)的全球潜在月度FAPAR地图,并用于预测实际与潜在的FAPAR。制作的实际与全球地图潜在的FAPAR和长期趋势在空间上都与稳定和过渡的土地覆盖等级相匹配。评估显示,类别的FAPAR差距很大(实际低于潜在):城市,针叶落叶乔木,被淹没的灌木或草本覆盖物,虽然发现了强烈的负面FAPAR趋势:城市,稀疏的植被和旱地。另一方面,类别:灌溉或洪水后的农田,树盖混合叶型,阔叶落叶表现出很大的积极趋势。该框架使土地管理者可以从两个方面评估潜在的土地退化:观察到的FAPAR的实际下降趋势以及实际和潜在植被FAPAR之间的差异。
    The article presents results of using remote sensing images and machine learning to map and assess land potential based on time-series of potential Fraction of Absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation (FAPAR) composites. Land potential here refers to the potential vegetation productivity in the hypothetical absence of short-term anthropogenic influence, such as intensive agriculture and urbanization. Knowledge on this ecological land potential could support the assessment of levels of land degradation as well as restoration potentials. Monthly aggregated FAPAR time-series of three percentiles (0.05, 0.50 and 0.95 probability) at 250 m spatial resolution were derived from the 8-day GLASS FAPAR V6 product for 2000-2021 and used to determine long-term trends in FAPAR, as well as to model potential FAPAR in the absence of human pressure. CCa 3 million training points sampled from 12,500 locations across the globe were overlaid with 68 bio-physical variables representing climate, terrain, landform, and vegetation cover, as well as several variables representing human pressure including: population count, cropland intensity, nightlights and a human footprint index. The training points were used in an ensemble machine learning model that stacks three base learners (extremely randomized trees, gradient descended trees and artificial neural network) using a linear regressor as meta-learner. The potential FAPAR was then projected by removing the impact of urbanization and intensive agriculture in the covariate layers. The results of strict cross-validation show that the global distribution of FAPAR can be explained with an R2 of 0.89, with the most important covariates being growing season length, forest cover indicator and annual precipitation. From this model, a global map of potential monthly FAPAR for the recent year (2021) was produced, and used to predict gaps in actual vs. potential FAPAR. The produced global maps of actual vs. potential FAPAR and long-term trends were each spatially matched with stable and transitional land cover classes. The assessment showed large negative FAPAR gaps (actual lower than potential) for classes: urban, needle-leave deciduous trees, and flooded shrub or herbaceous cover, while strong negative FAPAR trends were found for classes: urban, sparse vegetation and rainfed cropland. On the other hand, classes: irrigated or post-flooded cropland, tree cover mixed leaf type, and broad-leave deciduous showed largely positive trends. The framework allows land managers to assess potential land degradation from two aspects: as an actual declining trend in observed FAPAR and as a difference between actual and potential vegetation FAPAR.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    土地利用回归(LUR)模型广泛用于流行病学和环境研究,以估计人类在城市地区的空气污染暴露。然而,早期的模型,使用线性回归和来自固定监测站和被动采样的数据开发,主要设计用于对传统和标准空气污染物进行建模,并且在捕获高分辨率的空气污染时空变化方面存在局限性。在过去的十年里,低成本监视器的多源观测有了显著的发展,移动监控,和卫星,结合先进的统计方法和时空动态预测因子的整合,这促进了LUR方法的显著扩展和进步。本文从空气质量数据采集变化的角度回顾和综合了LUR方法的最新进展,新颖的预测变量,模型开发方法的进展,验证方法的改进,模型可转移性,以及2011年至2023年发表的155项LUR研究报告的建模软件。我们证明,这些发展使LUR模型能够为更大的研究领域开发,并涵盖更广泛的标准和不受管制的空气污染物。传统空间结构中的LUR模型得到了更复杂的时空结构的补充。与线性模型相比,当处理具有复杂关系和相互作用的数据时,先进的统计方法会产生更好的预测。最后,这项研究探索了新的发展,确定了LUR方法进一步突破的潜在途径,并提出了未来的研究方向。在这种情况下,LUR方法有可能对未来为城市人口长期和短期暴露于空气污染的模式建模做出重大贡献。
    Land use regression (LUR) models are widely used in epidemiological and environmental studies to estimate humans\' exposure to air pollution within urban areas. However, the early models, developed using linear regressions and data from fixed monitoring stations and passive sampling, were primarily designed to model traditional and criteria air pollutants and had limitations in capturing high-resolution spatiotemporal variations of air pollution. Over the past decade, there has been a notable development of multi-source observations from low-cost monitors, mobile monitoring, and satellites, in conjunction with the integration of advanced statistical methods and spatially and temporally dynamic predictors, which have facilitated significant expansion and advancement of LUR approaches. This paper reviews and synthesizes the recent advances in LUR approaches from the perspectives of the changes in air quality data acquisition, novel predictor variables, advances in model-developing approaches, improvements in validation methods, model transferability, and modeling software as reported