policy implications

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    甲烷(CH4)的区域预算评估对于未来的气候和环境管理至关重要。来自水稻种植的CH4排放(CH4-水稻)是最重要的来源之一。然而,以往的研究主要集中在历史排放估算,缺乏对气候变化或人为政策干预下CH4-水稻未来变化的考虑,这阻碍了我们对长期趋势的理解和有针对性的减排努力的实施。这项研究调查了CH4-水稻在过去二十年中的时空变化,在气候变化情景和政策观点下,使用综合方法确定主要驱动因素并预测未来排放量。结果表明,在过去的二十年中,中国的CH4-水稻排放量在6.21和6.57Tgyr-1之间。空间分布的特点是南部减少,北部增加,与经济发展有关,饮食转变,技术进步,和气候变化。秸秆添加率(RSA)等因素,受精,土壤质地,温度,降水显著影响单位水稻产量的CH4排放量(CH4-urp),RSA被确定为最重要的耕作管理因素,解释了32%的差异。将RSA降低至8%有利于减少CH4-urp。情景分析表明,在以生产或需求为重点的政策下,CH4-大米预计增长0.3%至5.6%,而调整RSA可以使CH4-大米减少9.4%至10.0%。结构调整和区域合作是我国控制和减少CH4-水稻的有益出发点,优化产业布局有助于区域发展和CH4水稻控制。实施与维持田间和作物产量有关的政策可以提前实现水稻供需平衡。基于供需平衡的水稻种植动态调整可以有效减少CH4-水稻产量过剩。到2060年,还原效果可达到8.95%-12.01%。引入政策驱动的耕作管理措施作为参考指标有助于减少CH4-水稻。
    Regional budget assessments of methane (CH4) are critical for future climate and environmental management. CH4 emissions from rice cultivation (CH4-rice) constitute one of the most significant sources. However, previous studies mainly focus on historical emission estimates and lack consideration of future changes in CH4-rice under climate change or anthropogenic policy intervention, which hampers our understanding of long-term trends and the implementation of targeted emission reduction efforts. This study investigates the spatiotemporal variations of CH4-rice over the past two decades, using an integrated method to identify the major drivers and predict future emissions under climate change scenarios and policy perspectives. Results indicate that the CH4-rice emissions in China ranged between 6.21 and 6.57 Tg yr-1 over the past two decades, with a spatial distribution characterized by decreases in the south and increases in the north, associated with economic development, dietary shifts, technological advancements, and climate change. Factors such as the rate of straw added (RSA), fertilization, soil texture, temperature, and precipitation significantly influence CH4 emissions per unit rice production (CH4-urp), with RSA identified as the most significant tillage management factor, explaining 32 % of the variance. Lowering RSA to 8 % is beneficial for reducing CH4-urp. Scenario analysis indicates that under policies focusing on production or demand, CH4-rice is expected to increase by 0.3 % to 5.6 %, while adjusting RSA can reduce CH4-rice by 9.4 % to 10.0 %. Structural adjustments and regional cooperation serve as beneficial starting points for controlling and reducing CH4-rice in China, while optimizing industrial layouts contributes to regional development and CH4-rice control. Implementing policies related to maintaining field and crop yields can achieve a balance between rice supply and demand ahead of schedule. Dynamic adjustment of rice cultivation based on supply-demand balance can effectively reduce CH4-rice from excess rice production. By 2060, the reduction effect could reach 8.95 %-12.01 %. Introducing policy-driven tillage management measures as reference indicators facilitates the reduction of CH4-rice.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    暂无摘要。
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    非洲移民越来越多地流向加拿大等高收入国家,以寻求更好的生活。这些移民经常在几个问题上挣扎,包括有限的社会支持,性别角色/地位的转变,与孩子的文化冲突,和语言障碍。我们使用参与行动研究(PAR)来收集有关居住在艾伯塔省的撒哈拉以南非洲移民的数据,加拿大,专注于他们的观点,困难,以及在加拿大养育孩子的经验。我们使用后殖民女权主义和跨国主义方法对我们的研究及其发现进行了语境化。研究结果表明,非洲移民父母高度重视世代之间的尊重。没有援助,文化引起的冲突,语言障碍是他们在育儿中遇到的明显困难。另一个因素是对他们新祖国的文化缺乏了解和理解。我们的发现有几个含义,包括需要探索有效的干预研究,加强非洲移民育儿的文化相关战略。我们的调查结果表明,需要对文化敏感的政策和做法,以支持非洲移民家庭过渡和融入加拿大社会。卫生保健提供者和决策者必须制定和修订文化上适当的政策,考虑到非洲移民在目的地国家的重要性。采取与文化相关的政策和做法将改善这个不断增长但贫困的加拿大人的福祉。
