political violence

政治暴力
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在COVID-19大流行期间,美国枪支销售激增,许多首次购买枪支的人。2023年全国枪支政策调查试图通过比较大流行时代首次购买者与以前的枪支拥有者的购买动机和枪支政策观点来了解这种激增对公共卫生的影响。
    方法:我们对1/4/23至2/6/23的美国成年人(n=3096)进行了具有全国代表性的民意调查。我们为枪支拥有者和布莱克采样过多,西班牙裔,和亚裔美国人。采用调查权重来产生代表性的估计值。通过对以下方面的肯定回应确定了新的枪支拥有者:“自2020年1月1日以来,您是否购买了枪支?”和“您在2020年1月1日之后购买了第一把枪吗?”最近的购买者还被问及是否担心1)政治或2)种族暴力促使他们购买。在新的和先前的枪支拥有者(n=1002)中检查了购买动机和枪支政策支持,并使用逻辑回归和预测概率进行了比较。
    结果:总体而言,11%的受访者表示自1/1/20以来购买了枪支,35%为首次。在最近的购买者中,更大比例的民主党人,黑色,亚洲人,和西班牙裔受访者是新的枪支拥有者比共和党或白人受访者。与以前的业主相比,新的枪支拥有者最近的购买是种族暴力动机的可能性高出4.5倍,政治暴力的可能性高出3.2倍。大多数人支持保护性枪支政策,在购买最近或动机方面几乎没有差异。新的和先前的枪支拥有者的支持差异很大的唯一政策是许可购买政策(76%v63%,分别)。同样,当按购买动机分层时,在支持方面几乎没有显著差异。值得注意的是,与没有报告这种动机的人相比,那些报告最近购买种族暴力和政治暴力动机的人对“坚持立场”政策的支持明显更高。
    结论:种族和政治暴力似乎是新枪支拥有者中更大的担忧,在传统上枪支拥有率较低的人口群体中激励购买。这些发现表明,在种族和政治紧张局势以及枪支拥有量不断增加的情况下,需要安全保证。枪支拥有者对此类政策的支持仍然很强。
    BACKGROUND: U.S. firearm sales surged during the COVID-19 pandemic, with many purchases by first-time firearm owners. The 2023 National Survey of Gun Policy sought to understand the public health implications of this surge by comparing the purchasing motivations and firearm policy views of pandemic-era first-time purchasers to prior gun owners.
    METHODS: We fielded a nationally representative public opinion survey of U.S. adults (n = 3096) from 1/4/23 to 2/6/23. We oversampled for gun owners and Black, Hispanic, and Asian Americans. Survey weights were applied to generate representative estimates. New gun owners were identified through affirmative responses to: \"Have you bought any guns since January 1, 2020?\" and \"Did you buy your first gun after January 1, 2020?\" Recent purchasers were additionally asked whether concerns of 1) political or 2) racial violence motivated their purchase. Purchase motivations and gun policy support were examined among new and prior gun owners (n = 1002) and compared using logistic regression and predictive probabilities.
    RESULTS: Overall, 11% of respondents reported purchasing a gun since 1/1/20, 35% for the first time. Among recent purchasers, larger proportions of Democrat, Black, Asian, and Hispanic respondents were new gun owners than Republican or white respondents. Compared to prior owners, odds were 4.5-times higher that new gun owners\' recent purchase was motivated by racial violence and 3.2-times higher for political violence. Majority support was found for protective gun policies, with few differences by purchase recency or motivations. The only policy for which support by new and prior gun owners differed significantly was the permit-to-purchase policy (76% v. 63%, respectively). Similarly, few significant differences in support were observed when stratifying by purchase motivation. Notably, both those who reported recent purchase motivations of racial violence and of political violence expressed significantly higher support for a \"stand-your-ground\" policy compared to those who did not report such motivations.
