prediction factor

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:当使用177Lu-DOTATATE的患者从使用放射性药物的房间释放或排出时,释放或出院所需的时间因患者而异。这项研究调查了在治疗前进行的111In-生长抑素受体闪烁显像(111In-SRS)上积累的放射性量是否可以预测177Lu-DOTATATE给药后第二天距患者1m处的1cm剂量当量率。
    方法:采集21例患者的全身平面111In-SRS图像。将全身和腹部(35×25cm)感兴趣区域(ROI)内的像素值转换为放射性剂量(MBq)。使用电离测量仪测量在施用177Lu-DOTATATE后18.3±0.5h距离患者1m处的1cm剂量当量率(µSv/h)。
    结果:在给药177Lu-DOTATATE:全身ROI:y=0.16x5.01(r=0.56,p=0.009)后的第二天,在111In-SRS上的放射性与1cm剂量等效率之间观察到以下关系,腹部ROI:y=0.27x+5.13(r=0.63,p=0.002)。回归方程表明,如果全身和腹部ROI剂量大于81和48MBq,则患者在177Lu-DOTATATE给药后的第二天不能从放射性药物室释放或出院。分别,111In-SRS上。
    结论:对于接受177Lu-DOTATATE的患者,在111In-SRS上累积的放射性量可能是释放标准的预测因子。
    OBJECTIVE: When patients administered 177Lu-DOTATATE are released or discharged from rooms where radiopharmaceuticals are used, the time required for release or discharge varies across patients. This study investigated whether the amount of radioactivity accumulated on 111In-somatostatine receptor scintigraphy (111In-SRS) performed prior to treatment can predict the 1 cm dose-equivalent rate at a distance of 1 m from the patient on the day after 177Lu-DOTATATE administration.
    METHODS: Whole-body planar 111In-SRS images were acquired for 21 patients. Pixel values within whole-body and abdominal (35 × 25 cm) regions of interest (ROIs) were converted to radioactivity dose (MBq). The 1 cm dose-equivalent rate (µSv/h) at a distance of 1 m from the patient 18.3 ± 0.5 h after administration of 177Lu-DOTATATE was measured using an ionization survey meter.
    RESULTS: The following relationships were observed between the radioactivity on 111In-SRS and the 1 cm dose-equivalent rate on the day after administration of 177Lu-DOTATATE: whole-body ROI: y = 0.16x + 5.01 (r = 0.56, p = 0.009), abdominal ROI: y = 0.27x + 5.13 (r = 0.63, p = 0.002). The regression equations indicate that patients cannot be released or discharged from the radiopharmaceutical room the day after 177Lu-DOTATATE administration if the whole-body and abdominal ROI doses are greater than 81 and 48 MBq, respectively, on 111In-SRS.
    CONCLUSIONS: The amount of radioactivity accumulated on 111In-SRS may be a predictor of release criteria for patients receiving 177Lu-DOTATATE.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景肺炎是老年人的主要问题,住院后再入院率高。这些再入院增加了医疗费用,并反映了医院护理的质量。本研究旨在探讨老年肺炎患者30天内再入院的相关预测因素。方法这项回顾性队列研究利用了现有的医疗记录。我们纳入了2016年4月至2022年3月期间从社区医院出院的75岁及以上肺炎患者。住院期间死亡或被转移到其他医院的患者被排除在外。性,年龄,住院时间,出院时的Barthel指数(BI),高度,体重,身体质量指数,验血结果,管喂食的存在,Charlson合并症指数,中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比率(NLR),老年营养风险指数作为预测因子。主要结果是出院后30天内再次入院。进行逻辑回归分析。结果共纳入337例患者:再入院组50例(15%),对照组287例(85%)。单因素logistic回归分析显示出院时BI低,再入院的比值比(OR)为0.99(95%置信区间(CI)=0.98-1.00)。在血红蛋白10.0g/dL或更低的患者中,再入院的OR为2.18(95%CI=1.08-4.28)。在NLR为5分或以上的患者中,再入院的OR为2.64(95%CI=1.30-5.24)。在天冬氨酸转氨酶为38U/L或更高的患者中,再入院的OR为2.99(95%CI=1.07-7.68)。多因素logistic回归分析显示,NLR≥5分(校正后OR=2.42,95%CI=1.12~5.14)与老年肺炎患者再次入院相关。结论在老年肺炎患者中,出院时高NLR可能是30天内再入院的潜在预测因子.这可能是我们研究的新发现。通过在患者出院会议期间分享这些发现,有可能协助医疗队,病人,和护理人员预测不可预见的短期再入院。需要进一步的高质量研究来验证这些发现的可重复性。