    African immigrants are moving to high-income nations such as Canada in greater numbers in search of a better life. These immigrants frequently struggle with several issues, including limited social support, shifts in gender roles/status, cultural conflicts with their children, and language barriers. We used participatory action research (PAR) to gather data about Sub-Saharan African immigrants residing in Alberta, Canada, with a focus on their viewpoints, difficulties, and experiences of parenting children in Canada. We contextualized our study and its findings using both postcolonial feminism and transnationalism approaches. Study findings show African immigrant parents place a high priority on respect between generations. The absence of assistance, conflicts caused by culture, and language barriers are notable difficulties they encountered in parenting. An additional factor is a lack of acquaintance with and comprehension of the culture of their new home nation. Several implications stem from our findings, including the need for interventional research that explores effective, culturally relevant strategies for enhancing parenting among African immigrants. Our findings demonstrate the need for culturally sensitive policies and practices that support the transition and integration of African immigrant families into Canadian society. It is imperative for health care providers and policy makers to develop and revise culturally appropriate policies that take into consideration the importance of African immigrants in destination countries. Adopting culturally relevant policies and practices will improve the wellbeing of this growing but underprivileged minority of Canadians.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    西太平洋区域是一个多样化的区域,经历着快速的经济增长和营养转型。我们系统地研究了94项关于饮食和其他生活方式因素与非传染性疾病(NCDs)之间关系的队列研究。这些研究主要来自中国,Japan,大韩民国,和新加坡。根据国家调查,研究了非传染性疾病生活方式风险因素的模式和变化。在过去的三十年中,他们的饮食摄入量有所改善,特点是不饱和油的消耗增加,水果,和蔬菜,减少钠和不健康脂肪的消耗。尽管吸烟率和盐摄入量下降,值在2019年仍高于全球水平。该地区超加工食品摄入量的增长速度高于全球估计。强调了五个选定国家与非传染性疾病有关的国家准则。应对非传染性疾病需要强有力的未来行动和政策。
    The Western Pacific region is a diverse region experiencing fast economic growth and nutrition transition. We systematically examined 94 cohort studies on the associations of dietary and other lifestyle factors on non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in the region. These studies were mainly from China, Japan, the Republic of Korea, and Singapore. Patterns and changes in lifestyle risk factors for NCDs based on national surveys were examined. They showed some dietary intake improvements over the past three decades, featured as increased consumption of unsaturated oils, fruits, and vegetables, and decreased consumption of sodium and unhealthy fat. Despite a decrease in smoking rate and salt intake, the values remained higher than the global levels in 2019. The ultra-processed food intake in the region increased at a higher rate than the global estimate. National guidelines relevant to NCDs in five selected countries were highlighted. Strong future actions and policies are needed to tackle NCDs.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    拉丁裔社区代表了美国最大的少数民族人口。由于涉及妇产科,因此护理和治疗存在重大障碍。了解文化因素对于改善该社区的护理至关重要。本文探讨了解决拉丁裔社区面临的种族健康差异的公共卫生战略和政策。
    The Latinx community represents the largest racial minority population in the nation. There are significant barriers to care and treatment as it relates to obstetrics and gynecology. Understanding cultural considerations is essential to improving care in this community. Public health strategies as well as policies to address racial health disparities facing the Latinx community are explored in this article.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    经济发展中的土地利用竞争,粮食安全和生态保护对资源型城市的可持续发展提出了挑战,尤其是以中国煤炭资源型城市为代表的城市。在共享的社会经济途径和代表性集中途径(SSP-RCP)的耦合框架下预测未来的土地利用变化是制定可持续发展战略的关键步骤。在这项研究中,斑块生成的土地利用模拟(PLUS)模型与SSP-RCP情景(SSP126,SSP245,SSP585)用于预测2020年至2060年的土地利用变化,确定关键管理区域以平衡生态保护和粮食安全的目标,并提出相应的措施。结果表明,(1)选定的驱动因子和模型参数有效地模拟了土地利用变化,总体精度为0.95,Kappa系数为0.92,品质因数为0.16,交换误差<5.69%,a移位误差<1.04%,和数量误差<0.67%。(2)所有的场景,据观察,草地继续减少0.86%至7.34%,森林和建成用地继续增加,其中森林增加了2.34%,达到4.03%,而已建置土地则上升21.02%至61.08%。农田仅在SSP585场景中增加,4.76%,但在SSP126和SSP245方案中下降了2.93%。(3)在未来的情况下,建设用地的扩张加剧了耕地和草地流失的风险。根据重点用地转换的分布情况,提出了四类优先土地管理区及相应措施。这为减轻与保护耕地和生态土地相关的风险提供了潜在途径。因此,这项研究有助于理解煤炭资源型城市土地利用变化的机制,为土地利用规划提供参考。
