BACKGROUND: Comparative studies on surgical treatments with time-to-event endpoints have provided substantial evidence for clinical practice, but the accurate use of survival data analysis and the control of confounding bias remain big challenges.
METHODS: This was a survey of surgical studies with survival outcomes published in four general medical journals and five general surgical journals in 2021. The two most concerned statistical issues were evaluated, including confounding control by propensity score analysis (PSA) or multivariable analysis and testing of proportional hazards (PH) assumption in Cox model.
RESULTS: A total of 74 studies were included, comprising 63 observational studies and 11 randomized controlled trials. Among the observational studies, the proportion of studies utilizing PSA in surgical oncology and non-oncology studies was similar (40.9 % versus 36.8 %, P = 0.762). However, the former reported a significantly lower proportion of PH assumption assessments compared to the latter (13.6 % versus 42.1 %, P = 0.020). Twenty-five observational studies (25/63) used PSA methods, but two-thirds of them (17/25) showed unclear balance of baseline data after PSA. And the proportion of PH assumption testing after PSA was slightly lower than that before PSA, but the difference was not statistically significant (24.0 % versus 28.0 %, P = 0.317). Comprehensive suggestions were given on confounding control in survival analysis and alternative resolutions for non-compliance with PH assumption.
CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights suboptimal reporting of PH assumption evaluation in observational surgical studies both before and after PSA. Efforts and consensus are needed with respect to the underlying assumptions of statistical methods.

Psoriasis is a chronic immune-mediated disease affecting the skin, nails, and/or joints. It is associated with systemic inflammation and may also be linked to an increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). The objectives of this study were to determine the overall risk of ASCVD in patients with psoriasis and to evaluate the risk according to ASCVD type and the severity of psoriasis. This was a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies reporting the association between psoriasis and one or more of the clinical types of ASCVD. We searched Medical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System Online (MEDLINE) via PubMed, Excerpta Medica Database (EMBASE), Scopus, Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE), and Google Scholar for relevant studies in the English language from the beginning of their records to July 2023. Study selection and data extraction were conducted by four independent reviewers. A total of 21 observational studies (three cross-sectional, one case-control, and 17 cohort) were included in this review, representing a total of 778,049 patients with psoriasis and 16,881,765 control subjects without psoriasis. The included studies had varying degrees of covariate adjustment, and thus, their findings may have been subject to residual confounding. All the meta-analyses used the adjusted effect sizes and were based on the random-effects model. However, the cohort studies were analysed separately from the non-cohort studies (the case-control and cross-sectional studies). There was a significant association between psoriasis and ASCVD (cohort studies: hazard ratio (HR), 1.21; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.14 to 1.28; I2 = 63%; p < 0.001; non-cohort studies: odds ratio (OR), 1.60; 95% CI, 1.34 to 1.92; I2 = 31%; p = 0.23). Psoriasis was also significantly associated with myocardial infarction (cohort studies: HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.10 to 1.31; I2 = 60%; p < 0.001; non-cohort studies: OR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.15 to 2.15; I2 = 74%; p = 0.05), coronary artery disease (cohort studies: HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.13 to 1.28; I2 = 67%; p < 0.001; non-cohort studies: OR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.34 to 1.92; I2 = 31%; p = 0.23), aortic aneurysm (HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.04 to 2.02; I2 = 67%; p = 0.08) but not with ischaemic stroke (HR, 1.14; 95% CI, 0.96 to 1.36; I2 = 44%; p = 0.17). Pooled analysis in terms of the severity of psoriasis showed that both mild (cohort studies: HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.08 to 1.26; I2 = 74%; p < 0.001; non-cohort studies: OR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.25 to 1.90; I2 = 0%; p = 0.50) and severe (cohort studies: HR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.23 to 1.65; I2 = 65%; p < 0.001; non-cohort studies: OR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.29 to 2.12; I2 = 25%; p = 0.26) psoriasis were significantly associated with ASCVD. Psoriasis (including mild and severe disease) is associated with an increased risk of ASCVD, including coronary artery disease (CAD) and aortic aneurysm (AA). ASCVD risk assessment and prevention should be prioritised in all adult psoriasis patients. Future observational studies investigating the association between psoriasis and ASCVD should conduct a more comprehensive adjustment of covariates.