    CONCLUSIONS: Racial and political violence appear to be larger concerns among new gun owners, motivating purchasing among demographic groups with traditionally lower gun ownership rates. These findings suggest a need for safety assurances amid racial and political tensions and growing gun ownership. Gun owners\' support for such policies remains strong.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究调查了替代思维,状态威胁感知,以及美国非西班牙裔白人成年人对政治暴力的认可。它探讨了对社会地位的感知威胁如何推动对旨在维护白人霸权的极端措施的支持,解决导致政治暴力的因素研究的差距,公共健康问题。
    2022年美国生活调查为这项横断面研究提供了数据,重点关注非西班牙裔白人受访者的地位威胁和替代思维。状态威胁是根据相对收入推断的,教育水平,以及住宅普查中的种族隔离,虽然替代思维是通过与美国的声明达成一致而产生的,土生土长的白人正在被移民取代。“结果是政治暴力的认可。分析使用了调查加权的鲁棒修正泊松模型。
    在5976名非西班牙裔白人受访者中,18.7%的人在至少一种情况下支持政治暴力。种族隔离与政治暴力认可之间存在U型关系:来自更多样化社区的受访者不太可能支持政治暴力。那些支持替代思想的人比那些不支持政治暴力的人更有233%-229%,取决于收入水平。没有高中学历的白人受访者支持政治暴力的可能性要高29%。
    研究发现,替代思维与状态威胁的标记,以及非西班牙裔美国白人的政治暴力支持。这些发现强调需要进行研究和干预,以减轻这些观念并防止政治暴力。
    UNASSIGNED: This study investigates the association between replacement thinking, status threat perceptions, and the endorsement of political violence among non-Hispanic white adults in the United States. It explores how perceived threats to social status can drive support for extreme measures aimed at preserving white hegemony, addressing a gap in research on factors contributing to political violence, a public health concern.
    UNASSIGNED: The 2022 Life in America Survey provided data for this cross-sectional study, focusing on status threat and replacement thinking among non-Hispanic white respondents. Status threat was inferred from relative income, education level, and racial segregation in residential census tracts, while replacement thinking was derived through agreement with the statement \"in America, native-born white people are being replaced by immigrants.\" The outcome was the endorsement of political violence. Analysis utilized a survey-weighted robust modified Poisson model.
    UNASSIGNED: Among 5,976 non-Hispanic white respondents, 18.7 % supported political violence in at least one scenario. A U-shaped relationship was observed between racial segregation and political violence endorsement: respondents from more diverse communities were less likely to support political violence. Those endorsing replacement thinking were 233 %-229 % more likely to endorse political violence than those who did not, dependent on income levels. White respondents without a high school degree were 29 % more likely to endorse political violence.
    UNASSIGNED: The study found a positive association between replacement thinking, markers of status threat, and political violence endorsements among non-Hispanic white Americans. These findings emphasize the need for research and interventions to mitigate these perceptions and prevent political violence.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:调查发现,美国将很快经历内战的共识非常高。这项研究评估了对具有回应性社会政治特征的内战的期望和感知需求的变化,信仰,枪支所有权,以及参与政治暴力的意愿。
    方法:结果来自Ipsos知识小组成员的全国代表性年度纵向调查的第2波,于2023年5月18日至6月8日进行。所有留在知识小组的2022年第一波受访者都被邀请参加。结果以加权比例和调整后的患病率差异表示,p值针对错误发现率进行了调整,并报告为q值。
    结果:完成率为84.2%;有9385名受访者。加权后,一半的样本是女性(50.7%,95%CI49.4%,52.1%);加权平均(±标准差)年龄为48.5(25.9)岁。大约20人中有1人(5.7%,95%CI5.1%,6.4%)强烈或非常强烈地同意“在未来几年,美国将会有内战。\“约25人中有1人(3.8%,95%CI3.2%,4.4%),和近40%(38.4%,95%CI32.3%,44.5%)强烈或非常强烈同意内战即将来临的人,也强烈或非常强烈地同意,“美国需要一场内战来纠正一切。“在第一波中,比其他人更愿意实施政治暴力的受访者中,对内战的期望和感知需求更高,包括MAGA共和党人,强烈同意种族主义信仰或声称可能需要暴力来影响社会变革的人,强烈赞成特定极右翼政治组织和运动的人,在2020年或更晚购买枪支的枪支拥有者,以及所有或几乎所有时间都在公共场合携带枪支的枪支拥有者。
    结论:在2023年,人们对可能发生内战的预期以及认为内战是必要的看法并不常见,但在先前与更大的政治意愿相关的人群中,这种预期较高暴力。这些发现有助于指导预防工作。
    BACKGROUND: Surveys have found concerningly high levels of agreement that the United States will experience civil war soon. This study assesses variation in expectation of and perceived need for civil war with respondent sociopolitical characteristics, beliefs, firearm ownership, and willingness to engage in political violence.