    Background Pneumonia is a major concern among the elderly, with high readmission rates after hospitalization. These readmissions increase medical costs and reflect the quality of hospital care. This study aimed to explore the predictive factors associated with readmission within 30 days among elderly patients with pneumonia. Methodology This retrospective cohort study utilized the existing medical records. We included patients with pneumonia aged 75 and above who were discharged from a community hospital between April 2016 and March 2022. Patients who died during hospitalization or were transferred to other hospitals were excluded. Sex, age, length of hospital stay, Barthel Index (BI) at discharge, height, weight, body mass index, blood test findings, presence of tube feeding, Charlson Comorbidity Index, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index were used as predictive factors. The primary outcome was readmission within 30 days of discharge. A logistic regression analysis was performed. Results We included 337 patients: 50 (15%) in the readmission group and 287 (85%) in the control group. Univariate logistic regression analysis indicated low BI at discharge, and the odds ratio (OR) for readmission was 0.99 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.98-1.00). In patients with hemoglobin 10.0 g/dL or less, the OR for readmission was 2.18 (95% CI = 1.08-4.28). In patients with an NLR of 5 points or more, the OR for readmission was 2.64 (95% CI = 1.30 -5.24). In patients with aspartate transaminase of 38 U/L or more, the OR for readmission was 2.99 (95% CI = 1.07-7.68). Multivariate logistic regression revealed that an NLR of 5 points or more (adjusted OR = 2.42, 95% CI = 1.12-5.14) was correlated with readmission in elderly pneumonia patients. Conclusions In elderly patients with pneumonia, a high NLR at discharge may be a potential predictor of readmission within 30 days. This could be a new finding of our study. By sharing these findings during patient discharge conferences, there is potential to assist the medical team, patients, and caregivers in predicting unforeseen short-term readmissions. Further high-quality research is required to verify the reproducibility of these findings.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:肝移植(LT)术后过程可能会并发早期同种异体移植功能障碍(EAD),原发性无功能(PNF)和死亡。移植结束时的乳酸浓度≥5mmol/L最近被提出作为PNF的预测指标,EAD,和死亡率;这项研究旨在在大型单中心队列中验证这些以前的报告。
    方法:这项回顾性队列研究包括2012年6月至2021年5月在我们中心接受已故捐献者移植的成年肝移植受者。计算移植结束时乳酸浓度的受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线以确定PNF的AUC,EAD和90天的死亡率。
    结果:在我们的1137例病例队列中,乳酸的AUC预测EAD,PNF和死亡率分别为.56(95%置信区间[CI]:.53-.60),.69(95%CI:.52-.85),和.74(95%CI:.63-.84)。
    结论:移植结束时乳酸浓度预测PNF的临床价值,EAD和90天的死亡率是,充其量,谦虚,如相对较低的AUC所示。我们的发现无法验证先前的报道,即单独的乳酸水平是肝移植后不良结局的良好预测指标。
    The post-operative course after Liver Transplantation (LT) can be complicated by early allograft dysfunction (EAD), primary nonfunction (PNF) and death. A lactate concentration at the end of transplant of ≥5 mmol/L was recently proposed as a predictive marker of PNF, EAD, and mortality; this study aimed to validate these previous reports in a large single center cohort.
    This retrospective cohort study included adult liver transplant recipients who received grafts from deceased donors at our center between June 2012 and May 2021. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for the lactate concentration at the end of transplantation were computed to determine the AUC for PNF, EAD and mortality at 90 days.
    In our cohort of 1137 cases, the AUCs for lactate to predict EAD, PNF and mortality were respectively .56 (95% confidence interval [CI]: .53-.60), .69 (95% CI: .52-.85), and .74 (95% CI: .63-.84).
    The clinical value of lactate concentration at the end of transplantation to predict PNF, EAD and mortality at 90 days was, at best, modest, as shown by the relatively low AUCs. Our findings cannot validate previous reports that the lactate level alone is a good predictor of poor outcomes after liver transplantation.