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UNASSIGNED: Inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) therapy has been demonstrated to reduce the risk of COPD exacerbations. It should only be prescribed to COPD patients who are not adequately controlled by dual long-acting bronchodilator therapy and who have ≥2 exacerbations per year and a blood eosinophil count ≥300cells/µL. ICS therapy is widely prescribed outside guidelines to COPD patients, making ICS withdrawal an important consideration. This systematic review aims to provide an up-to-date analysis of the effect of ICS withdrawal on exacerbation frequency, change in lung function (FEV1) and to determine the proportion of COPD patients who resume ICS therapy following withdrawal.
UNASSIGNED: Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies which compared ICS withdrawal with ICS continuation treatment were included. Cochrane Central, Web of Science, CINHAL, Embase and OVID Medline were searched. Risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane RoB2 tool and the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Quality assessment of RCTs was conducted using GRADE. Meta-analysis of post-hoc analyses of RCTs of ICS withdrawal, stratified by blood eosinophil count (BEC), was undertaken.
UNASSIGNED: Ten RCTs (6642 patients randomised) and 6 observational studies (160,029 patients) were included in the results. When ICS was withdrawn and long-acting bronchodilator therapy was maintained, there was no consistent difference in exacerbation frequency or lung function change between the ICS withdrawal and continuation trial arms. The evidence for these effects was of moderate quality. There was insufficient evidence to draw a firm conclusion on the proportion of patients who resumed ICS therapy following withdrawal (estimated range 12-93% of the participants).
UNASSIGNED: Withdrawal of ICS therapy from patients with COPD is safe and feasible but should be accompanied by maintenance of bronchodilation therapy for optimal outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: Ultrasound (US) can detect subclinical joint-inflammation in patients with clinically suspect arthralgia (CSA), which is valuable as predictor for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) development. In most research protocols both hands and forefeet are scanned, but it is unclear if US of the forefeet has additional value for predicting RA, especially since synovial hypertrophy in MTP-joints of healthy individuals is also common. To explore the possibility to omit scanning of the forefeet we determined if US of the forefeet is of additional predictive value for RA-development in CSA patients.
METHODS: CSA patients of two independent cohorts underwent US of the hands and forefeet. We analyzed the association between RA-development and US-positivity for the full US-protocol, the full US-protocol with correction for Gray Scale(GS)-findings in the forefeet of healthy and the protocol without-forefeet.
RESULTS: In total, 298 CSA patients were studied. In patients with a positive US, subclinical joint-inflammation was mostly present in the hands (90-86%). Only 10-14% of patients had subclinical joint-inflammation solely in the forefeet. US-positivity was associated with inflammatory arthritis development in both cohorts, with HRs 2.6(95%CI 0.9-7.5) and 3.1(95%CI 1.5-6.4) for the full protocol, 3.1(95%CI 1.3-7.7) and 2.7(95%CI 1.3-5.4) for the full US-protocol with correction, and 3.1(95%CI 1.4-6.9) and 2.8(95%CI 1.4-5.6) without the forefeet. AUROCs were equal across both cohorts.
CONCLUSIONS: The forefeet can be omitted when US is used for the prediction of RA-development in CSA patients. This is due to the finding that subclinical joint-inflammation in the forefeet without concomitant inflammation in the hands is infrequent.

Background: Quality-of-life metrics are increasingly important for oncological patients alongside traditional endpoints like mortality and disease progression. Statistical tools such as Win Ratio, Win Odds, and Net Benefit prioritize clinically significant outcomes using composite endpoints. In randomized trials, Win Statistics provide fair comparisons between treatment and control groups. However, their use in observational studies is complicated by confounding variables. Propensity score (PS) matching mitigates confounding variables but may reduce the sample size, affecting the power of win statistics analyses. Alternatively, PS matching can stratify samples, preserving the sample size. This study aims to assess the long-term impact of these methods on decision making, particularly in colorectal cancer patients. Methods: A motivating example involves a cohort of patients from the ReSARCh observational study (2016-2021) with locally advanced adenocarcinoma of the rectum, situated up to 12 cm from the anal verge. These patients underwent either a watch-and-wait approach (WW) or trans-anal local excision (LE). Win statistics compared the effects of WW and LE on a composite outcome (overall survival, recurrence, presence of ostomy, and rectum excision). For matched win statistics, we used robust inference techniques proposed by Matsouaka et al. (2022), and for stratified win statistics, we applied the method proposed by Dong et al. (2018). A simulation study assessed the coverage probability of matched and stratified win statistics in balanced and unbalanced groups, calculating how often the confidence intervals included the true values of WR, NB, and WO across 1000 simulations. Results: The results suggest a better efficacy of the LE approach when considering efficacy outcomes alone (WR: 0.47 (0.01 to 1.14); NB: -0.16 (-0.34 to 0.02); and WO: 0.73 (0.5 to 1.05)). However, when QoL outcomes are included in the analyses, the estimates are closer to 1 (WR: 0.87 (0.06 to 2.06); WO: 0.93 (0.61 to 1.4)) and to 0 (NB: -0.04 (-0.25 to 0.17)), indicating a negative impact of the treatment effect of LE regarding the presence of ostomy and the excision of the rectum. Moreover, based on the simulation study, our findings underscore the superior performance of matched compared to stratified win statistics in terms of coverage probability (matched WR: 97% vs. stratified WR: 33.3% in a high-imbalance setting; matched WR: 98% vs. stratified WR: 34.4% in a medium-imbalance setting; and matched WR: 99.2% vs. stratified WR: 37.4% in a low-imbalance setting). Conclusions: In conclusion, our study sheds light on the interpretation of the results of win statistics in terms of statistical significance, providing insights into the application of pairwise comparison in observational settings, promoting its use to improve outcomes for cancer patients.