in 155 LUR studies published between 2011 and 2023. We demonstrate that these developments have enabled LUR models to be developed for larger study areas and encompass a wider range of criteria and unregulated air pollutants. LUR models in the conventional spatial structure have been complemented by more complex spatiotemporal structures. Compared with linear models, advanced statistical methods yield better predictions when handling data with complex relationships and interactions. Finally, this study explores new developments, identifies potential pathways for further breakthroughs in LUR methodologies, and proposes future research directions. In this context, LUR approaches have the potential to make a significant contribution to future efforts to model the patterns of long- and short-term exposure of urban populations to air pollution.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    确定使用低成本监测仪(LCM)改善PM2.5暴露评估的最可行和最具成本效益的方法可以大大提高其流行病学推断的质量。我们调查了固定站点LCM设计的特征,这些特征对PM2.5暴露估计值的影响最大,这些估计将用于成人思想空气污染变化(ACT-AP)研究的长期流行病学推断。我们使用ACT-AP在2017年4月至2020年9月的两周水平上收集并校准了LCMPM2.5测量值(N个监测器[测量]=82[502])。我们还获得了2010年1月至2020年9月的参考级PM2.5测量值(N=78[6186])。我们使用时空建模方法来预测所有LCM测量值或具有减少的时间或空间覆盖的变化子集的PM2.5暴露。Weevaluedthemodelsbasedonacombinationofcross-validationandexternalvalidationatlocationsofLCMincludedinthemodels(N=82),并且还基于一组不用于建模的LCM的独立外部验证(N=30)。我们发现,与所有LCM测量值(0.84[0.9μg/m3])的模型相比,当完全排除LCM测量值(时空验证R2[RMSE]=0.69[1.2μg/m3])时,模型的性能大幅下降。暂时,使用最远的测量(即,每个LCM的第一个和最后一个)导致模型的性能(0.79[1.0μg/m3])与所有LCM数据的模型最接近。只有第一次或最后一次测量的模型性能下降(0.77[1.1μg/m3])。空间上,当仅包含10%的LCM时,模型的性能线性下降至0.74(1.1μg/m3)。我们的分析还表明,位于人口稠密的LCM,邻近道路的区域比那些放置在中等人口中的区域更好地改进了模型,道路遥远的地区。
    Determining the most feasible and cost-effective approaches to improving PM2.5 exposure assessment with low-cost monitors (LCMs) can considerably enhance the quality of its epidemiological inferences. We investigated features of fixed-site LCM designs that most impact PM2.5 exposure estimates to be used in long-term epidemiological inference for the Adult Changes in Thought Air Pollution (ACT-AP) study. We used ACT-AP collected and calibrated LCM PM2.5 measurements at the two-week level from April 2017 to September 2020 (N of monitors [measurements] = 82 [502]). We also acquired reference-grade PM2.5 measurements from January 2010 to September 2020 (N = 78 [6186]). We used a spatiotemporal modeling approach to predict PM2.5 exposures with either all LCM measurements or varying subsets with reduced temporal or spatial coverage. We evaluated the models based on a combination of cross-validation and external validation at locations of LCMs included in the models (N = 82), and also based on an independent external validation with a set of LCMs not used for the modeling (N = 30). We found that the model\'s performance declined substantially when LCM measurements were entirely excluded (spatiotemporal validation R2 [RMSE] = 0.69 [1.2 μg/m3]) compared to the model with all LCM measurements (0.84 [0.9 μg/m3]). Temporally, using the farthest apart measurements (i.e., the first and last) from each LCM resulted in the closest model\'s performance (0.79 [1.0 μg/m3]) to the model with all LCM data. The models with only the first or last measurement had decreased performance (0.77 [1.1 μg/m3]). Spatially, the model\'s performance decreased linearly to 0.74 (1.1 μg/m3) when only 10% of LCMs were included. Our analysis also showed that LCMs located in densely populated, road-proximate areas improved the model more than those placed in moderately populated, road-distant areas.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在灌注MRI中,图像体素形成空间组织的系统网络,所有与他们的直接邻居交换指标。然而,当前的灌注MRI分析范式将所有体素或感兴趣区域视为由单个全局源提供的孤立系统。这种简化不仅导致长期公认的系统误差,而且无法利用数据中的嵌入式空间结构。自2000年代初以来,已经提出了各种模型和实现来分析具有体素间相互作用的系统。总的来说,这导致大的和连接的数值反问题,是在传统的计算方法。随着机器学习的最新进展,然而,这些方法变得切实可行,为灌注MRI方法的范式转变开辟了道路。本文试图回顾灌注MRI的时空建模工作,统一的命名和符号,有明确的物理定义和假设。目的是使这种有前途的灌注MRI新方法的最先进水平更加清晰。并帮助确定知识的差距和未来研究的优先事项。
    In perfusion MRI, image voxels form a spatially organized network of systems, all exchanging indicator with their immediate neighbors. Yet the current paradigm for perfusion MRI analysis treats all voxels or regions-of-interest as isolated systems supplied by a single global source. This simplification not only leads to long-recognized systematic errors but also fails to leverage the embedded spatial structure within the data. Since the early 2000s, a variety of models and implementations have been proposed to analyze systems with between-voxel interactions. In general, this leads to large and connected numerical inverse problems that are intractible with conventional computational methods. With recent advances in machine learning, however, these approaches are becoming practically feasible, opening up the way for a paradigm shift in the approach to perfusion MRI. This paper seeks to review the work in spatiotemporal modelling of perfusion MRI using a coherent, harmonized nomenclature and notation, with clear physical definitions and assumptions. The aim is to introduce clarity in the state-of-the-art of this promising new approach to perfusion MRI, and help to identify gaps of knowledge and priorities for future research.