    METHODS: Findings are from Wave 2 of a nationally representative annual longitudinal survey of members of the Ipsos KnowledgePanel, conducted May 18-June 8, 2023. All respondents to 2022\'s Wave 1 who remained in KnowledgePanel were invited to participate. Outcomes are expressed as weighted proportions and adjusted prevalence differences, with p-values adjusted for the false discovery rate and reported as q-values.
    RESULTS: The completion rate was 84.2%; there were 9385 respondents. After weighting, half the sample was female (50.7%, 95% CI 49.4%, 52.1%); the weighted mean (± standard deviation) age was 48.5 (25.9) years. Approximately 1 respondent in 20 (5.7%, 95% CI 5.1%, 6.4%) agreed strongly or very strongly that \"in the next few years, there will be civil war in the United States.\" About 1 in 25 (3.8%, 95% CI 3.2%, 4.4%), and nearly 40% (38.4%, 95% CI 32.3%, 44.5%) of those who strongly or very strongly agreed that civil war was coming, also agreed strongly or very strongly that \"the United States needs a civil war to set things right.\" Expectation of and perceived need for civil war were higher among subsets of respondents who in Wave 1 were more willing than others to commit political violence, including MAGA Republicans, persons in strong agreement with racist beliefs or statements of the potential need for violence to effect social change, persons who strongly approved of specified extreme right-wing political organizations and movements, firearm owners who purchased firearms in 2020 or later, and firearm owners who carried firearms in public all or nearly all the time.
    CONCLUSIONS: In 2023, the expectation that civil war was likely and the belief that it was needed were uncommon but were higher among subsets of the population that had previously been associated with greater willingness to commit political violence. These findings can help guide prevention efforts.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    遭受政治暴力(PV)的人有患精神疾病的风险,慢性非传染性疾病,慢性疼痛,预期寿命下降。然而,这些指标主要在退伍军人和难民中进行了研究。这项研究的目的是估计1973年至1990年独裁统治期间智利PV受害者中慢性肌肉骨骼疼痛(CMP)和中枢致敏相关症状(CSRS)的患病率。进行了一项横断面观察性多中心研究。来自智利卫生部计划的六个中心的三百二十五人参加了会议。CMP的存在是由≥3个月的疼痛史确定的。CSRS是使用中央敏化清单确定的。约69.23%的样本具有CMP(76.85%的女性和56.56%的男性)。大约60%的CMP患者表现出高水平的CSRS严重程度(66.67%的女性和44.93%的男性)。女性的CMP比例明显更高(p<.001),CSRS严重程度与女性之间存在关联(p=.004)。1973年至1990年独裁统治期间,智利PV的受害者表现出CMP的高流行率和高水平的CSRS严重性。这两种情况对女性的影响大于男性。未来的研究需要进一步深入研究这些变量的行为及其对该人群生活质量的影响。
    People who suffer political violence (PV) are at risk of developing mental illness, chronic noncommunicable diseases, chronic pain, and decreased life expectancy. However, these indicators have been studied primarily in war veterans and refugees. The objective of this study was to estimate the prevalence of chronic musculoskeletal pain (CMP) and central sensitization-related symptoms (CSRS) in Chilean victims of PV during the 1973 to 1990 dictatorship. A cross-sectional observational multicenter study was conducted. Three hundred twenty-five people from six centers of a Ministry of Health of Chile program participated. The presence of CMP was determined by a history of pain ≥3 months, and CSRS was determined using the central sensitization inventory. About 69.23% of the sample