linear regression

线性回归
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:COVID-19保护行为是世界卫生组织(WHO)建议的预防COVID-19传播的关键干预措施。然而,实现遵守这一建议通常是具有挑战性的,特别是在社会弱势群体中。
    目的:我们制定了社会脆弱性指数(SVI),以预测个人遵守世卫组织关于COVID-19保护性行为建议的倾向,并确定随着Omicron在2022年1月至2022年8月期间在非洲国家和2021年8月至2022年6月期间在亚太国家的演变,社会脆弱性的变化。
    方法:在非洲国家,在第一次Omicron波期间,从14个国家(n=15,375)收集了基线数据,随访数据来自7个国家(n=7179)。在亚太国家,在第一次Omicron波之前,从14个国家(n=12,866)收集了基线数据,随访数据来自9个国家(n=8737)。从相关数据库检索国家的社会经济和健康概况。要为4个数据集中的每个数据集构建SVI,与COVID-19保护行为相关的变量被纳入使用多脉络线相关性和varimax旋转的因子分析中.对影响因素进行了基数调整,求和,和最小值-最大值从0归一化到1(最脆弱到最不脆弱)。遵守世卫组织建议的分数是使用个人自我报告的针对COVID-19的保护行为计算的。使用多元线性回归分析来评估SVI与对WHO建议的依从性评分之间的关联,以验证该指数。
    结果:在非洲,导致社会脆弱性的因素包括识字和媒体使用,对医护人员和政府的信任,国家收入和基础设施。在亚太地区,社会脆弱性是由识字决定的,国家收入和基础设施,和人口密度。该指数与非洲国家在两个时间点遵守世卫组织建议有关,但仅在亚太国家的后续行动期间。在基线,非洲国家的指数值在13个国家从0.00到0.31之间,1个国家的指数值为1.00。亚太国家的指数值在12个国家从0.00到0.23之间,2个国家的指数值为0.79和1.00。在后续阶段,7个非洲国家中的6个和2个最脆弱的亚太国家的指数值下降。两个区域最脆弱国家的指数值保持不变。
    结论:在这两个地区,在基线时观察到社会对遵守世卫组织建议的脆弱性存在显著不平等,在第一次Omicron波之后,间隙变得更大。了解影响社会对COVID-19保护性行为的脆弱性的维度可能会支持有针对性的干预措施,以增强对WHO建议的遵守,并减轻弱势群体未来大流行的影响。
    BACKGROUND: COVID-19 protective behaviors are key interventions advised by the World Health Organization (WHO) to prevent COVID-19 transmission. However, achieving compliance with this advice is often challenging, particularly among socially vulnerable groups.
    OBJECTIVE: We developed a social vulnerability index (SVI) to predict individuals\' propensity to adhere to the WHO advice on protective behaviors against COVID-19 and identify changes in social vulnerability as Omicron evolved in African countries between January 2022 and August 2022 and Asia Pacific countries between August 2021 and June 2022.
    METHODS: In African countries, baseline data were collected from 14 countries (n=15,375) during the first Omicron wave, and follow-up data were collected from 7 countries (n=7179) after the wave. In Asia Pacific countries, baseline data were collected from 14 countries (n=12,866) before the first Omicron wave, and follow-up data were collected from 9 countries (n=8737) after the wave. Countries\' socioeconomic and health profiles were retrieved from relevant databases. To construct the SVI for each of the 4 data sets, variables associated with COVID-19 protective behaviors were included in a factor analysis using polychoric correlation with varimax rotation. Influential factors were adjusted for cardinality, summed, and min-max normalized from 0 to 1 (most to least vulnerable). Scores for compliance with the WHO advice were calculated using individuals\' self-reported protective behaviors against COVID-19. Multiple linear regression analyses were used to assess the associations between the SVI and scores for compliance to WHO advice to validate the index.
