modified Delphi method

改进的德尔菲法
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:编制血液透析感染暴发调查表,并在早期阶段确定爆发源。
    方法:经过详尽的文献回顾,我们通过两轮专家咨询和18位专家意见和建议的综合考虑,采用德尔菲法确定了评估工具的指标和相对风险得分。
    结果:共有87项关于血液透析感染暴发的研究符合纳入条件。平均权威系数(Cr)为0.89。经过两轮咨询,专家咨询的肯德尔W系数为0.359(p<0.005),这表明专家们有类似的意见。根据血液透析感染暴发源的4个主要项目和13个次要项目,以及感染患者的三方分布特征,我们构建了调查表格。
    结论:调查表格可以在病例群的早期使用,这是采取有效控制措施的前提,避免血液透析感染暴发的发生。然而,调查表格的效果需要进一步评估。
    BACKGROUND: There are many infectious factors causing the outbreak of hemodialysis infection, which may easily lead to the delay of investigation and treatment. This study aimed to develop an investigation form for hemodialysis infection outbreak (HIO), and to identify sources of outbreak in early stage.
    METHODS: After an exhaustive literature review, we used the Delphi method to determine the indicators and relative risk scores of the assessment tools through 2 rounds of specialist consultation and overall consideration of the opinions and suggestions of 18 specialists.
    RESULTS: A total of 87 studies of HIOs were eligible for inclusion. The mean authority coefficient (Cr) was 0.89. Kendall\'s W coefficient of the specialist consultation was 0.359 after 2 rounds of consultation (P < .005), suggesting that the specialists had similar opinions. Based on 4 primary items and 13 secondary items of the source of HIO, and tripartite distribution characteristics of infected patients, we constructed the investigation form.
    CONCLUSIONS: The investigation form may be implemented during the initial phase of an outbreak investigation, it is a prerequisite for taking effective control measures, avoiding HIO occurrence. However, the efficacy of the investigation form needs to be further evaluated.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    员工援助计划需要跨不同类型的公共部门组织的各种性质的资源和人力。
    这项研究首先概述了比较四种类型的公共部门组织的员工援助计划的要素,该评估标准是根据劳工部针对以下三个主要方面实施的22项服务措施:工作,生活,和健康。公共部门员工援助计划评估标准的要素是通过使用改进的Delphi方法对专家小组进行调查来确定的。最后,使用模糊层次分析法计算与评价标准要素相关的权重,并探讨了四种类型的公共部门组织的标准。
    数据分析表明,与四种类型的公共部门组织实施的EAP评估标准要素相关的权重和优先事项并不完全相同。
    这项研究的结果表明,就EAP而言,行政院人事行政总局应根据各种公共部门组织的雇员需求以及这些组织运作的各种客观条件,遵循适当的雇员援助计划。
    UNASSIGNED: Employee assistance programs require resources and manpower of various natures across different types of public sector organization.
    UNASSIGNED: This study began by outlining elements for comparing employee assistance programs\' evaluation criteria in four types of public sector organization on the basis of 22 service measures for such programs implemented by the Ministry of Labor in relation to three major aspects: work, life, and health. Elements of the evaluation criteria for public sector employee assistance programs were determined by surveying a panel of experts using the modified Delphi method. Last, the weight associated with the elements of evaluation criteria were calculated using the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process, and the criteria of four types of public sector organization were explored.
    UNASSIGNED: Data analysis indicated that the weight and priorities associated with elements of evaluation criteria for EAPs implemented by four types of public sector organization were not fully identical.
