likelihood ratio test

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    非参数回归是回归分析中的一种近似方法,它不受知道回归曲线的假设约束。近似曲线的函数之一是傅立叶级数函数。具有傅立叶级数函数逼近的非参数回归模型已被许多研究者广泛讨论。然而,关于统计推断的讨论,特别是在部分假设检验中,以前没有进行过。因此,本研究的目的是讨论用傅里叶级数函数逼近的非参数回归模型的统计推断。讨论包括参数和模型估计,同时和部分假设检验。在应用程序中,我们使用东爪哇省2022年的预期寿命数据。根据数据分析,我们得到了一个R平方值为96.24%的模型估计。在5%的显著性水平下,参数同时对模型有显著影响。部分,四个参数不显著。然而,总的来说,预测变量显著影响预期寿命数据。•所使用的傅立叶级数函数是由Bilodeau(1992)引入的傅立叶级数函数。•通过选择振荡参数的最佳数量来获得模型估计。•使用LRT方法获得统计检验。
    Nonparametric regression is an approximation method in regression analysis that is not constrained by the assumption of knowing the regression curve. One of the functions to approximate the curve is a Fourier series function. The nonparametric regression model with approximation of a Fourier series function has been widely discussed by several researchers. However, discussions on statistical inference, particularly in partial hypothesis testing, has not been carried out previously. Therefore, the purpose of this research is to discuss the statistical inference on nonparametric regression model with approximation of a Fourier series function. The discussion includes parameter and model estimations, simultaneous and partial hypotheses testing. In the application, we use life expectancy data from East Java Province during 2022. Based on data analysis, we obtain a model estimation with an R-square value of 96.24 %. At a 5 % significance level, the parameters simultaneously have a significant influence on the model. Partially, four parameters are not significant. However, overall, the predictor variables significantly influence the life expectancy data.•The Fourier series function used is a Fourier series function introduced by Bilodeau (1992).•The model estimation is obtained by selecting the optimal number of oscillation parameters.•The statistical test is obtained using the LRT method.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    间隔删失数据在临床研究中无处不在,实际发生时间难以衡量。已经提出了许多非参数检验来使用间隔删失数据进行双样本检验,这些测试可用于评估和比较对照组的治疗效果。或者,正如人们普遍认为的那样,还可以使用参数测试,假设数据是从参数分布族生成的。为选择合适的方法提供一些指导,在本文中,通过广泛的模拟研究比较参数测试和一系列非参数测试的性能,这些研究涵盖了具有不同样本量的各种场景,不同的审查机制和不同的替代假设。为了说明的目的,我们还应用这些程序来分析三个真实的数据集。
    Interval-censored data are ubiquitous in clinical studies where actual time-to-event is difficult to measure. A number of nonparametric tests have been proposed to conduct a two-sample test using interval-censored data, and these tests can be used for assessing and comparing treatment effects over the control group. Alternatively, as commonly perceived, parametric tests can also be used assuming data are generated from a parametric family of distributions. To provide some guidance on choosing an appropriate method, in this paper, the performance of parametric tests and a series of nonparametric tests are compared through extensive simulation studies that cover a wide range of scenarios with varying sample sizes, varying censoring mechanisms and varying alternative hypotheses. For the purpose of illustration, we also apply these procedures to analyse three real datasets.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    随机临床试验是临床试验的金标准,因为它们可以减少偏倚并最大程度地减少研究不同组之间的差异。这些设计的缺点之一是它们缺乏灵活性,无法融入参与者的治疗选择,如果参与者接受非首选治疗,这可能会降低招募率和/或降低他们的耐受性。结合选择的设计允许一部分参与者选择他们喜欢的治疗方法。分析这些类型的设计的大多数当前方法都基于ANOVA方法,该方法不允许在模型中包含协变量。在本文中,我们提出了一种基于似然方法的替代方法,该方法可用于广泛的分布类别,并允许在模型中包含协变量和多个研究组。使用模拟,我们评估这些方法的各种连续和分类结果.最后,我们通过分析心脏病女性行为干预研究中六分钟步行距离的变化来说明这些方法。
