自1995年以来,国家法医DNA数据库使用了最大数量的贡献者,和最少数量的基因座,以减少提供假引线的风险。不符合这些标准的生物痕迹的DNA谱不能加载到这些数据库中。2023年,在瑞士西部分析的15,000多个痕量DNA图谱中,约有10%未在国家一级进行比较。即使它们被认为是可解释的,主要是因为它们含有两个以上人的DNA。在这种情况下,警察部门可以要求与已知人员的DNA档案和/或其他痕迹进行本地比较,但这种情况只发生在一小部分病例中,所以DNA混合物很少被用来帮助检测潜在的序列。概率基因分型软件及其相关工具的开发使这种类型的比较的有效性能成为可能,这是基于似然比(LR)而不是共享等位基因的数量。为了突出调查和情报目的的潜在共同贡献者,本研究使用软件STRmixv2.7的混合物-混合物工具比较了瑞士DNA数据库无法搜索的235个DNA图谱.这些DNA图谱源于2021年和2022年由六个不同的警察部门收集的痕迹。警方根据表明它们来自潜在系列的信息选择了痕迹。将配置文件之间的关联与预期的调查关联进行比较,以定义这种方法的价值。在27,495对DNA图谱的配对比较中,当使用1000的LR阈值时,88对(0.3%)显示出至少一个潜在的共同贡献者。在这88对中,60人(68.2%)被警方认定为“预期”(60/88),22(25.0%)作为“可能”,六个(6.8%)为“意外”。尽管重要的是要考虑这种方法的局限性(例如,不定或错过的联想,成本/效益评估,过程中DNA混合物比较的整合),这些发现表明,非CODIS可加载的DNA混合物可以为警察机构提供有关地方和国家层面潜在系列的信息.
Since 1995, national forensic DNA databases have used a maximum number of contributors, and a minimum number of loci to reduce the risk of providing false leads. DNA profiles of biological traces that do not meet these criteria cannot be loaded into these databases. In 2023, about 10 % of more than 15,000 trace DNA profiles analyzed in western Switzerland were not compared at the national level, even though they were considered to be interpretable, mainly because they contained the DNA from more than two persons. In this situation, police services can request local comparisons with DNA profiles of known persons and/or with other traces, but this occurs in only a small proportion of cases, so that DNA mixtures are rarely used to help detect potential
series. The development of probabilistic genotyping software and its associated tools have made possible the efficient performance of this type of comparison, which is based on likelihood ratios (LR) rather than on the number of shared alleles. To highlight potential common contributors for investigation and intelligence purposes, the present study used the mixture-to-mixture tool of the software STRmix v2.7 to compare 235 DNA profiles that cannot be searched the Swiss DNA database. These DNA profiles originated from traces collected by six different police services in 2021 and 2022. Traces were selected by the police based on information that indicated that they were from potential
series. Associations between profiles were compared with expected investigative associations to define the value of this approach. Among the 27,495 pairwise comparisons of DNA profiles, 88 pairs (0.3 %) showed at least one potential common contributor when using a LR threshold of 1000. Of these 88 pairs, 60 (68.2 %) were qualified by the police services as \"expected\" (60/88), 22 (25.0 %) as \"possible\", and six (6.8 %) as \"unexpected\". Although it is important to consider the limits of this approach (e.g., adventitious or missed associations, cost/benefit evaluation, integration of DNA mixture comparison in the process), these findings indicate that non CODIS loadable DNA mixtures could provide police agencies with information concerning potential
series at both the local and national level.