    UNASSIGNED: The results of this study suggest that, in terms of EAPs, the Directorate-General of Personnel Administration of the Executive Yuan should be pursuant to appropriate employee assistance programs provided by various public sector organizations according to the needs of their employees as well as the diverse objective conditions in which these organizations operate.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:内镜套管胃成形术(ESG)是一种创新,微创减肥手术在成人肥胖患者中具有出色的安全性和有效性。该程序的目的是沿着其较大的曲率缩短和管状胃。然而,ESG的方法存在一定的异质性,这将是重要的解决,因为该程序看到越来越广泛的临床采用。这里,我们提出了标准化ESG技术的专家共识。
    方法:使用改进的德尔菲法,目的是建立ESG的关键程序步骤。选出了一个由8名专家组成的小组,其中6人参加了会议。该小组是根据他们的手术经验选择的,由1名减肥外科医生和5名介入胃肠病学家组成。指定了一名中立的主持人,并制作了关键步骤的骨架化初始版本,并发送给每位专家。每次调查都是由专家以1-5的李克特量表对给定步骤进行评分,其中1是最不准确的,5是最准确的。还对最终产品进行了评级。调查继续提出开放式问题,旨在修改和完善关键步骤。用二元问题和多数票解决了差异领域。受访者有10天的时间来完成每个调查。在每一轮结束时,然后,重新分发了调查,并更新了关键步骤和问题。该过程持续预先指定的三轮。
    结果:在被查询的8位专家中,6/8、5/8和5/8每一轮都有回复,分别。每轮中步骤的准确性的给定评级为4.2、4.6和4.4。最终评分为4.8。虽然专家的意见在程序的较小部分有所不同,例如套管的放置和每条缝合线的形状,对于使用螺旋装置进行全厚度咬伤和适当旋转组织的必要性,达成了共识.是否在胃成形术中包括眼底是一个额外的差异区域。4/5的专家同意眼底应保持完整。最终方案由21个步骤组成,这些步骤来自专家的总结答复。
    结论:使用改进的德尔菲法,我们已经描述了21个关键步骤,有效的ESG。这个标题将跨机构和从业者进行标准化。此外,这些发现有助于生成教育评估工具,以促进培训并增加内镜医师对ESG的采用.
    BACKGROUND: Endoscopic sleeve gastroplasty (ESG) is an innovative, minimally invasive bariatric procedure with an excellent safety and efficacy profile in adults with obesity. The purpose of the procedure is to shorten and tubularize the stomach along its greater curvature. Nevertheless, there are some heterogeneities in the approach to ESG, which will be important to address as the procedure sees increasingly widespread clinical adoption. Here, an expert consensus on standardized ESG techniques is presented.
    METHODS: The modified Delphi method was used to establish the key procedural steps of an ESG. A panel of 8 experts was selected, of which 6 participated. The panel was selected based on their experience with performing the procedure and consisted of 1 bariatric surgeon and 5 interventional gastroenterologists. A neutral facilitator was designated and produced a skeletonized initial version of the key steps that was sent to each expert. Each survey began with the experts rating the given steps on a Likert scale of 1 to 5, with 1 being the most inaccurate and 5 being the most accurate. Furthermore, the final product was rated. The survey continued with open-ended questions designed to revise and polish the key steps. Areas of discrepancy were addressed using binary questions and a majority vote. The respondents were given 10 days to complete each survey. At the end of each round, the survey was redistributed with updated key steps and questions. This process was continued for a predesignated 3 rounds.
    RESULTS: Of the 8 experts who were queried, 6/8, 5/8, and 5/8 replied to each round. The given ratings for the accuracy of the steps in each round were 4.2, 4.6, and 4.4. The final rating was 4.8. Although expert opinion varied around smaller portions of the procedure, such as the placement of an overtube and the shape of each suture line, there was consensus on the need for full-thickness bites and appropriate swirling of the tissue with the helix device. Whether or not to include the fundus in the gastroplasty was an additional area of discrepancy. Of note, 4 of 5 experts agreed that the fundus should remain intact. The final protocol consisted of 21 steps curated from the summarized responses of the experts.