    Randomized clinical trials are the gold standard for clinical trials as they reduce bias and minimize variability between different arms of a study. One of the drawbacks of these designs is their lack of flexibility to incorporate participant\'s treatment choice, which may reduce recruitment rates and/or reduce participant\'s tolerance if they receive a non-preferred treatment. Designs incorporating choice allow a subset of participants to choose their preferred treatment. Most of the current methods to analyze these types of designs are based on an ANOVA approach that do not allow for inclusion of covariates in the model. In this paper, we propose an alternative approach based on likelihood methods that can be used with a broad class of distributions and allow for inclusion of covariates and multiple study arms in the model. Using simulations, we evaluate these methods for a variety of continuous and categorical outcomes. Finally, we illustrate these methods by analyzing change in six minute walking distance from a behavioral intervention study for women with heart disease.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    2×2列联表的分类数据分析非常普遍,尤其是因为它们提供了风险差异,风险比率,赔率比,和记录医学研究中的赔率统计。最常用的是χ2检验分析,尽管一些研究人员使用似然比检验(LRT)分析。使用哪种测试有关系吗?文献综述,考察理论基础,本文使用模拟和经验数据的分析来论证,当我们有兴趣测试二项式比例是否相等时,只能使用LRT。这种所谓的独立性测试是迄今为止最受欢迎的,这意味着χ2检验被广泛误用。相比之下,χ2检验应保留用于数据似乎与特定假设过于匹配的地方(例如,零假设),其中方差是感兴趣的,并且低于预期。在各种情况下,低方差可能会引起人们的兴趣,特别是在数据完整性的调查中。最后,有人认为,证据方法提供了一种一致和连贯的方法,避免了显著性检验带来的困难。该方法有助于计算适当的对数似然比,以满足我们的研究目的,无论是测试比例还是测试方差。本文的结论适用于更大的列联表,包括多路表。
    Categorical data analysis of 2 × 2 contingency tables is extremely common, not least because they provide risk difference, risk ratio, odds ratio, and log odds statistics in medical research. A χ2 test analysis is most often used, although some researchers use likelihood ratio test (LRT) analysis. Does it matter which test is used? A review of the literature, examination of the theoretical foundations, and analyses of simulations and empirical data are used by this paper to argue that only the LRT should be used when we are interested in testing whether the binomial proportions are equal. This so-called test of independence is by far the most popular, meaning the χ2 test is widely misused. By contrast, the χ2 test should be reserved for where the data appear to match too closely a particular hypothesis (e.g., the null hypothesis), where the variance is of interest, and is less than expected. Low variance can be of interest in various scenarios, particularly in investigations of data integrity. Finally, it is argued that the evidential approach provides a consistent and coherent method that avoids the difficulties posed by significance testing. The approach facilitates the calculation of appropriate log likelihood ratios to suit our research aims, whether this is to test the proportions or to test the variance. The conclusions from this paper apply to larger contingency tables, including multi-way tables.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    模型参数非凸约束下的基于似然的推理在生物医学研究中越来越普遍。在本文中,当真实参数值位于非凸参数空间的边界时,我们建立了最大似然估计器的大样本性质。我们进一步推导了在模型参数非凸约束下似然比检验统计量的渐近分布。提供了用于生成极限分布的通用蒙特卡罗过程。理论结果在安德森的刻板逻辑回归模型中得到了五个例子的证明,遗传关联研究,基因-环境相互作用测试,成本约束线性回归和公平约束线性回归。
    Likelihood-based inference under nonconvex constraints on model parameters has become increasingly common in biomedical research. In this paper, we establish large-sample properties of the maximum likelihood estimator when the true parameter value lies at the boundary of a nonconvex parameter space. We further derive the asymptotic distribution of the likelihood ratio test statistic under nonconvex constraints on model parameters. A general Monte Carlo procedure for generating the limiting distribution is provided. The theoretical results are demonstrated by five examples in Anderson\'s stereotype logistic regression model, genetic association studies, gene-environment interaction tests, cost-constrained linear regression and fairness-constrained linear regression.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项工作为多元正态背景下的两个样本问题的似然比测试定义了新的校正。这种校正适用于可分解的图形模型,其中测试分布的相等性可以分解为低维问题。