    RESULTS: In Africa, factors contributing to social vulnerability included literacy and media use, trust in health care workers and government, and country income and infrastructure. In Asia Pacific, social vulnerability was determined by literacy, country income and infrastructure, and population density. The index was associated with compliance with the WHO advice in both time points in African countries but only during the follow-up period in Asia Pacific countries. At baseline, the index values in African countries ranged from 0.00 to 0.31 in 13 countries, with 1 country having an index value of 1.00. The index values in Asia Pacific countries ranged from 0.00 to 0.23 in 12 countries, with 2 countries having index values of 0.79 and 1.00. During the follow-up phase, the index values decreased in 6 of 7 African countries and the 2 most vulnerable Asia Pacific countries. The index values of the least vulnerable countries remained unchanged in both regions.
    CONCLUSIONS: In both regions, significant inequalities in social vulnerability to compliance with WHO advice were observed at baseline, and the gaps became larger after the first Omicron wave. Understanding the dimensions that influence social vulnerability to protective behaviors against COVID-19 may underpin targeted interventions to enhance compliance with WHO recommendations and mitigate the impact of future pandemics among vulnerable groups.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    为了提高预测性能并减少拉曼光谱中的伪影,我们开发了一种极限梯度增强(XGBoost)预处理方法来预处理葡萄糖的拉曼光谱,甘油和乙醇的混合物。为保证XGBoost预处理方法的鲁棒性和可靠性,开发了X-LR模型(结合了XGBoost预处理和线性回归(LR)模型)和X-MLP模型(结合了XGBoost预处理和多层感知器(MLP)模型)。这两个模型用于定量分析葡萄糖的浓度,混合溶液的拉曼光谱中的甘油和乙醇。在X-LR模型和X-MLP模型中,首先利用超参数比例图缩小超参数的搜索范围。然后相关系数(R2),校准均方根(RMSEC),和预测均方根误差(RMSEP)用于评估模型的性能。实验结果表明,XGBoost预处理方法具有较高的精度和泛化能力,与其他预处理方法相比,LR和MLP模型的性能更好。
    To improve prediction performance and reduce artifacts in Raman spectra, we developed an eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) preprocessing method to preprocess the Raman spectra of glucose, glycerol and ethanol mixtures. To ensure the robustness and reliability of the XGBoost preprocessing method, an X-LR model (which combined XGBoost preprocessing and a linear regression (LR) model) and a X-MLP model (which combined XGBoost preprocessing and a multilayer perceptron (MLP) model) were developed. These two models were used to quantitatively analyze the concentrations of glucose, glycerol and ethanol in the Raman spectra of mixed solutions. The proportion map of hyperparameters was firstly used to narrow down the search range of hyperparameters in the X-LR and the X-MLP models. Then the correlation coefficients (R2), root mean square of calibration (RMSEC), and root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP) were used to evaluate the models\' performance. Experimental results indicated that the XGBoost preprocessing method achieved higher accuracy and generalization capability, with better performance than those of other preprocessing methods for both LR and MLP models.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    根据主要基于视觉特性的标准建立蔬菜质量参数。尽管了解植物在整个发育过程中次生代谢的生化变化对于指导消费决策至关重要,收获和加工,这些决定涉及试剂的使用,特定的设备和先进的技术,让它们变得缓慢和昂贵。然而,当采用非破坏性方法来预测此类确定时,可以以足够的精度测试更多的样品。因此,这项工作的目的是建立能够在非破坏性物理和比色方面(预测变量)和破坏性测定生物活性化合物和抗氧化活性(要预测的变量)之间进行建模的关联,在成熟过程中,用分光光度法和高效液相色谱法对纳米香蕉进行定量。验证了对类黄酮等参数的预测,使用预测参数的回归方程表明R2的重要性,从83.43到98.25%不等,表明一些非破坏性参数可以作为预测因子非常有效。