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    缺乏估算高分辨率近地表相对湿度(RH)的现成方法,并且气象站无法完全捕获时空变化,可能导致环境流行病学研究中的暴露错误分类。因此,我们的目标是预测2000-2021年德国范围内1×1公里的日平均RH。RH观察,经度和纬度,模拟空气温度,降水和风速以及地形高程的遥感信息,植被,并将真实的颜色带复合材料纳入随机森林(RF)模型中,除了捕获响应-解释变量关系的时间变化的日期。该模型实现了高精度(R2=0.83)和低误差(均方根误差(RMSE)为5.07%,平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)为5.19%,平均百分比误差(MPE)为-0.53%),通过十倍交叉验证计算。将我们的RH预测与奥格斯堡市密集监测网络的测量结果进行比较,南德确认了良好的性能(R2≥0.86,RMSE≤5.45%,MAPE≤5.59%,MPE≤3.11%)。该模型在德国范围内显示出较高的RH(22y-平均值为79.00%),并且在全国范围内具有较高的空间变异性,年平均超过12%。我们的发现表明,所提出的RF模型适用于以高分辨率估算整个国家的RH,并为流行病学分析和其他环境研究目的提供了可靠的RH数据集。
    The lack of readily available methods for estimating high-resolution near-surface relative humidity (RH) and the incapability of weather stations to fully capture the spatiotemporal variability can lead to exposure misclassification in studies of environmental epidemiology. We therefore aimed to predict German-wide 1 × 1 km daily mean RH during 2000-2021. RH observations, longitude and latitude, modelled air temperature, precipitation and wind speed as well as remote sensing information on topographic elevation, vegetation, and the true color band composite were incorporated in a Random Forest (RF) model, in addition to date for capturing the temporal variations of the response-explanatory variables relationship. The model achieved high accuracy (R2 = 0.83) and low errors (Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 5.07%, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 5.19% and Mean Percentage Error (MPE) of - 0.53%), calculated via ten-fold cross-validation. A comparison of our RH predictions with measurements from a dense monitoring network in the city of Augsburg, South Germany confirmed the good performance (R2 ≥ 0.86, RMSE ≤ 5.45%, MAPE ≤ 5.59%, MPE ≤ 3.11%). The model displayed high German-wide RH (22y-average of 79.00%) and high spatial variability across the country, exceeding 12% on yearly averages. Our findings indicate that the proposed RF model is suitable for estimating RH for a whole country in high-resolution and provide a reliable RH dataset for epidemiological analyses and other environmental research purposes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:车辆换道是风险最大的驾驶操作之一。由于车辆自动化正在迅速成为现实,能够确定这种演习何时会变成危险的情况是至关重要的。最近,已经证明,一种定性的方法:点描述符优先(PDP)表示,能够这样做。因此,本研究旨在调查在早上和/或晚上结构性拥堵的情况下,PDP表示是否可以检测到车道变换操作期间的危险微运动。方法:该方法涉及使用PDP表示分析大型现实世界交通数据集,并添加安全距离点以区分细微的运动模式。结果:基于这些微妙之处,在选定的高峰时段和非高峰时段,我们分别将七个中的四个和九个中的五个标记为危险。结论:结果表明,该方法可以识别交通中的危险运动模式。PDP表示可用于检查某些调整是否(例如,改变最大速度)对危险行为的数量有重大影响,这对改善道路安全很重要。这种方法在惩罚交通违法方面有实际应用,改善交通流量,并为决策者和运输专家提供有价值的信息。它还可以用于在危险的驾驶情况下训练自动驾驶车辆。
    Objective: Vehicular lane-changing is one of the riskiest driving maneuvers. Since vehicular automation is quickly becoming a reality, it is crucial to be able to identify when such a maneuver can turn into a risky situation. Recently, it has been shown that a qualitative approach: the Point Descriptor Precedence (PDP) representation, is able to do so. Therefore, this study aims to investigate whether the PDP representation can detect hazardous micro movements during lane-changing maneuvers in a situation of structural congestion in the morning and/or evening.Method: The approach involves analyzing a large real-world traffic dataset using the PDP representation and adding safety distance points to distinguish subtle movement patterns.Results: Based on these subtleties, we label four out of seven and five out of nine lane-change maneuvers as risky during the selected peak and the off-peak traffic hours respectively.Conclusions: The results show that the approach can identify risky movement patterns in traffic. The PDP representation can be used to check whether certain adjustments (e.g., changing the maximum speed) have a significant impact on the number of dangerous behaviors, which is important for improving road safety. This approach has practical applications in penalizing traffic violations, improving traffic flow, and providing valuable information for policymakers and transport experts. It can also be used to train autonomous vehicles in risky driving situations.
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