OBJECTIVE: To systematically evaluate the predictive efficacy of clinical frailty scale (CFS) for postoperative mortality older surgical patients, and to evaluate the prevalence of frailty in the included studies.
METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies was conducted, utilizing the MOOSE guidelines for the evaluation of both. Quality assessment of the articles was also performed.
METHODS: The protocol was registered (CRD42023423552). Relevant English and Chinese language studies published until October 20th, 2023 were retrieved from PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Medline, CINAHL,Cochrane, WAN FANG DATA, VIP Information, CNKI, and SinoMed databases.
METHODS: Study were included in which frailty was measured by the CFS and postoperative mortality was reported for older surgery patients. A meta-analysis to predict postoperative mortality and frailty prevalence was performed using STATA 17.0 software.
RESULTS: Sixteen cohort studies were included (5,864 participants) from 1,513 records. All studies\' Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) scores were above 6 points. It was found that the prevalence of surgical frailty in the older was 0.36(CI 0.20-0.52). Patients assessed as frail by the CFS were associated with higher all-cause mortality (OR:4.01; CI 2.59-6.23). Subgroup analysis shows that frailty was associated with1-month mortality (OR:3.85; CI 1.11-13.45) and 1-year mortality (OR:4.43; CI 2.18-8.99).
CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of frailty is high in older surgical patients, and CFS can effectively predict the mortality of older surgical patients with frailty.

Background Hip fractures carry significant morbidity and mortality, yet studies assessing post-surgical functional recovery from the patient\'s perspective are scarce, lacking benchmarks against age-matched populations. This study aimed to identify factors influencing postoperative functional outcomes, compared to the lower 25th percentile of normal age-matched populations, and to compare postoperative physical function with one-year mortality following hip fracture surgery. Methodology A retrospective review of 214 hip fracture patients reporting to the emergency department (ED) from July 2020 to June 2023 was conducted, with all completing a three-month postoperative Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System-Physical Function (PROMIS-PF) survey. Primary outcomes included three-month PROMIS-PF scores, with secondary outcomes focusing on one-year mortality. Factors such as demographics, comorbidities, procedures, time to surgery, length of stay, and postoperative outcomes were analyzed for correlation. Multivariate logistic regression assessed predictors of achieving a PROMIS-PF T-score of at least 32.5, representing the bottom 25th percentile for age-matched populations, and the relationship between three-month PROMIS PF T-scores and one-year mortality. Results Surgery was performed within 24 hours of ED arrival in 118 (55.1%) patients, the average length of stay was 5.2 days, and 64 (29.9%) were discharged home. Total hip arthroplasty and home discharge correlated with higher physical function scores. In contrast, older age, higher American Society of Anesthesiologists scores, certain comorbidities, specific surgical procedures, and longer hospital stays were associated with lower scores. Fewer than half (102 [47.7%]) achieved functional levels comparable to the 25th percentile of age-matched populations. Multivariate analysis indicated chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and home discharge as predictors of achieving this threshold, while higher PROMIS-PF T-scores were associated with reduced one-year mortality. Conclusions Patients undergoing hip fracture surgery are unlikely to achieve high levels of physical function within the three-month postoperative period. Fewer than half of these patients will reach functional levels, and decreased early function is associated with an increased risk of one-year mortality.

Background and Objective: Lung transplantation is the only life-extending therapy for end-stage pulmonary disease patients, but its risks necessitate an understanding of outcome predictors, with the frailty index and nutritional status being key assessment tools. This study aims to evaluate the relationship between preoperative frailty and nutritional indexes and the postoperative mortality rate in patients receiving lung transplants, and to determine which measure is a more potent predictor of outcomes. Materials and Methods: This study reviewed 185 adults who received lung transplants at a single medical center between January 2013 and May 2023. We primarily focused on postoperative 7-year overall survival. Other outcomes measured were short-term mortalities, acute rejection, kidney complications, infections, and re-transplantation. We compared the predictive abilities of preoperative nutritional and frailty indicators for survival using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and identified factors affecting survival through regression analyses. Results: There were no significant differences in preoperative nutritional indicators between survivors and non-survivors. However, preoperative frailty indicators did differ significantly between these groups. Multivariate analysis revealed that the American Society of Anesthesiologists Class V, clinical frailty scale, and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) were key predictors of 7-year overall survival. Of these, the CCI had the strongest predictive ability with an area under the curve of 0.755, followed by the modified frailty index at 0.731. Conclusions: Our study indicates that for critically ill patients undergoing lung transplantation, frailty indexes derived from preoperative patient history and functional autonomy are more effective in forecasting postoperative outcomes, including survival, than indexes related to preoperative nutritional status.