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  • 文章类型: Systematic Review
    严重出血是新诊断的急性早幼粒细胞白血病(APL)患者早期死亡的主要原因。然而,在APL中没有出血危险分层的方法.本研究旨在确定与APL相关的严重出血事件的优化预测因子。回顾性分析2015年1月至2022年4月109例新诊断的APL患者。对基于计算机的患者病历进行了系统审查,以获得临床日期,包括基线特征,血常规检查结果,凝血和纤溶指标,出血事件。在109名患者中,89例患者归入无严重出血组,而20人严重出血。与无严重出血的患者相比,严重出血患者的循环白血病细胞百分比明显较高,弥散性血管内凝血(DIC)评分,D-二聚体(D-D)水平,和纤维蛋白降解产物(FDP)水平。他们还具有较低的纤维蛋白原(FIB)水平和更长的凝血酶原时间。多因素分析显示循环白血病细胞百分比(OR=1.040,CI=1.008~1.072,P=0.012),FIB水平(OR=0.101,CI=0.011-0.896,P=0.040),FDP水平(OR=1.012,CI=1.000~1.024,P=0.047)是严重出血的独立危险因素。FDP/FIB,D-D/FIB,单因素分析中的7个有意义的指标包括在受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析中。结果表明,FDP/FIB是预测新诊断APL相关严重出血的最佳指标。FDP/FIB的ROC曲线下面积为0.915,最佳截断值为61.77,敏感性为100%,特异性为74.2%。统计学分析显示,当FDP/FIB>61.77时,APL患者的严重出血发生率更高,DIC评分更高。FDP/FIB在预测原发性早幼粒细胞白血病出血程度方面具有明显优势;FDP/FIB值越大,出血越严重。当FDP/FIB>61.77时,严重出血的风险最高。
    Severe bleeding is the leading cause of early death in patients with newly diagnosed acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL). However, there are no means for hemorrhagic risk stratification in APL. This study aimed to identify optimized predictors of severe bleeding events related to APL. A total of 109 consecutive patients with newly diagnosed APL from January 2015 to April 2022 were retrospectively investigated. A systematic review of computer-based patient medical records was conducted to obtain clinical date, including baseline characteristics, routine blood examination findings, coagulation and fibrinolysis indexes, and bleeding events. Among the 109 patients, 89 were classified into the no-severe bleeding group, while 20 had severe bleeding. Compared with the patients with no severe bleeding, the patients with severe bleeding had significantly higher circulating leukemic cell percentages, disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) scores, D-dimer (D-D) levels, and fibrin degradation product (FDP) levels. They also had lower fibrinogen (FIB) levels and a longer prothrombin time. Multivariate analysis revealed that the circulating leukemic cell percentage (OR = 1.040, CI = 1.008-1.072, P = 0.012), FIB level (OR = 0.101, CI = 0.011-0.896, P = 0.040), and FDP level (OR = 1.012, CI = 1.000-1.024, P = 0.047) were independent risk factors for severe bleeding. FDP/FIB, D-D/FIB, and seven meaningful indicators in the single-factor analysis were included in the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The results showed that FDP/FIB was the best indicator for predicting severe bleeding related to newly diagnosed APL. The area under the ROC curve of FDP/FIB was 0.915, and the best cutoff value was 61.77, with 100% sensitivity and 74.2% specificity. Statistical analysis showed a higher incidence of severe bleeding and higher DIC scores when FDP/FIB was >61.77 in APL patients. FDP/FIB has obvious advantages in predicting the degree of bleeding associated with primary promyelocytic leukemia; the greater the FDP/FIB value, the more severe the bleeding. The risk of severe bleeding was the highest when FDP/FIB > 61.77.
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  • 文章类型: Case Reports
    目的:本研究旨在评估泰国孕妇引产后阴道分娩成功的预测因素,并建立足月妊娠引产预测模型。
    方法:我们进行了一项回顾性队列研究,使用2010年4月至2021年7月在曼谷三级护理大学医院进行的23,833例分娩的电子病历,泰国。进行单变量回归以确定各个参数与成功阴道分娩的关联。对来自单变量分析的所有可能变量进行多逻辑回归分析以建立具有统计学意义的p值<0.05的预测模型。
    结果:总共809次引产妊娠,阴道分娩率为56.6%。在预测变量中,既往阴道分娩史(aOR5.75,95%CI3.701-8.961),产妇分娩BMI<25kg/m2(aOR2.010,95%CI1.303-3.286),估计胎儿体重<3500g(aOR2.193,95%CI1.246-3.860),胎龄≤39周(aOR1.501,95%CI1.038-2.173)显著增加引产后阴道分娩成功的概率。最终的预测模型已经过内部验证。Hosmer-Lemeshow检验P=0.21,AUC为0.756(95%CI0.695-0.816),模型校准和鉴别令人满意。
    结论:这项研究确定了引产后成功阴道分娩的实用预测因素,包括既往阴道分娩史,产妇分娩BMI<25kg/m2,估计胎儿体重<3500g,胎龄≤39周。最终的引产预测模型是表现良好的内部验证的预测模型,可以估计引产时的个体概率。尽管人口有限,预测因素和模型可用于进一步的前瞻性研究和临床实践,以改善诱导结果.
    OBJECTIVE: This study was proposed to evaluate factors predicting a successful vaginal delivery following labor induction and develop induction prediction model in term pregnancy among Thai pregnant women.
    METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using electronic medical records of 23,833 deliveries from April 2010 to July 2021 at tertiary care university hospital in Bangkok, Thailand. Univariate regression was performed to identify the association of individual parameters to successful vaginal delivery. Multiple logistic regression analysis of all possible variables from univariate analysis was performed to develop a prediction model with statistically significant of p value <0.05.
    RESULTS: Of the total 809 labor-induced pregnancies, the vaginal delivery rate was 56.6%. Among predicting variables, history of previous vaginal delivery (aOR 5.75, 95% CI 3.701-8.961), maternal delivery BMI <25 kg/m2 (aOR 2.010, 95% CI 1.303-3.286), estimated fetal weight <3500 g (aOR 2.193, 95% CI 1.246-3.860), and gestational age ≤39 weeks (aOR 1.501, 95% CI 1.038-2.173) significantly increased the probability of a successful vaginal delivery following labor induction. The final prediction model has been internally validated. Model calibration and discrimination were satisfactory with Hosmer-Lemeshow test P = 0.21 and with AUC of 0.756 (95% CI 0.695-0.816).
    CONCLUSIONS: This study determined the pragmatic predictors for successful vaginal delivery following labor induction comprised history of previous vaginal delivery, maternal delivery BMI <25 kg/m2, estimated fetal weight <3500 g, and gestational age ≤39 weeks. The final induction prediction model was well-performing internally validated prediction model to estimate individual probability when undergoing induction of labor. Despite restricted population, the predicting factors and model could be useful for further prospective study and clinical practice to improve induction outcomes.
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  • 文章类型: Consensus Development Conference
    Periodontal diseases and dental caries are the most common diseases of humans and the main cause of tooth loss. Both diseases can lead to nutritional compromise and negative impacts upon self-esteem and quality of life. As complex chronic diseases, they share common risk factors, such as a requirement for a pathogenic plaque biofilm, yet they exhibit distinct pathophysiologies. Multiple exposures contribute to their causal pathways, and susceptibility involves risk factors that are inherited (e.g. genetic variants), and those that are acquired (e.g. socio-economic factors, biofilm load or composition, smoking, carbohydrate intake). Identification of these factors is crucial in the prevention of both diseases as well as in their management.
    OBJECTIVE: To systematically appraise the scientific literature to identify potential risk factors for caries and periodontal diseases.
    METHODS: One systematic review (genetic risk factors), one narrative review (role of diet and nutrition) and reference documentation for modifiable acquired risk factors common to both disease groups, formed the basis of the report.
    CONCLUSIONS: There is moderately strong evidence for a genetic contribution to periodontal diseases and caries susceptibility, with an attributable risk estimated to be up to 50%. The genetics literature for periodontal disease is more substantial than for caries and genes associated with chronic periodontitis are the vitamin D receptor (VDR), Fc gamma receptor IIA (Fc-γRIIA) and Interleukin 10 (IL10) genes. For caries, genes involved in enamel formation (AMELX, AMBN, ENAM, TUFT, MMP20, and KLK4), salivary characteristics (AQP5), immune regulation and dietary preferences had the largest impact. No common genetic variants were found. Fermentable carbohydrates (sugars and starches) were the most relevant common dietary risk factor for both diseases, but associated mechanisms differed. In caries, the fermentation process leads to acid production and the generation of biofilm components such as Glucans. In periodontitis, glycaemia drives oxidative stress and advanced glycation end-products may also trigger a hyper inflammatory state. Micronutrient deficiencies, such as for vitamin C, vitamin D or vitamin B12, may be related to the onset and progression of both diseases. Functional foods or probiotics could be helpful in caries prevention and periodontal disease management, although evidence is limited and biological mechanisms not fully elucidated. Hyposalivation, rheumatoid arthritis, smoking/tobacco use, undiagnosed or sub-optimally controlled diabetes and obesity are common acquired risk factors for both caries and periodontal diseases.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    BACKGROUND: Hypoalbuminaemia at admission is a common finding in patients admitted to the Paediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) and it is thought that this may predict morbidity and mortality.
    METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted in the tertiary hospital. The medical records of critically ill children were reviewed. The data were analyzed for the prevalence of hypoalbuminaemia and outcomes.
    RESULTS: Two hundred and two patients were included in the analysis. The incidence of hypoalbuminaemia at admission was 57.9%. These patients had a mortality rate 4 times greater (adjusted odds ratio 3.8; 95% CI: 1.4-10.0), a longer length of PICU stay (8.6 vs. 6.7 days, P = 0.04) and a longer period on a ventilator (5.9 vs. 3.9 days, P = 0.04) than patients with normal albumin levels.
    CONCLUSIONS: Hypoalbuminaemia at admission was a predictive factor of poor outcome in critically ill children. It is associated with a higher mortality, a longer length of stay in the PICU, as well as longer ventilator use.
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