had CMP (76.85% of females and 56.56% of males). About 60% of people with CMP showed a high level of CSRS severity (66.67% females and 44.93% males). Females presented significantly higher proportions of CMP (p < .001), and there was an association between CSRS severity and being female (p = .004). Chilean victims of PV during the 1973 to 1990 dictatorship presented a high prevalence of CMP and high-level CSRS severity. Both conditions affected females more than males. Future studies are needed to further delve into these variables\' behavior and their influence on the quality of life in this population.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:2022年在美国进行的一项调查发现,人们对参与政治暴力的支持和个人意愿非常高。与这种暴力有关的信仰,并相信内战可能在不久的将来。重要的是要确定这些发现的持久性。
    方法:全国代表性队列调查的第2波进行了2023年5月18日至6月8日;样本包括2022年第1波的所有受访者。结果以加权比例表示;2022年至2023年的变化适用于参与两项调查的受访者,基于汇总的个人更改分数。
    结果:完成率为84.2%;有9385名受访者。加权后,50.7%(95%置信区间(CI)49.4%,52.1%)为女性;加权平均(SD)年龄为48.5(25.9)岁。约1/20的受访者(5.7%,95%CI5.1%,6.4%)强烈/非常强烈地同意“在未来几年,美国将会有内战,“下降7.7%。2023年,更少的受访者认为暴力通常/总是有理由推进17个具体政治目标中的至少一个[25.3%(95%CI24.7%,26.5%),下降6.8%]。然而,更多的受访者认为,在未来几年内,在他们认为政治暴力是合理的情况下,“我将用枪武装”[9.0%(95%可信区间8.3%,9.8%),增加2.2%]和“我会用枪射击某人”[1.8%(95%可信区间1.4%,2.2%),增长0.6%]。在认为暴力通常/总是有理由推进至少一个政治目标的受访者中,大约20人中有1人还认为他们很/极有可能用枪威胁某人(5.4%,95%CI4.0%,7.0%)或射杀某人(5.7%,95%CI4.3%,7.1%)推进这一目标。
    结论:在这个队列中,从2022年到2023年,对政治暴力的支持有所下降,但对政治暴力中使用枪支的预测有所增加。这些发现可以帮助指导预防工作,这是迫切需要的。
    BACKGROUND: A 2022 survey in the USA found concerningly high prevalences of support for and personal willingness to engage in political violence, of beliefs associated with such violence, and of belief that civil war was likely in the near future. It is important to determine the durability of those findings.
    METHODS: Wave 2 of a nationally representative cohort survey was conducted May 18-June 8, 2023; the sample comprised all respondents to 2022\'s Wave 1. Outcomes are expressed as weighted proportions; changes from 2022 to 2023 are for respondents who participated in both surveys, based on aggregated individual change scores.
    RESULTS: The completion rate was 84.2%; there were 9385 respondents. After weighting, 50.7% (95% confidence interval (CI) 49.4%, 52.1%) were female; weighted mean (SD) age was 48.5 (25.9) years. About 1 in 20 respondents (5.7%, 95% CI 5.1%, 6.4%) agreed strongly/very strongly that \"in the next few years, there will be civil war in the United States,\" a 7.7% decrease. In 2023, fewer respondents considered violence to be usually/always justified to advance at least 1 of 17 specific political objectives [25.3% (95% CI 24.7%, 26.5%), a 6.8% decrease]. However, more respondents thought it very/extremely likely that within the next few years, in a situation where they consider political violence justified, \"I will be armed with a gun\" [9.0% (95% CI 8.3%, 9.8%), a 2.2% increase] and \"I will shoot someone with a gun\" [1.8% (95% CI 1.4%, 2.2%), a 0.6% increase]. Among respondents who considered violence usually/always justified to advance at least 1 political objective, about 1 in 20 also thought it very/extremely likely that they would threaten someone with a gun (5.4%, 95% CI 4.0%, 7.0%) or shoot someone (5.7%, 95% CI 4.3%, 7.1%) to advance such an objective.
    CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort, support for political violence declined from 2022 to 2023, but predictions of firearm use in political violence increased. These findings can help guide prevention efforts, which are urgently needed.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:青少年参与暴力和犯罪在文献中受到广泛关注。然而,对青年参与政治暴力知之甚少,特别是生活在冲突地区的年轻人。本研究审查了青年参与严重身体和政治暴力的机制。我们探讨了个体因素(包括宗教信仰和学校承诺)和父母因素(包括父母控制和教育)之间的关联的异同。和两种类型的暴力行为。
    方法:来自东耶路撒冷居民区的814名阿拉伯男学生的大量代表性样本,12-18岁,完成了一个结构化的,匿名,自我报告问卷。数据是在2019年2月至5月之间收集的。
    结果:超过一半的参与者报告说,他们在过去一年中参与了政治暴力(55.1%)或严重的身体暴力(58.8%)。青年参与严重的身体暴力与参与政治暴力呈正相关。此外,我们发现,更高的父母控制和更低的冲动性与较低的政治和身体暴力水平相关。学校承诺与严重的身体暴力呈负相关,但与参与政治暴力无关。青年工作与参与政治暴力呈正相关,但与严重的身体暴力无关。
    结论:目前的研究结果表明,来自东耶路撒冷的阿拉伯青年高度参与政治和严重的身体暴力。此处确定的风险和保护因素应为具体干预策略的设计提供信息。
    BACKGROUND: Youth involvement in violence and delinquency has received widespread attention in the literature. However, little is known about youth involvement in political violence, especially among youth who live in conflict areas. The current study examined the mechanisms that underlie youth involvement in serious physical and political violence. We explored the similarities and differences in the association between both individual factors (including religiosity and school commitment) and parental factors (including parental control and education), and the two types of violent behaviors.
    METHODS: A large representative sample of 814 Arab male students from neighborhoods located in East Jerusalem, aged 12-18 years, completed a structured, anonymous, self-report questionnaire. The data was collected between February and May 2019.
    RESULTS: Over half of the participants reported that they had been involved in political violence (55.1%) or serious physical violence (58.8%) during the previous year. Youth involvement in serious physical violence was positively associated with involvement in political violence. Furthermore, we found that greater parental control and lower impulsivity are associated with lower levels of political and physical violence. School commitment was associated negatively with serious physical violence but not with involvement in political violence. Youth work was positively correlated with involvement in political violence but not in serious physical violence.
    CONCLUSIONS: The results of the current study show that Arab youth from East Jerusalem are highly involved in political and serious physical violence. The risk and protective factors identified here should inform the design of specific intervention strategies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在这篇文章中,我研究了“地下记忆”,以证明它们如何成为哥伦比亚边缘地区抵抗的资源。我专注于他们与城市结构的关系,看看波哥大和麦德林的墙壁被用作传播关于冲突的图像和叙述的画布。我建议将代表暴力的壁画作为记忆的存储库;它们挑战霸权叙事并为公共空间的恢复做出贡献。本分析借鉴了三个案例研究。在第一个,我研究了波哥大的一幅壁画的影响,该壁画谴责涉及哥伦比亚军队的法外处决。第二个案例侧重于旨在收集麦德林边缘化地区居民证词的社区倡议。最后,最后一个案例研究分析了描述麦德林暴力事件的许多壁画中的一些。我认为,不同程度,本研究中提出的所有纪念项目都挑战了国家叙事。通过对被谋杀青少年的描述,怀疑军官甚至贩毒集团头目,他们提出了社会正义的问题,有罪不罚,非法和该国暴力的戏剧性平庸化。他们扩大了对最近过去的叙述,通过哥伦比亚国家仍然不愿发掘的历史和图像。
    In this article, I examine \'underground memories\' to demonstrate how they serve as resources for resistance in the margins of Colombia. I focus on their relations with the urban fabric, looking at the ways the walls of Bogota and Medellin are used as canvases for spreading images and narratives about the conflict. I suggest that murals representing the violence serve as a repository for memories; they challenge hegemonic narratives and contribute to the recovery of public space. This analysis draws on three case studies. In the first one, I examine the impact of a mural in Bogota that denounced extrajudicial killings involving the Colombian army. The second case focuses on a community initiative aimed at collecting testimonies from residents in a marginalized district of Medellin. Finally, the last case study analyses the touristification of some of the many murals depicting the violence in Medellin. I argue that, to different degrees, all the memorial projects presented in this study challenge state narratives. Through representations of murdered teenagers, suspect military officers and even drug cartel bosses, they raise questions of social justice, impunity, illegality and the dramatic banalization of violence in the country. They broaden the narrative on the recent past, through histories and images that the Colombian state is still reluctant to unearth.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究考察了政治暴力和镇压对土耳其和平学者(AfP)身心健康的深远影响。该研究结合了定量和定性数据,以探索暴力之间的相互作用,污名化,以及受影响学者的健康结果。这项研究特别关注2016年土耳其紧急状态的后果,这导致数千名学者被解雇。我们采用世界卫生组织对暴力的定义来理解暴力行为的广泛性质,包括权力动态和系统压抑。调查结果强调了AfP由于政治暴力而面临的广泛的身心健康后果。受访者中被诊断为精神疾病的患病率非常高,表明暴露于创伤,威胁,压抑会导致严重的精神困扰。焦虑,抑郁症,创伤后应激障碍,肌肉骨骼疾病是常见的健康问题之一。该研究强调了政治暴力如何破坏包括安全和保障在内的社会心理支柱,债券和网络,正义,角色和身份,和存在的意义,并探讨了这些干扰如何导致社区心理健康恶化。它还确定了经济损失对福祉的影响,不确定性,与社交和学术网络隔离。