    Vegetable quality parameters are established according to standards primarily based on visual characteristics. Although knowledge of biochemical changes in the secondary metabolism of plants throughout development is essential to guide decision-making about consumption, harvesting and processing, these determinations involve the use of reagents, specific equipment and sophisticated techniques, making them slow and costly. However, when non-destructive methods are employed to predict such determinations, a greater number of samples can be tested with adequate precision. Therefore, the aim of this work was to establish an association capable of modeling between non-destructive-physical and colorimetric aspects (predictive variables)-and destructive determinations-bioactive compounds and antioxidant activity (variables to be predicted), quantified spectrophotometrically and by HPLC in \'Nanicão\' bananas during ripening. It was verified that to predict some parameters such as flavonoids, a regression equation using predictive parameters indicated the importance of R2, which varied from 83.43 to 98.25%, showing that some non-destructive parameters can be highly efficient as predictors.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:助产士容易因工作的生理和情感要求而产生倦怠。职业倦怠是一种影响深远的职业现象。
    目的:本研究旨在评估埃塞俄比亚西北部公立医院助产士的职业倦怠程度和预测因素。
    方法:2022年2月7日至4月30日进行了一项基于机构的横断面研究。采用简单随机抽样方法,纳入640名研究参与者。数据是使用自我管理的问卷收集的,输入Epi-data4.6软件,并导出到SPSS版本25进行分析。采用多元线性回归分析模型来确定助产士职业倦怠的影响因素。
    结果:助产士职业倦怠的总患病率为55.3%(95%CI=51.7-58.9)。个人的普遍性,工作相关,与客户相关的倦怠为58.3%,60.3%,55.5%,分别。与倦怠显着相关的因素包括工作场所暴力(β=5.02,CI:2.90,7.13),未接受训练(β=4.32CI:1.81,6.80),暴露于血液和体液或针刺伤(β=5.13CI:3.12,7.13),低优支撑位(β=5.13CI:1.94,5.30),在三级医院工作(β=12.77CI:9.48,16.06),和六个月或更短的工作轮换(β=16.75,CI:13.12,20.39)。
    结论:这项研究发现,助产士的职业倦怠患病率明显较高。解决职业倦怠需要实施有效的职业倦怠预防措施,包括加强管理支持,提供专业培训,创造有利的工作环境,并遵守标准预防措施。
    OBJECTIVE: Midwives are susceptible to burnout due to the physically and emotionally demanding nature of their job. Burnout is an occupational phenomenon with far-reaching consequences.
    OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess the magnitude of burnout and predictors among midwives working at public hospitals in northwest Ethiopia.
    METHODS: An institutional-based cross-sectional study was conducted from February 7 to April 30, 2022. A simple random sampling method was employed to include 640 study participants. Data were collected using a self-administered questionnaire, entered into Epi-data 4.6 software, and exported to SPSS version 25 for analysis. A multivariable linear regression analysis model was fitted to identify factors contributing to midwives\' burnout.
    RESULTS: The overall prevalence of midwives\' burnout was 55.3 % (95 % CI = 51.7-58.9). The prevalence of personal, work-related, and client-related burnout was 58.3 %, 60.3 %, and 55.5 %, respectively. Factors that were significantly associated with burnout includes workplace violence (β = 5.02, CI: 2.90, 7.13), not receiving training (β = 4.32 CI: 1.81, 6.80), being exposed to blood and body fluids or needle stick injuries (β = 5.13 CI: 3.12, 7.13), low superior support (β = 5.13 CI: 1.94, 5.30), working in tertiary hospitals (β = 12.77 CI: 9.48, 16.06), and job rotation of six months or less (β = 16.75, CI: 13.12, 20.39).