    Land use competition among economic development, food security and ecological protection posed challenges for the sustainable development in resource-based cities, especially those represented by coal resource-based cities in China. Predicting future land use change under the coupled framework of shared socioeconomic pathways and representative concentration pathways (SSP-RCPs) was a crucial step in devising sustainable development strategies. In this study, the patch-generated land use simulation (PLUS) model coupled with SSP-RCP scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP585) was used to predict land use changes from year 2020 to 2060, identify key management regions for balancing the goals of ecological protection and food security, and propose corresponding measures. The results showed that, (1) the selected driving factors and model parameters effectively simulated land use changes with an Overall accuracy of 0.95, a Kappa coefficient of 0.92, a Figure of Merit of 0.16, an Exchange error ≤5.69 %, a Shift error ≤1.04 %, and a Quantity error ≤0.67 %. (2) All the scenarios, it was observed that the grassland continued to decrease by 0.86 % to 7.34 %, and the forest and built-up land continued to increase, of which forest increased by 2.34 % to 4.03 %, and built-up land increased by 21.02 % to 61.08 %. Cropland only increased in SSP585 scenario, by 4.76 %, but declining by 2.93 % in SSP126 and SSP245 scenario. (3) In future scenarios, the expansion of built-up land has escalated the risk of cropland and grassland loss. Based on the distribution of key land use conversions, four categories of prioritized land management regions and corresponding measures have been proposed. This provided a potential pathway to mitigate risks associated with the protection of cropland and ecological land. Therefore, this study was instrumental in understanding the mechanisms of land use changes in coal resource-based cities, and provided a reference for land use planning.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在这篇文章中,我们总结了在美国发展心理学和少年司法交叉领域进行的20年研究的主要发现.我们主要检查来自两个大规模的数据,涉及司法系统的青少年的多站点纵向研究-抵抗之路研究和十字路口研究。讨论的主题包括犯罪和停止犯罪的预测因素;青年成果和社会心理需求;和新兴研究,programs,和政策倡议。首先,个人层面(例如,年龄,心理社会成熟度)和情境层面(例如,反社会的同龄人,暴露于暴力)与冒犯相关的风险因素进行了探讨。第二,我们讨论了从事中度犯罪的年轻人的司法系统接触的短期和长期结果。我们强调了Crossroads研究的主要发现,表明在首次被捕时受到司法系统制裁的年轻人比从正式处理中转移的年轻人的结果要差。此外,我们讨论了青少年遭受暴力和精神健康障碍的高患病率,以及在司法系统中对有色人种青少年的区别对待。第三,我们将对话扩展到涉及司法系统的年轻人,并讨论新兴,创新的法律解决方案,包括年轻的成人法庭。最后,我们讨论这些发现的现实世界的影响。
    In this article, we summarize key findings from 20 years of research conducted at the intersection of developmental psychology and juvenile justice in the United States. We predominantly examine data from two large-scale, multisite longitudinal studies involving justice-system-involved adolescents-the Pathways to Desistance study and the Crossroads study. Topics of discussion include predictors of offending and desistance from crime; youth outcomes and psychosocial needs; and emerging research, programs, and policy initiatives. First, individual-level (e.g., age, psychosocial maturity) and contextual-level (e.g., antisocial peers, exposure to violence) risk factors associated with offending are explored. Second, we discuss short-term and long-term outcomes of justice-system contact for youths engaging in moderate offenses. We highlight main findings from the Crossroads study indicating that youths who are sanctioned by the justice system at their first arrest have worse outcomes than youths who are diverted from formal processing. Additionally, we discuss the high prevalence of youths\' exposure to violence and mental health disorders as well as the differential treatment of youths of color in the justice system. Third, we extend the conversation to justice-system-involved young adults and discuss emerging, innovative legal solutions, including young adult courts. Last, we discuss real-world implications of these findings.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文旨在确定2013年至2018年为降低巴塞罗那交通事故严重程度而采取的措施的有效性和程度。这将通过分析交通事故数据来实现。
    我们的方法涉及使用二元逻辑回归模型。我们依赖于开放数据巴塞罗那平台上提供的2010-2019年的交通事故数据集。
    从建议模型中获得的结果与《2013-2018年当地道路安全计划》中概述的策略进行了对比,以最大程度地减少撞车的严重程度。确定了有效的预防措施,如道路安全教育计划,创造平静的区域,加强行人过路处,或者扩大自行车道。然而,某些措施被发现无效或其影响仍然不确定。
    我们的研究结果表明,在过去十年中,在巴塞罗那实施的措施可能参与并影响了交通事故严重程度的下降。值得注意的是,死亡人数比重伤人数减少得多。应更多注意不太有效的措施,如速度控制和药物/酒精测试。
    UNASSIGNED: This article aims to determine the effectiveness and extent of measures taken to decrease the severity of traffic crashes in Barcelona from 2013 to 2018. This will be achieved through an analysis of the traffic crash data.
