prognostic and health management

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    作为一个新兴的研究领域,物理信息机器学习及其结构完整性应用可能为工程问题的智能解决带来新的机遇。纯数据驱动的方法在解决工程问题时有一些局限性,因为缺乏可解释性和数据需求的应用。因此,进一步释放机器学习的潜力将是未来重要的研究方向。知识驱动的机器学习方法可能会对未来的工程研究产生深远的影响。本期特刊的主题集中于更具体的物理知识机器学习方法和案例研究。这个问题提出了一系列实用的想法,以展示物理知识机器学习在高精度和高效率解决工程问题方面的巨大潜力。本文是“物理知识机器学习及其结构完整性应用(第2部分)”主题的一部分。
    As an emerging research field, physics-informed machine learning and its structural integrity applications may bring new opportunities to the intelligent solution of engineering problems. Pure data-driven approaches have some limitations when solving engineering problems due to lack of interpretability and data hungry applications. Therefore, further unlocking the potential of machine learning will be an important research direction in the future. Knowledge-driven machine learning methods may have a profound impact on future engineering research. The theme of this special issue focuses on more specific physics-informed machine learning methods and case studies. This issue presents a series of practical ideas to demonstrate the huge potential of physics-informed machine learning for solving engineering problems with high precision and efficiency. This article is part of the theme issue \'Physics-informed machine learning and its structural integrity applications (Part 2)\'.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    该问题的重点是物理信息机器学习及其在工程系统/设施的结构完整性和安全评估中的应用。数据科学和数据挖掘是快速发展的领域,在几个工程研究社区中具有很高的潜力;特别是,机器学习(ML)的进步无疑带来了重大突破。然而,纯粹的ML模型不一定带有物理意义,他们也不能很好地概括他们没有接受过训练的场景。这是一个新兴的研究领域,将来可能会对设计新材料和结构产生巨大影响。然后进行适当的最终评估。本期旨在更新当前的研究现状,将物理学融入ML模型,在处理材料科学时提供工具,疲劳和断裂,包括基于ML技术的新的和复杂的算法,以高精度和生产率实时处理数据。本文是“物理知识机器学习及其结构完整性应用(第1部分)”主题的一部分。
    The issue focuses on physics-informed machine learning and its applications for structural integrity and safety assessment of engineering systems/facilities. Data science and data mining are fields in fast development with a high potential in several engineering research communities; in particular, advances in machine learning (ML) are undoubtedly enabling significant breakthroughs. However, purely ML models do not necessarily carry physical meaning, nor do they generalize well to scenarios on which they have not been trained on. This is an emerging field of research that potentially will raise a huge impact in the future for designing new materials and structures, and then for their proper final assessment. This issue aims to update the current research state of the art, incorporating physics into ML models, and providing tools when dealing with material science, fatigue and fracture, including new and sophisticated algorithms based on ML techniques to treat data in real-time with high accuracy and productivity. This article is part of the theme issue \'Physics-informed machine learning and its structural integrity applications (Part 1)\'.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    机器学习(ML)的发展提供了一个有前途的解决方案,以保证关键部件在服务期间的结构完整性。然而,考虑到缺乏对基本物理定律的尊重,数据饥饿的性质和糟糕的外推性能,纯数据驱动方法在结构完整性中的进一步应用受到挑战。一种新兴的机器学习范式,物理信息机器学习(PIML),尝试通过将物理信息嵌入ML模型来克服这些限制。本文讨论了将物理信息嵌入ML的不同方法,并回顾了PIML在结构完整性方面的发展,包括失效机制建模以及预后和健康管理(PHM)。对PIML在结构完整性中的应用的探索证明了PIML提高与先验知识一致性的潜力。外推性能,预测精度,可解释性和计算效率,减少对训练数据的依赖。这项工作的分析和发现概述了现阶段的局限性,并提供了PIML的一些潜在研究方向,以开发先进的PIML,以确保工程系统/设施的结构完整性。本文是“物理知识机器学习及其结构完整性应用(第1部分)”主题的一部分。
    The development of machine learning (ML) provides a promising solution to guarantee the structural integrity of critical components during service period. However, considering the lack of respect for the underlying physical laws, the data hungry nature and poor extrapolation performance, the further application of pure data-driven methods in structural integrity is challenged. An emerging ML paradigm, physics-informed machine learning (PIML), attempts to overcome these limitations by embedding physical information into ML models. This paper discusses different ways of embedding physical information into ML and reviews the developments of PIML in structural integrity including failure mechanism modelling and prognostic and health management (PHM). The exploration of the application of PIML to structural integrity demonstrates the potential of PIML for improving consistency with prior knowledge, extrapolation performance, prediction accuracy, interpretability and computational efficiency and reducing dependence on training data. The analysis and findings of this work outline the limitations at this stage and provide some potential research direction of PIML to develop advanced PIML for ensuring structural integrity of engineering systems/facilities. This article is part of the theme issue \'Physics-informed machine learning and its structural integrity applications (Part 1)\'.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在降低维护成本至关重要的许多领域中,预后和健康管理技术越来越重要。无损检测技术和物联网(IoT)可以帮助创建准确的、特定监控对象的双面数字模型,实现预测分析并避免风险情况。这项研究的重点是一个特殊的应用:在手术期间监控牙髓文件,以制定防止破损的策略。为此,作者提出了一种创新的,基于数字孪生和红外热成像测量的早期故障检测的无创技术。他们开发了NiTi合金牙髓文件的数字孪生,该文件从现实世界接收测量数据,并在工作条件下生成物体的预期热图。通过将此虚拟图像与红外相机获取的真实图像进行比较,作者能够识别异常趋势并避免破损.使用专业的红外摄像机和作者先前开发的创新的低成本红外扫描仪对该技术进行了校准和验证。通过使用这两种设备,他们可以在文件破裂前至少11秒确定一个临界条件。
