regional chemical transport model

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    2021年6月下半月,从撒哈拉沙漠到地中海中部发生了一系列尘埃入侵。此事件是通过天气研究和预报以及化学(WRF-Chem)区域化学传输模型(CTM)模拟的。通过将CTM的输出与意大利常住人口图相结合,使用开源量子地理信息系统(QGIS)评估了灰尘表面PM2.5的人口暴露。WRF-Chem分析与来自中分辨率成像光谱辐射计(MODIS)的星载气溶胶观测值进行了比较,对于PM2.5表面粉尘浓度,随着现代时代对研究和应用的回顾性分析,版本2(MERRA-2)重新分析。考虑到整个期间(6月17日至24日)和面积平均统计数据,WRF-Chem模拟显示,气溶胶光学深度(AOD)和PM2.5表面粉尘浓度普遍低估。对意大利及其宏观区域计算的暴露类别的比较表明,粉尘序列暴露随常住人口数量的位置和实体而变化。最低的暴露等级(高达5µgm-3)在意大利和意大利北部的大多数人口中所占比例最高(38%),而中部一半以上的人口,意大利南部和岛屿已经暴露在15-25µgm-3范围内的灰尘PM2.5中。WRF-Chem模型与QGIS的耦合是管理极端污染和/或严重气象事件带来的风险的有前途的工具。具体来说,本方法也可以应用于业务粉尘预报目的,向暴露人口最多的地区发送安全警报信息。
    A sequence of dust intrusions occurred from the Sahara Desert to the central Mediterranean in the second half of June 2021. This event was simulated by means of the Weather Research and Forecasting coupled with chemistry (WRF-Chem) regional chemical transport model (CTM). The population exposure to the dust surface PM2.5 was evaluated with the open-source quantum geographical information system (QGIS) by combining the output of the CTM with the resident population map of Italy. WRF-Chem analyses were compared with spaceborne aerosol observations derived from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and, for the PM2.5 surface dust concentration, with the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2) reanalysis. Considering the full-period (17-24 June) and area-averaged statistics, the WRF-Chem simulations showed a general underestimation for both the aerosol optical depth (AOD) and the PM2.5 surface dust concentration. The comparison of exposure classes calculated for Italy and its macro-regions showed that the dust sequence exposure varies with the location and entity of the resident population amount. The lowest exposure class (up to 5 µg m-3) had the highest percentage (38%) of the population of Italy and most of the population of north Italy, whereas more than a half of the population of central, south and insular Italy had been exposed to dust PM2.5 in the range of 15-25 µg m-3. The coupling of the WRF-Chem model with QGIS is a promising tool for the management of risks posed by extreme pollution and/or severe meteorological events. Specifically, the present methodology can also be applied for operational dust forecasting purposes, to deliver safety alarm messages to areas with the most exposed population.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于该地区人为排放大量,东亚海洋可能受到高氮(N)负担的影响。基于水平网格尺度为36和12km的高分辨率区域化学输运模型,我们在2010年调查了通过大气沉积进入东亚海洋的氮负担。我们在黄海上发现了2-9kgNha-1yr-1的高N负荷,东海(ECS),日本海。东亚的排放主要由陆地上的氨(NH3)和海洋上的氮氧化物(NOx)主导,在大多数陆地和公海上,氮的沉积以减少的氮为主,而边缘海和沙漠地区的氧化氮占主导地位。经过验证的数值模型确定,以下过程在东亚海洋中具有重要的定量意义:硝酸(HNO3)的干沉积,NH3和粗模式(空气动力学直径大于2.5μm)NO3-,和细模式(空气动力学直径小于2.5μm)NO3-和NH4的湿沉积。在公海上,粗模式NO3-的干沉降的相对重要性更高。估计整个ECS的氮沉积为390GgNyr-1;这与从长江到ECS的流量相当,表明大气沉降的显著贡献。基于ECS上的高分辨率建模,发现了西部ECS高沉积和东部ECS低沉积的趋势,并估计了各种沉积过程。粗模式NO3-的干沉积和细模式NH4+的湿沉积是主要因素,还发现东北ECS上的细模式NO3-的湿沉积和东南ECS上的粗模式NO3-的湿沉积是决定ECS上N沉积的重要过程。
    East Asian oceans are possibly affected by a high nitrogen (N) burden because of the intense anthropogenic emissions in this region. Based on high-resolution regional chemical transport modeling with horizontal grid scales of 36 and 12 km, we investigated the N burden into East Asian oceans via atmospheric deposition in 2010. We found a high N burden of 2-9 kg N ha-1 yr-1 over the Yellow Sea, East China Sea (ECS), and Sea of Japan. Emissions over East Asia were dominated by ammonia (NH3) over land and nitrogen oxides (NOx) over oceans, and N deposition was dominated by reduced N over most land and open ocean, whereas it was dominated by oxidized N over marginal seas and desert areas. The verified numerical modeling identified that the following processes were quantitatively important over East Asian oceans: the dry deposition of nitric acid (HNO3), NH3, and coarse-mode (aerodynamic diameter greater than 2.5 μm) NO3-, and wet deposition of fine-mode (aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 μm) NO3- and NH4+. The relative importance of the dry deposition of coarse-mode NO3- was higher over open ocean. The estimated N deposition to the whole ECS was 390 Gg N yr-1; this is comparable to the discharge from the Yangtze River to the ECS, indicating the significant contribution of atmospheric deposition. Based on the high-resolution modeling over the ECS, a tendency of high deposition in the western ECS and low deposition in the eastern ECS was found, and a variety of deposition processes were estimated. The dry deposition of coarse-mode NO3- and wet deposition of fine-mode NH4+ were the main factors, and the wet deposition of fine-mode NO3- over the northeastern ECS and wet deposition of coarse-mode NO3- over the southeastern ECS were also found to be significant processes determining N deposition over the ECS.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Appropriate policies to improve air quality by reducing anthropogenic emissions are urgently needed. This is typified by the particulate matter (PM) problem and it is well known that one type of PM, sulfate aerosol (SO42-), has a large-scale impact due to long range transport. In this study we evaluate the source-receptor relationships of SO42- over East Asia for 2005, when anthropogenic sulfur dioxide (SO2) emissions from China peaked. SO2 emissions from China have been declining since 2005-2006, so the possible maximum impact of Chinese contributions of SO42- is evaluated. This kind of information provides a foundation for policy making and the estimation of control effects. The tagged tracer method was applied to estimate the source apportionment of SO42- for 31 Chinese province-scale regions. In addition, overall one-year source apportionments were evaluated to clarify the seasonal dependency. Model performance was confirmed by comparing with ground-based observations over mainland China, Taiwan, Korea, and Japan, and the model results fully satisfied the performance goal for PM. We found the following results. Shandong and Hebei provinces, which were the largest and second largest SO2 sources in China, had the greatest impact over the whole of East Asia with apportionments of around 10-30% locally and around 5-15% in downwind receptor regions during the year. Despite large SO2 emissions, the impact of south China (e.g., Guizhou, Guangdong, and Sichuan provinces) was limited to local impact. These results suggest that the reduction policy in south China contributes to improving the local air quality, whereas policies in north and central China are beneficial for both the whole of China and downwind regions. Over Taiwan, Korea, and Japan, the impact of China was dominant; however, local contributions were important during summer.
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