    This study examines the profound impact of political violence and repression on the mental and physical health of Academics for Peace (AfP) in Turkey. The research combines quantitative and qualitative data to explore the interplay between violence, stigmatization, and health outcomes among the affected academics. This study particularly focuses on the aftermath of the State of Emergency in Turkey in 2016, which led to the dismissal of thousands of academics. We employ the World Health Organization\'s definition of violence to understand the broad nature of violent acts, encompassing power dynamics and systemic repression. The findings highlight the extensive physical and mental health consequences faced by AfP due to political violence. The prevalence of diagnosed mental illness among respondents is notably high, indicating that exposure to trauma, threats, and repression leads to severe mental distress. Anxiety, depression, post-traumatic stress disorder, and musculoskeletal diseases are among the common health issues reported. The research underscores how political violence disrupts psychosocial pillars including safety and security, bonds and networks, justice, roles and identities, and existential meaning, and explores how these disruptions contribute to communal mental health deterioration. It also identifies the impact on well-being of economic losses, uncertainties, and isolation from social and academic networks.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:遭受政治暴力的儿童部署资源以维持运作,希望和生活满意度。
    目的:我们试图探索儿童是否促进希望和生活满意度的低谷代理,心理障碍,巴勒斯坦的潜在创伤经历和症状。
    方法:965名儿童(494名男性和471名女性)在多个地理背景下,和地区都参与其中。
    方法:我们管理了战争儿童机构评估量表,儿童希望量表,多层次学生生活满意度量表-Bref,力量和困难量表,儿童修订事件影响量表,和创伤清单,并进行回归分析;希望和生活满意度是依赖和代理的,力量和困难,创伤症状和创伤事件的独立变量。
    结果:特定形式的代理预测生活满意度(β=0.219;**p<.01,社会代理;β=0.11;**p<.01,代理教育)和希望(β=0.07;**p<.05,代理自由流动),而精神困难(行为问题,β=-0.09;**p<.01;多动症,β=-0.07;**p<.05;β=-0.15;**p<.01,生活满意度)(行为问题,β=-0.06;**p<.05,亲社会行为困难,β=-0.21;**p<0.01,有希望),创伤事件(β=-0.16;**p<.01,生活满意度;β=-0.15;**p<.01,希望)和创伤症状(β=-0.09;**p<.05,希望)与从属变量呈负相关。
    结论:我们发现社会,教育,和行动自由的行为,培养希望和生活满意度。
    Children exposed political violence deploy resources to maintain functioning, hope and life satisfaction.
    We sought to explore whether or not children promote hope and life satisfaction trough agency, psychological difficulties, potentially traumatic experiences and symptoms in Palestine.
    965 children (494 males and 471 females) in multiple geographical contexts, and areas were involved.
    We administered the War Child Agency Assessment Scale, Child Hope Scale, Multilevel Students\'Life Satisfaction Scale-Bref, the Strength and difficulties scale, the Child Revised Impact of events Scale, and Trauma Checklist, and performed regression analysis; hope and life satisfaction were dependent and agency, strength and difficulties, trauma symptoms and traumatic events independent variables.
    Specific forms of agency predicted life satisfaction (β = 0.219; ** p < .01, social agency; β = 0.11; ** p < .01, with agency in education) and hope (β = 0.07; ** p < .05, agency on free movement), while mental difficulties (conduct problems, β = -0.09; ** p < .01; hyperactivity, β = -0.07; ** p < .05; β = -0.15; ** p < .01 with life satisfaction) (conduct problems, β = -0.06; ** p < .05, and difficulties in pro-social behaviour, β = -0.21; ** p < .01 with hope), traumatic events (β = -0.16; ** p < .01, with life satisfaction; β = -0.15; ** p < .01, with hope) and trauma symptoms (β = -0.09; ** p < .05, with hope) were negatively associated with the dependents variables.