    CONCLUSIONS: This study found that the prevalence of burnout among midwives was significantly high. Addressing burnout requires implementing effective burnout prevention measures including enhancing management support, offering professional training, creating a conducive working environment, and adhering to standard precautions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    心力衰竭(HF)定义为心脏无法满足身体的需氧量,需要提高左心室充盈压(LVP)来补偿。LVP增加可以在心导管实验室评估,但这一过程是侵入性和耗时的,以至于医生相当依赖非侵入性诊断工具。在这项工作中,我们评估了开发新的机器学习(ML)方法来预测临床相关LVP指数的可行性.同步侵入性(压力-容积描记)和非侵入性信号(ECG,脉搏血氧饱和度,和心音)从麻醉中收集,闭胸哥廷根小型猪。动物是健康的或患有具有降低的射血分数的HF,并且在对每只动物的分析中包括大约500次心跳。ML算法对LVP指数估计的预测效果很好,例如,舒张末期压的R2为0.955。这种新颖的ML算法可以帮助临床医生护理HF患者。
    Heart failure (HF) is defined as the inability of the heart to meet body oxygen demand requiring an elevation in left ventricular filling pressures (LVP) to compensate. LVP increase can be assessed in the cardiac catheterization laboratory, but this procedure is invasive and time-consuming to the extent that physicians rather rely on non-invasive diagnostic tools. In this work, we assess the feasibility to develop a novel machine-learning (ML) approach to predict clinically relevant LVP indices. Synchronized invasive (pressure-volume tracings) and non-invasive signals (ECG, pulse oximetry, and cardiac sounds) were collected from anesthetized, closed-chest Göttingen minipigs. Animals were either healthy or had HF with reduced ejection fraction and circa 500 heartbeats were included in the analysis for each animal. The ML algorithm showed excellent prediction of LVP indices estimating, for instance, the end-diastolic pressure with a R2 of 0.955. This novel ML algorithm could assist clinicians in the care of HF patients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景胃肠道间质瘤(GIST)是胃肠道最常见的间质瘤,来自Cajal的间质细胞.这些肿瘤桥接神经系统和胃肠道的肌肉层,在消化过程中起着至关重要的作用。GIST的发生率显示出不同种族和族裔群体的显着差异,强调需要深入分析以了解遗传的相互作用,环境,以及这些差距背后的社会经济因素。线性回归分析是此类流行病学研究中的关键统计工具,提供对疾病发病率的时间动态和公共卫生干预的影响的见解。方法这项调查采用了2009年至2020年的详细数据集,记录了亚洲的GIST发生率,非洲裔美国人,西班牙裔,白人人口。细致的预处理程序准备了数据集以进行分析,涉及数据清理,种族术语的正常化,按年份和种族划分。线性回归模型和皮尔逊相关系数用于分析不同种族群体GIST发病率的趋势和相关性。强调对疾病发病率的时间模式和种族差异的理解。结果本研究分析了四个种族群体的GIST病例,显示男性占主导地位(53.19%),并且在种族类别中的病例分布均匀:白人(27.66%),西班牙裔(25.53%),非洲裔美国人(24.47%),和亚洲人(22.34%)。高血压是最常见的合并症(32.98%),其次是心力衰竭(28.72%)。亚洲人的线性回归分析显示GIST发生率呈下降趋势,斜率为-0.576,R平方值为0.717,无显著p值为0.153。观察到白人的显着增加趋势,斜率为0.581,R平方值为0.971,p值为0.002。非裔美国人表现出0.277的中等正斜率,R平方值为0.470,p值为0.201,表明没有显着增加。西班牙裔随时间的变化可忽略不计,斜率为-0.095,R平方值为0.009,p值为0.879,表明没有显着趋势。结论本研究调查了跨种族群体的GIST发生率,揭示了巨大的差距。白人呈增加趋势(p=0.002),虽然亚洲人显示出下降趋势(p=0.153),非洲裔美国人和西班牙裔美国人的利率稳定。这种差异表明了遗传学的复杂相互作用,环境,和社会经济因素,强调需要有针对性的研究和干预措施,以解决这些差异和影响GIST结果的系统性不平等。
    Background Gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) represent the most common mesenchymal neoplasms of the gastrointestinal tract, arising from the interstitial cells of Cajal. These tumors bridge the nervous system and muscular layers of the gastrointestinal tract, playing a crucial role in the digestive process. The incidence of GISTs demonstrates notable variations across different racial and ethnic groups, underscoring the need for in-depth analysis to understand the interplay of genetic, environmental, and socioeconomic factors behind these disparities. Linear regression analysis is a pivotal statistical tool in such epidemiological studies, offering insights into the temporal dynamics of disease incidence and the impact of public health interventions. Methodology This investigation employed a detailed