UNASSIGNED: This study aimed to investigate the efficacy and safety of sacubitril/valsartan in abnormal renal function (eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73m2) patients combined with heart failure based on randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies.
UNASSIGNED: The Embase, PubMed and the Cochrane Library were searched for relevant studies from inception to December 2023. Dichotomous variables were described as event counts with the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) values. Continuous variables were expressed as mean standard deviation (SD) with 95% CIs.
UNASSIGNED: A total of 6 RCTs and 8 observational studies were included, involving 17335 eGFR below 60 ml/min/1.73m2 patients combined with heart failure. In terms of efficacy, we analyzed the incidence of cardiovascular events and found that sacubitril/valsartan significantly reduced the risk of cardiovascular death or heart failure hospitalization in chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages 3-5 patients with heart failure (OR: 0.65, 95%CI: 0.54-0.78). Moreover, sacubitril/valsartan prevented the serum creatinine elevation (OR: 0.81, 95%CI: 0.68-0.95), the eGFR decline (OR: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.73-0.95) and the development of end-stage renal disease in this population (OR:0.73, 95%CI:0.60-0.89). As for safety outcomes, we did not find that the rate of hyperkalemia (OR:1.31, 95%CI:0.79-2.17) and hypotension (OR:1.57, 95%CI:0.94-2.62) were increased in sacubitril/valsartan group among CKD stages 3-5 patients with heart failure.
UNASSIGNED: Our meta-analysis proves that sacubitril/valsartan has a favorable effect on cardiac function without obvious risk of adverse events in abnormal renal function patients combined with heart failure, indicating that sacubitril/valsartan has the potential to become perspective treatment for these patients.

How to analyze data when there is violation of the positivity assumption? Several possible solutions exist in the literature. In this paper, we consider propensity score (PS) methods that are commonly used in observational studies to assess causal treatment effects in the context where the positivity assumption is violated. We focus on and examine four specific alternative solutions to the inverse probability weighting (IPW) trimming and truncation: matching weight (MW), Shannon\'s entropy weight (EW), overlap weight (OW), and beta weight (BW) estimators. We first specify their target population, the population of patients for whom clinical equipoise, that is, where we have sufficient PS overlap. Then, we establish the nexus among the different corresponding weights (and estimators); this allows us to highlight the shared properties and theoretical implications of these estimators. Finally, we introduce their augmented estimators that take advantage of estimating both the propensity score and outcome regression models to enhance the treatment effect estimators in terms of bias and efficiency. We also elucidate the role of the OW estimator as the flagship of all these methods that target the overlap population. Our analytic results demonstrate that OW, MW, and EW are preferable to IPW and some cases of BW when there is a moderate or extreme (stochastic or structural) violation of the positivity assumption. We then evaluate, compare, and confirm the finite-sample performance of the aforementioned estimators via Monte Carlo simulations. Finally, we illustrate these methods using two real-world data examples marked by violations of the positivity assumption.

OBJECTIVE: An estimated 5-20% of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) fail multiple treatments and are considered \"difficult-to-treat\" (D2T), posing a substantial clinical challenge for rheumatologists. A European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology (EULAR) task force proposed a definition of D2T-RA in 2021. We applied EULAR\'s D2T definition in a cohort of patients with established RA to assess prevalence and we compared clinical characteristics of participants with D2T-RA with matched comparisons.
METHODS: Data from the longitudinal Brigham and Women\'s Hospital Rheumatoid Arthritis Sequential Study (BRASS) registry was used. Participants were classified as D2T if they met EULAR\'s definition. A comparison group of non-D2T RA patients were matched 2:1 to every D2T patient, and differences in characteristics were evaluated in descriptive analyses. Prevalence rates of D2T were estimated using Poisson regression.
RESULTS: We estimated the prevalence of D2T-RA to be 14.4 (95% CI: 12.8-16.3 per 100 persons) among 1,581 participants with RA, and 22.3 (95% CI: 19.9-25.0 per 100 persons) among 1,021 who were biologic/targeted synthetic DMARD experienced. We observed several differences in demographics, comorbidities, and RA disease activity between D2T-RA and non-D2T RA comparisons. Varying EULAR sub-criteria among all participants in BRASS resulted in a range of D2T-RA prevalence rates, from 0.6-17.5 per 100 persons.
CONCLUSIONS: EULAR\'s proposed definition of D2T-RA identifies patients with RA who have not achieved treatment targets. Future research should explore heterogeneity in these patients and evaluate outcomes to inform the design of future studies aimed at developing more effective RA management protocols.