UNASSIGNED: Major abdominal emergency surgery (MAES) patients have a high risk of mortality and complications. The time-sensitive nature of MAES necessitates an easily calculable risk-scoring tool. Shock index (SI) is obtained by dividing heart rate (HR) by systolic blood pressure (SBP) and provides insight into a patient\'s haemodynamic status. We aimed to evaluate SI\'s usefulness in predicting postoperative mortality, acute kidney injury (AKI), requirements for intensive care unit (ICU) and high-dependency monitoring, and the ICU length of stay (LOS).
UNASSIGNED: We retrospectively reviewed 212,089 MAES patients from January 2013 to December 2020. The cohort was propensity matched, and 3960 patients were included. The first HR and SBP recorded in the anaesthesia chart were used to calculate SI. Regression models were used to investigate the association between SI and outcomes. The relationship between SI and survival was explored with Kaplan-Meier curves.
UNASSIGNED: There were significant associations between SI and mortality at 1 month (odds ratio [OR] 2.40 [1.67-3.39], P<0.001), 3 months (OR 2.13 [1.56-2.88], P<0.001), and at 2 years (OR 1.77 [1.38-2.25], P<0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed significant relationships between SI and mortality at 1 month (OR 3.51 [1.20-10.3], P=0.021) and at 3 months (OR 3.05 [1.07-8.54], P=0.034). Univariate and multivariate analysis also revealed significant relationships between SI and AKI (P<0.001), postoperative ICU admission (P<0.005) and ICU LOS (P<0.001). SI does not significantly affect 2-year mortality.
UNASSIGNED: SI is useful in predicting postopera-tive mortality at 1 month, 3 months, AKI, postoperative ICU admission and ICU LOS.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have demonstrated an association between transplantation rate per center and postoperative mortality after heart transplantation. In 2011, Sweden centralized heart transplants and waiting lists, reducing the number of centers from 3 to 2. We aimed to assess the active waiting time and pre- and post-transplant mortality before and after centralization.
METHODS: Heart transplantations performed in Sweden between January 1, 2001 and December 31, 2020 were included. Background and donor organ supply data were collected from Scandiatransplant, the Swedish Thoracic Transplant Registry, and the Swedish Cardiac Surgery Registry. The Fine and Gray methods were applied to visualize cumulative incidence curves and conduct competing risk regressions. A Cox model was used to adjust for factors influencing time to post-transplant death.
RESULTS: When comparing the two eras, the median active waiting time increased from 54 to 71 days (p = 0.015). The risk of mortality on the waiting list decreased in the later era (subhazard ratio 0.43; [95% confidence interval {CI} 0.25-0.74]; p = 0.002). The number of heart transplantation procedures (including pediatric patients) increased by 53%. There was a significant difference in organ utilization between eras (p = 0.033; chi-square test). 30-day and 1-year survival post-transplant rates for adults increased from 90.8% to 97.8% (p < 0.001) and from 87.9% to 94.6% (p < 0.001), respectively. 1-year mortality was reduced by 63% (hazard ratio 0.37; 95% CI 0.22-0.61).
CONCLUSIONS: This nationwide study examined patients listed for and undergoing heart transplantation before and after the centralization of waiting lists and surgeries in Sweden. Waiting list mortality decreased, and 1-year post-transplantation survival was improved.

