这项研究解决了智能农业背景下植物病虫害预测的挑战,强调需要有效的数据处理技术。为了应对现有模型的局限性,其特点是训练速度慢,预测精度低,我们介绍了一种创新的预测方法,该方法将基因表达式编程(GEP)与支持向量机(SVM)集成在一起。我们的方法,基因表达式编程-支持向量机(GEP-SVM)模型,从编码和适应度函数确定开始,经历选择的循环,交叉,突变,以及收敛准则的应用。该方法唯一地采用单个基因值作为SVM的参数,通过网格搜索技术优化它们,以完善遗传参数。我们使用陕西省小麦开花mid的历史数据对该模型进行了检验,从1933年到2010年,并将其性能与传统方法进行了比较,如GEP,SVM,天真的贝叶斯,K-最近邻,和BP神经网络。我们的发现表明,GEP-SVM模型实现了90.83%的领先回代准确率,表现出卓越的泛化和拟合能力。这些结果不仅提高了农业病虫害预测的计算效率,而且为未来的预测工作提供了科学依据。为优化农业生产战略做出了重要贡献。
This study addresses the challenges in plant pest and disease prediction within the context of smart agriculture, highlighting the need for efficient data processing techniques. In response to the limitations of existing models, which are characterized by slow training speeds and a low prediction accuracy, we introduce an innovative prediction method that integrates gene expression programming (GEP) with support vector machines (SVM). Our approach, the gene expression programming-support vector machine (GEP-SVM) model, begins with encoding and fitness function determination, progressing through cycles of selection, crossover, mutation, and the application of a convergence criterion. This method uniquely employs individual gene values as parameters for SVM, optimizing them through a grid search technique to refine genetic parameters. We tested this model using historical data on wheat blossom midges in Shaanxi Province, spanning from 1933 to 2010, and compared its performance against traditional methods, such as GEP, SVM, naive Bayes, K-nearest neighbor, and BP neural networks. Our findings reveal that the GEP-SVM model achieves a leading back-generation accuracy rate of 90.83%, demonstrating superior generalization and fitting capabilities. These results not only enhance the computational efficiency of pest and disease prediction in agriculture but also provide a scientific foundation for future predictive endeavors, contributing significantly to the optimization of agricultural production strategies.