    UNASSIGNED: Our approach involves the use of binary logistic regression models. We rely on the traffic crash dataset from 2010-2019 available in the Open Data Barcelona platform.
    UNASSIGNED: The outcomes obtained from the suggested models are contrasted with the strategies outlined in the Local Road Safety Plan 2013-2018 to minimize the severity of crashes. Effective preventive actions were identified, such as road safety educational programs, creating calm zones, enhancing pedestrian crossings, or expanding bicycle lanes. However, certain measures were found to be ineffective or their impact remained uncertain.
    UNASSIGNED: Our findings indicate that the measures implemented in Barcelona may have participated in and influenced the decrease in the severity of traffic incidents over the past decade. Notably, fatalities have decreased more than severe injuries. More attention should be given to less effective measures such as speed controls and drug/alcohol testing.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于对传统PFAS的限制,已经实践了替代的全氟烷基物质和多氟烷基物质(PFAS)的使用。然而,在替代品的生态风险以及限制与排放之间的关系方面存在知识差距。本研究系统分析了其发生特点,水沙分配行为,生态风险,以及环渤海地区(BBR)遗留和替代PFAS的排放。总PFAS的平均浓度在地表水中为46.105ng/L,在沉积物中为6.125ng/g干重(dw)。作为全氟辛酸(PFOA)的替代品,六氟环氧丙烷二聚酸(GenX)在地表水中的浓度仅次于PFOA。在沉积物中,全氟丁酸(PFBA)和GenX是两种主要污染物。在水沙分配系统中,GenX,9-氯十六氟-3-氧烷酮-1-磺酸(F-53B),和11-氯代氟烷-3-氧代癸烷-1-磺酸(8:2Cl-PFESA)倾向于向沉积物富集。物种敏感性分布(SSD)模型揭示了PFAS及其替代品在BBR中的低生态风险。此外,预测的无影响浓度(PNEC)表明,短链替代品如PFBA和全氟丁烷磺酸盐(PFBS)对水生生态系统更安全,而使用GenX和F-53B时应谨慎行事。由于GenX逐渐取代了PFOA,在2004-2022年期间,估计累积排放量为1317.96kgPFOA和667.22kgGenX,由于自2016年以来实施的限制措施,其中PFOA排放量减少了59.2%。如果从2023年到2030年实施更严格的限制措施,PFOA排放量将进一步减少85.0%,但GenX的排放量将增加21.3%。同时,预计到2023年,GenX在地表水中的浓度将激增2.02至2.45倍。这项研究加深了对PFAS替代品的理解,并协助当局制定管理PFAS替代品的政策。
    The use of alternative per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs) has been practiced because of the restrictions on legacy PFASs. However, knowledge gaps exist on the ecological risks of alternatives and relationships between restrictions and emissions. This study systematically analyzed the occurrence characteristics, water-sediment partitioning behaviors, ecological risks, and emissions of legacy and alternative PFASs in the Bohai Bay Rim (BBR). The mean concentration of total PFASs was 46.105 ng/L in surface water and 6.125 ng/g dry weight (dw) in sediments. As an alternative for perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA), hexafluoropropylene oxide dimer acid (GenX) had a concentration second only to PFOA in surface water. In sediments, perfluorobutyric acid (PFBA) and GenX were the two predominant contaminants. In the water-sediment partitioning system, GenX, 9-chlorohexadecafluoro-3-oxanone-1-sulfonic acid (F-53B), and 11-chloroeicosafluoro-3-oxaundecane-1-sulfonic acid (8:2 Cl-PFESA) tended to be enriched towards sediments. The species sensitivity distribution (SSD) models revealed the low ecological risks of PFASs and their alternatives in the BBR. Moreover, predicted no-effected concentrations (PNECs) indicated that short-chain alternatives like PFBA and perfluorobutane sulfonate (PFBS) were safer for aquatic ecosystems, while caution should be exercised when using GenX and F-53B. Due to the incremental replacement of PFOA by GenX, cumulative emissions of 1317.96 kg PFOA and 667.22 kg GenX were estimated during 2004-2022, in which PFOA emissions were reduced by 59.2 % due to restrictions implemented since 2016. If more stringent restrictions are implemented from 2023 to 2030, PFOA emissions will further decrease by 85.0 %, but GenX emissions will increase by an additional 21.3 %. Simultaneously, GenX concentrations in surface water are forecasted to surge by 2.02 to 2.45 times in 2023. This study deepens the understanding of PFAS alternatives and assists authorities in developing policies to administer PFAS alternatives.