predictive indices

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    学习阅读和写作是儿童在小学早期发展的基本学术技能。这些技能得到了儿童早期出现的各种预测指标的支持。这篇综述有三个主要目标:确定哪些因素被密切检查为阅读和写作的预测因素,特别是解码和编码技能,在不同的人群和语言中(目标1);评估这些预测因子与阅读和写作技能之间的纵向关系(目标2),考虑到这些领域的困难或障碍(目标3),在学龄期。使用PRISMA方法,回顾了81篇文章。作为第一个结果,与写作(n=18)相比,调查预测因子与阅读(n=75)之间关系的研究数量存在显着差异。这两种技能研究最广泛的预测因素是语音意识,语言技能,执行功能,快速自动化命名,和非语言认知技能。英语是学习最多的语言。结果表明预测因子与读/写之间的关系存在差异,可能是由于分析人群的差异,选择的结果衡量标准,和统计分析。此外,很少有研究探讨预测因素与学习困难之间的长期联系。总之,认识到阅读和写作预测因素的多面性是至关重要的,早期筛查对于在早期缺陷的情况下量身定制的预防性干预措施很重要。未来的研究应该深入研究写作,用不同的语言进行跨文化研究,并探讨预测因素在理解阅读和写作困难或障碍中的作用。
    Learning to read and write are essential academic skills that children develop during their early years of primary school. These skills are supported by various predictive indices that emerge in early childhood. This review has three main goals: to identify which factors are closely examined as predictors for reading and writing, specifically decoding and encoding skills, in different populations and languages (Objective 1); to assess the longitudinal relationship between these predictors and reading and writing skills (Objective 2), considering difficulties or disorders in these areas (Objective 3), during school-age. Using the PRISMA methodology, 81 articles were reviewed. As a first result, there is a significant difference in the number of studies investigating the relationship between predictors and reading (n = 75) compared to writing (n = 18). The most extensively studied predictors for both skills are phonological awareness, language skills, executive functions, rapid automatized naming, and non-verbal cognitive skills. English is the most studied language. Results indicated variability in the relationship between predictors and reading/writing, possibly due to differences in the analyzed populations, chosen outcome measures, and statistical analyses. Additionally, few studies explored the long-term connection between predictors and learning difficulties. In summary, recognizing the multifaceted nature of predictive factors for reading and writing is crucial, and early screening is important for tailored preventive interventions in case of early deficiencies. Future research should delve into writing, conduct cross-cultural studies with diverse languages, and explore the role of predictive factors in understanding reading and writing difficulties or disorders.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    许多个人因素,比如早期的交际技巧,可以在解释后来的语言结果方面发挥作用。预测变量的检测对于早期识别需要干预的儿童至关重要。本研究的重点是性染色体三体(SCT)的儿童,遗传条件与发展语言延迟或损害的风险增加。目的是分析他们18个月大的交际能力,并确定他们后来的词汇量的重要预测因素。参与者是76名18个月大的儿童(38名患有SCT,和38名典型发育(TD)儿童)。他们的沟通技巧在亲子游戏期间进行了评估,父母在18和24个月时填写了一份关于他们词汇发展的报告。患有SCT的儿童在18个月时在言语前(胡言乱语和手势)和言语能力方面表现出明显较差的语言技能。患有SCT的幼儿中有很大比例(近70%)是24个月后说话的孩子,那些蹒跚学步的孩子在18个月时表现出较低的胡言乱语频率。早期的词汇技巧,儿童发育商,并且是SCT幼儿组的一部分是六个月后儿童词汇量的重要预测因子。在评估患有SCT的儿童的语言能力时,应考虑这些变量,以检测未来语言障碍的可能早期风险因素。
    Many individual factors, such as early communicative skills, could play a role in explaining later linguistic outcomes. The detection of predictive variables is fundamental to identifying early the children who need intervention. The present study focuses on children with sex chromosome trisomies (SCTs), genetic conditions with an increased risk of developing language delays or impairments. The aims are to analyse their communicative skills at 18 months of age, and identify significant predictors of their later vocabulary size. Participants were 76 18-month-old children (38 with SCTs, and 38 typically-developing (TD) children). Their communicative skills were assessed during a parent-child play session, and parents filled in a report on their vocabulary development at 18 and 24 months. Children with SCTs showed significantly poorer linguistic skills at 18 months in both preverbal (babbling and gestures) and verbal abilities. A high percentage (nearly 70%) of toddlers with SCTs were late-talking children at 24 months, and those toddlers showed a lower frequency of babbling utterances at 18 months. Early lexical skills, children\'s developmental quotient, and being part of the group of toddlers with SCTs were significant predictors of children\'s vocabulary size six months later. These variables should be considered when assessing the linguistic competence of a child with SCTs to detect possible early risk factors of future language impairment.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    OBJECTIVE: Liver fibrosis and cirrhosis are nearly inevitable following Kasai portoenterostomy (KPE) for biliary atresia (BA), though the formation of varices is not. We sought to assess the value of noninvasive indices of portal hypertension (PHT), in predicting significant esophageal varices, and to develop a novel prediction model through regression modeling.
    METHODS: This is a retrospective, observational study with analysis of routine biochemical and ultrasound data. Five indices were examined: AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRi); hepatic artery resistance index (HARI); spleen size z score (SSAZ); platelet count-to-SSAZ ratio (P/SSAZ); and clinical prediction rule (CPR) [(0.75 × platelets)/(SSAZ+5)]+(2.5 × albumin), each at specific time points following KPE (6 months, 1 year and 2 years). Significant varices were defined as grade ≥ 2 at endoscopy (screening or following a gastrointestinal bleed). AUROC was calculated for all indices. Univariate analysis was used to assess variables\' suitability for inclusion in a subsequent multivariate logistic regression model to generate a predictive index. Data are quoted as median (range). P values ≤ 0.05 were regarded as significant.
    RESULTS: 195 infants (median age at KPE of 55 days [11-216]) were analyzed. 42 (22%) had significant varices (median time to first presentation of varices of 1.20 [0.20-6.40] years). CPR and APRi (AUROCs ranging from 0.73-0.80 and 0.69-0.83 respectively) performed best overall. Multiple logistic regression modeling yielded a novel predictor at 6 months post-KPE: the Varices Prediction Rule (albumin × platelets/1000) (AUROC 0.75, sensitivity 86%, sensitivity 71%).
    CONCLUSIONS: Noninvasive indices such as CPR, APRi and now VPR can provide a tool for stratifying BA patients for elective endoscopy and possible preemptive intervention.
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