    CONCLUSIONS: Using the modified Delphi method, 21 key steps have been described for a safe and effective ESG. This rubric will be standardized across institutions and practitioners. Furthermore, these findings allow for the generation of educational assessment tools to facilitate training and increase the adoption of ESG by endoscopists.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:中国的人口在过去几年中开始迅速老龄化,并且这种趋势预计将持续下去。面对不断增长的老龄人口,现有的老年护理人员数量,尤其是医疗专业人员,很难满足养老服务的需求。
    目的:根据标准化培训目标,为本科护生开发老年护理微证书(MC),并指定与每个特定MC对应的学习目标和课程模块。
    方法:改进的德尔菲研究。
    方法:根据培训目标开发了一套初始的老年护理MC。专家组讨论(n=13)审查了声明措辞的清晰度和可理解性,并补充了框架。然后进行了三轮Delphi调查(n=15),通过在线问卷就学习目标和课程模块达成共识。使用描述性统计来分析数据。
    结果:最终的老年护理MC包括六个课程,即老年护理基础(8个模块),老年社会学(6个模块),老年临床护理(3个模块),老年心理护理(8个模块),老年康复护理(8个模块)和老年临终关怀护理(10个模块)。
    结论:护理教师可以使用本研究中开发的老年护理MC来培训当前的护理本科生,使其成为当前,完全有资格的老年护理者。
    BACKGROUND: China\'s population has begun to age rapidly in the past several years and this trend is predicted to continue. In the face of this growing older population, the existing number of aged care personnel, especially medical care professionals, can hardly meet the demand for aged care services.
    OBJECTIVE: To develop geriatric nursing micro-credentials (MCs) for undergraduate nursing students based on standardized training objectives and to specify the learning goals and course modules that correspond to each specific MC.
    METHODS: Modified Delphi study.
    METHODS: An initial set of geriatric nursing MCs were developed based on the training objectives. Expert group discussion (n=13) reviewed the clarity and intelligibility of the statements\' wording and supplemented the framework. A three-round Delphi survey (n=15) was then employed to obtain a consensus on the learning goals and course modules via an online questionnaire. Descriptive statistics were used to analyze the data.
    RESULTS: The final geriatric nursing MCs consisted of six courses, namely fundamentals of geriatric nursing (8 modules), geriatric sociology (6 modules), geriatric clinical nursing (3 modules), geriatric psychological nursing (8 modules), geriatric rehabilitation nursing (8 modules) and geriatric hospice care (10 modules).
    CONCLUSIONS: Nursing faculty can use the geriatric nursing MCs developed in this study to train current undergraduate nursing students to become backups for current, fully credentialed geriatric caregivers.
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  • 文章类型: Consensus Development Conference
    目标:本研究的目的是为产前护理访问的频率和方式开发核心结果集。材料和方法:在美国与参与者进行了一项共识发展研究,包括31名医疗保健专业人员,12名公共政策成员或公共卫生支付者,和18名公众成员,代表24个国家。采用了改进的德尔菲法和改进的名义分组技术。结果:通过结合三项系统评价中报告的结果,评估了产前护理访问的频率或产前访问类型的方式(例如,在人,远程医疗,或两者的混合体)。从德尔菲过程中确定了18个共识结果,随后在共识发展会议上商定了10例产妇和4例新生儿结局.产妇的核心结果包括产妇的生活质量;产妇的心理健康结果;产妇护理的经验;失去的时间;参加推荐的访问;计划外的护理利用;完成美国妇产科医师学会推荐的服务;产科并发症的诊断-比例和时间;护理结果的差异;和严重的产妇发病率或死亡率。新生儿的核心结局包括出生时的胎龄,出生体重,死产或围产期死亡,和新生儿重症监护病房入院。结论:在即将进行的随机对照试验和系统评价中,应利用产前访视频率和方式的核心结果集。这样的应用将保证在未来的研究中,一致的报告将丰富护理和改善结果。临床试验登记号:2021年。