dataset from 2009 to 2020, documenting GIST incidences across Asian, African American, Hispanic, and White populations. A meticulous preprocessing routine prepared the dataset for analysis, which involved data cleaning, normalization of racial terminologies, and aggregation by year and race. Linear regression models and Pearson correlation coefficients were applied to analyze trends and correlations in GIST incidences across the different racial groups, emphasizing an understanding of temporal patterns and racial disparities in disease incidence. Results The study analyzed GIST cases among four racial groups, revealing a male predominance (53.19%) and an even distribution of cases across racial categories: Whites (27.66%), Hispanics (25.53%), African Americans (24.47%), and Asians (22.34%). Hypertension was the most common comorbidity (32.98%), followed by heart failure (28.72%). The linear regression analysis for Asians showed a decreasing trend in GIST incidences with a slope of -0.576, an R-squared value of 0.717, and a non-significant p-value of 0.153. A significant increasing trend was observed for Whites, with a slope of 0.581, an R-squared value of 0.971, and a p-value of 0.002. African Americans exhibited a moderate positive slope of 0.277 with an R-squared value of 0.470 and a p-value of 0.201, indicating a non-significant increase. Hispanics showed negligible change over time with a slope of -0.095, an R-squared value of 0.009, and a p-value of 0.879, suggesting no significant trend. Conclusions This study examines GIST incidences across racial groups, revealing significant disparities. Whites show an increasing trend (p = 0.002), while Asians display a decreasing trend (p = 0.153), with stable rates in African Americans and Hispanics. Such disparities suggest a complex interplay of genetics, environment, and socioeconomic factors, highlighting the need for targeted research and interventions that address these differences and the systemic inequalities influencing GIST outcomes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文提出了零假设t检验的有力替代方法,即当回归量被错误测量时,线性回归中的系数等于零。我们假设感兴趣的回归量有两个污染的测量值。我们允许两个测量误差是非经典的,因为它们都可能与真实回归相关,它们可能相互关联,我们不需要对测量误差进行任何位置归一化。我们提出了一种新的最大t统计量,该统计量是从结果的回归到两个测量值的最大加权线性组合上形成的。测试的临界值可以通过乘法器引导程序轻松计算。在模拟中,我们表明,这种新的检验可以比基于OLS或IV估计的t统计量更强大。最后,我们将拟议的测试应用于一项基于英国双胞胎数据的教育回报研究.根据我们的最大t检验,当标准t检验不存在时,我们可以发现统计上显著的教育回报。
    This article proposes a powerful alternative to the t-test of the null hypothesis that a coefficient in a linear regression is equal to zero when a regressor is mismeasured. We assume there are two contaminated measurements of the regressor of interest. We allow the two measurement errors to be nonclassical in the sense that they may both be correlated with the true regressor, they may be correlated with each other, and we do not require any location normalizations on the measurement errors. We propose a new maximal t-statistic that is formed from the regression of the outcome onto a maximally weighted linear combination of the two measurements. The critical values of the test are easily computed via a multiplier bootstrap. In simulations, we show that this new test can be significantly more powerful than t-statistics based on OLS or IV estimates. Finally, we apply the proposed test to a study of returns to education based on twin data from the UK. With our maximal t-test, we can discover statistically significant returns to education when standard t-tests do not.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究的目的是研究具有法务会计技能的审计师的存在如何影响被审计公司的财务绩效。使用定量方法,这项研究采用线性回归分析,并检查了2012年至2021年间在安曼证券交易所上市的工业和服务业的74家公司。研究结果表明,具有法务会计能力的外部审计师对被审计公司的财务绩效有积极影响。本研究中提出的见解可以作为改善服务业和工业部门公司财务绩效的有价值的工具,强调支持和促进法务会计师技能和能力的重要性。