BACKGROUND: The Saint Louis University Score (SLUScore) was developed to quantify intraoperative blood pressure trajectories and their associated risk for adverse outcomes. This study examines the prevalence and severity of intraoperative hypotension described by the SLUScore and its relationship with 30-day mortality in surgical subtypes.
METHODS: This retrospective analysis of perioperative data included surgical cases performed between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2020. The SLUScore is calculated from cumulative time-periods for which the mean arterial pressure is below a range of hypotensive thresholds. After calculating the SLUScore for each surgical procedure, we quantified the prevalence and severity of intraoperative hypotension for each surgical procedure and the association between intraoperative hypotension and 30-day mortality. We used binary logistic regression to quantify the potential contribution of intraoperative hypotension to mortality.
RESULTS: We analysed 490 982 cases (57.7% female; mean age 57 yr); 33.2% of cases had a SLUScore>0, a median SLUScore of 13 (inter-quartile range [IQR] 7-21), with 1.19% average mortality. The SLUScore was associated with mortality in 12/14 surgical groups. The increases in the odds ratio for death within 30 days of surgery per SLUScore increment were: all surgery types 3.5% (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 3.2-3.9); abdominal/transplant surgery 6% (95% CI 1.5-10.7); thoracic surgery1.5% (95% CI 1-3.3); vascular surgery 3.01% (95% CI 1.9-4.05); spine/neurosurgery 1.1% (95% CI 0.1-2.1); orthopaedic surgery 1.4% (95% CI 0.7-2.2); gynaecological surgery 6.3% (95% CI 2.5-10.1); genitourinary surgery 4.84% (95% CI 3.5-6.15); gastrointestinal surgery 5.2% (95% CI 3.9-6.4); gastroendoscopy 5.5% (95% CI 4.4-6.7); general surgery 6.3% (95% CI 5.5-7.1); ear, nose, and throat surgery 1.6% (95% CI 0-3.27); and cardiac electrophysiology (including pacemaker procedures) 6.6% (95% CI 1.1-12.4).
CONCLUSIONS: The SLUScore was independently, but variably, associated with 30-day mortality after noncardiac surgery.

BACKGROUND: Major surgery is associated with high complication rates. Several risk scores exist to assess individual patient risk before surgery but have limited precision. Novel prognostic factors can be included as additional building blocks in existing prediction models. A candidate prognostic factor, measured by cardiopulmonary exercise testing, is ventilatory efficiency (VE/VCO2). The aim of this systematic review was to summarise evidence regarding VE/VCO2 as a prognostic factor for postoperative complications in patients undergoing major surgery.
METHODS: A medical library specialist developed the search strategy. No database-provided limits, considering study types, languages, publication years, or any other formal criteria were applied to any of the sources. Two reviewers assessed eligibility of each record and rated risk of bias in included studies.
RESULTS: From 10,082 screened records, 65 studies were identified as eligible. We extracted adjusted associations from 32 studies and unadjusted from 33 studies. Risk of bias was a concern in the domains \'study confounding\' and \'statistical analysis\'. VE/VCO2 was reported as a prognostic factor for short-term complications after thoracic and abdominal surgery. VE/VCO2 was also reported as a prognostic factor for mid- to long-term mortality. Data-driven covariable selection was applied in 31 studies. Eighteen studies excluded VE/VCO2 from the final multivariable regression owing to data-driven model-building approaches.
CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review identifies VE/VCO2 as a predictor for short-term complications after thoracic and abdominal surgery. However, the available data do not allow conclusions about clinical decision-making. Future studies should select covariables for adjustment a priori based on external knowledge.
UNASSIGNED: PROSPERO (CRD42022369944).

