UNASSIGNED:慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)是世界上最常见的慢性呼吸系统疾病,尤其是在中国。很少有研究探讨COPD在中国及其各省的发展趋势。本研究旨在基于全球疾病负担(GBD)数据,揭示和预测中国及其省份COPDDALY的变化趋势。
UNASSIGNED:COPD残疾调整生命年(DALY)的数据来自GBD2017、GBD2019和中国国家统计局。年龄标准化率(ASR)用于评估COPDDALY的性别趋势,年龄,以及中国及其各省的风险因素。此外,还预测了未来10年考虑人口老龄化的COPD趋势。
未经批准:在中国,2017年COPDDALY为2,040万,从1990年至2017年下降至24.16%.大部分省份呈下降趋势,除了台湾增长了127.78%。2017年DALY的ASR为每10万人1445.53,并显示出显着下降。在所有省份中,只有中国台湾(97.78%)和湖北(2.21%)的ASR呈上升趋势。此外,西藏以56.95%的跌幅排名第三,虽然它的ASR是1990年最高的。吸烟和空气污染是COPD的主要危险因素,并因地区而异。性别,和年龄。在中老年男性人群中,归因于吸烟的COPDDALY比例较高,而在中国没有下降。此外,中国老年人空气污染导致的ASR显著下降。还发现社会人口指数(SDI)和教育水平与ASR有关。通过预测未来10年的ASR趋势,我们发现,男性吸烟导致的ASR可能显著增加.可归因于空气污染的ASR显示女性显着下降。不幸的是,发现女性二手烟引起的ASR增加。
UNASSIGNED:慢性阻塞性肺疾病是全球疾病负担的主要原因。尽管中国及其各省的COPDDALY呈下降趋势,一些省份仍然面临挑战。此外,可归因于风险因素的ASR在地区不同,性别,年龄,和几年。COPD的预测趋势也不同。因此,应制定更有针对性的策略来减轻中国及各省的COPD负担。
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is the most common chronic respiratory disease in the world, especially in China. Few studies have explored the trend of COPD in China and its
provinces. This study aimed to demonstrate and predict the trend of COPD DALY in China and its
provinces based on the global burden of disease (GBD) data.
The data on COPD disability-adjusted life year (DALY) were collected from GBD 2017, GBD 2019, and the National Bureau of Statistics of China. The age-standardized rate (ASR) was used to evaluate the trend of COPD DALY by gender, age, and risk factors in China and its provinces. In addition, the trend of COPD considering the aging population in the next 10 years was also predicted.
In China, the COPD DALY was 20.4 million in 2017, which decreased to 24.16% from 1990 to 2017. Most
provinces showed a downward trend, with the exception of Taiwan which increased by 127.78%. The ASR of DALY was 1445.53 per 100,000 people in 2017 and demonstrated a significant decrease. Among all
provinces, only Taiwan (97.78%) and Hubei (2.21%) demonstrated an increased trend of ASR. In addition, Tibet ranked third with a decline of 56.95%, although its ASR was the highest in 1990. Smoking and air pollution were the main risk factors for COPD and varied with regions, gender, and age. The proportion of COPD DALY attributable to smoking was higher in the middle-aged and elderly male population and did not decrease in China. Moreover, the ASR attributable to air pollution of the elderly decreased significantly in China. Socio-demographic index (SDI) and educational level were also found to be related to ASR. By predicting the ASR trend in the next 10 years, we found that the ASR attributable to smoking might increase significantly among men. The ASR attributable to air pollution showed a significant decrease in women. Unfortunately, ASR attributable to second-hand smoke was found to increase in women.
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease is the leading contributor to the burden of global diseases. Although China and its
provinces demonstrated a downward trend of COPD DALY, some
provinces still faced challenges. Moreover, ASR attributable to risk factors was different in regions, gender, age, and years. The predicted trend of COPD was also different. Therefore, more targeted strategies should be formulated to reduce the burden of COPD in China and its provinces.