    We found a positive role of social, educational, and freedom of movement agentic behaviours in fostering hope and life satisfaction.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:美国目前的状况表明政治暴力的风险增加。人们对可能导致政治暴力的信仰的普遍性知之甚少,关于参与政治暴力的支持和个人意愿,以及这些措施如何随着个体特征而变化,暴力的杀伤力,暴力可能推进的政治目标,或特定人群作为目标。
    方法:这项具有美国全国代表性的横断面调查于2022年5月13日至6月2日对IpsosKnowledgePanel的成年成员进行。结果是加权的,人口代表比例的受访者支持选定的关于美国民主和社会以及暴力的信念,以推进政治目标。
    结果:分析样本包括8620名受访者;50.5%(95%置信区间(CI)49.3%,51.7%)为女性;加权平均(±标准差)年龄为48.4(±18.0)岁。近五分之一(18.9%,95%CI18.0%,19.9%)强烈或非常强烈地同意“对美国来说拥有一个强大的领导人比拥有一个民主更重要”;16.2%(95%CI15.3%,17.1%)强烈或非常强烈地同意“在美国,土生土长的白人正在被移民取代,\“和13.7%(95%CI12.9%,14.6%)强烈或非常强烈地同意“在未来几年,美国将会有内战。“三分之一的受访者(32.8%,95%CI31.7%,33.9%)认为暴力通常或总是有理由推进17个具体政治目标中的至少1个。在所有受访者中,7.7%(95%可信区间7.0%,8.4%)认为在未来几年内,在他们认为政治暴力是合理的情况下,“我将用枪武装”;1.1%(95%可信区间0.9%,1.4%)认为很可能“我会用枪射杀某人。“对政治暴力和在这种暴力中使用枪支的支持经常随着年龄的增长而下降,教育,和收入。
    结论:人数虽小,但考虑暴力的人口比例,包括致命暴力,通常或总是有理由推进政治目标。预防工作应根据现有的最佳证据紧急进行。
    BACKGROUND: Current conditions in the USA suggest an increasing risk for political violence. Little is known about the prevalence of beliefs that might lead to political violence, about support for and personal willingness to engage in political violence, and about how those measures vary with individual characteristics, lethality of violence, political objectives that violence might advance, or specific populations as targets.
    METHODS: This cross-sectional US nationally representative survey was conducted on May 13 to June 2, 2022, of adult members of the Ipsos KnowledgePanel. Outcomes are weighted, population-representative proportions of respondents endorsing selected beliefs about American democracy and society and violence to advance political objectives.
    RESULTS: The analytic sample included 8620 respondents; 50.5% (95% confidence interval (CI) 49.3%, 51.7%) were female; and weighted mean (± standard deviation) age was 48.4 (± 18.0) years. Nearly 1 in 5 (18.9%, 95% CI 18.0%, 19.9%) agreed strongly or very strongly that \"having a strong leader for America is more important than having a democracy\"; 16.2% (95% CI 15.3%, 17.1%) agreed strongly or very strongly that \"in America, native-born white people are being replaced by immigrants,\" and 13.7% (95% CI 12.9%, 14.6%) agreed strongly or very strongly that \"in the next few years, there will be civil war in the United States.\" One-third of respondents (32.8%, 95% CI 31.7%, 33.9%) considered violence to be usually or always justified to advance at least 1 of 17 specific political objectives. Among all respondents, 7.7% (95% CI 7.0%, 8.4%) thought it very or extremely likely that within the next few years, in a situation where they believe political violence is justified, \"I will be armed with a gun\"; 1.1% (95% CI 0.9%, 1.4%) thought it very or extremely likely that \"I will shoot someone with a gun.\" Support for political violence and for the use of firearms in such violence frequently declined with increasing age, education, and income.
    CONCLUSIONS: Small but concerning proportions of the population consider violence, including lethal violence, to be usually or always justified to advance political objectives. Prevention efforts should proceed urgently based on the best evidence available.
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