    The purpose of this study is to examine how the presence of auditors with forensic accounting skills impacts the financial performance of audited companies. Using a quantitative approach, this research employs linear regression analysis and examines a sample of 74 companies from the industrial and service sectors listed on the Amman Stock Exchange between 2012 and 2021. The findings reveal that external auditors with forensic accounting competencies have a positive impact on the financial performance of audited companies. The insights presented in this study could serve as valuable tools for improving the financial performance of companies in the service and industry sectors, highlighting the importance of supporting and promoting the skills and competencies of forensic accountants.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:基于智能手机的干预的有效性取决于干预内容的质量和对该内容的暴露程度。基于智能手机的调查完成率往往会随着时间的推移而下降;然而,很少有研究确定了预测长期干预措施下降的变量(例如,26周)。
    目的:本研究旨在确定在为期26周的戒烟试验中,随着时间的推移,调查完成和信息查看的预测因素。
    方法:本研究检查了一项3组试点随机对照试验的数据,该试验涉及吸烟的成年人(N=152),并且在接下来的30天内没有准备好戒烟。182天,两个干预组收到了基于智能手机的早晚信息,这些信息基于戒烟准备情况.对照组每天收到2条与吸烟无关的信息。所有参与者都被提示每周完成26次基于智能手机的调查,以评估吸烟行为。退出尝试,准备退出。合规是以完成每周调查和查看每日信息的百分比来实施的。线性回归和混合效应模型用于识别预测因子(例如,干预组,年龄,和性别)每周调查完成情况和每日信息查看情况,并随着时间的推移而下降。
    结果:样本(平均年龄50,标准差12.5,范围19-75岁;平均受教育年限13.3,标准差1.6,范围10-20岁)为67.8%(n=103)女性,74.3%(n=113)白色,77%(n=117)城市,52.6%(n=80)失业,61.2%(n=93)有心理健康诊断。平均而言,参与者完成了25.5次提示每周调查中的18.3次(71.8%),查看了345.1次提示信息中的207.3次(60.6%)(总共31,503/52,460次).年龄与每周总体调查完成(P=.003)和每日信息查看(P=.02)呈正相关。混合效应模型表明,调查完成率从干预第一周的77%(114/148)下降到干预最后一周的56%(84/150)(P<.001)。这明显受年龄的影响,性别,种族,自治市(即,农村/城市),和就业状况。同样,信息查看从干预第一周的72.3%(1533/2120)下降至干预最后一周的44.6%(868/1946)(P<.001).这种信息观看的下降明显受到年龄的影响,性别,市政当局,就业状况,和教育。
    结论:这项研究证明了基于智能手机的26周戒烟干预措施的可行性。研究结果确定了在调查完成和消息查看下降中显示加速率的亚组。未来的研究应该确定与跨越长干预期的移动健康干预措施保持高水平互动的方法。尤其是在显示干预参与率随时间下降的亚组中.
    背景:ClinicalTrials.govNCT03405129;https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03405129。
    BACKGROUND: Efficacy of smartphone-based interventions depends on intervention content quality and level of exposure to that content. Smartphone-based survey completion rates tend to decline over time; however, few studies have identified variables that predict this decline over longer-term interventions (eg, 26 weeks).
    OBJECTIVE: This study aims to identify predictors of survey completion and message viewing over time within a 26-week smoking cessation trial.
    METHODS: This study examined data from a 3-group pilot randomized controlled trial of adults who smoke (N=152) and were not ready to quit smoking within the next 30 days. For 182 days, two intervention groups received smartphone-based morning and evening messages based on current readiness to quit smoking. The control group received 2 daily messages unrelated to smoking. All participants were prompted to complete 26 weekly smartphone-based surveys that assessed smoking behavior, quit attempts, and readiness to quit. Compliance was operationalized as percentages of weekly surveys completed and daily messages viewed. Linear regression and mixed-effects models were used to identify predictors (eg, intervention group, age, and sex) of weekly survey completion and daily message viewing and decline in compliance over time.