    Prognostic and health management technologies are increasingly important in many fields where reducing maintenance costs is critical. Non-destructive testing techniques and the Internet of Things (IoT) can help create accurate, two-sided digital models of specific monitored objects, enabling predictive analysis and avoiding risky situations. This study focuses on a particular application: monitoring an endodontic file during operation to develop a strategy to prevent breakage. To this end, the authors propose an innovative, non-invasive technique for early fault detection based on digital twins and infrared thermography measurements. They developed a digital twin of a NiTi alloy endodontic file that receives measurement data from the real world and generates the expected thermal map of the object under working conditions. By comparing this virtual image with the real one acquired by an IR camera, the authors were able to identify an anomalous trend and avoid breakage. The technique was calibrated and validated using both a professional IR camera and an innovative low-cost IR scanner previously developed by the authors. By using both devices, they could identify a critical condition at least 11 s before the file broke.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    预后和健康管理(PHM)中的一个经典问题是剩余使用寿命(RUL)的预测。然而,直到现在,在这个挑战中,还没有提出算法来实现完美的性能。这项研究采用了一种较少探索的方法:在给定的预测范围内对机械系统状态进行二元分类。为了证明所提出方法的有效性,在C-MAPSS样本数据集上进行了测试。获得的结果表明实现了几乎最大的性能阈值。还研究了使用SHAP(Shapley加法解释)特征贡献估计方法对在有和没有滑动窗口技术的数据上训练的分类模型的人工智能(XAI)的可解释性。
    A classic problem in prognostic and health management (PHM) is the prediction of the remaining useful life (RUL). However, until now, there has been no algorithm presented to achieve perfect performance in this challenge. This study implements a less explored approach: binary classification of the state of mechanical systems at a given forecast horizon. To prove the effectiveness of the proposed approach, tests were conducted on the C-MAPSS sample dataset. The obtained results demonstrate the achievement of an almost maximal performance threshold. The explainability of artificial intelligence (XAI) using the SHAP (Shapley Additive Explanations) feature contribution estimation method for classification models trained on data with and without a sliding window technique is also investigated.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于生产周期短,设计技术发展迅速,传统的预后和健康管理(PHM)方法变得不切实际,无法满足具有结构和功能复杂性的系统的需求。在所有PHM设计中,可测试性设计和可维护性设计面临着严峻的困难。首先,可测试性设计需要大量的劳动和知识准备,并浪费传感器记录信息。第二,可维护性设计因可测性设计不当而受到不良影响。为了克服这些问题,我们提出了一种基于软测量和集成信念测量的测试策略优化。而不是串行PHM设计,该方法在可测性和可维护性之间构造了一个闭环,以生成具有软传感器节点的自适应故障诊断树。生成的诊断树确保了高效率和灵活性,利用极限学习机(ELM)和亲和力传播(AP)。实验结果表明,我们的方法与最先进的方法相比具有最高的性能。此外,该方法提高了诊断的灵活性,节省了测试性设计的人力。
    Resulting from the short production cycle and rapid design technology development, traditional prognostic and health management (PHM) approaches become impractical and fail to match the requirement of systems with structural and functional complexity. Among all PHM designs, testability design and maintainability design face critical difficulties. First, testability design requires much labor and knowledge preparation, and wastes the sensor recording information. Second, maintainability design suffers bad influences by improper testability design. We proposed a test strategy optimization based on soft-sensing and ensemble belief measurements to overcome these problems. Instead of serial PHM design, the proposed method constructs a closed loop between testability and maintenance to generate an adaptive fault diagnostic tree with soft-sensor nodes. The diagnostic tree generated ensures high efficiency and flexibility, taking advantage of extreme learning machine (ELM) and affinity propagation (AP). The experiment results show that our method receives the highest performance with state-of-art methods. Additionally, the proposed method enlarges the diagnostic flexibility and saves much human labor on testability design.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Prognostic and Health Management (PHM) systems are some of the main protagonists of the Industry 4.0 revolution. Efficiently detecting whether an industrial component has deviated from its normal operating condition or predicting when a fault will occur are the main challenges these systems aim at addressing. Efficient PHM methods promise to decrease the probability of extreme failure events, thus improving the safety level of industrial machines. Furthermore, they could potentially drastically reduce the often conspicuous costs associated with scheduled maintenance operations. The increasing availability of data and the stunning progress of Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) techniques over the last decade represent two strong motivating factors for the development of data-driven PHM systems. On the other hand, the black-box nature of DL models significantly hinders their level of interpretability, de facto limiting their application to real-world scenarios. In this work, we explore the intersection of Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods and PHM applications. We present a thorough review of existing works both in the contexts of fault diagnosis and fault prognosis, highlighting the benefits and the drawbacks introduced by the adoption of AI techniques. Our goal is to highlight potentially fruitful research directions along with characterizing the main challenges that need to be addressed in order to realize the promises of AI-based PHM systems.