    Objective: The aim of this study is to develop a core outcome set for the frequency and modality of prenatal care visits. Material and Methods: A consensus development study was conducted in the United States with participants, including 31 health care professionals, 12 public policy members or public health payers, and 18 public members, representing 24 states. A modified Delphi method and modified nominal group technique were utilized. Results: Twenty-one potential core outcomes were developed by combining the outcomes reported in three systematic reviews that evaluated the frequency of prenatal care visits or modality of prenatal visit type (e.g., in person, telemedicine, or hybrids of both). Eighteen consensus outcomes were identified from the Delphi process, following which 10 maternal and 4 neonatal outcomes were agreed at the consensus development meeting. Maternal core outcomes include maternal quality of life; maternal mental health outcomes; the experience of maternity care; lost time; attendance of recommended visits; unplanned care utilization; completion of the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists-recommended services; diagnosis of obstetric complications-proportion and timing; disparities in care outcomes; and severe maternal morbidity or mortality. Neonatal core outcomes include gestational age at birth, birth weight, stillbirth or perinatal death, and neonatal intensive care unit admissions. Conclusions: The core outcome set for the frequency and modality of prenatal visits should be utilized in forthcoming randomized controlled trials and systematic reviews. Such application will warrant that in future research, consistent reporting will enrich care and improve outcomes. Clinical Trial Registration number: 2021.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:建立术后感染暴发(PIO)的调查表格,并在早期阶段确定疫情的来源。
    方法:经过详尽的文献回顾,我们通过两轮专家咨询和20位专家意见和建议的综合考虑,采用德尔菲法确定了评估工具的指标和相对风险得分。
    结果:共有203项PIO研究符合纳入条件。平均权威系数(Cr)为0.87。经过两轮咨询,专家咨询的肯德尔W系数为0.704(p<0.005),这表明专家们有类似的意见。根据PIO来源的4个主要项目和19个次要项目,以及感染患者的三方分布特征,我们制作了PIO调查表格.
    结论:PIO调查表格可用于早期病例群的调查,这是采取有效控制措施的前提,避免发生PIO。然而,调查表格的效果需要进一步评估。
    BACKGROUND: To develop an investigation form for postoperative infection outbreak (PIO), and to identify sources of the outbreak in the early stage.
    METHODS: After an exhaustive literature review, we used the Delphi method to determine the indicators and relative risk scores of the assessment tools through 2 rounds of specialist consultation and overall consideration of the opinions and suggestions of 20 specialists.
    RESULTS: A total of 203 studies of PIO were eligible for inclusion. The mean authority coefficient (Cr) was 0.87. Kendall\'s W coefficient of the specialist consultation was 0.704 after 2 rounds of consultation (P < .005), suggesting that the specialists had similar opinions. Based on 4 primary items and 19 secondary items of the source of PIO, and tripartite distribution characteristics of infected patients, we constructed the PIO investigation form.
    CONCLUSIONS: The PIO investigation form can be used in the investigation of the early-stage cluster of cases, it\'s a prerequisite for taking effective control measures, avoiding PIO occurrence. However, the effect of the investigation form needs to be further evaluated.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究旨在建立精确的质量指标,以评估和提高超声性能,采用基于对文献的全面回顾的方法,专家见解,和实际应用经验。我们对国内外有关超声质量控制的文献进行了全面审查,以确定潜在的指标。成立了一个专门的团队来监督完整的指标开发过程。利用三轮改进的德尔菲法,我们通过个性化的电子邮件通信寻求专家意见。随后,收集来自不同医院指标的数据以验证和评估可行性.最初编制了一组新颖的七个指标,随后召集了一个由36名成员组成的具有国家代表性的专家小组。经过三轮细致的修改,就三个领域的13项指标达成共识。这些最终确定的指标已在各种医院环境中应用,证明其初步有效性和可行性。十三个超声质量指标的发展代表了评估超声性能的重要里程碑。这些指标使医院能够有效监测质量变化,培养有效的质量管理实践。