Background: Pulmonary hypertension (PH) patients are at higher risk of postoperative complications. We analyzed the association of PH with 30-day postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs). Methods: A single-center propensity score overlap weighting (OW) retrospective cohort study was conducted on 164 patients with a mean pulmonary artery pressure (mPAP) of >20 mmHg within 24 months of undergoing elective inpatient abdominal surgery or endoscopic procedures under general anesthesia and a control cohort (N = 1981). The primary outcome was PPCs, and the secondary outcomes were PPC sub-composites, namely respiratory failure (RF), pneumonia (PNA), aspiration pneumonia/pneumonitis (ASP), pulmonary embolism (PE), length of stay (LOS), and 30-day mortality. Results: PPCs were higher in the PH cohort (29.9% vs. 11.2%, p < 0.001). When sub-composites were analyzed, higher rates of RF (19.3% vs. 6.6%, p < 0.001) and PNA (11.2% vs. 5.7%, p = 0.01) were observed. After OW, PH was still associated with greater PPCs (RR 1.66, 95% CI (1.05-2.71), p = 0.036) and increased LOS (median 8.0 days vs. 4.9 days) but not 30-day mortality. Sub-cohort analysis showed no difference in PPCs between pre- and post-capillary PH patients. Conclusions: After covariate balancing, PH was associated with a higher risk for PPCs and prolonged LOS. This elevated PPC risk should be considered during preoperative risk assessment.

To assess the impact of preoperative infection with the contemporary strain of severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) on postoperative mortality, respiratory morbidity and extrapulmonary complications after elective, noncardiac surgery.
An ambidirectional observational cohort study.
A tertiary and teaching hospital in Shanghai, China.
All adult patients (≥ 18 years of age) who underwent elective, noncardiac surgery under general anesthesia at Huashan Hospital of Fudan University from January until March 2023 were screened for eligibility. A total of 2907 patients were included.
Preoperative coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) positivity.
The primary outcome was 30-day postoperative mortality. The secondary outcomes included postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs), myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery (MINS), acute kidney injury (AKI), postoperative delirium (POD) and postoperative sleep quality. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the risk of postoperative mortality and morbidity imposed by preoperative COVID-19.
The risk of 30-day postoperative mortality was not associated with preoperative COVID-19 [adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.40, 0.13-1.28, P = 0.123] or operation timing relative to diagnosis. Preoperative COVID-19 did not increase the risk of PPCs (aOR, 95% CI: 0.99, 0.71-1.38, P = 0.944), MINS (aOR, 95% CI: 0.54, 0.22-1.30; P = 0.168), or AKI (aOR, 95% CI: 0.34, 0.10-1.09; P = 0.070) or affect postoperative sleep quality. Patients who underwent surgery within 7 weeks after COVID-19 had increased odds of developing delirium (aOR, 95% CI: 2.26, 1.05-4.86, P = 0.036).
Preoperative COVID-19 or timing of surgery relative to diagnosis did not confer any added risk of 30-day postoperative mortality, PPCs, MINS or AKI. However, recent COVID-19 increased the risk of POD. Perioperative brain health should be considered during preoperative risk assessment for COVID-19 survivors.

UNASSIGNED: To evaluate the complications and mortality after noncardiac surgeries in patients who underwent previous coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG).
UNASSIGNED: We used insurance data and identified patients aged ≥20 years undergoing noncardiac surgeries between 2010 and 2017 in Taiwan. Based on propensity-score matching, we selected an adequate number of patients with a previous history of CABG (within preoperative 24 months) and those who did not have a CABG history, and both groups had balanced baseline characteristics. The association of CABG with the risk of postoperative complications and mortality was estimated (odds ratio [OR] and 95% confidence interval [CI]) using multiple logistic regression analysis.
UNASSIGNED: The matching procedure generated 2327 matched pairs for analyses. CABG significantly increased the risks of 30-day in-hospital mortality (OR 2.28, 95% CI 1.36-3.84), postoperative pneumonia (OR 1.49, 95% CI 1.12-1.98), sepsis (OR 1.49, 95% CI 1.17-1.89), stroke (OR 1.53, 95% CI 1.17-1.99) and admission to the intensive care unit (OR, 1.75, 95% CI 1.50-2.05). The findings were generally consistent across most of the evaluated subgroups. A noncardiac surgery performed within 1 month after CABG was associated with the highest risk for adverse events, which declined over time.
UNASSIGNED: Prior history of CABG was associated with postoperative pneumonia, sepsis, stroke, and mortality in patients undergoing noncardiac surgeries. Although we raised the possibility regarding deferral of non-critical elective noncardiac surgeries among patients had recent CABG when considering the risks, critical or emergency surgeries were not in the consideration of delay surgery, especially cancer surgery.