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Proton exchange membrane fuel cell (PEMFC) has been widely used in diverse applications. However, degradation and durability problem is one of the biggest barriers to take PEMFCs into extensive commercial use. Prognostics and health management is an effective solution to this problem. In this study, we focus on its core technology prognostics and propose an individual difference conscious prediction method for PEMFC using a hybrid transfer learning approach to get higher accuracy. Firstly, a time-scale self-optimization local weighted regression method is designed to adaptively smooth the raw data to prominent the performance degradation trend. Then, to obtain a more similar curve to the predicted fuel cell as the training data of the prediction model, a transferability measurement method using cosine-distance selects the most similar historical test data. Furtherly, it is utilized to generate a more similar curve by a data transfer method combining a deep learning model named stacked autoencoder and a hybrid transfer learning strategy. Two types of transfer learning approaches are fused to maximally mine available information from historical data and previous models to help improve the similarity of the generated curve. In this process, the common degradation information of all cells and individual information of the predicted cells are considered to improve generation quality. Finally, a prediction model using stacked Long-short Term Memory(LSTM) having a significant advantage in modeling series relation is trained by the generated samples cut with variable width sliding windows and estimates remaining useful life(RUL) the target fuel cell. Experimental validation data are employed to verify the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm. Satisfying results are also obtained by accuracy comparison under different smoothing scales, numbers of transferable samples, and prediction methods.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    With the development of the internet of things (IoTs), big data, smart sensing technology, and cloud technology, the industry has entered a new stage of revolution. Traditional manufacturing enterprises are transforming into service-oriented manufacturing based on prognostic and health management (PHM). However, there is a lack of a systematic and comprehensive framework of PHM to create more added value. In this paper, the authors proposed an integrative framework to systematically solve the problem from three levels: Strategic level of PHM to create added value, tactical level of PHM to make the implementation route, and operational level of PHM in a detailed application. At the strategic level, the authors provided the innovative business model to create added value through the big data. Moreover, to monitor the equipment status, the health index (HI) based on a condition-based maintenance (CBM) method was proposed. At the tactical level, the authors provided the implementation route in application integration, analysis service, and visual management to satisfy the different stakeholders\' functional requirements through a convolutional neural network (CNN). At the operational level, the authors constructed a self-sensing network based on anti-inference and self-organizing Zigbee to capture the real-time data from the equipment group. Finally, the authors verified the feasibility of the framework in a real case from China.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    The cementing manufacturing process of ferrite phase shifters has the defect that cementing strength is insufficient and fractures always appear. A detection method of these defects was studied utilizing the multi-sensors Prognostic and Health Management (PHM) theory. Aiming at these process defects, the reasons that lead to defects are analyzed in this paper. In the meanwhile, the key process parameters were determined and Differential Scanning Calorimetry (DSC) tests during the cure process of resin cementing were carried out. At the same time, in order to get data on changing cementing strength, multiple-group cementing process tests of different key process parameters were designed and conducted. A relational model of cementing strength and cure temperature, time and pressure was established, by combining data of DSC and process tests as well as based on the Avrami formula. Through sensitivity analysis for three process parameters, the on-line detection decision criterion and the process parameters which have obvious impact on cementing strength were determined. A PHM system with multiple temperature and pressure sensors was established on this basis, and then, on-line detection, diagnosis and control for ferrite phase shifter cementing process defects were realized. It was verified by subsequent process that the on-line detection system improved the reliability of the ferrite phase shifter cementing process and reduced the incidence of insufficient cementing strength defects.
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