    This work defines a new correction for the likelihood ratio test for a two-sample problem within the multivariate normal context. This correction applies to decomposable graphical models, where testing equality of distributions can be decomposed into lower dimensional problems.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    There is growing interest in understanding geographic patterns of medical device-related adverse events (AEs). A spatial scan method combined with the likelihood ratio test (LRT) for spatial-cluster signal detection over the geographical region is universally used. The spatial scan method used a moving window to scan the entire study region and collected some candidate sub-regions from which the spatial-cluster signal(s) will be found. However, it has some challenges, especially in computation. First, the computational cost increased when the number of sub-regions increased. Second, the computational cost may increase if a large spatial-cluster pattern is present and a flexible-shaped window is used. To reduce the computational cost, we propose a Bayesian nonparametric method that combines the ideas of Markov random field (MRF) to leverage geographical information to find potential signal clusters. Then, the LRT is applied for the detection of spatial cluster signals. The proposed method provides an ability to capture both locally spatially contiguous clusters and globally discontiguous clusters, and is manifested to be effective and tractable using hypothetical Left Ventricular Assist Device (LVAD) data as an illustration.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    非线性统计方法和模型的使用在科学研究中无处不在。然而,这些方法可能还没有被完全理解,正如这里所证明的,通常报告的参数p值和置信区间可能不准确.这里给出的非线性回归建模和综合插图的温和介绍为应用研究人员提供了所需的概述和工具,以了解这些重要方法的细微差别和广度。由于这些方法建立在应用统计和预测建模的第一和第二课程中涵盖的主题之上,目标受众包括从业者和学生。为了指导从业者,我们总结一下,说明,发展,并扩展了非线性建模方法,并使用基本插图强调Wald统计数据的警告,并给出首选可能性方法的关键原因。讨论了多参数模型中的参数剖析以及精确或接近精确与近似似然方法,曲率度量与统计软件中经常使用的Wald近似的失败有关。主要论文中的讨论一直保持在介绍性水平,可以在一读时涵盖;附录中给出的其他细节可以在进一步研究中进行。相关的在线补充信息还提供数据和R计算机代码,可以轻松调整以帮助研究人员将非线性模型拟合到他们的数据。
    Use of nonlinear statistical methods and models are ubiquitous in scientific research. However, these methods may not be fully understood, and as demonstrated here, commonly-reported parameter p-values and confidence intervals may be inaccurate. The gentle introduction to nonlinear regression modelling and comprehensive illustrations given here provides applied researchers with the needed overview and tools to appreciate the nuances and breadth of these important methods. Since these methods build upon topics covered in first and second courses in applied statistics and predictive modelling, the target audience includes practitioners and students alike. To guide practitioners, we summarize, illustrate, develop, and extend nonlinear modelling methods, and underscore caveats of Wald statistics using basic illustrations and give key reasons for preferring likelihood methods. Parameter profiling in multiparameter models and exact or near-exact versus approximate likelihood methods are discussed and curvature measures are connected with the failure of the Wald approximations regularly used in statistical software. The discussion in the main paper has been kept at an introductory level and it can be covered on a first reading; additional details given in the Appendices can be worked through upon further study. The associated online Supplementary Information also provides the data and R computer code which can be easily adapted to aid researchers to fit nonlinear models to their data.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    估计表型网络是计算生物学中一个不断发展的领域。它加深了对疾病病因的理解,并在许多应用中很有用。在这项研究中,我们提出了一种通过假设嵌入有向无环图(DAG)的高斯线性结构模型来构建表型网络的方法。我们利用遗传变异作为工具变量,并展示了我们的方法如何只需要获得来自全基因组关联研究(GWAS)和基因型数据参考组的汇总统计数据。除了估计,该方法的一个显著特征是其基于有向边的汇总统计的似然比检验。我们应用我们的方法来估计29心血管相关蛋白的因果网络,并将估计的网络与阿尔茨海默病(AD)联系起来。通过仿真研究证明了该方法的有效性。实现所提出方法的R包sumdag,所有相关代码,和一个闪亮的应用程序是可用的。