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:自2015年以来,也门一直经历着旷日持久的内战和人道主义危机,这导致了许多与战争有关的伤害。然而,缺乏流行病学数据,特点,以及这些伤害的结果,尤其是骨科的。本研究旨在描述也门与战争有关的骨科损伤及其对患者健康和功能的影响。
    方法:这是一项回顾性研究,基于2015年1月至2020年12月在萨那市三个主要创伤中心因与战争有关的骨科损伤入院的3930名患者的医疗记录和创伤登记。我们收集了人口统计数据,损伤机制,损伤类型和位置,外科手术,并发症,死亡率,和功能结果使用肌肉骨骼功能评估问卷。我们使用描述性和推断性统计来分析数据,并进行逻辑回归分析以确定与死亡率相关的因素。
    结果:大多数患者是年轻男性和平民,他们遭受了涉及多个身体区域的复杂和严重的伤害,尤其是下肢.伤害的主要机制是枪伤,爆炸伤,还有地雷爆炸.患者需要多种手术和植入物,并发症和死亡率高。最常见的并发症是感染,骨不连,malunion,和截肢。最常见的死亡原因是败血症。功能结果很差,如高平均MFA评分所示。Logistic回归分析显示,年龄较大,爆炸伤,脊柱损伤,血管损伤,和感染是死亡率的重要预测因子。
    结论:本研究提供了也门与战争有关的骨科损伤及其对患者健康和功能影响的有价值的信息。它还确定了一些未来研究的领域,如探索感染和不愈合/畸形的危险因素,评估不同外科手术和植入物的有效性和成本效益,评估患者的长期结果和生活质量,并开发新的策略来增强骨骼和软组织的愈合。
    BACKGROUND: Yemen has been experiencing a protracted civil war and humanitarian crisis since 2015, which has resulted in many war-related injuries. However, there is a lack of data on the epidemiology, characteristics, and outcomes of these injuries, especially the orthopedic ones. This study aimed to describe the war-related orthopedic injuries in Yemen and their impact on the patients\' health and function.
    METHODS: This was a retrospective study based on medical records and trauma registries of 3930 patients who were admitted to three major trauma centers in Sana\'a city with war-related orthopedic injuries from January 2015 to December 2020. We collected data on demographics, injury mechanisms, injury types and locations, surgical procedures, complications, mortality, and functional outcomes using the Musculoskeletal Function Assessment questionnaire. We used descriptive and inferential statistics to analyze the data and performed a logistic regression analysis to identify the factors associated with mortality.
    RESULTS: Most of the patients were young males and civilians who suffered from complex and severe injuries involving multiple body regions, especially the lower extremities. The main mechanisms of injury were gunshot wounds, blast injuries, and landmine explosions. The patients required multiple surgical procedures and implants, and had high rates of complications and mortality. The most common complications were infection, nonunion, malunion, and amputation. The most common cause of death was sepsis. The functional outcomes were poor, as indicated by the high mean MFA score. The logistic regression analysis showed that older age, blast injuries, spine injuries, vascular injuries, and infection were significant predictors of mortality.
    CONCLUSIONS: This study provides valuable information on the war-related orthopedic injuries in Yemen and their impact on the patients\' health and function. It also identifies some areas for future research, such as exploring the risk factors for infection and nonunion/malunion, evaluating the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of different surgical procedures and implants, assessing the long-term outcomes and quality of life of the patients, and developing novel strategies to enhance bone and soft-tissue healing.
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