    RESULTS: The sample (mean age 50, SD 12.5, range 19-75 years; mean years of education 13.3, SD 1.6, range 10-20 years) was 67.8% (n=103) female, 74.3% (n=113) White, 77% (n=117) urban, and 52.6% (n=80) unemployed, and 61.2% (n=93) had mental health diagnoses. On average, participants completed 18.3 (71.8%) out of 25.5 prompted weekly surveys and viewed 207.3 (60.6%) out of 345.1 presented messages (31,503/52,460 total). Age was positively associated with overall weekly survey completion (P=.003) and daily message viewing (P=.02). Mixed-effects models indicated a decline in survey completion from 77% (114/148) in the first week of the intervention to 56% (84/150) in the last week of the intervention (P<.001), which was significantly moderated by age, sex, ethnicity, municipality (ie, rural/urban), and employment status. Similarly, message viewing declined from 72.3% (1533/2120) in the first week of the intervention to 44.6% (868/1946) in the last week of the intervention (P<.001). This decline in message viewing was significantly moderated by age, sex, municipality, employment status, and education.
    CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated the feasibility of a 26-week smartphone-based smoking cessation intervention. Study results identified subgroups that displayed accelerated rates in the decline of survey completion and message viewing. Future research should identify ways to maintain high levels of interaction with mobile health interventions that span long intervention periods, especially among subgroups that have demonstrated declining rates of intervention engagement over time.
    BACKGROUND: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03405129; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03405129.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    线性回归(LR)在生物医学和流行病学的连续结果数据分析中被广泛使用。尽管它很受欢迎,LR与丢失的数据不兼容,这在健康科学中经常发生。对于参数估计,这个缺点通常通过完整案例分析或填补来解决。两种变通方法,然而,不足以预测,因为他们要么无法在不完整的记录上进行预测,要么忽略错误导致的预测准确性降低,并且依赖于(不切实际的)关于缺失机制的假设。这里,我们推导了自适应预测集线性模型(aps-lm),能够对不完整的数据进行预测,而不需要插补。它是通过使用预测器选择操作导出的,摩尔-彭罗斯伪逆,和减少的QR分解。aps-lm是LR泛化,固有地处理缺失值。它应用于参考数据集,在有完整的预测因子和结果的地方,并产生一组隐私保护参数。在第二阶段,这些共享用于在外部数据集上对结果进行预测,而在没有插补的情况下缺少预测因子的条目。此外,aps-lm计算预测误差,即使在极端错误的情况下,也能解释缺失值的模式。我们在模拟研究中对aps-lm进行了基准测试。aps-lm在包括样本量变化在内的各种情况下,与流行的插补策略相比,显示出更高的预测精度和更低的偏差,善良的适合,缺少值类型,和协方差结构。最后,作为一个原理证明,我们在表观遗传衰老时钟的背景下应用aps-lm,从表观遗传数据预测一个人的生物学年龄的线性模型,具有良好的临床应用前景。
    Linear regression (LR) is vastly used in data analysis for continuous outcomes in biomedicine and epidemiology. Despite its popularity, LR is incompatible with missing data, which frequently occur in health sciences. For parameter estimation, this shortcoming is usually resolved by complete-case analysis or imputation. Both work-arounds, however, are inadequate for prediction, since they either fail to predict on incomplete records or ignore missingness-induced reduction in prediction accuracy and rely on (unrealistic) assumptions about the missing mechanism. Here, we derive adaptive predictor-set linear model (aps-lm), capable of making predictions for incomplete data without the need for imputation. It is derived by using a predictor-selection operation, the Moore-Penrose pseudoinverse, and the reduced QR decomposition. aps-lm is an LR generalization that inherently handles missing values. It is applied on a reference data set, where complete predictors and outcome are available, and yields a set of privacy-preserving parameters. In a second stage, these are shared for making predictions of the outcome on external data sets with missing entries for predictors without imputation. Moreover, aps-lm computes prediction errors that account for the pattern of missing values even under extreme missingness. We benchmark aps-lm in a simulation study. aps-lm showed greater prediction accuracy and reduced bias compared to popular imputation strategies under a wide range of scenarios including variation of sample size, goodness of fit, missing value type, and covariance structure. Finally, as a proof-of-principle, we apply aps-lm in the context of epigenetic aging clocks, linear models that predict a person\'s biological age from epigenetic data with promising clinical applications.
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