    This study aims to establish precise quality indicators for evaluating and enhancing ultrasound performance, employing a methodology based on a comprehensive review of the literature, expert insights, and practical application experiences. We conducted a thorough review of both the domestic and international literature on ultrasound quality control to identify potential indicators. A dedicated team was formed to oversee the complete indicator development process. Utilizing a three-round modified Delphi method, we sought expert opinions through personalized email correspondence. Subsequently, data from diverse hospital indicators were collected to validate and assess feasibility. A novel set of seven indicators was compiled initially, followed by the convening of a 36-member nationally representative expert panel. After three rounds of meticulous revisions, consensus was reached on 13 indicators across three domains. These finalized indicators underwent application in various hospital settings, demonstrating their initial validity and feasibility. The development of thirteen ultrasound quality indicators represents a significant milestone in evaluating ultrasound performance. These indicators empower hospitals to monitor changes in quality effectively, fostering efficient quality management practices.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Taking the recommendations development of the World Federation of Acupuncture-Moxibustion Societies (WFAS) standard Clinical Practice Guideline for Female Urinary Incontinence as an example, this study analyzed the consensus expert composition, specific consensus process, and results in the development of the guideline\'s recommendations. It systematically examined the advantages of using the modified Delphi method in the formation of recommendations for acupuncture and moxibustion clinical practice guideline, with the aim of providing reference for the development of acupuncture and moxibustion guidelines in the same field.
    以世界针灸学会联合会(WFAS)标准《女性尿失禁临床实践指南》的推荐意见形成为例,围绕该指南推荐意见研制的共识专家构成、具体共识过程及结果,系统分析改良德尔菲法在针灸临床实践指南推荐意见形成过程中的优势,以期为后续针灸指南的研制提供参考。.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    了解儿童受伤的发生和严重程度是防止儿童受伤的基石。目前,中国没有标准化的儿童伤害监测数据集。
    由中国儿童伤害专家小组进行了多阶段咨询,以确定要包含在核心数据集(CDS)中的项目。专家们参加了两轮改良的德尔菲法,包括咨询问卷调查(第一轮)和面对面的小组讨论(第二轮)。根据专家对修改后的CDS信息收集项目的意见,建立了最终共识。专家所表现出的热情和权威,通过回复率和使用专家权威系数进行评估,分别。
    专家小组包括第一轮的16名专家和第二轮的15名专家。两轮专家都有很高的权威性,平均权威系数为0.86。专家的积极性为94.12%,在改良德尔菲法的第1轮中,建议的比例达到81.25%。第一轮评估的CDS草案包括24个项目,专家小组成员可以提交添加项目的建议。根据第一轮的调查结果,增加了四个项目,包括国籍,residence,家庭住宅类型,和主要护理人员被添加到第2轮的CDS草案中。在第二轮之后,就分为四个领域的32个项目达成了共识-一般人口统计信息,损伤特征,临床诊断和治疗,和损伤结果-包括在最终CDS中。
    儿童伤害监测CDS的开发可能有助于标准化数据收集,排序规则,和分析。此处开发的CDS可用于识别儿童伤害的可操作特征,以协助卫生政策制定者设计基于证据的伤害预防干预措施。
    UNASSIGNED: Understanding the occurrence and severity of child injuries is the cornerstone of preventing child injuries. Currently, there is no standardized child injury surveillance dataset in China.
    UNASSIGNED: Multistage consultation by a panel of Chinese experts in child injury to determine items to include in the core dataset (CDS) was performed. The experts participated in two rounds of the modified Delphi method comprising a consultation questionnaire investigation (Round 1) and a face-to-face panel discussion (Round 2). Final consensus was established based on the opinions of the experts regarding the modified CDS information collection items. Enthusiasm and authority exhibited by the experts were evaluated by the response rate and using the expert authority coefficient, respectively.