    Estimating phenotype networks is a growing field in computational biology. It deepens the understanding of disease etiology and is useful in many applications. In this study, we present a method that constructs a phenotype network by assuming a Gaussian linear structure model embedding a directed acyclic graph (DAG). We utilize genetic variants as instrumental variables and show how our method only requires access to summary statistics from a genome-wide association study (GWAS) and a reference panel of genotype data. Besides estimation, a distinct feature of the method is its summary statistics-based likelihood ratio test on directed edges. We applied our method to estimate a causal network of 29 cardiovascular-related proteins and linked the estimated network to Alzheimer\'s disease (AD). A simulation study was conducted to demonstrate the effectiveness of this method. An R package sumdag implementing the proposed method, all relevant code, and a Shiny application are available.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究是为了确定添加剂,使用六个单变量动物模型,这些模型在(协)方差分量上有所不同,适合使用似然比检验在Murrah水牛中评估母体效应的重要性。从水牛农场保存的历史谱系表中收集了614种与生产性状相关的Murrah水牛的数据,畜牧业生产和管理部(LPM),LUVAS,希萨尔.本研究下的生产性状为305天产奶量(305DMY),峰值产量(PY),泌乳长度(LL),干燥期(DP),泌乳产奶量(LMY)和湿平均值(WA)。305DMY的遗传力估计值在0.33-0.44的范围内,PY为0.25-0.51,LL为0.05-0.13,0.03-0.23对于DP,LMY为0.17-0.40,WA为0.37-0.66。模型1被认为是大多数特征的最佳选择,viz.,305DMY,PY,LL,LMY和WA之后是DP的模型2。性状内的协方差和相关值导致模型3和模型6的遗传力膨胀。在性状LMY中发现了加性效应和母体效应之间的最大协方差,在模型3中为14,183.90,在模型6的相同性状中也报告了最小值,值为-3522.37。多变量分析表明,除DP外,所有生产性状均为中高,且呈正相关,与遗传和表型呈负相关。6个模型中育种价值的Spearman等级相关系数均较高且显著,除DP外,所有性状的范围为0.78至1.00,因此,根据数据的可用性,可以考虑任何模型。
    The study was done to determine additive, maternal and common permanent environmental effects and best-suited model for some production traits using six univariate animal models that differed in the (co)variance components fitted to assess the importance of maternal effect using likelihood ratio test in Murrah buffaloes. Data from 614 Murrah buffaloes related to production traits were collected from history pedigree sheets maintained at the buffalo farm, Department of Livestock Production and Management (LPM), LUVAS, Hisar. The production traits under this study were 305 days milk yield (305DMY), peak yield (PY), lactation length (LL), dry period (DP), lactation milk yield (LMY) and wet average (WA). The heritability estimates were in the range of 0.33-0.44 for 305DMY, 0.25-0.51 for PY, 0.05-0.13 for LL, 0.03-0.23 for DP, 0.17-0.40 for LMY and 0.37-0.66 for WA. Model 1 was considered best for most of the traits, viz., 305DMY, PY, LL, LMY and WA followed by model 2 for DP. Covariance and correlated values within the traits caused inflation of heritability in model 3 and model 6. The maximum covariance between the additive and maternal effect was found in trait LMY, which was 14,183.90 in model 3 and the minimum value was also reported in the same trait for model 6, valued at -3522.37. Multivariate analysis showed that all production traits were moderate to high and positively correlated with each other except for DP, which was low and negative genetic and phenotypic correlated. Spearman\'s rank correlation coefficients of breeding value among all six models were high and significant, ranged from 0.78 to 1.00 for all the traits except DP, therefore any of the models could be taken into account depending upon the availability of data.
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