    UNASSIGNED: The expert panel included 16 experts in Round 1 and 15 experts in Round 2. The experts during both rounds had a high degree of authority, with an average authority coefficient of 0.86. The enthusiasm of the experts was 94.12%, and the proportion of suggestions reached 81.25% in Round 1 of the modified Delphi method. The draft CDS evaluated in Round 1 included 24 items, and expert panelists could submit recommendations to add items. Based on findings in Round 1, four additional items, including nationality, residence, type of family residence, and primary caregiver were added to the draft of the CDS for Round 2. After Round 2, consensus was reached on 32 items arranged into four domains-general demographic information, injury characteristics, clinical diagnosis and treatment, and injury outcome-to include in the final CDS.
    UNASSIGNED: The development of a child injury surveillance CDS could contribute to standardized data collection, collation, and analysis. The CDS developed here could be used to identify actionable characteristics of child injury to assist health policymakers in designing evidence-based injury prevention interventions.
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  • 文章类型: Review
    背景:即时验尸和急性丧亲护理可缓解因失去亲人而造成的情绪困扰;然而,提供有效的护理仍然不足。因此,为护理学生准备这些技能在临终关怀教育中至关重要,委托专业活动(EPA)提供了解决这一差距的潜力。
    目的:建立有关立即验尸和急性丧亲护理的EPA,并对EPA进行七类描述,里程碑,和评估工具。
    方法:我们使用了改良的德尔菲法和四步共识法,以i)根据文献综述和临床经验,确定与即时验尸和急性丧亲护理相关的可能EPA项目清单。ii)选择一个专家小组,iii)游泳池,review,并修改EPA,andiv)validateEPAqualityusingtheQueen'sEPAQualityrubric.通过模式和四分位数偏差进行数据分析。
    结果:确定了以下四个主要的EPA组成部分:i)文化和宗教仪式评估;ii)死亡准备;iii)死后护理;iv)急性丧亲护理。三个基本能力被确定为高度相关:一般临床技能,沟通和团队合作能力,和关怀。经过三轮调查,达成了共识。获得了100%的问卷应答率。在第三轮中,所有项目在>95%的小组成员中获得4分或5分,并且被发现满足四分位数偏差截止分数<0.6,这表明建立了较高的共识水平.女王的EPA质量指数平均得分为62.5,平均项目得分为4.46,高于截止分数4.07。制定了EPAs的三个主要部分:任务描述,里程碑,和评估工具。
    结论:关于立即死亡和急性丧亲护理的EPAs评估的发展可以指导护理课程计划,以弥合能力和临床实践之间的差距。
    BACKGROUND: Integrated immediate postmortem and acute bereavement care alleviates emotional distress due to losing a loved one; however, the provision of effective nursing care remains insufficient. Therefore, preparing nursing students with such skills is essential in end-of-life care education, and entrustable professional activities (EPAs) offer potential to address this gap.
    OBJECTIVE: To establish EPAs concerning immediate postmortem and acute bereavement care with a seven-category description for EPAs, milestones, and assessment tools.
    METHODS: We used a modified Delphi method and four-step consensus-building approach to i) identifying the list of possible EPA items related to immediate postmortem and acute bereavement care based on a literature review and clinical experiences, ii) select an expert panel, iii) pool, review, and revise the EPAs, and iv) validate EPA quality using the Queen\'s EPA Quality rubric. Data analysis was performed via modes and quartile deviations.
    RESULTS: The following four major EPA components were identified: i) cultural and religious ritual assessment; ii) death preparation; iii) postmortem care; and iv) acute bereavement care. Three essential competencies were identified as highly correlated: general clinical skills, communication and teamwork capabilities, and caring. Consensus was achieved after three survey rounds. A 100 % questionnaire response rate was obtained. In the third round, all items received 4 or 5 points from >95 % of the panel members and were found to meet the quartile deviation cutoff score of <0.6, indicating that a high consensus level was established. The average Queen\'s EPA Quality rubric score was 62.5, with an average item score of 4.46, which was higher than the cut-off score of 4.07. Three major parts of EPAs were developed: task descriptions, milestones, and the assessment tool.
    CONCLUSIONS: The development of EPAs assessments concerning immediate postmortem and acute bereavement care may guide nursing curricula planning to bridge the gap between competencies and clinical practice.
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